Get started

Bitcointrading

Bitcoin Rises After the Trade Storm?Bitcoin/USDT has surged strongly after confirmation of a high-level meeting between the U.S. and Chinese leaders, easing concerns over tariffs and trade tensions. At the same time, U.S. CPI data for September came in below expectations, reinforcing the possibility that the Federal Reserve may soon cut interest rates — creating a favorable environment for risk assets like Bitcoin. On the chart, the price has rebounded from the 107,000 USD support zone and is now testing the 111,000 USD level — a clear sign that the bullish structure remains intact. If the support holds and the price breaks above nearby resistance, the next target could lie around 120,000 USD or higher. Current strategy: prioritize buying on minor pullbacks around 108,000–110,000 USD while aiming for higher targets. However, if the 107,000 USD support breaks, it would signal the need for a more cautious approach.
Long
by Octaviuss
4
BTCUSD – When the rebound is just a trapAfter a short technical rebound around 111–113k, Bitcoin is now facing a strong resistance zone — where both EMA 34 & EMA 89 converge, along with a key supply area that triggered the mid-October selloff. Structurally, the chart is forming a series of lower highs , while the recovery momentum remains weak and buying volume keeps fading — clear signs that bulls are losing strength. If BTC fails to break above the 113k–115k zone, the price could turn lower toward 107k support , or even retest the long-term ascending trendline. Although recent news shows continued ETF inflows, their impact seems to be diminishing. With the USD showing mild strength and market sentiment still cautious after the earlier crash, bears are gradually taking control in the short term. Scenario to watch Resistance zone: 113k – 115k Target zone: 107k – 105k Upcoming trend: mild downside or support retest
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by Octaviuss
7
$BTC Update: Last Sunday, we discussed that Bitcoin could move CRYPTOCAP:BTC Update: Last Sunday, we discussed that Bitcoin could move toward $115K, and after that, a pullback was expected. However, this week the market showed clear manipulation — Bitcoin jumped back to $114K, then dropped to $106K, reacting to a mix of news around China, Trump, and tariffs, along with other bullish and bearish headlines. For now, Bitcoin has reclaimed the $110K support and is trading above it, showing some short-term strength. If BTC continues to hold above $110K, the next resistance is near $113.5K, around the 1D 50 EMA, which remains the strongest hurdle for bulls. A clean breakout and hold above this zone could trigger a move toward $117K–$120K — that’s where I’ll be looking to add more shorts. I’m still holding my previous short position with an average entry around $122K, and my plan is to add more if price reaches $115K–$117K. The overall structure remains bearish, and I’m waiting for clear direction. Today’s CPI report will likely decide the next move: If BTC pushes higher on the data, I’ll add to my shorts. If it drops, I’ll continue holding. The only time I’ll consider closing shorts is if Bitcoin breaks and resists below $100K. #bitcoin
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by CryptoSkullSignal
Bitcoin: Is the Market Reaching a Historical Turning Point?📅 Update: October 2025 💡 Format: Educational analysis — not financial advice Historical Context Looking back at Bitcoin’s (BTC) price history, a clear pattern emerges: roughly every four years, the market experiences a major correction following a strong bullish cycle. Key examples include: 2011 2013–2014 2018 2022 Each time, Bitcoin saw a drawdown of –75% to –93% from its previous highs. These deep retracements have historically marked the end of a growth phase and the beginning of a new accumulation cycle. Current Elliott Wave Structure According to Elliott Wave analysis, Bitcoin appears to have completed its third and fourth waves, while the fifth wave is currently unfolding. However, the recent price action suggests that this fifth wave might already be nearing its conclusion. The price remains within an upward channel, testing the trendline for the fourth time — a technical signal that often indicates weakening bullish momentum and a potential transition to a corrective phase. Main Scenario: Possible Trend Reversal For a confirmed shift in trend, Bitcoin would need to break below the channel’s lower boundary. A typical technical sequence would look like this: A breakdown below the trendline A retest of the broken level from below The beginning of a stronger downward move This process usually unfolds over months, not days — a slow structural change rather than a sudden reversal. Potential Downside Range Based on historical patterns, a post-peak correction could bring Bitcoin into the $40,000–$30,000 range. This is not a forecast, but rather an educational scenario grounded in the recurring market behavior seen in previous cycles. Conclusion and Community Discussion 📊 At this stage, Bitcoin’s overall structure remains bullish, but signs of momentum exhaustion are becoming more apparent. The key factor to watch is how price reacts to the main trendline — whether it holds as support or gives way to a deeper retracement. ❓Which scenario do you find more likely? Continued growth and new highs Or a corrective phase toward lower levels? 