Bearish Divergence on Bigger tf
CMP 105228.47 (02-06-2025)
Bearish Divergence on Bigger tf (Cautious
approach should be taken).
However, if 109350 is Crossed, we may
witness 115000 & then 120000 - 121000.
and if 112000 is crossed & sustained, be ready
to get New Highs :-)
Lets be more cautious & dig out 3 Important
Support Levels.
S1 around 103000 - 102500
S2 around 97800
S3 around 93400 - 93500.
Bitcointrading
TRUTH / USDT : Showing strength after huge market dumpTRUTH / USDT is showing strength after yesterday’s pullback. If the next candle takes support from the trend line resistance, it could confirm continuation and offer a good profit opportunity.
Keep a close watch and trade with proper risk management.
Solana and Bitcoin Update ! Whats Next Quick update covering BTC and Solana .
I had done videos previously anticipating this move to the downside and wanted to cover the current price action and add a little clarity to the situation .
We have had a great reaction off of BTC so far and thus some alts have also followed suit .
Bitcoin holds the fate for the alts so we want to see btc hold the current range 113K .
Take it level by level and dont panic . This is a great opportunity but we want to see a sign of strength in SOL before taking positions .
BTCUSD 30m – Bullish Continuation ExpectedBITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Structure | Trend | Key Reaction Zones
Price formed a strong base at 120,800, bouncing from the demand zone.
Accumulation structure confirmed, with multiple liquidity grabs before breaking the descending trendline.
Currently retesting breakout — bullish continuation likely if price holds above 123,200.
Market Overview
BTC has successfully broken out from a short-term bearish channel after sweeping liquidity from the lower side. The demand zone between 120,800–121,200 provided a solid foundation for buyers, signaling fresh momentum. Now retesting the broken trendline, and if held, we could see a continuation toward the upper supply zone.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀 → Bounce from 123,200 → 🎯 Target 124,500 → 🎯 Target 125,700 → 🎯 Target 126,200
❌ Bearish Case 📉 → Break below 122,000 → 🎯 Target 121,000 → 🎯 Target 120,000
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 124,500 / 125,700
Support 🟢: 123,200 / 121,800
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
BTCUSD – 4H Volume-Structure Analysis
Indicators
Smart Money Support/Resistance (Lite) & ATAI Volume Analysis with Price Action V1.03
Analytical Setup
• LTF: 10 seconds
• LTF Coverage Bars: 70
• Global Volume Period: 52
• Market Type: Range
• Active Zones:
- Support Zone: 121,557 – 123,941 USD (current active range shown in panel)
The analysis timeframe ensures valid volume coverage, as the period (52) is smaller than total LTF bars (70).
Resistance Area & Bull Trap Risk
In the upper range (≈123,900 USD), a Bull Trap Risk has formed immediately after an OverBought 6/7 condition — confirmed by RSI, Stoch, %R, CCI, MFI, and DeM modules in ATAI. At this point, both buy and sell volumes peaked within the 52-bar window, with S.Max = 4.33K and B.Max = 3.76K. This slight dominance by sellers indicates demand absorption at the top of the structure. The setup matches ATAI’s trap logic — high wick, overbought context, and volume imbalance — signaling potential exhaustion near resistance.
Support Area
Support is currently anchored near 121,550 USD, derived from B.Min and S.Min lows (B.Min = 7.29, S.Min = 807). This aligns with the lower projection from Smart Money S/R, marking the point where cumulative delta begins to compress. Historically, compression at minimum-volume zones often precedes short-term accumulation or range stabilization.
Structural Behavior
The chart shows a defined upward channel (orange and cyan dashed lines). After testing the upper boundary, price entered the resistance zone and generated a Bull Trap Risk followed by moderate rejection. Below, the Sharp ↓ Risk tag signals potential for a short liquidity sweep before stabilization. Volume readings still support range continuation rather than a confirmed reversal, consistent with the Range Market tag.
Probable Scenario
1. A short pullback toward the lower boundary of support (~121.5K) is expected.
2. If support holds and volume compression persists, a rebound toward 123.9K (resistance ceiling) is probable.
3. A breakdown below 121.5K could trigger a deeper correction toward the next S/R projection near 120K.
This represents a neutral-to-bullish range bias: short-term weakness, but constructive above support.
Summary
• OverBought 6/7 + Bull Trap Risk detected at resistance (≈123.9K).
• Support around 121.5K built from B.Min and S.Min.
• Sellers slightly dominant at the trap peak.
• Likely scenario: retest of support, then rebound toward resistance if volume confirms.
