RealMacro

RealMacro

$3trillion in 3 months = $12 trillion annualized. Sustainable? $4.4 trillion in less than 3 months = over $17 annualized. Sustainable?

RealMacro

Any Questions?

RealMacro

Since March 20th 4 days after the US started to test and tens of thousands started to die and FED started to QE MMT Everything, ($7 trillion thus far) here is what the markets have been doing in after hours. I will let you figure this one out on your own why.

RealMacro

I know many have and will continue to be fooled by market price action. The reality is this, this is a bullschitt move pumped by endless trillions of dollar for the top 5% putting the liabilities on the shoulders of the 95%. I have always said deficits create a SAVINGSBUBBLE. We don't have too much debt, we have too many SAVINGS in the hands of the few. I could...

RealMacro

Commodity Index is hitting levels not seen since 1995. On the one hand, it is great value for long term investors provided they can take a 50% loss before pushing. On the other hand, this is a bad indication that a recovery will occur anytime soon. While some of you may be excited by the words "Going back to Work". The reality is Work is dependent on demand. This...

RealMacro

Back in Feb. I gave out a short setup in OIL. Now I am giving a buy setup. The FED will find a way to MMT, QE & REPO the All the Banks, Middle East, Russia etc when OIL hits negative -$1 and the Oil companies pay you to take OIL off their hands. :P I got a few comments that people do not trade the economy. Fair enough, I wonder how they saw this move in OIL...

RealMacro

MMT is useless with the exception of pumping up Asset prices for the top 1% and putting those liabilities on the 99%. Those who wish to live off the State need to remember that the State lives off of them! Those who cheer MMT cheer for their own financial demise.

RealMacro

A while back I had forecasted a Recession is coming. One of the analyses was the 10y/2yr and unemployment will follow. It sure did.

RealMacro

When INCUBATOR ECONOMICS & MMT Printing Press go into Over Drive the Law of diminishing returns will always win. More $ = Less Economic Growth No Gov't can Print Value for a Currency!

RealMacro

King Dollar continues to push higher. Expect imports of goods and services to decline which will limit the much needed World Reserve Currency the US Dollar. This will devastate emerging markets that need to export to the US to maintain jobs while acquiring much needed $s reserves to maintain the value of their currency. I previously made a silly mistake with...

RealMacro

Great risk-reward. Every time they come out of the woodworks to bash Bitcoin! Rest assured it will scream higher shortly thereafter. With interest rates negative on so many bonds worldwide why own a bond and pay a govt when you can simply buy a little BitCon (spelled right) and gold and pay nothing? With Stimulus Month going on worldwide I see no reason BTCON will...

RealMacro

Recession is coming, remember who told you this. :) BUY THE DIP Small blue diamond WE ARE CLIMBING THE WALL OF WORRY Small blue diamond ITS A HOAX Small blue diamond JUST THE FLU Small blue diamond NIBBLE ON THE WAY DOWN Small blue diamond BE GREEDY WHEN OTHERS ARE FEAR FULL DON'T FIGHT THE FED They are all going to get crushed!

RealMacro

Nice risk-reward to short on the break lower. I don't often give such short term trades since I am more of a Macro Investor but when I see one I will let you know.

RealMacro

When the 10/2 year spikes recession follows. Remember who told you this first and when I told you. I am no Perma bear Nor Perma Bull. Timing matters!

RealMacro

Anyone who thinks the Emergency -50 bp rate cut is bullish for the economy is wrong. If you believe that CoronaVirus is the cause, you are wrong. If you think the coronavirus is just the "Flu" you are wrong! If you are a "BUY THE DIPPER", "NIBBLER" or PERMA BULL You are in an extremely risky position as a trader. As I have mentioned in prior posts Coronavirus is...

RealMacro

SPX price in Gold hits a key area seen only twice before in the recent past of 1.9. If we break here this would be a very bearish signal for stocks and bullish for Gold. The more likely scenario is we see a short term bounce before resuming downturn. The Bias remains to the down side for stocks.

RealMacro

Unlike a Bull Market Bear markets do the opposite at much faster speeds. Look for another big down day today. Again I don't do such short time frames often but I believe it is required at this point.

RealMacro

Oddly enough NAS100 is still in a bullish formation after completing a 123 wave up since DEC 2018. A 66% increase in a little over year fueled by Exessive Liquidity, Taxes cuts, Rate Cuts, REPOs, Trump Tweets that triggered algos. China, Japan, EU Stimulus (more of the same) Resulting in Euphoria asset price inflation (known as multiple expansion). The problem...