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Chainlink (LINKUSDT) | Falling Wedge at Critical SupportChainlink is trading within a well-defined falling wedge pattern on the 4H chart, a typically bullish reversal setup. Price action indicates the coin is hovering just above key horizontal support around $12.35, making this a critical zone to watch. Technical Breakdown: Pattern: Falling Wedge (Bullish Bias) Current Price: $12.98 Immediate Support: $12.35 Major Support: $10.71 Resistance 1: $13.80 (wedge upper trendline) Breakout Targets: $17.78 (major resistance) $20.03 (macro level supply zone) Indicators: RSI (14) at ~42 → Weak but stabilizing, potential for reversal Volume has been compressing — watch for a breakout with rising volume for confirmation Strategy: A 4H close above the wedge trendline with volume could trigger a breakout rally toward $17.78 or even $20.03. Failure to hold $12.35 could send LINK back toward $10.71 support, caution below this level. Setup Summary: Long entry on breakout above $13.50 (trendline) Stop-loss: Below $12.35 Target 1: $17.78 Target 2: $20.03 Risk: Reward Ratio: ~1:3+ Not financial advice. DYOR before entering trades. If this analysis helps, like & comment your view.
Long
by ScramblerG
BTC/USDT Technical Analysis🔍 BTC/USDT Technical Analysis 📆 Chart Context: Published on: June 18, 2025 Instrument: Bitcoin (BTC) vs Tether (USDT) Timeframe: Appears to be 4H or 1H based on candle width and structure 🧠 Market Structure 🔸 Lower Highs Forming Clear rejection from around 110,000–112,000 USDT A sequence of lower highs suggests bearish momentum Market is failing to break previous highs, signaling potential reversal 🔸 Strong Support Zone Marked between $99,000 – $100,000 This level has previously caused price reversals (see June 6 and 13 wicks) Currently being tested again — buyers have defended this area twice 🔁 Price Action & Candlestick Behavior Recent candles show indecision and weakness after a mild bounce Wick rejections near $106,000–$107,000 point to supply zone Projected path (gray curve) implies a small pullback, then a breakdown into the support zone 📉 Prediction: Price Outlook ✴️ Short-Term (1–3 Days): A likely pullback to $106,000, then a drop toward $100,000–$99,000 If support fails to hold, next target is $96,000–$94,500 ✴️ Bearish Breakdown Confirmation: Candle close below $99,000 with high volume = clear sell signal In this case, bears may aim for $92,000–$90,000 next ✴️ Bullish Scenario (Less Likely): If price holds above $104,000 and breaks $108,000, next resistance: $110,500–$112,000 📊 Key Technical Zones Zone Type Price Level (USDT) Note Resistance $110,000–$112,000 Previous top, major supply zone Short-Term Resistance $106,000–$107,000 Weak bounce, possible entry area for shorts Current Price ~$104,376 Weak consolidation Support Zone $99,000–$100,000 Key demand area Breakdown Target $96,000–$94,000 If support fails ✅ Professional Outlook Summary Market Bias: 📉 Bearish Action Zone: 🔍 Watching $106K as potential short entry Support Critical: $99K must hold, or deeper drop Risk Level: ⚠️ High volatility likely
Short
by MQL_CodedPips
Bitcoin BTC price analysis🍿 At the OKX:BTCUSDT chart, we show one of the scenarios that could play out in the first half of June. Much will be decided today with the opening of the US market. It is very likely that there will be a downward movement at the opening in response to the new tariffs announced by Trump on Friday after the markets closed. 🕯 Well, then we'll have to “keep our fingers crossed” that market players show their strength and hold on and buy back the drop — like say: we're tired of shaking with every crazy statement from Trump. 💰 If the price of CRYPTOCAP:BTC stays above $103k, there is a chance that it will be “stuck” in the $103-110k consolidation. The market needs to digest and redistribute the results of two months of #BTCUSD price growth from $75k to $112k. And considering the position of the BTC.D and USDT.D indices, there is a chance that the “little bit” of capital will pass to the altcoins, and they will shoot up a little. ⁉️ Probably, the safest thing to do would be to watch the altcoins and buy only those that have started a significant upward movement with volume. What do you think?
