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My BTC Gameplan: How to Trade the Retest of This Big Supply ZoneThe macro narrative for BTC Bitcoin is currently under intense pressure as we navigate a significant "Risk-Off" shift across global markets 🏦. This week's carnage was largely fueled by a cooling AI sector and disappointing labor data, which sent a shockwave through speculative assets. Interestingly, general online sentiment has reached a point of extreme "capitulation" chatter, with retail consensus flipping heavily bearish as price breached the psychological $65k floor. This level of synchronized fear often signals a "liquidity hunt" is underway, where the market seeks to flush out late-stage shorts before finding a stable floor. We are seeing a clear Bearish Market Structure on the 30m chart 📉. The price has been respecting a steep descending Parallel Channel, characterized by aggressive sell-offs followed by shallow "bear flag" consolidations. While widespread community chatter is calling for a "death spiral" toward $50k, the technicals show we are approaching the $60,079.58 level, which represents the 0.00% Fibonacci extension of the recent leg. This suggests the immediate downside momentum might be overextended, setting the stage for a relief rally toward the supply zones above. Key Zone: The primary area of interest is the confluence between the upper boundary of the Parallel Channel and the Fibonacci 51.8% to 61.8% Retracement zone (approximately $71,457 to $71,878). We are currently trading at the bottom of the current impulse range, just under the $61k mark. I am watching for a "run on liquidity" to sweep the late sellers who are piling into shorts at the bottom of the channel 🧹. My view is that the market will likely bounce to retest the VWAP and the 50% Fibonacci level near $69,471 before the next major decision point.
Short
by fxtraderanthony
Bitcoin Structure Update (Daily)Bitcoin remains in a bearish structural regime on the daily timeframe. Price continues to trade below the 200 EMA, with the 10, 20, and 50 EMAs all positioned beneath it. Shorter-term EMAs (10 & 20) maintain downward curvature, indicating that downside pressure remains unresolved and trend structure has not yet repaired. Momentum & Participation RSI: Downside pressure remains elevated, but momentum is beginning to decelerate following the most recent daily close. RSI is still deeply stretched and remains below key recovery thresholds, signaling early stabilization rather than confirmation. Rate of Change (ROC): The pace of the decline is slowing, suggesting downside momentum is no longer accelerating. However, ROC remains negative, indicating that pressure has eased but has not yet transitioned into a positive regime. Summary Structure remains bearish. Momentum is showing early signs of deceleration, but no confirmed reversal or structural reclaim is present at this time. This remains a structural assessment of current conditions, not a prediction.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by codymiller12727
Why I Am NOT Buying $62kThe market just flushed 14% in a single day. The Retail crowd is looking at RSI and hitting "Buy." The Smart Money is waiting. We are currently sitting at $62,900 after a brutal liquidation cascade. The technicals are screaming "Oversold" (RSI is 9.5, Stochastic is 4.5). In a normal market, this is a buy signal. This is NOT a normal market. As I sure hope you've already read the posts from a few days ago where we were eyeing the $70K area: Today, we are going to break down why this "Oversold" reading is actually a trap, and exactly where I am looking to enter the next trade. __________________________________________________________________________________ 1. THE MOMENTUM TRAP (ADX vs RSI) 📉 Most traders lose money because they fade strong trends too early. * The Bait: 4H RSI is at 9.5 . This looks cheap. * The Trap: The ADX (Average Directional Index) is at 74.9 . * What this means: An ADX above 50 signals an extremely powerful trend. When ADX is this high, "Oversold" indicators stay oversold for days while price grinds lower. Catching this knife is not trading; it's gambling. 2. MARKET STRUCTURE SHIFT (The 4-Year Break) ☠️ The damage to the daily structure cannot be ignored. * Trendline Broken: We have violated the ascending trendline that has held for 483 bars (since March 2020). * CHoCH Confirmed: We have a confirmed Change of Character (Bearish) . * Volume: Selling volume came in at $134k (vs $63k avg). This is institutional distribution, not just retail panic. __________________________________________________________________________________ 3. THE "SMART MONEY" SETUP (The Fade) ♟️ I am not shorting here (too late), and I am not buying here (too risky). I am waiting for the "Dead Cat Bounce" to execute the high-probability play. The Kill Zone: $76,500 - $77,000 * Why: This level aligns with the Bearish Order Block ($76,952) and the unfilled Fair Value Gap (FVG) . * The Logic: Late bulls will chase the relief rally. We wait for them to hit this Supply Wall, then we look for rejection candles to fade the move back down. The Targets: * TP 1: $62,233 (Swing Low liquidity) * TP 2: $58,000 (Major Weekly Support) Invalidation: A 4H candle close above $77,000 invalidates the supply zone and flips the bias back to neutral. __________________________________________________________________________________ 🎯 SUMMARY * Trend: Bearish (ADX 75+) * Strategy: Wait for the bounce to $76k -> Short the rejection. * Mindset: Patience pays. Let the price come to your level. Are you catching the knife or waiting for the bounce? Vote Below! 👇 A) Buying the dip ($62k is a steal) 🐂 B) Waiting to Short ($76k is the play) 🐻
