Bitcoin - Creating another -30% correction!๐คฌBitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) is still in a bearish market:
๐Analysis summary:
Just a couple of months ago, Bitcoin created its expected bullmarket all time high. Since then, we already witnessed a correction of about -30%. But looking at higher timeframe structure, this correction is not over and we might see a final push of -30% lower soon.
๐Levels to watch:
$60,000
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Bitcoinmarkets
BITCOIN BULLS GETTING READY!!!! SHORT SQUEEZE INCOMING? Yello Paradisers! Enjoy the video!
And Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable.
Remember, donโt trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
Bitcoin Daily heading into the 4.618 wall with potential Range
The 4.618 Fib Extension Held PA as support a number of times in the recent past and showed itself to be Strong.
But now, it is a wall that we need to cross and return it to Support.
PA does have the ability to overcome this in the shoerter term timeframes.
The 4 hour BTC chart shows us more detail of the current situation.
On the right we can see 2 occasions were PA tried to cross this 4.618, and failed. ( there were 3 in total )
Note the resulting Range that PA did while it regained momentum to try again and eventually did Cross.
See how it used that Red 236 Fib circle as a sprnigboard to get through.
PA is ina simialr position right now, with another Fib circle coming down from just above the 4.618 Fib.
Should PA try and repeat that type of move, we are looking to Early Feb to break over that Fib Line.....Hopefully.
BUT we could simply get rejected and be pushed a lot lower ...........We simply have to react to what DOES happen but be ready for all options.....
4 Hour MACD shows a Good bounce off Over Sold
Histogram also has a Green Bar and so we may hope for More....MACD crossed the Signal line Bullish. We just need this to continue.
Daily MACD shows us potential
MACD heading towards Neutral and in areas of potential support......At the same time, the Histogram is also dropping into that support line.
MACD is laggy and only shows us what HAS happened but we can see trends.........
I can see MACD dropping below Neutral but maybe not to Far.........
Daily RSI
In an area where it has had sustained bounces previously and we need to watch this. The 4 hour ( not shown ) is bouncing from the Lows and has room to move higher.
Conclusion
The fact that the Daily MACD is falling but the daily RSI is rising shows there is support and the Fact that the 4 hour MACD & RSI are rising from the lows, shows the potential for at least a ranging, potentialy a push higher.
This would fall into the idea that was presented at the start of this post, where we looked back at the previous occasions on the Right of the 4 hour chart, were PA tried to cross the 4.618 Fib, got rejected, Ranged and tried again etc etc
If this plays out, we have around 2 weeks to wait.....
But as ever, this is BITCOIN...Anything Can happren
The possibility of a deeper Drop to low 70K and more DOES exist.
Have plans and use them
Bitcoin is looking primed for a full recovery. Loving this setup on Bitcoin. There are strong similarities between the SPX and Bitcoin. As Bitcoin has matured, it trades more and more like the traditional stock marketโor even like goldโas opposed to a penny stock like in its early days. I see a full recovery coming, very similar to the crash and recovery that happened on the SPX in 2025.
As always, stay profitable.
โ Dalin Anderson
BTC Panic: Why This Flush Out Is a MONSTER Trade OpportunityWe are revisiting our BTC Bitcoin "Monster Trade" strategy following the recent volatility spikes triggered by Donald Trumpโs tariff rhetoric at the World Economic Forum. While the market panicked, we saw a significant liquidity flush.
๐ฐ The "Monster Trade" Strategy In this video, I break down exactly how we are capitalizing on any deep retrace and more importantly, this current pullback. We are executing a systematic position-building strategy.
The main thing with this is we MUST lock in 50% profit on existing positions before opening new ones. This allows us to ride the entire trend while banking realized gains along the journey.
Because we have already banked profits, this deep retracement isn't a threat or a risk.
๐ The Macro View Looking at the Higher Time Frame (HTF), the technicals suggest the corrective trend is exhausting and potentially reversing. This structural shift indicates we are staring at a potentially once-in-a-lifetime opportunity to load the boat before the next parabolic Bitcoin rally.