by P_S_trade
BTC/USDT in Consolidation: How To Trade the RangeBitcoin (BTC/USDT) is currently in a clear consolidation phase on the 4-hour chart 📊. Price action is trapped within a well-defined range, and for now, no dominant trend has emerged — we’re simply trading sideways between key support and resistance levels 🔁 In the video, we dive into how to tactically approach this kind of environment by trading the lower time frame trend shifts within the range — focusing on lower timeframe moves from range highs to range lows, and vice versa ⬆️⬇️ We also reference the broader macro picture — looking at the NASDAQ (US100) and the Magnificent 7 (MAGS) for potential clues about Bitcoin’s next directional move 🧠💡. Risk-on or risk-off sentiment in these key tech equities often correlates with Bitcoin’s momentum, making them critical confluence factors for BTC traders. For now, the strategy is to remain range-conscious and reactive, rather than predictive. Until we get a confirmed breakout or breakdown, patience and precision remain key 🎯
by fxtraderanthony
2
BTC Triangle Squeezing Toward $100 K — Sellers Press🎯 TL;DR A four-week contracting triangle is coiling price just under $105 K. Measured move ⇒ $100 506 Both W.ARITAS Quantum RSI flash strong selling pressure while QSP shows a weak trend. On-chain: miners dumped ≈30 000 BTC since late May, yet spot-ETF inflows have stayed positive eight days straight. Base case: price breaks lower into $100 K-97 K, where I expect a sharp bounce. 🗺️ Chart at a Glance Element Detail Pattern Symmetrical / contracting triangle (late-Apr → present) Immediate pivot $104 800 – reclaimed as resistance (red circle) Target 1 $100 506 – triangle measured move Demand block $96 900 – $95 000 – weekly support & June VWAP Invalidation 6-h close > $106 000 🔧 Technical Internals Momentum 🟣 Quantum RSI: −23 / −41 and falling → sellers dominate. QSP: muted blue histogram sub-zero → trend itself is still weak, so expect whipsaws near support. Structure 🔵 Three successive lower-highs (113 K → 110 K → 109 K) tighten the squeeze. Price is riding the underside of the triangle, a common “kiss-of-death” before resolution. 🔍 Fundamental / Flow Backdrop Miners on the offer – Wallet balances down ~30 000 BTC over 20 days (≈ $3.1 B) Source: IntoTheBlock via CoinDesk, 19 Jun 2025 ETF demand refuses to quit – U.S. spot ETFs pulled $388.3 M on 18 Jun, marking 8 consecutive inflow days Source: CoinTelegraph, Cryptonomist, 19 Jun 2025 Regulatory clarity incoming – U.S. Senate passed a bipartisan stablecoin bill on 17 Jun; House vote next Source: Reuters, 17 Jun 2025 Net: structural sellers (miners, profit-takers) vs. structural buyers (ETFs). Right now, technicals side with the sellers. 📈 Trade Map (3-8 Week Horizon) 106 000 – 104 800 Triangle top & failed breakout zone Bias flips bullish only on sustained reclaim 100 506 Measured-move target + psychological $100 K Primary TP / bounce watch 96 900 – 95 000 Weekly demand, June VWAP Secondary TP if 100 K gives way 110 000 + Pattern invalidation Opens road to 113 K-115 K ATH cluster 🛠️ Execution Idea (Not Financial Advice) Trigger: 6-hour close < $103 500 confirms breakdown. Entry Bias: Short retest of 104.8 K-105.5 K. Targets: TP1 – $100 500 TP2 – $97 000 (only if momentum stays bearish) Stop / Invalidation: 6-hour close > $106 000 and Quantum RSI flips back to green.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by insidermike
Bitcoin, Interest rates & Key fundamental points since 2021 The Growing question is just how much does the American Federal Reserve interest rate changes effect Bitcoin. We can see how in 2022, it appears they did but from late 2022 and early 2023, it doesn't seem to. Bitcoin began its rise even while rates were being put up. The Fundimental Key points may have had more impact but again, there are moments were we can see something that should have been Great for BTC, had little effect and Visa Versa. Has Bitcon Truly Broken away from being effected by the worlds "largest" economy ? We are currently seeing the ever growing threat of WW3 and Rates being Kept artificially High by the US Fed Reserve. The EU Central banks has already reduced its rate twice while the USA remained with no change ) And Bitcoin remains stable. And Bitcoins international adoption continues. STACK SATS
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
Volume spikes on down moves add to selling pressure.📉 BTCUSDT – 1H Chart Technical Outlook 🔍 Structure Insight: Bitcoin is currently trading within a descending channel, forming lower highs and lower lows, indicating persistent bearish pressure. Price action appears compressed between key trendlines, hinting at an imminent breakout. --- 🔻 Scenario 1: Bearish Breakdown (Primary Bias) If BTC fails to hold above the lower boundary of the range, a decisive break below could trigger a sharp move toward the 103,650–103,000 demand zone. The structure supports continuation to the downside if the price rejects resistance again. 🧊 Bearish Confluence: Price is unable to break above dynamic resistance. Momentum remains weak near the mid-range. Volume spikes on down moves add to selling pressure. --- 🔼 Scenario 2: Bullish Breakout (Alternative View) A breakout above the descending trendline and confirmation candle could flip bias short-term bullish. This would target the 105,400+ region as the next liquidity area. ⚡ Bullish Signs to Watch: Break and retest above trendline resistance. Bullish engulfing or breakout candle with volume. --- 🔍 Key Levels to Monitor Support: 103,650 / 103,000 Resistance: 105,000 / 105,400 Breakout Zones: Watch for clean breaks and retests outside the wedge pattern. --- 📌 Conclusion: BTC is coiling within a tightening range. The breakout direction will likely dictate the next short-term trend. Maintain flexibility — breakout confirmation is key before positioning. 🚨 Not financial advice — always DYOR before trading!
by Peter_Wade
FUNUSDT Forming Bullish BreakoutFUNUSDT is currently showing a bullish breakout from a long-term descending channel, indicating a potential reversal and strong upside momentum building. After a prolonged downtrend within the falling structure, the price has now breached resistance with notable volume support, signaling that buyers are beginning to regain control. This technical breakout, combined with fresh investor interest, adds significant weight to a potential bullish continuation move in the coming days and weeks. The pattern visible here is suggestive of a classic trend reversal. With volume expanding and momentum indicators turning bullish, the setup implies a strong recovery is underway. Historical data shows that when FUNUSDT breaks out of such structures, it often leads to parabolic price movements. The chart projects a target gain of around 140% to 150%, with intermediate resistance levels offering multiple potential entries and take-profit zones. The initial breakout is already attracting attention from both retail and institutional traders. On the fundamental side, FunFair continues to be a recognized name in the blockchain gaming and decentralized gambling space. Its legacy presence, combined with renewed volume interest and community activity, is contributing to the renewed investor enthusiasm. Additionally, the project is increasingly being mentioned across various trading forums and crypto communities, further amplifying the probability of a continued upward trend. Overall, FUNUSDT is one of the more exciting low-cap altcoins currently in a technical sweet spot. With the breakout confirmed and bullish targets ahead, this could be a great opportunity for traders looking to capitalize on early-stage momentum before wider market recognition kicks in. ✅ Show your support by hitting the like button and ✅ Leaving a comment below! (What is You opinion about this Coin) Your feedback and engagement keep me inspired to share more insightful market analysis with you!
