GBP/USD 4H Analysis Based on the W Formation on the H4 Timeframe, I'd be looking for GBPUSD to pullback before breaking the structure high.
Britishpound
GBPCHF - APPROACHES KEY DEMAND ZONESymbol - GBPCHF
GBPCHF continues to correct, forming lower-lows amid ongoing macroeconomic uncertainty and US policy concerns. The currency pair remains within a bearish structure, yet it is now approaching a critical demand zone located near 1.0555 – 1.0530, where a potential reaction from buyers could emerge.
Despite the prevailing downside momentum, the pair is entering a zone of interest that may attract bullish activity. If the bulls succeed in defending this demand zone, a notable reversal from these levels could follow.
Resistance levels: 1.0560, 1.0535
Support levels: 1.0600, 1.0647, 1.0685
If the price fails to hold above the current support and liquidity zone highlighted in the chart, another wave of selling could develop. Although, given the existing market context, the probability of a deeper decline appears limited.
GBPUSD Channel Down targeting at least 1.3250The GBPUSD pair has been trading within a 1-month Channel Down pattern since the September 23 rejection on its 4H MA200 (orange trend-line). In fact, we are currently on the third Bearish Leg of this pattern, all of which have been initiated by 4H MA200 rejections.
We expect the price to target at least 1.3250, where it might technically rebound due to the presence of the 1D MA200 (red trend-line). If it breaks though, we can see a -2.07% standard Bearish Leg extension to 1.32000, which would make a perfect technical Lower Low at the bottom of the Channel Down.
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GBPUSD 1H Analysis: Bearish Pressure Builds After Break 📊 GBPUSD – 1 Hour Analysis (SELL)
Technical Outlook:
Bullish momentum is fading, and selling pressure is building after the recent break.
My trade plan is on the SELL side; target level: 1.33564 📉
Fundamental Analysis:
On the U.S. side, the strong dollar narrative and the Fed’s data‑driven stance continue to support USD strength.
Meanwhile, uncertainty around the U.K.’s growth/inflation balance and tighter financial conditions are weighing on GBP.
Together, these factors reinforce the downside bias in the pair.
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BEARFlAG Aussie Against the Pound Hey Guys,
The Aussie seems to have broken the Bear flag against the British pound providing a good short entry with a .90 stoploss and a over 10% take profit target great risk to reward. that stop loss is supported by the confluence of the trendline becoming resistance, the 100sma and the previous high. This is also a continuation of the larger decline against the pound that broke out December last year
see picture below
Do your own research
GBPJPY starting a new multi-year Bear Cycle.The GBPJPY pair gave us recently (October 02, see chart below) an excellent buy signal on the 1D MA100, which instantly hit our 201.200 Target:
This time we view the market on the longest scale possible, the 1M time-frame, where since August 1990 High, it has been declining under the pressure of a Lower Highs trend-line.
The price is approaching that Lower Highs trend-line again after more than 18 years and in our perspective, sell any rally is the way to go long-term as it has much greater return potential than risk.
The first two Bearish Legs of this pattern (Bear Cycles) have declined by around -55%, the next one was shorter at -37.35%. As a result, we expect a minimum of -37.35% decline from the Lower Highs trend-line, which gives us a long-term Target of 136.000.
It is worth pointing out that the 1M Golden Cross that was priced in December 2023, is a formation that last time it emerged (December 2005), preceded a market Top. Also notice the presence of the 1M RSI Resistance Zone, which is holding since 1990 and when the RSI double tops there, it has been the most reliable Sell Signal.
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EURGBP Shifting to long-term Bearish.The EURGBP pair gave us a very efficient Channel Up buy signal last time (July 11, see chart below) that quickly hit our 0.87400 Target:
That pattern then broke and now we shift back to the longer term dynamics of the market as the trend is shifting from bullish to bearish. The strongest bearish indicator at the moment is the 1D RSI which has been on a Lower Highs Bearish Divergence for months, in contrast to the pair's Higher Highs.