by MonoCoinSignal
14
BTC ETH SOLBuy the dip they BTFD , lol Yes, I'm buying but not aggressively YET. These next lower levels are looking far more likely than in prior evaluations. selling psi. continues to mount just be patient and give it time. These levels should provide decent bounces i.e. relief rallies. BUT I don't think that's the overall bottom either just the near-term local bottom for bounce or reaction. If you go back and look at my much older ideas for this cycle given while still in the past cycle. I said we could end up coming back to much lower levels. Just wait until everyone's on that $8k to $12k BTC prediction and we have candles back into the sub $45k range and see what reactions we get. I wrote a thesis years ago about this going to $123k range and then coming back to $30k range. That's all healthy cycle if you ask me. You want REAL fear then to start looking at the cycles as becoming an even larger Head and shoulders, lol Next cycle we peak in the $60-$75k range as it becomes the right shoulder, lol Then pull a measured move from that and tell me what you see/get, lol!
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Crypto_2023
BTC/USDC 1D Chart🔴 Market Structure Main Trend: BEARISH Broken long-term uptrend line (orange) Strong downward impulse (blue arrow) → classic distribution after ATH Price below key MAs (red average) → supply-side market 📉 Price Action – what exactly happened ATH → Lower High Loss of support ~101,800 Retest and rejection Breakout of 86,800 Lack of demand → free fall This doesn't look like a "shakeout," but rather a change in market structure. 🟢 Key Levels (Very Important) 🔹 Resistance (Short Zone) 74,400 – Now Technical Resistance 86,800 – Main Structural Resistance 101,800 – Full Trend Recovery (Unrealistic Short-Term) 🔻 Support/Downside Targets 63,200 – First Reasonable Stop 57,500 – Very Important Level (Previous Base) 42,500 – Final HTF Support, Panic Sell Zone If 57.5k Breaks Weekly → 42k Becomes a Realistic Target. 📊 RSI Stochastic Still oversold, but: ⚠️ In a downtrend, oversold ≠ long No divergence → no reversal signal 🧠 Scenarios 🐻 Baseline scenario (70%) Pullback to 74–78k Rejection Continued decline → 63k → 57k 🐂 Alternative scenario (30%) Quick reclaim 74k Consolidation But without a return above 86k, it's just a relief rally
by cryptodailyuk
1
BTC Secondary Trend "Price Zone 100". Reversal Zones. 02 2026Logarithm. 3-day time frame. “Psychology 100” zone (1 distribution zone, only +372% of the average price of the 20,000 zone set). Price reversal zones from which the trend is formed. Local trend development scenarios based on the reaction to these key local support/resistance zones. The idea itself is a duplicate of the previous local update. Local trend (inside a potential wedge). BTC Local Trend. Reversal Zone. Targets. Tactics . 23 December 2025
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by SpartaBTC
8
BTC Local Trend. Reversal Zone. Targets. Tactics. 23 12 25Logarithm. Time frame: 1 day. Local downtrend. After the decline, the price is trapped in sideways consolidation for a long time (the idea is for stop-loss levels to accumulate on both sides). Price is near the breakout zone. Buy fear in parts, sell joy in parts. 🟢 Upward breakout (trend + key local levels and, due to the short stop-loss domino effect, momentum) — fulfillment of the Dragon pattern's targets (first targets). 🔴 Downward breakout (support and long stop-loss zone) — fulfillment of the descending flag's targets (long stop-loss domino effect), at least partially. More upside than downside, possible through stop-loss accumulation. But it's important to wait for a breakout in one direction or another. A patient and consistent person will be rewarded, while a restless person will not. Use trigger orders on both sides of the reversal zone: 1️⃣ for an upward breakout in the market (marker order) - 2 local zones; 2️⃣ and simultaneously for a decline - 2-3 trigger limit orders. If you do this, you won't have to constantly monitor charts, news, opinions, and so on like a speculative addict, and you won't care at all which way the price goes. After all, your orders will trigger in the direction of the trend, and won't trigger (cancel them later) in the opposite direction. The exception is if your first orders hit a false exit, but this is taken into account in risk management and position allocation. Risk should always be justified and controlled by you. This is the foundation of everything. If this isn't the case, you're building a speculative house on a clay foundation, trying only to guess the price. Sooner or later, it will collapse, and the later it happens, the more painful it will be.