Long
by Alpha-GoldFX
₿itcoin: SetbackBitcoin has come under selling pressure in recent hours. We cannot rule out that a deeper dip may precede the next leg higher into the upper blue Target Zone between $117,553 and $130,891. Once green wave B concludes in this range, we anticipate a wave C decline into the lower blue Target Zone between $62,395 and $51,323 to complete the larger orange wave a. From there, a corrective rally in orange wave b is expected, which should set the stage for a final leg lower to finalize blue wave (ii). Meanwhile, we’re still monitoring the alternative scenario (30% probability), in which blue wave alt.(i) is still in progress. In this case, BTC would stage an immediate breakout above resistance at $130,891. 📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by MarketIntel
Bitcoin Daily Linear chart getting Squeezed on FED day - Caution Those Fib circles are showing their strength again. See how PA is pushed by them 99% of the Time. And right now, we see PA ina tight Squeeze between horizontal Local support and that falling red 236 fib circle. The Apex of that Bearish pennant is near the end of this month. And, Today, depending on how Markets react to the FED Rate decision, PA could break away from this A Push higher will meet resistance around 109K A Drop lower would find support around 100K - 98K And if I am going to show a Bearish side, a drop to the 4.618 at 92K is VERY possible given Macro events We live in Hope that the Bulls Will show up
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
Is the Bitcoin Cash Hype Over? BCH/BTC Ratio Flashes WarningThe Great Divergence: Why the Bitcoin Cash-Bitcoin Ratio Breakdown Signals More Than Just a Price Drop In the unforgiving arena of the cryptocurrency markets, every chart tells a story. Some whisper of quiet accumulation, others scream of speculative frenzy. But few charts tell a story as profound and historically charged as the Bitcoin Cash to Bitcoin (BCH/BTC) ratio. For years, this ratio has been the ultimate barometer of a digital civil war, a measure of the hopes and failures of a project born from a contentious schism. Recently, that barometer has given its clearest signal in months: a decisive and powerful breakdown from a multi-month triangle pattern. This technical event is far more than a simple squiggle on a screen for traders. It represents the potential end of a speculative, hype-driven rally and the forceful reassertion of a brutal, long-term trend. It signals that the fundamental chasm between Bitcoin, the undisputed king of digital assets, and Bitcoin Cash, its most famous and ambitious offshoot, may be widening once again. The breakdown suggests that the brief period of optimism for Bitcoin Cash, fueled by its own halving event and a broader market updraft, may be conclusively over. To understand the gravity of this moment, one must dissect not only the technical pattern itself but also the deep-seated historical and fundamental weaknesses that made this breakdown almost inevitable. The Anatomy of a Technical Collapse: Smashing the Triangle For much of 2024, the BCH/BTC ratio was trapped in a state of compression. On the chart, this appeared as a classic symmetrical triangle pattern. This pattern is defined by a series of lower highs and higher lows, creating two converging trendlines that form the shape of a triangle. In market terms, it represents a period of intense equilibrium and indecision. Buyers and sellers are locked in a fierce battle, with neither side able to gain a definitive edge. The price coils tighter and tighter, like a compressed spring, building up energy for an explosive move. The only question is which direction it will break. In the case of the BCH/BTC ratio, that question has been answered with a resounding crash. The price has decisively broken below the lower trendline of the triangle. This is known as a "breakdown," and it is a powerfully bearish signal. It signifies that the sellers have overwhelmed the buyers, the equilibrium has been shattered, and the path of least resistance is now firmly downwards. Traders often measure the potential target of such a breakdown by taking the height of the triangle at its widest point and projecting that distance downwards from the point of the breakdown. Given the scale of this particular pattern, this technical measurement points to a significant further decline in the ratio, potentially revisiting and even surpassing its all-time lows. This isn't just a minor dip; it's a structural failure on the chart that suggests a new, sustained leg down in Bitcoin Cash's performance relative to Bitcoin. The "hype rally" that saw the ratio climb in the lead-up to the Bitcoin Cash halving has been effectively erased, and the market is signaling that the fundamental gravity of the long-term downtrend is taking hold once more. A Ghost in the Machine: The Lingering Shadow of the 2017 Fork This technical breakdown did not occur in a vacuum. It is a single chapter in a long and bitter saga that began in 2017. To grasp its significance, we must revisit the great "Block Size War" that tore the Bitcoin community apart. At its heart was a philosophical disagreement about how to scale Bitcoin to accommodate more users. One camp, which included many of the earliest adopters and evangelists, argued for a simple solution: increase the block size. By allowing more transactions to fit into each block, the network could process more volume and keep fees low, preserving what they saw as Bitcoin's original vision of a "peer-to-peer electronic cash system." The other camp, which ultimately retained control of the Bitcoin protocol, argued for a more cautious approach. They feared that large blocks would lead to centralization, making it too expensive for ordinary users to run a full node and validate the blockchain. Their solution was to keep the base layer small and secure, and to build scaling solutions on top of it, such as the Lightning Network. This ideological impasse led to a "hard fork" in August 2017, creating Bitcoin Cash. For a brief, euphoric period, BCH was seen as a legitimate contender. Fueled by a powerful narrative and influential backers, its price soared, and the BCH/BTC ratio hit an all-time high of over 0.5 in late 2017, sparking serious talk of a "flippening"—the moment BCH would overtake BTC in market capitalization. That moment never came. Since that peak, the BCH/BTC ratio has been locked in a devastating, multi-year downtrend. The recent triangle pattern was merely a pause, a brief consolidation within this much larger waterfall decline. The breakdown from the triangle is therefore not a new event, but a continuation of a historical trend. It is the market's brutal verdict on the outcome of that civil war. The Fundamental Chasm: Why Bitcoin Cash Keeps Losing Ground A chart pattern is ultimately a reflection of underlying fundamentals. The relentless decline of the BCH/BTC ratio is a direct consequence of the widening gap between the two networks across every meaningful metric. 