Bitcoin’s Worst November Ever — More Dump?In the past 24 hours, Bitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has dropped by more than -8%, marking its worst November performance ever, with a decline of about -17.67% this month alone.
Now, the question is whether Bitcoin will continue its downward trend or start to rebound. So, stay tuned!
At the moment, it seems that Bitcoin has successfully broken through the support zone($87,000-$85,130) and is moving toward the Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($83,273-$81,900).
From an Elliott Wave perspective, it appears that Bitcoin has completed its main wave 4, forming a bull trap, and is now in the process of completing the main wave 5.
On the fundamental side, we need to pay attention to a few key factors:
1-For one, the USDT.D% ( CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D ) is on the rise, and this could put downward pressure on the crypto market.
2-Another point is that the stock market is also trending upward, but unlike stocks, Bitcoin tends to react more negatively when the stock market declines.
3-The US 10-Year Government Bond Yield ( TVC:US10 ) also appears to be trending upward, causing riskier assets like stocks and Bitcoin to decline.
4-Additionally, geopolitical tensions, especially between the US and Venezuela over the past 72 hours, could also trigger further declines in Bitcoin if they escalate.
Considering all of this, I expect Bitcoin to continue its downward trend and test the heavy support zone($78,300-$71,280). The Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) might serve as a rebound point for Bitcoin, but if the heavy support zone($78,300-$71,280) is broken, we could see a more severe sell-off in the crypto markets.
What do you think? Will Bitcoin drop below $70,000 or not? Let me know your thoughts!
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $97,100-$98,135
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $93,215-$94,130
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $80,263-$78,131
First Target: Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $80,263-$78,131
Second Target: Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ)
Stop Loss(SL): $90,423
Points may shift as the market evolves
💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 4-hour time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
Btc-bitcoin
RIOT Macro outlook, weekly bullish divergenceNASDAQ:RIOT tested the upper boundary trend-line after its breakout. Expected behaviour.
A large weekly candle formed after hitting the weekly 200EMA and support suggesting the bottom is in.
Price remains above the downtrend and showed strength by poking above the wave 1 high.
🎯 Terminal target for the business cycle could see prices as high as $112 based on Fibonacci extensions
📈 Weekly RSI has bullish divergence
👉 Analysis is invalidated if we close below $6.33
Safe trading
Bitcoin: Final Pump Before the Fall?Over the past five to six days, Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has been attempting to recover from previous weekly declines, and it still appears to be in a corrective phase. This analysis builds on my previous idea, and if you’d like a deeper look at Bitcoin’s mid-term chart, you can check out the 4-hour timeframe in that previous analysis .
Now, a key point for Bitcoin traders is that, despite the recent rally in the S&P 500 ( SP:SPX ) over the past few days, Bitcoin hasn’t been able to keep pace. While it had a good correlation with the S&P 500 in the past, it didn’t experience a similar upward movement this time. Therefore, once the S&P 500 corrects, we may also see Bitcoin resume its downward trend.
Currently, Bitcoin seems to be near a resistance zone($92,200-$88,400) and Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($91,570-$89,660). It also appears to be forming an ascending channel over the past few days, indicating a corrective structure.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, Bitcoin seems to be completing microwave C of the microwave Y of the main wave 4, and we can expect this corrective phase to end soon, leading to another downward move. A break of the lower line of the ascending channel would confirm the end of this Wave 4.
I expect that after the Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($91,570-$89,660), Bitcoin will resume its decline and move towards the Support zone($86,200-$85,130).
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $86,000-$85,000
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $83,249-$81,840
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $80,263-$78,131
First Target: $86,290
Second Target: $83,800
Stop Loss(SL): $92,229
Points may shift as the market evolves
Note: At lower price levels, Bitcoin’s price includes several Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverages, each potentially causing further price drops. However, if the S&P 500 starts another correction, these levels may break more easily.
Note: Overall, trading in crypto has become a bit challenging lately, with less volatility, so it’s wise to be cautious and manage your capital carefully.
Note: If Bitcoin breaks through the resistance zone($92,200-$88,400) around $92,229, we can expect a renewed upward trend and hope for a bullish movement.
💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
COINBASE Still looks strong!NASDAQ:COIN Coinbase appears to have printed completed 2 of (V), extending the targets to the upper boundary trend-line and R4 weekly pivot, $718.
Price found support at the weekly pivot just above the weekly 200EMA and lower trend-line.
🎯 Terminal target for the business cycle could see prices as high as $718 based on the weekly pivots
📈 Weekly RSI has reset below the EQ.
👉 Analysis is invalidated below wave (IV)
Safe trading
MSTR when will it end? Soon...NASDAQ:MSTR Sentiment is low, the asset is hated and misunderstood by TradFi and retail. It’s a recipe for a bottom!
Price hit the weekly 200EMA in wave 4. Not much more to add, there is room to fall to $101 High Volume Node, but a bottom should emerge soon.
🎯 Terminal target for the business cycle could see prices as high as $1000 based on pivots
📈 Weekly RSI hit oversold with bullish divergence from wave 2
👉 Analysis is invalidated if we close back below $84
Safe trading
BTCUSD 1W - My Thoughts Going into Dec 1 2025 Week BTC heads into the first week of December in a clear corrective phase, with price likely to remain choppy as it digests the recent downside move. The mid-80k zone is acting as an interim equilibrium, but the broader structure still favors a deeper liquidity sweep toward the 70k-73k support band before any meaningful trend re-acceleration.
Volatility should remain elevated, and the market is positioned to shake out weak hands during this chop. Structurally, pullbacks into key supports continue to define the higher timeframe trend, while sellers are losing momentum on each leg lower.
BITCOIN → Retest of the 94,000 zone of interest...BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P is rebounding from its interim low of 80,000. However, it is still too early to talk about a bull market, as a countertrend correction is forming under the current circumstances.
Globally, Bitcoin is in a downtrend, with the zone of interest for a countertrend correction being 94,000-95,000. The market structure is bearish, and a retest of the break-even zone could trigger a downward movement within the trend.
After a strong liquidation to 80K, the market is forming a pullback, which is a basic phenomenon. There is no confirmation of a trend reversal yet, and the fundamental background is neutral, without clear support. Various analytical services suggest that the market is in a cleansing phase and has so far only liquidated short-term traders, reaching a cumulative average break-even price. A classic pullback. Technically, the zone of interest or magnet for the medium-term market is 75K (on the daily timeframe).
Resistance levels: 93,000, 94,000, 97,300
Support levels: 89,000, 86,000
In the current situation: a bearish trend, weak purchasing power, and a weak fundamental background, I consider a pullback to be the primary reaction to the 93-94K zone. However, the market is not constant, and if support appears (news or other drivers) and Bitcoin manages to stay above 95K, then growth can be expected.
Sincerely, R. Linda!
BTCUSDT.P - December 1, 2025The chart shows Bitcoin breaking down sharply from a rising wedge‑type structure after failing to sustain prices above the 91,000–91,500 resistance band, confirming short‑term bearish momentum on the 15‑minute timeframe. Immediate support sits around 86,000–85,500 where price is currently reacting, but the highlighted lower zone near 82,000–81,500 represents the next downside target if this local support gives way, aligning with the projected stop level for any counter‑trend long attempt. The higher‑probability play is to wait for either a clear bullish reversal pattern and strong candles off the 85,500–86,000 area to target a corrective bounce back toward 91,000, or a weak consolidation followed by continuation selling into the lower support box to consider fresh shorts with stops above the broken intraday resistance.
Ethereum (ETH) Rejected from $3K — Key Support AheadETH recently got rejected at the critical $3,000 resistance, a psychological and technical level that’s held firm amidst broader market volatility. However, bulls shouldn’t panic just yet — Ethereum is now approaching a major support zone between $2,640 and $2,770, where it has previously found strong buying interest. If macro conditions stabilize, momentum could return quickly from this level.
💡 Trade Setup
Entry Zone: $2,640 – $2,770
Take Profit Targets: $3,370 and $4,000
Stop Loss: $2,187
This setup offers a strong risk-reward profile, especially if ETH rebounds as it has done historically from this zone. Watch for volume confirmation and potential bullish divergences on lower timeframes to time entries.
MARA cant catch a break, macro outlook still strongNASDAQ:MARA found support at the golden pocket and channel lower boundary just above the S1 pivot.
