Bitcoin Price Analysis: What's Going On in Late December 2025?Hey everyone , Bitcoin is hovering right around $88,000 – give or take a few hundred bucks depending on the exchange. It's been a wild ride this month, honestly. We saw it flirt with $89,000-90,000 earlier, but it's pulled back a bit amid all the holiday thin trading and macro jitters.I've been watching the charts closely, and right now, BTC is stuck in this frustrating downtrend channel that started after the big highs earlier in the year (remember that $126,000 peak?). It's been chopping sideways mostly between $85,000 and $94,000 after bouncing off that solid psychological level at $80,000.
Weekends have been interesting – price keeps teasing the top of the channel, but then it rolls over and starts sniffing out lower liquidity pockets, like around $86,000-$88,000 where we are now.
The Big Picture: Still Bearish Short-Term?
Look, the overall market structure feels bearish to me in the near term. We've got lower highs and lower lows forming, and the order flow isn't screaming "bulls in control" yet.If we start seeing more consistent selling pressure pushing toward $85,000, I wouldn't be shocked to see a breakdown there. That could open the floodgates – trigger some liquidations around $80,000 and send us tumbling into that Low Volume Node (LVN) zone between $75,000 and $78,000.
That area was a key pullback spot back in April, so it might hold as decent short-term demand.
But if it doesn't... well, things could get messy quick.
Deeper Supports and Potential Buyers
Way down below, there's this wider High Volume Node (HVN) from $60,000-$70,000. That's where a lot of volume piled up historically, and I suspect there are some passive buyers – you know, long-term spot holders – sitting there. If they don't panic and start absorbing the supply, selling pressure could fade, and we might see a shift.
But honestly? Selling doesn't look exhausted yet.
Could We Bounce Back to $100K?
Don't get me wrong, I'm not all doom and gloom. If those lower zones hold strong – especially the LVN at $75K-78K – we could get a nice relief rally. That might flush out some trapped sellers from the November highs and push us back toward $100,000 to squeeze the shorts.
It's happened before. Crypto loves liquidating everyone eventually.
Quick Scenario Breakdown
Here's how I'm thinking about it right now:
🔴 Bearish case (my base for now): Break $85K → liquidations → test $75K-78K LVN → possible slide to $60K-70K if panic sets in.
🟠 Sideways grind: We just chop in this $85K-$94K range through the holidays – low volume, no real direction.
🟢 Bullish surprise: Strong hold at lower supports + shift in order flow → rally to liquidate sellers at $100K+.
At the end of the day, anything can happen in this market – that's the beauty (and frustration) of it. I've been trading crypto long enough to know that being flexible is the only way to stay profitable. Right now, I'm cautious on the upside, watching order flow and those key levels.
If you're trading this, manage your risk – stops below recent lows if long, or above recent highs if positioning short.
What do you guys think?
Bullish reversal incoming, or more pain first?
Drop your takes below.
Stay safe out there!
Bitcoinforecast
Bitcoin: Liquidity Void Signals Potential DeclineFenzoFx—Bitcoin dipped below $99,000.00 as expected and now trades near $95,630.00. Friday’s selloff created a bearish fair value gap, viewed as a liquidity void.
Technically, price is expected to revisit resistance between $96,700.00 and $99,000.00. If the gap remains partially unfilled, especially in its upper half, further downside is likely. In this scenario, Bitcoin’s next bearish target could be $90,000.00. The bearish outlook remains valid while price stays below $108,800.00.
Technical analysis of bitcoin key levels and wedge chart pattern1. Trend Structure
The descending trendline (Resistance line) at the top of the chart remains valid.
The price has repeatedly faced rejection at this level, indicating that the medium-term downtrend is still intact.
2. Key Price Levels and Indicators
50-week EMA
The price has recently recorded its third downward break below the 50-week EMA.
From a traditional technical perspective, this is viewed as a signal that strengthens the possibility of a medium- to long-term bearish shift.
POC (Point of Control)
The mid-range POC is acting as a strong supply zone,
and recent rebound attempts have also failed to break above this level decisively.
3. Liquidity Zones
Two major liquidity zones are marked in the upper and mid sections of the chart.
Liquidity zone near 112k (upper zone)
A cluster of large liquidity pockets and liquidation points
If a short-term rebound occurs, this is the first upside target likely to be tested
Liquidity zone near 102k (mid zone)
Overlaps with the 4h FVG, making it a level closely watched by both buyers and sellers
4. FVG (Fair Value Gap)
Multiple FVGs are present on the 4-hour timeframe, with some already filled.