1. Narrative and Brand Identity: Bitcoin has successfully cultivated a simple, powerful, and globally understood narrative: it is digital gold. It is a store of value, a hedge against inflation, and a pristine, unconfiscatable asset. This narrative has attracted institutions, nation-states, and trillions of dollars in potential capital. Bitcoin Cash, meanwhile, has struggled to define itself. Its narrative as "peer-to-peer electronic cash" is less compelling in a world with countless low-fee payment options, including stablecoins and Bitcoin's own Lightning Network. Without a clear and unique value proposition, it has failed to capture the market's imagination. 2. Security and Hash Rate: The most critical measure of a proof-of-work blockchain's health is its hash rate—the total computational power dedicated to securing the network. Here, the difference is staggering. Bitcoin's hash rate is orders of magnitude higher than Bitcoin Cash's. This makes Bitcoin exponentially more secure and resistant to a 51% attack, where a malicious actor could gain control of the network. Bitcoin Cash, with its comparatively minuscule hash rate, remains theoretically vulnerable, a fundamental flaw that deters serious institutional capital. 3. Developer Activity and Innovation: The heart of any technology is its developer community. The most innovative and exciting developments in the Bitcoin ecosystem are happening on the main chain. The activation of Taproot, the explosion of Ordinals and Inscriptions, and the continued growth of the Lightning Network all demonstrate a vibrant and evolving protocol. In contrast, the developer ecosystem for Bitcoin Cash has been far less dynamic. While it has its dedicated builders, it has not produced the kind of groundbreaking innovation needed to attract new users and capital. 3. Adoption and Network Effects: Bitcoin's network effect is its ultimate moat. It has spot ETFs trading on major stock exchanges, granting it unparalleled access to traditional finance. It is held on the balance sheets of public companies and is recognized as legal tender in some countries. Bitcoin Cash has none of these things. Merchant adoption has stalled, and institutional interest is virtually non-existent. In the world of networks, winners tend to take all, and Bitcoin's lead has become seemingly insurmountable. The Aftermath: What Comes Next for the BCH/BTC Ratio? With the triangle pattern now shattered, the path forward for the BCH/BTC ratio looks precarious. The most likely scenario is a continuation of the bearish trend that has been in place for over six years. The breakdown has released the coiled energy to the downside, and the ratio will likely seek out lower levels of support, potentially bleeding towards its all-time lows. For investors, this serves as a stark reminder of the risks of holding assets that are fundamentally and technically weaker than the market leader. Is there any hope for a reversal? A bull case for Bitcoin Cash would require a monumental shift. It would need to carve out a sustainable niche that Bitcoin cannot serve, perhaps in ultra-low-fee microtransactions. It would require a renaissance in developer activity, producing a "killer app" that draws in millions of users. More likely, any significant bounce in the BCH/BTC ratio would probably be a result of a massive, indiscriminate altcoin rally that lifts all boats, rather than a specific vote of confidence in Bitcoin Cash itself. Even then, history suggests such bounces are temporary and ultimately present better opportunities to sell than to buy for the long term. Conclusion: The Market Has Spoken The breakdown of the BCH/BTC ratio from its multi-month triangle is a technically significant event with profound fundamental implications. It is the market's latest verdict in the long-running war for the "real Bitcoin" title. The verdict is clear: the hype is over. The dream of a "flippening" is a distant memory, a ghost from 2017. The story of the BCH/BTC chart is a powerful lesson in market dynamics. It shows that in the brutal competition of open-source protocols, a superior narrative, impenetrable security, and a powerful network effect are the ultimate weapons. Bitcoin Cash began its life as a legitimate contender with a compelling vision. But over time, it has been outmaneuvered, out-developed, and out-adopted. The chart does not lie. It simply reflects this divergent reality, and its latest signal suggests that the great divergence between Bitcoin and its most famous offspring is set to continue.
Short
by bryandowningqln
1
₿itcoin: Directly or with a Detour?!Under our primary scenario, Bitcoin remains on track to climb into the upper blue Target Zone between $117,553 and $130,891 during green wave B. The key question at this stage: will the crypto giant head straight for the zone – or take a detour below the $100,000 level first? Either path remains structurally consistent with the broader outlook. Once wave B concludes, we expect a pullback to unfold in wave C, with the low of that move – and the bottom of orange wave a – anticipated in the lower blue Target Zone between $62,395 and $51,323. From there, orange wave b should initiate a corrective rally, likely rebounding toward the $100,000 mark. This would set the stage for the final leg down in blue wave (ii). Meanwhile, our alternative scenario remains intact on the 8-hour chart. This 30% likely scenario suggests Bitcoin is still advancing within blue wave alt.(i) , rather than correcting in wave (ii). A confirmed breakout above $130,891 would validate this outcome. 📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by MarketIntel
$BTC 4hr - The Calm Before Bitcoin’s Next Move💡 In bull markets, triangles break UP more often than down. But volume + macro + ETF flows > patterns. Set alerts, manage risk, stay nimble. #BTC #CryptoAlpha #RiskManagement 🎯 Key Levels Analysis: ✅ Resistance: 106.3K → This level matches the upper bound of the symmetrical triangle and is reinforced by multiple recent rejections. Also aligns with previous highs. ✅ Support: 103.7K → Mid-range horizontal support. Price reacted here multiple times. It's also near the triangle base. ✅ Support: 99.6K → Clean psychological + technical level. A previous consolidation zone. Would likely trigger a strong reaction. ✅ Last Line of Bull Defense: 95.2K → Major horizontal support from the April/May breakout structure. Losing this would likely invalidate the bullish structure.
