BTC/USDT Analysis. Negative News
Hello everyone! This is the CryptoRobotics trader-analyst, and here’s your daily analysis.
Yesterday evening, Bitcoin tested its all-time high. At the time, no major profit-taking was observed; however, starting from midday today, the price sharply moved downward. The drop was triggered by weak U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) data and a statement from the U.S. Treasury Secretary indicating that there are no plans to replenish the country’s Bitcoin reserves through purchases.
As a result, the price tested a local low, stopping just short of the $117,500–$116,000 buy zone (accumulated volumes). For now, it’s important to watch the buyer’s reaction. In any case, based on the current structure, we could see another wave of selling from around $120,000 — where a strong imbalance in both volumes and delta has been recorded — or from the $121,000–$122,200 area (buy absorption).
Entering positions at the moment is not recommended, as the current structure partially conflicts with the volume distribution.
Buy zones:
$117,500–$116,000 (accumulated volumes)
$115,300–$114,000 (accumulated volumes)
Sell zone:
$121,200–$122,200 (buy absorption)
This publication is not financial advice.
Bitcoinprediction
Trading Bitcoin using 15-min TF with 4-hour ConfluenceI am forecasting the price direction for Bitcoin using the price action movement which shed light on the market maker price manipulation and psychology. The current price movement in Bitcoin is bullish and is trading within a upward range on the 15min TF and will confirm the upside to retest the ATH if break above the confluence zone highlighted by the orange color line.
BTC/USDT Analysis — Turning Point
Hello everyone! This is the trader-analyst from CryptoRobotics with your daily market analysis.
Yesterday, Bitcoin tested the mirror resistance at $120,000, showing only a minimal reaction, and then retested $119,000 — the zone where we first saw signs of buying. From there, buying resumed with double the strength.
At the moment, we have tested the sell zone at $121,500–$122,300 (volume zone). Now it’s important to monitor the seller’s reaction, as well as how strongly buyers will re-enter the market. If buying momentum remains weak, the potential downside move could target the local low at $118,000.
Buy Zones:
$117,500–$116,000 (accumulated volumes)
$115,300–$114,000 (accumulated volumes)
Sell Zone:
$121,500–$122,300 (volume zone)
This publication is not financial advice.
BITCOIN PREDICTION: THIS FIBONACCI SPIRAL WILL BLOW YOUR MIND!! Yello Paradisers! I've revealed to you the secret Fibonacci spiral target. We have been going through multi-timeframe analysis as professional traders. We have been going through the high timeframe chart. We have understood that we are trading inside of that ABC zigzag. Right now, we are in the C wave and we are creating the five moves that are upside. That might take us towards $135,000.
We are right now in the first wave of that fifth wave. We are having bullish divergences on the high timeframe chart. All important indicators like stochastic RSI, RSI, and MACD are having bullish signs, and we have successfully reclaimed the volume profile point of control from resistance into support.
Then, we are turning our focus on the medium timeframe. We are again going through the Elliot wave. We are taking a look at the contracting triangle; the deviation there happened, we are seeing the bullish divergence, and we are updating the Fibonacci spiral. Then we are moving our focus to the low timeframe where we are concluding the Elliot wave count of smaller waves and understanding that the fifth one might be extended.
Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable.
Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
Declining 2-Year US Treasury Yields Could Fuel Bitcoin’s BullishThe follow chart is a comparison between Bitcoin CRYPTOCAP:BTC Daily Chart and the US 2 years Treasury Bonds TVC:US02Y .
The graphic shows the 2-year US Treasury yield declining from 3.7684% to 3.7308% on August 12, 2025, following a steep drop after CPI inflation in July stabilized at 2.7%. This underscores market expectations that the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates, driving up demand for bonds as a safe haven asset.
The potential on Short-Term Impact on the Bitcoin Market:
Positive: Falling rates and expectations for rate cuts weaken the US dollar, boosting capital flows into riskier assets such as Bitcoin. BTC may gain in the immediate term, testing the $130,000 resistance level, aided by new liquidity from stablecoins.