Watch now to see the exact price levels I'm watching! ๐
Quick BITCOIM 4 hour Update- suggested Bounce occuring but .....
We Got that Bounce that was suggested yesterday and for me, I think that 4.618 Fib extension is the target.
It will either Act as resistance or be Crossed and retested as support.
Both of these are possible and I have No idea which way this will go but I am slightly Bearish over all.
What I can see is that Bitcoin certainly has the ability in the shorter term
The 4 hour MACD
MACD down Low and turning with plenty of room to move higher.
Do remember, on the longer daily time Frame, MACD is still Falling Bearish and , so, I see this as a bounce that is unlikley to reach a higher high
4 Hour RSI
RSI bumping into its own MA and we wait to see if it crosses or not. But certainly has Room to move higher but is the same situation as the Daily MACD, Longer Term Bearish
So, Lets see how BTC PA Reacts to the 4.618. Resistance or will PA climb over and FLip it back to support.
We Wait
BITCOIN - buy BTCUSD nowBITCOIN (BTC/USD) has recently been stuck inside a triangle channel pattern and has struggled to break out for a few weeks. However, the price has recently broken a strong resistance level (the white trend line shown on the chart) - The price is currently above the trend line which acted as a strong resistance level and is now very likely to hit the next resistance zone which is labeled as the take profit level. time to buy BTCUSD now!
Bitcoin 4 hour - -levels of support exist just below,
Longs Git ruined again - Will they Ever Learn ?
So, Now we see PA using the 4.618 Fib Extension as support. AND we fell back under the Fib Circle. PA Back in Squeeze with the Apex towards the end of Month
If the 4.618 Fails to hold, then we could see 87500 area again..That Price area h is a Safe zone to many extents
That 4k618 is strong...we have to wait and see if it holds.
4 Hour RSI is Oversold now
But the Daly has further to fall long term.
The 4 hour MACD is approaching OverSold....We could see a bounce
But the Daily MACD very clearly rejected off rejecting trend line.
THIS MACD chart is my Key to whats happening.
IT IS BEARISH Divergence.
Untill MACD crosses that descending trendline, we remain Bearish over all
Short term gains maybe had if you day trade......
Bitcoin - This chart is not bullish yet!๐ฒBitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) still remains beairsh:
๐Analysis summary:
Bitcoin remains in an underlying bullish market. But looking at all the recent retests of resistance, it becomes quite likely that this is not the end of the bearmarket yet. Bitcoin will most likely create another move of -35% first in the next couple of weeks.
๐Levels to watch:
$65,000
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Bitcoin Daily and 4 hour - That probably scared you, now we waitThe Lines falling from Left to Right are sections of Fib Circles.
While I think we are certainly in a Bearish environment, I do see Bullish signs BUT we do have to be VERY Careful right now. The potential now, for a deeper drop is ever presant.
On the daily chart above. we can see that PA has been in a rising channel and we have now dropped back to the lower trendline, that will hopefully be Support.
We can also see how PA has come back dowm to test that Fib Circle as support.
Look back and see how that same Circle was used to push PA higher to a New ATH.
If we loose the dashed line of support, I can see PA sliding down the top side of this Fib Circle.....rather than Falling through.
That would NOT BE GOOD
But lets look at the 4 hour
Here we can see how PA has landed on the intersection of the Lower trend line of support and the Fib circle..that should be strong enough to hold.....If not, next stop 90400.
We can also see on this chart how the Longs will have been flushed out by that sudden drop. You were warned.
But there are Longs that still exist...be careful
So How much strength does Bitcoin have right now ?
Daily MACD
Remember that Line of resistance I showed you on the MACD ?
Looks like we getting rejected and until we break Over that line.....we remain Bearish
The 4 Hour MACD
MACD also falling here so certainly the potential for further Drops...but we are below Neutral here, so a turn around can happen, which would stall the Fall on Daily, Not Stop it................
Daily RSI
Falling with room to drop further.
