GOLD Bearish Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD made a bearish
Breakout of the key
Horizontal level of 3,329$
Which is now a resistance
And the breakout is confirmed
So after the potential pullback
And retest we will be expecting
A further bearish move down
Sell!
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Breakout
ETH/USDT – Mega Breakout on Higher Timeframe!Ethereum has confirmed a massive breakout on the 2W timeframe, breaking through a multi-year cup & handle and also ascending triangle formation. This is one of the strongest bullish continuation patterns and could fuel ETH into a new long-term rally. 🚀
📊 Chart Analysis
Pattern: Cup & Handle on the 2W chart.
Breakout Zone: Around $4,000–$4,300, now acting as support.
Measured Move Target: ~$14,500 (based on cup depth).
Stop Loss Zone: ~$3,200 (below major support).
✅ Bullish Factors
Multi-Year Accumulation: ETH has spent years consolidating below $4K, and this breakout confirms strength.
High R:R Setup: Risk is limited while the potential upside is ~3x from current levels.
Market Cycle Timing: BTC dominance topping out + potential altseason rotation favors ETH’s outperformance.
Strong Structure: Break above resistance aligns with long-term moving averages flipping bullish.
⚠️ Risk Factors
Macro events (FOMC, inflation data) could cause temporary retracements.
A weekly close back below $4K would invalidate the breakout.
BTC volatility may suppress ETH in the short term before altseason kicks in.
🎯 Targets
TP1: $6,500
TP2: $9,500
TP3: $14,500 (full measured move target)
📌 Conclusion
ETH is showing one of the strongest technical breakouts in years. If $4K+ holds as support, the path to new ATHs and beyond looks wide open. This setup could define the next phase of the bull market.
Bulls are in control — it’s ETH’s time to shine. 🌟
🔔 What’s your target for ETH in this cycle? $10K or higher? Let me know in the comments
USD/CHF Under Downward Pressure - Will it Continue?Hello everyone, it's great to see you again.
OANDA:USDCHF is still under downward pressure after testing the resistance near the main trendline twice without breaking through. The price has been moving within a symmetrical triangle, fluctuating around the 0.805 zone.
The strong decline observed earlier in the chart shows that sellers are still in control. The environment remains favorable for the bears, with the next target for the sellers being the support zone at 0.802 - 0.800.
Do you think USD/CHF will continue to drop? Leave your thoughts in the comments below!
SOL - Breakout or Rangebound?For me this chart is quite simple with two options, a bullish and bearish scenario. SOL is currently rangebound but the massive momentum in the broader market has opened the door to a potential breakout of this trading environment.
To look at the context of the chart we has a clear push from the midpoint up to range high, very little in the way of pullbacks until price breaks up above the old local high. We know that generally stop losses hide behind a key high or low and so price trading into it with such momentum is something to note when entering a trade at this level.
Liquidations for SOL are currently 50:50 long and short and so this balance shows no clear liquidation event in one particular way, at least not yet.
Bullish scenario -
SOL continues the rally above the range, strong volume to confirm that price is ready to expand beyond the area that failed in the past. A retest of $206 with a strong bounce gives this move a higher probability and proof buyers are still willing to buy at the level. Idea is invalid should price accept back below the range high, signifying buyers are not ready to sustain rally continuation.
Bearish scenario -
Price accepts below range high and shows that buyers are not willing to expend beyond the range. Naturally a retreat would then follow as the bears defend the same point that they successfully defended in the past (range high). Any price action that resembles chop within the red box would be a non action area as there is an area of balance giving no clear clue of direction either way.