by Vandallet
Bitcoin Multiframe: Key clusters to watch before FOMC__________________________________________________________________________________ Technical Overview – Summary Points __________________________________________________________________________________ Momentum: Dominant bullish structure across all major timeframes (MTFTI = Up). Supports/Resistances: No HTF pivot engaged; key on-chain support at $97.6k, resistance at $115.4k. Volume: Central oscillation within range; no major surges observed, consolidation on micro-TF. Multi-timeframe behaviors: Bullish structure dominates, technical pullback on 4H-1H-15min without major breaks. __________________________________________________________________________________ Strategic Summary __________________________________________________________________________________ Overall Bias: Structurally bullish as long as key supports hold (97.6k–104.5k zone). Opportunities: Buy confirmed dips on on-chain cluster/H4-H2 area, target 110–115k extension post-FOMC positive catalyst. Risk zones: Extreme volatility expected around FOMC (June 17–18); strict risk management, avoid overexposure. Macro catalysts: FOMC (rate decision, dot plot), Fed leadership stability, Israel-Iran geopolitical tensions. Action plan: Patience until FOMC; favor setups on clear price reaction, tight stops below 97.5k (on-chain support). __________________________________________________________________________________ Multi-Timeframe Analysis __________________________________________________________________________________ 1D: Bullish momentum, price at range center ($106k). Watch for pivot break. 12H: Persistent bullish bias, confluence with 1D. 6H: Expected consolidation, bullish structure. 4H: Technical pullback, bullish structure remains. Key anticipated support 105k–104.5k. 2H: Likely move towards lower range. Up bias confirmed. 1H: Technical correction within overall Up trend. 30min/15min: Seller sequence, trend intact, no major break. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator remains “Up” across all frames, boosting the positive view despite short-term correction. Executive summary: Strong bullish convergence from Daily → 15min timeframes. Ongoing short-term pullback, no HTF pivot breaks. Any break below $97.6k would invalidate the swing bullish scenario. __________________________________________________________________________________ Macro, Economic Calendar, On-chain & Risk Management __________________________________________________________________________________ Macro: FOMC imminent (June 17–18): waiting – volatility on rate/dot plot. Geopolitical risk (Iran-Israel): sustained global risk-off may escalate. BTC shows strong resilience at 106k. Economic calendar (key points): June 17–18: FOMC — maximum impact (stocks, FX, crypto) June 17: Fed leadership rumors — potential volatility, BTC stable June 17, 08:30 UTC: USA — retail sales (May/core) On-chain: Key support at $97.6k (STH cost basis), resistance at $115.4k. Long-term holders are distributing, but bullish accumulation pressure intact. Clustering may amplify short-term directional moves. Key scenarios: Bullish: Extension to 110–115k if FOMC positive, stop below 97.6k. Bearish: Break of 97.6k = risk of drop towards 92.9–95.4k. Management: Avoid exposure pre-FOMC, active monitoring, strict stops. Patience & discipline: Only size up with post-FOMC validated reaction or confirmed breakout. On-chain cluster = invalidation radar for bullish bias. __________________________________________________________________________________
Long
by Ox_kali
₿itcoin: Continuing B WaveBitcoin has recently reclaimed the key $106,000 level. Under our primary scenario, we anticipate continued increases into the blue Target Zone between $117,553 and $130,891 – where green wave B is expected to conclude. From that corrective peak, we project a significant move lower in wave C, which should ultimately pull prices into the lower blue Target Zone between $62,395 and $51,323. This range is expected to mark the completion of orange wave a. We then foresee a brief corrective rally before wave (ii) completes its broader correction with a final sell-off. 📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by MarketIntel
PNUTUSDT Forming Falling WedgePNUTUSDT is presenting a compelling falling wedge pattern, signaling a high-probability bullish reversal. This technical formation typically occurs after a sustained downtrend and is characterized by converging trendlines sloping downward. In the case of PNUTUSDT, the wedge is nearing its apex, indicating that a breakout is likely imminent. The setup is further supported by healthy volume levels, adding credibility to the expected move. Historically, falling wedges often lead to explosive upside moves, and this pair is currently projecting a potential gain of 90% to 100%+ if the breakout confirms. Market interest in PNUTUSDT is steadily growing, as indicated by rising trading activity and increased visibility across community forums and social platforms. This surge in attention aligns with the volume spike seen during recent trading sessions — a classic precursor to bullish breakouts. As more investors start to take positions in anticipation of a breakout, price momentum can accelerate rapidly, creating ideal conditions for short- to mid-term gains. From a technical standpoint, a confirmed breakout above the wedge’s upper resistance line could open the door to rapid price expansion, especially with limited overhead resistance. Traders should watch for confirmation signals such as strong bullish candlesticks, increasing volume, or a retest of the breakout level. PNUTUSDT is shaping up as an exciting opportunity for swing traders looking to capitalize on pattern-based moves in the altcoin space. With bullish sentiment, clear technical structure, and improving market participation, PNUTUSDT could be on the verge of a significant breakout. It’s a setup that combines strong technicals with growing investor interest — a powerful combination in crypto trading. ✅ Show your support by hitting the like button and ✅ Leaving a comment below! (What is You opinion about this Coin) Your feedback and engagement keep me inspired to share more insightful market analysis with you!
