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BTC - Distribution after ATH sweepMarket Context Bitcoin has completed a clear liquidity sweep at the all-time high (ATH) and is now transitioning into a corrective phase. After taking all the liquidity above the prior high, price aggressively rejected and shifted structure to the downside, signaling that smart money may now be engineering a retracement. The move lower has found a temporary pause within a lower accumulation zone where liquidity is rebuilding. Fair Value Gaps & Manipulation Following the ATH sweep, price manipulated back into a fair value gap (FVG) chain, where it met resistance. This area acted as a precise reaction point, rejecting further bullish attempts and confirming the FVG as an active supply zone. Each touch into this chain has resulted in lower highs, supporting the idea that distribution is underway. The fair value gaps below are likely to be targeted next as price seeks efficiency. Liquidity Dynamics Liquidity above has already been collected — the current draw now lies beneath. The accumulation zone below current price holds resting sell-side liquidity, and the market could aim to fill those inefficiencies before finding new demand. A retracement into these lower levels would act as a healthy correction to the prior bullish impulse, maintaining structural balance. Final Thoughts The market has shifted from an aggressive expansion phase to a potential distribution stage. With liquidity taken at the highs and FVGs now providing resistance, the bias leans toward a corrective move lower before any renewed bullish continuation. A break below the local accumulation floor would confirm deeper targets. If this breakdown helped clarify the current BTC structure, a like is always appreciated — and let me know: are you positioning for the correction, or waiting for the next bullish leg to form?
Short
by Louigi_24
30
Bitcoin Roadmap Before FOMC Minutes – Correction or New ATH?Today, we have one of the most important macro events — the FOMC Meeting Minutes Let’s quickly understand what it is and why it could shake the crypto market What are FOMC Minutes? They’re the detailed notes from the last Federal Reserve meeting, showing what members discussed about interest rates, inflation, and the economy. Markets carefully read every line to find hints about future rate cuts or continued tightening. Why does it matter for Bitcoin? When the Fed turns dovish (hinting at lower rates), risk assets like Bitcoin usually rally But when the tone is hawkish (worried about inflation), investors move to cash or bonds, causing crypto to dip. Let’s take a look at Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) on the 4-hour timeframe . Before analyzing the chart, let’s quickly review what defines a strong uptrend : 1-Higher Lows(HL): Each new low should form above the previous one, showing that buyers are stepping in earlier each time. 2-Higher Highs(HH): Each new high should be higher than the last, confirming that bullish momentum is still in control. 3-Structure Respect: The new low should not break below the previous high — if it does, it doesn’t necessarily mean the trend is over, but it indicates a weakening of the bullish structure. Based on the points above, Bitcoin failed to form a new Higher Low(HL) during the past 24 hours, and the previous high was retested . These signals indicate a loss of bullish momentum, suggesting that we might see at least a short-term correction from a technical perspective. Bitcoin has already started to bounce back nicely from the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) and is currently trading in a Heavy Resistance zone($124,474-$117,900) . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that with the formation of a Lower Low(LL) , Bitcoin has completed at least a series of impulsive waves , and we can now expect corrective waves . I expect Bitcoin to drop to at least Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($120,779-$119,957) before the FOMC Meeting Minutes start and could continue to rise or correct depending on the tone of the FOMC Meeting Minutes . Note: You should note that these days, Bitcoin has a higher correlation with the SPX500( SP:SPX ) index than before, so if there is a sudden movement in Bitcoin, one of the reasons could be a sudden movement in the SPX500. Do you think this bullish move could lead to a new all-time high (ATH) for Bitcoin again!? Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $124,350-$123,244 Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $126,813-$125,000 CME Gap: $111,355-$109,915 Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 4-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
9
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #191👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! Let’s get into Bitcoin analysis. The market is still in a ranging phase, so let’s take a look at today’s triggers together. ⌛️ 1-Hour Timeframe In this timeframe, Bitcoin is still consolidating and has formed a new range high around 124,094. ✔️ Right now, the price is near the bottom of the range box it has created and is on the verge of breaking below it. ✨ If the bottom of the box breaks, price could move toward lower levels. 📊 If selling volume continues to increase, the downward move could extend further, and Bitcoin may correct to even deeper zones. 🎲 However, if this move turns out to be a fake breakdown, and we see reversal structures such as a V-pattern, we could look for a long trigger. 🔑 I still don’t see Bitcoin as being in a downtrend. In my view, every correction the market makes is still healthy and supports the continuation of the broader bullish structure, helping maintain the strength of upcoming legs. ⭐ For now, since momentum has turned bearish on the lower cycles, I don’t have any new triggers to give based on my strategy. In this phase of the market, I prefer to wait until price builds more structure. ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Long
