Bitcoin Resistance Zone Battle – ATH or Fakeout?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has shown strong momentum over the past 5 days , liquidating many traders in both Long and Short positions .
Bitcoin has now entered the Resistance zone($114,820-$113,170) and is moving near the Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($115,000-$114,272) and Resistance lines .
From an Elliott Wave Theory perspective, given Bitcoin’s strong bullish momentum over the past 24 hours, it appears to be completing Wave 3. This Wave 3 seems to be of the extended type.
I expect Bitcoin , after a correction , to make another attempt toward the Resistance zone($114,820-$113,170) and potentially test the Resistance lines .
Do you think this bullish move could lead to a new all-time high (ATH) for Bitcoin?
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($113,037-$112,650) + Near Monthly Pivot Point($113,356): An area where Bitcoin could start rising again (if there is a correction, of course).
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $111,100-$110,500
CME Gap: $111,355-$109,915
Note: Also, Bitcoin approaching the 61.8% golden Fibonacci level could lead to a Bitcoin correction.
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Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
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Impulse Wave 5 Near Completion: Short Setup Ahead?The 5th wave of the current impulse structure is close to completion. Price action is showing exhaustion and the drop in volume is confirming that momentum is fading. At this stage, risk for longs is increasing and the probability of a corrective phase (A-B-C) is high.
Traders should keep an eye on bearish confirmation signals such as trendline breaks, bearish engulfing bars, or supply zone failures. A short setup could develop soon if price rejects with conviction.
Patience is key — Wave 5 can stretch, but once it’s done, downside pressure usually accelerates quickly. Manage risk carefully and adjust sizing according to your strategy.
MSTR Wave II bottom?NASDAQ:MSTR is finally catching a bid from the triple support zone of the Fibonacci golden pocket, S1 pivot and High Volume Node.
It must overcome the daily 200EMA to add confidence to a reversal and wave II bottom being in.
Daily RSI has printed bullish divergence from oversold. Vanguard disclosed massive MSTR holdings ad the sentiment is awful online adding confluence to a bottom soon.
Wave III target is the R5 daily pivot $544, losing the support zone has a downside target of $232
Safe trading
CLSK Attempting a significant resistance breakout!NASDAQ:CLSK has awoken at long last and has smashed through the wave 1 resistance High Volume Node straight into the Macro Triangle upper boundary i have been sharing in the weekly time frame posts. Breaking out above this and wave D at $20 will be a bullish signal with significant upside to come!
The High Volume Node resistance held as support in the big drop last week, quickly recovering back to highs showing strong demand.
The next local target is the wave D resistance $20 with continued upside in wave 3
Daily RSI is overbought but divergence yet and daily 200EMA has flicked positive.
Analysis is good unless we go back below wave 2 into the golden pocket.
Safe trading
BITCOIN SIGNAL: MOST PEOPLE ARE DOING THIS NOW (wrong)Yello Paradisers! In this video, we are going through multi-timeframe analysis on Bitcoin as professional traders. We are using advanced technical indicators, and we are properly analyzing with an Elliot Wave perspective. We are digging deep into the sub-waves and structure. Enjoy.
And Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable.
Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
Bitcoin Bounces Strongly from Key Support – What’s Next?🔎 Technical Outlook (BTC/USDT, 4H):
1. Key Support: Bitcoin held the 110K – 112K zone, a historically strong demand area that triggered a solid rebound.
2. Channel Breakout: Price has broken out of a short-term descending channel, shifting momentum in favor of the bulls.
3. Immediate Resistances:
• First resistance: 115.5K – 116K
• Next major resistance: 118K – 120K (upper channel boundary)
4. Scenarios:
• 🟢 A confirmed breakout above 115.5K opens the path toward 118K → 120K.
• 🔻 Failure to clear resistance could trigger another pullback toward 112K or even a retest of 110K.
📌 Summary: Bitcoin has defended its major support and is showing bullish momentum in the short term. However, the upcoming tests at 115K+ will decide whether this move evolves into a stronger rally or just a corrective bounce.
