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EVERYTHING WITH THE PLANMorning folks, Last time we in details explained why our view is bearish and that we should be prepared for collapse. But the recent leg is just a beginning. Although we keep mid term bearish context intact, in a nearest few sessions we count on upside bounce. Because it fits to our plan of 4H H&S Shape . On 1H chart we see reversal pattern, that suggest reaching of 92.5-93K level. We doesn't call you to buy, although this is not forbidden. But our major context is bearish, so we mostly watch for this pattern as a chance to get good short entry later... I mark this update as "bullish", since the next one comes on Monday. But you've got an idea...
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Sive-Morten
Coinranger| BTCUSDT: Uncertainty after the drop🔥News 🔹The International Economic Forum continues. Trump's speech is at 16:30 (UTC+3) 🔥BTC 🔹We've clearly followed the forecast. Now: 1️⃣ It's still hard to say for sure about the levels above. Preliminary figures are 91600 and 92855. But we could fall into a flat for a while. 2️⃣ The price may reach 87550 before continuing the pullback. I haven't marked any lower levels yet, because we're unlikely to go there without a pullback. The priority is a pullback; reaching the lower level is also possible.
by CoinRanger
1
BTC at a Decision Point — Relief Bounce or Lower High?On the BTCUSD H1 chart, price remains firmly in a short-term bearish structure following the sharp impulsive sell off from the 95,000 region. The breakdown from the prior consolidation occurred with strong momentum, slicing cleanly below the EMA and confirming a shift from balance to markdown. Since then, Bitcoin has been trading beneath a well-defined resistance zone around 93,200–93,500, where previous support has now flipped into supply a classic bearish market behavior. The recent reaction from the support zone near 88,000–88,500 is technically a relief bounce, not a reversal. Structurally, the bounce is corrective: price is forming overlapping candles and shallow pullbacks, suggesting short covering rather than aggressive new demand. As long as BTC remains capped below 89,900–91,200, the probability favors a lower high forming before sellers reassert control. If buyers can hold above the support zone and reclaim 89,900, a deeper corrective move toward 91,200–91,500 is possible, where the EMA and prior intraday structure align. However, this zone is expected to act as sell side re entry, not a breakout level. Failure to build acceptance above that area would likely trigger another leg down, reopening downside liquidity toward the lower 88,000 region and potentially below if support weakens. Bitcoin is currently in a bearish retracement phase inside a broader intraday downtrend. The support zone is holding for now, but without a strong structural reclaim, upside moves should be treated as corrective pullbacks into resistance. Until BTC decisively breaks and holds above the resistance zone, risk remains skewed to the downside, with sellers still controlling market structure.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by HENRY_TraderGold
Accumulation Phase at Demand, Breakout Setup FormingBitcoin has just completed a sharp impulsive sell-off, driving price directly into a higher-timeframe demand zone (≈ 88,000 – 88,500). The rejection from this area was immediate and aggressive, signaling strong passive buying interest absorbing sell pressure. Since that reaction, price has transitioned from impulsive behavior into compressed, overlapping candles, a classic shift from markdown to accumulation. This is no longer a trending environment it is a pre-expansion phase. 📦 Accumulation Structure Inside the marked grey box, price is: - Respecting range highs and lows - Printing equal highs / equal lows - Showing liquidity sweeps within the range, but no follow-through This behavior strongly suggests composite operators accumulating positions, not distribution. The market is spending time, not distance, which is exactly what we expect after a fast sell off into demand. Importantly, downside continuation attempts are failing, and sellers are unable to reclaim control below the demand zone. 🔑 Key Levels to Watch Range High / Breakout Level: ~90,000 Range Mid / Acceptance Area: ~89,200 Demand Zone Support: ~88,000 – 88,500 A clean H1 close above the range high, followed by acceptance, is the trigger that confirms markup initiation. 🚀 Breakout & Expansion Scenario If price breaks and holds above the accumulation high: First upside objective: 91,200 Secondary target: 92,600 – 92,800 Extended target: 93,200 – 93,300 (EMA / prior structure) The projected green path aligns with range expansion logic, not prediction — the market will expand once liquidity is fully absorbed. ⚠️ Invalidation Scenario The bullish thesis weakens if: - Price loses 88,000 with strong momentum - Demand fails to hold on retest - Structure shifts back to impulsive downside Until then, the path of least resistance is up, but only after confirmation. 🧠 Professional Takeaway This is a textbook transition: Impulse → Demand Reaction → Accumulation → Expansion Patience is critical here. The opportunity is not in the middle of the box it is in the break and acceptance above it. Let the market show its hand.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by XauMasterNetwork
