BITCOIN PREDICTION: WHY IS NOBODY TALKING ABOUT THIS!!?(warning)Yello Paradisers! In this video, we are again, as professional traders, analyzing the multi-time frame context of the market. On an ultra-high time frame, we are seeing the medium moving average touch. We are also discussing the possible channel retest, plus I'm sharing with you the bearish cross and bearish divergence.
On the high time frame chart, we are having the zigzag finished, probably with the highest probability. The first ultra-high time frame wave is starting, that is the question of this video, which we are answering, and we are seeing the bullish divergence.
On the medium timeframe, we are seeing that as we are touching the resistance, the volume is dropping, which is a bearish sign. We are seeing two bearish divergences on RSI and MACD histogram, and with the highest probability, we are finishing the first wave.
On the low timeframe chart, I'm discussing the ending diagonal with you, and I forgot to tell you about this, but we are also having a bearish cross there.
Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable.
Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
Bitcoinprice
Bitcoin Daily SMA UPDATE
This daily chart uses the SMA, Simple Moving Average
Red = 50, Blue = 100, Green = 128, Yellow = 200
Yesterday, PA broke through the descending line of resistance it had been under since 13 August.
As yet, this does not mean PA will now rise, though on a daily chart, the MACD certainly has the room to move higher, as seen below
However, given where we are in a traditionaly quiet month, I do still see PA sliding down this line in the bear future...testing it as support
This maybe supported by the fact that the shorter term 4 Hour MACD has Crossed Neutral but the Hitogram is showing White bars and not Green. This shows a weakening and the MACD line moving closer to the red signal line.
The Daily RSI is also turning over but remains above its MA for now
So for now, we see PA has broken over the Daily 100 SMA and is testing as support.
Above, we have the 50 at 113300
This could be the next line of resistance if PA rises now.
Should PA turn down now, we have the 100 SMA at 110762.
Below that , the 128 sits at 108194
To remain above that descending trend line, we need to Range in the area we currently are in and stay above that 100SMA at 110K for at least the next 24 hours
If we look at the Bitcoin 4 hour chart, we see this maybe possible
PA sits in a very tight range between the 50 and the 100 4 hour SMA and is currently sitting on the VRVP Point of control ( red dotted line )
This is all support but we have to wait and see if it remains so.
There is Very little action trading right now...we just waiting.
Bitcoin Swing Trade Setup – Institutional Inflows Fuel Bulls🎭 BTC/USD – Money Heist Plan 🚀 (Swing + Scalping Strategy)
📊 BTC/USD Real-Time Market Data
Current Price: $111,156.01
24h Change: +$2,117.61 (+1.94%)
Day’s Range: $108,540.93 – $111,180.45
52-Week Range: $49,538.00 – $123,640.00
😰 Fear & Greed Index
Score: 49/100 → Neutral 😊
Trend: Shifted from “Fear” to “Neutral” in the last 24 hours.
🧠 Investor Sentiment Outlook
Retail Traders: Cautious (63% worry about crypto safety).
Institutional Traders: Bullish (💵 $3.7B net inflows in August).
🌍 Fundamental & Macro Score
Policy Uncertainty: High (U.S. tariffs, Fed policy shifts).
Fed Rate Cut Probability: High (expected September cut).
Key Event: Non-Farm Payrolls (Sept 5; forecast 45K jobs).
Gold Rally: $3,508/oz (+30% YTD, strong hedging demand).
🐂 Market Outlook
Short-Term: Neutral → Slightly Bearish (September volatility ahead).
Long-Term: Bullish (Institutional inflows + macro liquidity).
Bull/Bear Score: 55% Bullish vs 45% Bearish.
🎯 Thief’s Trading Plan (Layered Entry Strategy)
I’m setting up multiple limit orders (“Thief Layers”) instead of going all-in — this spreads risk, builds better entries, and keeps flexibility.
Entry (Layered Buys):
$109,000 → $109,500 → $110,000 → $110,500
(Add more layers as per your own strategy)
Stop Loss (Thief SL):
$107,500 (Adjust for your own risk appetite)
Target Zone (Profit Extraction):
$116,000 (Checkpoint before major resistance zone)
💡 Key Takeaways
BTC rebounded +1.94% but faces headwinds from whale profit-taking & policy risks.
Neutral sentiment (49/100) reflects a balanced investor mood.
Friday’s NFP jobs data could shape Fed rate expectations → big volatility catalyst.
