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BTC/USDT 3-Day MIDTERM BTC/USDT 3-Day MIDTERM 1. Fractal Cycle and the "Ladder" Structure The most distinct feature of this chart is the price rising in a continuously repeating loop. In technical analysis, we call this a "Step-up" structure. The Cycle Logic: Resistance (Purple Dashed Lines): Price compresses in a specific zone, forming a resistance line (e.g., 30k, 66k, 109k). Breakout: This resistance is broken with significant volume. Confirmation & Accumulation (Red Lines & Green Arrows): After the sharp rise, the price enters a "cooling off" phase (RSI resets), tests the broken zone or the previous peak as support (Retest), and gathers strength from there to launch the next green arrow (impulse) movement. 2. Current State: The Post-126k Correction We are currently on the far right side of the chart, observing the correction process following the $126,000 level. The chart implies that the movement in the 109k - 126k zone is a fractal (replica) of previous moves like the 30k-45k or 18k-25k phases. The fact that the price is currently around $90,590 suggests we are inside a massive "bull flag" or corrective structure. Critical Levels: The $74,116 level, marked with a thick black line, is a "Rock-solid" major support point as it represents the previous cycle's peak (ATH). Price doesn't necessarily have to drop this low, but as long as it stays above this level, the Macro Trend is Bullish. At intermediate supports, we can expect the price to hold and print a reversal candle, just like in the previous cycles (indicated by the purple circles). 3. RSI Clues (Momentum) The RSI Candles indicator on the bottom panel provides a very valuable clue: Before every major rally in the past (the start of the green arrows), the RSI cooled off from overbought territory and dipped into lower zones. Currently, the RSI hovering near the bottom zones again suggests that seller exhaustion is near and the "resetting" process is coming to an end. This typically signifies that fuel is being gathered for a new wave of upside. 4. Cryptollica Summary & Expectation This chart tells us: "Don't panic, trust the structure." Bitcoin is currently digesting the previous sharp rally. According to the projection drawn by the analyst; once this correction is complete, if the past fractals (similarities) play out, the next target will be the upper band of the channel. Scenario: Once the price breaks out of the current consolidation zone (the red downtrend line), a new "Impulse" movement, depicted by the green arrow, can be expected. Core Idea: The trend is up, the structure is intact; we are simply taking a rest stop. What could be the next step? To monitor whether this structure holds, you might want to set alerts for price action in the 74k - 80k band or check if a "bullish divergence" is forming on the RSI.
by Cryptollica
WULF Macro analysis | The bigger picture | Long-term holdersNASDAQ:WULF 🎯 Price appears exhausted at the upper channel boundary. The Elliot wave pattern completes a leading diagonal, which hints at higher to go, but after a deep wave 2 pullback, which could end at the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement, $8, but a more likely target is the 0.5 Fib at $5.84 with downside momentum, also the weekly 200EMA. Breaking out above the channel would change the count and structure and be very bullish. 📈 Weekly RSI is oversold with no divergence and can remain here for months as price keeps increasing. 👉 Analysis is invalidated if we close back above $18 Safe trading
NASDAQ:WULF
by Maddox_Metrics
1
MARA Macro analysis | The bigger picture | Long-term holdersNASDAQ:MARA 🎯 Mara remains at the golden pocket support and channel lower boundary. It is below the daily pivot and 200EMA, showing the bears are in control. Price appears to be in an Elliot wave B, restricting upside targets to the 1:1 Fibonacci extensions at $106. 📈 Weekly RSI is nearing oversold with room to fall but has bullish divergence 👉 Analysis is invalidated if we close back below wave (II), $3.07 Safe trading
NASDAQ:MARA
by Maddox_Metrics
IREN Macro analysis | The bigger picture | Long-term holdersNASDAQ:IREN 🎯 Price has overextended in a macro wave 3, the strongest and most powerful move described as a “wonder to behold” by Elliotticians. Initial downside targets for wave (4) have been hit $39, the next is 0.382, $26. In the long term, we have higher to go in wave (5) with a target of the R2 weekly pivot, $111. 📈 Weekly RSI hit overbought with no divergence 👉 Analysis is invalidated if we continue into price discovery Safe trading
NASDAQ:IREN
by Maddox_Metrics