4 Hour RSI
Getting down near support line and so this also could stall the continued Fall on the dai;y but very unlikely to Stop it longer term.
Conclusion.
PA showing it seems to want to slowdown short term and Longer term the Range / Drop will continue.
This Danger will only last as long as the Daily MACD / RSI Falls. The Weekly still shows Bullish opportunities and so it could be that PA is simply Cooling off from its recent push higher.
We may get more Sharp Dips But I am really Hoping that this Fib circle Will remain as support on a Daily chart.
Understand, that on the shorter term, we may see pushes up....but longer term, PA needs to cool off.
And the intersection of trendlines that PA hit shows a very Good Targetted move..
The BULLS are stil here.
Bitcoin MA Breakout Setup: What Traders Should Watch Now๐ BTC/USDT โ โBITCOIN VS TETHERโ | Crypto Market Opportunity Blueprint (Day Trade)
๐ฅ Bullish Breakout Roadmap for Active Day Traders
๐งญ PLAN:
Price is attempting a bullish breakout above key moving averages. Once price clears $88,000, momentum buyers may step in and drive a continuation leg upward.
๐ฏ ENTRY (Breakout Confirmation):
โถ Enter at any price level AFTER a clean moving-average breakout above $88,000.
Look for strong candle closes + volume expansion.
๐ STOPโLOSS (Risk Management First):
โ ๏ธ This is MY thief-style SL: $84,000
Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OGโs) โ manage your own risk according to your playbook.
This is only my SL, not a rule. Youโre free to adjust based on your own risk appetite.
๐ฐ TARGET:
Moving averages align as a dynamic resistance zone, combined with overbought conditions and potential bull-trap signals.
Secure profits responsibly.
โถ Target: $90,800
Again โ Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OGโs), this TP is MY personal level.
Book profits your own way, at your own risk.
๐ Related Crypto Pairs to Watch (Correlation + Key Notes)
1๏ธโฃ ETH/USDT (Ethereum)
Highly correlated with BTC in bullish phases
Strong ETH movement often front-runs or confirms BTC breakouts
Watch for ETH strength โ may add confidence to BTC breakout trades
2๏ธโฃ BTC.D (Bitcoin Dominance)
Rising BTC dominance = Capital flowing into Bitcoin โ Supports bullish continuation
Falling dominance = Altcoins gaining share โ BTC breakouts may weaken or turn choppy
3๏ธโฃ TOTAL / TOTAL2 (Crypto Market Cap Charts)
Confirms whether capital is entering the entire crypto market
TOTAL rising with BTC strength = broad market confidence
TOTAL flat/dropping during BTCโs rise = possible bull trap
4๏ธโฃ SOL/USDT (Solana)
Solana often moves aggressively when BTC breaks out
Sharp SOL rallies can signal strong risk-on momentum across majors
5๏ธโฃ USDT.D (USDT Dominance)
When USDT dominance drops โ Traders moving out of stablecoins โ Bullish risk appetite
When it spikes โ Smart money hedging โ BTC breakout may fail
6๏ธโฃ BTC/USDT Perp Funding Rate
Positive & increasing funding = heavy long side โ Potential squeeze
Neutral funding = healthy breakout
Negative funding = breakout might be fueled by short covering
๐ Market Tone:
BTC continues to show strong buyer interest, but resistance pockets remain.
Trade mechanically. Donโt chase candles. Let structure confirm itself.
