GBPJPY: Trend ContinuationOver on the daily timeframe, price is respecting the EMAs. This is indicating a clear uptrend. In addition, the HTL is a resistance turned support level so overall bullish sentiment unless price crosses back below this level.
The H1 timeframe is also supporting the notion that there's momentum to the upside. Structurally, there's momentum to the upside. This is first indicated by price breaking above the DTL.
In this case, price's acceleration away from the EMA is not clear signal. This was quite choppy since October 12th.
There's potential to the upside, but I'd approach this pair a bit more cautiously.
Breakout
AUDCHF: Breaks Below ATLPrice is breaking below the ascending trendline (ATL), which is a signal that the counter-trend move is coming to an end.
The H1 timeframe also demonstrates confluence across price's crossover below the ATL and price's acceleration away from the EMAs.
This is further supported by the fact that price is holding below the horizontal trendline (HTL) on the daily timeframe. We can overall maintain a bearish bias for the time being.
Given that this trade signal is close to the 5 PM rollover, it may result in a closure and then re-entry to avoid a spread spike.
Breakout or Fake-Out? Corn Just Kissed Its Support!1. The Setup
Corn’s doing exactly what disciplined traders hoped for — pulling back to the same UFO support zone that powered the earlier wedge breakout. On the 8-hour chart, price just kissed that 418–411 area… a textbook retest where new buyers could reload the bushels.
2. The Context
We saw this coming. The initial breakout looked flashy, but the volume delta wasn’t convinced — it stayed soft. Now that price has tapped into the unfilled-order pocket, watch to see if the delta turns positive again. That’s the “ignition spark” that often separates real breakouts from fakes.
3. The Game Plan
The playbook hasn’t changed — only the timing has improved.
🎯 Entry idea: around 418 support
🛑 Stop: 411 (below the UFO zone)
📈 Targets: 430 and 442
⚖️ Reward-to-Risk ≈ 3:1
This is patience in action — waiting for the market to come to you instead of chasing it.
4. The Specs
ZC – Corn Futures: 5 000 bushels · Tick = ¼ ¢ ($12.50) · ≈ $1 000 margin
MZC – Micro Corn Futures: 500 bushels · Tick = ½ ¢ ($2.50) · ≈ $100 margin
Same analysis, smaller bite size — perfect for managing exposure while keeping precision.
5. The Takeaway
Volume shows what’s already been eaten; UnFilled Orders at support show what’s still on the table.
Corn just revisited the buffet — now we wait to see if buyers come back for seconds. 🌽🔥
Want More Depth?
If you’d like to go deeper into the building blocks of trading, check out our From Mystery to Mastery trilogy, three cornerstone articles that complement this one:
🔗 From Mystery to Mastery: Trading Essentials
🔗 From Mystery to Mastery: Futures Explained
🔗 From Mystery to Mastery: Options Explained
When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies.
General Disclaimer:
The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
XAUUSD: Price can Drop to Support Zone and Break Trend LineHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Gold setup.
Market Analysis
Gold has been in a very strong uptrend, which accelerated after breaking out of a prior Upward Channel. This led to a new, steeper rally along a major Trend Line, culminating in a new All-Time High around the 4380 mark.
Currently, after reaching that peak, the price has completed a healthy correction back down to the main Trend Line, which also aligns with the Support zone at the 4250 level. The price has bounced from this area and is now attempting to rally again.
My Scenario & Strategy
My scenario is a bearish one, built on the idea that this second attempt to rally will fail to make a new high. I'm looking for this current rally to lose momentum as it approaches the prior ATH of 4380. The key signal for me would be a strong and clear rejection from that area, showing that buyers no longer have the strength to continue pushing the price higher.
Therefore, the strategy is to watch for this failure at the highs. A confirmed reversal would validate the short scenario and should lead to a decline that breaks the major ascending Trend Line. The primary target for this corrective move is 4205, which is inside the major Support zone.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
EURJPY: Trend ContinuationI've made several key annotations on this chart. There are several things that I like.
The first is the clean daily structure as price is respecting the EMAs and is making clear breaks above the HTLs.
