145,000 to 30,000 the Great Resetit explain itself be ready for the next buying opportinity between Juni-Sep.2026 for every know trading market.
April.2026 is a dengerous Zone and the best selling opportinity for all Markets and all Coins
Bitcoinpricetrendanalysis
Breaking: Bitcoin Might Dip to $70k Support Point The price of Bitcoin is poised to dip to the $70k support to shake off weak hands before picking liquidity up albeit the market is generally bearish.
The $70k support is feasible or nearest support zone for bitcoin to consolidate before going back up. In similar context, as per data from crypto quant the open interest of Bitcoin on all exchanges is down 0.45% losing roughly $29 billion.
This data further solidifies our bearish thesis on $BTC.
DOGECOIN markup ... ICC He is an example of bearish icc markup on dogecoin
Indication, correction, contination - icc shout to tradesbysci
Trade responsibly good luck
Bitcoin Weakness Unfolding – Kijun Break Confirms Bear Bias🚨 BITCOIN (BTC/USD) BEARISH PROFIT PATHWAY 🚨
Hey Traders! 👋 A compelling bearish setup is unfolding on PURPLETRADING:BTCUSD. This swing trade plan leverages a classic Ichimoku signal with a sophisticated entry method for optimal risk distribution.
📉 THE BEARISH THESIS:
The bearish momentum is confirmed by a decisive breakout BELOW the Kijun Sen (Baseline). This indicates a significant shift in medium-term momentum, favoring the sellers.
🎯 MY TRADING PLAN:
Direction: BEARISH 🐻
Style: Swing Trade
Strategy: "The Thief" Layer Entry
⚡ ENTRY STRATEGY (The "Thief" Layer Method):
Instead of one risky entry, we use multiple sell limit orders at key resistance levels. This averages our entry price and builds a position as price moves in our anticipated direction.
Proposed Sell Limit Layers:
Layer 1: 96,000.00 🟥
Layer 2: 94,000.00 🟧
Layer 3: 92,000.00 🟨
Layer 4: 90,000.00 🟩
You can adjust the number of layers and prices based on your capital & risk appetite.
🛑 RISK MANAGEMENT (STOP LOSS):
A safety stop loss is placed above a key resistance zone at 98,000.00.
⚠️ IMPORTANT NOTE: This is MY plan. You MUST adjust your stop loss based on your personal risk tolerance and strategy. Protect your capital!
🎯 PROFIT TARGET (TAKE PROFIT):
Our primary target is 82,000.00, where we expect a confluence of:
Strong Support from the Triangular Moving Average (TriMA).
Oversold Conditions on lower timeframes.
A potential bull trap being sprung.
💡 SMART EXIT TIP: Consider taking partial profits on the way down. You are NOT obligated to hold until the final target. Secure profits according to your own plan!
🔍 RELATED ASSETS & KEY CORRELATIONS:
Watching these related markets can provide confirmation and strengthen the thesis:
TVC:DXY (U.S. Dollar Index): 🟢 A stronger DXY often puts downward pressure on Bitcoin. Watch for bullish momentum in the dollar as a tailwind for this bearish BTC setup.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSD (Ethereum): Crypto majors often move in tandem. If Ethereum shows similar weakness and breaks key supports, it confirms a broader crypto market pullback.
^SPX (S&P 500 Index): In recent years, BTC has shown correlation with risk-on assets. A declining stock market could accelerate the sell-off in Bitcoin.
AMEX:GBTC (Grayscale Bitcoin Trust): Monitor for significant discounts or premiums to NAV, as it can reflect institutional sentiment.
✅ LIKE & FOLLOW if you find this analysis helpful! It helps the algorithm and keeps you updated on my latest market insights. ✅
📣 Let me know your thoughts in the comments! Are you bullish or bearish on Bitcoin here? 👇
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) Technical Analysis – December 5, 2025Strong downside momentum is currently dominating on the lower timeframes. Bitcoin has once again dropped below the $90k mark.
This entire drop from the ATH (~125,769) fits beautifully into the classic Fibonacci retracement structure — price got rejected right at the 0.618 level (94,657), and despite a temporary bounce off the 0.5 retracement (99,980), bulls lacked the strength to push further. Currently, we’re trading below the 0.382 level (88,799), which is now acting as resistance — and it’s no coincidence that price today has been struggling exactly at that zone.
