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BTC-D

BITCOIN Is the first Bear Cycle RALLY approaching?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has been on a brutal (but technically anticipated) correction ever since its October 06 All Time High (ATH), registering 6 red candles out of last 7. We have shown in previous analyses why the Bear Cycle has technically started, how the market lost the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and is now about to touch the 1W MA100 (green trend-line). This is the time where we may see a counter-trend rally, the first within this Bear Cycle. First of all, BTC has just completed a total decline of -32.30%, exactly like the January - April 2025 correction and identical to the -33.55% March - August 2024 correction. This is why we project the 86600 - 83600 range as the first technical Support Zone of this Bear Cycle and potential rebound candidate. In the meantime, the 1W RSI is approaching the 30.00 oversold barrier, which further enhances the probabilities for a relief rally. If materialized, it can technically rise even as high as the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, where it may make contact with the 1D MA100 (red trend-line), even above the 1W MA50. The 1D MA200 has been the counter-trend rally rejection trendline and Resistance of the previous two Bear Cycles. Coupled with the 0.618 Fib, it forms a formidable market Resistance Zone. This rally may coincide with a final stock market rally, what is traditionally called 'the Santa Rally', which is the end-of-year rise on the markets. Technically that can be the perfect Bull Trap that rejects the rebound and resumes the bearish trend towards Lower Lows and eventually the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). So do you think we are finally about to see the first rally of this Bear Cycle? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
28
Bitcoin Roadmap: Is This the Beginning of the Short-Term Rally?Today I want to share with you the Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) chart on the 15-minute time frame. This analysis is in line with the previous analysis (still valid) . These days, considering that Bitcoin is facing many parameters to analyze. One of the most important parameters is the SPX500 index ( SP:SPX ). I am long on the SPX500 index. Bitcoin is currently moving in the Support zone($91,900-$88,400) and near the Support lines and Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($91,131-$90,477) . In terms of Elliott Wave theory, it seems that Bitcoin completed wave 5 with an Expanding Ending Diagonal , and we can now expect the start of the bullish waves , at least in the short term . I expect Bitcoin to start rising from the Support zone($91,900-$88,400) and at least attack the Resistance lines . If the Resistance lines and the $95,700 level are broken with high momentum, we can expect further growth of Bitcoin. First Target: $93,921 Second Target: $95,273 Third Target: $97,477 Stop Loss(SL): $89,537 Points may shift as the market evolves Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $88,570-$87,227 Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $94,500-$93,785 Where do you think Bitcoin’s correction will go? Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
63
Bitcoin Hits Heavy Support Zone — Is the Next Big Crash Coming?Recently, Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) experienced another decline of over -10%, largely due to the sudden drop in the S&P 500( SP:SPX ). As I mentioned in previous ideas, in recent weeks, Bitcoin and the crypto market, especially Bitcoin, have shown a strong correlation with U.S. indices, particularly the S&P 500. This means that even technically sound analyses for Bitcoin can fail if we don’t consider these external factors, which is quite normal. Therefore, it’s crucial to incorporate all parameters—news, fundamentals, on-chain data, and relevant indices—to get an accurate Bitcoin analysis. This complexity can make things a bit challenging. Over the past ten days, Bitcoin has swiftly broken through several support levels. Many factors have contributed to Bitcoin’s decline recently, but it’s now approaching a heavy support zone($78,300-$71,280). This zone is crucial because if Bitcoin loses it, we could see even larger declines, affecting altcoins as well. Altcoins, in general, haven’t matched Bitcoin’s gains in recent months, so a significant drop in Bitcoin could lead to severe losses for them. It’s essential to manage your investments carefully and stay alert. From an Elliott Wave perspective, the recent decline suggests that Bitcoin might be in the midst of a five-wave downward, which isn’t positive news. There’s a chance that the heavy support zone($78,300-$71,280) might be breached. However, considering that weekends typically have lower trading volumes, it’s less likely that the support will break in the next couple of days. Still, we must remain vigilant and prepared for any scenario. In terms of Elliott Waves, it seems Bitcoin has completed its main wave 3, and we might be looking at the completion of the wave 4 over the weekend, with another push towards the heavy support zone($78,300-$71,280) at the start of next week. Also, the USDT.D% ( CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D ) chart looks bullish, which could not be good news for Bitcoin. I expect that after a brief rebound, Bitcoin will resume its decline and test the heavy support zone($78,300-$71,280) again. Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $89,642-$88,079 Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $80,263-$78,131 First Target: $78,523 Second Target: $75,123 Stop Loss(SL): $92,123(Worst) Points may shift as the market evolves Note: The S&P 500 also might face downward pressure in the coming days, which could further impact Bitcoin’s support levels. It’s essential to manage your investments carefully and wait for strong reversal signals in higher timeframes. You might miss out on some short-term gains, but it will allow for more confident entries later on. Note: Tensions between the U.S. and Venezuela are escalating day by day. Should these tensions intensify to the point of direct confrontation, it could act as a trigger for another Bitcoin decline. It’s important to keep this in mind. Note: Additionally, there have been some suspicious transfers involving the Mt. Gox exchange recently. It’s worth monitoring these developments closely. 💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely. 📌Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 4-hour time frame. 🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open. ✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too! 🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
Short
by pejman_zwin
9
2021 vs 2025: Bitcoin Showing a Similar Macro StructureBitcoin is showing a price structure very similar to the 2021 macro top, where BTC formed a dead-cat bounce from the 100 EMA before beginning a major correction. On the current cycle, BTC is once again testing the 100 EMA, and the price reaction looks very similar to the 2021 pattern: a brief bounce followed by continued downside pressure. Key Points: - 2021 Pattern: BTC bounced from the 100 EMA before the macro crash. - 2025 Price Action: Showing a similar bounce and reject structure at the same weekly EMA. - Major Weekly Resistance: Market showing exhaustion and lower-high structure, just like previous cycle tops. - Potential Dead-Cat Bounce: We could see a bounce toward the $100K–$107K zone before the downtrend continues. - Possible Repeat Scenario: If BTC fails to hold above the 100 EMA, history suggests a deeper correction may follow. Cheers Hexa
Short
by HexaTrades
2
Bitcoin BTC price analysis until mid-2026The long-term CRYPTOCAP:BTC trend (2023 → Nov 2025) has either broken its structure or expanded into a wider channel. The next few weeks will be critical for determining the macro direction for OKX:BTCUSDT price Key zones: • 🔻 Support: $75,000–$77,000 • 🔺 Resistance: $103,000–$105,000 A breakout of one of these ranges is likely to define Bitcoin’s trajectory into mid-2026 — either toward $190K or a deeper pullback toward $50K. 🤔 What’s the more probable scenario on your chart — bullish expansion or a structural breakdown? ______________ ◆ Follow us ❤️ for daily crypto insights & updates! 🚀 Don’t miss out on important market moves 🧠 DYOR | This is not financial advice, just thinking out loud
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by P_S_trade
3
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #227👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! Let’s dive into the Bitcoin analysis. The market is still very bearish and moving down rapidly. ⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe Yesterday, the market continued its downward movement, and after breaking the 88,825 support, it made a very brief correction before breaking even the 83,333 level. ⭐ The support level we had for the RSI was 21.53. As you can see, RSI reacted to this level, and after its correction, it has now reached this area again. 🧮 From a momentum perspective, the market is highly bearish, and the movement has been very sharp. Volume is fully confirming the downtrend, and I believe after this sharp decline, we could see the start of a correction phase. 💥 We have a very important support zone at 80,000, where the price could move towards and potentially enter a corrective phase. However, in any case, I think the market has made its move, and for the downtrend to remain healthy, a correction is needed. ✅ At the moment, we can’t provide a trigger for a new position since the market has moved so sharply, like a speeding train. It’s better to wait and then hop on once the correction has started. 📊 For long positions, it’s clear that the market is still in a downtrend, and there is no structure supporting a long position. We’ll consider opening a long position only once the trend changes. ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Short