BTC — Price Slice. Capital Sector. 94000 Impact Node© Bolzen | The Architect | BPC Framework Bolzen Market Institute 🏷 BTC — Price Slice. Capital Sector. TradingView Publication Date: 22.01.2026 🏷 94000 — price not yet reached at time of publication. 🏷 BPC — The Bolzen Price Covenant — Impact Node — Grid III Quantum structure of obligations and capital flow in price formation via energy blocks. 🏷 Vertical chart — Energy Grid Dashboard. 🏷 Static Stream 1: price published in energy-block production sequence. 🏷 The price energy block is already ordered—not by time, but by execution priority. Crucially: block priority dynamically reconfigures in response to hidden energetic impulses, whereas price execution order records their market manifestation. Every price in the dynamic stream is tied to proprietary energy-production metrics inaccessible to the general public. Those who perceive structure before its manifestation do not follow price—they anticipate it. EΞ2Φ8Ψ45Θ·ζ⁻¹·106Λ732·Ω² 📎 Screenshot: 🏷 When trading from levels, use liquidity zones from BPC 10 and above. 🏷 Bolzen Liquidity Map — BTC (numerical equivalent): 🏷 I. Interactive Reference Guide: BPC — The Bolzen Price Covenant 🏷 P.S. English is not my native language — I offer no apologies for stylistic imperfections. What you see here is not a post. It is a demonstration of another level of preparation: the symbiosis of human intuition and algorithmic precision. Mathematics and aggressive market analysis — against the machine of liquidations. The persistent ETH and BTC Energy Grid Dashboard remains publicly accessible and is intended for international institutional review. Dear international community, I extend my gratitude to the TradingView moderation team for their impartiality and support of analytical work at the global level, as well as to all who follow my research. This platform serves as a space to demonstrate contributions to the advancement of market analytics. Attention and time are your most valuable resources. ATH is emotion; timeframes are your truest allies. Thank you. — The Architect BPC — The Bolzen Price Covenant
Long
by Bolzen_Market_Institute
BTC — Price Slice. Capital Sector. 92000 BPC Impact Node© Bolzen | The Architect | BPC Framework Bolzen Market Institute 🏷 BTC — Price Slice. Capital Sector. TradingView Publication Date: 22.01.2026 🏷 92000 — price not yet reached at time of publication. 🏷 BPC — The Bolzen Price Covenant — Impact Node — Grid III Quantum structure of obligations and capital flow in price formation via energy blocks. 🏷 Vertical chart — Energy Grid Dashboard. 🏷 Static Stream 1: price published in energy-block production sequence. 🏷 The price energy block is already ordered—not by time, but by execution priority. Crucially: block priority dynamically reconfigures in response to hidden energetic impulses, whereas price execution order records their market manifestation. Every price in the dynamic stream is tied to proprietary energy-production metrics inaccessible to the general public. Those who perceive structure before its manifestation do not follow price—they anticipate it. EΞ2Φ8Ψ45Θ·ζ⁻¹·106Λ732·Ω² 📎 Screenshot: 🏷 When trading from levels, use liquidity zones from BPC 10 and above. 🏷 Bolzen Liquidity Map — BTC (numerical equivalent): 🏷 I. Interactive Reference Guide: BPC — The Bolzen Price Covenant 🏷 P.S. English is not my native language — I offer no apologies for stylistic imperfections. What you see here is not a post. It is a demonstration of another level of preparation: the symbiosis of human intuition and algorithmic precision. Mathematics and aggressive market analysis — against the machine of liquidations. The persistent ETH and BTC Energy Grid Dashboard remains publicly accessible and is intended for international institutional review. Dear international community, I extend my gratitude to the TradingView moderation team for their impartiality and support of analytical work at the global level, as well as to all who follow my research. This platform serves as a space to demonstrate contributions to the advancement of market analytics. Attention and time are your most valuable resources. ATH is emotion; timeframes are your truest allies. Thank you. — The Architect BPC — The Bolzen Price Covenant