BTC Game Plan – (LDMD Model)BTC Game Plan – (LDMD Model)
📊 Market Sentiment
FED has resumed its rate-cutting cycle, starting with a 0.25% cut in September, with two more expected. Institutional liquidity inflows have accelerated as the U.S. officially adopts crypto as part of its reserves. Despite elevated inflation, a weakening labor market is forcing the FED to ease, pushing more capital into risk-on assets.
📈 Technical Analysis
BTC is trending strongly bullish on the HTF, so long setups remain the priority. Recently, price broke the bearish trendline that had capped price action since August 13, signaling a shift in momentum. That breakout created a Daily Demand zone, which was tapped once before price moved higher — confirming liquidity inside the zone.
Currently, BTC ran the daily swing low (the first tap of that demand), revisited the Daily Demand, and repriced into the 0.75 Fibonacci max discount level. This strong confluence suggests accumulation and potential continuation higher.
📘 Model to be used – LDMD (Liquidity Run inside Daily Demand w/ Max Discount Zone)
In this model, I start by confirming the HTF trend to set directional bias. Then, I identify key Demand/Supply zones that carry significant liquidity. A sweep of HTF swing lows adds confluence by trapping liquidity. Finally, I align this with the 0.75 max discount retracement zone for a high-probability entry point.
📌 Game Plan
1-Wait for a daily close above the bearish trendline.
2-Enter long on confirmation.
🎯 Setup Trigger
Daily close above the bearish trendline.
📋 Trade Management
Stoploss: 108,500$
Targets:
TP1: 113,900$
TP2: 117,900$
After TP1, move SL to breakeven to secure profits.
💬 Like, follow, and comment if this breakdown supports your trading! More setups and insights coming soon — stay connected!
⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Always DYOR before making any financial decisions.
$BTC Following $GOLD - Parabola Incoming !P.S. CRYPTOCAP:BTC still on track to follow the TVC:GOLD parabola with this 10-12 week fractal which we should see between Thanksgiving and Christmas 🦃🎅
Will be following GOLD a bit more closely as Total Global Liquidity gave its first real fake-out showing ATH at EOM.
COIN wave 5 Underway!NASDAQ:COIN wave 4 appears complete at the expected Fibonacci retracement 38.2 and High Volume Node support.
A local channel has formed which could be a bear pennant so bulls should watch out. A breakout of this would hit resistance at $360 High Volume Node and the first take profit area from my recent trade. Clearing this Nose will confirm wave 5 is underway to new all time highs $500+
RSI is flipping bullish from oversold and the dail 200EMA continues to rise.
Safe trading
BTC to go Parabolic to $333K, ~100 oz Gold by EOY 2025 Gold and Bitcoin are both valuable hard assets and from my observation, the Bitcoin chart to Gold is much better predictable than it's price to USD. The reason might be because Gold holds it's purchasing power over time through the history, and in fact it is the base line for the purchasing power, but Dollar depends on how much it gets printed and cannot be reliably predicted. That's why when you look at BTC/Gold chart, most of the times you see exact double tops or exact double bottoms.
I was predicting BTC would get to $100K USD when it hits it's previous top to Gold (37 oz) and so I was predicting about 8 month before it happens that BTC will be $100K when Gold is 2650 and it happened. I was surprised myself that it held true.
Looking into Gold price history, we can reliably say that Gold will not stop here and will march to $8000 within couple of years. However I think it has hit it's top for the year, or max $4000 will be the 2025 top. Then when Gold pulls back, BTC will get the chance to go parabolic, and has it's last rise of this bull market, and I expect it should take BTC to near 100 oz Gold. So if we want to put all together, Gold = 3350 where it pulls back and BTC= 100 oz = $335,000. I know the Bitcoin whales are playful sometimes, so we might get into $333,333 per BTC.
I remember in Nov 2013 everyone was talking about bitcoin flipping gold (1 BTC getting to 1 oz Gold) and well, it didn't happen at that time and it had to come back in 2017, but it got close enough. We might have the same kind of situation here so starting to drop anywhere from $270k to $330k might be what we get.
I don't publish many analysis's on TV, but I thought I'd put this here, it might get me famous ;)
HUT downside still to come?NASDAQ:HUT has had a great rally finally being subdued by the macro channel upper boundary resistance sending price back to the High Volume Node support on overbought RSI.