Price appears to be in an Elliot wave B, restricting upside targets to the 1:1 Fibonacci extensions at $106. Price is below the weekly 200EMA and pivot.
🎯 Terminal target for the business cycle could see prices as high as $106 based on Fibonacci extensions
📈 Weekly RSI is nearing oversold with room to fall
👉 Analysis is invalidated if we close back below wave (II)
Safe trading
WULF LocalPrice caught a bid above the daily 200EMA on bullish divergence. It’s possible a triangle is forming for wave IV.
Price is stuck between the breakout upper-boundary and mean support, its hard to decipher the next direction as it stands. A breakout above the line could see it rally to $25 while back below wave IV would test the 200EMA.
📈 Daily RSI had confirmed bullish divergence but not from oversold
👉 Continued upside will invalidate this analysis.
Safe trading
WULF Macro looks exhausted... pullback before higherNASDAQ:WULF Price appears exhausted at the upper channel boundary, and I have exited completely for now. The Elliot wave pattern completes a leading diagonal, which hints at higher to go after a deep wave 2 pullback, which could end at the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement, $8, but a more likely target is the 0.5 Fib at $5.84 with downside momentum. Also the weekly 200EMA.
Breaking out above the channel would change the count and structure and be very bullish. RSI has been overbought for a while. For now, I watch and wait.
🎯 Terminal target for the business cycle could see prices as high as $25 based on weekly pivots
📈 Weekly RSI is oversold with no divergence and can remain here for months as price keeps increasing.
👉 Analysis is invalidated if we close back above $20
Fair value sits at $11.
Safe trading
ETH vs BTC- Sometimes when we look at markets, we get confused by all the noise, Trump and governments news, ETFs, FED, bans, SEC, FUD, FOMO, fake stories, and more.
- As a trader, you must always step back from news, view the trend from a distance, and filter out that noise.
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Trading Parts (Monthly TF) :
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- Look at the trend and indicators, that’s what you should focus on first. ETH reached its all-time high in November 2021, and then retested that same ATH level in August 2025.
- Now look at the RSI and MACD levels at that time... In 2021, the RSI was overbought and the MACD crossed downward.
- Alright, now compare with where we are today. The RSI is only halfway to the top (even though ETH has already reached $5K again), and the MACD just crossed upward a few months earlier.
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In my opinion, we’re not topped yet and ETH still low. They will always try to scare you out so they can buy your bags cheaper.
Keep your attention on the opportunities others can’t see.
Happy Tr4Ding !
BITCOIN - PRESSURE BUILDING - SHORT SQUEEZE INCOMING?Traders,
Bitcoin might be preparing a short squeeze. Let’s walk through the flow, structure, math, and correlations step-by-step so you understand what is happening and why it matters.
1. What Happened
Bitcoin dumped from 96k → 80.6k last week. Price then bounced and is now trading around 87k.
Under the surface:
Stablecoin-Margined Futures (USDT-M)
Since 27 Oct:
OI increased from 225k → 280k contracts
That’s +55k contracts (~24% increase)
CVD went down, not up
Meaning:
These new positions were mostly shorts
The market added leveraged short exposure during the dump
Interpretation:
USDT-M traders attacked the move lower aggressively. Increasing OI + dropping CVD = new sellers dominating, not buyers.
Coin-Margined Futures (BTC-M)
Since 27 Oct:
OI and CVD both dropped from 7.41B → 5.90B
BTC-M is usually “higher conviction” demand
A drop in BTC-M CVD means
Longs closing
Capitulation
Reduced bullish positioning
Interpretation:
Native BTC longs stepped aside. Short-term leverage traders pressed the downside.
Spot + Futures CVD (27 Oct → 21 Nov)
Spot CVD ↓
Futures CVD ↓
Price ↓
All making lower lows and lower highs
This was a clean, correlated downtrend.
2. The First Major Shift: Spot CVD Divergence
Since 21 November:
Spot CVD:
Higher highs
Higher lows
Rising together with price
Indicates real demand stepping in
Stablecoin Futures (USDT-M):
Still making lower lows
Still pressing shorts
Still fighting the spot buyers
This is the key:
Spot = real money
Futures = leveraged speculation
Rising spot CVD vs falling futures CVD = absorption pattern
Meaning:
Strong hands buy
Weak shorts keep selling
Price rises anyway
The pressure builds
Shorts eventually run out
The squeeze begins
This is one of the cleanest pre-squeeze structures you can get.