In addition, today’s move has perfectly filled the Fair Value Gap (FVG) from April 22, which is now completely closed. That gap also lines up with the 0.382 level of the local (smaller) Fibonacci retracement.
At the local bottom (around 83,500), we saw a classic swing low with a long lower wick, followed by a bullish candle — this is forming the early signs of a bullish engulfing pattern. Volume-wise, that candle printed a significant spike, showing strong buyer interest. Looking at cumulative volume, it’s clear that there was a notable absorption of sell pressure by larger players in that zone.
If bulls fail to reclaim the 88,800 level, a retest of the 0.886 Fibo (82,929) is likely, or even a deeper drop toward the 1.272 and 1.414 Fibonacci extensions (77,012 and 74,058). Just below that, we have a strong demand zone around 72,000–74,000, which overlaps with previous consolidations and historical FVGs.
What’s Next? 🙄😎
The current move looks like a potential end to the corrective wave, with a local bottom near 83,500, key support at 82,900, and resistance at 88,800. If price can break above that and close a daily candle higher, then 94–96k is back on the table. On the flip side, if the red descending channel holds, we could see further liquidation sweeps down toward 74–77k.
Volume signals and oscillator momentum are starting to flash a bullish bias, but bears still have the upper hand until the 0.5 Fibonacci level (99,980) is broken and the descending channel is invalidated with a proper close above it.
For now, all eyes on how price reacts around 88,800 and 92,000 — those are the key breakout levels that could confirm a larger trend reversal.
BitcoinBTCUSD
- Completed " 12345 " Impulsive Waves
- RSI - Divergence
- Change of Characteristics
- Fair Value Gap
- Order Block
Breaking:Bitcoin Might Test $50k Support Amidst Market SentimentBitcoin tanked 5% today from a high of $90k+ to the $80k zone albeit there is not any fundamental news tight to the market correction.
However Onchain metrics hints on Bitcoins possible voyage to the $50k support. as per data from crypto quant, the open interest of CRYPTOCAP:BTC on all exchanges is down 4% losing over $24B.
Similarly, the funding rates of CRYPTOCAP:BTC on all exchanges as per data from that same source is down 15% essentially connoting traders are losing interest on CRYPTOCAP:BTC hence they are selling it.
IS IT TIME TO SALE BITCOIN?
111k Bitcoin top before the 50%+ plunge - THE BIG SHORTIn my previous idea, I explored the technical readiness for Bitcoin to have a strong downturn towards 50k or lower.
I believe we are at the twilight right before the storm.
As with everything, we recognize that price doesn't just continually move down, but that there are retraces in any strong move up or down where big firms are able to offload (in a downturn) or add positions in an upturn.
In our scenario, I believe that large firms have sold into buyers as a test of strength, and buyers were unable to keep prices going higher. The proof is in the imbalances that were created at the quarterly low.
What we are looking for now is the initial impulsive correction up, typically this is points 1 and 2 in a bearish Elliot Wave bearish impulse. the 3rd point, which is also the strongest is expected to come next year.
What we are doing now is setting ourselves up to either exit Bitcoin positions, or start shorting Bitcoin.
We have a solid point of time reference for taking out liquidity, which is actually at the high of THIS closing month. I foresee December being bullish for Bitcoin, but again, this is just before the fall.
The liquidity shown inside of our OTA zone gives us four different types of liquidity:
-Trendline liquidity near the Nov Monthly highs
-The actual high in Nov
-A previous iFVG
-A Current FVG
Here is an example of what we are looking for once prices reaches into our zone:
-The price MUST manipulate the current monthly high (Nov)
-If the price creates a bullish FVG into the high, it must invert it and close below it.
-The price MUST create a bullish FVG on the way down.
We should be looking for these signs in the DAILY chart. Once we have them, short the position.
Be forewarned that it is NOT impossible for the price to manipulate ATH again, so if you do enter this short, set your SL at $132,000.
Again, price MUST show willingness to create imbalances to the downside within the OTA! If this does not happen, you cannot short!
Theoretical position:
Initiate short: apx $111,700 (or whenever there are clear imbalances within OTA)
SL: $132,000
Take Profit 1: $74,720
Take Profit 2: $57,800 (61.8% of the larger move in my previous idea)
Bitcoin BTC Bearish Momentum: My Trade Plan ExplainedI’m keeping a close eye on Bitcoin (BTC) right now. On the 4H timeframe, price action remains firmly in a sustained bearish trend. I’m anticipating a possible continuation to the downside.
