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Btc-bitcoin

Bitcoin: Final Pump Before the Fall?Over the past five to six days, Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has been attempting to recover from previous weekly declines, and it still appears to be in a corrective phase. This analysis builds on my previous idea, and if you’d like a deeper look at Bitcoin’s mid-term chart, you can check out the 4-hour timeframe in that previous analysis . Now, a key point for Bitcoin traders is that, despite the recent rally in the S&P 500 ( SP:SPX ) over the past few days, Bitcoin hasn’t been able to keep pace. While it had a good correlation with the S&P 500 in the past, it didn’t experience a similar upward movement this time. Therefore, once the S&P 500 corrects, we may also see Bitcoin resume its downward trend. Currently, Bitcoin seems to be near a resistance zone($92,200-$88,400) and Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($91,570-$89,660). It also appears to be forming an ascending channel over the past few days, indicating a corrective structure. From an Elliott Wave perspective, Bitcoin seems to be completing microwave C of the microwave Y of the main wave 4, and we can expect this corrective phase to end soon, leading to another downward move. A break of the lower line of the ascending channel would confirm the end of this Wave 4. I expect that after the Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($91,570-$89,660), Bitcoin will resume its decline and move towards the Support zone($86,200-$85,130). Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $86,000-$85,000 Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $83,249-$81,840 Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $80,263-$78,131 First Target: $86,290 Second Target: $83,800 Stop Loss(SL): $92,229 Points may shift as the market evolves Note: At lower price levels, Bitcoin’s price includes several Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverages, each potentially causing further price drops. However, if the S&P 500 starts another correction, these levels may break more easily. Note: Overall, trading in crypto has become a bit challenging lately, with less volatility, so it’s wise to be cautious and manage your capital carefully. Note: If Bitcoin breaks through the resistance zone($92,200-$88,400) around $92,229, we can expect a renewed upward trend and hope for a bullish movement. 💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely. 📌Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. 🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open. ✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too! 🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
Short
by pejman_zwin
4
How to build Discipline & Structured Trading HabitsDiscipline is not something you rely on in the moment; it is something you build through habits that remove emotional decision-making from your trading process. 1. Define Rules Before You Trade Traders without predefined rules rely on emotion. Traders with rules rely on structure. Clearly define your entry criteria, risk per trade, maximum daily loss, and exit strategy. When these rules exist before the session starts, you eliminate most impulsive behaviors. 2. Limit Your Daily Decisions Every decision drains mental energy. The more choices you make, the weaker your discipline becomes. Reduce the number of markets you watch, the number of setups you take, and the amount of chart time you expose yourself to. Fewer decisions lead to higher-quality decisions. 3. Use a Pre-Session Checklist A checklist forces you into a disciplined routine. It can include: • Reviewing your trading plan • Checking upcoming news releases • Confirming your bias or market conditions • Ensuring your risk settings are correct The act of going through the checklist prepares your mind to follow structure. 4. Implement a Hard Stop for the Day One of the fastest ways to lose discipline is to trade while emotional. Set a maximum daily drawdown. Once it is hit, the session ends. No exceptions. This protects both your capital and your psychology. 5. Track Your Rule Breaks Most traders only track wins and losses. Disciplined traders also track deviations. Write down every time you break a rule, why it happened, and how you plan to prevent it next time. Over time, this builds awareness and accountability. 6. Delay Impulsive Actions If you feel the urge to jump into a trade that does not fit your plan, delay the action by 30 to 60 seconds. Impulses lose power quickly. By introducing a pause, you give your rational mind time to regain control. 7. Keep Your Environment Clean Distractions destroy discipline. Silence notifications, close irrelevant tabs, and avoid multitasking. A clean trading environment supports clean decisions. 8. End Each Session With a Routine A consistent end-of-day routine reinforces discipline. Examples: • Rating your discipline on a scale from 1 to 10 • Reviewing whether you followed your rules • Logging emotional triggers Ending the day with structure makes it easier to begin the next one with structure. Conclusion Discipline is not built through motivation but through habits that create consistent behavior. A structured trading routine removes uncertainty, minimizes emotional influence, and helps you operate like a professional rather than a reactive participant.