by tradecitypro
3
Litecoin LTC/USD Buy The Fear Sell The EuphoriaI haven't made a Litecoin chart in a while. We've been sideways and uneventful, figured I would wait till something eventful happens. Well here it is folks , the moment before we actually move up everyone is selling except for a few smart hands. This fractal says it all in my opinion. fractals are usually very similar but not exact. Where we are now in price for Litecoin around 83 is really close to the bottom of this pullback. It washed out and cleaned up all the leverage, a very common occurrence in this market before large moves up. The move will be absolutely explosive and probably no meaningful pullback until we break the all time high. I see a pullback to retest the high before the next massive leg up. Right now in my opinion is the worst place to sell. I know this "bear market" is not a real bear market because of how many people are saying it is. The whole world says its a bear market right now, every youtube grifter has pivoted to bear market recently with this drop, every news channel is saying it is. Thats why its not, most have sold already and now the price I believe will rebound so fast it'll shock everyone and the ones who sold will be in denial waiting for the "next low". When that low doesn't come and we break the highs they will all pile back in. Everyone says oh this moving average, or this indicator, or this RSI. Look its all helpful stuff but its also all imaginary lines. Who says that we MUST be in a bear market because we broke a 200 day moving average. Who says because RSI is overbought we must go down. RSI has infinite different adjustments so whos to say that the 14 length is correct? These indicators will begin to fail over time as more and more people look at them. Right now there is more traders and wanna be traders in the world than ever before so if everyone is looking at the same thing all the time then most likely those will start to fail. Oh its happened every time before , I know , I know. Come on at the end of the day Bitcoin is still in its infancy. I dont buy the four year cycle, or seasonality crap, its foolish and betting your portfolio on those factors alone is a recipe for BROKE! I still stand by my previous long term predictions. Obviously its taking much longer than I expected but timing these things is nearly impossible on the long term time frame. While all the youtube grifters flip flop weekly I listen to the Billonaires and people who MAKE the markets. Saylor said three days ago the pullback is almost over and hes buying. Blackrocks Robbie Mitchnick says this is a good buying area and thats just a couple theres dozens of big wigs saying the same thing. So to wrap this up I believe we are at the point of rocket ship. Look at economic factors, liquidity worldwide is expanding, stimulus is coming, tightening is ending, rates are coming down. Fiat currencies worldwide are about to go into hyperinflation and certain cryptos will reap the benefit of that. Bitcoin and Litecoin being the top gainers in this next phase of hyperinflation in my opinion. This is just my opinion and not financial advice. Thank you
KRAKEN:LTCUSDLong
by Bitgolder
6
BTC: Black Friday Crash & The Road to 74k. H&S in the making?We are seeing a true Black Friday on Bitcoin today 😵😱🤬—price is diving below 82k, and the 126k top feels like jusst history. Looking at the 1D structure, the market is clearly aiming for a "hard reset," magnetically pulled toward the 1.0 Fibonacci level around 74,600 USDT. We’ve already smashed through key supports, including the 0.786 Fib, which usually opens up a highway for a full retracement. In my view, this drop is setting the stage to build the Right Shoulder of a massive Head and Shoulders pattern. If t he 74k zone holds—and it’s a major technical support—I expect a demand reaction there (marked with the green arrow). The target for this relief rally would be a return to the 100k area (0.5 Fib), completing the shoulder structure before any potential further downside. The situation is confirmed by Trading Cipher X. Money Flow is flashing thick red, signaling that big capital is still exiting the market, while the wide momentum waves at the bottom indicate heavy selling pressure. There are no reversal signals yet; the daily candles (basically bearish Marubozu) and rising bars on the cumulative volume (WWV) confirm that the bears are in total control right now. Game Plan: I’m not catching falling knives here. I’m patiently waiting for the price to hit the "kill zone" at 74,600 USD. Only there, upon confirmation (I’m looking for a bullish divergence on TCX), will I look for a Long entry to play the bounce. On the flip side, mid-term Shorts will only become attractive if we revisit the 98k-100k zone. Keep your eyes on 74k—it’s make or break for the bulls in the coming weeks.