BTC/USD Price Framework Based on Structure and Liquidity๐ฏ BTC/USD Professional Trading Setup | Bitcoin vs US Dollar Analysis
๐ฐ CRYPTO MARKET PROFIT PATHWAY SETUP (Day/Swing Trade)
๐ ASSET OVERVIEW
Trading Pair: BTC/USD (Bitcoin vs US Dollar)
Market: Cryptocurrency
Trade Type: Day Trading / Swing Trading
Strategy: Thief Layer Entry System (Multiple Limit Orders)
๐ฅ TRADE PLAN: BULLISH BIAS
๐ฏ ENTRY STRATEGY - "THIEF LAYERING METHOD"
This strategy utilizes multiple limit orders to capture optimal entry zones. You can enter at ANY price level, but recommended layer entries:
๐ Bull Limit Layer Entries:
Layer 1: $92,000
Layer 2: $93,000
Layer 3: $94,000
Layer 4: $95,000
Note: You can increase/decrease layers based on your risk appetite and capital allocation
๐จ TARGET ZONE - "POLICE FORCE RESISTANCE"
๐ฏ Primary Target: $105,000
Technical Reasoning:
Simple Moving Average (SMA) acting as strong resistance
Overbought conditions expected at this level
Correlation with traditional market resistance zones
Trap zone for late entries - ideal profit-taking area
โ ๏ธ Disclaimer: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's), I'm NOT recommending you set ONLY my TP. This is YOUR trade - take profits at YOUR own risk and comfort level! ๐ช
๐ STOP LOSS - "THIEF PROTECTION ZONE"
๐ Stop Loss: $89,000
โ ๏ธ Disclaimer: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's), I'm NOT recommending you set ONLY my SL. Risk management is PERSONAL - protect your capital at YOUR own discretion! ๐ก๏ธ
๐ CORRELATED PAIRS TO WATCH
Monitor these pairs for correlation signals and market confirmation:
ETH/USD (Ethereum) - $3,200-$3,500 range
Key Point: ETH typically follows BTC momentum with 70-80% correlation. Strong ETH moves confirm BTC direction.
SPX/USD (S&P 500) - Watch $5,900-$6,000 levels
Key Point: Risk-on sentiment in equities = bullish crypto flow. Inverse correlation during risk-off.
DXY (US Dollar Index) - Monitor 108-110 range
Key Point: Inverse correlation - Weak dollar = Strong BTC. Dollar strength = BTC pressure.
GOLD/USD (XAU/USD) - $2,650-$2,700 zone
Key Point: Both are "alternative assets" - Gold strength indicates inflation hedge demand, bullish for BTC.
NDX/USD (NASDAQ 100) - Tech correlation
Key Point: BTC trades like a risk asset - Strong NASDAQ = Bullish crypto sentiment.
๐ฐ FUNDAMENTAL & ECONOMIC FACTORS
๐ CURRENT ECONOMIC LANDSCAPE (Real-Time Considerations)
๐ด Key Factors Influencing BTC/USD:
๐ฆ Federal Reserve Policy
Current Fed stance on interest rates (January 2026)
Monetary policy direction impacts risk assets
Watch FOMC meeting minutes and statements
๐ Inflation Data (CPI/PPI)
High inflation = BTC bullish (inflation hedge narrative)
Low inflation = Possible risk-off, pressure on crypto
Next CPI release dates are critical
๐ต US Dollar Strength (DXY)
Strong dollar = Bearish for BTC (inverse correlation)
Weak dollar = Bullish for BTC
Current DXY trending near multi-month highs/lows
๐๏ธ Regulatory Environment
SEC crypto regulation developments
Bitcoin ETF flows and institutional adoption
Global crypto legislation updates
โก Bitcoin-Specific Fundamentals
Hash rate and network security
Exchange inflows/outflows (whale movements)
Mining difficulty adjustments
Institutional accumulation patterns
๐
UPCOMING NEWS EVENTS TO WATCH
US Economic Data: GDP, Employment reports, Retail sales
Fed Speeches: Any commentary from Powell or voting members
Crypto Regulations: SEC announcements, ETF decisions
Global Risk Events: Geopolitical tensions affecting risk appetite
Tech Earnings: Major tech companies (correlate with BTC sentiment)
โก TECHNICAL CONFLUENCE
โ
Bullish Indicators:
Layer entry zones align with demand areas
SMA resistance provides clear target structure
Risk/Reward ratio favorable with defined SL/TP
โ ๏ธ Risk Considerations:
Overbought conditions at target zone
Potential trap for late entries above $105K
Macro economic headwinds could shift sentiment
๐ก THIEF OG'S PHILOSOPHY
๐ฏ "Make Money, Take Money, Manage Risk"
This isn't financial advice - it's a technical framework for disciplined traders. Your capital, your rules, your responsibility!