Long
by Bolzen_Market_Institute
ETH — Price Slice. Capital Sector. 3200 BPC Impact Node© Bolzen | The Architect | BPC Framework Bolzen Market Institute 🏷 ETH — Price Slice. Capital Sector. TradingView Publication Date: 22.01.2026 🏷 3200 — price not yet reached at time of publication. 🏷 BPC — The Bolzen Price Covenant — Impact Node — Grid III Quantum structure of obligations and capital flow in price formation via energy blocks. 🏷 Vertical chart — Energy Grid Dashboard. 🏷 Static Stream 1: price published in energy-block production sequence. 🏷 The price energy block is already ordered—not by time, but by execution priority. Crucially: block priority dynamically reconfigures in response to hidden energetic impulses, whereas price execution order records their market manifestation. Every price in the dynamic stream is tied to proprietary energy-production metrics inaccessible to the general public. Those who perceive structure before its manifestation do not follow price—they anticipate it. EΞ2Φ8Ψ45Θ·ζ⁻¹·106Λ732·Ω² 📎 Screenshot: 🏷 When trading from levels, use liquidity zones from BPC 10 and above. 🏷 Bolzen Liquidity Map — ETH (numerical equivalent): 🏷 I. Interactive Reference Guide: BPC — The Bolzen Price Covenant 🏷 P.S. English is not my native language — I offer no apologies for stylistic imperfections. What you see here is not a post. It is a demonstration of another level of preparation: the symbiosis of human intuition and algorithmic precision. Mathematics and aggressive market analysis — against the machine of liquidations. The persistent ETH and BTC Energy Grid Dashboard remains publicly accessible and is intended for international institutional review. Dear international community, I extend my gratitude to the TradingView moderation team for their impartiality and support of analytical work at the global level, as well as to all who follow my research. This platform serves as a space to demonstrate contributions to the advancement of market analytics. Attention and time are your most valuable resources. ATH is emotion; timeframes are your truest allies. Thank you. — The Architect BPC — The Bolzen Price Covenant
Long
by Bolzen_Market_Institute
ETH — Price Slice. Capital Sector. 3158.18 BPC 9© Bolzen | The Architect | BPC Framework Bolzen Market Institute 🏷 ETH — Price Slice. Capital Sector. TradingView Publication Date: 22.01.2026 🏷 3158.18 — price not yet reached at time of publication. 🏷 BPC — The Bolzen Price Covenant — Strength Index: 9 Quantum structure of obligations and capital flow in price formation via energy blocks. 🏷 Vertical chart — Energy Grid Dashboard. 🏷 Static Stream 1: price published in energy-block production sequence. 🏷 The price energy block is already ordered—not by time, but by execution priority. Crucially: block priority dynamically reconfigures in response to hidden energetic impulses, whereas price execution order records their market manifestation. Every price in the dynamic stream is tied to proprietary energy-production metrics inaccessible to the general public. Those who perceive structure before its manifestation do not follow price—they anticipate it. EΞ2Φ8Ψ45Θ·ζ⁻¹·106Λ732·Ω² 📎 Screenshot: 🏷 When trading from levels, use liquidity zones from BPC 10 and above. 🏷 Bolzen Liquidity Map — ETH (numerical equivalent): 🏷 I. Interactive Reference Guide: BPC — The Bolzen Price Covenant 🏷 P.S. English is not my native language — I offer no apologies for stylistic imperfections. What you see here is not a post. It is a demonstration of another level of preparation: the symbiosis of human intuition and algorithmic precision. Mathematics and aggressive market analysis — against the machine of liquidations. The persistent ETH and BTC Energy Grid Dashboard remains publicly accessible and is intended for international institutional review. Dear international community, I extend my gratitude to the TradingView moderation team for their impartiality and support of analytical work at the global level, as well as to all who follow my research. This platform serves as a space to demonstrate contributions to the advancement of market analytics. Attention and time are your most valuable resources. ATH is emotion; timeframes are your truest allies. Thank you. — The Architect BPC — The Bolzen Price Covenant
Long
by Bolzen_Market_Institute
1