The build up pattern to this (Channel Up into Channel Down following a 1D RSI Bearish Divergence) is similar to the 2022 - 2023 sequence. That fractal turned into a Channel Down following the first Lower High that initially formed a (temporary) Low marginally above the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level.
As a result, we shift to long-term bearish on the EURGBP pair, targeting 0.84500.
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GBPUSD – 30M | Testing Support Zone, Bullish Bounce ExpectedFX:GBPUSD
Market Overview
GBPUSD is consolidating within a tight structure after a strong sell-off.
The pair is currently testing a major support base where buyers previously defended aggressively.
If price maintains above this zone, we may see a bullish recovery leg toward mid and upper ranges.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀 →
🎯 Target 1: 1.3451 (mid-range)
🎯 Target 2: 1.3485 (rejection zone retest)
🎯 Target 3: 1.3510 (extended liquidity reach)
❌ Bearish Case 📉 →
Invalidation below 1.3390 (if support fails to hold).
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 1.3451 / 1.3485
Support 🟢: 1.3400 / 1.3410
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
GBPJPY Make or break moment on the 1D MA100. Buy or sell?The GBPJPY pair has been trading within a 5-month Channel Up and yesterday hit exactly its bottom (Higher Lows trend-line). That is marginally above the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), which has been the market's Support since May 08.
As long as it holds, we expect the Channel Up to make another standard V-shaped rebound, similar to both previous ones, and target the Resistance level at 201.200.
A candle closing below the 1D MA100 though, would be a sell signal, targeting the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) on the Support 1 level at 195.050.
The current price level at the bottom of the pattern offers low risk on a tight SL both in the event of a rebound and break-out to the downside.
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GBPUSD Long-term Top confirmed. Massive selling ahead.At the beginning of the year (January 10, see chart below), we issued a very strong buy signal on the GBPUSD pair, exactly at the bottom of the 3-year Channel Up, catching the most optimal buy entry and methodically hitting our 1.2950 Target:
This time we a confirmed Top for the same very pattern, which even though it may have widened the Higher Highs and Higher Lows (Megaphone), it did form last week Lower Highs, while also coming off a 1W MACD Bearish Cross, which at such high values, has been the sell signal on both previous Channel Tops.
Given that both Bearish Legs (red Channel Down sequences) reached at least their respective 0.786 Fibonacci levels, we are expecting the pair to hit 1.2450 within Q1 2026.
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$GBINTR - B.o.E Leaves Rates Unchanged (August/2025)ECONOMICS:GBINTR
August/2025
source: Bank of England
- The Bank of England voted by a majority of 7-2 to hold its benchmark Bank Rate at 4% today, following a 25 bps cut in August, and in line with expectations, as it navigates slow growth alongside still-elevated inflation.
Policymakers noted that a gradual and cautious approach to further easing monetary restraint remains appropriate.
The central bank will also slow the pace of bond sales to £70 billion from £100 billion and will move away from sales of longer gilts.
GBPUSD Long Setup: Strong Services & Weak USD in FocusToday, we will examine the long position of GBPUSD ( OANDA:GBPUSD ) together from a fundamental and technical perspective .
Please stay with me.
GBPUSD Fundamental Analysis :
GBP Strength Signals:
CPI y/y: 3.8% vs 3.7% expected → higher inflation → less likelihood of rate cuts → supports GBP.
Flash Services PMI: 53.6 vs 51.8 expected → strong service sector → positive for GBP.
GBP Weak Signals:
Flash Manufacturing PMI: 47.3 vs 48.2 expected → contraction in manufacturing → short-term pressure on GBP.
USD Weak Signals:
US Unemployment Claims: 235K vs 226K expected → weaker labor market → negative for USD.
Summary:
Overall, data favors GBP over USD. Short-term to medium-term, GBPUSD is likely to show upside momentum, driven by strong services, higher inflation, and weaker USD labor data. Watch for upcoming US data or Fed comments that could change this bias.
Note: Flash Manufacturing/Services PMI will publish soon.
Note: Tomorrow, we will have Fed Chair Powell speak.
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Now let's take a technical look at the GBPUSD on the 4-hour timeframe .