Education
by Louigi_24
43
BTC: The Bitcoin bounce is not a trend reversal🚫 The Bitcoin bounce is not a trend reversal Here’s why the current move looks more like a liquidity trap than a real bullish reversal: - Momentum is lagging — the rebound isn’t supported by strength. - Liquidity spikes look engineered to squeeze short positions rather than coming from genuine buyers. - ETFs are selling while BTC is pumping → classic exit liquidity behaviour. - We remain in a bearish trend, and the current flag pattern is on the verge of breaking. Statistically, these patterns break down, with targets equal to the size of the previous leg. - Price is rising while volume is falling → this is a hidden bearish divergence on volume. 🎯 What I’m seeing It looks like many institutions were caught off guard by the depth of this downtrend, and now they’re trying to reduce exposure. They appear to be engineering a bounce to attract retail FOMO, allowing them to exit with smaller losses — a classic liquidity extraction move. As I’ve mentioned several times already: 👉 The primary trend remains bearish until Q2 2026, though we should expect bounces and manipulative moves along the way. ⚠️ My advice Don’t deploy all your capital into a fake FOMO rally and become the institutions’ exit liquidity. Wait for a proper bottom confirmation, such as: A W pattern, followed by a successful retest with a higher low. ❌ Invalidation This analysis becomes invalid only if the current pattern breaks upward with strong volume. DYOR
Short
by CryptoNikkoid
13
Downside protected, upside unprotected — BTC to 500kThere's a ton of intriguing action unfolding with Bitcoin right now. Several cycle low indicators I track have started firing off around the $80K mark—pretty wild if you ask me. Let's break them down step by step. 1. 2-Week RSI Signal It's a straightforward fact: the two-week RSI is sitting at 42, a level that has consistently marked cycle lows in the past. So, at $80K, we've got our first major cycle low signal. 2. Fear & Greed Index Historically, after a cycle top, the first wave down has driven the Fear & Greed Index to a reading of 10 in the last two cycles. The rest of the time? It's signalled cycle lows or major bottoms ahead of massive rallies. #### What This Means: History Rhyming (Again) This setup screams repetition—Bitcoin has now topped out after exactly 1,064 days, mirroring the last two cycles. On this first corrective wave, Fear & Greed has already plunged to 10. But here's where it gets really telling: layer in the Sharpe ratio for some nuance. As the chart shows, the Sharpe ratio has dipped into negative territory—a rare event that *only* occurs during true cycle lows. Invalidation & Bear Market Confirmation The chart makes it crystal clear: Bitcoin is primed to echo the last cycle's playbook, with a full rejection at the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement. In the prior two cycles, after the initial drop from the cycle high, any subsequent rally completely fizzled out right there at 0.382. If Bitcoin fails to rally and close decisively above that level by mid-January 2026, the odds skyrocket for a full-blown bear market. Keep an eye on it—this could be the pivot that defines the next leg. What do you think then? 500k or 67k by October 2026? Still fully on the upside boat. Risk is heavily skewed to the top side, not down
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by Sporia
1
INTERVIEW: Hope phase - EXCAVO’s View 25/11/25 1. Do you believe the bear market has already begun? If yes - from what moment? Yes. The bear market started in November 2025. My cyclicality chart shows it clearly: not a single scenario points to continued upside. Every chart I posted on TradingView confirms the trend reversal. 2. What was the main signal confirming the reversal? The 153rd week of Bitcoin’s growth — a historic exhaustion point that almost always marks the end of a cycle. 