If BTC holds at the current level and fails to retrace into the imbalance highlighted on the 1H chart — and we see a bearish rotation with a clean break in market structure — I’ll be watching for a potential short setup.
⚠️ Not financial advice.
BITCOIN(BTCUSDT): First Setup Dropped From $107k To $80K, Next? Dear Traders,
Bitcoin has fallen from our selling point as described in our previous trading setup on BTCUSDT. The price has dropped significantly from $107k to $80k.
We anticipate a further decline to approximately $66k to $57k. This area appears to be a discounted price point where a large number of buyers are likely to be present. Once the price reaches our entry point marked by two white lines, we believe it will follow a strong bullish impulse. This will likely take the price from $60k to $140k.
We wish you the best of luck and trade safely.
Team Setupsfx
Bitcoin MA Breakout Setup: What Traders Should Watch Now📈 BTC/USDT – “BITCOIN VS TETHER” | Crypto Market Opportunity Blueprint (Day Trade)
🔥 Bullish Breakout Roadmap for Active Day Traders
🧭 PLAN:
Price is attempting a bullish breakout above key moving averages. Once price clears $88,000, momentum buyers may step in and drive a continuation leg upward.
🎯 ENTRY (Breakout Confirmation):
▶ Enter at any price level AFTER a clean moving-average breakout above $88,000.
Look for strong candle closes + volume expansion.
🛑 STOP–LOSS (Risk Management First):
⚠️ This is MY thief-style SL: $84,000
Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s) — manage your own risk according to your playbook.
This is only my SL, not a rule. You’re free to adjust based on your own risk appetite.
💰 TARGET:
Moving averages align as a dynamic resistance zone, combined with overbought conditions and potential bull-trap signals.
Secure profits responsibly.
▶ Target: $90,800
Again — Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s), this TP is MY personal level.
Book profits your own way, at your own risk.
🔍 Related Crypto Pairs to Watch (Correlation + Key Notes)
1️⃣ ETH/USDT (Ethereum)
Highly correlated with BTC in bullish phases
Strong ETH movement often front-runs or confirms BTC breakouts
Watch for ETH strength → may add confidence to BTC breakout trades
2️⃣ BTC.D (Bitcoin Dominance)
Rising BTC dominance = Capital flowing into Bitcoin → Supports bullish continuation
Falling dominance = Altcoins gaining share → BTC breakouts may weaken or turn choppy
3️⃣ TOTAL / TOTAL2 (Crypto Market Cap Charts)
Confirms whether capital is entering the entire crypto market
TOTAL rising with BTC strength = broad market confidence
TOTAL flat/dropping during BTC’s rise = possible bull trap
4️⃣ SOL/USDT (Solana)
Solana often moves aggressively when BTC breaks out
Sharp SOL rallies can signal strong risk-on momentum across majors
5️⃣ USDT.D (USDT Dominance)
When USDT dominance drops → Traders moving out of stablecoins → Bullish risk appetite
When it spikes → Smart money hedging → BTC breakout may fail
6️⃣ BTC/USDT Perp Funding Rate
Positive & increasing funding = heavy long side → Potential squeeze
Neutral funding = healthy breakout
Negative funding = breakout might be fueled by short covering
📊 Market Tone:
BTC continues to show strong buyer interest, but resistance pockets remain.
Trade mechanically. Don’t chase candles. Let structure confirm itself.
Bitcoin retracement bullish setup Price is showing early signs of a potential bullish reversal after sweeping liquidity at the recent lows and forming a short-term base.
✔ Bullish Confluences
Price holding above lower volatility bands, showing reduced sell pressure and potential accumulation.
Higher-low structure forming after the liquidity sweep, indicating a shift in short-term momentum.
Attempt to reclaim mid-channel EMA zones, suggesting buyers are stepping in.
Green momentum signals aligning with stabilized candle structure.
🎯 Fibonacci Extension Targets
If price confirms a breakout and holds above the local EMAs, here are the next upside targets:
38.2% – 85,900
61.8% – 86,950
100% – 88,000
A confirmed break above the 38.2% level opens the path toward 87k+ and the full 100% extension.
A clean break and retest above the 38.2% level would strengthen the bullish case toward the higher targets.
Strong Resistance Wall Formed, Bears Preparing for Big AttackHello Followers, I am going to share you my opinion on BTCUSD next move..
