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BTC-D

BTCUSDT.P - November 3, 2025BTCUSDT.P is forming a potential lower-high structure within a broader corrective phase, suggesting renewed bearish momentum. The setup plans a sell short limit order at $116,380, targeting a move down toward the profit level at $100,904, with a stop level positioned at $131,811 for risk management. The structure favors a downside continuation as long as price remains below the $116,380 resistance zone. A break above the stop region would invalidate the bearish bias and shift momentum back to buyers. Risk Assessment: Medium risk — while the market structure supports a bearish setup, the wide range and volatility around the $110,000–$120,000 zone introduce potential fluctuations before confirmation.
Short
by miljedtothemoon
03/11/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $116,415.75 Last weeks low: $106,320.38 Midpoint: $111,368.06 This week will be the third week in a row where ~$116,000 is acting as weekly high and a major resistance level. Last weeks price action was clear, the bulls are incapable of flipping that level and making it new support. As a result the bulls retreated back towards strong support at weekly low ~106,000 completing the SFP. Also this pattern is a mirror image of the previous weekly outlooks price action. No clear trend bias at all here but what is obvious is bull market momentum is dying out. Bitcoin has always been hyper sensitive to liquidity, as always month end window dressing by the banks have a negative effect on liquidity, it usually takes a few days to get over this and resume normal levels again. The Government shutdown in the US does not help this as spending from the Treasury General Account has stopped with approximately $150Bn coming out of the market in October alone as a result. Should Bitcoin push higher it can only do so once Government operations resume IMO. FOMC resulted in a 25bps cut and QT (Quantitative tightening) is ending on 1st December, all bullish signs for the future but currently and for this week I think chop/ gradual drawdown continues. Good luck this week everybody!
by ProR35
BITCOIN 's worst Uptober in 11 years. Will selling continue?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) just closed October on a -3.89% loss, marking only the second red October since 2018 (-3.83%) and the worst since 2014 (-12.95%). This comes against the popularized 'Uptober' moniker, which relates to BTC's historically strong gains for this month. So what's next? Things may get even worse if BTC repeats the Jan - Feb 2025 fractal and breaks below its current Higher Lows trend-line. As you can see, since the August 14 2025 High, the market has been on a similar pattern as December 2024 - February 2025. Right now we are on the rejection made on the Lower Highs 2 trend-line (blue circle) on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and on the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level. With the first Lower Highs 2 rejection being similar among the two fractals (around -17%), we can expect an equally symmetrical sell-off if the Higher Lows break. On February 24 2025, that break-out completed a -32% fall from its All Time High (ATH) just below the 2.0 Fibonacci extension. If the Higher Lows break-out does happen on the current sequence as well, we may see another -32% decline, which this time is exactly on the 2.0 Fib ext. This time we have the 1W MA100 (red trend-line) to be mindful of, where we can expect contact to be made around $87000. Do you think BTC can dip this low? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
11
BTCUSDT: Buyers Aim for Recovery Toward $115K ResistanceHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Bitcoin setup. Market Analysis Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) is showing a constructive bullish setup after rebounding from the 106,600–107,000 Support Zone. This area has consistently acted as a strong demand region, confirming buyers’ interest each time price tested the lower boundary of the Upward Channel. The market structure has remained bullish overall, characterized by a series of higher highs and higher lows since the correction phase in mid-October.After a recent fake breakout below the support line, buyers quickly regained control, pushing price back above the channel’s lower boundary. This rejection from support and recovery above 110,000 suggests renewed bullish momentum. Currently, BTCUSDT is approaching the midline of the channel, while short-term resistance lies at 115,400 — a level that coincides with a previous fake breakout zone and horizontal supply area. My Scenario & Strategy As long as BTCUSDT holds above the 109,000–110,000 region, the bullish scenario remains valid. I expect the price to continue climbing toward the 113,000–115,400 Resistance Zone in the near term. A clean breakout above 115,400 could open the way for another bullish leg toward the upper boundary of the channel near 117,000–118,000. However, a confirmed rejection from 115,400 could trigger a temporary pullback toward the support trendline before another potential push higher. In my view, Bitcoin remains in a healthy uptrend, and I prefer to look for long opportunities from dips above the support line, targeting 115,400 (TP1) and potentially 117,000 (TP2). That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