Bitcoin running to 290k or 440k this year *Updated/Fixed*This chart fixes the accidental shifted long term uptrends in my previous chart. Since Greenland/tariff fears broke through the latest short term uptrend yesterday we now have a new short term uptrend off the tap on the long term trend. This is pretty common and doesn't necessarily void the old uptrend as it can still, and likely will, jump back above it. I just want to reiterate how rare these hits of the long term trend are as Bitcoin usually accelerates the trend by a lot, which is why people grow to expect dramatic corrections back to the mean. The last 3 years of Bitcoin have been very similar to 2015-late 2016 where the market didn't have any large exponential growth moves and that's why the corrections have been tempered. Currently, bitcoin is setting up for the largest draw down of Bitcoins on the exchanges that we've ever seen. This in the past has happened proceeding late 2017 and late 2020 bubbles, the difference here is the scale of Bitcoins removed from exchanges has been massive (500K+) since April 2024 and accelerating significantly in the last 6 months, since September last year (200K+). For the first time in Bitcoin's history the amount of Bitcoins on the exchanges has been consistently falling ever since November 2022. Betting on Bitcoin falling from here is really not a great bet. Good luck everyone!
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by bwy
1
BITCOIN BULLS GETTING READY!!!! SHORT SQUEEZE INCOMING? Yello Paradisers! Enjoy the video! And Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable. Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader. Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
Long
by MyCryptoParadise
3
ETH — Price Slice. Capital Sector. 2884.25 BPC 2.5© Bolzen | The Architect | BPC Framework Bolzen Market Institute 🏷 ETH — Price Slice. Capital Sector. TradingView Publication Date: 09.01.2026 🏷 2884.25 — price not yet reached at time of publication. 🏷 BPC — The Bolzen Price Covenant — Strength Index: 2.5 Quantum structure of obligations and capital flow in price formation via energy blocks. 🏷 Vertical chart — Energy Grid Dashboard. 🏷 Static Stream 1: price published in energy-block production sequence. 🏷 The price energy block is already ordered—not by time, but by execution priority. Crucially: block priority dynamically reconfigures in response to hidden energetic impulses, whereas price execution order records their market manifestation. Every price in the dynamic stream is tied to proprietary energy-production metrics inaccessible to the general public. Those who perceive structure before its manifestation do not follow price—they anticipate it. EΞ2Φ8Ψ45Θ·ζ⁻¹·106Λ732·Ω² 📎 Screenshot: 🏷 When trading from levels, use liquidity zones from BPC 10 and above. 🏷 Bolzen Liquidity Map — ETH (numerical equivalent): 🏷 I. Interactive Reference Guide: BPC — The Bolzen Price Covenant 🏷 P.S. English is not my native language — I offer no apologies for stylistic imperfections. What you see here is not a post. It is a demonstration of another level of preparation: the symbiosis of human intuition and algorithmic precision. Mathematics and aggressive market analysis — against the machine of liquidations. The persistent ETH and BTC Energy Grid Dashboard remains publicly accessible and is intended for international institutional review. Dear users! At the request of all those who support my work and use it for analytics, I’ve decided to start publishing short weekly analytical notes for the upcoming week. Subscribe and read — you already have all the tools to see the market clearly: Prefactum prices, quantum analytics, analytical notes, and the monitoring dashboard. Every price represents a separate energy block and scenario, down to the smallest changes. I would like to thank the TradingView moderators for the opportunities provided on the international stage. Over time, it becomes clear who creates the picture, who is a dilettante, who is a professional, who is an institution, and who is an architect. Your attention and time are your main resources. Thank you! — The Architect BPC — The Bolzen Price Covenant
Short
by Bolzen_Market_Institute
GBPNZD NEXT MOVEGBPNZD is showing a clear bearish reversal setup after breaking down from an ascending channel and losing key trendline support, signaling a shift in market structure toward sellers. The strong impulsive bearish candle indicates increasing downside momentum, with price now targeting the major demand zone below where previous accumulation and strong buying reactions occurred. Fundamentally, the New Zealand dollar is gaining relative strength on expectations of tighter monetary conditions and stable economic outlook, while the British pound remains pressured by growth concerns, inflation sensitivity, and policy uncertainty. As long as price remains below the broken trendline and fails to reclaim prior resistance, rallies are likely to be corrective, favoring continuation toward lower liquidity zones, making short-side positioning aligned with trend, structure, and macro flow for profit-focused trading.