Over on the H1 timeframe, price crossed above the DTL Although it stalled a bit, it did not successfully make any new lows. Overall, selling pressure does not seem to be present.
My entry signal is based on the bullish bar exiting the EMA band, which is a sign that momentum to the upside will likely pick up.
BTCUSD Completes Correction – Heading Towards $125,000BINANCE:BTCUSD is currently trading in a well-defined ascending channel, indicating that the bullish trend continues. The price is following the channel's structure, creating higher highs and higher lows, which is a clear sign that the uptrend remains intact. The recent price correction shows a healthy pullback, which could serve as the foundation for the next upward move.
The price is now approaching an important support zone, marked by the lower boundary of the channel and a previous demand zone. If this support holds, it could present an opportunity for buyers to re-enter with strength. The expected target is $125,000 , aligning with the middle of the channel and the previous resistance level.
As long as the price remains above the support zone and the ascending trendline, the bullish scenario remains valid. However, if the price breaks below this level, it could invalidate the current setup and increase the likelihood of a deeper correction.
Always ensure you confirm your setups and trade with proper risk management.
Good luck!
EUR-USD Bearish Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
EURUSD Price has broken below the horizontal supply area and is now forming a bearish continuation setup. A possible retracement toward the previous zone may attract more sellers, targeting deeper liquidity levels below 1.1580. Time Frame 5H.
Sell!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XNCR 1D time to growth?XNCR: the uptrend hasn't started yet - but someone's quietly accumulating
XNCR spent nearly 4 months building a base and finally broke out of consolidation with a clear upward move. The pattern looks like a range with a narrowing triangle at the bottom — the breakout came with rising volume. Entry makes sense in the 9.00–9.20 zone on a retest. Volume profile and Fib levels confirm the importance of this area, plus there’s a clean support shelf at 9.00. The target is 15.65, which aligns with the height of the structure. The 200-day MA is still above price, but a push beyond 11.00 could open the door to acceleration.
Fundamentally, Xencor is a biotech company focused on monoclonal antibodies. After a tough 2023–2024 and cost reductions, the market is beginning to price in signs of recovery. Key partnerships remain intact, the pipeline is alive, and recent data for XmAb7195 was well received at industry events. Valuation remains low, and biotech ETF flows are slowly picking up.
Still a relatively low-volume name, but the structure is clean, the setup is readable, and fundamentals are turning. With a tight stop below 8.50, the risk-reward looks solid.
Based on our fundamental analysis of Monolithisch India Ltd.Recommendation: NEUTRAL / HOLD
Rationale:
The company's fundamentals are strong—demonstrating phenomenal growth, high profitability, and a lean balance sheet. However, the current stock price has already discounted a significant amount of this future growth. The valuation is very rich (P/E of ≈71.9x), which leaves little room for error or unexpected slowdowns.
For an existing investor, holding the stock is reasonable to capture the expected growth. For a new investor, we recommend a Neutral stance, suggesting it is best to wait for a better entry point (a pullback in price) that offers a more favorable risk-to-reward balance.
Price Target and Duration
Since the market is currently rewarding the exceptional growth with a high multiple, we anchor our near-term target to a slight premium on the current valuation based on sustained financial performance.
Target Price: ₹550
Target Duration: 12-15 Months (This is a long-term view that factors in the execution of the company's current expansion plans).
Triangle Break Heading into EarningsNASDAQ:SOFI Forming a big symmetrical triangle on the daily timeframe heading into earnings. EMA's are starting to curl upwards after NASDAQ:SOFI found some support on its 50-day SMA. Bullish long-term on NASDAQ:SOFI , so definitely will be watching this one closely
Euro can Continue its Rally After a Minor CorrectionHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. The market for the Euro has been through a highly complex series of structural shifts, transitioning from a prior upward channel into a well-defined downward channel. After multiple failed rallies and a final drop into the 1.1600 buyer zone, the price action for EURUSD has shown a significant reversal, breaking out of the downward channel and establishing a new short-term bullish momentum. Currently, after this strong breakout, the asset is undergoing a minor corrective phase. In my mind, this price action represents a healthy pullback before the next leg higher. I expect that the price will make a small dip to find support, likely retesting the broken channel structure from above. I think a confirmed bounce from this area will validate the bullish breakout and trigger a continuation of the rally. Therefore, I have placed my TP at the major 1.1780 Resistance Level, which aligns with the seller zone and represents a logical objective for this recovery. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Gold Setup You Can’t IgnoreHey everyone, Erik here !
