MonetaryRebel

MonetaryRebel

Very clear confirmation signals here across many sectors in the market that we are in a recession. Fundamentals were breaking down last summer in fact, but now everything is rising to the surface and markets are turning. Buckle up. Oil is breaking down today. Bond yields continue to signal de-risking. USD continues to break down. USD/JPY is heading lower back...

MonetaryRebel

If the market does not give us a meaningful bounce tomorrow (~+0.75%) and hold, and instead breaks lower, things could accelerate to the downside pretty quickly. The downside risk at this point is heavier than the upside potential so all I'm saying is be careful. Would not personally be buying at these levels because you may be holding the bag if this goes...

MonetaryRebel

So many things saying sell and take profits right now it's not even funny. 500 is the first real support. If that green wave iii uptrend is to stay in play, we need to bounce at 500, which would only be -3% or so. Then 485 is the next support at the bottom of the uptrend channel. If 485 is broken then those red downtrend C waves are in play. 1. SPY ran into...

MonetaryRebel Updated 

Again, Stellar is an OG of crypto. Their team is so unbelievably professional. The Stellar Development Foundation is so well managed. They are always posting updates, news, and plans for the future; and they are not going to stop anytime soon. They are not a crypto. They are a new global financial system. They are not a bank, they are a banking system. They have...

MonetaryRebel

EOS isn't Bitcoin, but it's one of the OG cryptos. I put that green box there almost 2 years ago and we bounced right on it. Now, based on ETH and BTC price action, we are looking at downside before the big, big, big wave up. But by big wave up, I'm talking 100x up. Don't ask me what would cause this. The answer is probably something really, really bad like a...

MonetaryRebel

Long-term. Going higher. Short-term. Pullback imminently continues. ETH has gone +150% in 18 months, so a -20% pullback is completely warranted. I'd estimate April-June to be the buying time. Lots of people will get their tax refunds and that is usually a good liquidity boost for all markets.

MonetaryRebel Updated 

Overall Market is in "Greed" mode. Put/Call options in "Extreme Greed" mode. This market is the most complacent I have seen in my 10 years of trading. NO progress was made yesterday on the debt ceiling after McCarthy and Biden's meeting. Biden is leaving the country for a week and the Treasury has said we have 2-3 weeks to resolve this or catastrophe...

MonetaryRebel

Stocks look poised to head sharply lower through the rest of this year. The banking crisis has been snoozed like your alarm clock blaring at you first thing in the morning. The thing is you only get about 5-10 mins before it blares at you again. More bank failures are coming. Most banks are holding treasuries with unrealized losses and myself and others are...

MonetaryRebel Updated 

Crypto is going DOWN into the end of 2023. 2024 to 2027 could see a giant bull run after this move. This next leg down will be the one that causes people to proclaim that crypto is dying and be quite hopeless as the price really breaks down, which is exactly the psychological point you should be buying during if you're a long-term investor. But patience is key....

MonetaryRebel Updated 

People ask me, "but why is Bitcoin doomed to fall back to Earth?" People ask me, "but why has Bitcoin risen so much the last 12 years then?" People ask me, "but why don't you want me to have a lambo?" I tell people, "Bitcoin is a failure of its own success. Blockchain is the internet of things. It has worked so well that governments are now developing their own...

MonetaryRebel Updated 

Many indications here that HP Inc. has topped throughout 2022. I expect the reaction to their upcoming earnings report on May 31st will be negative, whether or not they report decent earnings. Forward P/E will be revised downward. Technical Analysis from 2012 shows we have 3 major rallies. The length of price movement and time extended in each of these rallies...

MonetaryRebel Updated 

Ladies and Gentlemen, please take your seats. (...the music stops) Okay, thanks for playing. Good luck to all of you! The investment strategies that have worked for the last 40 years will no longer work. The true bear market is here. This will absolutely 100% NOT be a recession that will be forgotten easily. It most likely will be a depression via stagflation...

MonetaryRebel Updated 

Look at this. I actually wasn't aware of this correlation but it's right there. Usually BTC rose before the yields would take back off in the past but it hasn't this time and yields have broken out MASSIVELY... Perhaps BTC was only trailing the 10Y up with the past knowledge that the Federal Reserve would just lower it again, but Bitcoin is NOT giving that signal...

MonetaryRebel Updated 

The past 60 days of upward movement is a corrective movement. This means the larger trend is still down. The upward price channel appears to have just broken. All the price action of the last 2 months has been chaotic and messy, and those are the hallmark traits of a correction. These behaviors are driven by people all switching seats and changing their minds and...

MonetaryRebel Updated 

Take your seats and Prepare for the 4th Turning. De-dollarization is occurring before our eyes. The game of musical chairs is coming to an end. We will be lucky to get away with a debt crisis. The more likely outcome is a currency crisis. Your currency is not money, it is fiat. It is important you understand the difference. The thing we call money is fiat credit...

MonetaryRebel

June 1st, 2023 is the 1:1 time extension from wave A. That means that around that date, we may be at a very good price to buy. It doesn't need to do a full extension, but harmonics usually like these things to line up in some relative fashion. This is why we use the fibonacci sequence. I've noted some relative buy zones in the green boxes. Laddering buys is...

MonetaryRebel

Bullish Volatility! 55 EMA has now crossed above the 120. Looking back, this has not occurred since March 4, 2020. The time before that was October 15, 2018!! This is a historically valid pattern. I've been watching this thing for years and now is the time to stack volatility. The Russians are disconnecting from the internet, inflation is only going to get far...

MonetaryRebel Updated 

Pretty good impulsive structure down. Wave 1 is extended and the retracement made it back up to wave 2 of that which is great. Waves 3 and 5 are about the same size ultimately. You can see where we have already pulled back into the (A) territory it means this upward move is most likely a correction upward and that the larger trend is still down. A break below...