HUT Macro analysis | The bigger picture | Long-term holdersNASDAQ:HUT 🎯 A large bearish engulfing candle at major resistance saw the price drop back into the range, but the price wasted no time continuing its wave III uptrend. The next target is the $82 all-time High Volume node. 📈 Weekly RSI hit overbought and is now showing unconfirmed bearish divergence, which can take weeks to play or be negated 👉 Analysis is invalidated if we close back below the weekly pivot, $30 Safe Trading
NASDAQ:HUT
by Maddox_Metrics
$ZEC 1D Update: Post-dev drama dump ZEC update. Technically, this is a gnarly breakdown on the daily. Price has rejected the prior uptrend structure and is now putting in an impulsive leg lower, which usually means volatility is not finished yet. The bounce structure that was holding the higher lows has been lost, and we are back in “find the next real bid” mode rather than “trend continuation.” Key levels I’m watching: 400 area (roughly where price is now) is a short-term pivot, but after this kind of sell candle it often acts as overhead supply on any bounce. 300–310 remains the major higher timeframe line in the sand. That level was the launchpad for the last expansion and the cleanest demand shelf on the chart. If we tag that zone, I’m watching for a reaction (slowing momentum, reclaim attempts, and better candle structure). If 300 loses on daily closes, the market likely needs more time to rebuild and the drawdown risk increases materially. Fundamentals are messy right now and that matters for sentiment and liquidity. Multiple outlets are reporting that the entire Electric Coin Company team resigned / split following a governance dispute with Bootstrap (the nonprofit tied to ECC), and plans are being discussed around the team forming a new entity. This doesn’t “kill” Zcash from a protocol standpoint (it’s open source and other contributors exist), but it does inject real uncertainty around coordination, roadmap execution, and optics, which can amplify volatility in the token. DL News How I’m treating it: This is now a high-volatility, headline-sensitive environment. I’m not interested in guessing bottoms in the middle of a breakdown. I want to see where price stabilizes, and for me the most important read is the reaction at 300. If buyers can defend that zone and rebuild structure, it can set up the next tradable leg. If 300 fails, the market is telling us it needs a deeper reset before it can get “cooking” again.
COINBASE:ZECUSDLong
by OnchainNewsBlog
COIN Macro analysis | The bigger picture | Long-term holdersNASDAQ:COIN 🎯 Coinbase is still in a wave 2 (V), finding support at the orange trend line and weekly 200EMA, just below the weekly pivot, in the golden pocket. There is a lot of confluence here to suggest a bottom will form. Wave (v) has a target of the R3 weekly pivot at $701. 📈 Weekly RSI is below the EQ with room to fall, though it often bottoms around this area and never reaches oversold. 👉 Analysis is invalidated below wave (IV), $149 Safe trading
NASDAQ:COIN
by Maddox_Metrics
8
CLSK Macro analysis | The bigger picture | Long-term holdersNASDAQ:CLSK 🎯 Price attempted to break out of the macro triangle upper boundary but was rejected. Breaking above wave D at $24 is key to trigger the next thrust towards $42, then $80 all-time High Volume Node. Triangles are penultimate patterns found before a final strong move. Price found support at the weekly pivot and 200EMA. 📈 Weekly RSI has printed bullish divergence below the EQ, but with no strong reaction yet. This can take months to play out. 👉 Analysis is invalidated below wave E, $5.97, keeping the wave E alive. Safe trading
NASDAQ:CLSK
by Maddox_Metrics
2
CIFR Macro analysis | The bigger picture | Long-term holdersNASDAQ:CIFR 🎯 CIFR remains in a wave (4) of 3 range, near the all-time high. Wave 4s are expected to be drawn out, often being a triangle or flat correction, where most traders give their money back to the market due to whipsaw and fakeouts. 📈 Weekly RSI has printed bullish divergence above the EQ, but with no strong reaction yet. This can take months to play out sometimes. Falling below the orange trend line will negate this divergence. 👉 Analysis is invalidated if price falls below the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement at $6.35 Safe trading
NASDAQ:CIFR
by Maddox_Metrics
BTDR Macro analysis | The bigger picture | Long-term holdersNASDAQ:BTDR 🎯 After a 500%+ rally to all-time high, BTDR gave back most of its gain in a single week, alongside Bitcoin, undoing all that hard work. Price is currently finding support just above the weekly 200EMA and low-cap golden pocket, 0.786 Fibonacci retracement. The macro structure is still bullish with a series of higher highs and higher lows. Wave C of (C) appears to be underway with a target of the R3 pivot at $44 once momentum to Bitcoin and AI returns. The weekly pivot is the next resistance, $15. 📈 Weekly RSI is below the EQ with plenty of room to fall until oversold, though historically it never quite reaches this low. 👉 Analysis is invalidated if price falls below wave (B), $6, and the structure will start to look bearish. Safe trading
