Bitcoin Daily - Near by lines of support and possible targets
Some short term Bearish and Bullish odeas.
That red "line" near current PA is a 236 Fib circle and, as you will know if you been reading my posts, These Often provide Downside.
As a result, I am looking to see a price near or slightly below 100K before a turn around.
That would bring us to the 2.236 Fib Extension line.
Should that fail, 96K is the next line that should hold
The Daily MACD also supports a further drop
MACD just turned Bearish above neutral line. It may find support on the Neutral line for a shorter term bounce.
The RSI may support the idea of a push back
We can see that the RSI has stopped dropping and so this may indicate a reversal is about to play out.
We have to watch and wait.
This time next week is the last day of September.
The Month Candle needs to close GREEN to keep Bullish sentiment. It is currently Still Green.
A Red Close and things would certainly appear to be a little more Bearish.
October is a predominantly more Bullish month normaly.
This next week should see a bounce if we are in a bullish run still.
However, as mentioned above, there is still room on that green Candle for a Dip Lower.
Or we may close Green, The Dip and then push higher.
So many options.
Bitcoinmarkets
Bitcoin Price Prediction: Will BTC Hit $119K Next?Bitcoin Price Prediction: Will BTC Hit $119K Next?
Bitcoin’s journey has been nothing less than a roller coaster, marked by dramatic rises and sharp falls. As of late, the cryptocurrency has seen fluctuations influenced heavily by broader economic signals, particularly the policy decisions from the United States Federal Reserve. The latest buzz in the crypto community revolves around whether Bitcoin can breach a new milestone of $119,000. This speculation is fueled by recent shifts in the market and macroeconomic policies that could either propel or hinder this ascent.
Current Market Overview
Key Resistance and the $118K Threshold
Bitcoin currently faces a significant resistance level at $118,000. This figure is not just a random high point; it represents a critical psychological and technical barrier. A break above this level could signal a strong bullish momentum, potentially setting the stage for reaching new heights. The resistance has formed due to various factors including profit-taking, historical resistance levels, and speculative trading behaviors.
The Role of the US Federal Reserve
The Federal Reserve's policies, particularly interest rate cuts, have a profound impact on investment in risk assets like cryptocurrencies. Lower interest rates generally decrease the yield on safer investments like bonds, making higher-risk investments more attractive. The anticipation around the Fed's decisions can lead to increased volatility in the Bitcoin market.
Liquidity and Market Sentiment
The liquidity in the Bitcoin market, evidenced by the influx of both buy and sell orders, plays a crucial role in its price movements. High liquidity leads to less price manipulation and more stability, whereas low liquidity can lead to higher volatility. Currently, the market is witnessing substantial liquidity, indicating active participation from both retail and institutional investors.
Factors Influencing Bitcoin's Price Trajectory
Institutional Adoption
One of the primary drivers behind Bitcoin’s potential rise to $119K is the increasing adoption by institutional investors. As more firms enter the market, their substantial buying power can significantly push the price upwards. This adoption also adds legitimacy to Bitcoin, encouraging more cautious investors to dip their toes in the crypto waters.
Technological Advances
Improvements in blockchain technology and the introduction of new features can also influence Bitcoin's price. For instance, enhancements in scalability and security can make Bitcoin more attractive to both investors and users.
Regulatory Environment
Regulations play a pivotal role in shaping the cryptocurrency landscape. Positive regulatory developments, or lack of negative ones, could boost investor confidence and push the price of Bitcoin higher.
Economic Indicators and Market Sentiments
Inflation and the Dollar Index
Inflation levels and the strength of the dollar also influence Bitcoin’s value. Typically, Bitcoin has been seen as a hedge against inflation. A weaker dollar often makes Bitcoin more attractive to international buyers, potentially pushing its price up.
Sentiment Analysis
Market sentiment, driven by news and social media, significantly impacts Bitcoin’s price. Positive news can lead to fear of missing out (FOMO), driving the price up, while negative news can trigger panic selling.
Technical Analysis and Future Predictions
Chart Patterns and Indicators
From a technical standpoint, Bitcoin has shown resilience by bouncing back from several corrections. The formation of a bullish flag pattern, combined with strong support levels being tested and held, suggests upward momentum.