OKX:BTCUSD
by SpartaBTC
8
ETH — Price Slice. Capital Sector. 1607.90 BPC 12© Bolzen | The Architect | BPC Framework Bolzen Market Institute 🏷 ETH — Price Slice. Capital Sector. TradingView Publication Date: 06.02.2026 🏷 1607.90 — price not yet reached at time of publication. 🏷 BPC — The Bolzen Price Covenant — Strength Index: 12 Quantum structure of obligations and capital flow in price formation via energy blocks. 🏷 Vertical chart — Energy Grid Dashboard. 🏷 Static Stream 1: price published in energy-block production sequence. 🏷 The price energy block is already ordered—not by time, but by execution priority. Crucially: block priority dynamically reconfigures in response to hidden energetic impulses, whereas price execution order records their market manifestation. Every price in the dynamic stream is tied to proprietary energy-production metrics inaccessible to the general public. Those who perceive structure before its manifestation do not follow price—they anticipate it. EΞ2Φ8Ψ45Θ·ζ⁻¹·106Λ732·Ω² 📎 Screenshot: 🏷 When trading from levels, use liquidity zones from BPC 10 and above. 🏷 Bolzen Liquidity Map — ETH (numerical equivalent): 🏷 I. Interactive Reference Guide: BPC — The Bolzen Price Covenant 🏷 P.S. English is not my native language — I offer no apologies for stylistic imperfections. What you see here is not a post. It is a demonstration of another level of preparation: the symbiosis of human intuition and algorithmic precision. Mathematics and aggressive market analysis — against the machine of liquidations. The persistent ETH and BTC Energy Grid Dashboard remains publicly accessible and is intended for international institutional review. Dear international community, I extend my gratitude to the TradingView moderation team for their impartiality and support of analytical work at the global level, as well as to all who follow my research. This platform serves as a space to demonstrate contributions to the advancement of market analytics. Attention and time are your most valuable resources. ATH is emotion; timeframes are your truest allies. Thank you. — The Architect BPC — The Bolzen Price Covenant
Short
by Bolzen_Market_Institute
Bitcoin, Bitcoin, Bitcoin....Price has broken down hard from the weekly structure and is now trading well below the key moving averages. Momentum has shifted firmly bearish and volatility is expanding to the downside. Key observations: Clear loss of bullish market structure on the weekly Strong impulsive sell-off with little demand stepping in so far Price sitting below major moving averages, which now act as overhead resistance Volume profile shows heavy interest lower, meaning price can still explore before real balance is found Momentum remains weak and has not shown a meaningful shift yet What matters from here: This is not a chase zone Higher probability comes from patience, not prediction Bulls need to reclaim structure and hold it Until that happens, rallies are reactions, not trend reversals Game plan: Wait for structure. Let price prove acceptance before taking risk. The market always gives another opportunity. Stay disciplined.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.P
by Mike-BTD
ETH — Price Slice. Capital Sector. 1737.02 BPC 28© Bolzen | The Architect | BPC Framework Bolzen Market Institute 🏷 ETH — Price Slice. Capital Sector. TradingView Publication Date: 06.02.2026 🏷 1737.02 — price not yet reached at time of publication. 🏷 BPC — The Bolzen Price Covenant — Strength Index: 28 Quantum structure of obligations and capital flow in price formation via energy blocks. 🏷 Vertical chart — Energy Grid Dashboard. 🏷 Static Stream 1: price published in energy-block production sequence. 🏷 The price energy block is already ordered—not by time, but by execution priority. Crucially: block priority dynamically reconfigures in response to hidden energetic impulses, whereas price execution order records their market manifestation. Every price in the dynamic stream is tied to proprietary energy-production metrics inaccessible to the general public. Those who perceive structure before its manifestation do not follow price—they anticipate it. EΞ2Φ8Ψ45Θ·ζ⁻¹·106Λ732·Ω² 📎 Screenshot: 🏷 When trading from levels, use liquidity zones from BPC 10 and above. 