BITCOIN TOP NOT IS INBitcoin Top Not Is In. 🔃
CRYPTOCAP:BTC hasn't even broken above the logarithmic curve resistance yet, so there's no doubt the parabolic run will continue.
As in previous cycles, the market gained momentum quickly when this curve was broken.
Moreover, the RSI isn't even in the overbought zone (72) yet.
Furthermore, parabolic movements continued when the RSI major downtrend was broken in 2017.
A similar pattern is observed today but the breakout hasn't occurred yet.
The bigger picture tells us that the real run hasn't yet begun, and the current levels only represent the threshold.
In this cycle, a post breakout parabolic phase seems inevitable.
BTC-D
Why This BTC Price Action Doesn’t Inspire ConfidenceIn my yesterday’s analysis, I raised a rhetorical question: I s Bitcoin in a corrective rebound, or are we witnessing a genuine upside reversal?
Even in my Sunday educational post, I mentioned that the whole “ great reset, now we go up ” narrative doesn’t resonate with how I view trading.
At the time of writing, BTC is down again around 112K, after touching once more the 110K support zone — almost like a second chance for those who missed the first dip.
However, this kind of price action is far from encouraging in my opinion.
________________________________________
Technical Picture
• The price reversed before the 118K resistance, forming what can now be viewed as a lower high.
• If the 110K level breaks, the next obvious target remains 100K, both from a psychological and technical perspective.
________________________________________
Trading Plan
My plan is to sell preferably around the recent high, aiming to position with the broader structure rather than chase short-term fluctuations.
BTC still needs to prove it can sustain an uptrend — until then, rallies look like selling opportunities rather than the start of a new bull leg.
BTC Outlook after the Dip. What to expect NOW?The recent drop in Bitcoin could continue to impact the market for quite some time.
This increases the likelihood of a breakdown from the descending wedge pattern, potentially pushing the price down toward the PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone), which is estimated around $99K.
Once price reaches the PRZ, a strong pump may follow. follow us for more update
Bitcoin is going to the hell???hi follow me , boost this post and read
everything shows me that bull trend is over , weakness in highs , candles and the momentum
the targets for retracement is 83 to 74 and after that 50k
i know its hard to hear that but this is market he do what he wants so accept it.
thank you. i reply to questions anytime.
BTC Bitcoin & Crypto Selloff Alert: Is a Second Wave Imminent?If you haven`t bought BTC before the rally:
The cryptocurrency market is still reeling from the brutal sell-off on Friday, October 10, 2025, triggered by U.S. President Donald Trump's announcement of 100% tariffs on Chinese imports. Bitcoin plummeted below $105,000, Ethereum dropped over 16% to under $3,700, and the broader market saw liquidations exceeding $19 billion—the largest single-day wipeout in crypto history, nine times bigger than February 2025's crash.
While Monday and Tuesday brought some recovery, with Bitcoin climbing back above $115,000 and the total market cap topping $4 trillion, underlying issues like inflated trading volumes, massive altcoin losses, and a prominent whale re-entering a short position suggest this might just be a dead-cat bounce. This article explores why a second leg down could be imminent, incorporating technical analysis for TradingView users eyeing volatility plays.
The Friday Flash Crash: A Perfect Storm Amplified by Fake Volumes
The October 10 crash unfolded rapidly, with Bitcoin shedding nearly 10% in hours and over $200 billion erased from the market cap. But what made the drop so severe, especially for altcoins?
A key culprit: fake trading volumes driven by wash trading. Wash trading, where traders buy and sell the same asset to themselves to inflate volumes, creates the illusion of liquidity and interest without real economic activity. Estimates suggest that up to 87-88% of crypto volumes are fake, often used in pump-and-dump schemes or to lure retail investors.
In thin markets like crypto, these artificial volumes mask true liquidity. When real selling pressure hit—amplified by leveraged positions and the tariff news—exchanges like Binance saw cascading liquidations due to flawed margin systems. This "flash crash" wiped out $600–900 million in longs alone, but the fake volumes meant the market couldn't absorb the shock, leading to exaggerated drops.
Analysts note that such illusions persist in 2025, with AI tools now exposing them, but regulators lag behind. If volumes remain overstated, any renewed catalyst could trigger another liquidity vacuum, setting up a second leg down.
Altcoin Bloodbath: 50–90% Drops Expose Vulnerabilities
While Bitcoin and Ethereum recovered somewhat, altcoins bore the brunt of the carnage. An index tracking altcoins (excluding BTC, ETH, and stablecoins) cratered about 33% in just 25 minutes, with some tokens plunging 50–90%. Tokens like Solana, XRP, and Dogecoin lost 20–60%, but lesser-known altcoins saw even steeper declines, highlighting the sector's over-leveraged and illiquid nature.
This disproportionate pain stems from altcoins' reliance on hype and speculative inflows, often propped up by those same fake volumes. In a risk-off environment, capital flees to safer assets like Bitcoin, whose dominance spiked during the crash.