• Bias: range continuation until breakout beyond 123.9K or breakdown below 121.5K.
BTC - Trade Setup Today for my Flash Crash Plan Branching off my previous two posts today, which are linked below and give an in depth analysis and theory behind this idea and plan, here are the details of my short trade on Bitcoin.
Entry - 121,400 to 121,700
Stop Loss - Keep it Tight at 127,400 in case Bitcoin moves up to 126,800 to form the head of an inverse head and shoulders (unlikely but I keep two direction ideas in mind always)
Take Profits:
105,700 - 10% Closure
85,800 - 10% Closure
67,900 - 20% Closure
43,800 - 60% Closure
From here, if I see Bitcoin start to rise from 35,000 - I will open a hedge long position, fully close 80% of short, and DCA all profits back into my short at 92,000 to 93,000
21,600 - 60% Closure
10,000 - 100% Closure
From here, I will buy BTC on spot at 8,000 to 10,000
Any questions feel free to comment below.
For each laughing face I will add in more to my short, which I am logging for a future post.
Yours truly,
- DD
BTC/USDT Bullish Channel – Eyes on $130K Targets🔍 Key Observations:
Trend Direction: Bullish
Price is moving consistently within an upward sloping channel, suggesting a strong and steady uptrend.
Current Price: ~$124,353
Price is near the lower boundary of the channel, indicating a possible bounce opportunity to ride the trend higher.
Targets:
Target 1: $128,001
Target 2: $130,100
These are potential resistance zones or profit-taking levels if the bullish move continues.
Structure:
The marked zig-zag path suggests anticipated higher highs and higher lows, in line with a typical channel-based bullish continuation.
Bitcoin establishes early Uptober support baseToday was a positive sign as bitcoin rose $3236, or 2.9%, to $114,3500. That move potentially helped establish a potential floor for the Uptober rally.
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin is holding above the rising 100-day exponential moving average, which has acted as dynamic support at times since April. The price has broken this trendline multiple times over the past few months, and each time buyers have stepped in to defend it.
Upside levels to watch:
$116,500 – First resistance from late September intraday highs.
$120,000 – Key swing high from July, a strong psychological barrier.
$124,000 – Major resistance from August.
$128,000 – Year-to-date peak.
$140,000 – Round number resistance and measured move target if Bitcoin clears $128K. Also lines up with Fibonacci extensions of the April–August rally.
$150,000 – Big psychological milestone.
Bitcoin Below $109K, Correction or Buying Opportunity?On September 25, 2025 , Bitcoin dropped below $109,000, the lowest point in the past three weeks. The $22 billion options expiration at the end of the month could create short-term selling pressure, but it may also present a recovery opportunity once this pressure eases.
BTCUSDT is trading within a clear downward channel, with lower highs and lower lows . Notably, the price has just faced strong resistance at $109,900, which also aligns with the downtrend line connecting previous highs.
If BTCUSDT cannot break through $109,900, we may see a strong correction towards the nearest support level at $106,000.
With a combination of news and technical analysis, BTCUSDT could continue its downward trend in the near future. Stay prepared and take advantage of the trading opportunities!
Bitcoin Tests Support at $110,500: Will the Downtrend Continue?The chart shows that Bitcoin is in a descending channel, with higher price levels being blocked, creating lower highs. Recent price action has formed a "lower high" pattern and is continuing to move downward.
BTC is currently testing support at the $110,500 level, and if broken, Bitcoin could easily drop to the $109,800 region. This is a level that traders need to watch closely, as if it fails to hold, the price may fall even further.
Recent news about significant liquidations from whales and cautious sentiment from Bitcoin ETFs is pushing the market toward a bearish trend. The actions of large investors, along with the fluctuations of other currencies like the USD, and price adjustments from previous resistance levels further reinforce the downtrend.
Wishing you successful trading!
SOLUSDT: Strong Uptrend with Solid SupportSOLUSDT is currently showing a strong upward trend thanks to the stability of the cryptocurrency market and a positive risk sentiment from investors. The Solana (SOL) token is receiving significant support from fundamental factors, such as a stable commodities market and the pressure on the US dollar due to the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts.
From a technical perspective, SOLUSDT is testing the important support level at $199.00. If this level holds, the likelihood of a rebound and continuation of the uptrend is very high. The next resistance level is expected to be at $218.00, and if this level is breached, the price could continue towards $230.00.
The upward trend line remains intact, providing positive signals for the next move. Based on both fundamental and technical factors, SOLUSDT is likely to maintain its upward momentum if the support at $199.00 holds.