GBPUSD is currently moving near the Heavy Support zone($1.343-$1.313) and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
In terms of Elliott wave theory , GBPUSD seems to have completed the corrective waves . The first signal to confirm the end of the corrective waves could be the break of the upper line of the descending channel . The corrective wave structure is most likely a Double Three Correction(WXY) .
I expect GBPUSD to rise to at least $1.357 AFTER the break of the upper line of the descending channel .
Second Target: $1.363
Note: Stop Loss(SL): 1.3326 USD = Worst Stop Loss(SL)
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
British Pound / U.S Dollar Analysis (GBPUSD), 4-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
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EURBGP Sell this Leg and buy at the bottom.Last time we took a look a the EURGBP pair (July 11, see chart below), we gave a buy signal inside the Channel Up, which quickly hit our 0.87400 Target:
This time the price has found itself on a decline, the latest Bearish Leg of the Channel Up. The previous two declined by -2.75% before bottoming and reversing. The 1D RSI Higher Lows can be an additional indicator as to where the Low can be priced.
We expect the pair to reach at least 0.85500 before starting the new Bullish Leg, which we believe will extend all the way near the top (1.0 Fibonacci) of the Channel Up. Our Target will be 0.8900.
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$GBIRYY - U.K Inflation Hits 18-Month High (July/2025)ECONOMICS:GBIRYY
July/2025
source: Office for National Statistics
- The UK’s annual inflation rate rose to 3.8% in July 2025 from 3.6% in June,
the highest since January 2024 and slightly above forecasts of 3.7%.
The uptick was led by higher transport costs linked to school summer holidays, with additional pressure from motor fuels, restaurants and hotels, and food and non-alcoholic beverages.
On a monthly basis, CPI rose 0.1%,
defying forecasts of a 0.1% decline but slowing from June’s 0.3% gain.
Core inflation inched up to 3.8% from 3.7%.
British Pound can rise to 1.3680 points, exiting from wedgeHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about British Pound. The market dynamic for the British pound has undergone a significant reversal, shifting from a well-defined downward channel to a new bullish phase following a strong breakout from the buyer zone. This change in control has established a new upward trend, which has since been developing within the confines of a large upward wedge. The price action within this wedge has been constructive, with the asset making a series of higher highs and higher lows. Currently, the pair is undergoing a corrective pull-back after testing the seller zone near the top of the formation, and it is now approaching a key confluence of support around the 1.3535 level, where the ascending support line of the wedge is located. The primary working hypothesis is a long scenario, which anticipates that this correction will find strong support in this area, leading to a new upward impulse. The scenario further projects that this new impulse will not only carry the price to the wedge's resistance line but will have enough momentum to force a breakout to the upside, signalling an acceleration of the trend. Therefore, the TP for this breakout scenario is logically placed at the 1.3680 level, a target that represents a potential measured move following the resolution of the multi-week wedge pattern. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
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GBPUSD Channel Up started a new Bullish LegThe GBPUSD pair has been trading within a Channel Up since the January 13 2025 bottom. Right now, the pattern has already initiated the new Bullish Leg.
With the 1D RSI having rebounded on the 30.00 oversold level, it draws comparisons to the first Bullish Leg o the Channel Up. That made a +7.59% rise to hit its 2.0 Fibonacci extension.
As a result, our medium-term Target is set a 1.40575.
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British Pound will bounce up from support line of channelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about British Pound. The market structure has undergone a notable transition from a bullish to a bearish phase, with the breakdown from a prior upward channel leading to the formation of a new, well-defined downward channel. This has shifted the market's momentum, with price action now being governed by the descending boundaries of this new formation, respecting the seller zone near the top and finding temporary footing at the bottom. The price has recently completed a significant downward impulse within this structure, arriving at a critical confluence of support around the 0.8600 level. This area is highly significant as it represents the intersection of the channel's lower support line and a strong horizontal buyer zone that has previously provided a floor for the price. The primary working hypothesis is a long, rotational scenario, based on the high probability of a bullish reaction from this key support cluster. A confirmed bounce from the buyer zone would signal that a corrective upward rebound is underway, offering an opportunity for a move back towards the upper boundary of the channel. Therefore, the TP for this long idea is logically placed at the 0.8700 resistance level. This target aligns perfectly with the major seller zone and the channel's upper resistance line, representing the most probable destination for a counter-trend rally of this nature. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
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GBPJPY Bullish Leg has only just startedThe GBPJPY pair has been trading within a Channel Up since the April 09 2025 Low. Following the August 04 Higher Low, it has technically initiated the new Bullish Leg.
