Bitcoin - The classic bullrun top creation!🗿Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) created the bullrun top:
🔎Analysis summary:
A couple of weeks ago, Bitcoin retested a major decade long resistance curve. Since Bitcoin then already created bearish confirmation, we are currently seeing an expected crackdown. Considering all the underlying trends, this bearish cycle is still not over yet.
📝Levels to watch:
$70,000 and $50,000
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Bitcoinmarkets
Bitcoin - The bearmarket officially started!🪚Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) will still head lower:
🔎Analysis summary:
Taking a look at all previous cycles on Bitcoin, each cycle lasted for about 1,000 days. Together with the current retest of the major resistance curveline, the recent move lower was totally expected. And looking at clear market structure, this correction is not over yet.
📝Levels to watch:
$75,000 and $60,000
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
BTC/USDT Analysis. Uncertainty, but Long Bias Remains
Hello everyone! CryptoRobotics trader-analyst here, and this is your daily market update.
Yesterday, Bitcoin failed to show a clear directional bias and continued trading within a narrow range, accumulating volume. Pressure on the cumulative delta remains on the sellers’ side, especially on spot markets, which adds uncertainty to the current structure.
Despite this, the overall long bias remains intact: the broader structure has not been broken, and the probability of upward continuation after a local liquidity sweep is still high. However, Bitcoin may first retest the $87,800–$86,400 (volume zone) before forming a new bullish impulse.
During this phase of consolidation, it is more prudent to stay out of the market and wait for a clearer setup — either a reaction from key support or a breakout through resistance. This will provide a much cleaner risk profile for new long positions.
Buy Zones
$87,800–$86,400 (volume zone)
$84,000–$82,000 (volume anomalies)
Sell Zones
$94,000–$97,500 (volume zone)
$101,000–$104,000 (accumulated volumes)
$105,800–$106,600 (local resistance)
This publication is not financial advice.
Bitcoin Momentum Building — Bullish Plan Activated!BTC/USDT — “BITCOIN VS TETHER”
Crypto Market Opportunity Blueprint (DAY / SWING Trade) 💹✨
🔥 Plan: Bullish plan confirmed
The structure is supported by a Hull Moving Average (HMA) pullback, behaving like a clean re-accumulation phase — showing buyers quietly loading before the next expansion wave.
This pattern typically appears before trend continuation legs, especially when volatility compresses after a strong impulse.
🎯 Entry
📌 YOU CAN ENTRY AT ANY PRICE LEVEL
(Structure shows strength across multiple levels with buyers defending dips.)
🛡️ Stop Loss
⚠️ This is thief SL @ 86000
Dear Ladies & Gentleman (Thief OG's), adjust your SL based on your own strategy & personal risk tolerance.
🔍 Important:
I am not recommending to use only my SL.
It's your own choice — you can make money then take money based on your own risk.
🎯 Target
Price is moving into a zone where the moving averages act as a strong resistance, combined with overbought conditions and potential trap formation, so escaping with profits is wise.
📌 Our target @ 98000
Again — Dear Ladies & Gentleman (Thief OG's):
I am not recommending to set only my TP.
You can make money then take money at your own risk.
📡 Related Pairs to Watch (Correlations & Key Behaviors)
Below are correlated assets that help confirm BTC/USDT’s flow, momentum, and broader crypto market direction. These are presented in $ format for TradingView tagging.
1️⃣ BINANCE:ETHUSDT (Ethereum)
Strongest beta-pair to Bitcoin.
When BTC shows re-accumulation, ETH often leads the breakout earlier.
If ETH breaks major resistance first → increases confidence in BTC continuation.
2️⃣ BINANCE:SOLUSDT (Solana)
High-momentum asset; reacts faster than BTC.
If SOL pumps aggressively while BTC consolidates → indicates risk-on sentiment across crypto.
Good for measuring market confidence.
3️⃣ BINANCE:BNBUSDT (BNB)
Acts as a market stability indicator.