Risk: While falling yields can support Bitcoin’s bullish momentum, they may also signal recession fears. If investors interpret the decline as a warning of economic slowdown, BTC could face selling pressure—potentially dropping to $111,939. Volatility remains elevated, especially after the recent liquidation of leveraged long positions. Keep an eye on upcoming economic data for confirmation of market direction.
Bitcoin Near $125K Resistance — Is the Rally Over?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) increased to $120,000 after breaking resistances , as I expected in my previous idea .
Bitcoin has already managed to break the Resistance zone($121,000-$119,000) and is moving near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
According to Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin is completing the 5th major impulse wave . In my opinion, this is the last bullish wave of Bitcoin, and after that we should wait for the main correction of Bitcoin . Do you agree with me that it is time to run and take profit!?
To get a better view of the main waves , I suggest you look at the idea below .
Also, since Bitcoin is correlated with the S&P500 Index ( SP:SPX ) and since I also foresee the possibility of a correction in the S&P500 Index, it is also possible to expect a decrease in the price of Bitcoin based on the S&P500 Index analysis .
I expect Bitcoin to start declining after entering the Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($125,000-$122,580) and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and at least fill the CME Gap($119,100-$117,425) .
Note: There are heavy sell orders around $125,000.
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $120,866-$119,442
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $117,743-$115,452
What is your opinion on Bitcoin and its trend? Can it see $130,000, or will a main correction begin?
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 2-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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BTC/USDT Analysis — Buyer Weakness
Hello everyone! This is the trader-analyst from CryptoRobotics with your daily market analysis.
Yesterday, Bitcoin finally moved into a correction after forming resistance at $121,500–$122,300. There was no reaction at the nearest support around $120,000 (push volumes). Only at $119,000 did buyers attempt to step in — the delta suddenly turned positive — but for now, all buying attempts are being absorbed.
The scenario is currently highly mixed: on the one hand, wave analysis shows we are still in a strong bullish trend; on the other, volume spiked sharply at the top and is being positioned for shorts, while there was also no clear defense at support.
At this stage, we expect further correction either from current levels or after a retest of ~$120,000 (mirror zone). After that, we will watch for the buyer’s reaction at the lower support zone. This scenario will be invalidated if $120,000 is broken without any defense from sellers.
Buy Zones:
$117,500–$116,000 (accumulated volumes)
$115,300–$114,000 (accumulated volumes)
Sell Zones:
~$120,000 (mirror zone)
$121,500–$122,300 (volume zone)
This publication is not financial advice.
Bitcoin Soars Past $122K, But a "Digital Fort Knox" Threat LoomsThe cryptocurrency market is in the throes of a historic rally, a tidal wave of capital and confidence that has propelled Bitcoin beyond the formidable $122,000 mark. Now trading within 1% of its all-time high, the world’s premier digital asset is riding a powerful current shaped by two monumental events: a surprisingly favorable executive order from the White House and a relentless cascade of inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs. This surge has ignited euphoria across the financial world, with even the second-largest cryptocurrency, Ether, touching highs not seen since its 2021 peak.
Yet, beneath the glittering surface of this bull run, a profound and unsettling question is taking shape. As institutional giants and corporate treasuries embrace Bitcoin, some of its most astute observers are sounding an alarm. They warn that this corporate adoption boom is creating a path that looks eerily similar to the one gold traveled in the 20th century—a path that ended with its effective nationalization and centralization in the vaults of Fort Knox. This growing concern posits that Bitcoin’s greatest triumph, its integration into the mainstream financial system, could become its ultimate vulnerability, presenting a new and potent centralization threat that challenges the asset's very soul. The market is now caught between the thrill of unprecedented price discovery and the chilling possibility that it is witnessing the rise of a digital Fort Knox.
The Anatomy of a Rally: A Perfect Bullish Storm
The recent price explosion was not a random event but the result of a powerful confluence of factors that have systematically validated Bitcoin’s role in the global financial landscape. The market sentiment has been overwhelmingly positive, driven by a one-two punch of regulatory encouragement and undeniable institutional demand.