Given its strength on such an early stage, we expect it to be identical to the first Bullish Leg that rose by +6.53% and, at the same time, had a similar 1D MACD Bullish Leg. Our medium-term Target is thus 207.000.
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British Pound can little grow and then drop to buyer zoneHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about British Pound. If we look at the chart, we can see how the price started to grow inside an upward channel, where it at once broke the 1.3280 level. In the channel, it rose to the resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone, after which it rebounded and fell to the support line of the channel. Later, GBP rose to the seller zone and dropped, breaking the resistance level and exiting from the upward channel. Then the price entered to wedge and then made an impulse up, breaking the resistance level, and rose to the resistance line of the wedge. After this movement, it turned around and started to decline. Soon, it broke the 1.3580 level one more time and fell more. But later it turned around and rose to the 1.3580 resistance level, which coincided with the resistance line of the wedge. Then it dropped to the support line of the wedge, breaking the support level, but soon it backed up and rose back to the resistance line of the wedge pattern. Now I expect that the British Pound can continue to decline inside the wedge, and reach the buyer zone, breaking the support level. For this case, I set my TP at 1.3245 points, which coincided with the buyer zone. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
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$GBINTR -BoE Cuts Rates as Expected (August/2025)ECONOMICS:GBINTR
August/2025
source : Bank of England
- The Bank of England voted by a 5–4 majority to cut the key Bank Rate by 25bps to 4% in August, in line with expectations.
This marks the fifth rate cut since August of last year and brings borrowing costs to their lowest level since March 2023.
However, the decision followed an initial three-way split, the first time that two rounds of voting were required to reach a conclusive decision on interest rates.
Tariffs, NZ unemployment, and rate cuts: Highlights for the weekAfter a packed calendar last week, this one looks lighter—but there are still key events across major economies likely to drive FX market movement.
India Tariffs and Oil Prices
U.S. President Donald Trump has announced plans to raise tariffs on Indian imports, citing India’s continued purchase and resale of Russian oil. The White House rightly claims this undermines sanctions and helps fund the war in Ukraine. India’s Ministry of External Affairs called the move “unjustified and unreasonable.”
New Zealand Jobs Data — Wednesday
New Zealand’s Q2 unemployment rate is expected to rise from 5.1% to 5.3%, the highest level since late 2015. With inflation back within the RBNZ’s 1–3% target range, a soft labour print could provide the final justification for a rate cut at the next policy meeting.
Bank of England Rate Decision — Thursday
The BoE is widely expected to cut its policy rate by 25 basis points this week, responding to slowing economic momentum despite ongoing inflation concerns. Traders will closely watch Governor Bailey’s remarks to gauge whether this marks the start of a broader easing cycle or a single adjustment.
GBPUSD: The Bears Have it! Sell it!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Aug 4 - 8th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market:
GBPUSD
Even against a weakened USD, the GBP is weaker.
July ended with an aggressive bearish candle. August may see more of the same.
Then there is talk of interest rate cuts coming.....
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
GBP/CAD Clarity in Motion! Levels Are Locked In Hey everyone 👋
📌 BUY LIMIT ORDER / GBP/CAD Key Levels
🟢 Entry: 1,83873
🎯 Target 1: 1,84104
🎯 Target 2: 1,84372
🎯 Target 3: 1,85040
🔴 Stop: 1,83316
📈 Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.18
I double-checked the levels and put together a clean, focused analysis just for you. Every single like seriously boosts my motivation to keep sharing 📈 Your support means the world to me!
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