Bitcoin may bounce up of support line and break resistance levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Following a powerful upward trend and a significant breakout, bitcoin has established a new and higher territory for its price action, leading into the current phase of extensive consolidation. This consolidation has taken the form of a large upward pennant, a classic pattern of contracting volatility where the price is being squeezed between a descending resistance line and an ascending support line. The market has been rotating within these boundaries, with the seller zone around the 120000 resistance level capping rallies and the dynamic support line providing a floor for pullbacks. Currently, the asset is positioned at a critical juncture, testing the ascending support line of this multi-week formation after a corrective move down. The primary working hypothesis is a long scenario, based on the expectation of a successful upward rebound from this dynamic support. A confirmed bounce would validate the integrity of the pennant and suggest that another full rotation to the upside is the most probable path. This move would first challenge the horizontal resistance at 120000. Therefore, the ultimate TP for this rotational play is logically set at the 123700 level, as this precisely targets the upper resistance line of the pennant, representing the completion of the swing and a key decision point for a potential future breakout. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
10Y Futures Case Study: Trading the Breakout with Defined Risk1. Introduction
The 10-Year Yield Futures market has recently drawn attention as it builds a constructive base and attempts to shift momentum higher. After weeks of choppy movement, price action on the 4-hour chart has resolved into a breakout scenario that could define the next leg for yields. At the heart of this case study is a double bottom formation, a classical reversal structure, confirmed at 4.321. What makes this setup more compelling is the presence of nearby support and resistance zones, providing a precise technical framework to define entries, targets, and stop placement with discipline.
2. Double Bottom Pattern
The double bottom is one of the most reliable chart patterns signaling the potential exhaustion of selling pressure. It typically forms after a downtrend, with two consecutive troughs creating a strong support base before buyers regain control. In the current 10-Year Yield Futures chart, the first bottom occurred near 4.20, followed by a retest close to the same level. The neckline breakout emerged at 4.312, marking the confirmation point. Applying classical pattern analysis, the measured move points toward a target near 4.396. This alignment of structure and projection provides traders with a clear and objective technical roadmap.
3. MACD Confirmation
Momentum indicators often add depth to price action analysis, and the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) is one of the most widely followed. Built from the relationship of short- and long-term moving averages, it helps reveal underlying shifts in strength. In the current 10-Year Yield Futures chart, the MACD displayed a positive divergence: while price carved lower lows during the second bottom, the MACD lines began to slope higher. This divergence often signals weakening bearish momentum and the early stages of accumulation. In this case, it reinforces the validity of the double bottom breakout and its bullish potential.
4. UFO Support & Resistance
UnFilled Orders, or UFOs, represent areas where pending buy or sell orders may remain active, providing powerful zones of support or resistance. On the 10-Year Yield Futures chart, a key UFO support sits just below the breakout at 4.278, making it a logical stop-loss placement to protect the trade. Meanwhile, the upside target of the double bottom at 4.396 coincides with a UFO resistance zone. This overlap creates a clear exit area where supply may re-emerge. By combining classical charting techniques with order-flow–based zones, traders gain a structured plan that balances opportunity with risk control.
5. Trade Idea (Illustrative Case Study)
In this case study, the trade idea develops around the breakout point of 4.312 with the current price at the time of writing this article of 4.321. A trader could consider going long if the market sustains above this neckline level. The projected target is the resistance zone at 4.396, while the protective stop loss can be placed just below the UFO support at 4.278. This creates a defined risk profile with a reward-to-risk ratio of roughly 2:1. Alternatively, more conservative traders might consider a wider stop beneath the second bottom, offering more tolerance against volatility but at the expense of risk-reward efficiency. Both options maintain risk clarity and structure.
6. Contract Specifications & Margin Overview
The 10-Year Yield Futures (ticker: 10Y or 10Y1! on TradingView) is a cash-settled futures contract that tracks the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield directly. The gain or loss per tick per contract is as follows: 1 tick = 0.001 Index points (1/10th basis point per annum) = $1.00.
According to CME’s margin schedule (which changes as market conditions change through time), the current margin requirement is approximately $300 per contract. These relatively modest requirements make the product accessible while still providing meaningful exposure to U.S. interest rate markets.
7. Importance of Risk Management
Even with technically strong setups, the defining factor between consistent traders and inconsistent ones is risk management. Futures are leveraged products, meaning a small price move can translate into significant profit or loss. Using stop-loss orders helps enforce discipline, ensuring that one trade does not spiral into uncontrolled exposure. In this case, the support at 4.278 provides a logical technical area for a stop. Regardless of market outlook, avoiding undefined risk is key to long-term survival and consistency.