by tradecitypro
2
ETHFIUSDT → Correction to support consolidation. Rally?BINANCE:ETHFIUSDT is correcting after updating its local maximum to 1.9382. The breakout of the 1.6775 zone is an attempt to start distribution after a long consolidation. Will the bulls hold this zone? Bitcoin is correcting after a false breakout of resistance. Against this backdrop, the entire cryptocurrency market is declining. However, the trend is bullish and the fundamental background is positive. The end of the correction may resume growth in the market. ETHFI on the daily timeframe is trying to move into a distribution phase after 5-6 months of consolidation. The trend is upward, and after breaking through resistance, a correction to the liquidity zone of 1.6775 is forming. A false breakdown, a change in market imbalance, and consolidation above 1.6780 could increase buyer interest, which in turn could lead to growth. Resistance levels: 1.8980, 1.9382 Support levels: 1.6775, 1.5343 The chart shows two key levels - 1.6775 and 1.5343. If the bulls hold their ground above the nearest level of 1.6775, this could lead to a rebound and growth, which in turn would confirm the continuation of the distribution phase. Otherwise, the market may test the POC zone at 1.5343, and liquidity capture may in turn trigger growth. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
9
Bitcoin STRONG Weekly Bounce - What's Next?Hello BTC Watchers 📈 📢 Bitcoin was trading right on top of a crucial support zone. But the price has successfully bounced in the weekly and made a strong comeback from the support zone. The weekly moving averages The daily moving averages This is telling for a number of reasons. In the weekly we see a strong bounce above the moving averages as well as in the daily, and in the daily we had just bounced back from a correction which took us to the 100d MA (which is the general zone for a correction, or at least a wick towards that area. This indicate that in the short and longer term, the chart is looking up and bulls are in control. What are you thoughts, new ATH or just a fakeout?
Long
by Crypto-Check-
12
BTC – Eyeing a Retest of the $118K Structure!CRYPTOCAP:BTC broke above the $117K–$119K structure (blue zone) with strong momentum. I’m now watching for a pullback to this area to form a higher low and resume the uptrend. As long as price holds above $117K–$119K, I’ll look for trend-following longs toward $125K–$128K, then the $130K handle. If the blue zone fails, the next support sits at $106K–$110K (green zone), where bulls may regroup. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management. Good luck! 🍀 All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Long
by TheSignalyst
7
BITCOIN How low can it pull back??Bitcoin (BTCUSD) got rejected on the Higher Highs trend-line we mentioned on our last analysis and is already pulling back. The question is how far can it drop? Today we expand on that analysis by applying the Fibonacci Channel on the Higher Highs trend-line. Instantly we can see that the Channel Up has two almost perfectly symmetrical Bullish Legs (+17.30% and +17.61% respectively). The key on this pattern is the 4H MA100 (red trend-line). Every time BTC broke below it since May 29, the decline extended all the way to at least the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). Since the 1D RSI also got rejected on its Resistance Zone, we expect a pull-back towards its Support Zone and if the 4H MA100 breaks, further extension towards the 1D MA50. We estimate a potential target to be $116000, which is marginally above the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, where the August 02 bounce took place. Needless to say, a break (and 1D candle close) above the Channel's top (Higher Highs trend-line), invalidates any pull-back scenario and, as mentioned previously, constitutes a bullish break-out to a new pattern/ rally. What do you think will happen next? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
Is Altseason About to Begin?The market structure suggests we’re currently in wave C of the second corrective wave (2) — and it looks close to completion. A potential ending diagonal and bullish divergence on momentum indicators signal exhaustion among sellers. At the same time, Bitcoin dominance is testing a key resistance zone — a level where liquidity often starts rotating into altcoins. 📈 If the current low holds, we could be witnessing the early stages of wave 3 — the impulsive phase where altcoins usually outperform Bitcoin. 🟢 Base scenario: Correction ending → beginning of a new bullish phase 🔴 Alternative scenario: Breakdown of the current low → completion of a W–X–Y structure
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by CryptoPilot
1