Short
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
NZDJPY NEXT MOVENZDJPY is showing a strong bullish continuation after reclaiming and holding above a key demand and resistance flip zone, confirming a market structure shift in favor of buyers. The impulsive move higher followed by shallow consolidation signals healthy momentum and sustained buying interest, often seen before another expansion leg. From a fundamental perspective, the New Zealand dollar remains supported by relatively resilient economic outlook and carry trade demand, while the Japanese yen continues to weaken due to accommodative monetary policy, low yield environment, and persistent divergence against higher-yielding currencies. As long as price maintains above the breakout zone and continues to print higher highs and higher lows, the probability favors further upside continuation, making pullbacks into structure attractive for trend-following long opportunities with momentum, liquidity flow, and macro bias aligned for profit potential.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
Interesting Channel on BTCUSDs. 2month log chartThis channel has provided support for bitcin’s price action since 2013. Currently retesting its bottom trendline as we speak. Yes it’s true rising channels usually breakdown instead of up, but this one is so strong that I wouldn’t be surprised if it holds support again here and goes for a retest of the top of the channel again.if so we should likely see bitcoin resume its uptrend by the next 3month candle if not the current one. *not financial advice*
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by DrDovetail
BTC/USDT – 4H Small Chart Update. BTC/USDT – 4H Small Chart Update. Price is moving inside a rising parallel channel (upper & lower trendlines respected). BTC is currently pulling back toward the lower channel support and the moving average zone. The green MA is acting as dynamic support on dips. Support: 88,000 – 86,500 (channel base + MA confluence) Major Support: 84,500 → 82,300 (breakdown risk zone) Resistance: 94,000 – 98,000 (upper channel/supply) Hold above lower trendline → bounce → retest 95K–98K Breakdown below 84.5K → deeper correction likely The structure remains bullish while it is inside the channel. This looks like a healthy pullback, not trend failure—unless the lower trendline is lost on strong volume. Not financial advice. Manage risk. Price is moving inside a rising parallel channel (upper & lower trendlines respected). BTC is currently pulling back toward the lower channel support and the moving average zone. The green MA is acting as dynamic support on dips. Support: 88,000 – 86,500 (channel base + MA confluence) Major Support: 84,500 → 82,300 (breakdown risk zone) Resistance: 94,000 – 98,000 (upper channel/supply) Hold above lower trendline → bounce → retest 95K–98K Breakdown below 84.5K → deeper correction likely The structure remains bullish while it is inside the channel. This looks like a healthy pullback, not trend failure—unless the lower trendline is lost on strong volume. Not financial advice. Manage risk.
