BITCOIN Fear & Greed index goes ‘greed’ first time since OctoberBitcoin (BTCUSD) Crypto Fear & Greed index turned to greed for the first time in 3 months. Technically this was confirmed by BTC breaking (and closing) above its 94650 Resistance for the first time in 2 months.
With the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) turning into a Support and getting confirmed by holding upon the January 08 test, we can see the emergence of a short-term Channel Up.
As we've explained for over a month now, this is potentially the typical market reaction that previous Bear Cycles have done historically, where after completing the first strong decline that gets most of investors off guard, it makes the first counter-trend rally (dead cat bounce) that technically tests the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). This time, the rebound is being made after the 1W MA100 (red trend-line) got tested and held.
With the 1D RSI about to enter the Overbought Zone (70.00 and above), where the last two times (October 06 and July 14 2025) it got rejected, we may see the current Bullish Leg of the Channel Up extending to around +17.50% (where the previous one was rejected), make a Higher High, then pull-back to re-test the 1D MA50 and then finally go for the benchmark test of the 1D MA200.
We estimate a potential Bear Cycle rejection Zone within $102000 - 105000, before the Cycle starts Phase 2 with a new long-term sell-off.
Do you think that's a realistic scenario to repeat the historic pattern? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Btc-e
$ETH 1W Update: Looking good here, taking off againETH update.
ETH is pumping again on the weekly, and the move is constructive, but it’s important to keep the larger context front and center. Price has pushed back above the mid-range and is reclaiming the $3,300–3,500 area, which has acted as a major pivot throughout this cycle.
What’s encouraging is the character of the move. After the sharp pullback from the highs, ETH didn’t collapse into deeper support. Instead, it held above the $2,700 region, formed a higher low, and is now rotating higher with expanding momentum. That’s a sign buyers are still active on higher timeframes.
That said, ETH is still very much inside a broad range. The upper boundary near $4,700 remains the level that actually matters for trend continuation. Until price can reclaim and hold above that zone, these rallies should still be viewed as range expansion rather than a confirmed breakout.
The $3,500 area is the key short-term test. Acceptance above it would increase the odds of another push toward the range highs. Failure here would likely mean more chop and rotation, potentially back toward the mid-$2,000s before the next attempt higher.
Overall, ETH pumping here is a positive development and confirms the market isn’t rolling over. But structurally, this is still a range market on the weekly. Buying dips and managing expectations matters more than chasing strength, until ETH proves it can break and hold above the top of the range.
Consolidation Before Expansion or Deeper Liquidity Grab?BITSTAMP:BTCUSD on the H1 timeframe is currently trading within a clearly defined range, bounded by a strong supply zone overhead and a well-established demand zone below. After the recent impulsive move into the upper supply area, price was met with aggressive selling pressure, resulting in a sharp rejection and a return back toward the mid-range. This behavior confirms that the market is still in a balancing phase rather than trending decisively.
The supply zone around the 91,800–92,200 region continues to act as a distribution area, where previous upside attempts have failed to gain sustained acceptance. The most recent rejection from this zone reinforces the presence of active sellers defending higher prices, suggesting that breakout attempts remain vulnerable unless supported by strong momentum and follow-through.
On the downside, the demand zone near the 89,600–89,900 region remains a critical area of interest. This zone has previously absorbed selling pressure effectively, leading to sharp reactions and range continuation. A corrective rotation back into this demand area would be structurally healthy, allowing the market to sweep liquidity and potentially establish a higher low before the next directional move.
If demand holds and price forms a clear higher-low structure, Bitcoin could rotate back toward the upper boundary of the range and challenge the supply zone once again. A clean break and sustained acceptance above supply would signal a transition from consolidation into bullish expansion, opening the path toward higher liquidity targets.
Conversely, failure to hold the demand zone would invalidate the range structure and increase the probability of deeper downside continuation. Until either boundary is decisively broken, Bitcoin remains in a state of equilibrium, with price oscillating between supply and demand as the market builds liquidity for its next impulsive move.