Long
by Alpha-GoldFX
Bitcoin (BTC)and NASDAQ: Intermarket Analysis and the Road AheadIn this four-hour BTCUSD chart, Bitcoin is currently consolidating within a symmetrical triangle pattern ⏳. The price is oscillating between a series of lower highs and higher lows, with the most recent swing high and swing low serving as key reference points for traders. This pattern reflects a market in indecision, awaiting a catalyst for a breakout. Volume has picked up as price approaches the previous low, suggesting that buyers are stepping in to defend this area, rather than capitulating. The next significant move will likely be determined by whether price can break above the last swing high or fall below the last swing low. A breakout above the previous high could open the door for a renewed uptrend, while a breakdown below the previous low may signal a deeper correction. Geopolitical & Fundamental Backdrop 🌍 Bitcoin’s current consolidation is happening against a backdrop of heightened macro and geopolitical uncertainty. Recent global events, such as tensions in the Middle East and shifting US economic data, have contributed to increased volatility across risk assets. Institutional interest in Bitcoin remains strong, and the asset continues to be viewed as a hedge against inflation and currency debasement. However, short-term sentiment is sensitive to headlines and policy shifts. NASDAQ & Correlation with Bitcoin 📈 The NASDAQ and Bitcoin remain closely correlated, especially during periods of heightened risk-on or risk-off sentiment. The NASDAQ has recently been consolidating after a strong rally, with price action also defined by a series of lower highs and higher lows. The index’s outlook is currently neutral to cautiously bullish, mirroring Bitcoin’s technical structure. If the NASDAQ can break above its recent high, it could provide a tailwind for Bitcoin and other risk assets. Conversely, a move below the last swing low in equities could trigger further caution in crypto markets. Summary & Outlook 🚦 BTCUSD is at a pivotal juncture, with the next move likely to be determined by a break above the previous high or below the previous low on the four-hour chart. Macro and geopolitical factors are creating short-term volatility, but the long-term structure remains constructive as long as the broader uptrend of higher lows is maintained. The NASDAQ’s consolidation and its correlation with Bitcoin suggest that risk sentiment in equities will continue to influence crypto. Watch for confirmation from both markets before taking a directional bias. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency and stock markets are highly volatile and subject to rapid change. Always do your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
PEPPERSTONE:BTCUSD
by fxtraderanthony
Bitcoin Bounce & Breakout PlayChart Analysis: 🔹 Support Holding Strong: BTC is respecting a key support area (~$105,600), which previously acted as resistance (marked by recent ATH). 🔹 EMA 70 (Blue Line): Price is hovering above the EMA, adding bullish confirmation. 🔹 Bullish Projection Path: The chart shows a projected bullish move toward the sell zone near $113,200 – $113,300, representing a potential 4.4% gain from the breakout. 🔹 Key Zones: Support Zone: $105,600 Supply Zone: $100,500 Sell Zone (TP Zone): $113,200+ 📌 Outlook: If BTC breaks and holds above the resistance (~$107,000), a strong upward rally could follow. Entry near support or on breakout, with tight risk management, offers a favorable risk/reward. ✅ Entry Options: Breakout Entry: Trigger: Break and close above $107,200 Confirmation: Retest and hold above the breakout zone Entry: $107,300 – $107,500 Support Bounce Entry: Trigger: Pullback to support zone (~$105,600) with bullish reversal candle Entry: $105,600 – $105,800 🎯 Target Zones (TP): TP1: $110,400 (minor resistance) TP2: $113,200 – $113,300 (major sell zone) TP3 (aggressive): $114,000+ 🔻 Stop Loss (SL): For breakout entry: SL below $106,200 For bounce entry: SL below $105,200 or $104,800 (structure break) 📈 Risk–Reward Ratio: Approx. 1:2.5 to 1:3+ depending on entry and target 🧠 Trade Management: Move SL to breakeven after hitting TP1 Partial profit booking at TP1 Trail remaining with manual or dynamic SL (e.g., below EMA or recent low) ⚠️ Risk Notes: Avoid chasing price without breakout confirmation Watch for fakeouts and heavy selling near TP zones Adjust position size based on your risk tolerance
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by KingProTrader
Bitcoin closed week RED but that is OK, it was closeFor the last 3 weeks, Bitcoin has been in a tight range and each candle has been small body and long wicks, showing indecision and uncertainty This close up chart shows how these 3 weekly candles have occurred at the intersection of a Fib circle (blue) and This alone could explain these "wicky" candles... The Bulls have been fighting hard to keep PA up and to not let it slide down that fib circle, as is normal the majority of the time. . We shall find out this week because, now, there is not a lot to stop the Bulls trying harder. The FED will let us know the decision on interest rates on 18th. This will likely cause a reaction in markets and I think we are most likely to see Rates remain static. PA is currently on Support and remains above the 2.618 Fib extension. All is Good The MVRV (Green) and Z Score (yellow) can be complicated to fully understand but what is important to understand here is how the Yellow Z Score is still above the Green MVRV. this remains Bullish. We should notice how Both are falling and we wait for them to cross back over that falling line of resistance. Currently, This chart shows us that Bitcoin has a slightly undervalued price. The higher we go, the more Oversold, Undervalued/ the top is the opposite, overbought / over valued. The MACD is showing us a s;light levelling off For me, I think this is similar to what we saw in the end of 2024. The MACD may go back down to the Red signal line and bounce....Again, we have to wait and see. Remember, that just because MACD drops, BTC PA does not always follow. We can range across instead Over all, I am still Bullish long term but we may see some continued uncertainty in this market. The FED decision later this week will have an impact for sure Bitcoin remains strong though but should circumstances allow, we could revisit 90K on that trend line below current position. I am not to sure this will happen but a good idea t be ready if it does. What is certain is how PA has never really been in such a "soft" controlled action. The nearest we have is way back in 2016 to 2016. At this time period, we also saw BTC PA rise in a slow steady rise, no sharp pushes higher till the final push to ATH. Currently, we seem to have repeated a similar Acton though. now, for longer So, we wait and we will find out..