BTCUSD is facing strong selling pressure around the 85,000-86,000 resistance zone, where the market has repeatedly rejected bullish attempts. Price is struggling to maintain momentum above this structure, indicating that buyers are losing strength and sellers are gaining control.
A clean rejection from the resistance zone combined with weakening bullish volume suggests a potential shift toward a deeper correction. Selling from 84,500 aligns with the current bearish sentiment, with downside room open toward 78,000, which stands as the next major liquidity zone.
As long as BTCUSD remains below 86,000, bearish continuation remains the favored scenario. Protect your position with a stop loss at 88,000 to avoid unexpected breakouts.
KEYPOINTS:
Entry-level 84600
Target Area 78000
Stop loss point 88000
Resistance 85000/86000
WHY THE TOP MAY NOT BE IN FOR $BTCBITCOIN SUPERCYCLE/MACRO STRUCTURE: CYCLES, ELLIOTT WAVES AND THE 269K SUPERCYCLE TARGET
Bitcoin is still operating inside the 4 year cycle that began at the FTX $15,500 low on 9 November 2022 (2) The directional pivot that begins (Subwave)Primary Wave 3 is $74,445. Until that level breaks the market has not entered the full macro expansion phase typical of Bitcoin’s strongest trends.
The cycle structure on the chart is clear:
• The cycle bottom printed between 9 November 2022
• The bullish expansion began one year before the 20 April 2024 halving
• The 2024 halving sits exactly at the cycle midpoint
• The cycle peak must form before November 2026
• The final bear phase completes in 2027
This will head into 5th Halving approx March -April 2028
The chart shows the halving cycles, coloured by vertical lines, repeating the same rhythm every four years with astonishing precision.
TOP - GREEN
BOTTOM - RED
HALVING - YELLOW
Each QT period marked a macro slowdown and a structural reset after the functional top. The 2022 QT aligned with the exact cycle bottom at 15500 and launched the current multi-year bull structure. QE has not really started this cycle - so hence this theory of the top not being in
Elliott Wave structure
The November 2021 high at 69000 is labelled as Wave 1 of 1 (PURPLE) inside the larger Supercycle. That means it was never a final top, just the first completed impulse of the entire multi-decade Supercycle.
The correction into 15500 in 2022 is marked as Supercycle Wave 2. This is a confirmed wave 2, as this broke the 2017 high.
• Wave 1 impulse complete
• Wave 2 pullback complete
• We are now building Primary Wave 3 of Supercycle Wave 3, the strongest part of the entire structure, and if my structure is correct, the current wave is a 2 of PRIMARY 3 (white), which is a subwave of the supercycle wave in purple.
The extensions on Fibs show:
• 1.618 at 129k (we have not hit)
• 2.272 at 175k
• 2.618 at 199,666k
• 3.618 at 269k
The purple Wave 5 of Wave 3 aligns with the 3.618 extension at 269k, which perfectly matches the outer macro trajectory drawn. Which may happen after the “technical timing low”
The 269k region completes Wave 5 of the larger Supercycle Wave 3.
This is not a top. This is structural wave completion.
THE MAJOR CORRECTION Wave 4 correction in 2027
The chart clearly maps the ABCDE correction - the low here cannot pass 111k
This aligns with:
• The 2027 bear phase
• The next QT window
• The historical Wave 4 timing and depth
The 2028 halving then ignites Wave 5, which begins the next expansion beyond 2029, following the same structural template from previous cycles.
MACRO SUMMARY FROM THE CHART
• 15500 was Supercycle Wave 2
• Bitcoin is inside Supercycle Wave 3
• Primary Sub Wave 3 begins at 74445
• Wave 5 of Supercycle Wave 3 targets around 269k
• Wave 4 correction aligns with 2027
• The next halving in 2028 triggers Supercycle Wave 5
• Every major QT phase aligns with cycle lows or transitions
• Each 4 year cycle peak prints before its deadline, so this one must peak before November 2026
Nothing in this structure suggests a top is in. Everything in the chart shows continuity, expansion, and alignment across cycles, QT phases, and Elliott Wave projections as long as $74445 holds
LFG!!!!!
BITCOIN : First Drop Then Shoot Up To $150,000Overview🧠
Bitcoin is in a bearish trend since it reversed from our previous trading zone. We expect the price to continue declining between 60,000 and 70,000. This is a suitable time to consider buying Bitcoin. Once the trade is activated, there are three potential targets: 90,000, 120,000 and 150,000.