Long
by Ratner
16
Bitcoin Daily Analysis — Why $BTC Might Rebound Soon (Nov 3)A few weeks ago, if you said you wanted to open a short position on Bitcoin, everyone would probably give you a weird look ~_~ . But after President Trump announced the 100% tariff increase, and Bitcoin alone dropped over 15%, opening shorts these days doesn't seem so strange anymore. Buyers were hoping for interest rate cuts, but even after a sharp drop, it looks like buyers still aren't interested in jumping in, and the bearish momentum is gaining strength. Let's start with an overall view from the weekly timeframe. Bitcoin has held its HWC uptrend for about 1,000 days now, and if you look closely, it has never really penetrated its floors, while strongly respecting this curve line—until now, when it seems to be breaking it downward. What does this show us? There's a high probability of a short-term price correction, and if we then break the lower highs and lows, our HWC uptrend would officially change, potentially leading to a drop as low as 45k . But I see the first scenario as more likely: just a daily correction, and then we'll be back in uptrend for the next couple of months, since the interest rate news is still pending, and that's expected to cause another drop. Plus, we haven't had an altseason yet—we've seen Bitcoin's growth, and it seems like it's over (I hope I'm wrong), but altseason hasn't happened, and BTC.D is still in uptrend, sitting above 60%. We're at a very critical point in the market, so pay close attention to these three dominance and index metrics: And finally, pair BTC with the specific altcoin you want to buy. For example, if you're checking Ethereum, you need to look at ETH/BTC too. If it's in uptrend, that's good; if not, be sure there's a better pair where more liquidity is flowing in. This is under the condition that the market has uptrend momentum. In the current conditions, I don't recommend buying altcoins at all. Back to Bitcoin. Today, my short trigger activated after breaking 108,748.95, but I missed it because I was asleep:) We have a lot of liquidity in the 104k to 105k area, so it's best not to miss that. If we miss it, we'll go for the first scenario I mentioned—a correction on the daily timeframe. The next support levels would be 101k, 98k, and 91k. But if we get good support at 105k, personally, I'd look for a long trigger, even with very low risk, and I'd still follow it. Probably, we'll fake out around 105k and then form resistance—definitely open a long after the break. Another possibility is that we fake out this 108,750 support break and head back up, in which case we'd trigger with a break of resistance at 111,480.36 . I suggest you open it too, even with low risk—maybe risk 0.25% of your capital, but it's better to open because Bitcoin's uptrend rallies are usually very aggressive, and they don't give you much room for stop losses, so you get low R/R if you don't join with the first leg. So, it's better to have a position at the start of the uptrend, even with the lowest possible risk. For shorts, there's no new trigger right now—let's wait for the market to give us a better structure. Let's also check BTC.D: it's in uptrend momentum, meaning as Bitcoin drops, liquidity is exiting altcoins, so altcoins are experiencing even bigger drops relative to Bitcoin. If you're looking for short triggers, altcoins are a much better option. For longs, we need to wait and see if, with Bitcoin's rise, BTC.D also rises or not. If yes, open on Bitcoin alone; if not, split your risk between Bitcoin and an altcoin that has an uptrending BTC pair. If you think any part of what I said is unclear, raise it in the comments, and I'll explain. Let's also take a look at Ethereum its situation is similar to Bitcoin, with the difference that since its BTC pair(ETHBTC) is declining, it's dropped more than Bitcoin. It already passed its short trigger, but if you're really keen, if we rest a bit here for New York time, you can open a short with a break of support at 3,685.05 , but with low risk because there's a ton of buy orders below this support, and it's not certain we'll pass it easily. An increase in volume at the break could help keep you safer from fake breaks. For longs, Bitcoin is better right now, but if the second BTC.D scenario happens—Bitcoin rises, BTC.D drops, and ETH/BTC starts printing green candles—you can split your risk between BTC and ETH. It's best to have a BTC position anyway, since it's much safer. And again, I say we're in a crucial geographic spot in the crypto market—stay vigilant and take capital management seriously. I'm sure many got liquidated after Bitcoin's 15% drop and got wiped out of the market because they didn't manage capital and risk. I say this because the day after the drop, I lost 15 followers too :) lol :). Alright, get outta here.