Predictive Models
Various predictive models based on historical price data, market cycles, and external economic factors suggest a bullish outlook for Bitcoin. These models often incorporate elements like stock-to-flow ratios which have been historically accurate in predicting Bitcoin’s long-term price movements.
Expert Opinions
Many industry experts and analysts have weighed in on Bitcoin’s potential to hit $119K. While opinions vary, the prevailing sentiment is cautiously optimistic, contingent on market conditions and macroeconomic factors remaining favorable.
Conclusion
The question of whether Bitcoin will reach $119K is complex and laden with variables. Key factors include Federal Reserve policies, market liquidity, institutional investment, and broader economic indicators. While the short-term journey may be volatile, the long-term outlook for Bitcoin remains bullish, with many paths potentially leading to new all-time highs. As always in the crypto world, only time will tell, but the signs are promising for those betting on Bitcoin’s success.
Bitcoin Global / Local Fib Levels point to the TOP area to watch
Each Low to ATH has a "Local" Fib extension Set
And the Yellow Fib extension is from the 2011 Low to the 2013 ATH and I use this as a "Global" Fib as that was, in reality, the first ever Low to ATH before a sustained draw back.
Please Note that as Candles would not show very clearly at this scale, I have used a Line. This has some inaccuracy as to true candle Ends. As a result, it looks like some Fibs are misplaced but I assure you, each are placed accurately, using candles and then the Line is used.
The Fibs are accuratly placed.
Local Fib extension ATH Fib number
2013 November - 5.272
2017 December - 4.236
2021 November - 2
2025 Current just above 2.618
Global Fib extension ATH number
NOTE- See on chart how ATH is just above this Fib level, except for Fib 1.
2013 November - 1
2017 December- 1.414
2021 November - 1.618
2025 Current Fib just below 1,758 - if we follow trend, I expect ATH to be using this 1.768 line, the next in sequence of Fib numbers.
Local Fib charts
2011 low to 2013 ATH
2015 low to 2017 ATH
2019 low to 2021 ATH
2023 low to current position
To me, there are a number of things to see here.
More than anything, what is plain to see is how Bitcoin has used the Global Fib numbers like stepping Stones. Currently just below the 1.768, which is the next in sequence. ( Yellow lines )
All but the First ATH were recorded just above the Global Fib lines ( the First was on the line ) and I have little doubt we will do this again.
And if we look at the pattern of the Local Fib lines, we can see that we missed the 3.236 line in 2021
We went from 5 to 4 to 2. ( ignoring the 236 bit for now.)
We missed 3
See how the first 2 Local Fibs dropped by nearly one complete Fib number, from 5.272 to 4.236
By the time we headed towards the 2021 ATH, the market accelerated hugely, mostly due to the idea of Get Rich quick and no tax rules..GREED WAS UPMOST.
Even at the time, I considered this cycle Abnormal. Many charts show why, and I will not expand further here.
The Local Fib level for that run was distorted by the swift recovery from the low in 2019.
While this was not a bad thing, it changed the cycle dynamics.
This cycle, currently, we have returned to a more sensible approach and we appear to be heading to the 3 local Fib zone, maybe as we should have done in 2021.
This also happens to be just above the 1.768 Global Fib line, The next expected Global ATH line.
So, we are currently approaching that 1.7668 Global Fib line and we can expect the ATH to be above this, if we follow the previous 2 ATH.
And if we go above that Global line the same as we have in the last 2 previous cycles, we find the Local 3 Fib extension.
IF we were to follow previous, this could be expected ro be the 3.236, at around 190K
I think this is doubtful and maybe the 3 itself is more realistic at 155K
So, there you have it.
Bitcoin and its Fibs have a pattern, it get broken and it looks like it is trying to regain that pattern.
And this is all done by Humans trading........
Astounding.
and that 2 Global Fin line in 2029 ? Will we get there ?
Given the introductions of ETF and Corprate Long term holders....Will we see a bear market before we rech that 2 Global Fib ?
So many questions...