Short
by trading_club_btc
1
Previous pattern repeating?Possible repeating pattern in Bitcoin here. If so, a possible stop near the upper white line as it did previously with a very slightly higher 2nd low, then start moving up slowly after finding its lows, and finally spike up and find a new high. Must not lose the thick red line around 49k if we make a lower low. Volume needs to come back in and start flipping green vs the present rising red volume being seen on weekly chart now. This could take upwards of 6 months or longer to play out.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by dudebruhwhoa
1
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #226👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! Let’s dive into today’s Bitcoin analysis. Our new short triggers have activated, and the market is continuing its downward movement. ⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe After Bitcoin made a fake downward move yesterday, today it formed a lower high below 93,555, and after breaking the 90,489 and 88,825 levels, it is now continuing strongly to the downside. ⭐ A very large amount of selling volume has entered the market, giving full control to the sellers. The downtrend is continuing with strong momentum. ✨ The next support levels are 85,846 and 83,333.If you already have open short positions, you can use these levels for partial profit-taking. ✔️ The RSI oscillator is currently in the oversold zone, around 21.53.Breaking this level could push the bearish move even further.However, if RSI gets supported here, momentum may weaken, and a correction could begin. 💡 If a correction happens, the resistance zones to watch are 88,825 and 90,489.Our main confirmation for a trend reversal will still come after breaking 93,555. ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Short
by tradecitypro
9
BTC Cup and Handle Still Not CompleteAs you can see the SPX broke out of the cup and handle and completed the measured move. It then corrected back down to the top of the handle and resumed its uptrend. This is what is coming for Bitcoin. Bitcoin has only half way completed the cup and handle. Measured move to around 300k before correcting back down to 70k and then back off to the races. Hold onto your hats. That would be the most epic move of all time a straight shot from here to 300k no pullback then slam back down to 70k and then back up to 500k. Could happen fast dont underestimate Bitcoin. Just my opinion not financial advice.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by Bitgolder
1
SOLANA → Manipulation - false breakout of resistance BINANCE:SOLUSDT.P flew up to resistance at 143.35 at the opening of the session and attempted to break through it, but bears may not let the price rise ahead of the news... Bitcoin is forming a local correction after a sharp decline. However, news is ahead and the market may remain within a narrow range. From the opening of the session, SOL rallies and breaks through the channel resistance, wasting 75% of its intraday growth potential. However, there is no momentum to continue the growth. It can be assumed that the coin is facing pressure. A false breakout and closing below 143.3 could trigger a pullback. Resistance levels: 143.35, 150.87 Support levels: 135.67, 130.0 Two key levels for countertrend movement: 143.35 - 150.87. If the liquidity pool does not stop the price at the nearest level, then 150.87 can be considered as an additional level for trading a false breakout. However, news on unemployment is coming soon, and the market may react quite aggressively. Therefore, if there are no trading opportunities before the news, I recommend refraining from action for an hour and waiting out the storm... Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
5
USDT-DOM- As usual, the charts tell the story very simply, watch the USDT triple top and the RSI divergence for clues. - At times, tracking USDT trends gives clearer signals than watching BTC price alone. - It’s an odd moment in the market, no real FUD, constant talk about crypto, yet price movements are surprisingly muted. - Some major players are trying to shake out weak hands and buy your crypto lower. Stay focused: HODL and accumulate. Time your entries and DCA, be a trader, not a victim of the cycle. Happy Tr4Ding !
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.DShort
by thecryer
BTC - NEW ATH in December or DROP?Hello BTC Watchers 📈 Bitcoin has, historically, been very bullish in Decembers. We see the most drastic increase in 2020, when BTC climbed over 140%. During the times that BTC corrected over December, it's been 10% and 31%. This makes it hard to predict seeing that it seems to be different every year with one year even trading in a tight range. A few things we can do to clarify the possible direction of BTC This December: 1️⃣ Check the Macro From a macro perspective, Bitcoin has increased and been increasing since April, with the hard drop only showing now in November. This could mean two things - the correction before a final leg up or, the beginning of the bearish cycle. 2️⃣ Check Technical Indicators a) The moving averages is pointing towards short-term BEARISH, since we are trading UNDER the 200d Moving averages(green line): b) The Bollinger bands are showing an expansion (aka widening) but to the bottom, as the price is trading on the lower BBands, also indicating strong selling pressure for the short to near term: 3️⃣ Watch the News Bitcoin has been coming up in many seemingly "bullish" articles. This is usually a bad sign before the liquidation - create hype, and then short the market. Conclusion: I'm leaning towards a soft pump in December to soften the blow of the current correction , but not a new ATH. The next increase will likely be a "fake-out" before the real bearish season starts in the new year.