by SkepticLab
BTCUSD Rebound Setup: Buyers Target 114K Resistance ZoneHello traders, I want to share with you my opinion about Bitcoin (BTCUSD). Bitcoin continues to move within a well-defined descending channel, forming a consistent pattern of lower highs and lower lows. This confirms that the market remains under bearish control, with sellers actively defending each retest of the resistance line. The Resistance Level at 115,600 has acted as a major cap for bullish attempts, rejecting multiple upside moves over the past few weeks. Recently, BTC retested the Buyer Zone near 108,000–109,000, where strong demand emerged, preventing further downside. This level aligns with both the Support Line of the channel and the horizontal Support Level at 106,400, making it a critical zone for potential bullish reactions. At the current stage, the price is showing early signs of a corrective rebound from the Buyer Zone. I believe this recovery could push the price toward the Seller Zone and Resistance Line, with a short-term target (TP1) around 114,000. However, this move should be viewed as a correction within a broader bearish trend unless BTC manages to break and hold above the 115,600 resistance area. My scenario suggests that BTC could face selling pressure once it reaches the upper boundary of the channel, possibly leading to another bearish leg unless bulls confirm a breakout. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
THINKMARKETS:BTCUSDLong
by LegionQ8
15
BTC - CHANCES ON COLLAPSE ARE RAISINGMorning folks, So, BTC has failed to start upside action as with our 4H H&S as with 30-min H&S that we mentioned last time as a tool for long entry. The last one actually has not been formed at all. So, no entry signal followed. Now, based on 4H picture, nominally we still could believe that H&S will survive and BTC still will reverse up. We do not argue, but... this might happen only by some external driver. It will be some wild card scenario, but we can't make a bet on it. Technical picture looks weak, and suggests price return back to 105K lows. To return back to bullish view we need to get upside jump and confirmation of validity of this H&S pattern. In this case bullish scenario will be possible. Now we prefer to stay aside from any bullish trades.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Sive-Morten
Bitcoin Consolidates Within Symmetrical TriangleHi guys! The chart illustrates a symmetrical triangle formation. This pattern typically signals a potential breakout scenario, though the direction must be confirmed by price action. Key Technical Levels Resistance Zone: Around $111,000 – $113,000, aligned with the top line of the symmetrical triangle. Major Support: Defined by the bottom line of the triangle, currently holding near $107,000 – $108,000. Breakout Target: Upon a confirmed breakout to the upside, the projected target for the triangle stands near $122,587, which aligns with a measured move from the pattern’s height. Trading Plan Bullish Scenario: A breakout and close above the resistance zone ($111,500) would confirm bullish momentum. In this case, a long position could be considered, with the target around $122,500 as marked on the chart. This would also indicate renewed market strength and continuation toward higher levels. Bearish Scenario: If the price fails to break above the resistance and instead faces rejection, traders are advised to focus on short positions, anticipating a potential retracement toward the lower boundary of the triangle or even a breakdown below it. A close below the bottom trendline could signal deeper downside continuation. Conclusion Bitcoin is currently consolidating within a symmetrical triangle, reflecting indecision in the market. A confirmed breakout above resistance could trigger a bullish run toward $122,500, while rejection at this level would favor short setups. Traders should monitor the breakout area closely and wait for volume confirmation before committing to a position.
by melikatrader94
10
LINKUSDT → A trap? Grabbing liquidity before the fall...BINANCE:LINKUSDT is forming a correction after a bearish run. A false breakdown of support is triggering a correction before a possible continuation of the decline. The coin is testing the support of the trading range within the downtrend. The reaction to the false breakdown of support is a pullback to the zone of interest. After a strong downward distribution, a correction to the break-even zone is forming. A false breakout of resistance at 17.45 could trigger a continuation of the decline due to a weak market and a liquidity pool formed above 17.450, which is likely to stop the pullback on the bearish trend. Resistance levels: 17.450 Support levels: 16.53, 15.77 The downtrend may continue. A retest of resistance may end in a fall and an update of the local minimum, as well as reaching the zone of interest at 15.77. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
1
Bitcoin Cycle Analysis Entering Cycle C with Target Toward $144KBitcoin’s long-term market structure continues to evolve in well-defined phases, as visible through Cycle A, Cycle B, and the current Cycle C formation. Each previous cycle has followed a similar pattern: accumulation, expansion, correction, and new leg upward — and Cycle C appears to be following this same rhythm. Here’s what the structure shows: Cycle A: Represented the deep accumulation zone and base formation, bottoming near $39K–$75K. Cycle B: Brought a strong recovery and expansion phase, establishing a stable mid-level support around $110K. Cycle C (Current): Price is consolidating around the $110K area, likely preparing for the next expansion wave. If Bitcoin maintains this cyclical rhythm, the next major target lies near $144K, aligning with the top boundary of Cycle C. This zone represents the next major resistance level and potential completion point of the current macro cycle. Key observations: Holding above $109K keeps Cycle C active and healthy. Increasing volume during the next upward move could confirm a breakout continuation. A successful push beyond $120K would strengthen momentum toward the $144K region.