Bitcoin Is Compressing Between Supply & Demand – Expansion Is CoOn the M45 timeframe, Bitcoin is currently trading inside a clear equilibrium zone, where price is being compressed tightly between a well-defined demand zone below and supply zone above. This is not random price action it is a classic pause after an impulsive move, where the market is redistributing positions before revealing the next expansion leg.
The strong bullish impulse from the demand zone around 90,800–91,000 shows that buyers stepped in decisively, reclaiming control after a period of consolidation. Since then, price has respected this demand area, forming higher lows and maintaining acceptance above the short-term EMA. This behavior signals that downside pressure has been absorbed and that sellers are no longer dominant at discounted prices.
At the same time, the 92,400–92,600 supply zone is acting as a temporary ceiling. Price is reacting cautiously here, which is expected supply zones are designed to slow the market, not reverse it immediately. The current structure suggests Bitcoin may first pull back modestly toward the demand zone to rebalance liquidity and test buyer strength, rather than breaking supply impulsively on the first attempt.
If the pullback into demand is shallow and quickly bought, it would confirm bullish continuation intent. In that scenario, a second push into supply becomes highly probable, and a clean break with acceptance above this zone would open the path toward 93,000 and beyond, where higher-timeframe liquidity is resting. This aligns perfectly with a typical market cycle: impulse → consolidation → continuation.
However, as long as price remains trapped between these two zones, patience is essential. Chasing price inside the range carries unnecessary risk, as both rejection and breakout scenarios are still technically valid. The real confirmation comes only when Bitcoin either defends demand aggressively or reclaims supply decisively.
In summary, Bitcoin is not weak it is coiling. The market is building energy between demand and supply, and once this compression resolves, the resulting move is likely to be sharp and directional. Traders should stay focused on the zones, not the noise, because the next expansion phase is already being prepared.
Bitcoin Is Printing a Perfect Teacup – The Handle On the H4 timeframe, Bitcoin is forming a textbook Teacup (Cup & Handle) pattern, a classic bullish continuation structure that often appears before strong expansion phases. What makes this setup high quality is not just the shape, but the context and behavior of price inside the pattern.
The cup was formed through a prolonged corrective phase, where price transitioned from aggressive selling into a rounded base. This rounding is critical: instead of a sharp V-shaped reversal, Bitcoin spent time absorbing supply, flattening volatility, and allowing weak hands to exit. Volume gradually decreased toward the bottom of the cup and expanded again on the right side, which is a healthy characteristic of accumulation.
The impulsive rally on the right side of the cup confirms demand returning with strength. Price reclaimed the key moving average and broke out of the accumulation range decisively, signaling that buyers have regained control. This move completed the cup portion and shifted the market into the next phase of the pattern.
Currently, Bitcoin is forming the handle, visible as a shallow, downward-sloping consolidation channel. This handle is corrective, not bearish. Price is holding well above the midpoint of the cup, structure remains intact, and pullbacks are controlled. This is exactly where late sellers get trapped and early buyers reload positions.
As long as price holds above the lower boundary of the handle and does not collapse back into the cup, the bullish thesis remains valid. A breakout above the handle resistance would act as the confirmation trigger, opening the path toward the measured move target near 98,900, which aligns with the projected target on the chart.
From a cycle perspective, this pattern reflects accumulation → expansion → re-accumulation → expansion. The market has already done the hard work at the bottom; what we are seeing now is preparation, not distribution.
In summary, Bitcoin is not topping it is building pressure. The teacup pattern is structurally clean, volume behavior is supportive, and the handle is forming exactly where it should. If price breaks out of the handle with momentum, the next bullish leg could unfold rapidly, catching late participants off guard.
