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BTC-D

BTC Weekly Series – Tracking the Price, Week by Week BTC Weekly – The Line That Defines the Cycle On this chart, one line has quietly supported Bitcoin since the March 2024 ATH: the blue cayenne line, the 50-week moving average. It held the dip after the January 2025 ATH, and now we’re about to find out if it can do it again after the September 2025 ATH. Each time price needed that support, it tested the 50-week MA twice before reversing higher. There’s also a recurring pattern with Fibonacci levels: * After the March 2024 ATH, price lost the 61.8 Fib, touched the 50-week MA, and bounced. * After the January 2025 ATH, price lost the 100 Fib, touched the 50-week MA, and bounced. This time, things are different. The 50-week MA now aligns exactly with the 127.2 Fib, meaning there’s no safety net below. If this level fails, there’s nothing technical left beneath it that has caught price since March 2024. That could make any future leg higher more difficult to form. From here, the focus should be on weekly closes. They will tell us whether this structure still holds or if we’re about to enter a deeper correction phase. I’ll continue updating this view at the end of each week or on Mondays, to keep track of how this key level evolves, both for myself and for anyone following the cycle closely. Always take profits and manage risk. Interaction is welcome.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by vagada
Breakdown or Bounce Incoming? | BTC 4H Analysis D4🥳 Hey everyone! Hope you’re doing great! Welcome to SatoshiFrame channel . ✨ Today we’re diving into the 1-Day BITCOIN analysis. Stay tuned and follow along! 👀 Yesterday I shared Bitcoin’s daily analysis in the channel, and today we’re going to review the 4-hour timeframe, from its recent all-time high up to the present. 🔍 After setting its ATH, Bitcoin entered a descending channel (driven by profit-taking and reactivated whale activity). Each time price reached the top of this channel, it was rejected and moved toward the midline or bottom. The last touch of the channel’s top led to another drop toward the midline, and price failed to break above the channel. The major buy zone (micro buyer area) at the top of the channel was lost and has now turned into a key static resistance, overlapping with the dynamic channel resistance — creating a crucial pivot zone for Bitcoin’s potential trend reversal. The next key support lies below this zone at $105,634; a confirmed break and close below it could extend the downtrend further. 🧮 The RSI oscillator is currently fluctuating between 30 (support) and 50 (resistance). A breakout beyond either side — as highlighted in the chart — could add significant momentum to Bitcoin’s next move. These RSI levels are default static zones, which makes their reliability stronger. 🕯 After the massive flash crash that shook the crypto market, traders have shown a stronger inclination toward selling, keeping Bitcoin within this descending channel. As seen in the volume data, the flash crash was accompanied by extreme selling pressure, and whales broke the micro buyer zone with a large “whale candle.” Continued selling pressure could push Bitcoin toward lower supports, while renewed buying volume and whale re-entry could drive it back toward the channel top to test that resistance once more. 🧠 For those without open positions, here are two key scenarios to consider: 🟢 Long Setup: A breakout above the key static + dynamic resistance zone at $109,222, along with increasing buy volume and RSI crossing above 50, could be a solid long opportunity. 🔴 Short Setup: A confirmed breakdown below the nearest support at $105,634, accompanied by strong selling pressure and RSI falling below 30 into oversold territory, could present a strong short setup. ❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
by Satoshimultiframe
BTC Outlook after the Dip. What to expect NOW? As I mentioned earlier, the price has reached the bottom of the channel and completed the final bearish wave. I'm hopeful that Bitcoin will respect the technical setup and begin a bullish wave from here. !!! However, Bitcoin might surprise everyone and break the channel structure.so we need to wait for confirmation, which I believe will become clear by tomorrow. Follow us for upcoming updates and market insights. PREVIOUS ANALYSIS
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by CobraVanguard
8