3. What BTC levels are critical for the downside scenario? The key horizontal level is $74,000. At minimum, I expect a clean wick below it. 4. What fundamental factors accelerated the bear market? A massive overbought environment. The 2-year AI bubble pushed valuations far above fair value. The market became overheated — even though AI is here to stay. 5. Technical factors confirming the decline? We’re dropping without any real reason. Any small headline triggers selling. October 11 wasn’t about Trump — it was a whale manipulation on big exchanges. That’s how late-stage cycles behave. 6. Why did most traders fail to see this reversal? — Short memory — Conditioned for 3 years to “buy every dip” — No exit plan — No clear framework — And of course: they weren’t following EXCAVO 😉 7. Where could BTC go in the coming weeks? First: liquidation of short positions. We may even spike up to $94,000. But that would be a trap before continuation downward. In December, I expect the formation of one of the cycle bottoms. 8. Which scenario seems more likely — panic drop or step-by-step bleed? Most likely: a step-by-step bleed. 9. Is a fake bounce possible before further decline? Yes. I already mentioned it: a short squeeze → then a big drop. Practical Part 10. What are you personally doing in this market? I’m waiting. Observing. Studying. You don’t need to be in a trade every day. Overtrading destroyed more traders than any correction. 11. What should beginners do now? Exactly what professionals do: wait for their entry point. We’re hunters in the bushes — we shoot only when the target is close. 12. What should traders revise in their strategy right now? — Understand where we are in the macro cycle — Identify what’s working — Remove what’s not — Accept that the bear market will be long and exhausting Right now we’re in the hope phase. Disappointment is ahead. Best regards EXCAVO If you have any questions, feel free to ask. In the next post, I can do another interview based on the questions you leave under this one.
Short
by EXCAVO
24
THE DAY LITECOIN FLIPS BITCOIN AND BECOMES #1 - AND HOWGrok helped me with this but regardless this is a great read. Not financial advice 1. Bitcoin fees explode again (> $50–$200 per transaction) LTC stays under 5¢ and 4× faster → merchants & users flee to “digital silver” for actual payments -Historical precedent: May 2017 & Dec 2017 fee madness → LTC pumped from $4 → $375 in weeks; repeated in May 2021 → $410 ATH 2. Bitcoin blocks stay full for months (Ordinals / Runes / BRC-20/ and now unlimited SPAM clog the chain again) People rediscover Litecoin as the cheap, fast, on-chain alternative that actually works for daily spending -Historical precedent: 2023–2024 Ordinals era → LTC quietly 3×–4× while BTC was practically unusable for small amounts 3. Major nation/state bans or heavily restricts Bitcoin mining or self-custody LTC is smaller, less of a political target → miners add Scrypt rigs, capital rotates -Historical precedent: China 2021 mining ban → Litecoin hashrate and price both spiked hard in the following months 4. A confirmed 51% attack or large double-spend actually happens on Bitcoin Trust in BTC’s immutability shatters overnight → Litecoin (merged-mined with Dogecoin) suddenly has higher combined attack cost and looks safer -Historical near-miss: 2018–2019 51% attack fears on smaller chains sent LTC up +150% in pure rotation plays 5. Credible quantum-break announcement or real progress scare (2026–2030 timeline moves up) Litecoin’s MWEB addresses are already quantum-resistant + dev team can soft-fork faster than Bitcoin’s politics allow -Historical precedent: 2023–2024 quantum FUD alone gave privacy coins and quantum-ready projects 3–10× pumps 6. Litecoin ETF (e.g., Canary Capital's) faces post-launch outflows or SEC-mandated tweaks due to BTC ETF dominance, while Bitcoin ETFs pull in record inflows BTC ETFs become the unchallenged "institutional safe bet," capping BTC's retail upside → sidelined investors, retail traders, and altcoin funds rotate into the now-proven LTC ETF as the "next logical step" for legacy alts (with Canary/Grayscale already live and showing strong early