Long
by CryptoSanders9563
BITCOIN The ultimate RSI Fibonacci cheat-sheet you MUST know.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) continues to consolidate within its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1W MA100 (green trend-line), a zone whose importance we've covered on various previous analyses. This time we re-introduce a old concept, which was always an integral part of our long-term Cycle analyses, the 1W RSI Channel. As you can see, the 1W RSI has bounced on its 0.786 Fibonacci level, a trend-line where it always hits and rebounds historically (blue circles) before completing Stage 1 of the Bear Cycle. In the previous two Bear Cycles, this has coincided with the 1W MA50-100 consolidation. After that, the RSI rebounded and tested the 0.618 Fib (orange circles), which again in the last two Cycles coincided with a 1W MA50 test, and got rejected (initiating Stage 2) towards the bottom of the Channel for the eventual Cycle bottom (green circles). As a result, it is likely to see one last rally for that 1W MA50/ 0.618 Fib rejection (unless the 1W MA100 breaks/ closes first) before the eventual Cycle bottom on Fib 1.0 (Channel bottom). That is expected to be on the 1W MA350 (red trend-line) at least ($50000), which is where the previous Cycle bottomed in November 2022. So do you think that's a useful RSI cheat-sheet? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
Bitcoin enters bullish reversal zone —RSI Oversold, 6 red days &There are two signals supporting a bullish reversal around current price levels. Any trading below $90,000 should be instantly bought. This chart shows Bitcoin on the 4H timeframe including the RSI. Bitcoin's 4H RSI hit the lowest since 21-November 2025 and also entered "oversold" territory, extremely weak. This reading of oversold on the 4H timeframe has been present only twice since the end of the correction. The first time was 21-November and Bitcoin started to grow. The second instance happened 1-December and right after Bitcoin started to grow. Then never again the 4H RSI reads oversold. When Bitcoin becomes oversold on the 4H RSI, this signals that a reversal is coming next. There is more. The highest bearish volume on the current drop happened 15-January. Yesterday and today, 19 and 20 January, Bitcoin produced a lower low yet volume is lower. Signaling weakening bearish momentum. The final signal is based on the daily timeframe. Bitcoin produced five consecutive days red only once in several years and this happened only recently as part of a consolidation. After the fifth red day, the action tends to turn bullish. Here is the thing, Bitcoin is now trading on its 6th consecutive red day. This event only happened once back in May 2023. Needless to say, Bitcoin turned bullish the ensuing day. Retraces should be an opportunity to buy-in, rebuy and reload. The relief rally is not over. Bitcoin is trading within a very strong higher low compared to 21-November, and the action is happening above $90,000. Any trading below $90,000 is a strong buy opportunity in anticipation of a bullish resumption. Thanks a lot for your continued support. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
1
Why Does BTC Often Move Strongly During the U.S. Session?Not by coincidence — but because real money enters the market If you’ve traded BTC long enough, you’ve probably noticed a familiar pattern: Asian session: slow price action, compression, sideways European session: increased volatility, trap-building U.S. session: BTC makes the real move So the question is: 👉 Why does BTC usually show its strongest volatility during the U.S. session? 1. The Largest Capital Flows Enter During the U.S. Session The U.S. session is when: U.S. banks Hedge funds Prop desks Institutional traders U.S.-based crypto whales 👉 Start trading aggressively This is not retail money. This is institutional capital, trading large size — not scalping a few dozen dollars. When big money enters → the market must move. 2. The U.S. Session Is When News Gets “Activated” Most major news that impacts BTC happens during the U.S. session: CPI, PPI, FOMC Fed interest rate decisions DXY and U.S. Treasury yields U.S. stock market open 👉 All occur during the U.S. session. BTC doesn’t exist in isolation. It reacts strongly to: Risk-on / Risk-off sentiment USD strength or weakness Capital flowing into or out of risk assets 3. Highest Liquidity → Structure Breaks More Easily The U.S. session has: The highest daily volume The deepest liquidity More stable spreads ➡️ This makes it the ideal time to break ranges, take out highs and lows from the Asian and European sessions. 💡 Many: True breakouts Large stop hunts Strong expansions 👉 Happen at the start or middle of the U.S. session. 4. Europe–U.S. Overlap: BTC’s “Golden Hour” During the Europe–U.S. overlap: European traders are still active U.S. traders are just entering 📌 Liquidity + liquidity = explosive volatility If BTC has: Been compressed all day Accumulated for a long time Gathered enough liquidity 👉 The U.S. session is often when that energy is released. 5. Retail Traders Get Trapped the Most During the U.S. Session One hard truth: Retail traders often FOMO on large candles Enter when volatility is at its peak Place stop losses where everyone can see 👉 And that’s also when: Whales sweep stops The market shakes violently before moving in the real direction 💡 The U.S. session is not just when BTC moves, but also when those without a plan get eliminated the fastest.