8. Closing Remarks
The alignment of a double bottom breakout, positive MACD divergence, and key support and resistance zones creates a textbook technical case study in the 10-Year Yield Futures market. With a clearly defined entry, target, and stop-loss, this setup demonstrates how combining price patterns with momentum and order-flow levels can help build structured trade plans. Yet, no analysis guarantees outcomes, and discipline remains at the core of every approach.
When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies.
General Disclaimer:
The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
GBP-CAD Will Go UP! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-CAD is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair made
A strong bullish breakout
Of the key horizontal level
Of 1.8696 so we are bullish
Biased and we will be
Expecting a further bullish
Move up on Monday
Buy!
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Elliott Wave Analysis of Kirloskar Brothers KIRLOSBROSThe script is currently in 4th wave of hourly chart. The 4th wave seems to be ending, which means a 5th wave will start from here. The wave patters and patterns, retracements and analysis have been highlighted on the chart. Will update this as it progresses.
EUR-CAD Will Keep Growing! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-CAD is trading in an
Uptrend and the bullish
Breakout reinforces our
Bullish bias so after the
Potential pullback and retest
Of the new support of 1.6132
A further bullish continuation
Is to be expected
Buy!
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ETH — Right-Angled Broadening BreakoutEthereum (ETH) has completed a Right-Angled Descending Broadening Pattern that developed over a period of 515 days. Such long-term structures are rare and often mark significant turning points in the market.
🔎 Pattern Breakdown
A–E → swings inside the broadening formation.
F → breakout above the flat resistance.
G (anticipated) → Retest of the breakout zone near $4000, where former resistance may establish itself as support.
The flat top resistance between $4000–$4100 has already given way. A successful retest and hold above this zone would confirm breakout validity and strengthen the probability of continuation toward ATH and beyond.
Trade Setup View
Retest entry zone (G): ~$4000
Invalidation (Stop-Loss): To be determined based on price action during the retest
TP1: Retest of ATH $4867
TP2: $5390
Final target (measured move): $6800
Risk-to-Reward: 1:7+ potential
Why $6800?
The measured move of a broadening formation is its full height projected upward from the breakout point:
Broadening low: $1383.26
Broadening high: $4109
➡️ Height = $2725.74
Add that to the breakout zone (~$4100) → $6825. Rounded, that gives a final target of $6800.
💡 Educational Takeaway
Right-Angled Descending Broadening Formations show growing volatility with buyers holding a ceiling steady while sellers run out of steam. Once that flat resistance breaks, momentum usually shifts in favour of the bulls. Since this one lasted over 500 days, the breakout isn’t just noise. It’s a macro signal that could define ETH’s next major trend leg.
Level to Watch Closely:
$4000 → the expected retest (G). Holding here would be a strong confirmation that ETH is ready to aim for ATH and price discovery.
_________________________________
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Brent Crude Squeeze – Daily Symmetrical Triangle Nears BreakoutBrent Crude has been consolidating within a symmetrical triangle on the daily chart since mid-May, following a strong bullish recovery from $58 lows. Price is now approaching the apex of the structure, suggesting a breakout is imminent.
We’re still holding above the higher low trendline support, but resistance at $71.00 remains unbroken. A decisive daily candle close outside this triangle will likely set the tone for the next leg.
A bullish breakout above $71.15 could expose $75.00 and eventually $82.00 highs. But if bears take control and break below $67.00 support, $64.00 and $58.00 reopen.
📈 Bias:
Neutral short term — Waiting for breakout confirmation.
Bullish if price breaks and retests above $71.15.
Bearish if we lose $67.00 and structure fails.
US100 – Bullish Momentum Holds Strong After BreakoutHello, what are your thoughts on CAPITALCOM:US100 ?
The US100 index is trading around 23,852, holding steady after a strong breakout from the previous resistance, now acting as new support at 23,685. This bullish structure is supported by the latest US economic data, which eased investor concerns — with lower inflation readings and recovering corporate earnings, boosting risk appetite.
