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BTC-D

Bitcoin: key buyer levels may lie lowerHi traders and investors! This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). Let me remind you that on the weekly timeframe, Bitcoin still hasn’t managed to launch an upward trend after breaking out of the sideways range. The market is currently in a transitional phase, with buyer initiative above and seller initiative below. Price has already attempted to break upward from the buyer initiative twice — during the weeks of August 11 and September 29. Now, the price has returned back into the range. We also see declining volumes on the monthly chart, showing that the buyer clearly lacks strength. At the moment, sellers are facing support around 105,100 — the base of the July 2025 monthly candle. It’s not a bad context for looking for buys, if only the candle had strong volume. We’ll see how things develop on the daily timeframe. If the price consolidates below 107,255 (the breakout test level on the weekly TF) and then buyers absorb the seller’s candle from October 17, that could create a reason to look for longs. On the weekly timeframe, there are also interesting levels to watch for potential buys: — 50% of the trading range — 100,353 (which also aligns with the 50% monthly level); — the base of the breakout move from the range — 98,200. Of course, this all depends on whether the buyer actually shows up — with volume and spread. This 100,500–98,000 zone remains an important buyer defense area if they intend to keep the price from dropping below 90,000. Wishing you profitable trades!
by AlexeyWolf
BTC Reign Pauses. Can ETH Lead the Charge Temporarily?A Tale of Two Titans: Divergence in the Making Following the market-wide drop on October 10th, 2025, a significant divergence in character has emerged between the two crypto titans, Bitcoin and Ethereum. While Bitcoin's bullish structure appears compromised, Ethereum is exhibiting remarkable resilience, tenaciously holding key support and potentially setting the stage for a period of ETH-led market action. This analysis explores the possibility of a temporary decoupling, where Ethereum takes the reins while Bitcoin enters a period of consolidation. Bitcoin: Structure Compromised From my perspective, the recent crash has severely compromised the prior bullish structure on Bitcoin's daily and weekly charts. The upward momentum has been invalidated, leaving BTC in a state of structural weakness. The most probable path forward for BTC appears to be a prolonged period of sideways consolidation, likely forming a complex flat correction. For now, the king seems to be resting in its coffin. Ethereum: The Resilient Contender In stark contrast, Ethereum’s chart tells a very different story. Here's why ETH is capturing our full attention: Crucial Support Holds Firm: ETH is impressively defending the critical support zone around $3,756. Its refusal to follow BTC into a deeper decline is a powerful statement of relative strength. Intact Market Structure: Unlike Bitcoin, Ethereum’s weekly and daily upward structures remain intact. The long-term bullish thesis is not yet broken (Weekly chart upward structures & Elliot are still holding targeting around 5900 USDT) Emerging Elliott Wave Count: As illustrated on the daily chart, a weak but valid Elliott Wave count is taking shape. We appear to have completed a Wave (2) correction right at this key support. If this level holds, it paves the way for a powerful Wave (3) impulse to the upside. Confluence of Bullish Divergences: Adding significant weight to this outlook are the strong bullish divergences flashing on both the Daily and 4-Hour charts. Around the $3,756 support, both the RSI and MACD are showing higher lows while price has tested lower lows — a textbook signal of waning bearish momentum and a potential reversal. Should this scenario materialize, we can expect a notable increase in weekly and monthly volatility as momentum shifts. RSI divergence on 1D chart MACD Divergence OBV (4H chart) note that obv always making higher lows around the current support BBWP contraction on 4H chart The Big Question: A Changing of the Guard? This brings us to a fascinating and potentially market-defining question: Can Ethereum lead the crypto market to new all-time highs while Bitcoin moves sideways? We may be witnessing a temporary 'changing of the guard,' where ETH's fundamental strength and resilient technicals allow it to become the market's temporary primary driver. While Bitcoin's gravity is undeniable, the current situation suggests that Ethereum might be carving its own path. The confirmation of this thesis rests on the $3,756 support. A sustained hold above this level could be the opening act for the next major bull run, led by an unexpected protagonist. Share your thoughts in the comments
Long
by CryptoShip0
$BTC SUNDAY ANALYSIS: #Bitcoin continues to play out the bearisCRYPTOCAP:BTC SUNDAY ANALYSIS: #Bitcoin continues to play out the bearish setup we have been tracking for two months. After another clean rejection from the 1D 50 EMA zone near 115K to 115.6K, the market confirmed that sellers still dominate this range. Our main target remains 100K, which is also a key support level of this bull market. If Bitcoin breaks below this zone, I expect a deeper move toward 90K and possibly lower. Right now BTC is trading around 107K, and while a small upside bounce is possible, it is likely to be short-lived. Important data is coming next week, including the U.S. CPI report on Thursday, October 24 at 8:30 AM ET, and the FOMC updates, which could bring short-term volatility. Resistance levels sit around 110K and the 1D 50 EMA near 115K, while 100K remains the critical support to watch. If that area fails to hold, we could easily see a drop toward 90K in the coming weeks. Short-term relief bounces are possible, but they are likely to be sold into unless BTC reclaims 115K with strong volume. Only then would the outlook shift back toward 120K to 122K. I am still bearish, currently holding the remaining 25% of my short position after closing 75% in profit. I will only add or close depending on how the market reacts to upcoming data and price action. If there is any shift in structure, I will update you in time. #BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto #BTCUpdate #CRYPTOSKULLSIGNAL