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
BTC “Golden Cross” Looms, but Geopolitics Could Delay ItBitcoin’s “Golden Cross” Looms, but Geopolitical Shocks Could Delay the Breakout Deep dive into price action, derivatives, on-chain data, and the tug-of-war between Middle-East risk and crypto bull-run momentum ________________________________________ Table of Contents 1. Executive Summary 2. Scene-Setter: BTC at $105 K in a World on Edge 3. Technical Spark: What a Golden Cross Really Means 4. Price Action: From $103 K Dip to $106.8 K Hurdle 5. Options Market: A Sudden Lurch Toward Puts 6. Macro Overhang: Why Israel–Iran Turmoil Matters to Bitcoin 7. On-Chain Pulse: 656 % Cycle Gain, Yet Supply Is Tighter Than 2021 8. Mining Fundamentals: Difficulty Eases, Margins Improve 9. Corporate Treasuries: The Quiet, Sticky Bid 10. Targets & Scenarios: $97 K Downside vs. $229 K Upside 11. Strategy Playbook for Traders & Investors 12. Conclusion: Delayed, Not Derailed 13. Disclaimers ________________________________________ 1. Executive Summary • Bitcoin (BTC) is trading in a tight $103 K–$108 K band, unable to confirm a breakout as Middle-East tensions push investors into hedging mode. • A Golden Cross—the 50-day SMA crossing above the 200-day—could flash within 10 trading sessions, historically adding +37 % median upside over the subsequent 90 days. • Options flow has flipped decisively toward puts, with the 25-delta skew hitting –10 %, its most bearish since the FTX collapse, signaling short-term anxiety even as long-term bets remain bullish. • On-chain metrics (exchange balances at six-year lows, HODLer supply at all-time highs) reveal structural demand; Glassnode notes a 656 % cycle advance despite a trillion-dollar market cap. • Analysts’ upside targets range from $140 K (Q3) to $270 K (October) and even $229 K based on the Golden Cross fractal. Yet a clean break of $104 K support opens room to $97 K first. ________________________________________ 2. Scene-Setter: BTC at $105 K in a World on Edge Bitcoin entered 2025 with a blistering rally—spot ETFs hoovered nearly 200 K coins in four months, miners sold aggressively into strength, and macro tailwinds (Fed easing, USD weakness) fueled risk appetite. Then two macro curveballs hit: 1. Sticky U.S. core inflation revived “higher-for-longer” rate fears. 2. Israel–Iran hostilities spooked global markets, sending Brent crude to $76 and sparking a dash for USD liquidity. BTC, once heralded as “digital gold,” behaved like a high-beta tech stock: it slipped 7 % in 48 hours, tagging $103,200 before bargain hunters stepped in. As of this writing, price sits near $105,800—right on the 100-hour SMA. Whether we escape the range depends on which force proves stronger: geopolitical dread or the long-term structural bid. ________________________________________ 3. Technical Spark: What a Golden Cross Really Means A Golden Cross occurs when the 50-day simple moving average (SMA-50) crosses above the 200-day (SMA-200). In Bitcoin’s 14-year history, we have logged nine such events: Year Days to Cross 90-Day Return 180-Day Return 2013 51 +88 % +202 % 2015 73 +34 % +67 % 2019 46 +193 % +262 % 2020 38 +77 % +112 % 2023 59 +29 % +48 % Median 90-day gain: +37 % Median drawdown post-cross: –12 % We are ~$700 shy of triggering the cross (SMA-50 at $97.9 K, SMA-200 at $98.1 K and rising). Assuming volatility stays muted, the lines converge within two weeks, potentially firing a widely watched buy signal. But remember: the cross is lagging; smart traders anticipate, not react. ________________________________________ 4. Price Action: From $103 K Dip to $106.8 K Hurdle Key intraday levels (Kraken feed): • Support 1: $104,000 – prior weekly low + bullish order-block • Support 2: $101,200 – 0.786 Fib retrace of the Feb–Mar impulse • Bear Pivot: $97,000 – 200-day EMA + high-confluence volume node • Resistance 1: $106,800 – last week’s swing high; three failed probes • Resistance 2: $108,500 – May monthly open • Bull Pivot: $113,000 – neckline of the March distribution range Monday’s bounce broke a declining trend-line from $110 K, printing a higher low—constructive, yet bulls require a daily close >$106.8 K to invalidate the short-term bearish structure. ________________________________________ 5. Options Market: A Sudden Lurch Toward Puts Deribit data (largest BTC options venue): • Put/Call Ratio: 0.62 last Friday → 0.91 today • 25-Delta Skew (1-month): –10 %, lowest since Nov-2022 • Max-Pain for April 26 expiry: $104 K (huge open interest) Translation: traders rushed to buy protective puts as Iran war headlines crossed. Market-makers, short those puts, delta-hedged by shorting spot or perpetual futures, adding downward pressure—classic gamma feedback loop. Yet term structure remains contango; June and September IVs price higher topside. Institutions appear to sell near-dated panic, accumulate long-dated calls—a bullish medium-term stance. ________________________________________ 6. Macro Overhang: Why Israel–Iran Turmoil Matters to Bitcoin 1. Risk-Off Correlation: Despite “digital gold” narratives, BTC’s 30-day correlation with the Nasdaq-100 sits at 0.64; equities slide → crypto follows. 