3. The Math: Fibonacci Rotation Logic
Let’s break down the structure.
(A → B → C Structure)
A = 116k (27 Oct)
B = 98.710
C = 107.403 (retracement)
The retrace sits at 0.5.
The reciprocal extension is 2.0
The 2.0 extension lands exactly at the 21 Nov wick (~81k)
This is a perfect harmonic rotation.
(X → Z → A Extension)
X = 06 Oct high
Z = 18 Oct low
A = 27 Oct high
Fibonacci extension from X → Z → A:
1.618 extension = 80.544
It matches the 2.0 from the ABC structure
It matches the 0.886 retracement on the HTF
Three independent mathematical signals hitting the same level. This is extremely rare and confirms the 81k zone as a rotation completion.
4. Structure Break
Since the 10 Nov low:
4H is making higher highs & higher lows
The descending trendline from 11 Nov is broken
Trend shifted from controlled downtrend → early reversal
Structure now favors continuation upwards as long as higher lows hold
Interpretation:
Sellers who relied on the trendline no longer have control.
4.5 Intermarket Correlation: Why Bitcoin Dumped When ES Dumped
Another important factor:
Bitcoin dumped because ES dumped.
From 12 Nov → 21 Nov:
S&P500 (ES)
Dropped from 6900 → 6525
–5.43% correction
Bitcoin:
Dropped from 107k → 80.5k
–24.77% correction
BTC acted as a ~4.5× levered version of ES.
BTC acted as a ~4.5× levered version of ES.
Correlation Data:
Rolling BTC/ES correlation increased from 0.38 → 0.74
Meaning BTC traded almost in sync with equities during the selloff
Why?
Risk-Off Mechanics
When ES sells off:
Equity funds de-risk
Macro algos rotate out of high beta
Volatility spikes
Systematic funds reduce exposure
Crypto is treated as “high beta tech”
BTC amplifies the move by a factor of 3–5×
Bitcoin didn’t dump because crypto was weak — It dumped because macro markets were risk-off.
Why this matters now
ES has stabilized
BTC stopped following ES lower
Spot demand started rising
BTC/ES correlation is dropping again (from 0.78 → ~0.55)
USDT-M shorts didn’t adjust
This is exactly when short squeezes start on BTC:
Macro stabilizes
Crypto regains independence
Shorts remain positioned for risk-off
Spot buyers take control
Price accelerates upward
This is a classic intermarket correlation unwind.
5. USDT Dominance (USDT.D) Confirms Risk Rotation
USDT dominance has turned down, which means:
Traders are deploying capital
Less stablecoin sitting idle
More risk-on appetite
Historically aligns with BTC beginning new legs up after HTF rotations
When USDT.D falls at the same time spot CVD rises, the market is shifting capital into crypto.
6. Targets: 118.5k → 124k
These are the next liquidity magnets.
Target #1: 118.5k
Confluences with:
1.141 extension of the 11 Nov → 12 Nov move
First major liquidity pool
First real “decision point” for the market
Target #2: 124k
Confluences with:
A weak high that will be swept
1.618 extension of the same 11→12 Nov move
Natural squeeze exhaustion zone
Perfect location for a Swing Fail Pattern
Rotation Logic
Shallow retraces → larger extensions (1.618 → 2.0)
Deep retraces → smaller extensions (1.272 → 1.414)
BTC currently fits the shallow retrace profile → favors strong extension
7. Other Pivot Points
Marked on the chart:
Minor LVNs
Minor-imbalances
CME Gaps
Expect reaction at each point.
8. Invalidation & Bearish Pathway
My invalidation is clear:
Trading below 80k invalidates the squeeze setup.
Below 80k, the absorption breaks.