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by CryptoSkullSignal
#BTC #BTCUSD #BTCUSDT #BITCOIN #Update #Analysis #Eddy#BTC #BTCUSD #BTCUSDT #BITCOIN #Update #Analysis #Eddy Warning: Bitcoin and the cryptocurrency market are poised for the next wave of decline. I envision 2 scenarios for Bitcoin, both of which aim to see Bitcoin fall below $90,000. The first scenario, which is a daily block breaker, is more likely. The second scenario will only be activated when Bitcoin consolidates above $109,000, aiming to fill the FVG. Eventually, the second scenario will be activated, and the main decline will begin from the upper supply range that I have identified for you. I have identified the important supply and demand zones of the higher timeframe for you. As you can see in the chart, the trend change from bullish to bearish has been confirmed in the decline we had. This analysis is based on a combination of different styles, including the volume style with the ict style. Based on your strategy and style, get the necessary confirmations for this analysis to enter the trade. Don't forget about risk and capital management. The responsibility for the transaction is yours and I have no responsibility for your failure to comply with your risk and capital management. 💬 Note: This is just a possibility And this analysis, like many other analyses, may be violated. Given the specific circumstances of Bitcoin, it is not possible to say with certainty that this will happen, and this is just a view based on the ICT style and strategy with other analytical styles, including the liquidity style. Be successful and profitable. Review the result of my previous analysis on bitcoin :
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Eddy_Trade_
BTC finally basing after 217 days, Time for 160K NOW! Seed.BTC has seen rosy seasons this year as it kept reaching those milestones casually -- first, hitting the elusive 6-digit mark at 100k, then reaching its parabolic high at 126500. When things are looking up, and the whole market is in EUPHORIA and buyouts are way extended, a perfect storm has brewed so-to speak. The expected turn has transpired -- correct with so much weight. In a way, this is just part of the process of healthy sustainance to the trend, and such scenarios needed to play out to preserve the balance of price and trend. If you notice on our diagram, the proportional time-based behavior of such events playing out with close-to-accuracy is quite amusing. Usually, BTC plays around the 217-day time based differentials between corrective season and bull seasons. This is no way to advocate that the chart above is very accurate and that the predictive nature is constant and correct, it just means we can be guided by such data from the past events as we move forward.. Now, based on the current metrics we have, BTC is now basing at the current price zone after tapping its lows at 103k area. This basing area is already hinting of a prep work of a reversal as precursor of its ascend trajectory narrative. From these data, we can now be guided by the directional context of this asset as we proceed further. Ideal positioning is at the current zone, (lows at 103k). Mid Target is now at 160k. Long term target 200k. Trade safely always. TAYOR.
Long
by JSAL
1
BNB Game Plan - TBKZ ModelBNB Game Plan – TBKZ Model 📊 Market Sentiment Market sentiment is currently volatile, heavily influenced by U.S. foreign policies. With the U.S. entering a quantitative easing (QE) phase, the long-term outlook remains bullish, as more liquidity is expected to flow into risk assets. However, the short-term sentiment is bearish due to renewed trade tensions and Chinese tariff concerns. Overall, sentiment is slightly bearish short-term, but bullish long-term as macro liquidity expands. 📈 Technical Analysis Price tapped the HTF bullish trendline and faced a rejection wick during the Chinese tariff announcement. This reaction confirms the trendline’s significance as a major dynamic support zone. Now, I’m watching for another price leg toward the HTF trendline, expecting a possible retest and bounce from the HTF Key Zone around $1005. 📘 Model to be used – TBKZ Model (Trendline Bounce at Key Zone) 1️⃣ Identify the HTF trend — trade only in that direction. 2️⃣ Map out the HTF trendline that may act as dynamic support. 3️⃣ Locate the HTF Key Zone containing significant liquidity and structure. 4️⃣ Wait for a bounce and LTF confirmation before entering the position. 📌 Game Plan I will be waiting for price to return to the HTF trendline and retest the HTF Key Zone near $1005. Once price gives confirmation (12H–4H structure break), I’ll look for a long setup. 🎯 Setup Trigger Break of structure on 12H–4H timeframe after testing the $1005 zone. 📋 Trade Management Stoploss: 12H–4H swing low that breaks structure Targets: TP1: 1220$ | TP2: 1375$ (ATH) Move stoploss to breakeven after TP1 hits. 💬 Like, follow, and comment if this breakdown supports your trading! More setups and market insights coming soon — stay connected! ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Always DYOR before making any financial decisions.