🏷 Bolzen Liquidity Map — ETH (numerical equivalent): 🏷 I. Interactive Reference Guide: BPC — The Bolzen Price Covenant 🏷 P.S. English is not my native language — I offer no apologies for stylistic imperfections. What you see here is not a post. It is a demonstration of another level of preparation: the symbiosis of human intuition and algorithmic precision. Mathematics and aggressive market analysis — against the machine of liquidations. The persistent ETH and BTC Energy Grid Dashboard remains publicly accessible and is intended for international institutional review. Dear international community, I extend my gratitude to the TradingView moderation team for their impartiality and support of analytical work at the global level, as well as to all who follow my research. This platform serves as a space to demonstrate contributions to the advancement of market analytics. Attention and time are your most valuable resources. ATH is emotion; timeframes are your truest allies. Thank you. — The Architect BPC — The Bolzen Price Covenant
Short
by Bolzen_Market_Institute
ETH — Price Slice. Capital Sector. 1872.78 BPC 22© Bolzen | The Architect | BPC Framework Bolzen Market Institute 🏷 ETH — Price Slice. Capital Sector. TradingView Publication Date: 01.01.2026 🏷 1872.78 — price not yet reached at time of publication. 🏷 BPC — The Bolzen Price Covenant — Strength Index: 22 Quantum structure of obligations and capital flow in price formation via energy blocks. 🏷 Vertical chart — Energy Grid Dashboard. 🏷 Static Stream 1: price published in energy-block production sequence. 🏷 The price energy block is already ordered—not by time, but by execution priority. Crucially: block priority dynamically reconfigures in response to hidden energetic impulses, whereas price execution order records their market manifestation. Every price in the dynamic stream is tied to proprietary energy-production metrics inaccessible to the general public. Those who perceive structure before its manifestation do not follow price—they anticipate it. EΞ2Φ8Ψ45Θ·ζ⁻¹·106Λ732·Ω² 📎 Screenshot: 🏷 When trading from levels, use liquidity zones from BPC 10 and above. 🏷 Bolzen Liquidity Map — ETH (numerical equivalent): 🏷 I. Interactive Reference Guide: BPC — The Bolzen Price Covenant 🏷 P.S. English is not my native language — I offer no apologies for stylistic imperfections. What you see here is not a post. It is a demonstration of another level of preparation: the symbiosis of human intuition and algorithmic precision. Mathematics and aggressive market analysis — against the machine of liquidations. Imagine price on a chart moving in a “zigzag”—up, then down, in an apparently chaotic sequence. To this dynamic we introduce Magnitude 1.0 —a mathematical construct whose purpose is to trace a single, smooth, continuous line that best captures the overall direction of what initially appears to be disorderly motion. This is analogous to the tire mark left on wet asphalt after a sharp maneuver: the track is jagged, yet you can still discern an “average” line indicating the vehicle’s general trajectory. Magnitude 1.0 filters noise —minor fluctuations, emotional impulses, short-term liquidity spikes. It reveals not randomness, but structure . Unlike linear models, Magnitude 1.0 permits this “average line” to be nonlinear , which is critical in markets where trends are rarely straight—especially in crypto assets. Now we introduce Magnitude 1.1 —the logical forward extension of Magnitude 1.0. If Magnitude 1.0 is a smooth curve fitted through historical data, then Magnitude 1.1 is its extrapolation beyond the observable time horizon . This is not a forecast, but a hypothesis : “If the market continues behaving as it has over the past N periods, price will most likely reside somewhere here.” Magnitude 1.0 is a tool of anticipation, not action. It answers the question: “What level could reasonably serve as a target, assuming the current market geometry holds?” Yet the market is a living system. A new announcement, a liquidity shift, a macro impulse—any of these can instantly invalidate the hypothesis. Thus, the value of Magnitude 1.1 emerges only in context : - current volume, - position relative to key structural levels, - the state of the external information environment. Consider a river. Magnitude 1.0 defines its general channel, despite waves, eddies, and local turbulence. Magnitude 1.1 speculates where the river might flow next— if the terrain remains unchanged . But if rain begins or a dam appears, the hypothesis collapses. You do not build your house based on Magnitude 1.1. You merely prepare for one of several plausible scenarios. Why does this matter? Within the framework of Capital Geometry , where price is not merely a number but a projection of