๐ Trade smart, layer entries, respect the plan, and let the market pay you!
๐ ENGAGEMENT CALL
๐ Like if this setup resonates!
๐ฌ Comment your entry layers and targets!
๐ Share with fellow Thief OG's!
โญ Follow for more professional crypto setups!
๐ Good luck, Thief OG's! May the profits be with you! ๐๐
Bitcoin to see short term bounce, but downside Bias remainsBitcoin remains supported by ascending weekly trend line which combines with the 38.2% fibonacci retracement on the recent upswing. With that said, we cannot overlook the fact that the recent highs aligned with bearish RSI divergence. As such, we will look for at least a 3 wave swing lower before a return to highs at the end of 2026-2027.
Building a Bitcoin MONSTER Trade | Here's My Trade Plan Weโre continuing our BTC Bitcoin Monster Trade ๐๐, building on existing positions and getting ready for Bitcoinโs next potential move ๐๐ฐ.
In this video, we break down the Monster Trade strategy, exploring its benefits and how it could be a life-changing opportunity when you catch a higher time frame trend reversal with an extended target ๐ง โก.
We cover price action, market structure, and the multiple trade strategy, plus risk management techniques and the rules of engagement for opening your next position ๐ก๏ธ๐.
Not financial advice.
Bitcoin Macro Head & Shoulders - Right Shoulder Then DropIn similar fashion to the 2021 H&S that preceded the BEAR Market...
Bitcoin is now forming the Right Shoulder of a new Head & Shoulders pattern as we can see in this Monthly chart.
Also in this chart down below, the monthly MACD has crossed over and into Bearish territory, just like we used to confirm the last market cycle cop in January 2021.
On the daily chart, Bitcoin has been forming a Bear Flag pattern, so this recent push up to test the $98k - $100k range, is likely the final push, before heading lower.
Using any 'order block detector' you can also see heavy seller pressure (limit orders) there.
So the most likely near-term scenario is for Bitcoin to hang around this zone, while select altcoins rally a bit, then drop down into the Bear Flag channel, and ultimely fail.
The measured move for the Bear Flag is right at $74k-$75k, which is a likely strong support.
Or we could see a deeper drop, based on the measured move from the H&S pattern which is pointing to around $62k which many others are calling for.
Remembering past Bull markets, Bitcoin has retraced 50% which would be $62k from the recent ATH of $126k.
Today also, Coinbase withdrew from the Clarity Act, signalling that may not be signed in 2026.
War Fears, Economic Fears, Credit Fears, Currency Devaluation, and Liquidity issues all point to a recessionary deflationary period before markets likely recover later this year.
ATH is still possible by Q3 / Q4 once regulatory clarity, liquidity, and QE start in earnest.
Should be an interesting year!
Is Our Bitcoin Monster Trade Really Shaping Up? So Far So Good.In the last two videos, weโve been tracking this potential monster trade ๐๐.
In this video, we take it to the next stage ๐.
So far, everything is looking solid โ
โ weโre securing profits ๐ฐ, however the next level is a bit more delicate โ ๏ธ as price is now trading into a key resistance zone. A deeper pullback is definitely possible from here.
Either way, hereโs a full breakdown of the charts and my current analysis ๐๐ง .
Bitcoin Aligns With Bullish Trend Metrics โ Whatโs Next?๐ BTC/USD โ Bitcoin vs Tether | Bullish Profit Pathway (Day/Swing) ๐
Asset: BTCUSD โ Bitcoin vs Tether (Realtime live price feed) ๐
โ
Bullish Setup Confirmed
Bullish trend confirmed with Hull Moving Average breakout โ structure shift on higher timeframes. Momentum signals showing accumulation near support zones. ๐ข
๐ฏ Trading Plan โ Entry (Layer Strategy)
Thief strategy: A layered limit entry style method (multi-limit entries):
โ
Layer 1: ~93,000
โ
Layer 2: ~94,000
โ
Layer 3: ~95,000
โก๏ธ Add additional layers as per your risk profile and real-time order flow.