First, a landmark executive order from the White House sent a clear signal that the United States is moving towards a framework of integration rather than opposition for digital assets. The order, widely seen as pro-crypto, has initiated a formal exploration of how to safely incorporate cryptocurrencies into the bedrock of American wealth: 401(k) retirement plans. For years, regulatory uncertainty has been the single greatest barrier holding back a true institutional deluge. This directive acts as a powerful de-risking event, providing a level of clarity and legitimacy that large-scale investors have been desperately seeking. The potential to unlock even a small fraction of the trillions of dollars held in retirement accounts has sent a jolt of optimism through the market, assuring corporations and funds that they are investing in an asset class with a government-acknowledged future.
Second, while the executive order provided the strategic tailwind, the tactical buying pressure has come directly from spot Bitcoin ETFs. These regulated financial products, which allow investors to gain exposure to Bitcoin through a traditional brokerage account, have been an unprecedented success. In a stunning display of demand over the last week, these funds have absorbed hundreds of millions of dollars in net inflows on consecutive days. To issue new shares, these ETFs must purchase the underlying Bitcoin from the open market, creating a massive and constant source of demand. This dynamic acts like a supply shock; as billions of dollars from mainstream investors flow through ETFs to chase a finite number of available coins, the price is algorithmically forced upward. The flow of funds into these products has become one of the most closely watched metrics, serving as a real-time indicator of institutional appetite and a direct driver of price action.
The Ghost of Gold: A Historical Warning for a Digital Age
Even as investors celebrate this new era of institutional acceptance, a chilling historical parallel offers a cautionary tale. The concern, articulated by prominent on-chain analysts, is that Bitcoin’s current trajectory is mirroring the centralization of gold that occurred in the United States, a process that ultimately subjected the precious metal to complete state control.
To grasp the gravity of this comparison, one must look back to President Franklin D. Roosevelt's Executive Order 6102, signed in 1933. Amidst the Great Depression, the order made it illegal for U.S. citizens to privately hold significant amounts of gold coins or bullion, compelling them to turn over their holdings to the Federal Reserve. The stated goal was to stabilize the economy, but the result was the mass transfer of a decentralized monetary asset from the hands of the people into the centralized vaults of the U.S. government. The nation's gold was consolidated, most famously at Fort Knox, giving the state absolute control over the physical supply.
Decades later, in 1971, President Richard Nixon delivered the final blow. With the "Nixon Shock," he unilaterally severed the U.S. dollar's convertibility to gold, effectively ending the Bretton Woods system that had anchored global finance. Having already secured control of the physical asset, the government was then free to change the rules of the system it underpinned.
The argument today is that Bitcoin could face a similar, albeit modern, fate. A 21st-century "nationalization" would not involve government agents seizing hardware wallets. It would be a far more sophisticated and systemic takeover, executed through the very financial instruments and institutions that are currently being praised for driving the bull market. The end result could be a scenario where a significant portion of the Bitcoin supply, while technically on a decentralized network, is effectively controlled by a handful of state-sanctioned entities.
This digital "Fort Knox" could be constructed through several vectors. The majority of Bitcoin purchased by ETFs and large corporations is not held in self-custody. Instead, it is entrusted to a small number of large, regulated custodians. These firms represent centralized points of control. A government could easily exert legal and regulatory pressure on these few custodians, compelling them to freeze, block, or even seize the assets they manage on behalf of millions of investors.
The ETFs themselves are a primary vehicle for this potential centralization. By concentrating hundreds of thousands of Bitcoin under the management of a few powerful financial firms like BlackRock and Fidelity, they make the asset supply vastly easier to regulate and control. It is far more efficient for a state to influence a handful of ETF issuers than to police millions of individual Bitcoin holders around the world.
Finally, the public companies that have famously added Bitcoin to their balance sheets are also part of this equation. As regulated entities, they must comply with government mandates. A state could enact policies that influence or dictate how these systemically important corporate treasuries are managed, effectively bringing them under state influence without ever formally seizing the assets.