One real answer is BUY BITCOIN AND HOLD ON TO IT
Bitcoin - It is bullish either way!💎Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) still remains bullish:
🔎Analysis summary:
Yes, over the past couple of days we have been seeing a quite negative correction on Bitcoin. However, looking at the higher timeframe, Bitcoin remains totally bullish. So even if Bitcoin continues with the recent correction, it would ultimately result in a bullish all time high break and retest.
📝Levels to watch:
$60.000
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Bitcoin Price History Says BTC Needs To Crash 8% To Form New ATHAt the time of writing, Bitcoin trades at $112,221, holding firm above the $110,000 support. This resilience reinforces the four-month uptrend line and signals potential short-term gains. The momentum is intact, with BTC eyeing higher levels.
If sustained, Bitcoin could climb past $112,500 and head toward $115,000. Yet to reach a new ATH, history suggests BTC might need to drop to $101,634 first, setting the stage for a stronger breakout.
On the flip side, if profit-taking escalates, BTC could slip toward the retracement level sooner. But should fear-driven selling dominate, the price risks falling below $100,000, which would invalidate the bullish outlook and extend the correction phase.
BTC/USDT Crypto Heist - Bullish Breakout Blueprint!🔥 Thief Trading Style: BTC/USDT Bullish Heist Plan 🔥
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📊 Trade Setup: The Heist Plan
- Market: BTC/USDT (Crypto) 🌐
- Bias: Bullish Breakout 🌟
- Timeframe: 1D (Swing Trade) ⏰
Entry 📈:
- Breakout Entry: Wait for a clean breakout above the Moving Average (MA) at 108000. Place Buy Stop orders just above 108000 to seize the momentum. 🚀
- Pullback Entry: For lower-risk entries, set Buy Limit orders at the recent 15M/30M swing low (e.g., 105000-106000) to catch pullbacks. 📍
- Trader Tip: Set a TradingView alert for the 108000 breakout to stay ahead of the move! 🔔
Stop Loss 🛑:
- Breakout Traders: After the breakout confirms, place your Stop Loss below the recent 1D swing low at 96000 to guard against reversals. ⚠️
- Pullback Traders: Tailor your Stop Loss to your risk appetite (e.g., 1-2% of account). Adjust based on lot size and multiple orders. 📏
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Target 🎯:
- Aim for 122000, near the risky Red Zone (an overbought area prone to consolidation or reversal). 🏴☠️
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- Stick to Long-side scalps with tight trailing stops. Join swing traders for the full heist or scalp quick moves if your capital allows. 💰
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📡 Why This Heist Has Potential
BTC/USDT is in a neutral trend with strong bullish prospects, driven by:
- Technicals: A breakout above the 108000 MA, backed by higher lows on the 1D chart, signals robust momentum. 📊
- Fundamentals: Institutional buying and positive crypto sentiment (check COT reports) fuel upside potential. 📰
- Seasonal Trends: Bitcoin often rallies in Q2, aligning with our setup. 📅
- Intermarket Factors: USD weakness and altcoin strength could lift BTC higher. 🌎
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⚠️ Risk Management: Secure Your Gains
- News Caution: Skip new trades during major news events (e.g., CPI, FOMC) to avoid volatility spikes. 🗞️
- Trailing Stops: Use trailing Stop Loss to lock in profits as price nears 122000. 🔒
- Position Sizing: Limit risk to 1-2% of your account per trade for a safe heist. 🚨
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BTC Triangle Squeeze: Next Stop $116K?Bitcoin is currently consolidating inside a symmetrical triangle, a classic squeeze that often precedes a strong breakout 💥. Price is building pressure with higher lows and lower highs, waiting for confirmation.
✅ Bullish Confluences:
Price is respecting triangle support and holding the structure.
Fibonacci retracement shows potential upside continuation.
Momentum is shifting after a prolonged corrective move.
🎯 Fibonacci Upside Targets:
🌟38.2% – $112,876
🌟61.8% – $114,195
🌟100% – $116,329
⚠️ Invalidation / Stop-Loss Zone:
If price breaks below $107,000 – $105,000, the bullish setup is invalidated ❌.
