EUR/USD: Gradual Rise, Is a Breakout Near?Hey everyone, Ken here!
Looking at the EUR/USD chart today, I see a pretty clear signal. The price isn’t rushing upwards; instead, it’s moving slowly, indicating that the buyers are gradually taking control, but there hasn't been a strong breakout yet.
For me, there’s no reason to rush into a trade just yet. I’m going to wait for a clearer signal, like a strong candle confirming a break of the resistance around 1.1800. If that happens, my target will be around 1.2XX, as the current market trend seems favorable for that.
However, one thing to keep in mind is if the price closes below the lower boundary of the channel, the bullish structure would be broken, and a short-term decline could follow.
What do you think about this setup? Share your thoughts in the comments below!
Breakout
USDJPY BreakoutPrice has been consolidating since early August and has formed a clear 4-hour horizontal channel.
This week's news may cause a USDJPY breakout:
Tuesday, 16th September, US Retail Sales
Wednesday, 17th September, 🚨 FOMC, Fed Interest Rate Decision, Fed Press Conference 🚨
Friday, 19th September, Inflation for Japan, BOJ Interest Rate Decision
USDCHF: Trend ContinuationGoing to make a trend continuation play on the USDCHF pair. I think there's a few levels to look at on both the daily and hourly levels.
Daily Timeframe:
Price crossed the daily HTL at the beginning of September
Price pulled back three days level but still held below it
H1 Timeframe:
This is the second ATL that price is crossing; based on the first ATL cross, movement is clean
Price did not exit from the EMA20/60 band so should reduce side
Gold Holds Steady, $3,700 in FocusOANDA:XAUUSD The price is still holding firm around $3,637/oz after the U.S. inflation report came in softer than expected. Despite a slight pullback, bullish momentum remains strong, and the falling wedge pattern is signaling a potential breakout.
From my personal perspective, the $3,700 level will be the key decision point. If it is broken with strong momentum, gold could extend its rally toward $3,725/oz or even higher. However, upcoming U.S. economic data such as PPI and jobless claims should be closely monitored as they may directly influence short-term volatility.
This is my outlook shared with the trading community. What do you think? Let’s discuss in the comments!
Gold Analysis: Falling Wedge Breakout and Bullish ForecastOANDA:XAUUSD The market is clearly forming a falling wedge, and recent price action suggests a potential shift is on the horizon. Price has begun breaking through this downward structure, which could be the early signs of a strong bullish move.
I’m waiting for the price to retrace back to the broken trendline. This will act as a confirmation, filtering out any false moves, while a retest of the structure will solidify the validity of the breakout. From here, my target is 3682.
The key now is to watch the pullback. If the market returns to the trendline with rising volume, it will add weight to the bullish case.
This trendline breakout is more than just a signal – it’s a story in the making. It represents a shift, and with the right volume, structure, and timing, this could be the start of a larger bullish phase.
DOGUSDT: Potential Reversal at Key Level in Rising ChannelHey everyone, Ken here!
Right now, I'm closely watching DOGUSDT and it seems like it might be going through a correction phase as the price tests the lower boundary of the rising channel. This is a key level, and if the price bounces from here, I believe it could continue towards the next target around 0.3200.
However, if the price breaks below this support, the bullish outlook would weaken, and we could see further declines. That’s why I always pay close attention to price action and trading volume to identify solid buying opportunities.
Risk management is essential in trading, so I always make sure to carefully confirm setups and trade with caution. What do you think about the current situation? Feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
Latest Gold Price Update Today👋Hello everyone, what do you think about OANDA:XAUUSD ?
Today, gold continues to trade sideways around the $3,650 mark. The recent surge in new unemployment claims has negatively impacted the US Dollar, allowing XAU/USD to maintain its high position, despite August CPI data coming in slightly higher than analysts’ estimates.
From a technical perspective: The recent highs around $3,655 - $3,657 could serve as key resistance levels, beyond which gold might test its all-time high around $3,675. Additional buying orders could allow XAU/USD to continue its recent breakout and aim for the $3,700 level, especially as the H1 trendline shows signs of breaking.
The support levels to watch are $3,630 - $3,615 , and eventually the psychological $3,600 level. If these hold, short-term buying strategies remain favored. Remember, "The trend is your friend."
What do you think? How will gold move from here? Hit like if you agree with my analysis!
Good luck!