hidden structure: - Magnitude 1.0 extracts implicit architecture from the chaos of price data, - Magnitude 1.1 tests the temporal resilience of that structure— without conflating the model with reality . This aligns with a foundational principle:    Analysis is not prediction—it is preparation for a sequence of events. To whom is this addressed? — Not to retail traders leveraging 100x. — Not to those who “draw” arbitrarily on charts, then complain that price “goes the wrong way,” oblivious to timeframe hierarchy. — Not to those who operate without defining price ranges or structural context. This material is intended for institutional players, quantitative analysts, and those capable of decoding the embedded information . It is a gesture of respect to those who think in terms of capital geometry , not short-term speculation. The retail sector operates via mechanics : trading from levels within near-term ranges, only after confirmation and closure on timeframes of 1D and higher. But if your analysis relies solely on indicators supplied by vested corporate entities for the purpose of disinformation—it is no surprise you fear the future. Some are deceived by randomness, others lack patience, and a third group has merely been favored by capital—to make the crowd believe in illusion. Volume. Time. Price. These categories belong to a fading era. Each is governed by deeper mathematical magnitudes. Some participants provide liquidity, others are professional traders, and others still are analysts. And then there are those who remain in the shadows—yet whose work forms the bedrock of market order. I extend to you a sign of respect. Because between the lines, you understand . I assist those who think . And I conceal pathways—not out of fear, but out of respect for the capital that engineered this system. It is logical. Designed. And projected years ahead. Thank you. — The Architect BPC — The Bolzen Price Covenant
Short
by Bolzen_Market_Institute
Bitcoin: The Calm Before...We're at $80,252 watching one of those classic market contradictions that separates disciplined traders from emotional ones. Weekly RSI at 18.7 is screaming "bottom," but the structure is screaming something else entirely. Here's how to think three moves ahead instead of reacting to the noise. 1. THE TECHNICAL REALITY 📉 • Price rejected violently from $84,599 with a 37.5% upper wick, sellers defended the bearish order block ($97,932-$90,066) with serious intent • Trading in PREMIUM zone (Smart Money Concepts) where institutions typically sell, not buy • Lower high formation confirms bearish structure is taking control despite "bullish" swing trend label • MACD deeply bearish at -5,482, price below EMA20 ($95,230) and EMA50 ($96,374) 2. THE INDICATORS ⚖️ Bearish Signals: • ADX at 48.1 = strong downtrend conviction (trends with this strength don't just roll over) • MACD at -5,482 showing deep bearish momentum • Bearish FVG between $98,888-$96,012 remains unfilled (magnet for any relief rally) • MFI at 35.6 showing weak money flow Bullish Signals: • RSI at 18.7 and Stochastic at 0.5 = extreme weekly oversold readings • Still above EMA200 at $68,515 on macro view • Volume at average levels ($987,996) = no panic capitulation yet The Conflict: Extreme oversold readings create the possibility of reversal, but structure must confirm first. Right now, structure remains bearish. Strong trends don't reverse just because an indicator hits an extreme, they need structural breaks. 3. THE TRADE SETUP 🎯 🔴 Scenario A: Continuation Lower (Primary) • Trigger: Continued rejection from $80,000-$84,000 zone, failure to reclaim $97,932 • Entry: Confirmed rejection at bearish OB with stop above $97,932 • Target 1: $74,457 (7.2% downside) - top of bullish order block, last major defense • Target 2: $68,587 (15% downside) - high volume node from accumulation zone • Extended Targets: $65,157 and $61,728 if $74,457 breaks on 4H close 🟢 Scenario B: Structural Reversal (Alternative) • Trigger: $74,457 tested with volume showing accumulation signs • Entry: Bounce confirmation from $74,457 support zone • Stop: Below $70,000 • Invalidation: 4H close above $97,932 (reclaims bearish OB, flips structure bullish) MY VERDICT Risk-reward favors waiting. The meta-game here is recognizing that extreme oversold on weekly doesn't mean immediate reversal, it means reversal becomes possible IF structure confirms. Until $74,457 is tested or $97,932 is reclaimed, path of least resistance remains down. Confidence: 72% bearish.
