BTC Post-Cut Rates Bearish BiasMy bias after first post-FOMC hours: Short-term bearish in corrective range
We now have:
Clear liquidity sweep ABOVE 93–93.5k
Break BELOW 92k
Immediate bounce back to low 92's
Short-term structure = bearish, but in the middle of the impulse, not at an extreme. That matters for entries.
93–93.5k = key macro level
Price could not hold; spike → rejection → dump.
That confirms it as strong resistance for now.
Price stabbed below 92k and bounced.
That is first probe below his line, not a clean breakdown yet.
Right now we are in no-man’s-land.
Key short trigger:
Primary: 93–93.5k retest failure
Secondary: Break + retest of 92k from below
Hard invalidation of bear idea:
Daily close > 95k with strong volume.
Key long trigger:
Reclaim & hold 94–94.5k or capitulation flush to 85–88k with strong reversal.
If price just chops between 92k and 93k:
Sit on hands and wait for one of the triggers.
Bitcoinshort
Signal v. Noise: The Power of the Macro Structure | BTC Edition As shown similarly in my macro chart of CRYPTOCAP:XRP , we again see similar macro trend lines that do matter.
While I do feel that were absolutely well into a bear market, these trend lines combined with the truncated nature this cycle and the cycle prior leave me curious of a larger shockwave at play stemming back from the 2017 market cycle top. “Will this cycle be different” is the big question we will soon have to confront. Depending on how these confluences interact will strengthen the probability of which direction the market will trend, and analyzation of how these confluences react to one another must not be taken lightly.
Since 2017, the charts might be telling us to not get too comfortable and that in this new paradigm of institutional backed digital beans, we may want to tread lightly and be increasingly vigilant to not fall into the similar rut that prior cycle timeframes have foretold.
I hope this chart helps you. None of this is financial advice, and best of luck with your current and future trades!
The Bitcoin Meteorite and MSTR falling knifeThe US Trading session just ended and handed Asia a Bitcoin Meteorite. If there's one thing Asia hates - it's fake pumps...and that's all today was on BTC. We'll be lucky if BTC is over $90k when the US market opens tomorrow on 12/4.
Asian session behavior is predictable:
They love to liquidate overleveraged U.S. breakout traders
They fade fake pumps
They push price back toward equilibrium
At the very least we pull back to $92, and while I think $91k is more likely and even $90 isn't out of the question. The other concern is all the benevolent articles coming out about BTC. Larry Fink said bitcoin is the new bellbottoms...or whatever. When they flood the market with bogus 'opinion' pieces, these people only speak because they want to influence retail traders. You really think the CEO of black rock wants to drive the price of BTC UP before they expand their holdings... If they're talking about something...they're selling you a bridge. I think BTC and it's biggest holding company MSTR (which managed to buy only 130 Bitcoins this cycle (BWHAHAHA) is going to crash even harder than it has been. $1.4B in cash reserves to fund $773+ Million in annual dividends while diluting shares is a recipe for bankruptcy and a $.01 share price...
Shorting BTC and MSTR all week long and twice on Sunday.
Bitcoin price prediction 2026-2027 Season Dear Bitcoin investors;
I predict that Bitcoin price movements will move as shown in the chart in the 2026-2027 season range.
There will be short-term upward movements as seen in the chart.
Main trend = It is in a downward trend.
Investors who want to take short-term profits can maintain their positions from appropriate entry levels to sales areas.
Then, sales pressure will continue until the end of the year; I think that the new year will bring ASTRONOMICALLY high profits for bitcoin. Personally, I have sales positions and I am thinking of maximizing my profits by buying these positions in buying areas.
I plan to hold my positions until the time I mark as a suitable buying time, and then start buying transactions towards the end of the year.
I wish everyone a new year
(The information contained herein is my personal prediction and analysis; it does not constitute any investment advice.)
Bitcoin's Next Move: What 4 Timeframes Reveal Right NowWeekly
A sustained move through the key resistance on this timeframe at105,000 to 110,000, could confirm a reversal. For now, the weekly outlook shows a potential market in correction rather than reversal.
Daily
After dropping nearly 5% yesterday, Bitcoin has rebounded sharply today with a gain of about 6.7%. The price is currently up $5775 at $92,060. Today’s low at $86,190 followed yesterday’s deeper dip to $83,814. The daily chart may suggest further upside potential.
4H
Momentum on RSI has turned higher on the 4-hour chart, lifting from oversold conditions and breaking back above the midline. This suggests improving intraday demand and provides a base for further upside if price continues to hold above the recent breakout level. The next resistance sits around 96,500, the prior swing high on this timeframe.