Why layering? Better average price, less slippage, more control over drawdowns.
๐ Target & Notes
๐น Primary Target: ~99,000 โ key resistance & overbought trap zone ๐
๐น Monitor reaction at overhead supply / previous swing highs.
๐น Lock partial profits into reaction zones โ donโt be greedy, protect capital.
๐น Important: You choose your own TP & RR (risk/reward) depending on your play style.
๐ Stop Loss
๐ฅ Thief SL Zone: ~92,000
โก๏ธ This is a structural invalidation level for this bullish scenario.
โ
Adjust based on your risk tolerance โ your risk, your money.
๐ Pairs to Watch & Correlations ๐
๐ ETH/USD (Ethereum) โ often correlated with BTC swings โ if ETH breaks key structure, BTC bias can extend.
๐ BTC/USDT & BTC/EUR โ cross-pairs reveal strength vs USD/dollar index behaviour.
๐ S&P 500 / NASDAQ Indexes โ crypto sentiment often mirrors risk asset flows.
๐ Technical Levels / Key Zones
โ Support Range: 90,000โ92,500 โ critical accumulation band. ๐
โ Resistance โ watch reactions near 99,000+ and breakout extension zones.
โ EMAs / MACD / RSI โ confirm entry and momentum continuation. ๐
๐ Fundamental & Macro Factors โ Real-Time News (London Time)
๐ฐ Inflation & CPI Impact: BTC rallied through ~$92k after U.S. CPI inflation held lower, sparking renewed Fed rate-cut expectations โ supportive for risk assets like Bitcoin.
๐ฐ Safe-Haven Demand: Softer US inflation + geopolitical tensions are boosting Bitcoin demand near $95k.
๐ฐ Institutional Demand: ETF inflows & broader institutional traction continue to underpin structural support.
๐ Upcoming Watchlist:
๐ FOMC / Fed rate announcements โ major macro driver.
๐ U.S. CPI / PPI releases.
๐ Dollar Index (DXY) movement โ inversely influences BTC sentiment.
๐ ETF flow reports & regulatory headlines.
๐ Risk Management Reminder
โ ๏ธ This idea is educational โ do your own analysis (DYOR). Manage position sizing and risk per your plan.
๐ Discipline > Emotion. Keep a trading journal.
๐ Happy trading Thief OGโs โ let the charts speak. ๐
Quick Bitcoin DAILY Bullish moves continue, now testing support
Strong moves by Bitcoin so far this week and potential for more.
PA is taking a breather ,as it needs to and will come back down and test that Dotted line as support. This same Trend line was used in September 2024 to push Bitcoin up to New Highs.
This 4 hour chart shows us more detail
Would be SO VERY Bullish for PA to come back here and test that line as support and hold it.....
Can it do that?
My opinion is YES but we do have some very strong resistance over head, in many forms.
It maybe Good if PA sits on top of this line for a while....And it may do so, as it cools off.
The Daily RSI
RSI not over bought yet but in an area that shows RSI could do with Cooling and it has turned down slightly...It may continue to do so.
The Daily MACD
This is one I am watching CLOSE>
See that descending line that has rejected MACD twice already.
It may do that again....and as we get nearer the end of the month, I am wondering which way this will go
The Month candle is currently Green and is statistically, likely to remain that way, However, this could change very easily should we loose this line and PA looses the Bulish sentiment.
So, remain Alert and have a plan.
Quick Bitcoin Update- 4 hour chart shows PA is STUCK
Bulls once again rejected off that Long Term line
Maybe the Bulls allowed this till we get the USa inflation figures later today
The 4 hour MACD shows plenty of room to move higher
Same story on the 4 hour RSI
And despite a this short term Bullish possibilities, I do remind you, we may only be repeating what happened in 2021 after the Nov ATH, where we Went down, had a push higher, just before dropping lower.