If BNB stays firm above key moving averages, liquidity remains strong across the crypto market.
Helps confirm medium-term bullish structure.
4️⃣ BINANCE:ETHBTC (Ethereum / Bitcoin Ratio)
A critical relative-strength indicator.
If ETHBTC drops → capital rotates into BTC dominance, supporting your Bitcoin bullish plan.
If ETHBTC rises → broad alts strength, but BTC may not accelerate instantly.
5️⃣ CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2 (Altcoin Market Cap)
When TOTAL2 rises with BTC → marketwide confidence.
When TOTAL2 stagnates but BTC rises → BTC-only rally (typical before big breakouts).
Useful to detect inflow distribution.
6️⃣ TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index)
Inverse correlation with Bitcoin.
If DXY weakens → supports BTC bullish continuation.
Important for swing traders taking multi-day positions.
7️⃣ CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D (Tether Dominance)
When USDT.D drops → money flowing from stablecoins into crypto.
When USDT.D rises → risk aversion.
Perfect tool for confirming if BTC demand is real.
📈 Summary Insight
Together, BTC’s HMA pullback + re-accumulation structure, rising momentum across correlated pairs, and declining defensive indicators build a high-probability bullish continuation environment for the next expansion wave.
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) Technical Analysis – December 5, 2025Strong downside momentum is currently dominating on the lower timeframes. Bitcoin has once again dropped below the $90k mark.
This entire drop from the ATH (~125,769) fits beautifully into the classic Fibonacci retracement structure — price got rejected right at the 0.618 level (94,657), and despite a temporary bounce off the 0.5 retracement (99,980), bulls lacked the strength to push further. Currently, we’re trading below the 0.382 level (88,799), which is now acting as resistance — and it’s no coincidence that price today has been struggling exactly at that zone.
In addition, today’s move has perfectly filled the Fair Value Gap (FVG) from April 22, which is now completely closed. That gap also lines up with the 0.382 level of the local (smaller) Fibonacci retracement.
At the local bottom (around 83,500), we saw a classic swing low with a long lower wick, followed by a bullish candle — this is forming the early signs of a bullish engulfing pattern. Volume-wise, that candle printed a significant spike, showing strong buyer interest. Looking at cumulative volume, it’s clear that there was a notable absorption of sell pressure by larger players in that zone.
If bulls fail to reclaim the 88,800 level, a retest of the 0.886 Fibo (82,929) is likely, or even a deeper drop toward the 1.272 and 1.414 Fibonacci extensions (77,012 and 74,058). Just below that, we have a strong demand zone around 72,000–74,000, which overlaps with previous consolidations and historical FVGs.
What’s Next? 🙄😎
The current move looks like a potential end to the corrective wave, with a local bottom near 83,500, key support at 82,900, and resistance at 88,800. If price can break above that and close a daily candle higher, then 94–96k is back on the table. On the flip side, if the red descending channel holds, we could see further liquidation sweeps down toward 74–77k.
Volume signals and oscillator momentum are starting to flash a bullish bias, but bears still have the upper hand until the 0.5 Fibonacci level (99,980) is broken and the descending channel is invalidated with a proper close above it.
For now, all eyes on how price reacts around 88,800 and 92,000 — those are the key breakout levels that could confirm a larger trend reversal.
Selena | BTCUSD – Bullish Structure Holding Above TrendlineBITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Price continues to respect the ascending trend structure formed after the breakout from the descending channel.
The current pullback into 91,400–91,850 support aligns with rising trendline confluence, making this the critical continuation zone for the next bullish leg.
🔹 Bullish Setup
A confirmed rejection from support + breakout above 93,600–94,000 will open the next expansion leg.
🎯 TP1 → 94,800
🎯 TP2 → 95,600
🎯 Final Target → 96,300–96,800 liquidity zone
🔸 Invalidation
❌ Break & close below 91,300 weakens continuation potential.
Next demand is far lower — deeper retracement may unfold.
⚠️ Educational-analysis only — not financial advice.