RSI has reset to the EQ but has room to fall (or grow again). The next target is the High Volume Node resistance and R4 pivot at $44 with a terminal target of $65
If price loses the support node the next support target is the pivot and wave 1 high $24 and I would look out for a long here if we get it.
Safe trading
Bitcoin - Bitcoin Left Behind the Stock Market!?Bitcoin is in its descending channel on the four-hour timeframe, between the EMA50 and EMA200. In case of an upward correction towards the specified supply zone, it is possible to sell Bitcoin with a better risk-reward.
It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy in the demand range.
A group of U.S. lawmakers has called on the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to enforce an executive order issued by President Donald Trump that opens the door for cryptocurrency investments within the $12.5 trillion 401(k) retirement fund market. Signed in August, the order authorizes 401(k) plans to offer cryptocurrencies as a new investment option.
Members of the House Financial Services Committee, in a formal letter, praised the order for its potential to help Americans boost their retirement savings. They urged the SEC to work with the Department of Labor to update existing rules and guidelines, with the aim of enabling millions of Americans to gain access to such investment opportunities for their retirement.
The letter further stated: “We also ask the SEC to review the bipartisan bills currently advancing in the 119th Congress regarding accredited investors. We hope these measures will allow the 90 million Americans who are currently excluded from alternative investments to secure a more dignified and comfortable retirement.”
Meanwhile, the Senate Finance Committee announced that it will hold a hearing this week on the issue of digital asset taxation, as industry stakeholders continue to press for greater clarity in federal regulations.
According to Committee Chairman Mike Crapo, the session—titled “Examining the Taxation of Digital Assets”—is scheduled for October 1. The official notice confirmed that Lawrence Zlatkin, Vice President of Tax at Coinbase, and Jason Somensatto, Policy Director at Coin Center, will testify at the hearing.
The committee had earlier invited public comments on how existing tax laws should apply to digital assets and whether new legislative frameworks are needed. The upcoming session is expected to draw heavily on the recommendations of the White House Digital Asset Working Group, which urged lawmakers to recognize cryptocurrencies as a distinct asset class and establish tailored tax rules separate from those applied to commodities and securities.
From a market perspective, liquidation heatmaps in the futures market highlight clusters of leveraged positions at key levels. When the price fell between $114,000 and $112,000, a wave of long liquidations occurred simultaneously, leading to heavy wipeouts and accelerating the downward momentum.
Risk pockets remain around the $117,000 level, making both sides of the market vulnerable to liquidity-driven volatility. Without strong demand at these levels, fragility persists, increasing the likelihood of another sharp downward move.
BITCOIN ON WAY TO MAINTREND - UPDATE 28-09-2025📊BTC/USDT Trading Update
✅ Low time frame confirmed: Bitcoin has established support in the $109.3K – $109.7K zone, which now acts as a strong base.
📈 Price is moving toward the main trend zone ($110.8K – $111.5K). This will be the key resistance area to watch.
🔑 Breakout potential:
If BTC clears the main trend zone, momentum could accelerate with the next target around $112K – $113K.
This would confirm a stronger continuation of the short-term uptrend.
Scenarios:
Bullish case: Hold above $109.3K and break $111.5K → expansion toward $112K – $113K.
Bearish case: Failure to break the main trend could lead to sideways action or retest of $109K support.
📌 Summary:
BTC has confirmed its low time frame breakout and is now targeting the main trend zone. A break above this range will likely fuel a push toward $112K – $113K.
$BTC – Flip Zones Driving 4H StructureCRYPTOCAP:BTC flipped bullish after reclaiming the blue demand, then turned bearish at the red supply. We’re now pulling back from resistance, and the next clean setup likely forms on a retest of the blue zone.
🔑 Key zones
Support (blue) ~$111k area — former base of the last impulse.
Resistance (red) ~$114.5k–$115k — where sellers capped the rally.
🔎 Confluence
Prior bearish rejection at red + bullish reaction at blue.
Clear HH/HL structure only resumes if price holds blue and pushes back above red.