Bitcoin’s Inherent Defense: Can Decentralization Hold the Line?
While the historical parallel to gold is compelling and sobering, it is not a perfect one. Bitcoin possesses unique technological attributes that provide a powerful defense against the kind of centralization that befell gold.
The most fundamental defense is the power of self-custody. Unlike gold, which is a physical object that is cumbersome to store and move securely, Bitcoin is pure information. An individual or entity that controls their own private keys holds a sovereign asset that is incredibly difficult to confiscate without their cooperation. This ability to "be your own bank" remains a powerful counter-force to the trend of custodial reliance.
Furthermore, the Bitcoin network is a globally distributed system. Miners, nodes, developers, and users are spread across dozens of countries, operating under a multitude of legal jurisdictions. No single government can unilaterally control the network or dictate its rules. An attempt by one major nation to implement draconian controls would likely trigger a mass exodus of capital and talent to more favorable jurisdictions, a powerful economic disincentive against overreach. The current global competition among nations to become "crypto hubs" demonstrates that governments are aware of this dynamic and are incentivized to create attractive, rather than punitive, regulatory environments.
This tension may ultimately lead to the bifurcation of the Bitcoin market. One tier could consist of the regulated, "paper" Bitcoin—held in ETFs and by public corporations, fully compliant, but subject to the rules and potential control of the traditional financial system. The other tier would be the sovereign, "physical" Bitcoin—held in self-custody by those who prioritize censorship resistance and decentralization above all else.
A Future Forged in Conflict
As Bitcoin knocks on the door of a new all-time high, the market is caught in a powerful paradox. The institutional adoption that has legitimized Bitcoin and driven its price to stratospheric levels is the very same force that introduces a systemic risk to its core principles. The celebration of the current rally is, in essence, a celebration of the construction of the very infrastructure that could be used to co-opt it.
The journey to $122,000 was paved with institutional capital and regulatory acceptance. The journey forward will be defined by a fundamental conflict: the battle between mainstream financial integration and the preservation of the decentralized ethos that made Bitcoin a revolutionary technology. The future of the world's most important digital asset will be forged in the crucible of this tension, determining whether it remains a truly sovereign asset for the people or becomes another tool in the arsenal of the centralized systems it was designed to disrupt.
BTC Bitcoin Among My Top 10 Picks for 2025 | Price TargetIf you haven`t bought BTC Bitcoin before the recent breakout:
My price target for BTC in 2025 is $125K, driven by the following fundamental factors:
Regulatory Developments Favoring Adoption:
The anticipated regulatory shifts in the United States are expected to create a more favorable environment for cryptocurrencies. With the potential for pro-crypto policies under a new administration, including the establishment of Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset by major nations, investor confidence is likely to increase significantly. Analysts suggest that such developments could drive the total cryptocurrency market capitalization from approximately $3.3 trillion to around $8 trillion by 2025, with Bitcoin poised to capture a substantial share of this growth.
Increased Institutional Demand through ETFs:
The launch of Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) has already begun to transform the investment landscape for Bitcoin, making it more accessible to institutional and retail investors alike. Following the successful introduction of multiple Bitcoin ETFs in 2024, analysts project that inflows could exceed $15 billion in 2025, further boosting demand for Bitcoin. This increased accessibility is expected to drive prices higher as more investors seek exposure to the asset class.
Supply Constraints from Halving Events:
Bitcoin's supply dynamics are fundamentally bullish due to its halving events, which occur approximately every four years and reduce the rate at which new Bitcoins are created. The most recent halving in April 2024 has led to a significant reduction in supply inflation, creating scarcity that historically correlates with price increases. As demand continues to rise while supply becomes more constrained, this fundamental imbalance is likely to support higher prices.