volume) -Historical precedent: ETH ETFs in 2024 saw initial outflows vs. BTC's inflows → ETH still 2–3×'ed on rotation; SOL's 2025 ETF launch pumped despite similar early teething issues 7. Lightning Network suffers major centralization scandals, hub failures, or routing collapses People remember Charlie Lee’s original pitch: simple, fast, cheap, on-chain money with no layer-2 headaches -Historical precedent: 2023–2025 Lightning UX complaints repeatedly drove spikes in LTC daily transaction volume and price 8. Bitcoin loses the “first-mover narrative” to a new nation-state adoption Example: a major country (Brazil, Argentina, Indonesia, etc.) announces it will use Litecoin instead of Bitcoin for remittances or reserves because LTC is 4× faster and 100× cheaper. -Precedent: El Salvador 2021 BTC adoption pumped Bitcoin; a “Litecoin country” would do the same or more for LTC. 9. PayPal, Venmo, Cash App, or Stripe re-activates Litecoin for instant zero-fee withdrawals/deposits They all supported LTC years ago and dropped it only because of 2018 bear market. One click to flip it back on → instant 50–100 million new users. -Precedent: PayPal adding BTC in 2020 → +300 % pump in weeks; LTC would explode harder because it’s actually usable on their rails. 10. Dogecoin merges fully with Litecoin (merged-mining → full auxiliary chain) -Precedent: DOGE pumps in 2021 dragged LTC up 4–6× every single time. A real technical merger would be 10× stronger. 11. Major exchange or custodian loses billions in Bitcoin (think FTX 2.0 but only BTC exposed) Users rush to self-custody the one big coin that still has sub-$0.01 fees and 2.5-minute confirmations → Litecoin. -Precedent: FTX collapse 2022 → LTC was one of the only coins people could actually withdraw fast and cheap. 12. SEC or European regulator classifies Bitcoin as a “security” or “commodity with special rules” but explicitly says Litecoin is a commodity/currency Institutions that were forced to sell BTC rotate the exact same thesis into LTC overnight. -Precedent: XRP SEC case resolution in 2023 caused instant 3× pump; same mechanics. 13. Bitcoin Core development stalls or splits again (Blocksize Wars 2.0) Big-blockers and users frustrated with ossification move money and hashrate to the chain that kept Charlie Lee’s original “faster, lighter” vision alive. -Precedent: 2017 Bitcoin Cash hard fork → LTC price went parabolic as the “peaceful middle ground.” 14. Global remittance giants (Western Union, MoneyGram, Wise) quietly switch backend rails to Litecoin They already tested LTC in 2017–2019. A single press release announcing “instant global transfers for pennies” using Litecoin would add billions in real volume. -Precedent: Ripple/XRP partnerships in 2018 caused 10× pumps even when adoption was tiny. Real adoption would be insane for LTC.
KRAKEN:LTCUSDLong
by Bitgolder
BTCUSDT.P - November 26, 2025Bitcoin is consolidating in a choppy range after early gains, with price repeatedly testing support at 86,547 and resistance around 88,200. A breakout above the upper boundary signals momentum toward the next major resistance at 91,882, while failure to hold current support risks a push to the stop level near 83,866. The current price action reflects indecision, as neither bulls nor bears control trend structure. Technicals suggest trend confirmation will depend on a decisive move away from the 86,547–88,200 range.
Long
by miljedtothemoon
BTCUSDT.P - November 27, 2025On the 15-minute chart for Bitcoin, price is in a strong short-term uptrend, marked by a steep series of higher highs and higher lows culminating in a parabolic push into local resistance around 91,800–92,300. The latest candles show upper wicks and a loss of follow-through, indicating fading bullish momentum and the risk of a pullback. A corrective move toward the nearest intraday support band around 89,700–90,100 would be a normal retracement within the broader advance, and aggressive longs may look to reduce risk while conservative traders wait for a reaction at that support zone before re-entering.