Altseason indicators are now cooling (76–78 previously).
Bitcoin dominance dropped below 59% post-crash.
If earnings season in traditional markets reveals economic weakness, spilling over to crypto, altcoins could lead the next sell-off wave, potentially dropping another 20–50% if support levels break.
The Whale Factor: $192M Profit, Then Re-Entry Signals Bearish Conviction
Adding fuel to the fire is a mysterious crypto whale who timed the crash impeccably. Just 30 minutes before Trump's tariff announcement, this entity opened a massive short position on Bitcoin, pocketing $192 million in profits as the market tanked.
Speculation abounds: Was it insider knowledge, or just savvy trading? Either way, the whale didn't stop there—they've re-entered with another short, increasing their position to $340 million, and even opened a fresh $163 million bearish bet.
Other whales have followed suit, including:
A Satoshi-era entity shorting $1.1 billion before the news
An OG whale opening a $392 million short
These moves suggest high conviction in further declines, possibly tied to ongoing trade tensions or macroeconomic risks. In a market where whales can move prices, this re-entry could catalyze the second leg, especially if it triggers more liquidations.
My price target for Bitcoin is $95K
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #196👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s go over Bitcoin's analysis. The price is moving down again, so let’s review Bitcoin's movement together.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
Yesterday, we had a trigger at the $115,698 zone, but the price couldn't sustain above this level, and Bitcoin's downward movement has started again.
✔️ A double top pattern has formed in this timeframe, and the trigger for this pattern activation was $113,991, which has now been activated. With the large volume, the price has managed to stabilize even below the $111,278 zone.
💥 The RSI oscillator has once again entered Oversell, and the price has reached near our support zone.
⚡️ If this support zone is broken, we can open a short position. Otherwise, I won’t be opening any short positions with other triggers.
📈 For a long position, we need a very strong reaction and significant bullish momentum at the support zone. In this case, the main trigger for a long would be $115,698, but we can also use earlier triggers if they form.
📊 For now, I will wait to see how the price reacts to the zone and then look for the trigger. The only trigger I have at the moment is $115,698.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
BITCOIN (BTCUSD): Will It Recover More?
Bitcoin nicely respected a major daily support cluster,
bouncing from that.
A breakout of a resistance line of a symmetrical triangle pattern
on an hourly time frame suggests the strengths of the buyers.
I think that the market will continue recovering soon and reach 118000.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Bitcoin Update: Bearish Divergence on RSI Only Deepens This is a brief update to the analysis shared in August. The RSI has now formed a fourth consecutive lower peak on the weekly chart, further confirming the bearish divergence.
Monitor the RSI closely — a break below 50 (currently at 53) could signal the onset of a bear market.
The first key support level is near 102K, and a decisive move below this level would strengthen the bearish outlook.
BTC Trade Idea: Will Support Hold or Is a Reversal Coming? Bitcoin has broken structure to the upside and is showing early bullish signs 🟢. I’m watching closely for a long opportunity if price holds above the current support level and we see a confirmed break of structure from the current low.
However ⚠️ — if this level fails to hold and price breaks below the previous low, we could shift bias and look for a short opportunity 🔻.
📊 Not financial advice — for educational purposes only.
BITCOIN... THE DROP IS NOT OVER YET!I see a lot of people fomo-ing to buy the dip, but I don't think this is the bottom yet. At least, that is not what my technical analysis is showing me.
I am expecting Bitcoin to likely go down to the 100k level again, maybe even less to 95k. The question is, will it go back up from there? I think there is a good possibility to make new all-time highs. BUT, if it does not show support or bounce hard, and higher timeframe candles start to close lower, this could mean quite bad things for crypto..
Let's wait and see..
Trade safe!
- R2F
Chart Analysis: Bitcoin Holds Critical Support at $107,450Bitcoin has dropped by almost 10% after Trump announced that he would impose 100% tariffs on China. The largest liquidation event in cryptocurrency history to date, totaling $19 billion, has also occurred.
On the weekly timeframe, there is a chance for a breakout below the 8-day moving average (EMA8) even though the price movement of Bitcoin has rejected the 21-day moving average (EMA21). As a result, traders and long-term investors will be able to predict whether the price will reject the typical support area at $107,450 and continue its upward trajectory, or whether it will breakout below it and start a bear market.
BTCUSD H4 | Bearish Momentum To ExtendBitcoin (BTC/USD) is rising towards the sell entry at 117,225.08, which is a pullback resistance that is slightly above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 121,603.58, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 109,369.55, which is a multi swing low support.
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Bitcoin Eyes $116.6K Breakout Confirmation📊 Market Update — Bitcoin (BTC/USDT)
BTC has successfully confirmed the low time frame zone, holding steady above both the support and volume range, which signals continued short-term strength.
Currently, price action is consolidating within the upper boundary of the range — a sign of buyer absorption before potential expansion.
🔹 Key Level to Watch: $116.6K
This level acts as an important confirmation point — a 1-hour (or higher) close above this zone could validate a breakout continuation, opening the path toward the $120K–$125K range.