2. USD Liquidity Drain: War premium lifts oil, stoking inflation and forcing the Fed to delay cuts; higher real yields pressure non-yielding assets. 3. Regulatory Optics: Heightened national-security chatter emboldens lawmakers keen to scrutinize crypto, a perceived sanctions-evasion channel. 4. Regional Flows: The Middle-East hosts some of the largest sovereign-wealth pools; risk aversion could pause their crypto allocations. 5. Hence, every missile headline becomes a volatility catalyst. Still, flash-risk events fade quickly if energy supply stays intact, offering windows for BTC to re-assert its secular trend. ________________________________________ 7. On-Chain Pulse: 656 % Cycle Gain, Yet Supply Is Tighter Than 2021 Glassnode frames Bitcoin’s ongoing bull as “one of the most explosive relative to market cap gravity.” Highlights: • Cycle Return: 656 % from the $14 K November-2022 bottom—impressive given the asset is now >$2 T in free-float value, dwarfing 2017’s sub-$100 B base. • Exchange Balances: Just 2.02 M BTC on centralized venues—13-year low. • Realized Price (short-term holders): $92,500—suggests marginal buyers remain well in profit. • Entity-Adjusted Dormancy Flow: At 275 K BTC/day vs. 2021’s 550 K—implying HODLers are less willing to spend. Put simply: even after a seven-fold rally, supply scarcity persists. ________________________________________ 8. Mining Fundamentals: Difficulty Eases, Margins Improve The April 20 adjustment saw difficulty dip 1.2 %, the first contraction since January. Why it matters: • Post-Halving Breathing Room: Block subsidy fell to 1.5625 BTC; a difficulty rollback cushions miner profit margins, lowering forced selling risk. • Hashrate Plateau: Network hashrate hovers at 640 EH/s, only 3 % off the ATH—miners remain confident. • Transaction Fees: Average fee per block = 0.37 BTC, still elevated by historical standards thanks to BRC-20 activity. Miners thus appear cash-flow stable, reducing downside pressure on spot markets compared to previous post-halving eras. ________________________________________ 9. Corporate Treasuries: The Quiet, Sticky Bid Since MicroStrategy cracked the dam, 68 public companies now hold BTC on balance sheets, totaling 412,000 coins (~$43 B). Recent newcomers: Company Purchase Date BTC Added Avg Cost SemiconX Feb-2025 2,500 $94,800 Nordic Logistics Mar-2025 800 $98,200 Atlantech Energy Apr-2025 1,200 $101,500 Traits of corporate treasuries: • Long-Dated Liabilities: Align with Bitcoin’s four-year halving cadence. • Low Turnover: None of the 68 have sold core holdings despite 80 % drawdowns in 2022. • Regulatory Transparency: SEC filings broadcast purchases, inviting copycat demand. This sticky bid stabilizes spot markets during macro squalls. ________________________________________ 10. Targets & Scenarios: $97 K Downside vs. $229 K Upside Bearish Path (30 % probability) • Trigger: Israel–Iran broadens, Fed signals no cuts in 2025. • Price Action: Break $104 K, bulls capitulate at $97 K (200-day). • Depth: Could wick to $88–90 K (0.618 retrace) if macro gloom persists. Base Case (50 % probability) • Trigger: Skirmishes contained; oil cools, Fed cuts twice by December. • Price Action: Golden Cross confirms, BTC grinds to $128 K by September. • Highs: $140 K tap as ETF inflows resume. Bullish Path (20 % probability) • Trigger: Middle-East cease-fire + ETF FOMO round two + dovish Fed pivot. • Fractals: Prior Golden-Cross extensions averaged +120 % at extreme. • Price Action: $150 K by summer, $229 K (Fib 2.618 from 2022 low) by year-end. • Blow-Off: $270 K October spike before the next cyclical bear begins. ________________________________________ 11. Strategy Playbook for Traders & Investors Horizon Bias Instruments Risk Management Intraday (0–48 h) Range scalp $104–$107 K Perp futures (5× max), options gamma scalping Hard stop $103 K; position <1 % equity Swing (2–8 wks) Buy pullbacks ahead of Golden Cross Spot, dated futures roll, 1-month $110 K calls Stop $97 K daily close; size 5–10 % Position (3–6 mo) Accumulate for $140–150 K target Spot, June/Sept call spreads ($120/150) Hedge via 25 % put collar Long-Term (1–4 yr) Maintain core stash; ignore noise Cold storage, DCA Re-balance only when price doubles Optional hedge: Long Gold / Short BTC ratio spread as a geopolitical shock absorber; ratio 1.3 currently, mean-reverts to 1.1 post-crises. ________________________________________ 12. Conclusion: Delayed, Not Derailed Bitcoin stands at a crossroads: a textbook Golden Cross beckons, ETF inflows smolder, miners relax, and corporate treasuries drip-feed demand. Yet war headlines and a cautious options market act as sandbags on the balloon. History says macro shocks slow, not stop secular bull cycles. Unless Middle-East conflict strangles global liquidity or the Fed slams the brakes far harder than priced, BTC’s higher-time-frame structure remains bullish. Expect turbulence, embrace risk controls—but don’t mistake a weather delay for a busted engine. ________________________________________ 13. Disclaimers This article is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investing involves substantial risk; never invest more than you can afford to lose.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln