Repost and Update of 'Golden Bull Cycle' (Orig. Trading Shot)Golden Bull Cycle originally posted by Trading Shot on Trading View.
The basic theory is that Bitcoin spends approximately equal amounts of time going from the bear market low to the halfing compared to the halfing to the bull market peak.
I've added Fib extensions based on the previous bull cycle peak and bear market low.
We see on all cycles a struggle at breaking the 1.618 fib extension, especially in 2013. The following bull market peaks seem to line up with the 2.212 and 2.414 Fib extension.
The trendline connecting bull market peaks from 2013 to 2017 give a projected target for the 2021 peak, also around the fib extension levels of the previous peaks.
This cycle gives a predicted peak date around the end of September at levels in the 200 thousands. Although this is the first cycle to experience a stock market crash so the bull run may have been delayed and perhaps this pattern may be broken.
Bitcoincycles
⭐️ BTC Cycle break down [WHY YOU SHOULD HODL!] ⭐️NEW BITCOIN INVESTORS SHOULD READ THIS!
Bitcoin trends in cycles.
Bull Market (peaked price) -> Bear Market -> Accumulation 🔄
We have yet to come close to the logarithmic channel resistance.
Bitcoin is likely to test this resistance level at around $200,000 possibly some time in September - November. (unless for some reason the cycle is disrupted).
A Massive correction around 80% is more than likely to occur once the bull run is completed.
Which would bring the price of BTC to around $55,000 - $60,000
And the cycle repeats after that.. Which can potentially lead us to the price of 1 BTC over $1,500,000 BY 2024 - 2025!
For any new Bitcoin investors / traders. There is NOT an easy way to get rich quick. Patience will pay off in the long run!
#HODL!❤️
This idea / analysis is fully constructed on Fundamentals of Bitcoin .
Please give this a 👍 if this post taught you something new :)
Potential End of Year RunI ran a comparison between last cycle and this one, and if the proportions hold up from the breaking of the ATH, this is what our course could look like.
I also ran a comparison using the old July 2015 peak to January 2017 peak and if that played out it would put us even higher.
I'm also not sure if we should count that first leg up coming to the top of the red circle as a part of the final up-trend or not.
Hope this helps.
Bitcoin: The most sustainable bullish sequence since the ATH.The current candle sequence since February 6th is the longest in this bear market. Since the All Time Highs Bitcoin's strongest bullish sequence (Higher Lows) was 40 days in April/ May. The current sequence is 45 days and counting.
This is also evident on key technical indicators:
RSI: Current bullish streak above 40.000 = 45 days (longest since ATH).
CCI: Current bullish streak above -100.000 = 45 days (longest since ATH).
TSI: Current bullish streak above 0.000 = 35 days (longest since ATH).
Can this be a strong indication of bullish sustainability? It certainly is a sign of accumulation of buyers after the December bottom. This is a lengthy process and the longer the price trades above those levels, the stronger the foundation of the accumulation phase gets.
Read more on Bitcoin's cycle's and phases below:
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