Growing Adoption as a Store of Value"
As macroeconomic conditions evolve, including persistent inflationary pressures and potential monetary policy easing, Bitcoin is increasingly viewed as a viable store of value akin to gold. This perception is bolstered by its finite supply and decentralized nature, making it an attractive hedge against inflation. Analysts suggest that as more investors turn to Bitcoin for wealth preservation, its price could see substantial appreciation
Bitcoin - The cycles are playing out!⚔️Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) just repeats another cycle:
🔎Analysis summary:
Following all of the previous all time high breakouts, Bitcoin will now further extend the rally. After some simple calculation, we can see that Bitcoin will rally another +50% in order to reach the overall price target. However there will be volatility along the way so make sure to remain calm.
📝Levels to watch:
$200.000
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Analytics: market outlook and forecasts
📈 WHAT HAPPENED?
At the beginning of last week, Bitcoin reached the resistance level of $115,000-$116,300 (a mirror volume zone) and experienced a quick correction. However, at this level, there was a strong absorption of sales, as the volumes clearly indicated active buys, and by Wednesday, the focus shifted towards long positions.
The only surprise was a slight stop in the $117,600-$118,600 zone (accumulated volumes). In general, we passed it with almost no resistance, which is a sign of buyer strength.
An additional catalyst for growth was President Donald Trump's executive order on August 7, which allows Americans to invest in cryptocurrency through their retirement accounts. This decision could pave the way for a multibillion-dollar influx of new funds into the cryptocurrency market.
💼 WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT?
Now we’re almost close to the ATH, but at the moment there is a small resistance in the range of $121,500-$122,300. It’s not yet clear in which direction the volume will move, but in case of a breakout of the ATH, this zone can become the nearest support in the case of a correction.
If sells are activated at the current levels, it’s worth paying attention to the level of ~$120,000 (pushing volumes). In this case, a local sideways movement is possible between the level of ~$120,000 and the zone of $122,300-$121,500.
Buy Zones:
~$120,000 (pushing volumes)
$117,500–$116,000 (accumulated volumes)
$115,300–$114,000 (accumulated volumes)
📰 IMPORTANT DATES
On macroeconomic events this week:
• August 12, Tuesday, 12:30 (UTC) - publication of the basic consumer price index (CPI) of the United States for July, as well as in comparison with July 2024;
• August 13, Wednesday, 6:00 (UTC) - publication of the consumer price index (CPI) of Germany for July;
• August 14, Thursday, 6:00 (UTC) — publication of the UK's GDP for the second quarter and for June;
• August 14, Thursday, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the number of initial unemployment claims and the US producer price index (PPI) for July;
• August 14, Thursday, 23:50 (UTC) — publication of Japan's GDP for the second quarter;
• August 15, Friday, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the volume and base index of US retail sales for July.
*This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience.
#analytics
BTC Price Action Screams Sell — Is $115K Next?
• The move to $122.5k looks like a sharp liquidity grab / exhaustion wick rather than a sustained follow-through.
• Price failed to hold the top (small bearish candles after the spike) and is now sitting on/near a shallow support area — a classic place for sellers to press once momentum cools.
• Multiple prior “S” markers around the mid-$118k zone show persistent supply there; that same supply can re-assert as price retests.
• Bearish bias while price remains below the red supply zone (~$122.2–122.5k) and until it can reclaim & close above ~123k on 1H.
Key levels (read from the chart)
• Immediate resistance / supply zone: 122,200 – 122,501 (red box).
• Current price shown: 121,506.61.
• Support levels (dotted lines): 119,872.53 (first), 118,864.72 (second), 115,843.52 (stronger support / demand).
• Invalidation for the bearish plan: sustained close above ~123,000 (1H close).
Two actionable bearish setups (with exact math)
Setup A — “Rejection short” (preferred)
• Rationale: Wait for a retest/rejection of the red supply zone (122.2–122.5k).
• Entry: 122,200 (short on clear rejection candle)
• Stop: 123,000 (above the supply) → risk = 123,000 − 122,200 = 800 points.
• Targets:
o TP1 = 119,872.53 → reward = 122,200 − 119,872.53 = 2,327.47 → R:R = 2,327.47 / 800 = 2.91 : 1.
o TP2 = 118,864.72 → reward = 122,200 − 118,864.72 = 3,335.28 → R:R ≈ 4.17 : 1.
o TP3 = 115,843.52 → reward = 122,200 − 115,843.52 = 6,356.48 → R:R ≈ 7.95 : 1.