SOLANA → Retracement for consolidation before growth to 250.0BINANCE:SOLUSDT bounces off trend support, forms a reversal pattern, and enters a distribution phase, during which it updates its maximum but encounters strong resistance. What's next? Bitcoin breaks through resistance, updating its maximum and opening up a new chance for growth for altcoins. Correction and retesting of support in the market may end with continued growth. SOL is testing resistance at 231.5. The rally has temporarily stalled, and a correction is forming, during which the market may test the break-even and imbalance zone before returning to growth. It is worth keeping an eye on Bitcoin, as a resumption of growth by the flagship will support the growth of altcoins. Resistance levels: 231.5, 235, 250 Support levels: 218, 205 A false breakout of 231.5 is provoking a pullback. It is necessary to monitor the further halt in price. I expect a retest of 220-218 before the price returns to growth. Sincerely, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
7
DOGEUSDT → Correction to 0.246. The hunt for liquidity BINANCE:DOGEUSDT.P attempted to realize its potential after breaking out of the downward resistance. After updating the local maximum to 0.27, the price entered a phase of correction and consolidation... Bitcoin slows down its growth after reaching the 125K zone. A correction may form in the altcoin markets due to the risk of profit-taking. For DOGE, there is a zone of interest at 0.2466 The price of DOGE has reached a strong resistance zone, where bears have increased pressure. A false breakout of 0.2653 - 0.2694 has formed. A sell-off is forming... Resistance levels: 0.2653, 0.2694 Support levels: 0.2466, 0.2431, 0.2376 Against the backdrop of market correction, a downward rally associated with panic selling is forming. The support zone that is of interest to the market is 0.2466, and this zone is quite capable of stopping the decline. A false breakdown and holding the price above 0.246 - 0.243 may renew interest in growth. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
20
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #190👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! Let’s dive into today’s Bitcoin analysis. The market, after experiencing a decline, is now ready to resume its primary bullish trend. ⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe Yesterday, after Bitcoin confirmed a break below the channel, it retested the channel and activated the trigger at 123493, leading to a brief bearish movement. 📊 The first support zone was 122574, but the price didn't react to it, resulting in a break below. The next key support zone was 120835, where the price reacted and formed a low. ✨ After the price found support at 120835, a peak formed at 122084, creating a compression between 120835 and 122084. 📈 Currently, after breaking above the compression range, a bullish movement has started, and the price has reached back above 123491. ⚡️ The good thing about the correction to 120835 is that many long positions that hadn’t taken profit were now closed, reducing selling pressure in the market. This provides Bitcoin a chance to continue its bullish trend with a more structured approach. 🚀 However, if the price fails to break the previous high of 126042, a lower high would form, which is a sign of weakness in the bullish trend. 🎲 If that happens, and if the price stabilizes below 120835, we’ll get confirmation of a bearish shift in this timeframe. But for now, this hasn’t happened, and the market momentum remains bullish. 🔍 For a new position, if you haven’t opened a position after breaking 122084, there is no valid trigger at the moment, and we should wait for the market to create a proper structure for entry. Otherwise, the only trigger we have right now is breaking 126042. 🔽 For a short position, I am waiting for the trend change scenario to unfold before considering any short triggers. ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Long
by tradecitypro
Simple, But NuancedIn my September 20th update titled “Bitcoin Has Appeared to Have Struck a Meaningful Top,” I noted that a top in the premier cryptocurrency was expected and likely imminent. Since that post, however, Bitcoin has reached a new all-time high, moving contrary to that prior expectation. My interpretation of this updated price action is simple, but nuanced. Simple in the sense that, since the September 20th update, price has only advanced in three waves, a hallmark of corrective, not impulsive , movement. Nuanced in the sense that, at times, corrective patterns can extend beyond prior highs and still maintain their corrective nature, as long as the internal structure remains a three-wave pattern. Some may point out that the prevailing trend has appeared bullish since the June 25th low at $98,242. Yet, in my view, the August 13th high at $124,501.31 completed all the necessary wave components for a terminal structure. While it’s rare, retracements can exceed prior highs and still be valid as part of a corrective sequence, structure is what determines that validity, not price level alone. That said, if Bitcoin does continue higher and makes an incremental new high, I will adopt my alternative count, which assumes the August 13th top was off by one degree and that the final fifth wave is only now completing. While these distinctions may seem technical, they are crucial. If the recent rally represents an irregular B-wave correction, it leaves the door open for a C-wave decline potentially forming a flat structure or a retracement that falls short of the initial A-wave low. Conversely, should another marginal high occur first, it would still likely mark a major peak, only delaying the onset of the broader corrective phase. In summary, absent a new incremental high, my expectation is for a C-wave decline targeting the low $109,000 region minimum , as the next major phase of Bitcoin’s correction.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by maikisch