As long as BTC stays inside the triangle and above key support, the squeeze favors a bullish breakout
Quick Bitcoin Daily SMa update - PA getting rejected
As you can se, PA is getting rejected off the 50 SMA ( red)
If this rejection is confirmed, this could create a double Top and may push PA back down to create a Lower Low.
Watch this closely, it could turn if the bulls step in.
Just be Very cautious right now.
oshorter term 4 hour MACD is showing us that MACD did cross above the signal line however, this could turn down quickly as it did over on the left of the chart
Caution is advisable
Bitcoin Daily SMA update- trend line tested and heldThis chart uses the SMA, Simple Moving Average
Red = 50, Blue = 100, Green = 128, Yellow = 200
As expected, PA came down and tested the trend line that has rejected PA since 13 August and has since bounced back up.
We will have to wait and see but this may have created a Higher Low as PA rose and now sits on the 100 as support.
Should PA continue to rise from here, the 50 SMA at 113254 is the line of resistance we Need to cross and test. This would then give is a Higher High.
After that, the next Higher High will be at a price after 119
Should PA get rejected, the 128 SMA is at 108995 and then the previous Low is at 107165
The Daily MACD seems to have Crossed above its signal line
This is "only Just " and so we wait to see where it goes form here but we are certainly looking Bullish in a longer term as Bulls show us they can respond.
The 4 hour BTC PA chart
This chart makes me a little cautious for now, waiting for confirmation of this move higher,
See how that 2nd Green candle after the bounce, came up and got rejected off the 100 SMA and the current candle is having the same problem.
We do seem to have support on the 50 SMA
PA is currently in a tight range above, with the SMA's very tight.
It is easier for PA to Drop from here so today could be a battle.
The 4 hour MACD is also at a point of crossing
The MACD here has NOT yet crossed the signal line and so we wait, watching to see what happens.
The Histogram shows positive momentum.
It should be remembered that we have the USA calling the possibility of Rate cuts this month.
If the FED goes against the grain, this could be damaging and should the FED decide to cut rates, we are off to the races.
This month is Pivotal.
Long term still Bullish, short term undecided..remaining Bullish CAUTIOUS
BTCUSD 1D Bitcoin making new climbing plansAfter the summer correction Bitcoin is once again showing strength.
The chart is shaping a rising channel and the pullback to the 108500 support worked textbook-style.
Moreover, a breakout above 113000 will open the way directly to 125000.
Volume profile supports the buyers’ side while the price action looks like a healthy pause before the next impulse.
Fundamentally the backdrop stays bullish with institutional flows into ETFs and Fed rate cuts still on the table for year-end.
The irony is that while many were waiting for 94k or lower Bitcoin just secured its rope and started climbing higher.
Bitcoin Daily SMA UPDATE This daily chart uses the SMA, Simple Moving Average
Red = 50, Blue = 100, Green = 128, Yellow = 200
PA got rejected yesterday from its rise over the 100 SMA and is currently testing that as support on a Daily chart.
If that fails, we could see PA retreat down to around 108900, where we have the 128 SMA and the descending line of resistance.
This line has not been tested as support yet.
As we can see on the chart, if this rejection continues down past 107165, we will have printed a Lower high, pointing towards continued price drops. with the 200 SMA at 104348
The Daily MACD has reached up to its Signal line
This could also be a point of rejection, keep your eye on this
The 4 Hour BTC PA chart shows us more near term detail
PA is currently testing the 50 as support after getting rejected from the 128 and falling through the 100.
If this fails, we can see PA will bump into the trend line, around 108900 - 108500.
To many extents, this would be a good move providing we then found support and bounced higher as it would create a Higher Low.
The 4 hour MACD
MACD has turned down and heading towards its signal line.
This may offer support but it will continue down Bearish if PA does reach down to the trend line.
Note how the Histogram has descending sharply.
Today we must sit and wait
For me, I think we could see the 109k - 108k area tested at some point over the next few days.