Gold is quietly preparing for its next move. After a strong rally, price didn’t collapse as many expected. Instead, it’s been building a smooth accumulation structure — the classic Cup and Handle that often signals continuation in a healthy uptrend.
This setup tells a deeper story about market psychology. Sellers are running out of strength, while buyers keep absorbing every pullback with patience and confidence. Momentum is quietly shifting, and pressure beneath the surface is growing.
If a clean breakout confirms this formation, gold could enter its next bullish leg. A move toward 4500 looks not just possible, but reasonable based on the current market structure.
Until that confirmation comes, patience remains the key. Waiting for a clear breakout with strong volume helps filter out false signals and keeps you aligned with the dominant trend.
Gold setup: The retracement that could spark the next rallyOANDA:XAUUSD continues to trade confidently within a well-defined ascending channel, maintaining a clear and healthy bullish structure. After testing the upper boundary, the price pulled back to the mid-zone, where a strong rejection candle appeared, confirming that buyers are still defending key levels with conviction and keeping the upward momentum alive.
This kind of market behavior often signals renewed strength before the next move higher. If the bullish momentum holds, the price could break above the upper boundary of the channel and push toward new highs. Given the current technical setup and positive sentiment across the market, a move toward 4,500 seems both realistic and consistent with the ongoing trend.
Even so, caution remains important. A daily close below the lower boundary of the channel would weaken the bullish structure and could trigger a short-term correction before the trend resumes.
From a broader perspective, the bullish outlook for gold continues to be supported by geopolitical tensions, global uncertainty over interest rate policies, and the weakening US dollar. With central banks maintaining strong demand for gold as a hedge against economic instability, the precious metal remains one of the most attractive safe-haven assets in today’s volatile market.
Gold Extends Its 8-Week Winning Streak👋Hello everyone, what are your thoughts on OANDA:XAUUSD ?
Over the past week, gold prices climbed close to the $4,400 mark before pulling back sharply and closing the week around $4,250, up $223 from the weekly open of $4,022 — nearly a 6% gain, marking the eighth consecutive week of growth. Despite the volatility, Main Street investors remain confident that the precious metal will continue to rise this week.
Trade tensions and geopolitical uncertainties have been the key drivers supporting gold’s rally. Meanwhile, the Fed’s rate cut and the U.S. government shutdown have strengthened the dollar while simultaneously providing support for gold prices.
At the time of writing, gold is fluctuating around $4,255, showing little change since the start of the session. Overall, the bullish trend remains intact, and as long as the confluence zone holds, buying opportunities are still favored.
What about you — what’s your outlook on XAUUSD? 💬Share your thoughts in the comments below, and let’s discuss!
Good luck!
USDJPY – Yen Weakens as Japan Forms New Coalition👋Hello everyone, what are your thoughts on FX:USDJPY ?
At the start of the new week, USDJPY is showing interesting movements following news that Japan’s ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) and the Japan Innovation Party have agreed to form a coalition government. This development paves the way for Sanae Takaichi to become Japan’s first female Prime Minister, sparking market expectations of increased fiscal spending and a more accommodative monetary policy.
From a market perspective, these expectations tend to weaken the yen, as investors anticipate low interest rates to continue and ample liquidity support from the Bank of Japan.
As a result, USDJPY is likely to maintain its upward momentum, with potential for further gains if the U.S. dollar continues to be supported by higher Treasury yields and solid U.S. economic data.
What about you — do you think USDJPY will keep rising or start to fall? 💬Share your thoughts in the comments below!
Good luck!
AUDUSD Descending triangle breakout bullish move 📉 AUD/USD Technical Setup (1H Timeframe)
The pair has broken out of a descending triangle pattern 🔺 showing strong bullish momentum from the 0.6490 level 💪
🎯 Upside Targets:
1️⃣ 0.6520
2️⃣ 0.6570
3️⃣ 0.6600
Momentum remains bulls-in-control as long as price holds above 0.6490 support zone ⚡
💡 Watching for continuation moves toward upper resistance levels if buying pressure sustains.