Long
by UA_CAPITAL
$BTC Vs. $GOLDBitcoin / Gold is near its historical bottom. Is back in the long-term demand zone, as it was at the 2020 and 2023 lows. RSI indicator is also almost exactly the same as the previous two lows. This structure has historically always been a precursor to a strong trend reversal. Reaction from these areas in 2020 and 2023 led to significant appreciation in Bitcoin against gold. Today the picture is similar again both price and momentum point to the same bottom scenario.
IG:BITCOINLong
by EtherNasyonaL
Bitcoin: Range Low Buying Opportunity?Bitcoin has tested the range low below the 105K area. This is an attractive location for new longs IF there is a reversal confirmation (which does not exist right now). It is also possible that a new trend structure is developing (Broad Wave 2) but it is too early to tell. On the smaller time frames, the 109K area is a minor resistance and an area to watch for a potential lower high, while the 113K mid point can now act as a major resistance area. IF either of this resistances stick and confirm, this could be signs of a broader bearish scenario that can see prices back in the 80K area. Until 103K to 100K area is cleared, it can still be argued Bitcoin is consolidating and price is testing the range low. Just like the 76K swing low, this area may also be such a opportunity UNLESS it breaks. Macro economic fundamentals support the Bitcoin bull argument in terms of where the FED is taking interest rates and plans to "expand" their balance sheet (QE). We still how all of this is affecting gold and silver, and should provide a similar support for Bitcoin. This market has its own variables to contend with, but generally speaking, the coming economic environment (INFLATION) should have a positive effect. Fundamentals like FED actions carry a lot of weight and must be considered in light of technical events on the chart. This means if Bitcoin breaks support, while other factors can drive it to lower support levels, the PROBABILITY of that is likely to be lower. Use the technical levels as points of reference and observe the price action around these levels. For example, IF an inside bar appears at the completion of the current candle and the high of that candle is broken, that can be interpreted as a buy signal off of a bullish range low. How you mange the risk in this situation is your responsibility. Forecasting Bitcoin or any market, especially over long time horizons is not practical. Markets trend, BUT environments CHANGE upon the perception of NEW information. Most participants are limited to public information, and with that the only way to navigate the uncertainty is by being good at assessing and managing risk. Charts are just a way to help visualize what that means. Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by MarcPMarkets
11
ETHBTC Weekly Series – Tracking the Shift, Week by WeekETHBTC Weekly – Confluence at the 0.786 Fib This is ETHBTC on the weekly, now retesting one of the most important Fibonacci levels on the chart: the 0.786 Fib at 0.03470. This time, price isn’t testing it alone. Just below, we have the 21-week MA and 50-week MA, both providing strong confluence. Last week’s flash crash on October 10th already tagged the 21-week MA, showing how reactive this area is for buyers. This zone could serve as a structural base for a potential bounce toward higher resistance: such as the 200-week MA, or Fibonacci levels around 0.06–0.07. But for any of that to happen, price must hold here first. That’s why, starting this week, I’ll be tracking this pair closely and updating this idea regularly, to better understand whether ETH can regain strength against BTC, and what that means for the altcoin market as a whole. Because as history has shown: when ETHBTC climbs, altcoins breathe again. Right now, most alts look bruised after the flash crash, but some, especially those with real-world use cases, still hold long-term promise. The key is timing. And timing starts with ETHBTC holding this level. Bias: Neutral–bullish, strong confluence support, but confirmation needed through weekly close above 0.0347. Always take profits and manage risk. Interaction is welcome.