On the 4H chart, price remains above both the EMA 34 and EMA 89, indicating strong underlying momentum. The recent breakout was followed by a period of consolidation, showing healthy market behavior before the next upward move. As long as price stays above the trendline, buyers maintain full control.
Even if a short-term pullback occurs, the support zone at 23,687 remains a solid base for buyers to re-enter near 24,200.
My outlook is bullish, what do you think? Leave your thoughts in the comments!
GBPCAD - Bulls in Control, But Supply Zone Ahead🏹 GBPCAD has been climbing within a steep bullish channel , approaching a key supply zone around 1.8750. As long as the channel holds, buyers remain in control.
However, if price rejects this supply area and breaks below the 1.8670 support, the bears could take over, potentially triggering a deeper correction.
📌Price is now at a decisive point — a breakout above supply could open the door for fresh highs, while a rejection and channel break could mark the start of a bearish phase.
⚖️ Bulls need a clean break above supply for further upside, while bears are eyeing a channel break for a reversal.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
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Gold Faces Sharp Decline After Key Data ReleaseHello everyone, what are your thoughts on the current trend of XAUUSD?
Contrary to expectations, gold saw a steep correction yesterday. The precious metal is now trading around 3,340 USD, roughly 30 USD lower than the previous session’s high.
This drop came after yesterday’s economic data release. Both the US Core PPI and PPI m/m surged by 0.9% (well above the 0.2% forecast), signaling significant producer inflation pressure. At the same time, Initial Jobless Claims fell slightly to 224K, better than the 225K forecast.
These figures have strengthened expectations that the Fed will be more cautious about cutting interest rates, which in turn has supported the USD and added downward pressure on XAUUSD after its previous rally.
From a technical perspective, gold has lost the 3,350 USD support level and broken below the old ascending trendline, now moving under a newly formed descending trendline. The EMA 34 and EMA 89 have also reversed, further reinforcing short-term bearish sentiment.
While a corrective bounce could occur, if these bearish factors hold, sellers are likely to remain in control, with the target once again set at 3,300 USD.
Indicators and tools used in my chart:
-EMA 34, EMA 89
-Regression trend
-Fibonacci
-Support and resistance
-Trendline
CRUDE OIL Short From Resistance! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
CRUDE OIL is making a
Pullback and will soon hit
A horizontal resistance
Of 64.50$ and as we are
Bearish biased and we will
Be expecting a local
Bearish pullback
Sell!
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AUD-CHF Bearish Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-CHF made a bearish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level of 0.5257 which is now
A resistance and the breakout
Is confirmed so we are bearish
Biased and we will be expecting
A further bearish move down
Sell!
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MPWR 1D: shoulders are squared and the battery's still fullMonolithic Power Systems broke out of a long-term descending trendline after completing a clean inverse head and shoulders. Now the price is pulling back into the 705–688 zone — a textbook retest area that combines the neckline, the 0.705–0.79 Fib levels, and a major volume shelf. Add to that a golden cross (EMA50 crossing EMA200 from below) and we have a solid technical foundation for continuation. Volume on the pullback is low, indicating no panic, just rotation. If 688 holds, the next levels to watch are 755.66 and 952.17 — the latter being the 1.618 Fib extension. Tactical setup: look for a reversal signal between 705–688, with a stop just below 661. As long as price holds this zone, the bullish structure remains intact.
Fundamentally, MPWR remains one of the strongest names in the semiconductor space. With over $1.5B in annual revenue and industry-leading margins, the company continues to see strong demand from data center and EV sectors. In its latest report, management highlighted accelerating orders from Tier‑1 manufacturers. The balance sheet is clean, with zero debt, and ongoing buybacks provide downside support. In a sector full of volatility, MPWR stands out with both structural reliability and technical clarity - making it a strong candidate for long-term positioning.
If this textbook pattern plays out, the train’s just leaving the station. The best seat is usually the one taken before the doors close.
XAUUSD - Precious Metal Regains MomentumHello everyone, what’s your view on OANDA:XAUUSD ?
Gold is reversing some of its previous losses and is moving within an upward price channel. The precious metal has climbed to $3,368, recovering more than $12 on the day. This marks a rebound in the global gold market after two consecutive sessions of decline.