🗨 Share your thoughts and charts in the comments — let’s discuss it together. 🔔 Follow for more educational breakdowns, and suggest which tickers you’d like to see analyzed next.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by sdk-trading
Bitcoin: Strong Downtrend – Don’t Miss the Sell Chance!Hello traders, Although Bitcoin showed a slight recovery on Wednesday, the crypto market is still struggling after the sharp decline in early October. Selling pressure remains strong, as the market hovers near recent lows with no clear signs of recovery. With uncertainty surrounding the U.S. economy and ongoing trade tensions with China, investors are avoiding risk – further weighing on risky assets like Bitcoin. In addition, the drop in gold prices hasn’t provided enough buying momentum for the crypto market to rebound. The BTC/USDT chart clearly shows a strong downtrend with a steep descending trendline, and resistance around $112,000 has already been pushed back. The price is expected to continue falling, with the next support area around $102,000. A great opportunity to sell Bitcoin and take advantage of this downtrend!
Short
by Octaviuss
14
ETHUSDT – Sideways Trend with Clear Technical StructureETHUSDT is currently trading within a sideways range between $3,750 and $4,580. The support at $3,750 has been tested multiple times and remains strong, while the resistance at $4,580 continues to be tested but has not been broken yet. Technical Analysis: EMA34 and EMA89 are providing support from below, indicating that the long-term uptrend is still intact, although in the short term, the market is struggling to break through the current resistance levels. The price is moving within a narrow range, creating a clear sideways trend. However, if the price cannot break $4,580, there is a possibility it will continue to trade within this range. News: Institutional inflows into ETH remain steady, supporting the long-term uptrend, although in the short term, the market lacks the momentum to break the resistance levels. Macro factors like the U.S. CPI and expectations for Fed rate adjustments will impact the cryptocurrency market, but overall, ETH continues to maintain good stability within this range.
by Octaviuss
BTC and the Gold Liquidity “Bleep”Given the current stage of COINBASE:BTCUSD (and crypto in general), I wanted to share a brief extract from my latest market note to clients, focused on the sharp volatility we saw yesterday. I know many here might not be familiar with the analytical framework I use, but I believe the insight is highly relevant — and this particular observation is worth sharing more broadly. 📊 Context Yesterday’s upward move might not be what it seems — it’s not necessarily a bullish or recovery signal. I’m viewing it rather as a “bleep” — a short-term liquidity event triggered by the Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) sell-off, rather than genuine crypto market strength. Here’s why 👇 1️⃣ Sinusoidal EMA(50) & Liquidity Flow The EMA(50) on BTC showed a sinusoidal, non-trending pattern, which usually reflects temporary liquidity injections rather than structural demand. The timing aligns almost perfectly with the Gold ( COMEX:GC1! ) sell-off, which accelerates roughly 30 minutes before BINANCE:BTCUSDT BTC’s sharp uptick. This suggests a brief capital rotation — reactive capital flow, not a fresh inflow into crypto. 2️⃣ Bearish Daily Candlestick Formation The daily candle formed by this move is structurally bearish — a Bearish Engulfing pattern with a long upper wick. That kind of rejection typically signals the move lacked conviction and was quickly faded. 🧩 The Broader Implication If this was indeed a temporary disruption — not a shift in internal crypto momentum — then my bearish count remains unchanged. We can still assume the market is in a short-term consolidation phase (a state of indecision), and a Drop Level 3 (DL3) is still pending — although not mandatory. Also note: we’re approaching the mid-week reversal window, which often marks a short-term sentiment pivot. ⚠️ Extra Note On the 15-minute chart (found it in the first comment), the sinusoidal EMA behavior is much clearer. Also, the large wick in the most recently closed candle could hint that a DL3 drop may not develop — meaning BTC might already have set this week’s low. If we see more wicks like this, it could signal that market makers are trapping shorts, which would further reduce the likelihood of another major drop. 