Bitcoin - This cycle is totally clear!🚨Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) enters the next bearmarket:
🔎Analysis summary:
Bitcoin always creates textbook cycles. And after every retest of the major resistance curve, Bitcoin started a major bearmarket. Since we already witnessed bearish confirmation, Bitcoin is heading for a new correction. Just let it play out.
📝Levels to watch:
$60,000
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
It Looks like Bitcoin is repeating the 2021 ATH Moves and SMA 50 Week SMA ( RED )
100 Week SMA ( BLUE )
In the Chart above, take Note of the Drop in PA after the first ATH and how PA bounced off the 50 week SMA ( RED ), Bounced up to a New ATH and then Dropped back, fell through the 50 and is currently Bouncing off the 100 Week SMA ( BLUE )
Also notice the 91 day count, which takes us to March 2026
Also note how all this has happened between the 0 and 0.236 Fib retracement lines.
Now lets look at what happened in 2021
The Drop in PA after the first ATH and how PA bounced off the 50 SMA area , Bounced up to a New ATH and then Dropped back, fell through the 50 and Bounced off the 100 SMA
Almost EXACTLY what we are currently Seeing.
That bounce, that we maybe currently recreating, lasted 91 days before it fell through and into the Bear market.
Notice how PA got rejected by the 21 SMA ( GREEN ) before it fell through the 236 Fib line
For me, that Bear Market began as soon as PA fell through the 236 Fib line.
Should we recreate that 2021 sequence, it may look something like this
We currently have not yet returned to the 236 Fib Line as we did in 2021.This gives us a little more Room to move thankfully.
But we should certainly keep an eye on that 21 Week SMA.
Bells will Ring when the 21 crosses under the 50
This may get invalidated if PA rises and remains above the Jan 2025 ATH at around 108K usdt
We Wait, Time will tell
Bitcoin - The only 100% probability setup!🔪Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) will drop -40% very soon:
🔎Analysis summary:
If we just take a look at previous cycles, Bitcoin is already starting a major -40% correction. If we then also take market structure and price action into account, this becomes a 100% probability setup. The next clear crypto bearmarket is starting right now.
📝Levels to watch:
$100,000
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Breaking:Bitcoin Might Test $50k Support Amidst Market SentimentBitcoin tanked 5% today from a high of $90k+ to the $80k zone albeit there is not any fundamental news tight to the market correction.
However Onchain metrics hints on Bitcoins possible voyage to the $50k support. as per data from crypto quant, the open interest of CRYPTOCAP:BTC on all exchanges is down 4% losing over $24B.
Similarly, the funding rates of CRYPTOCAP:BTC on all exchanges as per data from that same source is down 15% essentially connoting traders are losing interest on CRYPTOCAP:BTC hence they are selling it.
IS IT TIME TO SALE BITCOIN?
Bitcoin Monthly Candle Close Color since 2011 and patternsNovember closed RED as expected and so we have continued to follow Sequence in the left Box, mentioned in the October post.
The left Box shows the only similar monthly Candle sequence, similar to the one we currently have. If you look closely, it is also a very similar "Curve" shape. Descent to low, rise, flatten out.
The Candle Sequence to see is Red, Green. 2 Red. 4 Green, 1 red, 1 Greeno 1
red
That Sequence was followed by a larger Red Candle, which we have just also done.
The Thin down facing arrow in the left Box, points to the equvilant candle to the one we just closed, thought the month was August and not a November.
The left box starting in September 2022 and the Right Box starts in December 2024.
These Sequences run for 11 Months so Far..
This is the only 2 occasions this sequence has ever happened in Bitcoin history...and they are Both in the same "Bull Run"
And I will just mention that the Left Box was the recovery period after the 2022 Bear market.
A Very positive period.
If we continue this Sequence, we should see a Green Candle in December, though maybe not a large one. Some charts point to a Red start to December, so remain cautious.
We should also remember that a pattern workss untill it Stops...but the longer it runs, the higher the chance of that point being reached.