Please use appropriate risk management when trading Bitcoin as it is a more volatile asset.
We wish you the best of luck.
Team Setupsfx_❤️🏆
BITCOIN TO $130,000 - $140,000Hello! It's me again!
My friends, it seems that BTC's price action is clearly indicating its trend and direction. Of the last five candles on the weekly chart, four have shown a very clear indication: there are buyers on the downside, it has remained above the 55-week moving average, and we've seen very strong support around $103,000.
It's also true that the uptrend on the weekly chart is already quite worn out. It has been quite long and has remained solid until now; however, this could be the bullish move that ends the trend.
At the moment, the technical analysis is simple and very clear: we are within the lower range of an upward move (I bought at $109,900 six weeks ago and I plan to hold since the movement is clear).
In conclusion, Bitcoin will be looking for the $130,000 range and, at most, $140,000. The final upward move is about to begin.
See you later! And remember, this isn't advice, it's just an opinion.
Bitcoin Price Hits Historical Recovery BarrierBitcoin’s price is currently at $103,922, struggling to overcome the downtrend active for nearly two and a half weeks. The cryptocurrency has failed twice to breach this resistance, reinforcing the strength of bearish market sentiment.
At present, Bitcoin trades below $105,000 but remains above the $101,477 support zone. This area is likely to form a consolidation base amid persistent volatility and cautious investor behavior.
If bullish momentum strengthens, Bitcoin could break past $105,000 and challenge resistance near $108,000. Successfully flipping this level would mark the first significant recovery since October, signaling renewed optimism across the broader crypto market.
Market Psychology: Gold vs Bitcoin - Where We Really Are🧠 The Psychology Test That Changes Everything
Here's a simple test that will tell you everything about where TVC:GOLD and IG:BITCOIN is in its cycle:
Look at these two charts. Which one screams "bull market euphoria"?
────────────────────────────────────
Chart One
🥇 TVC:GOLD : A Textbook Bull Market
Current Price: $4,000.92
Peak Price: $4,390 (Recently hit)
RSI: 69.15
Phase: EUPHORIA → COMPLACENCY (Post-peak pullback)
What the Psychology Chart Shows:
Looking at FOREXCOM:XAUUSD price action overlaid with the Wall Street Cheat Sheet:
✅ Clean parabolic structure - No ambiguity
✅ Multiple phases completed - Hope → Optimism → Belief → Thrill → Euphoria
✅ Peak already hit at $4,390 - The pink Euphoria circle was touched
✅ Now pulling back from peak - Classic post-euphoria behavior
✅ RSI cooling from overbought - Down from 85+ to 69.15
✅ Volume still elevated as reality sets in
This is what a COMPLETED bull market looks like.
When you see this chart, you don't second-guess. You don't wonder "is this a bull market?"
You KNOW it is.
────────────────────────────────────
Chart Two
₿ IG:BITCOIN : Still in Early Stages
Current Price: $101,802.2
RSI: 44.61
Phase: OPTIMISM (not even Belief yet)
What the Psychology Chart Shows:
Looking at INDEX:BTCUSD price action overlaid with the Wall Street Cheat Sheet:
⚠️ "We are here" marker - Sitting in the OPTIMISM phase
⚠️ Haven't reached Belief yet - The green zone is still ahead
⚠️ Thrill phase - Blue circle far above current price
⚠️ Euphoria phase - Pink circle even further away
⚠️ RSI at 44.61 - Not even close to overbought
⚠️ Fourth Halving marker - April 22, 2024 clearly noted
This is what mid-cycle consolidation looks like.
────────────────────────────────────
🔍 The Critical Difference
Let me use an analogy: Think of market cycles like a marathon.
