Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) – Intraday Trend & Pattern AnalysisHi!
Bitcoin continues to trade within a broader ascending structure, supported by an established rising trendline that has guided price higher over the past weeks. After forming a double bottom near the lower boundary of this channel, BTC initiated a strong rally toward the major resistance zone around 95,000 USDT, where a clear head-and-shoulders reversal pattern appeared. The neckline later broke, and its measured target has already been fully achieved, confirming the pattern’s validity.
Following the completion of this decline, the price stabilized inside the previous consolidation zone and began forming a triangle pattern, signaling compression and potential trend continuation. BTC is now testing the upper boundary of this triangle. A confirmed breakout above the pattern could trigger a bullish continuation toward 90,500–91,200 USDT, aligning with the dashed trendline and short-term resistance levels.
Failure to break upward may lead to a retest of the triangle’s lower boundary or even the broader demand area around 88,000–88,500 USDT, which previously acted as a reaction zone.
Overall, as long as the price remains above the ascending channel’s main support, the medium-term structure favors buyers. A breakout from the triangle will be the key signal for renewed bullish momentum.
Bitcoinusd
BTC/USD 1H – Rejection from Supply, Bearish Retest in PlayBITSTAMP:BTCUSD
The rising trendline supports price from below, but buyers are losing traction under higher-timeframe supply. Bears gain control if price breaks and closes below 88,295, exposing the 85,619 → 84,000 demand zone for reaction.
Key Scenarios
❗ Bearish Case (currently more probable)
Breakdown below 88,295 confirms continuation
🎯 Target 1 → 87,000 trendline touch
🎯 Target 2 → 85,600 demand zone
🎯 Target 3 → 84,000 liquidity sweep
🔄 Bullish Recovery (only valid if support holds)
Price must hold above 88,295 & reclaim 90,500
🎯 Upside Re-test → 92,983
🚫 Failure below 88,295 invalidates long structure
Levels to Watch
Sell Trigger: 88,295 break
Demand Reaction Zone: 85,619 → 84,000
Bearish Continuation: Lower highs under 90,500
⚠️ Analysis is for educational purposes only — not financial advice.
Bitcoin – Trendline Break & Bearish Continuation SetupBITSTAMP:BTCUSD
After sweeping liquidity at 94,175, BTC broke the bullish trendline structure and shifted to a distribution phase. Current price action shows weakness below 92,900 with a clean downside imbalance.
Bearish Scenario 📉
Entry: 92,500 – 92,900 retest
🎯 Target 1: 88,538
🎯 Target 2: 86,440
🎯 Extended Target 3: 84,000
Market Structure
Liquidity grab at the top 🟡
Market range at the highs → distribution
Trendline broken → bearish continuation likely
❌ Invalidation: Close back above 93,500 (bullish shift)
⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational analysis only — NOT financial advice.
BTC/USD – 30m | Range Break + Retest → Bearish Continuation SetuBITSTAMP:BTCUSD
As long as price remains below 93.927, bearish pressure holds weight. A clean rejection from this zone may push price toward deeper support as liquidity sits lower near 90.952, with an extended downside target if momentum accelerates.
Key Scenarios
📉 Bearish Continuation Setup (Primary Bias)
Rejection below 93.90–93.20 →
🎯 Target 1: 90.952
🎯 Target 2 (Final Target): ≈ 83.858
📈 Bullish Invalidation
Sustained break & close above 93.927 shifts sentiment bullish again.
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 93.927
Support 🟢: 90.952 → 83.858
⚠️ Disclaimer: For educational purposes only — not financial advice.
Ethereum (1W) 5 Year Pennant, Weekly Hidden Bullish DivergenceEthereum seems to be gearing up for a huge rally, despite the what I call 'Bearish Propaganda' in the news and permeating throughout social media crypto influencer discourse, calling for a 12-15 month bear market.
We see Ethereum bouncing off the lower trend line (demand line) of the approx. 5 year pennant formation on the weekly timeframe.
In addition, we have weekly hidden bullish divergence between the weekly MACD and weekly price action. Couple these 2 facts together, along w/ QT ending the 1st of Dec. 2025 and QE via liquidity injections coming soon, I find it hard to believe that Ethereum alongside major cap alt-coins will not rally.