Short
by MonoCoinSignal
40
The "US Bitcoin Reserve" is a Lie. (A Macro Deep Dive)While Retail is chasing headlines about a "Strategic Bitcoin Reserve," Smart Money is aggressively de-risking. Why? Because the "News" is a linguistic misunderstanding, and the "Macro" just turned violently bearish. If you are buying this dip because you think the US Government is about to print trillions to buy Bitcoin, you are walking into a trap. Today, we are going to deconstruct the three pillars of this bearish thesis: The "Project Vault" Deception, The Kevin Warsh Pivot, and the Technical Reality of DXY and ETHUSD . __________________________________________________________________________________ 1. The "Project Vault" Deception (Fact Check) 🕵️‍♂️ The entire bullish narrative right now hangs on the rumor that the administration's "$12 Billion Project Vault" is a secret plan to accumulate Bitcoin. This is false. I dug into the executive details. "Project Vault" is indeed a strategic reserve, but not for Crypto. It is a stockpile for Critical Minerals ,specifically Gallium, Cobalt, and Lithium—to secure the US defense supply chain against China. • Retail hears: "Vault" = Cold Storage for BTC. • Reality: "Vault" = Warehouses for EV Batteries and Fighter Jet components. • The Takeaway: The market is pricing in a massive liquidity injection for Crypto that simply does not exist. When this realization hits the masses, the repricing will be severe. __________________________________________________________________________________ 2. The Macro Villain: Kevin Warsh 🦅 While everyone watches the "Reserve" headlines, they are ignoring the single most important variable: The Federal Reserve. The new nominee for Fed Chair, Kevin Warsh , is the ultimate Hawk. • History: He resigned from the Fed in 2011 specifically because he opposed Quantitative Easing (QE). • Philosophy: He believes in a "Smaller Fed," "Positive Real Rates," and a "Strong Dollar." • The Impact: Warsh is the anti-thesis to the "Money Printer Go Brrr" narrative. His nomination is a signal that the era of easy liquidity is ending. This is a Liquidity Withdrawal Event , and risk assets like BTCUSD are the first to suffer. __________________________________________________________________________________ 3. The Technical Truth: DXY & ETH 📉 The charts are confirming the Macro view perfectly. The "Smart Money" is already positioning for a liquidity crunch. A) The DXY (US Dollar Index) Squeeze The Dollar is waking up. • Price Action: DXY is compressing tight at 26.9950 , sitting exactly at the confluence of the EMA50 and EMA200 . This is a massive decision point. • Momentum: Stochastic is overbought (95.3), BUT ADX is at 52.2 . This tells us the trend strength is real. • The Trigger: A 4H close above 27.09 (Upper Bollinger Band) triggers a breakout. If the Dollar flies, Crypto dies. It’s that simple. B) Ethereum (The Canary in the Coal Mine) If the "US Reserve" story were real, insiders would be front-running it on ETHUSD . Instead, ETH is lifeless. • Structure: We have confirmed a CHoCH Bearish . Price is trading below every major Moving Average (20, 50, 200). • The Trap: RSI is oversold (25.1), but ADX is 53.0 . Do not mistake "Oversold" for "Reversal." High ADX + Low RSI = A strong, relentless downtrend. • Volume: We are trading at 39% below average volume . There is ZERO institutional support at these levels. The "Smart Money" has left the building. __________________________________________________________________________________ 4. The Operational Risk (The "John Lick" Scandal) 🚨 Finally, for those who believe the US Government is competent enough to manage a trillion-dollar Bitcoin reserve, look at the news from last week. A government contractor’s son was caught draining US-seized wallets on Telegram to flex wealth. The Reality: The US Government cannot even secure the Bitcoin it already has. The idea that they are about to execute a sophisticated sovereign accumulation strategy is a fantasy. __________________________________________________________________________________ 🎯 The Verdict & Strategy The "Strategic Reserve" narrative marked the top. The "Kevin Warsh" reality will drive the trend. • The Trade: I am fading this narrative entirely. • Invalidation: A DXY breakdown below 26.41 or an ETH reclaim of 3,403 (Bearish Order Block). • Target: As long as DXY holds above the EMA200, I am targeting a flush on BTCUSD to 70k and ETH to 2,224 . Do not trade the Headlines. Trade the Liquidity. Do you trust the "US Reserve" hype? A) Yes, HODL for nation-state adoption 🇺🇸 B) No, the chart is broken 📉 Vote A or B below! 👇