📊 Scenarios
Bullish 📈 Pull back into $111k (blue), print higher-low / bullish candle, then continuation toward $115k → $117k.
Bearish 📉 Lose the blue zone with a strong 4H close → open room for a deeper dip before buyers try again.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr.
WULF Still in wave 3!NASDAQ:WULF continues to push onwards in wave 3 although gradually. The first target remains $13.48 High Volume Node followed by the macro channel upper boundary trend-line.
Support target is the daily Pivot and High Volume Node at at $8.27 and this is also the wave 4 expected Fibonacci retracement zone of 23.6-38.2.
Daily RSI does have bearish divergence from overbought so a retracement is likely.
Safe trading
IREN still in the bull-trend range!NASDAQ:IREN continues upwards in a tight bullish channel but how long can this extend? R5 pivot targets suggest $65.
Bearish divergence in overbought RSI keeps being negated for now.
Wave (4) downside target is currently the 38.2 Fibonacci retracement at $30.44 and this iwll extend higher as long as price does.
Safe trading
BTDR Bounces from previous swing high support!NASDAQ:BTDR found support at the at the wave 1 high and R1 pivot and looks poised to continue to the first take profit target and all time High Volume Node tat $25! Wave (3) of 3 appears to be underway so should continue to be powerful!
Analysis is invalidated if we drop below $13 and lose the High Volume Node support which sits at the Fibonacci golden from the wave (2) bottom.
RSI did not reach overbought so has room to grow.
Safe trading
RIOT doesn't want to retrace this time!After hitting the High Volume Node and first take profit area NASDAQ:RIOT was rejected as expected but instead of a deep retracement continued to push powerfully back into the node looking poised for a breakout above!
Once the resistance is clear and tested as support RIOT should move quickly to the next High Volume Node and take profit area at $40.
Analysis is invalidated below the R2 pivot, $16, and the retracement will instead be underway!
Safe trading
MARA Huge bullish engulfing!NASDAQ:MARA had a huge bullish engulfing candle yesterdays almost eclipsing 9 days of price action in 1 session, a characteristic candle for wave 3!
Partial take profit target for me is the High Volume Node between the R4 and R5 pivot, $20, where I expect price to struggle before more upside. Next target is $28 at the descending macro resistance trend-line.
RSI didn't hit overbought and was rejected back to EQ resetting for higher.
Safe trading
CIFR deep pullback before more upside?CIFR appears to have completed 5 waves for wave (1) of 3 completing at the previous all time High Volume Node where we expect Elliot wave 1s to complete. The orange channel boundary also had a throwover and drop back, an ending pattern!
Wave (2) has an expected shallow pullback of the 38.2 Fibonacci retracement at the daily pivot and High Volume Node support $7 where I will look out for long signals. The ascending 200EMA will also meet this point making it a quadruple support and an excellent opportunity area if price gets there!
If we continue into price discovery the analysis will be invalidated and I'll take a breakout long.
Daily RSI hit overbought but has since fell with no divergence.
Safe trading
28/09/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $115,537.51
Last weeks low: $108,606.86
Midpoint: $112,072.19
As BTC continued to trend down post FOMC the key HTF level of $108,500, after some chop at this level a late rally on Sunday has pushed BTC back to the Midpoint of the range for this week.
As September comes to a close we are at the point where banks window dress their balance sheets by de-risking going into Q4. Banks taking cash out of the market to appear there is less risk and more liquid to hide their true risk over the quarter. This lowers liquidity and for this reason I do not expect the bulls to be out of the woods yet and the weekly low ($108k) could be under attack again before the week closes.
The story is the same for much of the altcoin market, after continued downtrend majors are bouncing off key HTF S/R levels but conviction is still low due to quarter end.
This week I am looking at how BTC finishes the week once the month/quarter end is out of the way. If their is renewed optimism October.
In terms of seasonality October has an average return rate of 21.89% since 2019.
Should price break below weekly low the bullish HTF trend would be questioned and would open the door to a deeper correction. With the 4-year cycle predicted to end in late October there would be huge talk of the cycle repeating and the bear market beginning.
Good luck this week everybody!