This could turn into the most hated bull rally we've seen since crypto's inception.
Keep an eye on the charts!
BTC pump is a short squeeze....watch outNo one is buying the "dip" esp when it's on a massive downward trend. What we're witnessing is a classic short squeeze, which won't last long. Do not expect this to keep just going up because it likely won't and back to low 80k or below. Best of luck and always do your own due diligence!
BTC Showing Bullish Structure After the Dump - Dec 2 UpdateBTC’s latest reaction is quietly strong and more bullish than it may look at first glance. After the sharp drop, price immediately found demand and has now put in a clear higher low relative to the recent capitulation wick. That yellow-curved region on the chart highlights a key shift in behavior: sellers pushed hard, but buyers stepped in earlier than before, defending higher levels and preventing a retest of the prior lows.
This is the first meaningful sign of structure forming after weeks of one-sided downside. A higher low is often the earliest signal that the market is transitioning from liquidation-driven selling into accumulation. It shows that bidders are becoming more aggressive, absorbing supply before it can revisit deeper support.
On top of that, BTC is holding above the local support band that previously acted as resistance. Flipping that area into support and then defending it is a strong indication of emerging strength. The current reaction has less volatility, fewer long wicks, and more controlled candles, which typically points to absorption rather than panic.
While the trend hasn’t fully reversed yet, this kind of price behavior is how bottoms and mid-cycle resets form. BTC is starting to build a constructive base, and the market is showing the first bullish structural clue it has printed in a few days.
Bitcoin Price Falls To $86,000; Will It Shake Out Weak Hands?Bitcoin is trading at $86,005, holding just above the $85,204 support level. The asset remains trapped under a persistent downtrend that has lasted more than a month. This would preventing any sustained recovery attempts.
If market conditions worsen or short-term holder selling accelerates, Bitcoin could break below $85,204. A drop through this support would expose the price to $82,503 and potentially deepen losses as fear rises across the market.
However, if buyers step in and support strengthens, Bitcoin could reclaim upward momentum. A bounce from current levels could send BTC toward $89,800. A decisive move above that resistance would be essential for Bitcoin to retest $90,000 and invalidate the bearish thesis.
BTC Dip Resilience: A Healthy Pullback Inside Structure - Dec 1 BTC is dipping again today, but the price action remains orderly and far from bearish breakdown territory. Despite the volatility, BTC continues to hold above the previous cluster of local lows, preserving its higher timeframe structure. More importantly, price is still sitting comfortably within a key support band that has acted as a demand pocket throughout this entire consolidation phase.
The market has not shown any signs of structural damage. Sellers pushed into support, but so far there has been no follow-through or momentum shift that would indicate trend exhaustion. Instead, the reaction looks controlled, with buyers stepping in each time price revisits this region. This kind of behavior usually reflects absorption rather than weakness.
In the bigger picture, this is the type of pullback you expect during a mid-cycle correction: sharp enough to unsettle sentiment, yet technically intact and anchored by strong underlying demand. Until we see a break beneath those prior lows, the path of least resistance remains upward.
Overall, the chart still leans bullish. The current dip is behaving like a constructive reset, not the start of a deeper unwind.
NASDAQ Week 32 OutlookOn the US Nas 100 1-hour chart, a bearish breakout from a symmetrical triangle suggests downward momentum. The Fair Value Gap at 23,500.0 is a pivotal level—watch for a breakout and retest here to confirm sell entries. Aim for the target at 22681.1, with a stop-loss at 23,740.4 to protect against adverse moves.
btcTwo important points seem to me: First, I think we are close to the time to buy and we should be ready to continue. But the second important point is that the red box has not yet allowed to break and has brought the price down. The red triangle area is in high demand, so we need to see if we can make a swing buy at the current prices.
Bitcoin Classic Bearish StructureThe weekly picture for Bitcoin is looking heavy. After losing the W21 EMA , price briefly caught a bid at the W50 EMA but was promptly rejected on the retest of the W21. The subsequent breakdown was swift, now finding a temporary floor at the Monthly21/W100 EMA.
The W21 EMA has officially now flipped from support to key resistance, and any bounce will likely be sold into until that level is recaptured by the end of the Bear Market
Are we looking at a consolidation here before another leg down to the W200 SMA?
