GBPUSD Hits Channel Highs – Watch for Exhaustion or BreakoutGBPUSD continues its impressive rally, tapping into the upper boundary of a clean ascending channel across the 1D and 4H timeframes.
🔹 Daily:
Structure remains bullish with price pressing into long-term channel resistance near 1.3765. This is a key inflection point — bulls may need fresh momentum to break above.
🔹 4H:
Sharp impulsive move has stretched to the upside channel line. RSI likely overextended. Look for signs of exhaustion or bearish divergence here.
🔹 1H / 23m:
Lower timeframes show aggressive bullish control, but price is stalling near the highs. If we break structure or reject this zone, we could see a correction toward 1.3660 or deeper.
📉 If rejection occurs here, short opportunities may present toward mid-range or trendline support.
📈 If we break and close above 1.3780 with volume, continuation toward 1.3850 becomes likely.
💡Key Levels:
• Resistance: 1.3780, 1.3850
• Support: 1.3660, 1.3600
Breakoutorrejection
Price at a Crossroads: Will It Break or Drop?After a strong breakout from a falling wedge and handle pattern on Wednesday, Nov 6, 2024, price surged to an All-Time High of 109,358.01. However, a retracement followed, with the formation of a double top pattern leading to a breakdown below the neckline at 91,809.11, sending prices tumbling to 78,167.81, perfectly aligning with the golden ratio (50% Fibonacci level).
From there, buyers stepped in, pushing the price back up to the 38.2% Fibonacci level, but strong resistance led to two rejections and the formation of three consecutive doji candles, signalling market indecision.
What’s Next?
🔹 Bullish Scenario: A breakout above 38.2% could lead to a neckline retest 91,809.11.
🔹 Bearish Scenario: If rejection holds, the double top projection targets is 74,279.20, with further downside towards 61.8% or 66%, aligning with the daily trendline.
📢 Risk Management Reminder:
The market is at a critical level—manage your risk wisely! Set stop losses, use proper position sizing, and avoid over-leveraging. Patience and discipline are key!