Just to Recap from the October post of this Series.....
"The Red November in 2011 was the bottom and was the start of Bitcoins 2 year push to ATH.
The Red one in November 2022 marked the Bottom of the Bear, though December was red but a small candle.
Nearly half of the Red Novembers called the Bottom of a Bear, a turning point in market behaviour." (There had been only 5 Red Novembers at the time of writing)
What is also very interesting is how the November 2022 Red candle was approx -27% draw down. (Wicks included) -> the following December in 2022 closed a small Red candle.
The Red November we just closed was also approx -27%
However, To follow the Color sequence, we will expect a Green December.
Of the Previous Red NOVEMBER closes, we have only ever had ONE Green December, way back in 2011,
The Odds do point to a Red December close....but hopefully a small one.
If this happens, the color sequence gets broken but I will look at what happened in early 2023 as a possible follow on. The November, December, January candles for sure....
Looking Forward. Previous December closes.
7 Green to 7 Red - A 50 - 50 mix.
Of the previous 7 Red December Closes, 4 were followed by a Green January, the last one being in December 2022 and was followed by a Lovely Green January, marking the start of the current push higher by Bitcoin from 15K usdt low to over 120K usdt.
That January Candle was over 50% rise.
Only one Red December led us into a Deep Bear market, the others signalled change.....
So, While the odds, technically, point to a Red December close, to follow previous moves and sentiments, this may not be a bad thing.
A Red December would break the sequence we have been talking about, as the next in sequence is a GREEN candle. And so were the next 6 Months.
So, December Close will answer Many questions and is, once again, a pivotal month. The Sentiment for the entire year to follow will be set by this months Candle Close..
We currently have a number of pointers suggesting this is an End to a "Bear"....and this Draw back right now has seen PA fall below a number of Key support levels but interestingly, we have got no where near the "traditional " - 80% Bear draw down.
Very confused signals, hinting at moves in either direction.
We have to wait......as ever.... But I am VERY BULLISH
As it stands, a Red or a Green December has the potential to be Good, providing that, obviously, a BEAR market is not confirmed.
My preference is fr a small Red candle this month........
Wave 4 Trap Complete as Bitcoin Prepares for Final Flush6 Days Ago:
3 Days Ago:
1 December 2025
BTC moved into the expected corrective zone last week but stayed inside the falling channel, showing that wave 4 was only a temporary bounce. Buyers failed to break any key resistance, and momentum kept fading. This kept the broader outlook bearish and hinted that wave 5 was still pending.
BTC has now broken below the short-term rising structure, confirming that wave 4 topped out near the 0.786 retracement. The rejection from that zone triggered a clean shift back into the main downtrend, with price sliding toward the key 86,280 support. As long as BTC holds below the upper channel boundary, the market remains positioned for further downside, with the 1.618 extension around 79,650 emerging as the next probable target for wave 5 completion.
Note:
The rejection from the 0.786–resistance zone shows buyers failed to take control.
Wave B at 86,280 is the immediate pivot level; staying below it keeps downside pressure intact.
The next major target for wave 5 sits near the 1.618 extension around 79,650.
BTCUSD 4H Bullish setupBitcoin is showing a strong bullish structure on the 4H chart.
Price is currently holding above the EMA ribbon and rejecting the lower band with clear buying pressure — a typical sign of continuation after a corrective pullback.
🔶 Bullish Confluences
Price holding above dynamic support (EMA cloud turning green).
Higher-low formation after the recent sell-off, signaling buyers stepping in.
Fibonacci channel support respected, with price bouncing from the midline.
Strong candle reaction from the 0.382 retracement zone, often a bullish continuation level.
Upside liquidity sitting above 93.3k and 95.5k, attractive magnet for price.
🎯 Fibonacci Extension Targets
TP1 – 38.20%: ~93,525
TP2 – 61.80%: ~94,876
TP3 – 100%: ~97,063
If momentum increases, price could push toward the 100k zone again, with extended targets beyond.