Long
by SatochiTrader
Bitcoin: Watch 105K For Bullish Reversal Again.Bitcoin all over the map. Pay attention to the nearest support and resistance levels which are 113K resistance and 105K support. 109K a minor support has been broken again. There is no way to know which way this market will break on the short term. The general trend is still bullish, BUT resistance levels like 113K and 118K AREA have yet to break. Smaller time frame momentum is arguably bearish which is good for day trade strategies, otherwise there is not much to do on the swing trade time frame at current prices. A test of the 105K support is likely to follow this week, which can present an attractive swing trade long opportunity (upon confirmation). IF 105K breaks, the next area to watch is the 103L to 100K area for a bullish reversal. This location is also a major psychological level which is also attractive for investing. Also worth mentioning, there is a head and shoulders formation on this chart, and while it implies bearish possibilities, I would put more emphasis on the levels because these patterns can easily appear randomly. Support and resistance levels, which can also be random, are more relevant in my opinion because of previous trader/investor behavior (or being stuck in a position). Either way do not jump to conclusions or grasp at the obvious. Notate levels, then wait for price to react there and provide a way to measure risk. Another important note is the CHANGE in Chairman Powell's rate cutting intent during the FOMC press conference over the previous week. When asked about the December rate decision, he explained that is was NOT a sure thing. Based on previous comments and hints, the market seemed to have priced in a December rate cut. Since this comment, the market has cooled off a bit from the constant new all time high every day party. Just goes to show, all it takes is a just few unexpected words to change sentiment. There is NO way to see something like this coming on a chart. This along with the lack of government data can invite unexpected surprises bullish or bearish. This is why in a game of incomplete information, it is best to focus on RISK, not obsess over forecasts.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by MarcPMarkets
36
BTCUSD H1 | Bearish Reversal at Pullback ResistanceBTC/USD is rising towards the sell entry, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to the downside. Sell entry is at 111,22.96, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement Stop loss is at 113,549.46, whic is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit is at 106,29.13, which is a multi swing low support. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
TRADU:BTCUSDShort
by Tradu
BTCUSD The 114k decision line for the week of Nov 3 to 7One chart. One plan. You can trade the first week of November with a simple map built around one decision area. The band at 112.9k to 114.5k is the gate. Above it, momentum can breathe. Below it, treat strength as suspect and keep risk tight. The Friday close was 110,050 which keeps price right in the middle of the range and sets up a clean reaction trade into the new week. What to draw on your chart Zones • 112,900 to 114,500. Decision band and prior late October highs. • 109,800 to 108,800. First support shelf from the last pullback cluster. • 107,200 to 106,400. Deeper support if the week turns risk off. • 118,000 and 121,700. Extension targets if buyers control the week. References • Add a 50 day and a 200 day moving average on the daily chart for context. Treat the 200 day near the 109k area as a health check. Lose it and fail to reclaim and the swing bias flips cautious. • Add a 20 day ATR read on your platform. Current context is about four percent. I size stops and targets from that number. Why now The tape gets several event tests in one week. Manufacturing PMI on Monday. Services PMI plus the Treasury quarterly refunding details on Wednesday. The United States jobs report on Friday at the usual morning slot. These three items move the dollar and the long end of the curve which in turn moves crypto risk appetite. When the dollar eases and the ten year cools, Bitcoin usually gets running room. When the dollar spikes and yields lift, bounces fail faster. You do not need a complex model. You only need a clear reaction plan and the will to stay patient until your trigger shows. How to trade it Use an ATR based framework. With ATR near four percent, half ATR is about two percent and one and a half ATR is about six percent. These are round figures and they keep your plan honest. Three rules for the week • Breakout rule. Take longs only on a 30 minute close above 114,000 with the next candle holding above 113,800. Stop equals half ATR. First take profit equals one and a half ATR. Trail the rest by one ATR. If the daily session closes back under 112,900 you stand aside and reassess. • Range fade rule. If price tags 114,000 and fails with weak breadth or tired momentum, fade back toward 112,900 with a tight stop above the rejection wick. Scale out near 111,800 to 112,200. Stand down if the dollar softens and yields fall during