That may not happen again, we simply do not know BUT it is a Very good idea to be ready for all occasions
This weekly Bitcoin chart is a simple version of that
There are so many more similarities... but here, see how the 50 SMA ( RED) began turning down after the ATH as PA crossed it.....The same has happened again.
But, this time, PA is nearer the 100 SMA ( BLUE ) and using t as support.
So, we still wait for PA to move higher, just be ready incase it does not remain higher......
Quick Bitcoin Daily & 4 Hour- remains Bullish with Wall overhead
The Daily chart shows us how PA has used the Fib Circles and how we are heading towards another one in the near Future that may, as mentioned yesterday, push PA into a Squeeze with the an apex around end of month...The 4.618 Fib Extension is the horizontal line, that has been acting as support.
PA Always reacts before the Apex and this move may have begun.
The 4 hour shows more
On this chart we see that the Fib circle will be met around the 91K - 93K mark
This 4 hour chart shows us how PA is also fighting this Trend line.
That Blue line has been long term support and we are up against it right now, trying to turn it back into support. THIS is the Wall we need to Get over.
As you can see, that blue line has been Support a LONG time and the fact we lost it is a little worrying.
We need to get this Back....
Important times ahead.
BTC short term resistance $92,246 (Binance 4H), support 91,060 Bitcoin short term resistance is at $92,246 on Binance according to 4H Supertrend indicator.
BTC tried to get through yesterday twice, but failed both times.
If Bitcoin falls through $91,060, it will flash a bearish signal on the 1H chart.
Parabolic SAR: sell
EMA Cross 15/50: buy
Supertrend: sell
Stoch RSI: sell
MACD: buy
Bitcoin Daily update - support retest failed but all not lost
PA came back down to retest the previous resistance and it failed as support.
Bulls have caught the fall for now and we wait to see what happens today.
PA currently sitting on a line of Support on the VRVP
That is a shorter term 4 hour chart showing more details for the near term
The Orange dash line is the Value Area High. Hopefully this wil hold.
Below that, we have the POC, Point of Control at 87500 area.
The 4 hour MACD
We can see the MACD has fallen below neutral and the histogram shows that fall not enfing soon. Lets see what happens when IF the Red signal line hits neutral.
The Daily MACD
We can also see the daily MACD turning over a little as the Histogram has turned white for 2 days
A lot points towards PA maybe dropping back to the High to Mid 80K mark but I think we may see that reversed a little today.
We Just have to wait and See.....
Time always Tells
Is Bitcoin Repeating the 2021 Post ATH sequence ? - Possibly
I first posted this chart last year, highlighting how PA has some similarities with the 2021 ATH Runs.
A Quick Recap, Both 2021 and now have an early ATH, a retreat, a push higher to a New ATH and then a deeper Dive.
Both had Divergences in play
Both the 2021 and 2025 ATH's are within the 0 to 0.236 Fib retracement Fib lines.
From the First ATH to the Low of the retreat, Both went to the 236 Fib line before pushing to a new ATH
We do have to wait and see if this does play out again but what is interesting is that the ATH to next high in 2021 / 2022 was 147 days
Should this happen again, that puts us around beginning of March.....which is a Moment of interest on a number of charts, with a price range around 95K - 105K usd
The Crucial point in this PA is IF the 236 Fib lines gets broken or not.
Should this happen, where would we go ?
Impossible to say for sure but we should all remember the pressure and rising interest rates that were applied in the FIAT banking system , that rekt many large influential Companies and the stupidity of FTX.
These things applied negative pressure to Bitcoina nd Crypto, driving the Bear deeper.
Providing this does not happen again, we may stop at the 382 Fib line, around 54K - 57K but that is My assumption and I will have to react if we get there...
For now, I am watching that 236 Fib line around 77K USD as a trigger line.
And the 95K - 105K usd as a Rejection area.
Time will Tell






