1H
The hourly timeframe shows the price bouncing back above the 50, 100 and 200-hour moving averages, which are currently clustered around $87,500 and $89,320. If the price stays above these converged moving averages, it can signal continued buying pressure in the near term.
111k Bitcoin top before the 50%+ plunge - THE BIG SHORTIn my previous idea, I explored the technical readiness for Bitcoin to have a strong downturn towards 50k or lower.
I believe we are at the twilight right before the storm.
As with everything, we recognize that price doesn't just continually move down, but that there are retraces in any strong move up or down where big firms are able to offload (in a downturn) or add positions in an upturn.
In our scenario, I believe that large firms have sold into buyers as a test of strength, and buyers were unable to keep prices going higher. The proof is in the imbalances that were created at the quarterly low.
What we are looking for now is the initial impulsive correction up, typically this is points 1 and 2 in a bearish Elliot Wave bearish impulse. the 3rd point, which is also the strongest is expected to come next year.
What we are doing now is setting ourselves up to either exit Bitcoin positions, or start shorting Bitcoin.
We have a solid point of time reference for taking out liquidity, which is actually at the high of THIS closing month. I foresee December being bullish for Bitcoin, but again, this is just before the fall.
The liquidity shown inside of our OTA zone gives us four different types of liquidity:
-Trendline liquidity near the Nov Monthly highs
-The actual high in Nov
-A previous iFVG
-A Current FVG
Here is an example of what we are looking for once prices reaches into our zone:
-The price MUST manipulate the current monthly high (Nov)
-If the price creates a bullish FVG into the high, it must invert it and close below it.
-The price MUST create a bullish FVG on the way down.
We should be looking for these signs in the DAILY chart. Once we have them, short the position.
Be forewarned that it is NOT impossible for the price to manipulate ATH again, so if you do enter this short, set your SL at $132,000.
Again, price MUST show willingness to create imbalances to the downside within the OTA! If this does not happen, you cannot short!
Theoretical position:
Initiate short: apx $111,700 (or whenever there are clear imbalances within OTA)
SL: $132,000
Take Profit 1: $74,720
Take Profit 2: $57,800 (61.8% of the larger move in my previous idea)
Winter Has Arrived — Bitcoin’s Chill DiveBitcoin’s chart looks frosty — I expect a decline toward 83,000.
The red zone on the chart marks the invalidation area, where my plan will be canceled if price reaches it.
I believe Bitcoin is entering a corrective phase, and the market might need a “cool down” before any new rally can start
Bitcoin Analysis - Short & LongPrice is anticipated to sweep the previous day’s low (PDL) and previous week’s low (PWL), while also mitigating the unfilled H4 imbalance.
This aligns with a potential retest of the daily FVG support zone before initiating a move to the upside.
There is a clear draw on liquidity toward the buy-side, with both the previous day’s high (PDH) and an unfilled daily FVG serving as objective targets.
After filling this daily FVG imbalance, price is expected to continue delivering lower to address remaining inefficiencies on the sell-side, specifically around the 87,000 level, where another unfilled daily FVG is present.
BTC (MBT) on the way ot 86'000Price reacted very well at the white and red fork lines (see arrows).
We have left the white centerline, and now price is hovering around the red one. If we get an open and close below it, we’ll have a new target: the WL1 of the white fork, which unsurprisingly, lines up with the red L-MLH.
Rough times ahead...
BTC needs to hold this level or risk a slide toward 90K?Bitcoin is at a crucial juncture. This week’s move could possibly prove vital for the cryptos forecast leading into Christmas.
Bitcoin has extended losses for a 4th session, now trading less than $95K. 93,700 dollars is possibly the most immediate support on the chart.
For any recovery to gain traction, price might need to reclaim 101,150 dollars and establish higher lows above it.
Perhaps the most important fundamental issue pressuring BTCUSD are the remarks from Fed officials questioning whether a December rate cut is warranted. Adding to the downside, Japan Exchange Group has apparently paused the listing of three crypto treasury firms while it reviews new compliance and disclosure rules. Japan remains the largest market in Asia for listed Bitcoin treasury firms, with fourteen companies currently holding BTC.
If Bitcoin's future isn't clear, zoom out.I used to have such a hard time with ICT's concepts until I simplified it and started zooming out... There are only two concepts to recognize:
Does price push past a high or a low WITH imbalance?
-If YES, trend will go into that direction AFTER the market makers get into position. What does that look like? Price will almost always revert to the Premium/Discount of the swing before continuing. It is in these technical areas that we look for signs of a reversal on a smaller timeframe (imbalance to the opposite side).
-If NO, this is what we call a MANIPULATION if price goes above a high/low and starts creating imbalances immediately to the reverse on a smaller timeframe.
Bitcoin on a 12 month chart really makes things EASY.
-2021 ATH broke with a strong imbalance to the upside.