by vagada
1
Bitcoin Market Preparing for Upside MoveBitcoin is currently stabilizing after a sharp corrective phase.The market is showing early signs of demand re-entry near the liquidity base,indicating potential exhaustion of selling pressure.Recent structural reactions hint that buyers are preparing to reclaim control,which could initiate a short-term recovery leg toward the mid-range inefficiency zone.If momentum sustains,Bitcoin may expand higher,confirming a potential buy phase aligned with institutional accumulation signals.Overall,the outlook remains cautiously bullish as long as the market holds above its newly formed demand area.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by XAU_EMPIRE
4
BTC - Decision Time at the Flip Zone!BTC is retesting a daily flip zone (former resistance turned support). This band has been the market’s pivot for most of the year and is the line in the sand for trend intent. 📈Bullish case (preferred): As long as the daily holds above the flip zone (~105k–108k) and prints a bullish reaction, I’ll look for longs. Upside magnets sit near 118k first, then 125k if momentum extends. 📉Bearish case (alternative): A clean daily close back below the flip zone turns it into supply and exposes 100k–98k, with room for a deeper correction if follow-through expands. All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
by TheSignalyst
1
BTC Weekly Series – Tracking the Price, Week by Week BTC Weekly – The Line That Defines the Cycle On this chart, one line has quietly supported Bitcoin since the March 2024 ATH: the blue cayenne line, the 50-week moving average. It held the dip after the January 2025 ATH, and now we’re about to find out if it can do it again after the September 2025 ATH. Each time price needed that support, it tested the 50-week MA twice before reversing higher. There’s also a recurring pattern with Fibonacci levels: * After the March 2024 ATH, price lost the 61.8 Fib, touched the 50-week MA, and bounced. * After the January 2025 ATH, price lost the 100 Fib, touched the 50-week MA, and bounced. This time, things are different. The 50-week MA now aligns exactly with the 127.2 Fib, meaning there’s no safety net below. If this level fails, there’s nothing technical left beneath it that has caught price since March 2024. That could make any future leg higher more difficult to form. From here, the focus should be on weekly closes. They will tell us whether this structure still holds or if we’re about to enter a deeper correction phase. I’ll continue updating this view at the end of each week or on Mondays, to keep track of how this key level evolves, both for myself and for anyone following the cycle closely. Always take profits and manage risk. Interaction is welcome.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by vagada
Breakdown or Bounce Incoming? | BTC 4H Analysis D4🥳 Hey everyone! Hope you’re doing great! Welcome to SatoshiFrame channel . ✨ Today we’re diving into the 1-Day BITCOIN analysis. Stay tuned and follow along! 👀 Yesterday I shared Bitcoin’s daily analysis in the channel, and today we’re going to review the 4-hour timeframe, from its recent all-time high up to the present. 🔍 After setting its ATH, Bitcoin entered a descending channel (driven by profit-taking and reactivated whale activity). Each time price reached the top of this channel, it was rejected and moved toward the midline or bottom. The last touch of the channel’s top led to another drop toward the midline, and price failed to break above the channel. The major buy zone (micro buyer area) at the top of the channel was lost and has now turned into a key static resistance, overlapping with the dynamic channel resistance — creating a crucial pivot zone for Bitcoin’s potential trend reversal. The next key support lies below this zone at $105,634; a confirmed break and close below it could extend the downtrend further. 🧮 The RSI oscillator is currently fluctuating between 30 (support) and 50 (resistance). A breakout beyond either side — as highlighted in the chart — could add significant momentum to Bitcoin’s next move. These RSI levels are default static zones, which makes their reliability stronger. 🕯 After the massive flash crash that shook the crypto market, traders have shown a stronger inclination toward selling, keeping Bitcoin within this descending channel. As seen in the volume data, the flash crash was accompanied by extreme selling pressure, and whales broke the micro buyer zone with a large “whale candle.” Continued selling pressure could push Bitcoin toward lower supports, while renewed buying volume and whale re-entry could drive it back toward the channel top to test that resistance once more. 🧠 For those without open positions, here are two key scenarios to consider: 🟢 Long Setup: A breakout above the key static + dynamic resistance zone at $109,222, along with increasing buy volume and RSI crossing above 50, could be a solid long opportunity. 🔴 Short Setup: A confirmed breakdown below the nearest support at $105,634, accompanied by strong selling pressure and RSI falling below 30 into oversold territory, could present a strong short setup. ❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