🔍 Related Pairs to Watch
BITSTAMP:ETHUSD | COINBASE:SOLUSD | BITSTAMP:XRPUSD | BINANCE:BTCUSDT | CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
#BTCUSD #Bitcoin #CryptoTrading #SwingTrade #Scalping #TradingStrategy #LayeredEntries #CryptoCommunity
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Bitcoin Daily on Lower Low Lower high again -till ?
This chart uses the SMA. Red - 50, Blue - 100, Green - 128 and 200 - Yellow
PA is absolutely in a descending channel with repeated Lower Low Lower high on a daily chart
Today, we will see if we break that or not as PA reaches resistance on a Trend line.
The 50 SMA is descending as potential resistance when the day comes were PA breaks out and reaches higher.
This will happen as I do not believe we are entering a Deep Bear..This is a Local "Cool off" but we may hit a tough one at that 50 SMA at around 113K
Till then, we are hitting the 100 as resistance and the 128 as support.
This may break today as we hit that line of resistance with the 128 SMA not far below.
The DAILY MACD offers some hope of strength as we see it bouncing off oversold
We will have to watch today close to see where we go
If we get rejected today, Next stop down could be the 200 SMA at around 103K low
This line needs to hold to show use confidence in the Bulls.
My line of concern will be reached if e go to 95K and fall through.
This daily chart below shows a number of things to support what is written above.
On this , we see the 2.618 Fib extension around the same area as the 200 day SMA @ 103900 usd
The circle highlights a point where a 236 Fib circle crosses over a rising line of support.
This is around 97K and just below this is another line of support around 95K
People that follow me will know that I often highlight 236 Fib circles as lines of strong resistance and on this occasion, this maybe Exactly why we see PA dropping now.
The intersection is near the end of September, a usually slow month that has a majority of RED Candle Closes on a month chart ( 9 red to 5 Green since 2013)
I am not saying we will get to this level but the potential does exist while we remain in a down trend....
I would hope that PA bounces off the Fib extension on that 200 SMA if we get near that 104K line.
On a longer term, we should take note of the WEEKLY MACD
Should this continue down the line drawn, that takes us to Late October before a bounce ur a more sustained push higher.
We should keep this in mind
I welcome any comments ( Sensible ones..)
Binance Coin Robbery Setup – Bullish Layers or Police Trap?🚨💰 BNB/USD Crypto Market Grand Heist Plan 🎭🚨
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Direction: 📈 Bullish Robbery Mode Activated
Entry 🎯: Thief never knocks once — we layer entries at:
900.00 💵
890.00 💵
880.00 💵
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Stop Loss 🛑:
Thief SL is hidden at 870.00 — escape hatch ready!
⚠️ Adjust your SL based on your own strategy & risk appetite.
Target 🎯:
Police barricade spotted! 👮♂️💥
Our grand escape with the loot is at 930.00 — grab it before they catch you! 🚔💨
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We don’t enter all-in — we slice the entry with multiple limit orders (layering strategy style), just like cracking a safe piece by piece.
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BAD NEWS for Bitcoin :(. BE CAREFUL!My last Prediction was PERFECT . i know this will UPSET many bulls, but this is how the MARKETS WORK. After a strong uptrend and extreme greed environment, its time for Bitcoin to CORRECT and have strong PULLBACK. Look at the channel and trendlines, I expect bitcoin to reach a price of 100k/96k in the coming weeks. That will be a GOOD BUY opportunity. BE CAREFUL AND STAY WISE.
See My Previous PERFECT prediction:
BINANCE:BTCUSD COINBASE:BTCUSD CRYPTO:BTCUSD OKX:BTCUSD
BTC correction august/septemberBTC has reached overbought territory, there is also bearisch divergence. It also didnt go above 123k anymore. i expect a correction in august/september.
dont chase FOMO, be prepared. Nothing goes in a straight line. there are always corrections.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSD CME:BTC1! BINANCE:BTCUSDU2025
Bitcoin last leg down before going back up ?BITSTAMP:BTCUSD faces strong resistance near 110,100 – 110,650. Failure to break above increases the probability of continuation to the downside, with the Fibonacci levels acting as the next bearish targets.
📉 Bearish Confluences
Price is currently testing the mid-zone of the Bollinger/Keltner channel and struggling to break above the red resistance zone.
Previous upward attempts have been rejected around the 38.2% Fib retracement (110,100), showing weakness.
Structure still shows a lower-high pattern, keeping the short-term bias bearish.