Setup B — “Breakdown short” (if price loses structure)
• Rationale: Trade the structure break — enter only after a clean breakdown below a nearby support retest.
• Entry: 121,000 (short once price decisively breaks and retests lower side)
• Stop: 122,000 → risk = 1,000 points.
• Targets: same support ladder:
o TP1 = 119,872.53 → reward = 121,000 − 119,872.53 = 1,127.47 → R:R = 1,127.47 / 1,000 = 1.13 : 1.
o TP2 = 118,864.72 → R:R ≈ 2.14 : 1.
o TP3 = 115,843.52 → R:R ≈ 5.16 : 1.
Short trade management / rules
• Position sizing: risk a fixed % of account per trade (e.g., 0.5–1%). Use the risk points above to size the position.
• Scaling: take ~25–40% at TP1, move stop to breakeven on first partial fill, trail rest to TP2/TP3.
• Confirmation: prefer one of these confirmations before entry — bearish 1H close below the short entry or clear rejection wick + volume spike to the upside followed by selling. (I can’t see live volume here — check it on your platform.)
• Invalidation: an hourly close above ~123k invalidates the bearish plan; flip bias to neutral/bull.
Why this is a high-probability bearish setup
• The rally was fast and left small-range candles after the spike — typical of exhaustion where liquidity was swept.
• Prior range had repeated sells around lower highs (S markers) — that supply doesn’t vanish; a failed breakout often returns to fill that liquidity.
• The downside targets are relatively close (TP1 is only ~1.63k points below current price, about 1.34%), so short targets are reachable without needing a large trend reversal.
(Example percent math shown exactly: current 121,506.61 − TP1 119,872.53 = 1,634.08 points → 1,634.08 ÷ 121,506.61 = 0.0134485 → ≈ 1.345% drop to TP1.)
Watchouts / final notes
• If BTC prints strong continuation volume on a push above 122.5k and holds >123k on hourly closes, the short edge is gone.
• Check 4H / daily to ensure this isn’t just a higher-timeframe bullish leg that will quickly absorb short pressure. If higher TF shows strong bullish structure, keep stops tighter.
• Not financial advice — treat this as a technical plan and adjust sizing/risk to your rules.
BITCOIN has broken Free - The Next cycle type begins- WHY ?
I have been talking about the Blue Arc of resistance for a while now.
The ARC that has rejected EVERY ATH since Bitcoin began its true rise in Value back in 2011.
I am not going to get to technical right now as I have had only 1 coffee..lol..
Lets begin
I have 3 charts with this Arc on , all slightly different so as to allow for small errors in plotting or calculation.
ALL charts now show PA Above the Arc.
Why is this so important ?
As previously explained, that Blue Arc is a part of a Calculated Fibonacci Spiral.
Calculated from Each ATH to the next and using the difference as a part of that calculation, I was able to pinpoint the centre of this Arc.
And here is the Full picture.
What I am finding a little interesting is how that centre is on MARCH 2020 - That Sudden and worrying COVID CRASH !
But that is a subject for another time.
The Two important things to take of here is how PA began rising on this spiral as soon as PA entered it ( Left ) and unless we broke out of it now, PA would have been dragged back down by December. The time spent inside this spiral are the cumulative years of Bitcoin.
It is also very interesting how the 3 "Cycles " we have had in this channel. have ended perfectly at that intersection of the Blue Arc and the underlying line of support, that PA has not dropped below since we entered the channel back in 2012
To me, that is more than just a coincidence.
And if we look at a smaller time frame, we can see that PA has broken over this Arc, with strength.
The Daily chart above does show us that we do still have challenges ahead.
For instance, there is that line of local resistance just above, that could , under the right circumstances, push PA back down with vengeance should the Bears take over.
But I do not think that will happen yet but it would be nice if we could climb over that and use it as support.