Unfilled FVGs have a high probability of being revisited as the market corrects in the future.
5. CME Gap
All weekday CME gaps have already been filled and may act as short-term resistance.
A weekend gap forms when Monday’s CME opening price starts above 95.4K.
6. Current Market Structure Interpretation
The price is currently attempting a rebound from the lower boundary of the downtrend.
However, several resistance layers overlap—POC, FVG zones, and trendline resistance—raising the likelihood of heavy selling pressure on any upward move.
In the short term, volatility consolidation is expected within the 96k–100k range.
7. Potential Formation of a Lower Wedge Pattern
The price has broken below the lower boundary of the wedge pattern, accompanied by rising volume.
A short-term rebound is likely, and if the price re-enters the wedge, further upside momentum may follow.
If the lower trendline is not reclaimed, the structure may shift into a range after a retest.
8. USDT.D Chart Analysis
The price has once again touched the upper boundary of a downtrend line that has persisted for over a year.
Downward pressure on the USDT dominance chart suggests potential upward momentum for Bitcoin.
Technically, this zone offers conditions supportive of a short-term rebound.
9. Summary
The medium-term trend remains bearish, with the ongoing breakdown below the 50-week EMA reinforcing a sustained bearish outlook.
A short-term bottoming attempt is visible, but dense supply overhead limits the strength of any rebound.
FVGs, POC, and liquidity zones overlap near the current price region, increasing the probability of heightened volatility.
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Bitcoin price forecast, short-term BTC chart analysisResistance line: Represented by a red diagonal line indicating a downtrend, suggesting that the price may struggle to break above this level.
Support line: A green horizontal line at the bottom of the chart, marking the support area where a recent W pattern formed, currently around 99K.
CME gap: Highlighted in yellow at the center of the chart, representing a short-term resistance area.
Parallel channel: Formed by two gray diagonal lines, illustrating the range within which the price is likely to move.
POC (Point of Control) line: A red line cutting across the center of the chart, representing the price level with the highest trading volume. Currently around 110,000 USDT, it can serve as a key support or resistance level.
Liquidity zone: The area where the POC line near 110,000 USDT overlaps with the upper boundary of the parallel channel, indicating a zone of highest expected liquidity. This is where short stop losses and long take profits are likely to cluster.
Predicted path: Shown in green, suggesting the price may bounce off the support line, rise along the parallel channel, break through the CME gap, and move toward the liquidity zone. If it breaks the red resistance line, the ascent toward the liquidity zone could accelerate.
Conclusion: Bitcoin is expected to gradually rise as it overcomes resistance levels, ultimately reaching the high-liquidity zone around 110K–112K. This analysis is based on current market conditions, and actual price movements may differ due to various market factors.
Bitcoin Correction Eyes $108,800FenzoFx—Bitcoin rebounded from $99,300.00 and is now trading near $106,000.00. This upward move is likely a corrective phase, with potential to fill the liquidity void up to $108,800.00.
The equal lows at $99,326.00 remain vulnerable after repeated tests. We expect the downtrend to resume once BTC reaches the bearish fair value gap near $108,000.00. If confirmed, the next bearish targets are $100,000.00 and $90,000.00. The bearish outlook remains intact as long as the price stays below $116,576.00.
BTC/ETH/USD Decline ContinuesYou can see that BTC has a lot more concentrated support levels around $100k-102k and it could wick down to $98k briefly but it seems $100k will hold at the weekly close. We could see a final BTC LOW this Thursday 6th.
ETH not so much. There's not enough strong support level and it can continue declining into next week with the expected bounces along the way. Either way, it's a good buying opportunity for sure.
BTC Correction Possible Before Further DropFenzoFx—Bitcoin continues its downtrend after dipping below the bearish fair value gap, now trading around $104,150.00. Immediate support sits at $103,400.00. A daily close below this level could trigger further downside, with thin liquidity below.
Technically, a correction may occur first, potentially pushing BTC toward $108,800.00 before resuming the decline. If $103,400.00 is breached, the next support levels are $100,000.00 and $98,000.00.
Bitcoin Eyes Double Top After SelloffFenzoFx—Bitcoin is consolidating near $112,160.00 after a major selloff, testing this level as support. Price action shows a double top at $116,078.
From a technical view, BTC may aim for this level if it holds above immediate support at $112,143.0.
A close below $112,143.0 could trigger a deeper downtrend, with the next bearish target likely at $100,000.0.
Bitcoin Leaps for a New Bullish Run Above this ResistanceFenzoFx—Bitcoin remains bullish. Yesterday, price dipped below Tuesday’s low, but failed to close beneath it. This support zone is backed by a bullish fair value gap and anchored VWAP from September 28.