-Exactly the same as it did in 2017, 2020 and now in 2024.
-In 2018 as well as 2022, price returned to BELOW discount and into OTA before a reversal.
If you want to see the future, look at the past...
-FVG will be confirmed at the end of the year. 2026 will likely herald in lower prices and seek DISCOUNT prices.
-Current discount is below $71,000.
-OTA is below $58,000. (61.8%)
-If previous historical swings foretell the future, price did not reverse until at least 78.6%
-This means a reversal could bring us all the way down to BELOW $40,000.
The fact that we will have a reversal is a foregone conclusion at this point. Next year is going to be extremely bearish for Bitcoin, but we are absolutely bulllish in the long run.
Bitcoin 455 days Rising Wedge Top FormationHello there! Here we can clearly see that bitcoin is putting in a 455 days rising wedge.
It means that every rally is getting smaller, every consolidation is taking less time, meaning bulls have less and less ammo to push the price higher - a sign of exhaustion. Price is becoming compressed and an asset is looking for a resolution (a pattern is breaking up or down).
Also we can clearly see a declining volume of this rising wedge, meaning that that there is less and less interest as the price goes higher. The trend was very aggressive, but bulls could not maintain the velocity of the trend.
And now we have a trendline which is breaking down and the volume is increasing confirming the pattern breakdown. It is like the price was trapped in that rising tide, but because of the lack of momentum, volume the trend could not be sustained anymore leading to this breakdown. At first we lost 50 day Moving average, then 200 day MA, all with very little volume, now we are about to lose 50 week MA, which supported this whole bull market.
Protect your capital.
Stay safe everyone and have a great day!
Bitcoin SHORT AnalysisBitcoin SHORT Analysis
Our sell zone aligns with the Point of Control (POC) and an unfilled H1 Order Block (OB) & SIBI, which serves as our Point of Interests (POI).
This zone was established following a displacement and the formation of a CISD (Change in State of Delivery), indicating a potential shift in market structure.
Currently, there is a significant draw on liquidity on the sell side, with the previous day’s low (PDL) forming equal lows, suggesting a liquidity pool beneath this level.
I anticipate that price may sweep this liquidity before initiating a substantial move towards the buy-side liquidity.
Given that there have been no major liquidity sweeps thus far, I expect price to respect the H1 Order Block.
Should the appropriate confirmation signals appear, I plan to enter a short position targeting the PDL as the primary objective. 🎯
MSTR - How to profit from a $140 short target🔱 The MS ponzi is taking its toll. 🔱
I’m not laughing, because it’s genuinely unfortunate for everyone who believed in this scam.
But today, I don’t want to rant about that.
I want to show how one could profit from a potential drop of more than $100.
As an Andrews Pitchfork trader, I know there’s roughly an 80% chance that price will reach the centerline. From there, price either reverses in the opposite direction or breaks through the centerline to continue its journey.
That’s exactly what happened with MSTR.
You can see how the price first reached the centerline, held there a few times, and then broke it. Since then, it’s been following the rulebook by moving further to the downside.
Now, there’s another rule worth remembering:
price often tests or retests the line it just broke.
In our case, that line is the centerline.
This means we could be lucky enough to get a pullback to the centerline, and that would be a good level to consider shorting.
The target is usually the opposite line of the centerline, which in our case is the L-MLH (Lower Median Line Parallel).
👉 If you want to learn the full framework and its rules, check the links for free material.
I hope this helps many of you, and I wish you all good profits.
Bitcoin Crash, Correction or the Final Shakeout. What to Watch.In this video, I examine the narrowing window of opportunity for us to still push up to $150k this year, and potentially $200k by Q1 2026.
The weekly Bollinger Bands (Modified for Crypto @ 3STDev) show tightening which signals a likely bigger move is brewing. The question is, do we breakout to the upside...
Or continue lower, to the $100k - $105k range where I'm seeing buyers and placing my buy orders.
I've been in cash for weeks, waiting for the final shakeout which appears to be happening now.
Let me know your thoughts below and what you think comes next!
- Brett
BTC/USDT Analysis. Testing a Key Support Point
Hello everyone! This is CryptoRobotics trader-analyst, and here’s your daily market review.
Yesterday, Bitcoin fully followed the scenario we outlined earlier. As selling pressure weakened, buyers stepped in, pushing the price toward the strong resistance area with major volume anomalies we mentioned before.
At the moment, expectations are tilted toward short positions — the first test of this zone has already shown a spike in volume followed by an immediate pullback. The buyer’s price action looks weaker, suggesting a higher probability of further decline.
The nearest target is support at $108,700–$107,500, while the main target remains the $105,600–$104,500 zone (volume anomalies).