FOREXCOM:GOLD (Chart 1):
Mile 26 - Just crossed finish line - Race is over, starting to cool down
Runners are slowing down after sprint (Post-euphoria)
Crowd peaked, now dispersing (Volume still high but declining)
Everyone saw the finish (Peak at $4,390)
Now wondering if they should have sprinted harder
CRYPTOCAP:BTC (Chart 2):
Mile 8 of 26 - Still early in the race
Runners are fresh and steady (Optimism)
Crowd is watching but not cheering wildly yet
Most people aren't even at the venue yet
Many spectators think the race might be cancelled
────────────────────────────────────
📊 Side-by-Side Psychology Comparison
────────────────────────────────────
🎯 What This Tells Us About IG:BITCOIN
If COINBASE:BTCUSD were truly at a cycle top, it would look like CAPITALCOM:GOLD :
❌ Parabolic vertical moves
❌ RSI pinned above 75 for weeks
❌ Volume exploding
❌ Everyone saying "Bitcoin to $500K"
❌ Taxi drivers asking about crypto
❌ Magazine covers everywhere
❌ No doubt whatsoever about the trend
But OANDA:BTCUSD looks nothing like that:
✅ Choppy consolidation
✅ RSI in neutral zone (44.61)
✅ Volume moderate
✅ Everyone asking "Is the bull market over?"
✅ Retail despair and fear
✅ Zero mainstream coverage
✅ Maximum doubt about the trend
────────────────────────────────────
💡 The Psychology Principle
Here's the key insight from behavioral finance:
**"If you have to ask whether you're in a bubble, you're not in a bubble."**
TVC:GOLD : No one is asking if TVC:GOLD is in a bull market. It's obvious.
IG:BITCOIN : Everyone is asking if IG:BITCOIN is in a bull market. That's your answer.
────────────────────────────────────
🧩 Where Each Asset Really Is
TVC:GOLD - Post-Peak Bear Market Transition:
Completed Phases:
✅ Hope (Oct '23 - May '24)
✅ Optimism (May '24 - Dec '24)
✅ Belief (Dec '24 - May '25)
✅ Thrill (May '25 - Sep '25)
✅ EUPHORIA - PEAKED at $4,390 (Oct '2025)
Current Phase:
🔶 COMPLACENCY - "It'll come back to $4,390"
Price: $4,000.92 (down ~9% from peak)
Classic post-euphoria denial behavior
What's Next:
Anxiety → Denial → Panic → Capitulation (2026+)
Time Remaining: Bull market is OVER - bear phase beginning
────────────────────────────────────
KRAKEN:BTCUSD - Early-Mid Bull Market:
Completed Phases:
✅ Hope (2023 - Post-FTX recovery)
🟡 OPTIMISM (Current - 2024-2025)
Phases Still Ahead:
⬜ Belief
⬜ Thrill
⬜ Euphoria
What's Next:
Break into Belief phase → Thrill → Euphoria
Time Remaining: Given CRYPTOCAP:BTC high volatile nature - 2-6 months of upside potential
────────────────────────────────────
🎨 The Visual Test (Do This Right Now)
Step 1: Look at the TVC:GOLD chart
Does it look like a bull market? YES
Could you be wrong? NO
Is there any doubt? ZERO
Step 2: Look at the IG:BITCOIN chart
Does it look like a bull market? MAYBE?
Could you be wrong? POSSIBLY
Is there any doubt? TONS
Step 3: Ask yourself
**"Would a cycle TOP have this much doubt and fear?"**
The answer is NO.
────────────────────────────────────
📈 What the RSI Divergence Tells Us
TVC:GOLD RSI Pattern:
Peaked above 85 during euphoria
Currently cooling at 69.15
Rolling over from overbought
Classic post-peak behavior
This is bear market transition
IG:BITCOIN RSI Pattern:
Sitting at 44.61
Plenty of room to run
Not even approaching overbought
Recent "Bear" signals flushing out
This is early-cycle behavior
Think of it like a gas tank:
TVC:GOLD : Hit redline at $4,390, now coasting down on fumes
IG:BITCOIN : 45% full, tons of room to run
────────────────────────────────────
🔥 The Contrarian Insight
What the majority thinks:
" TVC:GOLD is in a bubble, IG:BITCOIN topped"
What the charts actually show:
TVC:GOLD is in a mature bull market (near end)
IG:BITCOIN is in early-mid bull market (tons of runway)
The irony:
Everyone trusts TVC:GOLD rally (late stage)
Everyone doubts IG:BITCOIN rally (early stage)
This is exactly backwards.
────────────────────────────────────
🎭 The Emotional State Comparison
TVC:GOLD Holders Right Now:
😰 Starting to feel anxious (down from $4,390)
🤔 "It'll bounce back, right?"
📉 Checking price hoping for recovery
🙃 "I should have sold at $4,390"
😬 "This is just a healthy correction"
This is COMPLACENCY - the denial phase after euphoria.