If 80k is lost, the downside extension levels become:
74k
70k
64k
These levels are:
The natural downside extension pathways from the 11 Nov → 21 Nov swing
They form the mirrored rotation of the bullish structure
Final View
We dumped because macro went risk-off
Bitcoin amplified the ES selloff
Shorts loaded heavily into the move
Spot buyers stepped in first
A clean absorption pattern formed
Mathematical rotation completed at ~81k
Structure flipped
Risk metrics like USDT.D turned down
Correlation with ES is now unwinding
If Bitcoin continues to hold above 80k and spot keeps leading, the squeeze toward 118.5k → 124k becomes the most likely path.
Abbreviation List
BTC – Bitcoin
ES – S&P500 E-Mini Futures
OI – Open Interest
CVD – Cumulative Volume Delta
USDT-M – Stablecoin-Margined Futures
BTC-M – Coin-Margined Futures
HTF – Higher Timeframe
LVN – Low Volume Node
AVWAP – Anchored Volume-Weighted Average Price
PRZ – Potential Reversal Zone
SFP – Swing Fail Pattern
Fib – Fibonacci
CTA – Commodity Trading Advisor (systematic trend-following funds)
VIX – Volatility Index
Beta – Sensitivity of an asset’s movement relative to a benchmark
Risk-Off – Market environment where investors reduce exposure to risky assets
Risk-On – Market environment where investors increase exposure to risky assets
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If you enjoy this type of deep, data-driven breakdown—spot vs futures, CVD flow, intermarket correlation, and rotation math—drop a like and leave a comment. It helps me see whether these higher-level analyses bring value, and it motivates me to keep sharing them for free.
BTC: The Bitcoin bounce is not a trend reversal🚫 The Bitcoin bounce is not a trend reversal
Here’s why the current move looks more like a liquidity trap than a real bullish reversal:
- Momentum is lagging — the rebound isn’t supported by strength.
- Liquidity spikes look engineered to squeeze short positions rather than coming from genuine buyers.
- ETFs are selling while BTC is pumping → classic exit liquidity behaviour.
- We remain in a bearish trend, and the current flag pattern is on the verge of breaking. Statistically, these patterns break down, with targets equal to the size of the previous leg.
- Price is rising while volume is falling → this is a hidden bearish divergence on volume.
🎯 What I’m seeing
It looks like many institutions were caught off guard by the depth of this downtrend, and now they’re trying to reduce exposure.
They appear to be engineering a bounce to attract retail FOMO, allowing them to exit with smaller losses — a classic liquidity extraction move.
As I’ve mentioned several times already:
👉 The primary trend remains bearish until Q2 2026, though we should expect bounces and manipulative moves along the way.
⚠️ My advice
Don’t deploy all your capital into a fake FOMO rally and become the institutions’ exit liquidity.
Wait for a proper bottom confirmation, such as:
A W pattern, followed by a successful retest with a higher low.
❌ Invalidation
This analysis becomes invalid only if the current pattern breaks upward with strong volume.
DYOR
BTCUSDT.P - December 2, 2025Bitcoin remains in a broader downtrend but is currently consolidating between resistance around 87,400–87,700 and support near 83,400. The chart outlines a potential breakout toward 91,375 if price can reclaim and hold above the consolidation range, with that level marked as the primary profit target. Conversely, a failure at resistance and a break below 83,400 would confirm renewed bearish momentum toward the lower profit zone around 80,000. Trend structure is neutral-short term within this range, and a decisive move outside the highlighted consolidation band is needed to confirm the next directional leg.
Bitcoin still in reactive phaseBitcoin’s relief bounce stalled right at the descending trendline, and the move up couldn’t break through the mid-96k supply zone. Momentum is cooling off again, and volume isn’t supporting a breakout.
Unless price can reclaim that trendline with conviction, the chart still leans corrective. Key areas to watch on the downside remain the mid-80k zone, with stronger support lower in the 70s where demand and volume profile stack up.
For now, BTC is still in a reactive phase. Bulls need a clean close above resistance to shift the structure. Until that happens, caution makes sense.
Bitcoin 1 000 000$ ❚ Livermore cylinder📣 Hello everyone!
I bring to your attention my, I’m not afraid of this word, GLOBAL trading idea for Bitcoin for the decade ahead!