If BTC sustains this structure, the bullish momentum remains intact, with low time frame structure aligning with higher trend support.
📈 Bias: Bullish Continuation
🎯 Next Targets: $116.6K → $120K → $125K
$BTC final high = $126k?After the bearish move on Friday that scared everyone out of positions, I think BTC could be setup for a run at new highs.
To me, it looks like price wants to reclaim support levels and make a run at $126k for a final high in this bullish move.
If that level hits, it's a good time to exit longs in the crypto space as I think the rest of the year will be bearish and we'll see new lows.
Let's see how price action plays out over the coming weeks.
Post Flash-Crash BTC Despite such a large sell-off event, has the outlook on BTC actually changed? Structurally BTC remains very much rangebound with two clearly definable halves of the range. That is until Fridays move off the back of a Tariff Tweet from President Trump causing a liquidation event similar to that of April earlier this year and the Covid crash of 2020.
Bitcoin was less effected when compared to altcoins as is usually the case, some majors dropping as much as 80% in a single 1h candle! An entire bear market in an afternoon. Bitcoin on most exchanges fell roughly 20% on the news and eventually found support at range lows ($100,000), a significant amount of this drop got bought up and so BTC finds itself hovering around range midpoint.
To me this is a no trade zone initially, there is no clear directional bias that is actionable at this time but I am looking for clues as to where price may be going next:
- Should BTC stay above midpoint the next clear resistance level is 0.75 ($117,605). On the lower time frames the trend is bearish, 0.75 would be a good place for the bears to defend.
- A loss of the midpoint would open the door to backfilling the wick, this could get ugly as on the higher time frames a new lower low and price acceptance lower would signal a bearish shift in structure. Calls for "the top is in" will get much louder and so will the 4 year cycle theory comparisons.
- A V-shaped recovery and move straight to the highs would be max pain after such a brutal move down. Although IMO it's the least likely I would not rule it out.
Bitcoin: Bull Trend Intact, Wedge Breakout Setting UpWe’re pivoting back to Bitcoin (BTCUSD) this week after its recent breakout to fresh all-time highs. It’s a strong reminder that the broader trend remains bullish, and the bulls are still very much in control.
🔍 On the daily chart, we’re watching a new wedge formation develop. BTC is currently consolidating just beneath a major resistance zone. A break and daily close above the $124K–$125K range would likely confirm the next leg of this bull cycle.
📈 If the breakout holds, the measured move from the wedge projects a rally into the $138K–$140K zone. That’s our near-term upside target, contingent on momentum and confirmation.
📉 On the downside, support holds firm between $112K–$114K. As long as price remains above this level, the path of least resistance is still higher.
BIGGEST Crypto Liquidation TO DATE - Market CorrectsToday and yesterday over the past few hours, $19 billion dollars was wiped out in crypto. This is historic. And also a lesson in risk management, an eerie reminder of how risky speculation can be.
The market was over leveraged , and this is the result.
How can we monitor/ safeguard against this going ahead and be prepared for such an event in the future?
1) Always use a stop loss
2) Watch Bid/Ask spread and volatility
3) Use proper risk management
On the 10th of October, POTUS Donald Trump Tweeted about a new set of trade measures that include 100% tariff on certain Chinese exports, and new stricter export controls. The market immediately reacted; stocks and commodities dropped and crypto fell into chaos. What made this worse is that several exchanges were down, resulting in investors being unable to close or update their positions.
It seems like a fitting "reason" and also not, oddly. What we need to note here, is that the market was over leveraged. This is a self-correcting event that presents truer market reflections and better prices for investors - a blessing for those who were not affected/invested.
As an extra measure if you trade S&P500, you could watch the VIX - and set an indicator to any daily change greater than 15%-20%. This way, you'll be notified if there's action in the stock market.
You can also take a look at this idea on Risk vs Reward:
BITCOIN SIGNAL: ROUND 2 OF CRASH INCOMING!!!? (watch out) Yello Paradisers! Enjoy the video!
And Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable.
Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
BITCOIN Bullish Correction Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
BITCOIN taps into a horizontal demand area after sharp decline, signaling a potential bullish reversal. Smart Money likely accumulating positions before expansion toward 116,800$ to rebalance inefficiency. Time Frame 4H.
Buy!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #195👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s move on to Bitcoin analysis. Yesterday, price started an upward move, so let’s see what triggers we have today.
⌛️ 1-Hour Timeframe
Yesterday, price found support at our key zone and also activated the 112,420 risk trigger we had identified.
✨ If you opened a position, it’s not a bad time to take profits, since this was a risky setup, and such positions should be managed quickly.
🧮 Currently, a resistance high has formed around 115,698. If this level breaks, price could continue its upward movement.
💫 As long as price stays above 112,420, this trigger remains active and can be used to open positions.
✔️ For shorts, I personally won’t be taking any until price breaks below 107,000 and stabilizes under that zone.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.