SWING IDEA - FIRSTCRY (BRAINBEES SOLUTIONS LTD)FirstCry (Brainbees Solutions) , a leading omni-channel retailer for baby and kids’ products, is showing signs of a potential breakout, presenting a strong swing trading opportunity.
Reasons are listed below :
400 resistance zone tested multiple times — now looking ready for a breakout
Attempting to break out of a 7+ month consolidation phase
Volume spikes suggest accumulation by smart money
Golden Fibonacci retracement support in play
Price action forming higher highs, confirming bullish structure
Target - 500 // 540
Stoploss - daily close below 348
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CHFJPY: Trend ContinuationAfter a pullback throughout August, it seems like this pair is gaining its momentum back. Here are my observations over on different timeframes.
Daily Timeframe:
EMA20 is above EMA60, which signals there's an overall uptrend
Price also pulled back and stayed above the DTL, indicating that this breakout is successful
H1 Timeframe:
Price crosses above the DTL, which is another indication that trend confluence is resuming
EMA20 being above EMA60 and diverging is giving indications that momentum is likely picking up
Head & Shoulder breakout in Agilent stock pointing Bearish move
HEAD AND SHOULDER BREAKOUT -
price broke out of head and shoulder pattern with a strong confirmation indicating strong downward pressure for the stock.
Definition -
(i) Left Shoulder → price rise, then fall
(ii) Head → higher rise, then fall
(iii)Right Shoulder → lower rise, then fall again
EVENING STAR CANDLESTICK -
1 large green candlestick followed by 1 doji followed by 1 large red candlestick is called evening star which indicates downward pressure for the stock
TARGET -
120 level
CADCHF: Trend ContinuationCADCHF continues to remain bearish as it holds below the key level on the daily timeframe. Here's a summary of my key observations over on the daily and intraday timeframes.
Daily Timeframe:
Price broke the key support level in early September
After some sideways price action, price is currently making a bearish bar that engulfs the prior day's doji
H1 Timeframe:
Price broke through the ATL, which shows confluence with the downtrend
EMA20 is also below EMA60, moving further apart to signal momentum is picking up
Price is also below EMA20, which signals confluence with downtrend as well
GBP-JPY Bullish Breakout! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-JPY made a strong
Bullish breakout of the
Key horizontal resistance
Level around 200.400
So we are bullish biased
And we will be expecting
A further bullish move up
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
CLSK - accumulation before a breakout or a trap?CLSK price is consolidating in the 9.5–10.5 buy zone, which aligns with a key volume area. On the weekly chart, a breakout from the falling wedge is forming, and if bulls manage to hold above the current range, the next targets stand at 17.98 and 24.72. Volumes indicate institutional interest, while RSI at lower levels suggests a potential reversal.
Fundamentally , CLSK is strongly correlated with Bitcoin and the mining sector: declining hash rate among competitors and expectations of a softer Fed policy provide a supportive backdrop.
The tactical setup is straightforward: defending 9.5–10.5 opens the way toward 17.98 and 24.72, while a breakdown would shift the price lower.
For now, it looks like accumulation, but the real question is who will give up first - the bulls or the bears.
BTCUSD: Rully Continue in Upward ChannelHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Bitcoin setup.
Market Analysis
From a broader perspective, we've seen a significant shift in the market structure for Bitcoin. The price has successfully broken out of a prior Downward channel, a key event that signaled a reversal and shifted control from sellers to buyers, establishing a new bullish phase.
This new bullish phase has since formed a well-defined Upward Channel. The price has been making a series of higher highs and higher lows within this structure, but is currently in a corrective pullback, heading towards the channel's ascending support line, which is a key area to watch.
My Scenario & Strategy
My scenario is based on the expectation that this newly formed Upward Channel will continue to be respected by the market. I'm looking for the price to complete its dip and test the ascending support line. A confirmed bounce from this dynamic support would be the key signal that the correction is over and the next impulsive move up is beginning.
A successful rebound would validate the long scenario, with the price then expected to rally towards the top of the channel and break the intermediate Resistance at the 116700 level. The primary target for this move is 118500.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
IONQ — trend breakout and growth potentialIonQ shares have consolidated above the 47–50 zone and successfully broke the trendline, opening the way for further upside. The first target is set around 120, and if buying pressure continues, the price could extend toward 200. Key support levels are at 47–48 and 36, providing attractive accumulation zones.
From a fundamental perspective, the quantum computing sector is gaining momentum, and IonQ remains one of its leading players. Increasing demand for innovative technologies may support the continuation of the bullish trend in the medium term.
A stock you buy and forget — the longer you hold, the more you earn.
Breakout with a Catch: The Yen May Dip Before Lifting Off AgainThe Japanese Yen Futures (6J) have just pierced above a critical neckline at 0.0068220, completing an Inverted Head and Shoulders formation. This classical reversal pattern often signals a potential shift in momentum from bearish to bullish. Based on technical projections, the measured move points toward a target near 0.0070430, which lies significantly higher from current price levels.
Yet, there’s a catch. The Stochastic Oscillator has entered overbought territory, hinting that before the next upward leg develops, a retracement could occur. This makes the current setup particularly interesting, as the neckline breakout is bullish, but timing entries becomes crucial to avoid getting caught in a short-term dip.
Understanding the Inverted Head & Shoulders
The Inverted Head and Shoulders is one of the most recognized reversal patterns in technical analysis. It typically forms after a prolonged decline and suggests that bearish momentum is losing steam.
The structure consists of three parts:
Left Shoulder: the first swing low, followed by a rebound
Head: a deeper low, which marks the exhaustion of sellers
Right Shoulder: a higher low, indicating buyers are stepping in earlier
Neckline: the resistance level connecting the highs of the shoulders, acting as the trigger point
Once price pierces above the neckline, the pattern is considered complete. Traders often project the distance from the head to the neckline and extend it upward to identify a potential price objective. In this case, the neckline break projects a target near 0.0070430.
The reliability of this formation lies in its ability to signal a shift in trend sentiment. While no pattern is flawless, the inverted H&S is widely respected for its potential consistency.
The Role of Stochastic in This Setup
While the breakout above the neckline looks promising, momentum indicators suggest caution. The Stochastic Oscillator, a tool designed to measure overbought and oversold conditions, is currently flashing an overbought reading.
This does not necessarily mean that prices must reverse, but it does imply that the bullish move could pause or correct before resuming. In practical terms, traders might expect a short-term retracement as buying pressure temporarily exhausts itself.
Such pullbacks can be constructive within a broader bullish setup, especially if they occur near significant areas of support. By aligning the breakout pattern with Stochastic signals, traders can time their entries with more precision instead of chasing the market at stretched levels.
Support Zone & Safety Net
One of the strongest features of this setup is the presence of a relevant support area just below the neckline breakout level. This zone, also reinforced by a previously identified UFO support, could serve as a launching pad if prices retrace lower in the short term.
If 6J dips back toward the neckline, traders will be watching whether this level holds. A bounce from here would not only validate the breakout but also offer an attractive risk-to-reward setup. To manage downside exposure, a protective stop can be placed at 0.0067350, positioned below this key support zone.
This structure creates a layered safety net: first the neckline, then the underlying support, and finally the stop loss—offering multiple defenses against unfavorable moves before the bullish scenario invalidates.
Contract Specs & Margins (6J & MJY)
CME offers both the standard Japanese Yen Futures (6J) and the smaller-sized Micro JPY/USD Futures (MJY), giving traders flexibility depending on capital requirements and position sizing needs.
🟢 6J – Japanese Yen Futures
Contract size: ¥12,500,000
Minimum tick: 0.0000005 = $6.25
Initial margin: ≈ $3,100 (subject to CME updates)
🟢 MJY – Micro JPY/USD Futures
Contract size: ¥1,250,000 (1/10th of standard)
Minimum tick: 0.000001 = $1.25
Initial margin: ≈ $310 (subject to CME updates)
The Micro contracts replicate the price behavior of the standard Yen futures at a fraction of the size. This makes them attractive for traders who want to fine-tune risk exposure, scale in or out more precisely, or manage positions with smaller capital outlays.
Trade Plan Example
A structured trade idea can help frame the opportunity while managing risk effectively:
Direction: Long
Entry: Near 0.0068220 (neckline breakout level), or after a retracement toward support
Stop: 0.0067350 (below the support zone)
Target: 0.0070430 (measured objective from the inverted H&S)
Reward-to-Risk Calculation:
Potential reward = 0.0070430 – 0.0068220 = 0.0002210
Potential risk = 0.0068220 – 0.0067350 = 0.0000870
Approximate ratio = 2.5 : 1
This ratio is favorable, suggesting that the upside potential outweighs the defined downside exposure. Traders considering this setup may prefer to wait for a retracement toward support, which could enhance entry quality and improve the reward-to-risk profile even further.