☝️ Now let me, as briefly but informatively as possible, explain to you how, step by step, Bitcoin will most likely come to $1,000,000 dollars, as well as what the two most serious risk factors are today ⚡️
In 1929, Jesse Livermore published this hypothetical chart (bottom right) showing “The Most Important Thing Happening to the Price of A Stock.” At the beginning of this pattern there is an expanding accumulation wedge, an upward “megaphone” (“horn”) formed from two sloping trend support/resistance lines. In the original, according to Livermore, it is necessary to take into account the volume when forming a pattern, but in my opinion, in relation to Bitcoin, it is better to take into account the spread; I removed this turkey from the final chart for the aesthetic reasons of the trading idea, so let’s study it on our own.
Having spent quite a lot of time on multiple technical and fundamental analysis of BTC, as well as taking into account trends in the macroeconomics of the United States and the world economy as a whole, I came to the conclusion that a very strong bullish pattern is forming on the Bitcoin chart - the EXPANDING WEDGE OF LIVERMORE ACCUMULATION!
This means that from the birth of Bitcoin until 2024, all these bullish and bearish microcycles are a period of accumulation of the asset!
🔹 Now briefly on key points according to the pattern:
1️⃣ All-time Low (ATL) - the minimum price of Bitcoin in its entire history, the birth of an asset!
2️⃣ ATH 2017 – First serious takeoff 🚀 Maximum of the bullish rally that ended in 2017 in the 19-20 k$ zone
3️⃣ Low 2018 – minimum correction after ATN 2017
4️⃣ ATH 2021 – a new absolute historical maximum in the area of 69k$, which only a few spoke about in 2019, including me with my trading idea Bitcoin $55 k$
5️⃣ Correction completed - low 15.4 k$ - Correction to growth to $69,000 completed in November 2022
6️⃣ The end of the bullish rally 2022-2025 - Bitcoin price 115-150 k$
- According to the graphical pattern I am considering, the long-term upward trend will most likely be limited in growth, taking into account the error on the monthly frame, by the zone of 115 - 150 k$ - At the moment, Bitcoin is consolidating above 60 k$.
The second inflation wave will force the Fed to return to tightening monetary policy after the US elections, probably closer to the second half of 2025 or even by the end of this year! Bitcoin will set a new ATH before this time and a long-term bearish trend will begin.
7️⃣ In 2027 - low correction ≈ 30 k$, the Fed is forced to give up, the war against inflation is lost. The start of an unprecedented QE... FED Money printer - brrrrr.....
- In 2027, the Fed will be forced to surrender, the war against inflation is lost. The United States will solve all its problems in the only possible way - launching a printing press and unprecedented QE. 2027 marks the start of the dollar's descent into hyperinflation.
The Bitcoin correction will end at 30 k$ +-10%, this will be the last opportunity to buy before the bull market of the century, the realization of an exit from almost 20 years of accumulation!
8️⃣ The most powerful and fastest bull rally in history! The first wave after exiting
accumulation. Hyperinflation in the USA...
- The most powerful and fastest increase in the price of Bitcoin in history! The first wave of the bullrun after exiting accumulation, within 1-2 years the mark of 500 k$ per coin will be reached. The United States is plunging into hyperinflation, the dollar is leaving the world stage, and the yuan is taking its place. Digital assets and commodity markets are growing.
9️⃣ ATH is coming soon... The second wave of the bull rally!
- Soon there will be ATH in pairs with the dollar... The second wave of the bullish rally! Hyperinflation is growing, the Fed can do nothing more - the phrase “dollar collapse” will sparkle with new colors among skeptics.
1️⃣0️⃣ Bitcoin $1,000,000 + "Bubble Peak"
– Bitcoin has crossed the $1,000,000 mark, the peak of the dollar bubble. In 2030-2035, the dollar may cease to exist as a currency in general; trading against the dollar may simply be stopped.
The value of BTC will already be measured, for example, against gold in the BTC/GOLD pair, or the Chinese yuan BTC/CNY.
_____________________________________
⚠️ This could have been the end, so to speak, to put an end to this trading idea. Further points make sense only if the dollar still exists, which is unlikely from my point of view. I just don't know what should happen. But I still outlined further points on the original Livermore pattern in this trading idea.