Short
by miljedtothemoon
Bulls Will Take BTC to 100k Then Become Leftover Turkey Dinner!Trading Fam, First things first, Happy Thanksgiving to my U.S. followers. I hope your holiday is blessed as you enjoy time with friends and family. Let's get to the chart. As noted numerous times in previous posts, BTC is now in a longer-term bearish trend. There are many indicators that have shown us this. Our first signs came when my indicator flashed a rare sell signal This coincided with the third touch of our Pi Cycle Top Trendline It also formed what I thought at the time might be the "spring" of our Wyckoff Market Cycle pattern After these first three important indicators flashed, I waited for a drop below the support (RED descending TL) of our bearish megaphone pattern. That happened. Finally, we almost synchronized that drop with the drop below our 350 SMA I have a target down of 72-76k. We almost reached that but we were stopped by 80k support. That RED ascending TL prints on the weekly starting with one of our tops in April of 2021! We bounced off of this trendline, using it as strong support. It should be and I expected this bounce! Now, I am expecting we should go to at least 100-102k. Even that is a very underwhelming target. I will NOT be impressed at all if the bulls should succeed at hitting it. This, at least, should be expected! If we don't hit that target, I will be wrong about how bearish I should have been. Even the "Buy the Dip" Viagra being sold by all these whales as exit liquidity will not have worked for these bulls. What a disappointment they will have become! And my target of 72-76k will still be in play. But you can all see that I have a question mark there. See, the thing is, what happens when Michael Saylor's Microstrategy goes underwater? Microstrategy owns nearly 650k BTC at an avg cost of 74.5k. Current strategy is: issue shares → raise debt → buy BTC → repeat. If BTC falls below 74.5k it could become: buy back shares → lower debt → sell BTC → repeat. If this occurs, BTC could drop even further. My next serious support is not found until around 46k! Therefore, we have to keep a serious eye on this area of 72-76k if we do in fact visit it. Now, if bulls do beat 102k and then 110k after that, I think I can admit I was wrong. I missed my downside target by a whopping 4k! I will admit defeat even though I was a small fraction of a coin off. Honestly, I hope I am wrong. I hope the market is revived and Santa gives you all the profit you ever wanted for the Christmas season. But the grinch in me thinks not. So, play this rally as you like. Personally, I think it's an early gift to some of you who were not expecting this or just didn't believe it would occur. You now have your second chance to exit. This is a contrarian view. I know. But think about who might be propagating the "Buy the Dip" memes. I alluded to it above. If I were a whale and wanted to exit without crashing the market how would I best do this? Ding, ding, ding. That's right. I'd market the hell out of "Buy the Dip". It would become the meme of the hour. Retail would buy it up and hopefully provide the exit liquidity I need. This might be my only way out if I were looking for it. Something to think about. ✌️Stew
INDEX:BTCUSD
by stewdamus
BTCUSD 1D – Testing 0.786 Support, But Is This a Real Reversal?Bitcoin has returned to a major higher-timeframe decision point: the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement, sitting inside a broad demand block that has already produced one sharp wick rejection. This zone combines three powerful confluences — a deep pullback level, prior accumulation structure, and proximity to sweeping lower liquidity from earlier this year. Price broke structure twice on the way down, showing clear bearish momentum, but the current candle cluster suggests sellers are slowing as demand attempts to step in. A reclaim of the 0.618–0.65 range would signal strength and open the door for a revisit toward the mid-range around 100K. Failure to hold the 0.786, however, exposes the untested liquidity zone near 76.7K — a level that aligns with previous liquidity sweeps. Stoch RSI is attempting a rebound from oversold territory, hinting at a possible short-term bounce, but trend context remains bearish until a confirmed BOS to the upside forms. This is a pivotal zone for BTC — the next few daily candles will determine whether this is a macro higher-low or the beginning of a deeper breakdown.