The Importance of Risk Management
Even the most compelling technical setups require disciplined risk management. Using stop-loss orders is essential to protect capital against unexpected market swings, particularly in leveraged products like futures.
Position sizing is another key element—adjusting contract size to account size ensures that a single trade does not overexpose the portfolio. Micro contracts, such as MJY, are especially useful for traders looking to scale positions with precision.
Equally important is the principle of avoiding undefined risk. Every trade should have a clearly defined exit strategy, both for profits and losses. By knowing where to enter, where to exit, and where to cut losses, traders reduce emotional decision-making and maintain consistency.
Finally, patience plays a role. Waiting for a retracement into support rather than chasing a stretched market often improves entry quality, lowers risk, and increases the probability of success.
Conclusion
Japanese Yen Futures are showing signs of a potential trend shift as the inverted head and shoulders formation breaks above its neckline. The measured move points toward higher ground, but the overbought Stochastic warns that the path may not be in a straight line. A temporary dip into support could provide a second chance for bulls to position themselves with a favorable risk-to-reward profile.
By combining pattern recognition, momentum analysis, and precise trade planning, this setup highlights how technical structure and disciplined execution can align to create opportunity. Whether trading the standard 6J contract or the smaller MJY, the key remains the same: respect risk, trust the setup, and let the market confirm the move.
When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies.
General Disclaimer:
The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
USD/CHF - Forecast 🕰 Weekly View
Price remains under the weekly downtrend, with structure holding below new resistance at 0.84. Market continues to respect the wedge pattern, with downside pressure aiming toward 0.78–0.79 weekly demand.
📉 Daily Structure
Resistance: 0.82–0.84 supply block.
Support: 0.78–0.79 demand zone.
Price is stuck in compression — either we sweep into resistance for rejection lower, or break above wedge to shift momentum bullish.
⏱ 4H Breakdown
Price is consolidating inside a wedge formation. Overhead resistance sits at 0.80–0.805, while a clean break below wedge support opens the door toward 0.79–0.788 demand.
🔎 Outlook
Bias remains bearish while under 0.82 resistance, with potential pullback into 0.79 demand. However, a breakout above 0.82–0.84 could flip structure bullish.
Bias: Bearish pressure → mid-term bearish unless breakout above 0.82–0.84.
Gold Price Outlook – Bulls in Control👋Hello everyone, let’s take a look at OANDA:XAUUSD today!
Over the past week, gold has moved steadily upward, holding above the psychological 3,600 USD zone. At present, the bulls remain in control, keeping price action around 3,645 USD.
Gold continues to benefit from a weaker USD following recent economic data. Rising unemployment claims and expectations that the Fed will maintain a dovish stance have provided strong support for gold to stay above 3,600 USD.
From a technical perspective, the precious metal is extending its rally toward key Fibonacci expansion targets. The 2.618 extension is being tested, with potential to push higher toward the 3.618 level. This aligns with the Elliott Wave structure, where wave (3) is near completion, likely followed by a brief correction into wave (4), before a breakout into wave (5).
The next psychological targets are 3,700 and 3,800 in the medium term. The main trend remains bullish, with critical support resting at 3,550 – 3,600 USD. As long as gold holds above this zone, the strategy of buying on dips to capture wave (5) remains valid.
What do you think about gold’s outlook? Share your thoughts in the comments!
Good luck!
Ethereum Breakout – From Crash to Bull Run, History Repeats?Hello Traders!
Ethereum has once again confirmed a major breakout after years of consolidation. If we study its past cycles, we can see a repeated pattern: deep crashes, long consolidation, and then explosive rallies. The current setup looks no different.
Cycle 1: 2017–2020
ETH crashed nearly 93% , shaking out weak hands.
After 18 months of consolidation , it broke out strongly.
Result → A massive 1760% bull run .
Cycle 2: 2021–2023
ETH faced another 78% crash during the bear market.
This time, consolidation lasted around 46 months .
Breakout again led to a solid bull phase.
Cycle 3: 2025 (Current)
ETH has confirmed a weekly close above resistance – signaling breakout.
Strong volume support adds conviction.