🧠 Bottom Line To me, this move is more about liquidity behavior than a trend change. I’m maintaining a bearish count, which typically unfolds in three phases — though it could resolve in just two. Remember: when you interpret markets probabilistically, not emotionally, these “bleeps” stop being noise. They become part of the process — and they don’t have the power to alter your account’s expected value. They’re simply rare distortions you can safely omit from your broader projection.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by CF_444
BTCUSD: Sideways - Watch for setup near range boundariesBITSTAMP:BTCUSD Analysis – October 22, 2025 BITSTAMP:BTCUSD is currently trading within a sideways range between 107,726 and 111,377 USD. After a breakout attempt, the price formed a buildup zone near the lower boundary of the range and surged upwards. However, it then created a false breakout at the upper boundary before pulling back to retest the previous buildup area. This false breakout was caused by weakening buying momentum after breaking above the range, partly because the buildup zone was too far from the upper boundary, limiting the follow-through. According to yesterday’s plan, we are waiting for a buildup close to the upper boundary and EMA compression to confirm a valid breakout. Trading plan for today: Look to sell when price forms a buildup near the lower boundary of the range with EMA compressing close. Enter the trade upon the appearance of rejection signals such as RB or ARB. The buy setup has not yet formed clearly but may be considered if an IRB appears within the larger BTC range. In summary, BTC is still in an accumulation phase. Prioritize waiting for confirmed signals before entering trades to minimize risk. Daniel Miller @ ZuperView
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by ZuperView
BTC/USD: Downtrend After RecoveryHello Traders, Bitcoin is facing a strong downtrend after the weekend recovery lost momentum, with the cryptocurrency lagging behind other risk markets in gaining momentum, thanks to easing US-China trade tensions. Despite an improved risk sentiment, Bitcoin failed to maintain above the 110,000 USD level. The BTC/USD chart shows a strong bearish pattern. After hitting a high earlier in the month, a sharp decline pulled Bitcoin away from its record highs, wiping out approximately 500 billion USD in market capitalization. Forecasts suggest that BTC/USD may continue to decline towards support levels at 103,500 USD and 97,900 USD, with TP1 and TP2 targets respectively. Other News: Bitcoin is struggling to maintain above 110,000 USD after a sudden drop in early October, increasing risk-averse sentiment in the cryptocurrency market. The optimism surrounding "uptober" is also quickly fading, with Bitcoin showing a loss of over 2% for the month.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by Octaviuss
3
SOLUSDT – Short-Term Bearish BiasHello traders, In my view, SOLUSDT is likely to lean toward a slightly bearish trend in the coming sessions. The preferred strategy is to sell the rally when price approaches the confluence zone around 196–199. Currently, Solana is testing the descending trendline that has been in place since early October — a level that has previously formed multiple tops and faced strong rejections. News Overview: The recent listing of the Solana ETF in Hong Kong is a positive sign for the medium term. However, the broader crypto market remains under pressure due to uncertainty in the United States , as ETF approvals are delayed by the government shutdown and the unclear regulatory stance from the SEC. This has limited short-term speculative capital and created a cautious sentiment across the market. In addition, rumors claiming that a Solana ETF was approved in the U.S . have been refuted by Reuters and Bloomberg, indicating that the market may have overreacted to unverified information. This kind of overhype often leads to short-term corrections following technical rebounds. Technical Analysis: On the 4H timeframe, SOL is clearly moving within a downtrend structure, forming a series of lower highs and lower lows. The 196–199 zone aligns with the descending trendline, the EMA89, and a key dynamic resistance level. Price is showing weak reaction in this area, suggesting that buying momentum is fading. If a rejection candle pattern or SFP (swing failure pattern) appears near 197, it could be a good opportunity to enter short positions. The near-term target lies around 182–175, a strong support zone where price previously bounced. If 175 breaks, the decline could extend further toward 170–168.