Or Bulls are looking for an abrupt pump back to the W21 ema??!
Let me know what you think down Below!
Bitcoin BTC price analysis until mid-2026The long-term CRYPTOCAP:BTC trend (2023 → Nov 2025) has either broken its structure or expanded into a wider channel.
The next few weeks will be critical for determining the macro direction for OKX:BTCUSDT price
Key zones:
• 🔻 Support: $75,000–$77,000
• 🔺 Resistance: $103,000–$105,000
A breakout of one of these ranges is likely to define Bitcoin’s trajectory into mid-2026 — either toward $190K or a deeper pullback toward $50K.
🤔 What’s the more probable scenario on your chart — bullish expansion or a structural breakdown?
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🧠 DYOR | This is not financial advice, just thinking out loud
What to expect from BTC?BTC took liquidity from April, tested the lower boundary of the ascending channel, and immediately bounced. Historically, such touchdowns have triggered growth cycles.
A head and shoulders formation is more likely. A triple top is less likely. These structures allow shorts to accumulate liquidity at the $100,000 and $110,000 levels.
Wave theory also fits: a rebound from the lower boundary could form an A-B wave into the right shoulder area, which coincides with the length of the bullish flag pole.
#BITCOIN BIG UPDATE! It’s been more than 3 months since I turne#BITCOIN BIG UPDATE
It’s been more than 3 months since I turned bearish on CRYPTOCAP:BTC and I’ve been warning non-stop that this BTC top don't expect morre pump and its ready to drop. Now everything is unfolding exactly as predicted.
Bitcoin has already dumped nearly $40,000 and is now trading around 82K.
I told you 100K is the strongest support of this entire bull market. If we lose this level and start closing below it, forget about altseason, it’s over. That would confirm we’ve entered the danger zone the bear market gear. 🐻
BTC current support 82K, In the last mini-update, I said that once 88K breaks, the next levels to watch would be 85K, 82K and even 77K. That’s exactly what played out.
If 82K doesn’t hold with strength, then 77K becomes the next target and that’s a major support level. If price breaks that as well, 72K can follow.
For me, the market is already in a bearish phase. I’m still holding my short position. If I close it or open a long, I’ll update you. For now, we watch how 82K reacts first.
Bitcoin is in a clean daily downtrend right nowBitcoin is in a clean daily downtrend right now – every bounce is just providing fuel for the next leg until the structure says otherwise.
Good evening traders, Brian here with a higher-timeframe look at BTCUSD.
Fundamental analysis
Bitcoin has been under sustained pressure even as some funds continue to accumulate spot positions. A few key points:
Macro uncertainty and tighter dollar liquidity are weighing on high-beta assets. While gold has held up relatively well, the performance gap between BTC and XAU has been widening in recent weeks, highlighting a clear risk-off tone towards crypto.
On-chain and fund flows suggest that a number of crypto investors are actually de-risking and pulling capital out, which reduces market depth and makes downside moves more violent when liquidity is thin.
Narrative is still mixed: long-term holders and some institutions are happy to buy lower, but in the short term the order flow is dominated by forced selling, deleveraging and risk reduction.
Bottom line: the macro backdrop does not yet justify an aggressive “buy the dip” approach on BTC. Trend-following shorts remain safer than trying to call the bottom.
Technical analysis
Daily structure is clearly bearish:
We have a confirmed market structure shift on the left of the chart, with the prior higher-low support broken and a series of decisive lower lows since then.
The main bullish trendline from earlier in the year has given way, and price is now travelling within a steep descending leg.
BTC recently tagged the 1.618 Fibonacci extension of the last major swing, aligning with a prior liquidity pocket. That produced a sharp intraday bounce, but so far it looks like a reaction inside a downtrend, not a full reversal.
Around 75.4k we have an important daily support zone. If this level is broken and accepted below, it opens the door to a deeper flush towards the next large support band lower on the chart.
Overhead, there is a clean imbalance/FVG and prior distribution area around 108k, with an intermediate resistance block around 96–97k and a nearer supply zone around 88k. These are prime locations to look for fresh shorts if price retraces.