Short
by Crypto-Check-
9
Short-term analysis of Bitcoin (12H)After the heavy drops | which we had already identified in previous analyses () | Bitcoin is now approaching a strong supportive order block. From the point where we marked the red arrow, Bitcoin entered a bearish phase, and it is expected that wave C of this phase will complete around the green zone. We will see whether the price reaches the green area or not. The initial target for this bounce can be the 95K to 96K range. For any reason, the closing of a daily candle below the invalidation level will break the structure and invalidate this upward correction For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
2
Is it really possible for Bitcoin to reach 1 million dollars?Is it really possible for Bitcoin to reach one million dollars? This is the complete Bitcoin data | from when it was $0.01 up to the last all-time high of $125K. Whether we like it or not, a large-degree pattern on Bitcoin is reaching completion, and we are looking at the chart without bias, purely through wave theory. The symmetrical pattern you see on the chart is on the monthly or 2-week timeframe. We are currently in the final wave, wave i of W. Wave i of W itself is a diagonal or symmetrical pattern (which we discussed in THIS POST () |this post only concerns branch i of W of this pattern). When such a large pattern completes, there are two possibilities: A counter cycle of the same degree begins , or An X wave forms. First scenario: forming a new pattern is very unlikely because if it happens, the Fibonacci 0.618 target of this pattern would be reached | around $4–$10 for Bitcoin. If this happens, the entire crypto market would effectively become a scam. This scenario is highly improbable and currently illogical. Second scenario: the formation of an X wave. It’s worth explaining X waves: X waves connect patterns of the same degree without requiring large time-price corrections relative to the previous pattern, allowing a phase | whether bullish or bearish | to extend. Here, since the first phase is bullish, the pattern after the X wave will also be bullish. For Bitcoin, if an X wave forms, the best range for it to end is $32K–$14K, and the X wave could last until 2027–2028. The two time lines indicate where the X wave could end. When a new cycle begins, it is of the same degree as the previous pattern. This means we will have years of bullish phases with corrections, similar to the first phase W, which is represented on the chart from wave A to I. The target of the second pattern, Y, after the X wave, can realistically reach $1 million! The estimated time frame for reaching this target is 2031–2039, but why the 8-year tolerance? This accounts for the pattern type: if it’s a triangle, these targets could be reached faster, but if it’s another multi-branch pattern, the timing may extend. From a technical and wave-theory perspective, this is indeed possible. This is our broad 10-year outlook on Bitcoin. ❤️ Stay with us updates will be provided in the future with support and resistance zones plotted on the chart. Do you really think Bitcoin can reach $1 million?
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by behdark
2
Bitcoin is approaching an important support level (1D)Bitcoin has entered a strong bearish structure. It is currently near an important origin zone that has broken significant highs (BOS). It is expected to make an upward reversal from this area. It’s natural for this momentum to require some base-building, and since the movement is on the daily timeframe, the upward reversal may take some time. The target range is 95K to 96K. A daily candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis Do not enter the position without capital management and stop setting Comment if you have any questions thank you
by iMoneyTeam
You will ask yourself, "how did he know Btc would dump to $80s"?On Oct 23rd I wrote: "Btc bounce incoming off support? If not, and support is broken... long way down to 84K. Too soon for concern, but Btc is currently bottom feeding off my lowest support". Followers of my charts would know that "strangely accurate" calls have been made throughout Btc's recent months worth of price action. I anticipated the previous low (at $107K) and since September I have repeatedly expressed my concens about a dump to a lower low (see Sept-Oct Btc charts). The "3 Red Week Down Rule" warned us that this lower low was coming. I simultaneously, posted charts warning that the altcoin market will be subject to the this "3 Red Week Down Rule" 2 days ago I reminded my followers of my "All In" target at 84,200K (WT target). Today Btc has hit the WT ($84,200) as anticipated, and is resting in my buy zone (currently at $84K). You will ask yourself, "how did he know Btc would do that"? Congrats to those of you who have made significant gains...following along my journey. May the truth be with you!
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Strangely-accurate
Will this date come true?This is not fundamentally unbelievable, especially with the manipulation of governments in the crypto market What is completely clear to us activists is the manipulation of absurd markets with great temptation by the yellow-haired doll and the child politicians and child killers around him. Although I am not active in this market, I feel sorry for you, despite this cesspool soaked in the blood and hearts of the people of the world! These numbers may not be realized, but the much blood that has been spilled on the ground will rise and the consequences will drown it. The freedmen will definitely win. And I must say, this analysis may expire after a while: Good luck MJ.REZAEI
by MJ2REZAEI