Short
by Octaviuss
2
BTCUSDT – Correction Pressure ReturnsHello traders, After a weak rebound earlier this week, Bitcoin is showing signs of losing momentum as it continues to face rejection around the 110,000 USD zone. On the 4-hour chart, price action remains clearly within a descending channel, indicating that the short-term trend still favors the bearish side. From a technical perspective, BTC is currently being capped by the EMA 34 and EMA 89, both acting as dynamic resistance levels. The recent bounce appears to be merely a technical pullback following the previous strong sell-off, but lacks the strength to establish new upward momentum. The price structure is forming a tight consolidation zone near the upper boundary of the channel — typically a signal of “a pause before continuation of the prior trend.” On the news side – Policy and sentiment headwinds This week, the FSB (G20) warned of “major gaps” in global crypto regulation — a negative sign for market confidence, especially after a massive mid-month liquidation shook investor sentiment. At the same time, China’s tighter stance on stablecoins is raising concerns about slower Asian inflows, while institutional demand remains weak. Together, these factors create a market environment of low buying pressure and rising risk , giving bears the upper hand in the short term. Possible Scenario At the moment, BTCUSDT is trading within the 106,000 – 110,000 USD range. If the price fails to make a decisive breakout above 110,000 USD, a continuation of the correction toward the 100,000 USD area remains highly possible — aligning with the lower boundary of the descending channel and a key psychological support zone.
Short
by Octaviuss
8
BTC/USD: Potential Bearish Continuation After Support BreakKey Technical Observations Prior Consolidation and Support: The price appears to have been trading within a range, with a significant support level identified around $109,000 to $110,000 (marked by the lowest horizontal black line). This level had been tested and held multiple times, particularly throughout late August and September. Support Break: A large bearish candlestick (red) recently broke decisively below this key support level. This is a strong technical signal indicating that the bears have taken control and that the prior consolidation range is over. Setup for a Short Trade (Short Entry): The chart illustrates a classic "break and retest" strategy, often used in technical analysis: Entry/Re-entry Zone: The suggested trade entry (indicated by the blue box and the curved arrow) is a retest of the broken support level, which now acts as new resistance around the $109,000 mark. Stop Loss: The Stop Loss is strategically placed above the most recent cluster of resistance, specifically above $112,682, to limit potential losses if the price moves against the trade and re-enters the previous high-value area. Target: The Target price is set significantly lower at $104,001, suggesting the expectation of a strong downward momentum move, possibly towards the next significant support area not explicitly marked on the visible chart. Risk/Reward Ratio: The setup shows a favorable risk/reward ratio, as the potential gain (Target to Entry) is visibly larger than the potential loss (Stop Loss to Entry). Conclusion The current chart structure strongly favors a short position on BTC/USD, anticipating a bearish continuation. The breakout below a critical support zone suggests the path of least resistance is now to the downside, with traders looking to enter a short position on a pullback to the broken support-turned-resistance area.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by fx_martin9
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Oct 17, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: In the most recent trading session, the Bitcoin market experienced a significant decline, falling below critical support levels of 108000 and 105700, as the price is currently actively fluctuating between these two points. The current market analysis indicates an initial potential rebound towards the Mean Resistance level of 109500, with further extension possibilities up to the Mean Resistance level of 115500. It is essential to recognize and be aware that an Auxiliary Inner Rebound occurrence following the Outer Coin Dip, marked as a 97000, in conjunction with the Mean Support level of 99000. This scenario is particularly significant at the Progressive In-Force retracement extension, identified as the Key Support level of 94000.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradeSelecter
Bitcoin Under Fire: Bears Take Full Control Below $110KHello traders, Today, let’s take a look at the overall picture of BTCUSD – where the market is gradually losing its recovery momentum and shifting into a defensive phase. After a series of negative headlines recently, Bitcoin remains under strong selling pressure, and the downtrend is now clearer than ever. 📰 Key News Highlights Over the past week, several macro factors have weighed heavily on investor sentiment: - U.S.–China trade tensions have escalated after the U.S. announced expanded tariffs on Chinese tech products, triggering capital outflows from risk assets — including crypto. - The G20 and FSB issued warnings about “significant gaps” in global crypto regulations, sparking fears of tighter oversight ahead. - The Federal Reserve struck a more hawkish tone as Vice Chair Michael Barr warned of financial stability risks posed by stablecoins, adding further psychological pressure to the crypto market. ➡️ Combined, these factors have pushed Bitcoin down nearly 15% since the start of the month, reaching around $109,000 with no clear signs of reversal yet. 📉 Technical Analysis The chart shows that BTC continues to move within a downward-sloping channel, with the EMA34 and EMA89 acting as dynamic resistances — a clear reflection of short-term weakness. The $110,000 level is a key resistance zone, aligning with both the descending trendline and EMA34. Failure to break above this area could send BTC lower toward $103,000, or even $100,000 if selling pressure expands. Only a confirmed H4 close above $112,500 would signal a temporary technical rebound. 💡 Trading Advice The market is weak — don’t try to catch the bottom. Prioritize capital preservation and wait for clear signals before taking action. Short-term traders: Look to sell on rallies around $110,000–$111,000. Long-term investors: Watch for price action in the $103,000–$105,000 range, where a potential mid-term technical bottom could form.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by Octaviuss
5
Bitcoin Now on Last reserve of Support. it MUST bounce hereThe right cirxle is where i expected BTC PA to reach before it bounced, as it did on the left circle. But It Fell out of Range and has reached this line Early. the BIG question is now, Will it bounce ? And if it does, the previous line of support....wi that now be resistance ? It needs to & maintain any semblance of Bullishness....Or we will likely see 94K and truly Test the Bulls. I do have a BUY order down there. Why Not, I will be surprised if we get there but I relish the idea of buying there again The weekly RSI certainly shows the ability to rise as it drop lower The Daily RSI is also in a Good shape. So we can bounce from here but we have heavy resistance overhead now around 109K I mentioned this date range ( 12 - 15 Oct ) at the begining of th emonth...and it has played out but, now, we need that bounce higher and up and out of Range OR we could see a drop below and possible enter a mini Bear for the rest of the month. Maybe longer. As always, TIME WILL TELL>
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
SOLUSDT – Weak rebound, bears back in controlAfter a sharp drop on October 14, Solana made a slight recovery but quickly hit resistance at the downtrend line — where sellers stepped back in strongly. The $208 zone continues to act as a tight lid on price action, signaling that current buying pressure isn’t strong enough for a reversal. With U.S.–China trade tensions still simmering, the overall crypto market — including SOL — remains under pressure. If the price fails to break above this descending trendline, SOL could likely fall back toward the $188 support zone, or even $175 in the next move. In short, the main trend remains bearish, and current rebounds look more like opportunities for sellers to reload for the next push downward.
Short
by Octaviuss
2
ETH/USDT – Ethereum’s Downtrend May ContinueAlthough Ethereum saw a slight recovery on October 14th, it remains under significant pressure from US-China trade tensions, negatively impacting the financial markets and Ethereum’s value. The US imposing 100% tariffs on Chinese goods, along with retaliatory measures from China, has raised concerns about global economic stability. These factors have pushed ETH/USDT down to a low of $3,893. The chart shows that Ethereum is trading within a clear downtrend channel, with $4,130 acting as a strong resistance level. After hitting this resistance, Ethereum may continue to decline towards $3,530 in the coming days if there is no positive shift in the fundamental factors. With the market still uncertain and US-China trade tensions unresolved, Ethereum is likely to remain under downward pressure in the short term.