🎯 Fibonacci Bearish Targets
If the rejection holds, downside Fibonacci extension levels provide potential targets:
38.2% retracement → 108,298
61.8% retracement → 107,742
100% retracement → 106,840
BITCOIN PREDICTION: WHALES PREPARING HUGE MOVE!!!? (damn)Yello Paradisers! In this video, as professional traders, we have been going through multi-time frame analysis. First, we went through an ultra-high time frame where I shared with you that we are touching an important moving average trend line. Because of that, we understand that a channel retest is possible, but we need to be careful because there is a bearish divergence, and we already got a confirmational bearish cross.
On the high timeframe chart, we have seen that the ABC zigzag is already finished. Right now, we are forming a possible first ultra-high timeframe wave, and from that, we are starting the first motive mode wave. We are seeing bullish divergence, and what I forgot to say is that if we start moving to the upside and creating the secondary high timeframe wave, we will touch the CME futures gap and close it. Which is another confluence.
After that, we have been shifting our focus to the medium timeframe. I've told you that what's important is also what you don't see in the market and we are seeing so far no bearish divergence plus what I have didn't show you but there are also two bullish hammer candlestick patterns candles I have been sharing with you the moving average trend line the Fibonacci time zone and the next resistances finally at low time frame chart we have been going through the ending diagonal.
Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable.
Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
I apologize; I accidentally turned off the video in the middle. Unfortunately, TradingView doesn't allow me to continue, so the next video will be here on TradingView on Wednesday. Stay tuned.
Bitcoin Monthly Candle Colour closes since 2013 - August Close
August closed RED and so now we have 10 red closes to 5 Green.
This has closed the possibility of continuing the pattern we had been following.
The Dashed line Boxes show us The only 2 occasions where we have had a Green December, Red January, Red February, Green March, Green April.
Then we had a Green May 2012 and a Red May 2020
Then both repeated a Green June, Green July.
They both also had had Green August but we just closed Red.
This breaks this sequence for me but I will keep the boxes in place for now just incase we revert back to Sequence.
The horizontal arrows are pointing to the previous 9 Red August Closes.
Where you see 2 Arrows is where this was followed by a Green September. This happened 4 times.
Note those double arrows on the left are in the 2016 build up to 2017 ATH and the ones on the right are in the Current cycle.
September Candle close count is currently is 5 Green to 9 Red, the same as August was.
Of those 5 Green September closes, 4 were after a Red August.
The other Green September was in the 2020 run up to the March 2021 ATH ( Middle dashed box)
Odds are on for a Red September as we see Bitcoin falling below some serious support levels but we should also note how PA is remaining above the 100k line for now.
August and September are traditionally months of Holidays and so trading slows, hence the majority of Red candles
Q4 is the ones to wait for and as you can see from the colour counts, Q4 is usually Bullish
We wait - we Hold and if PA Drops to the possible 104K line where the 200 day SMA sits, I will Buy More.
Scale in
Bitcoin - Important scenario of what will happend soon!Did you know this cycle is almost identical to the 2020 cycle?
When I say identical, I don’t mean the exact percentage of price moves, but rather the price behavior and market structure.
If you look closely at the Bitcoin chart, you’ll notice that the current price action is very similar to what happened back in 2020 — and not only that, it’s happening in the same months as well.
There are so many strong similarities confirming this theory.
📌 So what’s the reason behind this?
-Both cycles are happening under Trump’s presidency.
-Same policies, same decisions, which lead to the same market behavior.
-The market is literally moving the same way it did during his first term.
- for example Bitcoin Dominance, didn’t reach the 66% level since 2020, and right after that it dropped to around 40%. The same setup could be repeating now... as it's expected to move up and retest the 60% level during Sep before going to 40% level
And here’s the shocking part 👇
If you check the SPX fractal between Feb 19, 2020 and 2025, you’ll see the exact same pattern — even on the same day! This can’t just be a coincidence. It’s part of a much bigger game being played on us.
Based on this, here’s what I expect:
The S&P 500 (SPX) could correct around 10% in September, dropping towards the 5800 level.
And of course, this will have a direct impact on the crypto market, likely causing it to drop in September.
So what should we expect?
September is likely to start with high volatility and downside pressure, with some altcoins potentially dumping over 30%.
After that, starting in October, we could be entering the real bull run, lasting until mid-2026.
Best Regards :
Ceciliones🎯
Bitcoin to 125,000After 9 months of downtrend/sideways price action, bitcoin has finally broke out of this trend.