#AUDUSD #Forex #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingSetup 💹
ETHUSDT – Bullish Breakout Ahead?👋Hello everyone, do you think BINANCE:ETHUSDT will go up or down?
From a technical perspective, the pair has successfully broken above the descending trendline. This breakout opens up a potential opportunity for a new short-term uptrend. In addition, ETHUSDT is currently reacting to a clearly defined support zone.
If Ethereum continues to hold above this support area, I expect the price could rise toward the next resistance level near $4,300.
From a broader viewpoint, market sentiment is gradually improving as investors regain confidence in risk assets, amid expectations of a softer Fed policy and growing interest in Ethereum’s upcoming network upgrades.
As long as ETH stays above $3,750, the bullish outlook remains valid, and buyers may soon regain control of the market.
What about you — do you agree with this view? 💬Share your thoughts in the comments below. I’d love to hear your opinion!
GBPUSD – Wedge Pattern in FocusHello everyone, what are your thoughts on FX:GBPUSD ?
Currently, GBPUSD is moving within a clear wedge pattern, with the upper limit acting as dynamic resistance and the lower limit forming strong support.
From a technical perspective, the price is now testing the lower boundary of the wedge. If the pair manages to stay above this area, I expect a possible rebound toward the 1.3550–1.3600 zone, where the upper trendline lies.
From a fundamental standpoint, the US dollar is recovering while the British pound faces pressure from weak UK economic data and growing fiscal concerns. This macro backdrop generally keeps the GBPUSD outlook neutral to slightly bullish in the medium term.
What about you — how do you see this pair moving next? Share your thoughts in the comments below.
Good luck!
USDCAD – Short-Term Bullish Bias👋Hello everyone, what are your thoughts on OANDA:USDCAD ?
I believe USD/CAD currently shows a slight bullish tendency in the short term, as the Canadian dollar (CAD) remains under pressure from declining oil prices and expectations of a rate cut by the Bank of Canada (BoC). If USD/CAD holds above the 1.3930 support zone, the pair could potentially rise toward the 1.41 area.
However, I would also note that if the price breaks below 1.3930, the market may enter a deeper correction phase.
What about you — how do you see USDCAD moving next? 💬Share your thoughts in the comments below!
USDJPY: Holds Above HTLOn the daily timeframe, price broke through a previous HTL, which is now acting as support. There's also uptrend confluence signaled by price remaining above the EMAs and EMA20 being above EMA60.
Over on the H1 timeframe, price is also beginning to deviating away from the EMAs, which signals to me that there's momentum picking up.
In addition, price is also breaking above the DTL right now, which indicates that the counter-trend move is likely over.
Breakout or Fake-Out — Corn’s Price Action Under the Microscope1. When Breakouts Lie
Few things in trading are more exciting than a clean breakout. But for every breakout that soars, there’s another that fakes out and traps eager traders.
Corn Futures (ZC) on the 8-hour chart just gave us that classic test — a breakout from a falling wedge that has traders asking: Is this the real thing, or another false alarm?
The pattern looks textbook. Price compressed lower within a wedge and broke above its upper trendline. However, the true strength of any breakout lies not in the pattern itself, but in the story told by volume and order flow. That’s what we’ll unpack in this article — using ZC (Corn Futures) and MZC (Micro Corn Futures) as our guide.
2. The Falling Wedge in Focus
Falling wedges often represent market exhaustion, where selling pressure slows and buyers quietly begin to accumulate positions. On the Corn Futures 8-hour chart, price has indeed pushed beyond the wedge’s descending resistance line — the visual signal that usually excites breakout traders.
But structure alone doesn’t make a sustainable move. Beneath the surface, the UFO support and resistance levels — zones of UnFilled Orders — provide the invisible scaffolding that can support or reject price movement.
In this case:
Support Zone: 418–411
Resistance Levels: 430 and 442
These areas represent pending potential new support and resistance areas where buy and sell orders that can act as launchpads or barriers. The key is to see how the market interacts with them while volume builds or fades.