Bitcoin Holding Key Demand: Is This the Launchpad Hello traders! Here’s a clear technical breakdown of BTCUSD (1H) based on the current chart structure. Bitcoin is currently in a corrective phase following a sharp sell-off from the recent highs. After breaking below short-term structure, price has transitioned into range-bound consolidation, suggesting that bearish momentum is slowing rather than accelerating. The recent impulse down was followed by compression near support, a common behavior when the market is absorbing sell pressure. Despite the rejection from the mid-range resistance, price has not printed a new lower low, keeping the broader structure in a neutral-to-recovery state.
🟦 SUPPLY & DEMAND – KEY ZONES
- Major Support / Demand Zone: The 90,100–90,300 region is a well-defined support zone, where price has repeatedly reacted and found buyers. This area also aligns with previous consolidation and represents a strong demand base.
- Intermediate Resistance: The 91,600 level acts as the first key resistance. This zone previously supported price and now functions as a supply flip level.
- Upper Target / Supply: The 92,900–93,000 area is the next major upside target, aligning with prior range highs and overhead liquidity.
These levels define the potential recovery path if demand holds.
🎯 CURRENT MARKET POSITION
- Currently, BTC is trading directly above the key support zone, placing price at a high-probability reaction area. The presence of repeated wicks and small-bodied candles suggests buyer absorption, not aggressive sell continuation.
- Price is also attempting to stabilize around dynamic levels, reinforcing the idea of short-term base formation.
My scenario:
As long as Bitcoin holds above the 90,100–90,300 support zone, the current price action can be treated as a corrective base rather than bearish continuation. A sustained push above 91,600 would likely trigger a relief rally toward the 92,900–93,000 target zone.
However, a clean hourly close below the support zone would invalidate the recovery scenario and open the door for a deeper move lower, signaling renewed bearish control.
For now, the market is defending demand and waiting for confirmation.
⚠️ RISK NOTE
Support zones can fail quickly. Let price confirm strength above resistance or weakness below demand, avoid early entries, and always manage your risk.
BTC Stalls at Premium After Vertical Rally — Liquidity Below Hi Guys!! On the H1 chart, Bitcoin has just completed a strong impulsive bullish leg, breaking cleanly above the EMA 89 and accelerating straight into a clearly defined resistance zone around 95,700. This type of vertical expansion typically reflects aggressive buy-side execution, but it also leaves the market structurally imbalanced. As price reaches the resistance area, momentum noticeably slows and candles begin to compress, signaling that buyers are no longer willing to chase at premium levels while early longs start to take profit.
The current price action should be read as a post-impulse distribution and pause, not immediate trend continuation. With price holding just beneath resistance and failing to produce strong bullish follow-through, the probability increases that the market will rotate lower to rebalance. Below current price lies a series of stacked liquidity pools and inefficiencies, first around 94,080, then 93,146, and deeper toward 91,800–90,900, which also aligns closely with the rising EMA structure. These levels represent logical downside magnets where sell-side liquidity rests after the sharp rally.
From a market structure perspective, a pullback into these zones would be technically healthy, allowing Bitcoin to mitigate the imbalance created by the impulsive move and test whether demand is genuinely strong or merely momentum-driven. If price reacts positively and shows acceptance within the lower liquidity zones, that would provide a stronger base for a renewed bullish continuation later on. However, only a clean and sustained acceptance above the 95,700 resistance would invalidate the corrective scenario. Until then, Bitcoin remains in a premium consolidation phase, with downside liquidity acting as the dominant draw before the next major directional decision.
BTCUSD – Intraday Trend Continuation Setup (LONG)A) Market Summary
BTC is trading around $97k (yesterday’s close ~96.3–97.0k, +1.8% d/d) and remains firmly in a higher-timeframe uptrend that started in November (~80k → ~97k).
The latest leg higher has been driven by a combination of:
• ETF and spot demand
• CLARITY Act narrative
• Softer US macro data (CPI/PPI in line to soft, weaker retail sales)
This keeps the broader macro backdrop dovish-leaning.