by Satoshimultiframe
BTC Outlook after the Dip. What to expect NOW? As I mentioned earlier, the price has reached the bottom of the channel and completed the final bearish wave. I'm hopeful that Bitcoin will respect the technical setup and begin a bullish wave from here. !!! However, Bitcoin might surprise everyone and break the channel structure.so we need to wait for confirmation, which I believe will become clear by tomorrow. Follow us for upcoming updates and market insights. PREVIOUS ANALYSIS
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by CobraVanguard
8
You will ask yourself "how did he know Btc would do that?On Aug 9th I suggested that Btc could dump as low as 107,800. The actual low came within a small margin of that. On Sept 2nd I suggested that the bottom was in and Btc would soon bounce to 1 of my 3 targets. On Sept 11th, I also suggested that a lower low was probable (below 107K). On Sept 17th, the top of the run was called and we saw the anticipated reversal. I also anticipated the day (time frame), the reversal would occur. TA works for both the X and Y axis (for both price and time). I wrote "the bounce was coming to an end within 5 days". On day 6 Btc fell. I honestly thought Btc would form it's lower low when I published the above charts. But instead we got that low probability pattern of a liquidity grab above the local high...THEN swipe the lows, to form a lower low afterwards. This pattern liquidated all the longs and the shorts, in what tunred out to be the biggest liquidation event in crypto history. Either way, we got the anticipated lower low and we were spared a catastrophic dump..allowing us to be on the right side of the trade. It's safe to say this was not a surprise, but anticipated and therefore we profited. TA works! Thank you "3 Red Week Down Rule". lol Btw I have been suggesting (for weeks), that Btc would hit a lower low, based on the "3 Red Week Down Rule". While everyone on social media is blaming Friday's announcement on China tariffs, for cuasing this lower low. 'Show me the chart and I'll tell you the news" -Bernard Baruch Pattern's can be predictive! Learn them all.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Strangely-accurate
BTCUSD 1D Chart • Trend: clear decline in the descending channel (yellow lines). • EMA 50/200: during a bearish cross (death cross) - medium-term bearish signal. • SMA 50 / 100 / 200: price below all key averages - a classic signal of market weakness. ⸻ 📉 1. Trend indicators 🔹 EMA Cross 50/200 (blue) • The price has fallen below EMA 200, which means that the medium-term trend is currently negative. • In addition, the EMA 50 breaks the EMA 200 from above - a sell signal. 🔹 Descending Channel (Yellow) • The price is close to the lower band of the channel, which may result in a short-term technical rebound, but the main trend remains down. • Upper channel line (resistance): approximately USD 114,000-115,000 • Bottom Line (Support): ~$101,000 📊 3. Momentum indicators 🔸RSI • RSI ≈ 37 → close to oversold zone, but not extreme yet. • Signal: Possible short bounce if it stays above the 30 level. 🔸 MACD • The MACD line is below the signal line and the negative histogram is growing → the downward momentum continues. • No signs of reversal yet. ⸻ 🔥 4. What does this mean in practice 🔻 Short-term (1-7 days): • Downward trend with a possible technical rebound in the area of ​​USD 104,000-101,000. • RSI close to oversold → possible pullback to USD 109,000–110,000. ⚖️ Medium term (2-4 weeks): • Until BTC returns above EMA 200 (approx. 115,000), the market remains in a correction/distribution phase. • If the price breaks 101,000 down, a possible decline to 96,900 or even USD 92,000 (previous macro support). ⸻ 📈 5. Scenarios ✅ Bullish (less likely now) • Maintaining above $104,000 • Breakout 109,000 → USD 112,000 → test 115,000 • Breakout of EMA 200 → trend reversal signal ❌ Bearish (more likely) • 104,000 raise → $101,000 test • If the support breaks, a decline to 96,900-97,000 is possible within a few days.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by cryptodailyuk
KMNO/USDT — Bullish Momentum Building Toward $0.10 Breakout KMNO/USDT — Bullish Momentum Building Toward $0.10 Breakout 🚀 KMNO is showing renewed strength after holding its key support zone and forming a steady higher low structure. The current move suggests a shift in momentum, with buyers stepping back in around the $0.066 level. If KMNO can maintain this recovery and close firmly above the $0.070 zone, the next target area sits around $0.103, marking a potential breakout level for continuation. 📊 Technical Overview: Support: $0.029 – $0.066 Resistance / Target: $0.103 Momentum: Bullish shift forming on 1H A confirmed break above $0.070–$0.075 could open space for a strong upward move, with the $0.10 zone as the main focus area in the coming sessions. 📈 Bias: Bullish setup 🎯 Targets: $0.085 → $0.103
Long
by SatochiTrader