$BTC: -$4000 in 10min – panic or opportunity?Here's our take:
🔹 Historically, such sharp CRYPTOCAP:BTC drops used to cause -20% to -40% crashes in altcoins.
Now, some alts are holding, others correcting mildly, and a few are even rallying.
🔹 In the last 24 hours, $840M was liquidated.
Roughly 80% were long positions.
Historically, reversals often start after $1.1–1.3B in total liquidations.
🔹 BTC Dominance (BTC.D) and Tether Dominance (USDT.D) are forming readable, consistent patterns.
👉 Current thesis: OKX:BTCUSDT will likely continue its movement inside the falling purple channel.
If price reaches $107–108K, we’ll consider closing our short bot to reassess market conditions.
💬 What’s your perspective? Share below.
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BTC-D
Bitcoin Breaks Below Support · Altcoins Market UpdateBitcoin is breaking daily right now below EMA89. We are seeing a full red candle with rising bearish volume. Almost $1 Billion worth of LONGs have been liquidated. When this much is liquidated the market tends to turn; but the wick, the low, the flush can go much longer but it can also end tomorrow or today. What to expect?
The next support is MA200 and this level sits around $100,800. Think of this, regardless of what happens short-term, Bitcoin isn't likely to move below $100,000. If Bitcoin ever does move below this level, consider it a very strong buy opportunity. If it goes below, it will recover in a flash.
Before MA200 we have a support level around $105,386. So, current prices, $105,000 and $102,000 to $100,000 are the main levels to watch for.
At the first signal of recovery, buy strong and go LONG. We will try to catch the reversal for this retrace and drop. We will wait for the bigger correction around $155,000 for the SHORT experience. We are not there yet. Too many altcoins at the bottom we will short the bigger picture.
Bitcoin is turning bearish right now but this is still a short-term development. The bearish signals are now confirmed and a close below $111,111 today would imply lower prices. The levels above become relevant.
Thinking of the $124,000 top, a retrace can go between 15% and 30%. A 15% retrace would mean a price of $105,000. A 30% retrace would mean a price of $87,000. While this is possible, this isn't a likely scenario or too early to call it. Support around $100,000 is just too strong. Give Bitcoin and the altcoins market just a few days and it will continue to grow. Patience is key.
Namaste.
BTC Game Plan BTC Game Plan
📊 Market Sentiment
Overall sentiment remains bullish, supported by expectations of a 0.25% rate cut in the upcoming FOMC meeting. A weakening USD and increasing global risk appetite continue to create favorable conditions for further upside in crypto assets.
📈 Technical Analysis
BTC printed a new all-time high but failed to close above it. Since then, price has been retracing inside the range, likely to collect more liquidity before another potential leg higher.
I will be focusing on discount zones and liquidity lows as potential areas for long opportunities.
📌 Game Plan
My key level is $104,750. A close above this level will confirm bullish intent.
This area aligns with 3 major confluences:
Broken trendline retest
0.75 range zone (deep discount level)
Daily swing liquidity
🎯 Setup Trigger
I will wait for a 4H market structure shift as confirmation before entering a trade.
📋 Trade Management
Stoploss: 4H swing low confirming the BOS
Targets:
• TP1: $113,300
• TP2: $117,110
• Runner: Potential push towards new ATH
💬 Like, follow, and comment if you find this setup valuable!
⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Always do your own research before making any financial decisions.
BITCOIN PREDICTION: CRASH WILL STOP HERE!!!? (nobody watching) Yello Paradisers! In this video, I'm sharing with you the ultra-line time frame perspective. We are analyzing the channel and the Elliott Wave Theory on a high time frame chart. I'm sharing with you how the ABC correction is finished. We are going through the Bitcoin CME futures gap or medium time frame. I'm sharing with you the Fibonacci time zone, the Elliott Wave count, and the confirmations we are waiting for to start in your positions.
Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable.
Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
BTC/USD – Rising Wedge Breakdown + Double TopPrice action confirmed a bearish setup:
Rising Wedge formed through June–July, showing slowing momentum.
Double Top near 124K added further reversal pressure.
Breakdown below wedge support + neckline confirms sellers in control.
📉 Key levels to watch:
First downside target zone: 100K–98K
If momentum continues, extended target: 82K–80K
⚠️ Reclaiming 115K–116K would invalidate this bearish structure and suggest potential recovery.
Gold | H2 Double Top | GTradingMethod🧐 Market Overview:
Gold is testing a key diagonal resistance level while forming a potential double top on the H2 timeframe. This setup suggests that sellers may step in at this level if resistance holds.
📊 Trade Plan:
Risk/Reward: 4.6
Entry: 3423.1
Stop Loss: 3429.6
Take Profit 1 (50%): 3397.8
Take Profit 2 (50%): 3385.5
💡 GTradingMethod Tip:
Double tops near major resistance often provide high R:R opportunities, but confirmation from price action is key before entering.