You will ask yourself "how did he know Btc would do that?On Aug 9th I suggested that Btc could dump as low as 107,800. The actual low came within a small margin of that. On Sept 2nd I suggested that the bottom was in and Btc would soon bounce to 1 of my 3 targets. On Sept 11th, I also suggested that a lower low was probable (below 107K). On Sept 17th, the top of the run was called and we saw the anticipated reversal. I also anticipated the day (time frame), the reversal would occur. TA works for both the X and Y axis (for both price and time). I wrote "the bounce was coming to an end within 5 days". On day 6 Btc fell. I honestly thought Btc would form it's lower low when I published the above charts. But instead we got that low probability pattern of a liquidity grab above the local high...THEN swipe the lows, to form a lower low afterwards. This pattern liquidated all the longs and the shorts, in what tunred out to be the biggest liquidation event in crypto history. Either way, we got the anticipated lower low and we were spared a catastrophic dump..allowing us to be on the right side of the trade. It's safe to say this was not a surprise, but anticipated and therefore we profited. TA works! Thank you "3 Red Week Down Rule". lol Btw I have been suggesting (for weeks), that Btc would hit a lower low, based on the "3 Red Week Down Rule". While everyone on social media is blaming Friday's announcement on China tariffs, for cuasing this lower low. 'Show me the chart and I'll tell you the news" -Bernard Baruch Pattern's can be predictive! Learn them all.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Strangely-accurate
BTCUSD 1D Chart • Trend: clear decline in the descending channel (yellow lines). • EMA 50/200: during a bearish cross (death cross) - medium-term bearish signal. • SMA 50 / 100 / 200: price below all key averages - a classic signal of market weakness. ⸻ 📉 1. Trend indicators 🔹 EMA Cross 50/200 (blue) • The price has fallen below EMA 200, which means that the medium-term trend is currently negative. • In addition, the EMA 50 breaks the EMA 200 from above - a sell signal. 🔹 Descending Channel (Yellow) • The price is close to the lower band of the channel, which may result in a short-term technical rebound, but the main trend remains down. • Upper channel line (resistance): approximately USD 114,000-115,000 • Bottom Line (Support): ~$101,000 📊 3. Momentum indicators 🔸RSI • RSI ≈ 37 → close to oversold zone, but not extreme yet. • Signal: Possible short bounce if it stays above the 30 level. 🔸 MACD • The MACD line is below the signal line and the negative histogram is growing → the downward momentum continues. • No signs of reversal yet. ⸻ 🔥 4. What does this mean in practice 🔻 Short-term (1-7 days): • Downward trend with a possible technical rebound in the area of ​​USD 104,000-101,000. • RSI close to oversold → possible pullback to USD 109,000–110,000. ⚖️ Medium term (2-4 weeks): • Until BTC returns above EMA 200 (approx. 115,000), the market remains in a correction/distribution phase. • If the price breaks 101,000 down, a possible decline to 96,900 or even USD 92,000 (previous macro support). ⸻ 📈 5. Scenarios ✅ Bullish (less likely now) • Maintaining above $104,000 • Breakout 109,000 → USD 112,000 → test 115,000 • Breakout of EMA 200 → trend reversal signal ❌ Bearish (more likely) • 104,000 raise → $101,000 test • If the support breaks, a decline to 96,900-97,000 is possible within a few days.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by cryptodailyuk
KMNO/USDT — Bullish Momentum Building Toward $0.10 Breakout KMNO/USDT — Bullish Momentum Building Toward $0.10 Breakout 🚀 KMNO is showing renewed strength after holding its key support zone and forming a steady higher low structure. The current move suggests a shift in momentum, with buyers stepping back in around the $0.066 level. If KMNO can maintain this recovery and close firmly above the $0.070 zone, the next target area sits around $0.103, marking a potential breakout level for continuation. 📊 Technical Overview: Support: $0.029 – $0.066 Resistance / Target: $0.103 Momentum: Bullish shift forming on 1H A confirmed break above $0.070–$0.075 could open space for a strong upward move, with the $0.10 zone as the main focus area in the coming sessions. 📈 Bias: Bullish setup 🎯 Targets: $0.085 → $0.103
Long
by SatochiTrader