Today’s economic calendar is relatively light, so flows and technical structure are the main drivers.
Key short-term risk: after a 6%+ move in ~48 hours, some mean reversion is possible.
⸻
B) BTC Structure Overview
HTF Structure (4H–Daily)
• Trend: Clean uptrend with a clear sequence of higher lows and higher highs from ~80k.
• Key breakout: Sustained break above 94.9k, the upper boundary of a previous ascending triangle.
• Key zones:
• Support: 94.9k–95k (breakout base), then 93k–93.5k
• Resistance: 97–98k (intraday highs), 100k (psychological + options magnet)
• HTF Bias: Bullish, but short-term price is somewhat extended
(daily +1.8%, weekly ~+5.6%).
LTF Structure (15M–1H)
• Price action: Consolidation range 96.5k–97.5k with higher lows after yesterday’s retail-sales impulse.
• Key average: 1H EMA 50 ~96.2k
• Intraday levels:
• Support: 96.0k–96.2k (prior close + 1H EMA)
• Resistance: 97.5k–98k (Asian + early EU session wicks)
• LTF Bias: Bullish consolidation below resistance, no clear distribution patterns yet.
⸻
C) Liquidity & Derivatives (High-Level View)
• Liquidity heatmaps:
• Long liquidation clusters above 98k–100k
• Short liquidation clusters below 95k
• Funding: Slightly positive to neutral, no extreme long crowding.
• Open Interest: Rising with price, but not at historical extremes yet
(mix of new longs and late shorts).
⸻
D) Trade Setup – Trend-Follow Long on Dip
Direction: LONG
Entry (limit): 96,200 – 96,400 (1H EMA retest / prior daily close)
Stop-loss: 95,800 (below intraday structure, ~0.4–0.5%)
Take-profits:
• TP1: 97,000 (≈1R, first resistance)
• TP2: 97,800 (≈2R)
R:R: ~1:1.5 to 1:2 depending on partial exits
Time validity: EU + US session only (until ~22:00 CET)
If entry does not trigger or price goes sideways, the setup is invalid.
Key risks:
• Unexpected negative headlines around the CLARITY Act or ETF flows
• Rapid risk-off rotation from equities sell-off (BTC correlation risk)
⸻
E) Trade Logic Summary
Macro alignment
• CPI/PPI soft to neutral, retail sales weaker
• Market pricing shifts toward earlier rate cuts
• No fresh hawkish shock → supportive for BTC and risk assets
Structure & liquidity
• HTF breakout above 94.9k from ascending triangle favors continuation toward 100k
• LTF consolidation just below 97–98k resembles a classic bull flag
Derivatives & positioning
• Funding positive but not euphoric → room for additional longs
• Prior short liquidations reset positioning and provide fuel for another squeeze
Order-book logic (inferred)
• Strong bids likely near 95k (breakout retest)
• Offer clusters expected around 98–100k, aligning with liquidity data
Flows / On-chain
• ETFs and institutions continue accumulating
(AUM ~$123B, 2026 inflows >$1B), supporting structural demand
⸻
F) Invalidation Rules
Price-based
• Hard invalidation below 95,800 (loss of LTF structure)
Time-based
• Intraday setup invalid after today’s US session close
Macro-based
• Strongly hawkish Fed commentary
• Sudden risk-off move with equities down 2–3%+ in one day
• Negative surprise in CLARITY Act developments
Order-book-based
• If heavy offers appear at 96.2k–96.4k with repeated absorption and no upside follow-through, avoid long entries.
98K IS DONE. BUT IT IS NOT SIMPLE PICTUREMorning folks,
BTC market now is becoming not suitable for intraday trading, especially with the high leverage level. By our opinion it is not a "free" market any more. Recent rally is a clear example of market makers manipulation, as you do not see this type of action on any other market. Besides, dollar even raised in those moment. Hardly BTC was so excited by CPI numbers. So the rally was without any reasons at all. Only if sudden liquidity injection happened and everybody run to buy crypto...