3. The Volume Delta Story
Here’s where things get interesting.
Volume Delta — the difference between buy and sell volume — shows us who’s winning the tug-of-war between buyers and sellers.
During the wedge formation, the maximum delta reached +1.05K, indicating meaningful buying activity despite the downtrend. But as the breakout unfolded, delta turned slightly negative. In plain terms, fewer new buyers are stepping in — and without new buying energy, breakouts often lose traction.
That’s a classic setup for a potential fake-out: price pokes above the wedge, but order flow doesn’t confirm. This mismatch between technical breakout and volume delta is often the canary in the coal mine for fading momentum.
4. The Trade Logic — Let the Market Come to You
Instead of chasing the breakout, the smarter play here could be to wait for the market to revisit demand/support.
Why? Because that’s where new volume tends to enter — where pending buy orders (the UFOs) become filled, strengthening the delta and giving the move fresh fuel.
A potential plan might look like this:
Entry: 418 (within support)
Stop-Loss: 411 (below the zone)
Target 1: 430 (first resistance, partial exit)
Target 2: 442 (final resistance, full exit)
This setup maintains a clear reward-to-risk ratio above 3:1, assuming disciplined execution and volatility-adjusted sizing. It’s not about prediction — it’s about preparation. Waiting for retracement allows participation in a confirmed move, rather than reacting to emotional excitement at the breakout.
5. Contract Specifications & Margin Requirements
Understanding your instrument is as important as reading your chart.
Here’s what traders should know about these CME-listed Corn contracts:
ZC – Corn Futures (Standard Contract)
Contract Size: 5,000 bushels
Tick Size: ¼ cent per bushel (0.0025) → Tick Value = $12.50
Approx. Margin: Around $1,000 USD, varying by broker and volatility
MZC – Micro Corn Futures
Contract Size: 500 bushels (1/10th of ZC)
Tick Size: ½ cent per bushel (0.0050) → Tick Value = $2.50
Approx. Margin: Around $100 USD, varying by broker and subject to market conditions
Micro contracts allow smaller-scale traders to apply the same analysis and structure as the full-size contract, but with controlled risk exposure — a major advantage for capital management.
6. When New Volume is Injected in the Market
Think of Volume Delta as a glance in the rear-view mirror — it tells us what’s already been filled. On the other hand, analyzing support and resistance levels with the idea of where new unfilled orders might come in helps us prepare to enter trades just before momentum potentially reactivates.
When both are combined:
Rising delta confirms a healthier follow-through on breakouts.
Negative delta near resistance warns of a likely fading move.
Key support and resistance zones show where resting orders could inject new volume.
7. Risk Management — Protect Before You Project
Every solid trade plan starts with a stop.
For this setup, a logical stop below 411 ensures protection if the wedge breakout fails completely.
Scaling out at 430 reduces exposure early, locking gains in case the move stalls.
Always size positions relative to account equity and volatility — the most underrated edge in trading is survival.
The best traders don’t just hunt profits — they hunt consistency. Managing risk transforms a potentially stressful market environment into a structured decision process.
8. CME Context & Final Thoughts
Both ZC and MZC are cornerstone agricultural contracts traded on the CME Group’s CBOT exchange, giving traders exposure to one of the world’s most economically significant commodities.
While the setup we’ve explored is a case study, the takeaway extends beyond Corn:
Breakouts need participation. Volume confirms conviction. Key support and resistance levels reveal intention.
In markets where fake-outs are common, aligning technical structure, order flow, and patient trade planning gives traders the clearest edge of all — confidence grounded in data, not emotion.
When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies.
General Disclaimer:
The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
GOLD Will Break ATH Again? Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD Price is maintaining a strong bullish structure, consolidating just beneath its all-time high. Liquidity build-up above the highs suggests potential for an impulsive breakout, extending toward new record levels as buyers remain in full control. Time Frame 5H.
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURNZD BEARISH BREAKOUT|SHORT|
✅EURNZD pair has confirmed a clean breakout below the key level, signaling potential continuation toward the 2.0240 target area. Price has already taken out internal liquidity and is now likely to expand further as sellers remain in control. Time Frame 2H.
SHORT🔥
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