________________________________________
1️⃣1️⃣ BTC first major sale
– the first major sale of Bitcoin, since there is no such thing as eternal growth! Sooner or later there will always be people willing to sell; former bulls begin to sell short!
1️⃣2️⃣ Test 1 000 000$ before selling short!
– A round psychological level of one million dollars will be like the 10 k$ level for Bitcoin at one time; the price will interact with it more than once. 1 000 000$ test, followed by a powerful dump.
1️⃣3️⃣ Long-term correction near strong support 500 k$,1M timeframe
- Long-term correction - strong support 500 k$, timeframe 1 month.
1️⃣4️⃣ Flat correction – Another flat correction in a bear market, or any other.
1️⃣5️⃣ Strong support 100 k$ - Strong support in the area of 100 k$ - the formation of the bottom before a new growth cycle, it will probably already be >10 000 000$ (assuming the dollar exists at all!)
🔹 I note two global risk factors that could make significant adjustments to this global trading idea:
1️⃣ This is the government's fight against Bitcoin. I believe that in 2025-2027 Bitcoin will come under pressure from the US government, when it is already clear that Bitcoin poses a real threat to the dollar. Ultimately, Bitcoin will emerge victorious from this situation and there will be growth. The main trigger for the future bear market phase from my point of view!
2️⃣ The second threat is more significant. Bitcoin depends on electricity and miners in particular. Planet Earth is entering a cycle of natural disasters that will increase exponentially every year. Many areas in the world will become uninhabitable. Sooner or later, large miners will come under attack, what geolocations they will be and who will suffer first - I don’t know for sure! The network may not die completely, provided that the life of humanity and technology on Earth is preserved. But it is impossible to predict what damage will happen to the price of Bitcoin in this case.
⚠️ That's all for today, I wish you good luck in making independent trading decisions and profit. Please analyze the information received from me, always think only with your own head!
Goodbye! ✊
BTCUSDT.P - November 30, 2025The chart shows Bitcoin in a short‑term downtrend on the 15‑minute timeframe, with price consolidating in a tight range after a strong impulsive selloff, indicating corrective structure rather than a confirmed reversal yet. Resistance is clearly defined around 92,600–92,800 where prior selling pressure emerged, while immediate intraday support is clustered near 90,500–90,600, with a deeper support zone just below 90,000 acting as the invalidation area for the projected long setup. A break and 15‑minute close above the mid‑range resistance band around 91,200–91,300 would confirm bullish momentum and open the path for a trend‑continuation push toward the marked profit zone, whereas a failure there followed by a move back under 90,600 would favor another leg lower into the support block before any meaningful bounce.
RIOT holding up stronger than the others..NASDAQ:RIOT Price remains in its uptrend and wave II of 3 appears complete with a 3 white knight bullish candle pattern.
Price recovered the daily 200EMA and looks rady for higher.
📈 Daily RSI hit oversold with bullish divergence
👉 Continued downside has a target of the High Volume Node, $10
Safe trading
MSTR nearing bottom?NASDAQ:MSTR Price dropped hard wave Y of IV, invalidating the previous analysis.
Wave Y can complete any time in this flat correction pattern, but is approaching the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement, a high probability bottom.
📈 Daily RSI went deep into oversold, negating the bullish divergence
👉 Continued downside has a target of the High Volume Node, $101
Safe trading
MARA struggling...NASDAQ:MARA Price dropped hard, changing the Elliott wave count completely, stopping at the golden pocket.
Wave (z) of B appears complete, but we need to see a structure change to add confirmation, so the probability is to the downside with a target of the $8 High Volume node.
📈 Daily RSI went deep into oversold
👉 Continued downside has a target of the High Volume Node, $8
Safe trading
HUT ready for higher?NASDAQ:HUT Wave 4 appears complete at the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement and High Volume Node just above the daily 200EMA, proving its value by holding up better than the other assets.
Daily bearish divergence played out into bullish divergence as price caught a huge bid in the bullish, 3 white knights pattern. Resistance looms directly ahead, and a breakout above the daily pivot should see price head towards the $80 target High Volume Node.
📈 Daily RSI has printed a bullish divergence
👉 Continued downside has a target of the daily 200EMA, $28
Safe trading






