Bitcoin (BTC), End of Cycle Season Based on Cycle DurationBINANCE:BTCUSDT Bitcoin appears to have already formed its peak within the current bullish cycle and may now be preparing for a correction. Alternatively, if BTC makes another attempt to reach a new all-time high within October, that period could mark the final peak of this cycle. Looking at historical data, Bitcoin has shown a repeating pattern — an uptrend lasting approximately 3 years and 11 months (1,065 days) from the bottom, followed by a downtrend of about 1 year (365 days) from the peak. During down cycles, the cycle low has typically formed between the EMA 50 and EMA 100. Backtesting monthly charts shows that Bitcoin often breaks below the EMA 50, finds support above the EMA 100, and then breaks through the Ichimoku Cloud, signaling the start of a new bullish cycle. Become an early follower and be part of the journey.🚀 I am Korean and I used Google Translate.
Short
by Now_Trading
The key is whether the upward trajectory can continue Hello, fellow traders. If you "Follow," you'll always get the latest information quickly. Have a great day. ------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1D chart) The price rose after forming a DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range, and is now forming a HA-High ~ DOM(60) range, showing a upward trajectory. Trend-wise, a decline below the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart is likely to initiate a downtrend, and a decline below the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart is expected to initiate a downtrend. Therefore, when the price falls to the HA-High ~ DOM (60) range, it's important to identify support and resistance levels formed at the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart. - Therefore, it's important to maintain the price above the 116259.91-119086.64 range. The next important range is the 104463.99-108353.0 range. - To break above these key levels or ranges, - The StochRSI indicator must be trending upward. If possible, it's best to avoid entering the overbought zone. - The On-By-Signal (OBV) indicator must be trending upward. If possible, it should remain above the High Line. - The TC (Trend Check) indicator should show an upward trend. If possible, it should remain above the 0 level. If the above conditions are met, an upward breakout of the HA-High ~ DOM (60) range is expected. The next period of volatility is expected around October 14th (October 13th-15th). - Thank you for reading to the end. I wish you successful trading. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​This is an explanation of the big picture. (3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern) I will explain in more detail when the bear market begins. ------------------------------------------------------
by readCrypto
Bearish momentum building?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) has rejected off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Pivot: 124,139.15 1st Support: 119,294.96 1st Resistance: 126,282.29 Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:BTCUSDShort
by ICmarkets
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) – Short SetupHi guys! let's dive into btc: BTC has recently broken down from its ascending channel, signaling a potential shift in short-term momentum. After the breakout, the price could go toward the previous structure zone around $122,000–$123,500, which now acts as a potential supply area. There are two potential entry zones for short positions: First Entry: Around $122,000, where price may face initial rejection from minor resistance. Second Entry: Toward $123,500, aligning with the upper boundary of the recent supply zone for a better risk–reward ratio. Both setups target the $118,400–$118,000 demand zone, which overlaps with the previous consolidation base and channel support. As long as BTC trades below $125,500, bearish momentum is likely to remain dominant in the short term. However, a confirmed close above this level could invalidate the short setup and signal a possible re-entry into the ascending structure. Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:BTCUSDShort
by melikatrader94
11
$USDT.D Analysis - Oct 8 | 4H Time FrameCRYPTOCAP:USDT.D Analysis - 4H Hello and welcome to another analysis from the Satoshi Frame team! I’m Abolfazl, and today we’re going to analyze Bitcoin on the 4-hour timeframe. USDT dominance has shown a trend reversal on the 4-hour timeframe and has turned bearish. The OTE zone and the marked supply area could act as potential rejection zones if dominance makes a short-term pullback upward. On the other hand, we could also see another drop from the current level, moving toward the lower support area near the recent low. The main target (4%) is already marked on the chart. See you in the next analyses! Stay tuned with the Satoshi Frame team...
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.DShort
by Satoshimultiframe