IG:BITCOIN Holders Right Now:
😰 Anxious and doubtful
🤐 Not talking about their positions
😔 Wondering if they should sell
📉 Feeling defeated
💀 "Maybe the cycle is over"
Which emotional state typically marks:
Post-cycle tops? → TVC:GOLD current state (Complacency/Denial after Euphoria peak)
Cycle middles? → IG:BITCOIN current state (Doubt during Optimism)
────────────────────────────────────
💎 The Bottom Line
Using the Wall Street Cheat Sheet as our guide:
TVC:GOLD :
Phase: Thrill → Euphoria
Completion: ~95% through cycle
Risk/Reward: High risk, limited reward
Action: Take profits soon
IG:BITCOIN :
Phase: Optimism (just finished Hope)
Completion: ~30% through cycle
Risk/Reward: Moderate risk, massive reward
Action: Accumulate aggressively
────────────────────────────────────
🧠 The Psychology Lesson
The market is designed to make you feel wrong at exactly the wrong time:
When TVC:GOLD peaked at $4,390 (Euphoria) → You felt confident, " TVC:GOLD to $5K!"
Now TVC:GOLD is pulling back (Complacency) → You feel like "it's just a correction"
When IG:BITCOIN is cheap and poised (Optimism) → You feel scared to buy
This is why most people:
Miss selling tops (felt too good at $4,390)
Hold through corrections (denial and complacency)
Sell bottoms during fear (Optimism feels scary)
To win, you must:
Trust the structure over the sentiment
Buy when it feels uncomfortable (Optimism/Belief)
Sell when it feels amazing (Euphoria/Peak)
────────────────────────────────────
📍 Where We Actually Are
HOPE → OPTIMISM( IG:BITCOIN ) → BELIEF → THRILL → EUPHORIA ( TVC:GOLD $4390 Peak) → COMPLACENCY → ( TVC:GOLD Current)
IG:BITCOIN is 3-4 phases behind TVC:GOLD .
TVC:GOLD already peaked. IG:BITCOIN hasn't even started its parabolic phase yet.
────────────────────────────────────
🎯 What This Means for Your Portfolio
If you're holding TVC:GOLD at $4,000:
You missed the peak at $4,390
You're in post-euphoria complacency
"It'll bounce back" is denial
Risk/reward is terrible now
Exit strategy needed YESTERDAY
If you're doubting IG:BITCOIN at $102K:
You're sitting in Optimism
You're early to the party
Peak is 3-4 phases away
Risk/reward is excellent
Accumulation strategy needed NOW
────────────────────────────────────
🔚 Final Thought
The next time someone tells you " IG:BITCOIN topped," show them these two charts side by side.
Ask them: "Which one actually topped?"
The answer is clear: TVC:GOLD peaked at $4,390 and is now in complacency denial. IG:BITCOIN is still in optimism.
TVC:GOLD finished its race.
IG:BITCOIN is just finishing Act 1.
The Golden Bull Run isn't over—it's barely begun.
────────────────────────────────────
This is educational content comparing market psychology across asset classes. Not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk appropriately.
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Relief Bounce incoming on BTC? We've smashed through all my previous levels for today but there is still a bit of vector candle to recover just below here at point 6. Is this the beginning of the end for this cycle?
Bitcoin Price Crash Below $100,000? Here’s How It Could HappenAt press time, Bitcoin trades at $104,268, having slipped below the $105,000 support level. However, it is holding above the $100,000 which it has since May this year.
Nevertheless, the crypto king continues to trace the head and shoulders pattern, which historically precedes a bearish breakdown.
If the pattern confirms, it could result in a 13.6% drop from its neckline, pushing Bitcoin toward $89,948. Combined with weakening inflows and potential EMA crossover, the risk of a sub-$100,000 correction appears high in the short term.
However, a quick recovery could still prevent this outcome. If Bitcoin finds investor support and reclaims $105,000 as a stable floor, it could rebound toward $110,000. Surpassing this resistance would invalidate the bearish outlook and restore short-term market confidence.
Bitcoin Miners Trade Place With Long-Term Holders To Harm BTC Bitcoin’s price currently stands at $107,968, hovering above the key $108,000 support level. Historically, BTC has slipped through this zone during periods of miner or institutional profit-taking. Maintaining this support is crucial for preventing a deeper retracement.