Maybe sooner than later
Bitcoin Daily SMA UPDATE
This daily chart uses the SMA, Simple Moving Average
Red = 50, Blue = 100, Green = 128, Yellow = 200
Yesterday, PA broke through the descending line of resistance it had been under since 13 August.
As yet, this does not mean PA will now rise, though on a daily chart, the MACD certainly has the room to move higher, as seen below
However, given where we are in a traditionaly quiet month, I do still see PA sliding down this line in the bear future...testing it as support
This maybe supported by the fact that the shorter term 4 Hour MACD has Crossed Neutral but the Hitogram is showing White bars and not Green. This shows a weakening and the MACD line moving closer to the red signal line.
The Daily RSI is also turning over but remains above its MA for now
So for now, we see PA has broken over the Daily 100 SMA and is testing as support.
Above, we have the 50 at 113300
This could be the next line of resistance if PA rises now.
Should PA turn down now, we have the 100 SMA at 110762.
Below that , the 128 sits at 108194
To remain above that descending trend line, we need to Range in the area we currently are in and stay above that 100SMA at 110K for at least the next 24 hours
If we look at the Bitcoin 4 hour chart, we see this maybe possible
PA sits in a very tight range between the 50 and the 100 4 hour SMA and is currently sitting on the VRVP Point of control ( red dotted line )
This is all support but we have to wait and see if it remains so.
There is Very little action trading right now...we just waiting.
Bitcoin Monthly Candle Colour closes since 2013 - August Close
August closed RED and so now we have 10 red closes to 5 Green.
This has closed the possibility of continuing the pattern we had been following.
The Dashed line Boxes show us The only 2 occasions where we have had a Green December, Red January, Red February, Green March, Green April.
Then we had a Green May 2012 and a Red May 2020
Then both repeated a Green June, Green July.
They both also had had Green August but we just closed Red.
This breaks this sequence for me but I will keep the boxes in place for now just incase we revert back to Sequence.
The horizontal arrows are pointing to the previous 9 Red August Closes.
Where you see 2 Arrows is where this was followed by a Green September. This happened 4 times.
Note those double arrows on the left are in the 2016 build up to 2017 ATH and the ones on the right are in the Current cycle.
September Candle close count is currently is 5 Green to 9 Red, the same as August was.
Of those 5 Green September closes, 4 were after a Red August.
The other Green September was in the 2020 run up to the March 2021 ATH ( Middle dashed box)
Odds are on for a Red September as we see Bitcoin falling below some serious support levels but we should also note how PA is remaining above the 100k line for now.
August and September are traditionally months of Holidays and so trading slows, hence the majority of Red candles
Q4 is the ones to wait for and as you can see from the colour counts, Q4 is usually Bullish
We wait - we Hold and if PA Drops to the possible 104K line where the 200 day SMA sits, I will Buy More.
Scale in
BTC/USDT Analysis. Testing a key low
Hello everyone! This is CryptoRobotics trader-analyst with the daily market analysis.
Yesterday, a strong market seller emerged in Bitcoin, pushing the price lower. The local zone at ~$112,000 (abnormal cluster) provided only minimal reaction.
At the moment, we have already tested the local low. Now we need to wait for a buyer’s response. If strong activity appears, the main upside potential is towards $114,400–$115,500 (volume zone). If there is no reaction, the first downside target is around $107,000.
We have updated the global buying zone on the daily chart, now defined as $108,000–$102,500. As long as the price does not consolidate below this range, the broader trend can still be considered bullish.
Buy zones:
$108,000–$102,500 (accumulated volumes).
Sell zones:
$112,400–$113,300 (local volume zone),
$114,400–$115,500 (volume zone),
~$116,500 (volume anomaly),
$117,200–$119,000 (accumulated volumes),
$121,200–$122,200 (buying absorption).
This publication does not constitute financial advice.
BITCOIN Bearish Breakout!
HI,Traders !
#BITCOIN made an epic
Bearish breakout of a very
Strong key horizontal level
Of 112340.5which is now a
Resistance and the breakout
Is confirmed so we are
Bearish biased and we will
Be expecting a further
Bearish move down !
Comment and subscribe to help us grow !






