Education
by Azael_11
Bitcoin at the Edge of the 4-Year CycleOn the BTCUSD Daily timeframe, the chart is signaling a high-risk, late-cycle environment rather than a fresh bullish expansion. When viewed through the lens of the Bitcoin 4 year cycle, the current structure closely mirrors prior cycle tops in 2014, 2018, and 2022 , where price accelerated into a rising channel, printed euphoric highs, and then formed a bull trap before a deep corrective phase. Structurally, Bitcoin remains inside a rising macro channel, but momentum has clearly weakened. Price has failed to sustain acceptance above the upper trendline and is now rotating near the mid–upper range of the channel, a location that historically favors distribution, not accumulation. The repeated rejection zones highlighted on the chart show where smart money previously offloaded positions while retail chased continuation. From a cycle + EMA perspective, this is critical. In previous cycles, once price stretched far above the long-term EMAs and momentum began compressing, the market transitioned from markup into distribution. The current price action higher highs with overlapping candles and fading impulse fits that same behavioral profile. This is where bull traps are engineered: price holds elevated levels just long enough to trap late buyers before liquidity is pulled. The projected downside scenario toward the ~$60,000 support region is not extreme it is structurally logical. That zone aligns with prior cycle support, channel equilibrium, and historical re-accumulation levels. A breakdown from the current consolidation would likely trigger a cascade move, as leverage unwinds and long term holders hedge risk. To be clear: This does not invalidate Bitcoin’s long-term bullish thesis. It suggests that the market may be transitioning from late-cycle euphoria into a corrective/reset phase, which is a normal and necessary part of every 4-year cycle. In summary: 👉this scenario is absolutely possible and technically justified. 👉 Current price action favors risk management, not aggressive longs. 👉 The coming phase is about who exits late and who prepares early for the next true accumulation cycle. Smart money is already thinking in cycles, not candles.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by BlackGoldMarket
2
Smart Money Accumulation or Just a Dead Cat Bounce?Bitcoin on the H1 timeframe has just printed a textbook liquidity sweep, and this move is far more meaningful than it looks at first glance. After spending an extended period compressing below the descending trendline and beneath the resistance zone around 95,500–95,800, price failed to reclaim that supply area. The rejection was clean and decisive, followed by a sharp impulsive sell-off, slicing through the EMA and breaking the internal range support without hesitation. This type of candle structure is not retail-driven it signals active distribution and aggressive sell-side execution. The drop flushed price directly into a clearly defined demand / support zone around 92,000–91,800, where liquidity had been resting for multiple sessions. The reaction so far is constructive: long lower wicks, slowing downside momentum, and a short-term bounce suggest buyers are defending this zone, at least temporarily. From a structural perspective, this is now a make-or-break area: If BTC holds above the support zone and builds higher lows, a corrective rebound toward 94,000 → 94,600, and potentially a retest of 95,700 resistance, becomes technically valid. This would align with a classic liquidity grab → mean reversion scenario. However, if price fails to reclaim the EMA and shows weak follow-through, this bounce should be treated as a corrective pullback, not a trend reversal. A clean breakdown below 91,800 would confirm bearish continuation, opening the path toward deeper liquidity near 90,900 → 90,200. ➡️ Bias: Neutral-to-bullish only while support holds ➡️ Key level: 91,800 demand zone ➡️ Risk: High — market is transitioning, not trending This is not a FOMO long environment. The next move depends entirely on how price behaves inside this demand zone accumulation or breakdown will decide the next impulse.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by BlackGoldMarket