For now my bias is simple: look to sell rallies into premium levels; any longs are tactical, short-term trades off key support only.
Key levels
Resistance / short zones:
88,000 – first reaction zone, “pay attention to the reaction”
96,500–97,200 – main short entry area for medium-term positions
108,000 – higher FVG / major daily supply
Support / long-only intraday zones:
75,400 – key support + 1.618 Fib/liquidity zone
74,000–72,000 – deeper support if 75.4k fails
Trade scenarios (for reference, not financial advice)
1. Short the first meaningful pullback – 88k area
Entry: 88,000
Stop: 90,000 (above local structure)
Targets: 82,000 → 78,000 → 75,500
Idea: treat 88k as the first supply zone in a downtrend. If price bounces from current levels and stalls here, I’m looking for rejection (wick rejections, failed break, or a clear shift in intraday structure) to join the trend. Once price moves in favour, I would look to pull the stop to breakeven and let the position run.
2. Core swing short – 96.5k–97.2k zone
Entry: 96,500–97,200
Stop: 99,000
Targets: 88,000 → 82,000 → 75,500
This is my preferred “medium-term” sell area. It aligns with a more significant daily supply block and offers better risk–reward if the larger bearish leg continues. Any squeeze into this region after a series of lower lows is, in my view, a controlled opportunity to reload shorts.
3. Tactical long only at deep support
Entry: 75,400–74,800
Stop: 73,800
Targets: 82,000 → 88,000
Here I would only consider a short-term long if we see a clean liquidity sweep into the 1.618 extension and strong rejection (long lower wicks, aggressive buy-back). The idea is simply to trade the bounce back into resistance, not to fight the higher-timeframe downtrend.
If BTC loses 75.4k and starts closing below it on the daily, I would become much more cautious on any long exposure and focus almost entirely on short setups towards the lower “important support” zone on the chart.
Trade with the trend, respect your risk, and don’t get trapped trying to be a hero at the bottom of a falling market.
If this BTC breakdown adds value to your plan, make sure you follow Brian for more daily BTC and gold analysis, and share your own view in the comments so we can compare scenarios.
WHY THE TOP MAY NOT BE IN FOR $BTCBITCOIN SUPERCYCLE/MACRO STRUCTURE: CYCLES, ELLIOTT WAVES AND THE 269K SUPERCYCLE TARGET
Bitcoin is still operating inside the 4 year cycle that began at the FTX $15,500 low on 9 November 2022 (2) The directional pivot that begins (Subwave)Primary Wave 3 is $74,445. Until that level breaks the market has not entered the full macro expansion phase typical of Bitcoin’s strongest trends.
The cycle structure on the chart is clear:
• The cycle bottom printed between 9 November 2022
• The bullish expansion began one year before the 20 April 2024 halving
• The 2024 halving sits exactly at the cycle midpoint
• The cycle peak must form before November 2026
• The final bear phase completes in 2027
This will head into 5th Halving approx March -April 2028
The chart shows the halving cycles, coloured by vertical lines, repeating the same rhythm every four years with astonishing precision.
TOP - GREEN
BOTTOM - RED
HALVING - YELLOW
Each QT period marked a macro slowdown and a structural reset after the functional top. The 2022 QT aligned with the exact cycle bottom at 15500 and launched the current multi-year bull structure. QE has not really started this cycle - so hence this theory of the top not being in
Elliott Wave structure
The November 2021 high at 69000 is labelled as Wave 1 of 1 (PURPLE) inside the larger Supercycle. That means it was never a final top, just the first completed impulse of the entire multi-decade Supercycle.
The correction into 15500 in 2022 is marked as Supercycle Wave 2. This is a confirmed wave 2, as this broke the 2017 high.
• Wave 1 impulse complete
• Wave 2 pullback complete
• We are now building Primary Wave 3 of Supercycle Wave 3, the strongest part of the entire structure, and if my structure is correct, the current wave is a 2 of PRIMARY 3 (white), which is a subwave of the supercycle wave in purple.
The extensions on Fibs show:
• 1.618 at 129k (we have not hit)
• 2.272 at 175k
• 2.618 at 199,666k
• 3.618 at 269k
The purple Wave 5 of Wave 3 aligns with the 3.618 extension at 269k, which perfectly matches the outer macro trajectory drawn. Which may happen after the “technical timing low”
The 269k region completes Wave 5 of the larger Supercycle Wave 3.