BTCUSD – Bullish setup 4HBITSTAMP:BTCUSD is showing early signs of a potential bullish reversal after reclaiming the mid-range of the channel and holding above key EMAs. Price is consolidating just under the dynamic resistance band, and repeated higher lows suggest buyers are gradually regaining control.
🔍 Bullish Confluences:
Reclaim of mid-trend band with candles closing above the lower volatility ribbon.
Higher-low structure forming after the recent sweep of liquidity.
Momentum shift indicated by bullish reaction off the 0.382–0.5 retracement zone.
Support confluence at ~86.8k where previous demand and fib structure overlap.
🎯 Fibonacci Targets:
TP1 – 38.2%: 89,242
TP2 – 61.8%: 90,576
TP3 – 100%: 93,500
If price breaks and holds above the current compression zone, continuation toward the fib cluster at 90–91k becomes likely, with the final upside extension pointing toward 93.5k.
Bitcoin and the US PresidentsDemocrats and Obama:
177,202,485.71%
GOP and trump 1.0:
5,192.94%
Let the plebs and paid influencers talk their way, but facts will be facts, always.
Why he wants to deregulate crypto now, we might only speculate. But Ross William Ulbricht is free, pardoned by Trump.
If the trust in cryptocurrencies is compromised, expect a deep ABC correction. ;)
It is not a political post, nor is intended to be interpreted like one. It is just market observing one.
Be safe. Protect Your money.
Cheers
In-Depth Bitcoin VolumeData is on the chart.
The single most important indicator is the Volume.
There are certain anomalies in the volume that can be attributed to wash trading in the beginning or the Covid.
As you can see, since the early cycles, volume in price discovery has been steady.
More importantly, the current volume in price discovery is still very low.
There are lots of talks about how some mythical players are accumulating. For 21M of issuance, the volume is huge, IMO.
!!! It is not trading advice, but an overview of the market in the past and the current situation.
I do not advise investing in highly volatile markets like crypto unless you are prepared to mark losses.
BITCOIN(BTCUSDT): First Setup Dropped From $107k To $80K, Next? Dear Traders,
Bitcoin has fallen from our selling point as described in our previous trading setup on BTCUSDT. The price has dropped significantly from $107k to $80k.
We anticipate a further decline to approximately $66k to $57k. This area appears to be a discounted price point where a large number of buyers are likely to be present. Once the price reaches our entry point marked by two white lines, we believe it will follow a strong bullish impulse. This will likely take the price from $60k to $140k.
We wish you the best of luck and trade safely.
Team Setupsfx
BTCUSDT(BITCOIN): Bitcoin is bearish for now at least! Bitcoin is in distribution phase if we using the smart money concept, that is why we think price is at the final point before it drop faster. There will be mixed views regarding the bitcoin, but this is our personal view and which is more likely view compare to buying. Please use accurate risk management while trading bitcoin. This setup may take time to get it completed, and we will keep you guys updated.
Good luck and trade safe!
Team Setupsfx_
BTC/USDT Analysis. Moving Within the Expected Scenario
Hello everyone! CryptoRobotics trader-analyst here, and this is your daily market update.
Yesterday, Bitcoin continued its local uptrend. The movement remains mostly momentum-driven, but despite the lack of strong buying pressure, the price can still reach the first resistance zone we highlighted, as long as it consolidates above $88,000. During the last local pullback, we recorded a clear absorption of selling — this pattern is likely to play out if buyers become slightly more active.
From a mid-term perspective, the scenario remains the same: after testing the nearest resistance zones, we expect another wave of selling. A reaction from support would provide a more reliable setup for long positions with potential targets at $95,000–$100,000.
Buying Zones:
• $84,000–$82,000 (volume anomalies)
Selling Zones:
• $90,000–$92,300 (high-volume zone)
• $94,000–$97,500 (high-volume zone)
• $101,000–$104,000 (accumulated volume)
• $105,800–$106,600 (local resistance)
This publication is not financial advice.