by MonoCoinSignal
32
Bitcoin monthly—Hope! The 2026 bear market in its full gloryI waited before sharing this chart to see if market conditions would improve but nothing happened. While it is extremely bearish now, I haven't lost hope, things can easily turn after sustained, really strong, bearish action. Bitcoin is now on its strongest bearish momentum in all of its history and also with five consecutive months trading in the red. This month is still early though. Bitcoin is moving at super strong support. The strongest support ever sits at $57,772, the 0.618 Fib. retracement for the bigger, broader cycle. I would call this one an unbreakable support. This zone has the candle closures from 2021, both April and November, as well as the entire consolidation period between March - October 2024. Months and months of consolidation and not a single month managed to close below this level. Two things about it: If it is challenged, a reversal of some type develops here. If it breaks, a recovery can happen after some weak action below it, similar to Q3 2022. Instead of strong bearish momentum, more like consolidation at bottom prices, like we see on the smaller altcoins. The extreme level sits at $39,172. We are using $40,000 for simplicity. If Bitcoin continues straight down, it is possible to have an early end to the bear market. If it produces a second relief rally—the move from $80,000 to $98,000 was the main one—then it can crash again to produce a final low. Conclusion After five months of bearish action, it is more likely that a very strong relief will happen next. The market is bearish though. Oversold. Thank you for reading. Namaste.
Short
by MasterAnanda
3
Bitcoin Entry- When BTC was $500, it was “a Scam”. - When BTC was $20k, it was " too dangerous". - When BTC was $100k+. it was "too expensive". - The problem today is simple: big hands are positioned ahead of you, with a professional strategy. - You already have some tools for DCA entries : Fib levels, volume profiles, MA200 and key historical points of interest. - Everything is priced in graphic, lower numbers would be very lucky. Remember. Everyone gets BTC at the price they deserve. Happy Tr4Ding !
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by thecryer
2
Bitcoin hits strongest long-term support —2021 ATH & 0.786 Fib.Bitcoin just hit its strongest support ever long-term, this is where the first reversal can happen. The support level in question sits perfectly between the high from November and April 2021. It is happening right above EMA233 weekly and also the 0.786 Fib. retracement level in relation to Bitcoin's last major bullish wave—August 2024 through October 2025. I mentioned this level yesterday at $65,000 but it is actually a range. 65K is only the 0.786 Fib. The range sits between $64,850 (can start at $63,200 if we count EMA233) to $69,000. Bitcoin so far produced a low of $66,666, right in-between these two levels and below $70,000. A major bearish development. The full size of the crash so far amounts to -47.13%. Time duration is 119 days. In 2018, Bitcoin produced a major low on the 5th of February. Here, anything goes. If the current support range were to break a new support zone becomes active between $50,000 and $60,000 short-term. With $57,777 being a major level as shown here . The bear market bottom can sit around $40,000. We still expect some sort of relief or pause before this level is reached. We still have until mid-February for wild shaky action on Bitcoin and the bigger projects. Many of the smaller projects are not duplicating what Bitcoin and Ether are doing. Those can be bought. If we consider the $98,000 high as the end of the relief rally, and Bitcoin matches the same pattern as the 2022 bear market, then a major low can be reached around late March 2026. This is a different scenario to what we've been seeing, the one were straight down happens. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