Anyway we suggest that BTC looks more or less natural only on long-term charts and call to not use a big leverage on this market.
Now BTC has completed AB=CD target on daily chart. But it doesn't mean yet that we're in upside reversal. We have very tricky combination, when BTC stands at strong resistance and if it closes the week under 95K area, we will get bearish grabber on weekly chart .
Thus, we do not exclude yet the action back to 75-76K lows. It means that right now we see nothing to do. For bulls it is late already as price stands at resistance and target is done. While for bears it is a bit early as need to see the market reaction first.
Bitcoin Is Building a Higher-Low StructureBitcoin on the H1 timeframe is showing a clear short-term bullish recovery structure after completing a corrective phase. Following the strong sell-off, price has stabilized, reclaimed the moving average, and is now forming higher lows along a rising trendline, indicating that buyers are gradually taking back control. Each pullback into the trendline has been met with a strong reaction, confirming that this diagonal support is actively defended. The current price action suggests Bitcoin is transitioning from correction into a trend continuation phase, rather than a simple dead-cat bounce. As long as price holds above the trendline and the higher-low structure remains intact, the market bias stays bullish, with upside targets aligned at the previous liquidity levels around 92,900, then 93,700, and potentially extending toward 94,700 if momentum accelerates. Any short-term dip toward the trendline should be viewed as a pullback within strength, not weakness. Only a decisive break and close below the trendline and the recent higher low would invalidate this bullish setup and shift the focus back to consolidation or deeper correction.
Bitcoin Is Printing Clean Higher Highs — The Trend Is Clear BITSTAMP:BTCUSD on the H1 timeframe is maintaining a strong and healthy bullish market structure, clearly defined by a sequence of higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL). After reclaiming the moving averages, price transitioned into an impulsive expansion phase, where each pullback has been shallow and corrective, followed by renewed buying pressure. The recent consolidation near the highs is not a sign of weakness; instead, it reflects a bullish pause where the market is building a higher low before the next leg up. Importantly, structure remains intact as long as price continues to hold above the most recent higher low, confirming that buyers are firmly in control and that this move is trend continuation, not exhaustion. From a structural perspective, any short-term retracement should be viewed as an opportunity for continuation rather than a reversal signal. If Bitcoin successfully holds this higher-low zone, the probability favors another impulsive push toward the next upside liquidity area around 97,200, with a further extension toward the 98,000–98,300 target zone if momentum accelerates. Only a decisive breakdown below the recent higher low would invalidate this bullish setup and shift the market into a deeper consolidation phase.
SOLANA - The battle for resistance 145. The bulls have a chanceBINANCE:SOLUSDT.P breaks resistance and tries to stay above key levels. The fundamental background for cryptocurrencies is gradually improving. What can be expected in the short and medium term?
The crypto market has received support amid progress in US regulatory initiatives: the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act has been submitted for consideration, which increases regulatory predictability and attracts institutional capital. Progress in regulation is laying the foundation for sustainable growth in the crypto market by attracting institutional capital.
Bitcoin is strengthening against the backdrop of positive news related to market regulation and is moving into a local bullish trend. Against this backdrop, SOL is breaking through consolidation resistance and attempting to stay above 143.5 - 144.7...
Resistance levels: 156.5, 160.0
Support levels: 144.7, 143.5, 142. 0
If the bulls manage to keep SOL above the key support zone of 143.5 - 144.7 after breaking through resistance and a reversal pattern forms, a rally to 155 - 160 can be considered.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Total Market Cap - Update Price has now tapped the 3.22T level exactly as anticipated.
This area was marked as the 50% Daily retracement + prior liquidity & resistance, so a reaction here was expected.
So far, the move still looks corrective, not a clean continuation.
We are seeing initial hesitation and reaction, which keeps my higher-timeframe range thesis intact for now.