by Quant_Trading_Pro
1
BITCOIN - PRESSURE BUILDING - SHORT SQUEEZE INCOMING?Traders, Bitcoin might be preparing a short squeeze. Let’s walk through the flow, structure, math, and correlations step-by-step so you understand what is happening and why it matters. 1. What Happened Bitcoin dumped from 96k → 80.6k last week. Price then bounced and is now trading around 87k. Under the surface: Stablecoin-Margined Futures (USDT-M) Since 27 Oct: OI increased from 225k → 280k contracts That’s +55k contracts (~24% increase) CVD went down, not up Meaning: These new positions were mostly shorts The market added leveraged short exposure during the dump Interpretation: USDT-M traders attacked the move lower aggressively. Increasing OI + dropping CVD = new sellers dominating, not buyers. Coin-Margined Futures (BTC-M) Since 27 Oct: OI and CVD both dropped from 7.41B → 5.90B BTC-M is usually “higher conviction” demand A drop in BTC-M CVD means Longs closing Capitulation Reduced bullish positioning Interpretation: Native BTC longs stepped aside. Short-term leverage traders pressed the downside. Spot + Futures CVD (27 Oct → 21 Nov) Spot CVD ↓ Futures CVD ↓ Price ↓ All making lower lows and lower highs This was a clean, correlated downtrend. 2. The First Major Shift: Spot CVD Divergence Since 21 November: Spot CVD: Higher highs Higher lows Rising together with price Indicates real demand stepping in Stablecoin Futures (USDT-M): Still making lower lows Still pressing shorts Still fighting the spot buyers This is the key: Spot = real money Futures = leveraged speculation Rising spot CVD vs falling futures CVD = absorption pattern Meaning: Strong hands buy Weak shorts keep selling Price rises anyway The pressure builds Shorts eventually run out The squeeze begins This is one of the cleanest pre-squeeze structures you can get. 3. The Math: Fibonacci Rotation Logic Let’s break down the structure. (A → B → C Structure) A = 116k (27 Oct) B = 98.710 C = 107.403 (retracement) The retrace sits at 0.5. The reciprocal extension is 2.0 The 2.0 extension lands exactly at the 21 Nov wick (~81k) This is a perfect harmonic rotation. (X → Z → A Extension) X = 06 Oct high Z = 18 Oct low A = 27 Oct high Fibonacci extension from X → Z → A: 1.618 extension = 80.544 It matches the 2.0 from the ABC structure It matches the 0.886 retracement on the HTF Three independent mathematical signals hitting the same level. This is extremely rare and confirms the 81k zone as a rotation completion. 4. Structure Break Since the 10 Nov low: 4H is making higher highs & higher lows The descending trendline from 11 Nov is broken Trend shifted from controlled downtrend → early reversal Structure now favors continuation upwards as long as higher lows hold Interpretation: Sellers who relied on the trendline no longer have control. 4.5 Intermarket Correlation: Why Bitcoin Dumped When ES Dumped Another important factor: Bitcoin dumped because ES dumped. From 12 Nov → 21 Nov: S&P500 (ES) Dropped from 6900 → 6525 –5.43% correction Bitcoin: Dropped from 107k → 80.5k –24.77% correction BTC acted as a ~4.5× levered version of ES. BTC acted as a ~4.5× levered version of ES. Correlation Data: Rolling BTC/ES correlation increased from 0.38 → 0.74 Meaning BTC traded almost in sync with equities during the selloff Why? Risk-Off Mechanics When ES sells off: Equity funds de-risk Macro algos rotate out of high beta Volatility spikes Systematic funds reduce exposure Crypto is treated as “high beta tech” BTC amplifies the move by a factor of 3–5× Bitcoin didn’t dump because crypto was weak — It dumped because macro markets were risk-off. Why this matters now ES has stabilized BTC stopped following ES lower Spot demand started rising BTC/ES correlation is dropping again (from 0.78 → ~0.55) USDT-M shorts didn’t adjust This is exactly when short squeezes start on BTC: Macro stabilizes Crypto regains independence Shorts remain positioned for risk-off Spot buyers take control Price accelerates upward This is a classic intermarket correlation unwind. 5. USDT Dominance (USDT.D) Confirms Risk Rotation USDT dominance has turned down, which means: Traders are deploying capital Less stablecoin sitting idle More risk-on appetite Historically aligns with BTC beginning new legs up after HTF rotations When USDT.D falls at the same time spot CVD rises, the market is shifting capital into crypto. 6. Targets: 118.5k → 124k These are the next liquidity magnets. Target #1: 118.5k Confluences with: 1.141 extension of the 11 Nov → 12 Nov move First major liquidity pool First real “decision point” for the market Target #2: 124k Confluences with: A weak high that will be swept 1.618 extension of the same 11→12 Nov move Natural squeeze exhaustion zone Perfect location for a Swing Fail Pattern Rotation Logic Shallow retraces → larger extensions (1.618 → 2.0) Deep retraces → smaller extensions (1.272 → 1.414) BTC currently fits the shallow retrace profile → favors strong extension 7. Other Pivot Points Marked on the chart: Minor LVNs Minor-imbalances CME Gaps Expect reaction at each point. 