How to Avoid Bear and Bull Traps When Trading BitcoinWhen trading Bitcoin (BTCUSDT), you’ve probably heard of terms like Bear Trap and Bull Trap. These are traps that the market sets to deceive us, causing us to make wrong decisions and suffer losses. Let’s explore how to identify and avoid these traps.
1. What are Bear Trap and Bull Trap?
Bear Trap: This occurs when Bitcoin's price drops significantly, leading us to believe that a downtrend has begun, so we sell. But then, the price suddenly rises sharply. The result? We sell at the wrong time and miss out on potential profits.
Bull Trap: On the other hand, a Bull Trap happens when Bitcoin's price surges, making us think that an uptrend will continue, so we buy. But then, the price reverses and drops sharply, causing us to lose money by buying too early.
2. How to Identify Bear Trap and Bull Trap
Bear Trap: When the price drops but without strong trading volume, and RSI is in the oversold region, but the price does not continue to fall.
Bull Trap: When the price rises but trading volume does not follow suit, and RSI is overbought, but the price fails to maintain the uptrend.
3. How to Avoid Falling Into These Traps
Use Stop-Loss: Set stop-loss orders at key support and resistance levels to protect your account if the market moves against your expectations.
RSI: Use RSI to identify when the market is overbought (Bull Trap) or oversold (Bear Trap), helping you make better decisions.
EMA: Use moving averages like EMA 50 and EMA 200 to determine the main market trend and avoid being misled by “false moves”."
XRPUSDT: Downtrend and Future Trading StrategyHello traders, based on the chart and the latest news on XRPUSDT, the current trend is leaning towards a downtrend. The gradually decreasing resistance indicates strong selling pressure, and XRP is trading below the Ichimoku Cloud, confirming the short-term bearish trend. XRP has dropped sharply from $2.87 to $2.77 on September 23, 2025 , due to a contract liquidation event worth $1.7 billion, mainly from long positions, causing further price correction.
With resistance at $2.8900, if the price cannot break through this level, the likelihood of a further decline towards $2.6200 is high. This is the next key support level to watch. If the downtrend continues, this support zone could be tested again.
Trading Strategy: Watch for selling opportunities near the $2.8900 resistance and set a stop-loss if the price moves above this level.
$BTC Sunday Update Nothing has changed, structure still intactCRYPTOCAP:BTC Sunday Update
Nothing has changed, structure still intact I’m still holding my short, staying patient for the lower targets ahead. If BTC makes a push into 120, 125K, that’s where I’ll load more. My downside map stays the same: 105K → 100K → 95K → 90K. Altcoin pumps look like nothing more than liquidity traps set by market makers before the real drop unfolds.
BITCOIN GOLDEN ZONE RESISTANCE FOR NEXT LEG DOWNThis is continuation and update on my previous analysis on Bitcoin. As noted earlier Bitcoin found support on the weekly 21 EMA and has retrace to the golden fib zone. The overhead resistance on the weekly chart is still intact with the double tops shooting stars. The daily chart is presenting itself as the lower high at the golden fib zone. Indicators are also pointing to the lower side as there is no strength on RSI and MACD. From these signals I still expect BTC to sell off to the bearish targets with the initial target at $105,724. There is also the likelihood that price consolidates at this zone for a moment before the pullback.
The trade idea and plan will be invalidated if we get a candle open and close on the daily chart above the golden zone of about $118k.
Thanks for listening and reading my publications and please share your thought in the comments sections if you see otherwise or support the trade idea. Let beat the market together. Cheers!!!
Pending UltraShort SELL signal pendingLet's be honest, there's no crystal ball on BTC, but the way it trends seems like it does follow a very nice path for trading. The candles show weakening at the top and potentially a nice drop. It's probably waiting on the jobs report this morning at 8:30am ET which will likely look horrible (again).
Bitcoin BTC price analysis FOMC Fed rate🚀 CRYPTOCAP:BTC price is rising, while altcoins remain silent.
What happens tomorrow when the Fed announces its new rate? 🤔
📊 Expectations:
98% believe in a -0.25% cut
2% expect -0.5%
and no one believes it will stay unchanged at 4.5%
That’s why the market has already priced this in. But tomorrow, once the official decision comes — everything could flip ⚡️
📉 The chart looks like chaos to most, but a "trained eye" sees harmony: candles moving level to level.
🔑 Key zones for OKX:BTCUSDT :
Upper channel boundary: $117,800 – $118,000 (only breakable on massive volumes).
September is statistically weak. It opened at $108K, that’s the “zero point”. Logical scenario — dip to $102K.