Key points to watch next:
• Acceptance above 3.22T → increases odds of continuation toward higher liquidity.
• Failure to hold this level → opens the door for a range rejection and potential downside rotation back into the range.
No confirmation yet.
Patience is key here — let structure and reaction do the talking.
If you haven’t seen the previous update, make sure to check the related idea for full context.
What’s your bias from this level — continuation or rejection?
Drop a like ❤️ if you’re tracking this level and share your view in the comments 👇
MrC
Bitcoin H4 | Bullish ContinuationThe price is falling to our buy entry level at 94,586.97, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Our stop loss is set at 91,471.34, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit is set at 100,327.98, which is a pullback resistance that iss lightly above the 100% Fibonacci projection.
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (
Is Our Bitcoin Monster Trade Really Shaping Up? So Far So Good.In the last two videos, we’ve been tracking this potential monster trade 👀📈.
In this video, we take it to the next stage 🔍.
So far, everything is looking solid ✅ — we’re securing profits 💰, however the next level is a bit more delicate ⚠️ as price is now trading into a key resistance zone. A deeper pullback is definitely possible from here.
Either way, here’s a full breakdown of the charts and my current analysis 📊🧠.
Bitcoin may test 100K after rebounding from 94K Bitcoin broke through resistance, with the rally driven by improved fundamentals following news of the adoption of a law on digital asset market transparency. Technically, the market is breaking the structure, showing bullish sentiment.
Regulation creates the foundation for the growth of the crypto market by attracting institutional capital. However, it will take time and confirmation of the practical implementation of the new regulations for the market to return to its historical highs.
Scenario: a retest of 94,000 may end in a false breakout of support (break-even area). Consolidation above the above support will be a good sign of readiness for continued growth. A breakout of the local high will confirm the bullish market structure.
BTCUSD at a Decision Point On the H1 timeframe, Bitcoin is currently trading inside a clear liquidity-driven range, where both upside and downside scenarios remain technically valid, but the market is approaching a decision zone. After the prior impulsive sell-off, price formed a base at the lower range and gradually transitioned into a recovery phase, printing higher lows and reclaiming mid-range value. This behavior suggests that sell side liquidity has already been absorbed, and the market is now actively probing for the next pool of resting orders.
At present, BTC is pressing into a key equilibrium area around 92,000–92,500, which acts as a short-term inflection zone. If price can hold above the nearby support band around 91,000 and continue to build acceptance, the bullish scenario becomes dominant. In that case, Bitcoin is likely to expand higher toward the upper liquidity shelves near 93,000 and 94,200–94,500, where prior highs and buy-side liquidity are clearly resting. The projected pullbacks along this path would be corrective in nature, serving as re-accumulation before continuation.
However, failure to maintain acceptance above the current support would signal that the recent upside is merely a liquidity grab into resistance. A rejection from this zone could trigger a rotation back into the lower range, with price targeting the 90,500 area first, and potentially extending toward the deeper liquidity pool near 89,200–89,000 if bearish momentum accelerates. That downside path would represent a full range rotation rather than a trend continuation.
In summary, BTCUSD is not trending impulsively yet it is coiling within a liquidity box. Acceptance above current value favors upside continuation toward higher liquidity targets, while rejection opens the door for a deeper corrective sweep. The next sustained expansion will be defined by which side of liquidity the market chooses to reward.
AXS – From Bubble Graveyard to Loaded Spring?While most of CT is begging for “altseason,” I’m hunting the forgotten bubble charts – and NYSE:AXS is one of the juiciest.
Since the 2021 vertical blow-off, price has bled inside a clean falling channel, volatility crushed and volume dying out. Each rally has been weaker, but the compression at the bottom of the channel now looks more like quiet accumulation than fresh distribution.
Key points from the chart:
• Multi-year downtrend contained inside a broad descending channel.
• Price riding the lower boundary with a tight, flat range = seller exhaustion vibes.