Buy Zones:
$108,700–$107,500 (volume zone)
$105,600–$104,500 (volume anomalies)
$97,000–$93,000 (volume zone)
Sell Zones:
$111,800–$113,000 (strong volume anomalies)
$114,400–$115,600 (local volume zone)
$120,900–$124,000 (volume zone)
This publication is not financial advice.
Bitcoin - We've reached the last line of support🔱 The Buyers’ Zone represents the last major support before price potentially drops toward the red centerline. 🔱
👉 The 3-Drives pattern, signaling exhaustion in the current move.
👉 Broader markets are highly stretched; a broader trend reversal would likely pull Bitcoin down with it.
👉 The slanted support line in the dayli chart is now resistance that could not be washed away.
Given these conditions, there’s a strong possibility that this final support zone won’t hold, leading to a deeper flush.
For targets I see the red Centerline, and even the L-MLH, which gives us a natural support.
Stay sharp and trade safe—wishing you a profitable week ahead
BITCOIN - Clear bearish sign!Bitcoin is currently forming a clear corrective pattern — a rising wedge that has broken downward, retested the breakdown, and is now continuing a gradual decline.
This correction is expected to bottom around the $85K level, after which Bitcoin will likely enter a consolidation phase, form new structures, and we’ll keep updating the outlook as new developments occur.
Also, note that the EMA 25 just crossed below the EMA 50, forming a death cross — a bearish signal.
You can consider entering a short position from here, but keep your leverage low and wait for a slight pullback before entering the trade.
Many people won’t like what I’m saying — they’ll tell you “Bitcoin is heading to $200K!” — but that’s just the nature of the market. Everyone sees what they want to see.
Corrections, retracements, and emotional reactions are all part of the cycle. The smart ones are those who read the structure, not the hype.
Best Regards:
Ceciliones🎯
BITCOIN - Short before the bullish reversalThe volume profile currently aligns with our identified point of interest (POI), which corresponds to an unfilled Fair Value Gap (FVG) on the Daily timeframe.
Price action has recently swept the previous daily high (PDH), indicating a potential liquidity grab.
Hourly candle closures have shown weakness, failing to demonstrate meaningful displacement to the upside.
Given these conditions, we anticipate a possible sweep of the PDH once again, potentially forming equal lows (EQ lows) just beneath our Daily POI (FVG).
From there, price may initiate a liquidity hunt toward the sell-side, targeting the previous daily low (PDL) and previous weekly low (PWL).
A potential rebound could occur from one of our H4 Bullish Imbalance-Support-Interaction (BISI) zones, which may act as a strong area of demand.
Bitcoin – Bearish Setup / 4H
📉 ***
Price is forming a clear lower high pattern with multiple rejections from the same resistance area.
The market is showing weakness and testing the support zone around **110,000 – 112,000**.
If this support breaks, we could see a deeper move down toward the next demand zone near **104,000 – 105,000**.
🎯 **Targets:**
1. 108,000
2. 106,000
3. 104,000
🛑 **Stop Loss:** clear close above **114,500**
I expect further downside movement based on market structure and repeated rejection from the resistance level.
📘 *This analysis is based on personal market study – DYOR / Not financial advice.*
Operating within Supply & Demand zones (Bitcoin)Setup
Bullish. Correction
Bearish engulfing candle (but long lower wick)
False breakout after record high over $125,000.
Stay bullish while over 100k
Signal
Price has rebounded from demand zone around 104,000
a) Deamnd zone needs to hold to take next bullish signal
b) Looking for similar drop from supply zone near 120,000
Bitcoin Hodlers are happy campers - BUT🕷️ 🌕 🦇 In Switzerland it’s now 11:50 PM 🕷️ 🌕 🦇
I’m tired from a long day in the markets, but I feel I have to get this one out because it’s important for many of you holding Bitcoin.
In my last post, I said we’d run upward to reach the Hagopian Line, and here we are, even higher.
We’ve just tagged the U-MLH for the third time.
There’s an old pattern from the futures markets that farmers once noticed. It’s called the “Three Drives” pattern.
The old farmers knew that when this pattern appeared, it was time to hedge their crops, or add to their hedge.
When I was a student at MarketGeometry, Tim Morge explained this pattern, and ever since it’s served me well as a signal for a trend reversal.
I don’t know exactly how this will help each of you, but I’m sure it’s worth a heads-up. Whether you decide to hedge, close your positions, or just HODL until the sun burns out, it’s something to keep in mind.
Meanwhile, the Harvest Moon is shining into my office tonight, twinkling with a strange grin... 🌕
Time for me to rest.
Good night, everyone.
🌾 🌾 🌾 🌾 🌾 🌾 🌾






