🙏 Thanks for checking out my post!
Make sure to follow me to catch the next idea and share your thoughts — I’d love to hear them.
📌 Please note:
This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.
ETH 1H Analysis – Key Triggers Ahead | Day 6💀 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Satoshi got something for you !
⏰ We’re analyzing ETH on the 1-hour timeframe timeframe .
🔭 On the 1H timeframe for Ethereum, we can observe that ETH broke its midline to the downside and moved toward the bottom of the box. With the slightly higher-than-expected U.S. inflation news, Ethereum bounced again from the bottom of its box, and now we need to see whether it can consolidate above the midline or not.
⛏ The key RSI levels are at 50 and 30, and once the oscillation surpasses these thresholds, Ethereum can begin its main move.
💰 The volume and number of red candles increased after the midline break, accompanied by selling pressure. The volume and size of Ethereum’s reversal candles can show us the strength of the rebound and the strength of the box bottom, since the bottom has not been lost yet.
📊 On the 1H ETHBTC chart, we can observe that if the bottom of the 1H box at 0.03972 is lost, more Ethereum will be sold and converted into Bitcoin. This index reflects the relative value between ETH and BTC. Breaking this marked level could serve as a confirmation for a short trade on Ethereum.
💡 The Ethereum alert zones remain the same as before, with the difference that for an early trigger we can consider a break and consolidation above the midline, which is relatively risky.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
BTC 1H Analysis – Key Triggers Ahead | Day 26💀 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Satoshi got something for you !
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-hour timeframe timeframe .
👀 On the 1H timeframe for Bitcoin, we can observe that BTC was rejected from the alert zone we had previously marked and moved downward. With this rejection, the selling volume and the size of red candles increased slightly. Currently, Bitcoin is sitting at its alert zone, and we need to see whether it will find support here or lose this support and go into a deeper correction.
⚙️ The key RSI levels are 30 and 70. Once the oscillation surpasses these levels, Bitcoin can start its main move and give us a position.
🕯 The size and volume of red candles have increased considerably, and selling pressure is being applied more easily each time. The green reversal candles are smaller compared to the red ones, and sellers’ tickers are consistently pushing the price downward with less resistance.
💵📊 On the 1H Tether Dominance chart ,we can see that Tether Dominance has reacted four times to this resistance zone, and right now we are at the top of Tether Dominance and the bottom of Bitcoin. If Tether Dominance gets rejected from this area, Bitcoin could find support and move upward. However, if this zone is broken with strong whale candles, heavy selling pressure could flow into Bitcoin. Keep in mind that this is a major resistance zone for Tether Dominance and will not be broken easily.
🪙📊 On the 1H Bitcoin Dominance chart ,we observe that at the same time Bitcoin prints green reversal candles and Tether Dominance shows red rejection candles, Bitcoin Dominance itself is forming a green structure. This means Bitcoin’s weight in the market is increasing. Now we need to see whether the market maker supports Bitcoin or not.
🔔 The Bitcoin alert zones are still the same as yesterday. If price reacts with a breakout confirmation, trading setups could form. Keep in mind that it’s the weekend, so avoid taking unusual or overly risky trades.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
BTC in Trouble if THIS Support Breaks !Hello BTC Watchers
The previous update on Bitcoin was on how we may expect the altcoin market to play out during the next few weeks. (Find it here):
Now, if we look at Bitcoin in the weekly timeframe, the price is trading right on top of a KEY support zone. Here, we can either see a dip - marking the start of the bearish cycle OR the price can maintain this level and perhaps even push towards a higher high. This will all depend on the SUPPORT ZONE, and if the weekly candle will close ABOVE or BELOW this zone.
This would be between these zones:
Interestingly enough, we've extended to a full 2.0 on the Fibonacci retracement level. This will be very helpful in determining major bounce zones during the bearish season:
The next week will be vital! Update to follow at the end on the week on the progress of Bitcoin.
BITCOIN The NIGHTMARE BEAR CYCLE fractal that Bulls must avoid!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has been on a strong correction lately after the August 14 All Time High (ATH) at $124500. Every High since has been sold and the price has found itself below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line).
Whether that's alarming or not yet, this sequence draws a lot of comparisons with the pattern that led to the Cycle Top on 2021.
As you can see both patterns started off with Lower Highs that pushed the market to a new bottom on Lower Lows. A 1D Death Cross confirmed the bottom formation (along with a 1D RSI bullish divergence on Higher Lows) and BTC started rising aggressively again, flipping both the 1D MA50 and 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) into Supports and forming a Bull Flag on a 1D Golden Cross.
At the end of this sequence in 2021, a Double Top Higher Highs pattern, was what formed the Cycle's Top. Unfortunately for the Bulls' case, this is very similar to the Higher High formation we got on August 14. Even the 1D RSI patterns among those two fractals are similar.
Do you think we are in a similar situation as in late November 2021, which initiated the 2022 Bear Cycle?
Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTCUSD Long: Breakout and Rally to 116500 levelHello, traders! The prior market structure for BTCUSD was a bullish ascending channel, which concluded with a pivot point high near the 118900 supply area. A subsequent breakdown from this channel shifted the market's momentum, initiating a corrective phase that took the form of a descending pennant. This bearish structure guided the price auction down to the major demand area around 112000, where a new pivot point low was established.
Currently, the price is consolidating within the final stages of this descending pennant, coiling between the supply and demand lines. The auction is approaching the apex of the pattern, but before a final resolution, one more test of the lower boundary is anticipated. The immediate expectation is for a final corrective move downwards to test the ascending demand line near the 112000 demand area.
The primary scenario anticipates a bullish resolution following this final test of support. The price is expected to reverse from the demand line, initiating a rally strong enough to break out above the descending supply line. Following the breakout, a brief retest of the broken line as new support would confirm the shift in control to buyers. This successful retest would then be the trigger for a continuation of the rally. The take-profit is therefore set at the 116500 level, targeting a key area of prior market imbalance. Manage your risk!
BITCOIN → Breakthrough of the downward trend resistance... 120K?BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P formed a false breakdown of key support at 110,000 - 112,000 and returned to the whales' zone of interest. The chart shows the prerequisites for a possible end to the countertrend correction...
A false breakdown of the daily support of 110K - 112K provokes a local bearish rally, within which the price breaks through the downward resistance of the correction and tests 113.300. The growth was supported by positive signals from institutional investors, technical stability and a decrease in selling pressure.
The fundamental background is positive, the market is trending. The chart shows prerequisites for the end of the correction. However, the further outlook depends on the 112.0 - 112.5K area. if the bulls hold the price above this zone, the flagship may return to the upward movement and head towards 117K - 120K.
Support levels: 112.5, 112.0, 110.9
Resistance levels: 113.6, 114.6, 117.0
After breaking through the resistance of the descending channel, the impulse stops and most likely a fight for the 112K zone may form. If the price returns to the channel and consolidates below 112K, then Bitcoin may return to the downward movement, however, while the price is trading above this line, the bulls have a chance...
Best regards, R. Linda!
Bitcoin will rebound from resistance area and continue to fallHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. A distinct shift in market control from buyers to sellers has defined the recent price action for Bitcoin. After the prior upward wedge failed at the major 119500 resistance level, a significant breakdown occurred, initiating the current bearish phase, which has been neatly contained within a downward channel. The price action within this structure has been orderly, consisting of downward impulses followed by corrective rebounds. The most critical recent development was the downward fall that broke below the key horizontal support level at 112000. Currently, the asset is in the midst of an upward rebound, rallying back to test this broken structure from below. The primary working hypothesis is a brief scenario, anticipating that this rally will fail upon entering the 112900 - 112000 resistance zone. A confirmed rejection from this former support area would validate the bearish trend continuation and signal that the next impulsive move down is imminent. Therefore, the TP for this scenario is logically set at 107000 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
BTC.D: is the last push coming? Or altseasson starting?BTC.D is showing weakness — and if you’re like me, waiting for the altseason to cash in your profits, the market is once again testing your patience.
Historically, the final phase of an altseason can last up to a month and often delivers 50%+ of the entire bull market gains. 🚀
This is not an event to miss.
Looking back at 2021, we’re in a very similar setup: BTC.D weakness is signaling a possible BTC top and the imminent arrival of an altseason.
But… this cycle shows a few key differences suggesting Bitcoin may not be done surprising us yet:
CRYPTOCAP:BTC is sitting at the confluence of the EMA 100, a multi-year strong support.
My momentum indicator hasn’t flashed a sell yet.
Weekly MACD has fully reset, leaving room for another strong upside move.
RSI is cooling down — not screaming collapse, but rather hinting at a potential last pump with a bounce from oversold territory.
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📊 Possible scenarios:
-> 1️⃣ End of the bull market: Rotation to CRYPTOCAP:ETH is underway, CRYPTOCAP:SOL and CRYPTOCAP:CRO are pumping, and the usual late-cycle signals are flashing.
-> 2️⃣ Bull market NOT over: This is just a pause before the final parabolic leg. If BTC.D bounces and CRYPTOCAP:BTC pushes to a new ATH, the altcoin market could get wrecked beyond recognition.
👉 Take these factors into account, pick your side, and as always: DYOR.
$BTC Daily UpdateCRYPTOCAP:BTC #BTC on $110,423 support, $112,893 current resistance. Bearish engulfing on last 4h close - expect support test if followed thru. Previous Daily close with Bullish engulfing but lack of volume on current with weak buyers show no sign of follow thru, RSI dropping, $109,022 key support from here and then $106,586. $115,753 key resistance from here.
Potential bearish drop?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) has rejected off the pivot which acts a a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 112,875.12
1st Support: 109,694.37
1st Resistance: 117,327.94
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