8. Invalidation & Bearish Pathway My invalidation is clear: Trading below 80k invalidates the squeeze setup. Below 80k, the absorption breaks. If 80k is lost, the downside extension levels become: 74k 70k 64k These levels are: The natural downside extension pathways from the 11 Nov → 21 Nov swing They form the mirrored rotation of the bullish structure Final View We dumped because macro went risk-off Bitcoin amplified the ES selloff Shorts loaded heavily into the move Spot buyers stepped in first A clean absorption pattern formed Mathematical rotation completed at ~81k Structure flipped Risk metrics like USDT.D turned down Correlation with ES is now unwinding If Bitcoin continues to hold above 80k and spot keeps leading, the squeeze toward 118.5k → 124k becomes the most likely path. Abbreviation List BTC – Bitcoin ES – S&P500 E-Mini Futures OI – Open Interest CVD – Cumulative Volume Delta USDT-M – Stablecoin-Margined Futures BTC-M – Coin-Margined Futures HTF – Higher Timeframe LVN – Low Volume Node AVWAP – Anchored Volume-Weighted Average Price PRZ – Potential Reversal Zone SFP – Swing Fail Pattern Fib – Fibonacci CTA – Commodity Trading Advisor (systematic trend-following funds) VIX – Volatility Index Beta – Sensitivity of an asset’s movement relative to a benchmark Risk-Off – Market environment where investors reduce exposure to risky assets Risk-On – Market environment where investors increase exposure to risky assets ----- If you enjoy this type of deep, data-driven breakdown—spot vs futures, CVD flow, intermarket correlation, and rotation math—drop a like and leave a comment. It helps me see whether these higher-level analyses bring value, and it motivates me to keep sharing them for free.
Long
by ThetaNomad
1
BTC Cup and Handle Still Not CompleteAs you can see the SPX broke out of the cup and handle and completed the measured move. It then corrected back down to the top of the handle and resumed its uptrend. This is what is coming for Bitcoin. Bitcoin has only half way completed the cup and handle. Measured move to around 300k before correcting back down to 70k and then back off to the races. Hold onto your hats. That would be the most epic move of all time a straight shot from here to 300k no pullback then slam back down to 70k and then back up to 500k. Could happen fast dont underestimate Bitcoin. Just my opinion not financial advice.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by Bitgolder
1
BITCOIN → Retest of the 94,000 zone of interest...BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P is rebounding from its interim low of 80,000. However, it is still too early to talk about a bull market, as a countertrend correction is forming under the current circumstances. Globally, Bitcoin is in a downtrend, with the zone of interest for a countertrend correction being 94,000-95,000. The market structure is bearish, and a retest of the break-even zone could trigger a downward movement within the trend. After a strong liquidation to 80K, the market is forming a pullback, which is a basic phenomenon. There is no confirmation of a trend reversal yet, and the fundamental background is neutral, without clear support. Various analytical services suggest that the market is in a cleansing phase and has so far only liquidated short-term traders, reaching a cumulative average break-even price. A classic pullback. Technically, the zone of interest or magnet for the medium-term market is 75K (on the daily timeframe). Resistance levels: 93,000, 94,000, 97,300 Support levels: 89,000, 86,000 In the current situation: a bearish trend, weak purchasing power, and a weak fundamental background, I consider a pullback to be the primary reaction to the 93-94K zone. However, the market is not constant, and if support appears (news or other drivers) and Bitcoin manages to stay above 95K, then growth can be expected. Sincerely, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
3
SOL to Bottom Out Around $103-104SOLANA – Eyes on the Final Flush? 🔥 Key Confluence at $103–$104 Solana is approaching what might be the most important support zone of this entire macro structure. Several major technical factors are all pointing to the same potential bottom area: 🟢 1. Head & Shoulders Breakdown Target The measured move from the H&S pattern puts the projected downside right into the $103–$104 zone, creating a textbook target alignment. 🟠 2. Long-Term Trendline Support (Orange) Price is now dropping toward a multi-year rising trendline that has held since early 2024. This line has acted as major dynamic support across multiple cycles, and SOL is now coming back to retest it. 🟣 3. Fibonacci 0.886 Retracement The 0.886 retrace of the full macro move lands perfectly in the same area. This fib level is often where deep retracements reverse during strong bullish expansions. 📉 Current Structure – Breakdown from right shoulder confirmed – Momentum still down, but seller exhaustion showing up – Volume declining on the drop → typical late-stage correction behavior 📌 Key Zone to Watch $103–$104 (Green Box) This is my “high-probability reaction zone” where I expect Solana to bottom or at least produce a significant bounce.