BITCOIN From ATH to Breakdown | BTC 1D Analysis D3😎 Hey everyone! Hope you’re doing great! Welcome to SatoshiFrame channel . 👍 Today we’re diving into the 1-Day BITCOIN analysis. Stay tuned and follow along! 👀 Bitcoin has been trading within a strong ascending channel, recently hitting the upper boundary and setting a new all-time high (ATH) at $126,200. However, this was immediately followed by a flash crash that wiped out roughly $20 billion in futures positions. During the crash, the lower boundary of the ascending channel was also fake-broken, after which buyers temporarily pushed the price back inside the channel. Yet, due to extreme market fear and uncertainty, Bitcoin lost its key support zone at $110,613, continuing the downtrend that began with the flash crash. With yesterday’s daily candle close, Bitcoin officially broke down from its ascending channel, and price action is now heading toward lower support levels. The nearest support lies around $105,647, and if this zone fails to hold, Bitcoin could extend its decline toward the next support at $101,451. 🔍 Bitcoin currently faces two major resistance zones at $109,000 and $110,613. A confirmed breakout above these could signal the start of a reversal, but the main long trigger is located at $115,156. If Bitcoin breaks and holds above this zone with strong buying volume, it could mark the beginning of a powerful bullish leg, potentially leading to a new ATH. 🧮 The RSI oscillator is now sitting near its support region around 36. A daily close below this level would strengthen bearish momentum and could push RSI into oversold territory. The midline resistance sits near 48, and a breakout above this would indicate a possible trend reversal toward renewed bullish momentum. 🕯 Recent candlestick volume shows extremely high selling pressure, marking one of the most intense liquidation waves in recent crypto history. The number of red candles has surged in recent days, suggesting a continuation sell-off pattern, with traders increasingly favoring short positions. The market is currently in extreme fear, and for any bullish reversal to occur, Bitcoin would need massive buy-side volume and strong support to push prices back up. Without that, more long-term holders may start selling as well. 🧠 Current Scenarios (Daily Timeframe) — Patience is key. If you haven’t already entered a short based on previous analyses, consider these setups: 🟢 Long Scenario: Enter on a confirmed breakout and consolidation above $115,156, accompanied by a spike in buying volume and an RSI move above 48. 🔴 Short Scenario: Enter on a confirmed breakdown and close below $105,647, which could trigger a deeper correction toward lower levels. This move would likely coincide with continued selling pressure and RSI dropping below 36 into the oversold zone. ❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
by Satoshimultiframe
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #199👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! Let's move on to the Bitcoin analysis—finally, the support zone that Bitcoin had has been broken. Let’s review what has happened in the market. ⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe Yesterday, Bitcoin was in a consolidation range between 110,420 and 111,714. ✔️ Bearish signals, such as Dow Theory structure and high volume on bearish candles, were visible on the chart. Eventually, this led to a break of the consolidation from the bottom, and the support zone was lost. 🔍 After breaking this area, the price retraced and, with a consolidation below 107,790, confirmed the breakdown. ⭐ Currently, the price is at 104,483 and has reacted to it. The RSI oscillator has also reacted to its support area at 22.19 and has been holding near this support for several candles. 📉 If the price continues to drop, this 104,483 level serves as a suitable trigger for the next entry point. Breaking this level could push the price toward the next support zones. 🔔 However, if the price moves upward and fully fakes this drop, a consolidation above 111,714 would confirm a bullish reversal for Bitcoin, allowing us to open long positions with much higher momentum. 💡 I personally opened a short position at the break of 110,420 and am not taking profit yet because it’s a good entry point. In the future, if the market drops, it will provide strong support for subsequent positions. 💥 If the market moves upward and this short gets stopped, strong bullish momentum will enter, making the long positions we open in the next leg very attractive. ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Short
by tradecitypro
BTCUSD: Pivot from Support level and Rally to $116KHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Bitcoin setup. Market Analysis From a broader perspective, after a powerful rally to a new All-Time High around 126000, the market for Bitcoin has entered a significant and complex corrective phase. This entire correction has been developing within the confines of a large triangle pattern, with price coiling between major support and resistance. Currently, the price has rotated down and is now at a critical inflection point, testing the ascending support line of this multi-week triangle. This area also aligns with the major horizontal Support around the 110500 level, creating a strong confluence of support. My Scenario & Strategy I see this test of the Triangle Support Line as a logical point for buyers to step in and defend the structure, just as they have done at previous lows within this pattern. I'm looking for the price to make one final small corrective dip into this support area. The key signal for me would be a confirmed and strong bounce from this level, which would indicate that the selling pressure is exhausted and a new rotation to the upside is beginning. The primary target for this rotational move is 116000, a key level of prior price action inside the triangle. That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by Ratner