A weaker US dollar has supported this uptick, with gold hovering around $3,350/oz ahead of the upcoming meeting between US President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin. If the Alaska meeting fails to resolve tensions, gold could climb back toward the $3,400 mark.
From a technical perspective, gold is moving in a main upward channel and could form two smaller sub-channels (the upper channel already completed). If support near $3,350 holds, the next target will be the round $3,400 level.
Looking at the outlook: Today, key economic indicators, including Core PPI (Core Producer Price Index), PPI (Producer Price Index), and Unemployment Claims, will be released. Forecasts suggest that Core PPI and PPI will increase by 0.2%, while Unemployment Claims are expected to drop to 225K.
If PPI is high, this could cause the Fed to maintain high interest rates, putting downward pressure on gold. However, if Unemployment Claims increase, gold could benefit from its safe-haven role and continue to rise (two opposing factors). Therefore, follow these developments to determine the precise direction for gold.
With this information, I am leaning towards a recovery in gold. What about you?
GBP/NZD Breakout & Retest, Potential Bullish RallyThe GBP/NZD chart on the 4-hour timeframe shows a symmetrical triangle pattern that has formed since late April 2025, with a descending upper trendline and an ascending lower trendline. During this period, price has continued to move within an increasingly narrow range, creating price compression that is characteristic of a symmetrical triangle pattern. The pattern’s upper resistance line has been tested multiple times (red arrows), while the lower support line has consistently maintained higher lows (green arrows).
Recently, price successfully broke above the pattern’s upper resistance line with a clear breakout, followed by a retest phase that held above the pattern line. This scenario indicates a role reversal, where the former resistance now acts as new support. A long green Heikin Ashi candle after the retest provides an additional signal that buying momentum is currently dominant.
Trade Plan:
Entry is taken after confirmation of breakout & retest, with the take profit (TP) set at 2.3200 as a key resistance area and the nearest historical high target. The stop loss (SL) is placed at 2.2600, just below the retest area, to anticipate the possibility of a false breakout.
Trading Plan Details:
Direction: Long (Buy)
Timeframe: 4H
Reason: Symmetrical Triangle Breakout + Retest
Entry: After retest & bullish candle confirmation
TP: 2.3200
SL: 2.2600
Additional Confirmations:
Green Heikin Ashi candle without a lower shadow as a sign of strong momentum
Increased buying pressure following a consolidation period
Disclaimer: This analysis is part of a trading plan and does not constitute investment advice. Always use strict risk management and consider potential losses in every trading decision.
XAUUSD Showing Mild Recovery, What’s Next?Hello everyone, it's great to be back!
As of writing, OANDA:XAUUSD is experiencing a mild recovery from the lows, currently moving around the 3360 USD level. The precious metal has formed a new support zone and is bouncing after touching the trendline. If this level is well-utilized, the target could extend to test 3380 USD (intermediate resistance) and potentially the psychological level of 3400 USD.
Looking at the outlook: Today, key economic indicators, including Core PPI (Core Producer Price Index), PPI (Producer Price Index), and Unemployment Claims will be released. Forecasts suggest that Core PPI and PPI will increase by 0.2%, while Unemployment Claims are expected to drop to 225K.
If PPI is high, this could lead the Fed to maintain high interest rates, putting downward pressure on gold. However, if Unemployment Claims rise, gold could benefit from its safe-haven role and continue to rise (two opposing factors). Therefore, it’s important to monitor these developments for a clearer direction on gold.
Based on this information, I’m leaning towards a recovery in gold, but what do you think?
USDJPY in DowntrendHey dear friends,
Looking at the chart, USDJPY is currently in a corrective phase after hitting a significant resistance level. The price has breached below the trendline, and if it closes the candle below this level, USDJPY will likely trigger a stronger bearish move.
With this outlook, the next target for the decline is the 146.00 area. The price could continue moving lower if the current support isn’t held. Keep an eye on this level to confirm a stronger bearish trend.
Good luck, and don’t forget to share your thoughts in the comments!