ETH.D : 5-Wave Bull Run Over –Bitcoin to Outshine EthereumeEthereum Dominance (ETH.D) has completed a textbook 5-wave impulsive rally on the weekly timeframe, signaling the end of its upward cycle and entry into a deep corrective phase. As of August , ETH.D at 13.37% is rejecting the key order block at ~14%, hinting at weakening momentum. This shift favors Bitcoin's outperformance, as capital rotates from ETH to BTC, potentially boosting BTC/ETH ratio and Bitcoin returns during the downturn.
NeoWave Wave Count (Daily Chart):
The rally from ~10.5% lows unfolded in 5 waves: Wave 1 to ~11.41%, Wave 2 correction to ~10.11%, Wave 3 extended to ~13.97% (161.8% of Wave 1), Wave 4 shallow to ~13.32%, and Wave 5 topping at 13.97% with the 1.618 Fib extension (1.141%).
Monowave count (~55-70 subwaves) validates the impulse, with alternation (Wave 2 deep/time-extended, Wave 4 shallow/short). The ascending channel (yellow) has been touched multiple times, and the recent rejection confirms exhaustion.
Weekly Chart Insight:
On the weekly TF, ETH.D has hit a major order block at ~14% (1.425%), not the channel top, coinciding with the 1.618 Fib extension from 2023 lows and historical resistance from 2018 highs (~52%). This multi-year descending channel holds firm, with price failing to break the OB—suggesting reversal to midline ~12.5% or lower (38.2%-50% Fib retrace of rally).
Why Bitcoin Outperforms From Here:
As ETH.D corrects (likely a Zigzag or Flat, targeting 11%-12%), Bitcoin gains dominance, driving better returns for BTC holders. Expect BTC/ETH ratio to climb (current ~12.5, target 14-15), with Bitcoin yielding 10-20% superior performance in risk-off environments. If ETH.D drops below 12.5%, correction accelerates to 10% (78.6% Fib), amplifying BTC's edge.
Trade Idea (Bearish ETH.D / Bullish BTC):
Entry: Short ETH.D (or long BTC/ETH pair) below 13.32% on BOS confirmation in weekly.
Targets: TP1 at 12.5% (channel midline), TP2 at 11% (50% Fib).
Stop Loss: Above 14.25% (OB high, R:R ~1:3).
Sizing: 1-2% capital; trail stops on midline breaks. Watch dominance flips—crypto rotations can spark quick BTC pumps.
ETH bulls, pivot to BTC now! #ETHDominance #NeoWave #BitcoinOutperformance #CryptoAnalysis