6
BTC - Perfect Power of 3 setup!Market Context Bitcoin has entered a phase of compression after an extended bearish leg, with price currently consolidating near recent lows. The previous selloff created a clean structure of inefficiencies and untouched fair value gaps (FVGs) above, now acting as potential magnet zones for short-term retracements. The broader context remains bearish until those imbalances are efficiently mitigated. Fair Value Gaps & Manipulation Zones A clear pocket of untouched FVGs sits above the current range, aligning with resistance from prior breakdown points. Price could engineer a manipulation move into this zone, enticing late buyers before resuming the macro bearish direction. Such a move would serve as a liquidity grab and offer premium pricing for distribution before continuation lower. Liquidity Dynamics The market structure shows resting sell-side liquidity (SSL) below the recent “news/data low,” marked as a potential target for a deeper sweep. Once manipulation into the upper inefficiencies completes, the market could shift momentum to the downside, distributing into that liquidity and seeking new lows for rebalancing. Final Thoughts The current structure points toward a classic bearish continuation setup: consolidation, manipulation into premium inefficiencies, and a drive toward sell-side liquidity. Unless price breaks decisively above the untouched FVG chain, the expectation remains for a redistribution phase leading into the news low or beyond. If this breakdown helped frame your bias, a like goes a long way — do you think price runs the FVG first, or dives straight into the liquidity below?
Short
by Louigi_24
114
Bitcoin at Heavy Supports – Time to Go Long?As I expected in my previous idea , Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) completed both its bullish and bearish moves and hit its Long and Short targets . Bitcoin can still see some upside as long as it holds this Heavy Support zone($111,980-$105,820) . However, given the recent momentum and the wick down to around $102K a few days ago, any further rally depends on breaking the Resistance zone($118,750-$115,730) and touching around $117,220 , which is the high of that significant bearish candle . Currently, Bitcoin is sitting in a Heavy Support zone($111,980-$105,820) near the 200_SMA(Daily) and a Cumulative Long Liquidation($108,415-$107,156) . It's basically hovering between key weekly support lines, so this is a pretty strong supports . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it looks like Bitcoin is still completing its wave 4 . This wave 4 might have formed a Double Three Correction(WXY) , and now we can expect a potential upward move . I expect that in the next few hours, Bitcoin may start a short-term bullish move up to around $115,000 or to the Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($114,973-$113,435) . Note: Overall, it's better to look for Long positions right now, considering Bitcoin's position. But if it breaks the 200_SMA(Daily) and the Heavy Support zone($111,980-$105,820), we could see a broader crypto market drop. Note: Around the $108,000 level, we have huge buy orders stacked up, which might act as a significant support zone. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 4-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
54
$BTC UPDATE: It’s been almost 2 months since I turned bearish CRYPTOCAP:BTC UPDATE: It’s been almost 2 months since I turned bearish on Bitcoin and I’ve been warning you non-stop that BTC looked weak and ready to drop. Now everything is unfolding exactly as predicted. #Bitcoin is moving just as expected after getting rejected again from the 1D 50 EMA zone near 115K–115.6K. The price is now around 106K, showing sellers are still in control. As long as BTC stays below 110K, the trend remains bearish. The next support is around 102K–100K, and if that breaks, we could see 90K soon. If buyers push BTC back above 115K and close strongly, it could turn bullish again toward 120K–122K. I’m still holding my BTC short, with 25% of my position left open.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by CryptoSkullSignal