the move since that flow can squeeze fades. • Failure rule. A daily close under 109,800 is a risk off signal for swing longs. Respect the shelf at 108,800. If it breaks and cannot reclaim, look for price discovery toward 107,200 to 106,400. Only step in again on a stop run and clean reclaim pattern. What I need to see for momentum A decisive reclaim and hold above the 114k band. Dollar index pushing through the prior session low or at least failing to bounce with energy. Ten year yield not making new session highs during the break. Intraday pullbacks that respect one ATR trails without heavy wicking. If those four items happen on the same day, 118k is the first reasonable extension. The second extension sits near 121.7k where the last impulse ran out of steam. What tells me the idea is wrong A strong dollar and a hot yield print with BTC unable to lift through 112.9k. A fast push above 114k on thin liquidity that gives back the level within two or three candles. A daily close under 109.8k that comes on rising volume. In that case the path of least resistance shifts to a deeper test and the best trade may be no trade until the next reclaim signal. Risk template you can copy • Stop: half ATR from entry. • First target: one and a half ATR. • Remainder: trail by one ATR. • Size: risk a fixed R per trade so that a full stop equals your planned loss for the session. • Events: flatten or cut size to half R at least ten minutes before each major release. Re engage only after the first full post release candle closes. Mindset for the week Keep the number of trades small. Let the 114k band answer the only question that matters. Are buyers willing to pay higher prices or not. If yes the job is to stop fighting and ride the extension. If not the job is to protect capital and allow the market to come to your levels. Most of the damage in this market does not come from bad reads. It comes from over trading a chop. One plan and the discipline to sit tight can beat a dozen hot takes. Chart checklist before you click Is price above or below 114k on a 30 minute closing basis. Is the dollar softening or firming during the push. Is the ten year easing or lifting during the push. Is your stop equal to half ATR. Is your first target equal to one and a half ATR. Have you sized for one R and set a hard daily loss limit. Educational research only.
Long
by exlux
Bullish bounce off?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) has bounced off the pivot, which is a multi-swing low support, and could rise to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 197,582.22 1st Support: 191,969.5 1st Resistance: 17,384.29 Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:BTCUSDLong
by IC Markets
1
BITCOIN GIGA PLAN for 2025-2026Last time, I have fulfilled the dream of every trader: I entered at 15k and sold everything at 121500. (if you don't believe, check my latest idea posted by Jan 10, 2023) I notice that a lot of people completely misunderstand, and draw utter nonsense on the charts, and call it cycles. Well, here's the Bitcoin cycle graph, the only one you need. Sell your BTC bags NOW. Buy at 38k BTC. or by 26 october 2026 by any price. it depends on which of these happens first. I will continue to use BTC cycles as long as it works, it gives phenomenal accuracy, as long as you use your brain. I often hear people say about extended cycle (again lol?). They waiting for banana zone. We haven't seen euphoria phaze. what can I say to such people? Dream in one hand, and shit in the other, and then check which one is fills first xD Don't be one of them, and don't listen to this bullshit.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by haero
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #208👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! Let's take a look at Bitcoin's analysis — the market is still ranging. ⏱ 1-Hour Timeframe In the 1-hour timeframe, Bitcoin is still below the 111365 level. Today, it moved close to this level once, but it is currently still trading below it. ⛏ Good buying volume has entered the market, while the volume of red candles has been decreasing. In case 111365 is broken, we can open a long position. 🧮 If the price gets rejected from this level, the first short trigger we have is 108844. The next support levels are 107486 and 106319. 📊 Overall, I still believe that as long as the price is between 106319 and 115808, the market movements are temporary and not very exciting. As long as the price stays in this zone, I will open short-term positions and take profit quickly. ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Long
by tradecitypro
2
Bitcoin Trend Analysis Time Frame 4 Hours Hello Traders Update of Bitcoin 4-hour analysis, which I will post below According to the description of the relevant post, in 4 hours the price was able to stabilize below 111,000 and its first pullback reached this level and made a significant profit, and in the second time it is pulling back to the same level of 111,000, and the resistance of 112,000 is also important. I expect the correction to continue to low liquidity areas. Link to previous post:
by kinshinreza