If we zoom out to weekly time frame, the 9 months of downtrend/sideways price action, serves as "handle" for "cup and handle" pattern which goes back to Nov 2021. Finally, after 3 years, this pattern is completed and bitcoin is set to get to it's next target which is ~125,000.
On it's way up, bitcoin will probably face some resistance at 100K, since people have been waiting for bitcoin to hit this price target from all the way back in 2019-2020. Moreover, 100K is Fibonacci famous 1.6 extension level, so we might see some sell off at this price. However, we believe that FOMO can break this resistance level with ease and bring up the price to 125,000 USD.
From this point, we probably see more sharp upward trend toward 155K and 200K but this is the danger zone where we might see sharp pullbacks to 100-125K range.
BTC price analysis for SeptemberWith ICC we read what price is telling us and we act accordingly.
After the ranging sideways zone, price has given the bearish indication, went up to take the shorts above 122k then pushed back down.
The trend is still bearish, 1h,4h and Daily both MACD and RSI are still bearish.
The support from 105k to 106k has held price before so it could be where BTC reverses and strong buys will step in OR it fails to hold and we head further down. We don't try to predict.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of August 29 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During the trading session of the previous week, the Bitcoin market underwent a significant pullback, surpassing the completed Outer Coin Dip at 112000, and is currently stabilized at the Mean Support level of 108000. The prevailing analysis indicates a substantial likelihood of a rebound for the cryptocurrency, with a target set at the critical Mean Resistance level of 112700. There is, however, a possibility of further extension towards the Mean Resistance level denoted as 117000. On the downside, Bitcoin may continue its descent to the final target of Outer Coin Dip 102500, navigating through Mean Support 105500 before ultimately resuming its bullish trajectory.
Bitcoin at Golden Pocket Support – Don’t Sell the Dip?Bitcoin is currently testing the 0.618–0.65 Fibonacci retracement zone (~$108k), a historically strong support level also known as the “Golden Pocket.”
With confluence from CZ’s reminder — “Things to avoid in crypto: Selling the dip” — this area could be a major bounce zone if bulls defend it.
🔹 Strong Support: $108k
🔹 Next Support: $98k if breakdown happens
🔹 Resistance: $113k – $117k
Bias: Watch for confirmation candles. A bounce here could send BTC back toward $113k–117k. A breakdown invalidates this support.
A Question many people don't know the answer to.In this post we’ll answer a question many people don't know the answer to, and provide an in-depth explanation of why the crypto market is bound to a 4-year cycle.
🔸The answer:
-The market is tied to a key event — the Bitcoin Halving . This is when the block reward for mining Bitcoin is cut in half every 4 years. Mining is the lifeline that brings Bitcoin into circulation. Without it, there would be no supply entering the market.
But is this still effective now, given that most of Bitcoin’s supply is already mined?
The total supply of Bitcoin is fixed at 21 million, and so far, around 19.9 million have already been mined. That leaves only about 1.1 million Bitcoin still to be mined — scheduled, with halvings, until the year 2140.
I know what you’re thinking … Why does the halving still impact market behavior if the remaining supply is so small and its effect seems limited?
-History shows that after every halving, the market tends to rise for about a year and a half. This proves that investors wait for the halving to take place, monitor the network’s smooth performance during the event, and once they confirm no issues exist, they begin injecting liquidity into the market.
------------------------------------------
Is there a scenario where the 4-year cycle could change?
It’s difficult, but yes …
Why? Because since Bitcoin’s inception, its price cycle has been tied to the halving. This pattern has been consistent since 2011, across three full cycles, and now we are in the fourth.
However, the halving itself has become a symbol of trust and security for investors. Every successful halving event reinforces confidence in Bitcoin’s scarcity and strength. That’s why the 4-year rhythm will only change if another factor emerges strong enough to rival the influence of the halving.
Signs of such a new factor already appeared in 2025 — with the U.S. President’s support for Bitcoin and the growing trend of corporations and financial institutions purchasing it, alongside increased transparency in declaring holdings and reserves.
This shift is crucial. When supply moves from scattered hands (individuals) to stronger hands (corporations) , and holdings are publicly disclosed, it strengthens trust in the Bitcoin network and reduces the wild volatility that individuals once caused.
Conclusion : The 4-year cycle could evolve in the future, especially if supportive policies accelerate and corporations continue to accumulate Bitcoin in massive quantities starting from the next cycle.
Best regards
Cecilione🎯