Short
by Octaviuss
BTC/USDT – Downtrend ContinuesBitcoin is facing downward pressure after the escalation of US-China trade tensions. Although President Trump made more conciliatory remarks, which helped ease short-term concerns, the global economic uncertainty remains a major factor driving BTC/USDT into a downtrend. On the chart, BTC/USDT is moving within a clear downtrend channel. Despite a slight recovery, the price is currently fluctuating around $113,129 and could continue to adjust towards the 106,500 USD and 101,800 USD targets in the near term. With ongoing macroeconomic instability and no strong signs of recovery, Bitcoin may continue to decline in the short term.
Short
by Octaviuss
1
Bitcoin Faces Rejection — Bearish Continuation SetupKey Observations: Price Action & Rejection Zone: The highlighted green area represents a short-term supply zone, where previous buying momentum weakened and sellers re-entered the market. Price briefly retested this zone and faced rejection, confirming bearish intent. Stop Loss Placement: The red zone above, around $114,300, marks the stop-loss level, strategically set just above the rejection wick to protect against a false breakout. Bearish Confirmation: A clear lower high structure has formed, signaling weakening bullish momentum and potential continuation of the downward move. Target Zone: The blue dotted line near $111,070 identifies the target level, aligning with a prior support zone and liquidity area — a likely destination for bearish momentum to complete its next leg. Projected Path: The curved black and white arrows indicate the expected retracement and continuation pattern, showing price potentially retesting the supply zone before dropping toward the target.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by fx_martin9
4
BTCUSD Plunges: USD Intensifies Downward Pressure!BTCUSD is currently in a downtrend, with the chart showing Bitcoin's price moving below a clear downward trendline. The resistance level at 116,100 USD remains a key point to watch. If the price fails to break this level, BTCUSD is likely to continue its decline towards the next support levels at 104,500 USD. A strong increase in USD buying by hedge funds and asset managers, combined with rising trade tensions between the US and China, is driving the strength of the US dollar. As the USD strengthens, BTCUSD faces downward pressure, as risk assets like Bitcoin tend to decrease in value. With fundamental factors supporting the USD and the chart showing a bearish adjustment, BTCUSD is likely to continue its downward trajectory in the short term, targeting the support zone at 104,500 USD.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by Octaviuss
Bitcoin BTC price analysis after crash📈 OKX:BTCUSDT held above the key psychological level of $100,000, remaining within the long-term uptrend 💪 💀 Altcoins suffered heavy losses — liquidity vanished across the board. This highlights the importance of balance: 🔸 20% in low-cap alts 🔸 80% in resilient assets 💰 The official $19–20B liquidation figure seems understated — data suggests the cascade started on CEX platforms after algorithmic issues and liquidity gaps. 📊 Fear & Greed Index: 38 — still fear, volatility ahead ⚠️ 🇺🇸 The U.S. market open could set the tone for the week 🎢 💭 Do you expect CRYPTOCAP:BTC to retest lower levels before the next leg up? ______________ ◆ Follow us ❤️ for daily crypto insights & updates! 🚀 Don’t miss out on important market moves 🧠 DYOR | This is not financial advice, just thinking out loud
by P_S_trade
2
Continuously making HH HLBTC Analysis CMP 112510.14 (12-10-2025 02:58AM PST) Continuously making HH HL & is Still Bullish in the longer run. as shared on 02-06-2025, Cup & Handle Target hit around 115000 - 120000 & then dropped. 3 Important Support levels are : S1 around 108000 - 108450 S2 around 95000 - 95200 S3 around 86000 - 86500 S2 seems to be a Stronger Support as this range is also around Channel Bottom. Upside Targets seems to be around 132000 - 132300 initially. BTC seem safe as long as it stays above 74000; if it breaks this level, we may witness trend reversal.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by House-of-Technicals