This is not a top. This is structural wave completion.
THE MAJOR CORRECTION Wave 4 correction in 2027
The chart clearly maps the ABCDE correction - the low here cannot pass 111k
This aligns with:
• The 2027 bear phase
• The next QT window
• The historical Wave 4 timing and depth
The 2028 halving then ignites Wave 5, which begins the next expansion beyond 2029, following the same structural template from previous cycles.
MACRO SUMMARY FROM THE CHART
• 15500 was Supercycle Wave 2
• Bitcoin is inside Supercycle Wave 3
• Primary Sub Wave 3 begins at 74445
• Wave 5 of Supercycle Wave 3 targets around 269k
• Wave 4 correction aligns with 2027
• The next halving in 2028 triggers Supercycle Wave 5
• Every major QT phase aligns with cycle lows or transitions
• Each 4 year cycle peak prints before its deadline, so this one must peak before November 2026
Nothing in this structure suggests a top is in. Everything in the chart shows continuity, expansion, and alignment across cycles, QT phases, and Elliott Wave projections as long as $74445 holds
LFG!!!!!
BTCUSD (Bitcoin) has broken powerful support = Time to sell!BTCUSD (bitcoin) has been in a new bearish trend for the last few weeks and has just recently broken a major support level which is shown (white line drawn) .. it has also broken the support level of an upward channel (the 2 red trendlines) ... The next very likely outcome for bitcoin is for it to hit and test the next support level all the way to the downside. SELL NOW!
#Bitcoin Mini Update $BTC Hit 88.4K support I mentioned earlier#Bitcoin Mini Update
CRYPTOCAP:BTC Hit 88.4K support I mentioned earlier. A move toward 95–96K is still possible, and if price holds that zone with strength, 100K could follow. But that would still be a relief bounce, not a trend reversal.
I’m still short and holding my position. Structure stays bearish until the market proves otherwise.
📌 Key Level
88K is the line to watch right now.
If BTC closes below 88K, momentum can continue to the downside with the next targets at 85-82K or even 77K.
Until then, I’m managing position size and staying patient.
Price will decide the move, not opinions.
Bitcoin on a roller coaster: is 2026 ready for a new high?On November 18, BTCUSD fell by about 29% — from a peak of around $126,000 to ~ $89,000 . The fall in Bitcoin was due to a combination of factors: after the record high, many investors took profits, money flowed out of Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (spot ETFs), and caution set in on global markets, with tech stocks and AI companies falling. The sharp price fluctuations triggered forced closures of leveraged trades, which exacerbated the decline, while altcoins fell even faster and drained liquidity from the market — as a result, there were more sellers than buyers, and the price fell even further.
Five reasons to expect a new BTCUSD impulse in 2026:
Inflows into spot ETFs. If funds start actively buying BTC on the spot market again, this will generate stable demand from large players.
The halving effect. Fewer new coins are being mined, but demand remains high, which will eventually push the price up.
A more dovish Fed. Lower rates → more liquidity → investors are more willing to take on risk assets, including BTC.
Clear rules and business acceptance. Clear regulation and integration with banks/companies simplify entry for mass investors.
Infrastructure development. L2/Lightning, convenient custody, and new on-chain use cases make BTC more useful — demand is growing.
FreshForex analysts note that in 2026, Bitcoin's dynamics will largely depend on three factors: capital inflows into spot ETFs, the general “risk-on/risk-off” regime against the backdrop of Fed decisions, and key statements from regulators about the crypto market. Investors are advised to maintain a strict risk management system and focus on the macroeconomic calendar.
Bitcoin $BTC price analysis we need your vote !💥 Final “dip” of November?
💰 Will CRYPTOCAP:BTC drop to $91,600
to close that old GAP on the chart? 🤔
🟢 Bullish case: $100K holds → next rally begins.
🔴 Bearish case: gap fills near $91,600 → possible reversal after.
What do you think — final washout or just a pause before the next move?, vote at comments
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🧠 DYOR | This is not financial advice, just thinking out loud.






