We have done on 2 previous occasions this cycle but each time, we got pushed back under.
3rd time lucky ?
The 4 hour chart gives hope.
Here we can see how that Blue Arc was used as support but once it failed, the Bulls were Quick to get back over.
To me, this shows us that the Bulls have every intention of keeping Bitcoin High and above that Blue Arc.
But the longer we wait to get over that local line of resistance above, and use as support, the further away it Gets.
Currently, the Target to get over that lline is around 140K
Near Term projections of PA, in a bullish run, are around 160K -> 180K
This would give PA that underlying line of support.
So, we wait to see how this plays out but THE MOST IMPORTANT THING ?
We Must remain above that line, the Blue Arc....that currently sits around 115 -118K
The Next Few weeks are VITAL and I remind you..August has nearly twice as many RED monthly closes as Green..Unless it is in a Bull run....;-)
The Daily RSI has room to move still but is High
The Weekly RSI is Similar in hieght, with room to move.
So, We could be in a good position to start that New Cycle type, out of the Spiral that Created Bitcoin as we now know it. The 4 year Flow could change as mass adoption takes pace and People simply do not Buy / Sell as we used to do.
But it is impossible to really know whats coming.
We can only watch and learn. We may well end up having the 4 year cycles again.
After all, that gave us superb profit making opportunities.
Or will Bitcoin become the Store of Value, the Digital Gold ?
Time will tell.
Have a good week and stay safe
BTC Bulls Back in Control – 130K in SightIn my previous BTC analysis, I highlighted that the price was sitting right in a confluence support zone, with strong odds for a bullish reversal.
That scenario played out well — bulls regained control. After a retest of the low pruces in the middle of last week and a modest initial bounce, momentum accelerated today, pushing BTC close to its previous all-time high at the time of writing.
Looking ahead, I don’t expect the old ATH to be a major obstacle for buyers. A clean break above should open the path toward 130K+ as the next logical upside target.
For now, as long as BTC trades above 114K, bulls have no reason for concern.
Bitcoin CME Closing Price: The Key to Next Week’s TrendIn this video I cover the CME closing price and go through a plan which includes a gap to the upside and a short squeeze before gravitating to the downside for lower targets .
I also give a bias for higher prices if the VAH is claimed .
This idea is modelled on the daily time frame and can play out over the course of the following week or more .
I also look at the Eth/Btc pair and the Btc dominance chart and marry whats happening on those charts with this idea .
When looking at BTC I use order flow software to further support my bias and the confluences I present in the chart.
If you have any questions then leave them below .
Support my work with a boost and Safe trading
When Altseason? Clues in other chart Ex) #1Hi guys.
So Its no secret bitcoin has been ripping.
We are at new all time highs, and in full on price discovery mode.
I recently posted an ongoing macro analysis on ADA (Cardano) supporting my theory that it is one of the better alts to be investing in for alt explosion.
I want to look elsewhere to see if i can find supporting evidence that its time to invest or trade altcoins.
One chart that can be used is the Total Market Cap of Crypto excluding Bitcoin.
This chart showcases total altcoin market capitalization and its movements.
I believe certain Technical developments can really help us gauge at whats to come.
NOte this is on the 1 Month timeframe aka looking into Macro developments.
Just focusing on Candlestick action.
Notice we have been in this ascending channel trend, along with a potential Ascending triangle pattern development which if breakout occurs with confirmation can push Altcoin market cap higher indicating that liquidity is entering altcoins which indicates potential Uptrend.
The month of July so far is in position to print a massive engulfing Bullish candle, which is a great sign.
The upper part is also peaking its head above the Horizontal resistance line. Need to observe confirmation of this breakout. Look for it in smaller timeframes, ill look for it in the 3 day or 5 day.
We are also in position to print a higher high first time in a while.
Notice also Volume. We are seeing currently similar increasing volume as previous alt coin market cap expansion.
Keep an eye out on more posts to add to evidence that supports we are in the verge of potential altcoin season.






