The Bear MarketHere’s my current view of the Bitcoin market:
The 4-year cycle still appears intact, and many who doubt it seem to be in the denial phase. While some market dynamics have changed, the overall structure is still on track. Based on prior cycles, I expect a bear-market bottom to form roughly 324–340 days from now. Until then, I plan to avoid leverage and focus on accumulating during deeper pullbacks. I view Bitcoin around $68k as fair value, with prices above that currently leaning toward overvaluation.
I also disagree with the idea that the cycle can’t be over simply because “too many people are calling the top.” As Bitcoin matures and more cycles unfold, more traders naturally recognize recurring patterns. Increased awareness doesn’t invalidate the possibility that the top is already in.
Comparing this cycle to 2021 is also misleading. The previous double-top was heavily influenced by the pandemic, unprecedented Federal Reserve intervention, stimulus payments, and the surge of retail traders stuck at home. Those conditions don’t exist today. This cycle has been driven instead by regulatory clarity, institutional involvement, and growing governmental trust—resulting in a healthier, more sustainable rally.
Despite extreme fear in the market and widespread pessimism, I believe we still have downside ahead due to broader economic fragility. My current expectation is for a market bottom around October 2026, followed by a renewed parabolic move into the next bull market. I don’t expect Bitcoin to reach $1 million by 2030, though it may be possible someday.
Bitcoin MA Breakout Setup: What Traders Should Watch Now📈 BTC/USDT – “BITCOIN VS TETHER” | Crypto Market Opportunity Blueprint (Day Trade)
🔥 Bullish Breakout Roadmap for Active Day Traders
🧭 PLAN:
Price is attempting a bullish breakout above key moving averages. Once price clears $88,000, momentum buyers may step in and drive a continuation leg upward.
🎯 ENTRY (Breakout Confirmation):
▶ Enter at any price level AFTER a clean moving-average breakout above $88,000.
Look for strong candle closes + volume expansion.
🛑 STOP–LOSS (Risk Management First):
⚠️ This is MY thief-style SL: $84,000
Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s) — manage your own risk according to your playbook.
This is only my SL, not a rule. You’re free to adjust based on your own risk appetite.
💰 TARGET:
Moving averages align as a dynamic resistance zone, combined with overbought conditions and potential bull-trap signals.
Secure profits responsibly.
▶ Target: $90,800
Again — Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s), this TP is MY personal level.
Book profits your own way, at your own risk.
🔍 Related Crypto Pairs to Watch (Correlation + Key Notes)
1️⃣ ETH/USDT (Ethereum)
Highly correlated with BTC in bullish phases
Strong ETH movement often front-runs or confirms BTC breakouts
Watch for ETH strength → may add confidence to BTC breakout trades
2️⃣ BTC.D (Bitcoin Dominance)
Rising BTC dominance = Capital flowing into Bitcoin → Supports bullish continuation
Falling dominance = Altcoins gaining share → BTC breakouts may weaken or turn choppy
3️⃣ TOTAL / TOTAL2 (Crypto Market Cap Charts)
Confirms whether capital is entering the entire crypto market
TOTAL rising with BTC strength = broad market confidence
TOTAL flat/dropping during BTC’s rise = possible bull trap
4️⃣ SOL/USDT (Solana)
Solana often moves aggressively when BTC breaks out
Sharp SOL rallies can signal strong risk-on momentum across majors
5️⃣ USDT.D (USDT Dominance)
When USDT dominance drops → Traders moving out of stablecoins → Bullish risk appetite
When it spikes → Smart money hedging → BTC breakout may fail
6️⃣ BTC/USDT Perp Funding Rate
Positive & increasing funding = heavy long side → Potential squeeze
Neutral funding = healthy breakout
Negative funding = breakout might be fueled by short covering
📊 Market Tone:
BTC continues to show strong buyer interest, but resistance pockets remain.
Trade mechanically. Don’t chase candles. Let structure confirm itself.






