BINANCE:SOLUSDLong
by thatsavibe_eth
BTCUSDT.P - November 25, 2025Bitcoin is in a corrective phase within a longer-term downtrend, with price recently rejected from the 89,500 resistance area and now trending lower. The chart highlights a short trading range between a defined stop level near 89,500 and a profit level at 85,721, aligning closely to horizontal support and resistance. Current price action and momentum favor sellers, as the market presses toward lower support with weak upward retracement. A break below support could accelerate selling toward the next downside target, while reclaiming resistance might shift bias to a short-term reversal.
Short
by miljedtothemoon
Bitcoin, one more push lower then all time highPrice dropped hard in wave Y of a flat correction, which is expected. Sentiment is at an all-time low for the longest time on record. This complex correction looks almost complete at the S3 daily pivot, where I bought, but I am giving it room for one more push lower to complete 5 waves down for Y. Price is well below the daily 200EMA, which will offer some resistance on the way back up. For now, the trend is down, so further downside is the higher probability. 📈 Daily RSI has reached oversold with no divergences. This is where all other ranges bottomed, and the price went on to make new highs. 👉 Continued downside brings up the next High Volume Node at $76000 Safe trading
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Maddox_Metrics
Altcoins Market ETA- So this graphic show only Cryptos and when i speak only Cryptos, it means " No BTC, No ETH, Not Stablecoins ", Only Altcoins ! - This post is not a price prediction, not a FUD, and not a FOMO, it's just my own opinion based on facts. - Without BTC/ETH and Stables, the crypto market barely reaches $580B MC, a nutshell in the ocean of global finance. Cryptos have already been rejected four times around the $900B MC. ---------------------------------------------------------- - In 2021 we had DeFi. - In 2022 we had L1/L2 wars. - In 2023 we had AI. - In 2024 we had memecoins. But 2025 has no new narrative. ---------------------------------------------------------- Cycles always go like : BTC → ETH → Large caps → Mid caps → Micro caps but this time : - There's too many new tokens, too many VCs and early insiders droping on retails. - Altcoins are falling due to a lack of liquidity, no compelling narrative, and absent buyers, while market makers focus on protecting themselves with BTC and stablecoins. ( Dyor on what happened on 10th October 2025 ). - Right now, most people are holding their breath, waiting for the Fed to launch the next round of QE and another rate cut. - Money makes Money, the world is working like that. - My advice for now: be patient. If you already hold crypto and believe in your projects, just HODL. If you’re new to crypto, stay on the sidelines and wait until the market surpasses $1 trillion. - Comments are welcome but stay sharp and thoughtful. Be Safe! Happy Tr4Ding !
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3ES
by thecryer
BTCUSDT.P - November 24, 2025Bitcoin recently formed a short-term ascending channel, showing improving momentum after a strong prior selloff. Price is currently consolidating near 86,900, with key support at 85,900 and 84,400, and resistance at 88,100 and 91,900. A breakout above 88,100 would signal additional bullish momentum toward 91,900, while any failure to hold above the rising trendline could trigger a retest of lower support levels. The current structure suggests neutral to slightly bullish momentum in the immediate term.
by miljedtothemoon
1