1
BTC TO 61K Keep Eyes on Bitcoin 👀👀🤑 BINANCE:BTCUSDT BTC Making a bearish flag on 1D frame Just keep your Eyes on it ==================================== we will entry (short) After breakout the flag Entry Level : 88k Target 1 : 80K Target 2 : 74k Target 3 : 61K SL: 98.25K =================================== I think Bitcoin will be very bearish in 2026, and we will see prices below 60k! It looked like sci-fi a few weeks ago, but this idea of 60k Bitcoin seems to be real. Make sure you Follow me to see the market from another angle ❤️🕊️👌
Short
by DAYGO_
3
BITCOIN (BTC) — THE FALL HAS ONLY JUST BEGUN⚠️ THE GREAT BITCOIN REVERSAL — THE STORM NO ONE IS READY FOR ⚠️ For years, Bitcoin INDEX:BTCUSD climbed with the arrogance of a king convinced its throne was eternal. But every empire falls. And the chart… The chart has been whispering the truth long before anyone wanted to hear it. Today, that whisper has become a SCREAM. 📉⚡ 🔥 1. The Final Wave Has Broken — and So Has the Illusion The macro Wave 5 top is in. Perfect confluence. Perfect exhaustion. Perfect euphoria. The same pattern that ended EVERY Bitcoin mega-cycle… just printed again. This wasn’t a top. It was THE top. The moment the bull cycle let out its final breath. 💀📈 🩸 2. Smart Money Has Already Left the Building While retail celebrated “new highs,” Smart Money carved out: • Stop hunts • Liquidity grabs • Breaker blocks • Distribution ranges • A devastating SOW • And the cleanest market structure break BTC has shown since 2018 Institutions aren’t buying dips. They are offloading the mountain . The crowd doesn’t see it — yet. ⚡ 3. A Market Structure Collapse Echoing 2014, 2018 and 2021 Each cycle’s death began the same way: A gentle pullback… A sudden rejection… Then a violent swing failure , followed by the HTF structure snapping in half. That exact sequence is happening right now . This is not a correction. This is a cycle reset . 🎯 4. Fibonacci Retracements Don’t Lie — They Warn Every true macro Wave 2 in history has returned to: 🔻 0.786 🔻 0.886 🔻 1.0 – 1.618 extensions Where do they converge this time? 👇 🔮 $6,000 – $1,250 The forgotten land of 2017 mania… A level BTC has avoided for 8 years. But the cycle demands balance. And balance always returns. 🌪️ 5. Price Action Has Flipped From Confidence to Panic The candles have changed character: • Weak closes • Long tall wicks of rejection • Failed rallies • Imbalances breaking lower • Bull traps everywhere • A violent displacement to the downside This isn’t cooling off. This is unwinding. 📉 6. Market Cycle Psychology Has Entered Its Darkest Phase We just exited Euphoria. We are in Complacency. Next comes: 😨 Anxiety 😱 Fear 💀 Capitulation 🔥 Anger 🌑 Depression Only after that does a new accumulation begin. And that’s why Wave 2 is infamous. It destroys what Wave 1 built. 🚨 THE VERDICT: THE DOWNFALL IS IN MOTION — AND WE ARE EARLY From $126K to $90K was not the crash. It was merely the first spark in a forest full of dry leaves. Wave A has barely begun. Wave B will deceive. Wave C will devastate. The endgame target remains: 🎯 $1,250 – $6,000 The cycle reset. The cleanse. The opportunity of the decade — but only after the fire burns everything above it. 🔥 This is not fear. This is structure, math, psychology, liquidity, and time itself. And all of them point in the same direction. Down, Down And Down 🔥 Follow this idea to stay ahead of the next macro move. 📈 We’ll update the chart as the structure unfolds — Wave A, Wave B trap, and the full Wave C capitulation zone. 💬 Drop your thoughts below — agree or disagree, the chart will decide. 🚀 Turn on notifications so you don’t miss the next critical breakdown. ⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always manage risk and make decisions based on your own research and personal strategy. #Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #CryptoAnalysis #TradingView #BTCUSD #BearMarket #ElliottWave #SmartMoney #PriceAction #MarketCycle #Fibonacci #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoCrash #CryptoWarning
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by fibcos
28