😬 Worse scenarios:
$96,500
GAP close at $91,600 (but you’ll roast us for this one 😂).
❓Your take: By the end of September, will #Bitcoin be above $108K or below?
______________
◆ Follow us ❤️ for daily crypto insights & updates!
🚀 Don’t miss out on important market moves
🧠 DYOR | This is not financial advice, just thinking out loud.
BTC / USDT : Falling wedge breakout confirmedBitcoin (Update)
BTC has confirmed a breakout from the falling wedge pattern. After some consolidation, we anticipate a strong bullish move toward the $124,000 zone.
Keep it on your radar — breakout confirmation is in place, momentum could build quickly. Always manage risk in volatile conditions.
BTCUSDT.P 1D Time frameMarket Overview
Current Price: ~$112,380
Daily Change: Slight dip (around –0.3%)
Volatility: At multi-month lows, meaning the market is consolidating before a possible breakout.
📈 Key Levels
Immediate Resistance: $112,800 → price needs to clear this for upside continuation.
Next Resistance Zones: $114,000 → $116,000, and further up around $128,000.
Immediate Support: $111,000 → first cushion below current price.
Deeper Support: $110,000, then $107,800–108,000.
🔎 Technical Indicators
RSI (14-day): ~43 → Neutral, showing neither overbought nor oversold conditions.
MACD: Bullish crossover → suggests upward momentum is building.
Stochastic Oscillator: Near oversold → possible short-term bounce.
🧭 Outlook
Bullish Case: A sustained breakout above $114,000 could open a rally toward $128,000.
Sideways Case: Holding between $111,000 and $113,000 keeps Bitcoin in consolidation.
Bearish Case: A break below $110,000 could trigger a move toward $108,000 or even $102,000.
Overall Bias: Moderately bullish, but the market is in a tight range and waiting for a breakout.
AMD 3Hour Time frameAMD 3-Hour Snapshot
Current Price: $155.82
Change: +2.91% from the previous close
Market Cap: $252.87 billion
P/E Ratio: Not specified
Beta: 1.89
🔎 Key Levels
Resistance:
R1: $160.00 (recent high)
R2: $165.00 (next resistance zone)
Support:
S1: $150.00 (immediate support)
S2: $145.00 (next support level)
📈 Technical Indicators
RSI (14): Not specified
MACD: Not specified
Moving Averages:
5-period SMA: Not specified
50-period SMA: Not specified
200-period SMA: Not specified
📌 Market Sentiment
Recent Catalyst: Positive momentum following recent gains and analyst upgrades.
Sector Performance: Semiconductor sector showing strength, with AMD leading gains among peers.
Options Activity: Significant trading in call options at $160 strike price, indicating bullish sentiment.
📅 Outlook
Bullish Scenario: A breakout above $160.00 could lead to a push toward $165.00 and higher.
Bearish Scenario: A drop below $150.00 may test support around $145.00.
Overall Bias: Moderately bullish, with positive momentum but facing near-term resistance.
Bitcoin EMA update - Big day today ?This chart uses the EMA, Simple Moving Average
Red = 50, Blue = 100, Green = 128, Yellow = 200
Today, PA is once again up against the 50 EMA that has become resistance.
This is just below the important level that would allow us to make a higher high if PA breaks through.
A Higher High is made if we rise above 113452
We can see that the 100 SMA is also now on a local line of support.
So it is decision time for PA today.
To remain in an ever decreasing area, a squeeze, or Break out above the 50 ( 112967 ) or fall below the 100 ( 110831 ) and the local support.
As you can see, this is a very tight range
This is continued with the 128 SMA at
109134
A Lower low is made if we drop below 107165
Daily MACD still rising Bullish
This is only just and not really showing to many sighs of a "Surge". The Histogram is green but is we look bak, we can see a similar rise in Mid August that failed to continue.
However, It has room to move higher when ready, by a substantial margin.
The 4 Hour PA charts shows ua how the Bulls have been at work
PA continues to besandwiched between the 200 EMA and the 50.
If this pattern continues, we can expect to see PA rejected today by the 200 EMA and return to the 111200 area.
The 4 hour MACD
The Histogram shows us the hesitancy of PA. This is nit such a bad thing PA seems to be waiting, maybe for the FED on 17th.
I am not sure that PA can continue this long and I feel a reaction will be made prior to this date.
This may be a Dip lower, A LONG destroyer just before we see a move higher,, should the FED lower rates.
But trying to predict BTC Moves is foolhardy...............
Today will certainly give us an idea of future direction........






