Projection suggests a move toward $16,500+ , about 318% potential upside .
But remember: invalidation if ETH closes below $3,500–3,800 .
Why This Matters
Ethereum doesn’t just move randomly – it moves in cycles . Each cycle has followed the same sequence:
Crash → Consolidation → Breakout → Bull Run
If history repeats, we may be witnessing the early stages of another explosive cycle.
Rahul’s Tip
Always respect both sides of the market. Big targets look exciting, but risk management is everything. Mark your invalidation levels, and never forget: every bull run starts with patience during consolidation .
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Please do your own research or consult your financial advisor before investing.
Analysis By @TraderRahulPal (TradingView Moderator) | More analysis & educational content on my profile
👉 If you found this helpful, don’t forget to like and follow for regular updates.
EURUSD: Bounce from Triangle Support LineHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Euro setup.
Market Analysis
From a broader perspective, EURUSD has been in a long phase of accumulation, which has formed a large Upward Triangle. This pattern is defined by a flat horizontal resistance at the 1.1770 level and a rising support line, showing that while sellers are holding the highs, buyers are progressively becoming more aggressive on each pullback.
Currently, the price is in a corrective pullback phase within this triangle. It is now approaching the ascending support line, a key dynamic level that has consistently provided a floor for the price during this entire consolidation period.
My Scenario & Strategy
My scenario is built on the expectation that this Upward Triangle will resolve to the upside, in line with its classic technical interpretation. I'm looking for the price to complete its dip and find strong support on the triangle's support line. The key event would then be a decisive breakout above the 1.1770 Resistance.
Therefore, the strategy is to watch for this bounce as the entry trigger. A confirmed breakout above the Resistance Zone would validate the long scenario. The primary target for the subsequent expansion is 1.1820, a logical measured move objective after such a prolonged consolidation.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
Weekly XAUUSD Outlook – September 15–19, 2025Hello traders,
Gold set a new ATH at 3674, pushing into premium territory. The higher timeframe remains bullish, but price sits above a wide imbalance with untouched OBs below. With FOMC this week, the decision is clear: breakout continuation or correction.
🔸 Weekly Structural Zones (real, wide 30–50$)
🟥 Weekly Supply 3670–3720 (ATH zone): Liquidity pocket around the all-time high. Key decision area for breakout or rejection.
🟥 Weekly Supply 3770–3800: Next untested supply block, aligns with extension targets.
🟥 Weekly Supply 3850–3920: Higher supply area, untouched liquidity cluster above.
🟦 Weekly Imbalance 3590–3450: Wide clean imbalance left behind by the bullish leg. Main corrective magnet.
🟦 Weekly Demand OB 3340–3290: Untouched institutional order block, first major support below imbalance.
🟦 Weekly Demand OB 3180–3120: Deeper valid order block, aligning with retracement confluence.
🟦 Weekly Demand OB 3050–2980: Extreme deep discount order block, still valid on HTF.
🔸 Confluences
EMA Stack (5/21/50/100/200): Bullish lock, EMA50 sits near 3450 inside imbalance.
RSI (Weekly): Overbought → exhaustion risk near ATH supply.
Liquidity: Resting pools above ATH 3674 and under imbalance 3450.
Fibonacci (2640 → 3674 swing): Extensions (3750, 3880) align with upper supply zones. Retracements overlap with weekly OBs, confirming validity.
🔸 Weekly Scenarios
📈 Bullish Expansion
Breakout above 3670–3720 supply → next liquidity magnets at 3770–3800 and 3850–3920.
Dovish FOMC could drive this continuation.
📉 Bearish Correction
Rejection at ATH sends price into 3590–3450 imbalance.
If fully rebalanced → first real support at 3340–3290 demand OB.
Deeper correction possible to 3180–3120 or 3050–2980 demand OBs if macro turns hawkish.
🔥 Summary:
Weekly Supply Zones: 3670–3720, 3770–3800, 3850–3920
Weekly Imbalance: 3590–3450
Weekly Demand OBs: 3340–3290, 3180–3120, 3050–2980
Market stretched at ATH → FOMC will decide breakout or correction.
📌 Gold is at a turning point: breakout above ATH into 3700, 3800+, or correction to rebalance the 3590–3450 gap. Which scenario do you lean toward? Drop a comment below 👇, like and follow GoldFxMinds for precision weekly maps.