• Any sustained breakout above the midline of the channel opens the door for a sharp mean-reversion move back toward prior breakdown levels.
• Invalidation for my idea is a clean weekly close outside the bottom of the channel – that would say “one more leg down” instead of “spring.”
I’m not calling for a full 2021 repeat, but structurally this is the kind of compressed, forgotten chart that can move violently when liquidity rotates.
I’ll let the market choose direction—but if buyers step in, this thing can travel a long way in a short time.
Manage risk, don’t chase green candles… and enjoy the ride. 🚀
Bitcoin at the Late Cycle CrossroadsLooking at the Bitcoin Daily chart, this structure fits extremely cleanly into the historical 4 year cycle framework, and when combined with macro liquidity conditions, it strongly suggests the market is transitioning from a markup → distribution → corrective phase, rather than preparing for an immediate exponential continuation. Across previous cycles (2013–2014, 2017–2018, 2021–2022), Bitcoin consistently topped within a rising channel, formed a series of higher timeframe bull traps, and then broke down toward the lower bound of macro support zones. The current structure is visually and behaviorally consistent with those historical precedents.
From a pure price structure perspective, Bitcoin has already completed a full impulsive expansion from the cycle low, followed by accelerated upside inside a rising channel. The highlighted orange circles on the chart mark exhaustion zones, where price pushed above trend resistance but failed to sustain acceptance. These areas historically represent late-cycle FOMO participation, where retail demand enters aggressively while smart money distributes into strength. The current price action mirrors that behavior: price remains elevated inside a channel, but momentum has clearly slowed, volatility is compressing, and bullish continuation lacks conviction.
The most important technical element on this chart is the bull trap zone marked in blue. This zone represents a scenario where price appears to be holding bullish structure but is, in reality, trading above fair value relative to liquidity distribution. In past cycles, these zones repeatedly resolved lower once macro liquidity tightened or sentiment shifted. The projected downside target toward the $60,000–$54,000 support region aligns with prior range highs, long-term demand imbalance, and historical cycle retracement depth. Importantly, this is not a bearish collapse thesis. it is a mean reversion and re-accumulation thesis, consistent with how Bitcoin resets before its final cycle leg.
From a macro standpoint, conditions are no longer as supportive as they were during the early phase of the rally. Global liquidity growth has slowed, real yields remain elevated, and central banks are transitioning from aggressive easing expectations to a more cautious stance. Historically, Bitcoin performs best when liquidity is expanding rapidly, not merely stabilizing. At the same time, ETF driven inflows have largely been front-loaded, meaning marginal demand is weakening while supply distribution increases. This combination frequently produces sideways to down corrective price action, rather than vertical upside continuation.
When combining cycle theory, macro liquidity, and technical structure, the most logical interpretation is that Bitcoin is likely entering a corrective cycle phase, not the end of the bull market, but a reset within it. A deeper pullback into the highlighted support zone would allow the market to flush weak hands, rebalance leverage, and rebuild a stronger base for the next expansion. Only a sustained acceptance above the upper channel, with expanding volume and renewed macro liquidity acceleration, would invalidate this scenario.
In short, this chart does not argue for panic or blind bearishness. it argues for discipline and patience. Late cycle rallies reward sellers, not chasers. The professional trader reads this structure as a warning: risk is asymmetric at the highs, and opportunity improves significantly closer to structural support, not inside premium distribution zones.
ETH — Price Slice. Capital Sector. 3605.61 BPC 5© Bolzen | The Architect | BPC Framework
Bolzen Market Institute
🏷 ETH — Price Slice. Capital Sector.
TradingView Publication Date: 15.01.2026
🏷 3605.61 — price not yet reached at time of publication.
🏷 BPC — The Bolzen Price Covenant — Strength Index: 5
Quantum structure of obligations and capital flow in price formation via energy blocks.
🏷 Vertical chart — Energy Grid Dashboard.