If miner selling intensifies, Bitcoin could drop toward $105,585, marking a two-week low. The move would likely trigger short-term liquidation pressure and add to investor uncertainty. A further decline could also weaken technical support ahead of $103,000.
However, if miners ease off and sentiment stabilizes, Bitcoin could rebound toward $110,000. A confirmed breakout above this level may pave the way for a rise to $112,500, restoring short-term bullish confidence in the market.
Ready for BTC/USDT's Next Big Move?🎉 BTC/USDT: "Bitcoin vs. Tether" Crypto Wealth Heist Map (Swing/Day Trade) 🤑
🚨 Thieves of the Crypto Market, Assemble! 🚨
Ready to pull off a stylish swing/day trade heist on BTC/USDT? This is your Crypto Wealth Strategy Map with a bullish setup that’s screaming opportunity!
📈 Let’s dive into this cheeky yet professional plan with a sprinkle of thief swagger to snatch those profits! 💰
📊 The Setup: Why This Trade is a Steal! 🕵️♂️
Bullish Confirmation: We’ve got a double bottom pattern signaling a potential reversal. ✅
Accumulation Zone: Price action shows buyers stacking up, ready to push BTC higher. 🛒
Heikin Ashi Reversal: Smooth, green Heikin Ashi candles confirm the bullish vibes. 🟢
Market Sentiment: The crypto streets are buzzing with optimism — time to capitalize! 😎
The Thief’s Entry Plan: Layered Limit Orders 💸
This is where our thief strategy shines! We’re using a layering strategy with multiple buy limit orders to sneak into the market like the slick bandits we are. 🕴️
Entry Levels:
🎯 $112,000
🎯 $113,000
🎯 $114,000
🎯 $115,000
🎯 $116,000
Pro Tip: Feel free to add more layers based on your risk appetite! Stack those orders like a master thief planning the perfect heist. 😏
Why Layering?: This approach lets you average into the position, reducing risk if the market pulls a fast one. 🃏
🛑 Stop Loss: Protect Your Loot! 🔒
Thief’s Stop Loss: Set at $110,000. This is our escape hatch if the market turns into a trap. 🕳️
Note: Dear Thief OGs (Ladies & Gentlemen), this SL is just a suggestion. You’re the boss of your own vault — adjust it to your risk tolerance! 💪
🎯 Target: Cash Out Like a Pro! 🏦
Profit Target: Aim for $127,000, where we expect strong resistance and potential overbought conditions. Watch out for a possible trap — don’t get greedy! 😈
Note: Dear Thief OGs, this TP is my take. You decide when to grab your profits and vanish into the crypto night. 🌙 Take the money and run at your own discretion!
🔗 Related Pairs to Watch 👀
Keep an eye on these correlated pairs (all in USD) to confirm the broader market trend:
BITSTAMP:ETHUSD : Ethereum often moves in tandem with Bitcoin. A bullish ETH could reinforce BTC’s upward momentum. 📈
BITSTAMP:XRPUSD : Ripple’s price action can signal broader crypto market strength. Watch for similar bullish patterns. 🌊
COINBASE:LTCUSD : Litecoin tends to follow BTC’s lead. A breakout in LTC could confirm our bullish bias. ⚡
Key Correlation Insight: These pairs often move together due to shared market sentiment in the crypto space. If BTC/USDT pumps, expect ETH, XRP, and LTC to potentially follow suit. Cross-check their charts for confluence! 🧠
🛠️ Technicals Recap: The Thief’s Toolkit 🧰
Double Bottom: A classic reversal pattern signaling bulls are ready to charge. 🐂
Accumulation Zone: Buyers are quietly stacking positions — a sign of strength. 📦
Heikin Ashi: Smooth candles filter out noise, confirming bullish momentum. 🕯️
Resistance Watch: $127,000 is a key level where sellers might step in. Stay sharp! ⚠️
⚠️ Disclaimer: Thief Style, Just for Fun! 😜
This Thief Strategy is for entertainment and educational purposes only. Trading is risky, and the crypto market can be a wild ride. Always do your own research (DYOR) and manage your risk like a seasoned bandit. I’m not a financial advisor, just a cheeky chart enthusiast sharing the vibe! 😎
✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!
#BTCUSDT #CryptoTrading #SwingTrading #DayTrading #ThiefStrategy #Bullish #TechnicalAnalysis #HeikinAshi #DoubleBottom #MakeMoney