Immediate resistance stands at $122,335.0. If bulls close above this level, BTC/USD could target $124,254.0, followed by all-time-high. However, the bullish outlook is invalidated if BTC/USD closes below recent lower lows.
Bitcoin Hits $124K—Volume Lags BehindFenzoFx—Bitcoin reached a new all-time high at $124,533.0. While price broke higher, volume lags behind on the cumulative profile. The trend remains bullish, but a pullback is likely.
Retail traders should wait for BTC to dip into the liquidity void (fair value gap) around $116,000.0, offering a discounted entry into the bull market. If BTC/USD closes and stabilizes below this gap, deeper consolidation may follow toward the next support at $111,582.0.
Bitcoin: Volume Spike Signals Temporary ReliefFenzoFx—Bitcoin sold off early in the week, now trading near $112,670.00. A high-volume 4-hour candle tapped the bullish FVG and ended with a wick, suggesting partial profit-taking by bears.
The short-term trend remains bearish due to displacement below $115,132.00 and active bearish FVGs. BTC/USD may consolidate near resistance before resuming its downtrend. If price rises toward the low-volume node near $115,132.00 and holds bearish momentum, it could target the equal lows at $107,507.00.
The bearish outlook is invalidated if BTC/USD closes above the breaker block at $116,194.00.
Bitcoin: Bullish Bias Strengthens FenzoFx—Bitcoin remains bullish, targeting recent highs at $117,416.00. Currently, BTC is consolidating near $115,000.00, aligning with a bullish fair value gap and support at $114,464.00. Today’s liquidity sweep below the FVG’s mean threshold reinforces the bullish bias.
Immediate resistance stands at $115,652.00. A break above this level may resume the uptrend toward $117,416.00. However, if price drops below $114,464.00, the bullish outlook should be reconsidered.
BTC/USD Sell Setup: Overbought Signals a Pullback!COINBASE:BTCUSD The price is currently approaching a key resistance zone at the upper boundary of the ascending channel. This level often marks the point where a pullback could occur, especially as the price nears the top of the channel. If a correction takes place, the next key support level to watch is 113,500 USD.
Should buyers manage to defend this support, the bullish trend could continue, with potential for the price to break through previous highs. However, if the price breaks below the support level, we may see a deeper retracement back to the lower part of the channel.
This setup offers a potential opportunity to enter if a pullback occurs, especially with confirmation from price action, candle patterns, and volume around the key levels. Make sure to manage risk appropriately and only take trades when your setup is validated.
What are your thoughts on this setup? Drop your comments below, and let’s discuss!
Wishing you successful trades!
Bitcoin: Liquidity Below $107K Signals Bearish RiskFenzoFx—Bitcoin formed a double top at $113,480.00 and is trading lower, up 0.80% today.
The chart shows equal lows at $107,507.00, indicating unabsorbed liquidity below. Technically, Bitcoin may drop to fill the bullish fair value gap near $103,500.00, if BTC/USD closes below the $109,993.00 resistance.
This bearish outlook is invalidated if Bitcoin closes and stabilizes above $113,480.00. In that case, the next bullish target could be $117,416.00.
Bitcoin’s Temporary Rebound Targets Key HighsFenzoFx—Bitcoin remains bearish, though the downtrend paused after tapping equal lows at $107,268.0. BTC has since flipped above the recent fair value gap near $110,200.0.
We anticipate the downtrend will resume, targeting the bullish order block at $105,119.0. BTC/USD may rise toward $112,200.0, followed by equal highs at $113,677.0.
Once these levels are swept, the bearish trend is likely to continue. Traders and investors should monitor these key zones for potential bearish setups.
How Potentially Manipulated NFP Data Could Affect BTC's PricBitcoin rallied last Friday after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's prepped the market for an interest rate cut in September.
However, these gains have faded, with Bitcoin back to where it started last Friday; around $112,000.
The market's focus is now shifting to the upcoming U.S. Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report, scheduled for release next week, which could greatly influence interest rates expectations.
Strong job data may reduce the likelihood of a September rate cut.
And with an Orwellian portrait of Trump now hanging from the Department of Labor Building, and his administration potentially pressuring the Bureau of Labor Statistics to inflate job numbers, this scenario is becoming a real possibility. If this happens, we could expect price action to test the lower Fibonacci retracement levels, such as the 141.4% at around $109,900 or further at $108,700.






