🏷 Static Stream 1: price published in energy-block production sequence.
🏷 The price energy block is already ordered—not by time, but by execution priority. Crucially: block priority dynamically reconfigures in response to hidden energetic impulses, whereas price execution order records their market manifestation. Every price in the dynamic stream is tied to proprietary energy-production metrics inaccessible to the general public. Those who perceive structure before its manifestation do not follow price—they anticipate it.
EΞ2Φ8Ψ45Θ·ζ⁻¹·106Λ732·Ω²
📎 Screenshot:
🏷 When trading from levels, use liquidity zones from BPC 10 and above.
🏷 Bolzen Liquidity Map — ETH (numerical equivalent):
🏷 I. Interactive Reference Guide: BPC — The Bolzen Price Covenant
🏷 P.S. English is not my native language — I offer no apologies for stylistic imperfections. What you see here is not a post. It is a demonstration of another level of preparation: the symbiosis of human intuition and algorithmic precision. Mathematics and aggressive market analysis — against the machine of liquidations.
The persistent ETH and BTC Energy Grid Dashboard remains publicly accessible and is intended for international institutional review.
— The Architect
BPC — The Bolzen Price Covenant
BMEX – The OG Perps Token Coiling for a Violent Mean-ReversionBitMEX birthed the perp casino long before Binance, Bybit and the rest. Its token has done what most neglected OGs do after launch: bleed inside a clean descending channel while nobody cares.
Now:
• Price has been grinding along the lower half of the channel and just put in a rounded base near the lows.
• Each push down is getting shallower, while bounces are stretching further – classic late-stage compression.
• A reclaim of the mid-channel (dotted line) opens the door for a full channel mean-reversion, with room toward the upper boundary and beyond if we see real FOMO.
In a market where new shiny memes keep rug-pulling, I’m watching the forgotten infra plays – and BMEX fits that bill: OG perp venue, tiny cap, ugly chart that finally looks ready to flip.
I’m not chasing green candles here; I’m stalking the channel break + retest for confirmation. Until then, this sits on my “potential face-melter” list.
As always: not advice, just the map. Trade your own plan.
ETH — Price Slice. Capital Sector. 3589.46 BPC 7.4© Bolzen | The Architect | BPC Framework
Bolzen Market Institute
🏷 ETH — Price Slice. Capital Sector.
TradingView Publication Date: 15.01.2026
🏷 3589.46 — price not yet reached at time of publication.
🏷 BPC — The Bolzen Price Covenant — Strength Index: 7.4
Quantum structure of obligations and capital flow in price formation via energy blocks.
🏷 Vertical chart — Energy Grid Dashboard.
🏷 Static Stream 1: price published in energy-block production sequence.
🏷 The price energy block is already ordered—not by time, but by execution priority. Crucially: block priority dynamically reconfigures in response to hidden energetic impulses, whereas price execution order records their market manifestation. Every price in the dynamic stream is tied to proprietary energy-production metrics inaccessible to the general public. Those who perceive structure before its manifestation do not follow price—they anticipate it.
EΞ2Φ8Ψ45Θ·ζ⁻¹·106Λ732·Ω²
📎 Screenshot:
🏷 When trading from levels, use liquidity zones from BPC 10 and above.
🏷 Bolzen Liquidity Map — ETH (numerical equivalent):
🏷 I. Interactive Reference Guide: BPC — The Bolzen Price Covenant
🏷 P.S. English is not my native language — I offer no apologies for stylistic imperfections. What you see here is not a post. It is a demonstration of another level of preparation: the symbiosis of human intuition and algorithmic precision. Mathematics and aggressive market analysis — against the machine of liquidations.
The persistent ETH and BTC Energy Grid Dashboard remains publicly accessible and is intended for international institutional review.
— The Architect
BPC — The Bolzen Price Covenant






