NASDAQ:BTDR
by Maddox_Metrics
BITCOIN (BTC) - WEEKEND RANGE WRESTLINGTrade Analysis 📅 Jan 10, 2026 | 09:56 CET 💰 Price: $90,436 📉 Weekend vibes: low volume, lower patience ⸻ A) MARKET SUMMARY — “Nothing Happens, But It Happens Slowly” 🌍 Macro & Cycle Context • Post-2024 halving, mid-cycle digestion phase 🍽️ • Long-term structure still bullish (95% supply mined), short-term reality = range prison • $90k–$95k box refuses to die • NFP came in weak (~50k) → dovish-ish, but… • ETFs said “nah” → -$1.1B outflows • Tariff ruling delayed = macro fog still thick 👉 Translation: Good story, bad timing. ⸻ 📉 Volatility & Regime (a.k.a. Weekend Chop Simulator) • Range: $90.3k–$90.7k (~0.5%) • Liquidity: Thin like instant noodles • Volume: Weekend special (~$20–30B) • Regime: CONSOLIDATION BTC is basically buffering ⏳ ⚠️ Thin liquidity = moves can be fake and rude ⸻ 🗓️ Risk Calendar • Weekend: No catalysts, only boredom • Upcoming: • Fed Jan 29 • Tariff ruling TBD (market hates TBDs) • Risk Level: 🟡 MEDIUM Low volume + unresolved macro = surprise candles possible ⸻ B) STRUCTURE — “STUCK, BUT NOT BROKEN” 🧱 HTF (Swing Context) • Trend: Bullish, but tired • Support: • $90,000 (psychological boss level) • $89,600 (recent low) • Resistance: • $91,000 (local buzzkill) • $94k–$95k (range ceiling of doom) • Bias: Neutral → Lower range acceptance ⸻ 🔬 LTF (Intraday Context) • 1H: Flat EMA, zero momentum • Support: $90,280 • Resistance: $90,746 • Bias: Neutral / Chop 👉 If you’re scalping this, you either love pain or spreads. ⸻ 💧 Liquidity Check • Shorts: $89.6k–$90k (juicy downside magnet) • Longs: $91.5k–$92k (above, but not invited yet) • Funding: Neutral (no one confident) • OI: Low (weekend nap mode) ⸻ C) TRADE AVAILABILITY • Intraday: ❌ NO EDGE • Swing: ⚠️ YES — Short-biased Why? Weekend chop = no intraday structure Lower range acceptance + ETF outflows = downside favored if support cracks ⸻ D) INTRADAY TRADE 🚫 NO TRADE Low volume + flat structure = donation environment Capital preservation > boredom trades ⸻ E) SWING TRADE SETUP — “Fade the Range Until Proven Wrong” 📉 Direction: SHORT • Entry: $90,400–$90,600 (range rejection) • Stop-Loss: $91,200 (above range high = idea invalid) • Targets: • 🎯 TP1: $89,800 (1R) • 🎯 TP2: $89,200 (2R) • 🎯 TP3: $88,500 (3R, liquidity sweep territory) ⏳ Holding: 3–7 days ⚠️ Risks: • Tariff ruling surprise → face-ripper rally • ETF inflows randomly turn back on ⸻ F) TRADE LOGIC — “Why This Isn’t Random” • Macro: Dovish NFP ≠ bullish follow-through due to ETF bleeding • Structure: Lower range test; failure likely targets $89k liquidity • Derivatives: Neutral funding + low OI → shorts not overcrowded • Order Book: Watching $90k for absorption vs breakdown • Flows: ETFs still exiting → institutions on pause, not buying dips ⸻ G) INVALIDATION — “How This Trade Dies” ❌ Trade is invalid if: • Price: BTC > $91,200 (range reclaim) • Time: Still stuck by EOD Jan 13 (pre-Fed noise) • Macro: Tariff ruling bullish + ETF inflows resume • Order Book: $90k absorbs aggressively and refuses to break ⸻ 🧠 TL;DR — THE TRADER VERSION • BTC is not bullish, not bearish — just annoying • Weekend chop = no intraday plays • Swing short valid only if $90k starts slipping • Until then: patience, alerts, coffee ☕
Short
by minno91
Bitcoin Update. Bitcoin Update. Bitcoin is reacting to a strong supply zone, resulting in a short-term rejection. Despite this, the price remains above the ascending support trendline, maintaining the bullish structure. A bounce off the trendline could initiate a new upward move. However, a clean breakout with confirmation from the current pattern would be the key signal for a strong continuation of the bullish trend in the market. ⚠️ Until then, expect consolidation with volatility—patience and confirmation are crucial.
Long
by CryptoSanders9563
Bitcoin Trapped Between Supply and Demand — Range Resolution Bitcoin (BTCUSD) on the H1 timeframe is currently trading inside a clearly defined range structure, following the previous impulsive rally and subsequent corrective decline. The market has transitioned from trending conditions into balance, with price oscillating between strong resistance and support zones. On the upside, BTC continues to face heavy supply around the 91,600–92,000 resistance zone. Multiple rejection wicks and failed attempts to reclaim this area confirm that sellers are actively defending this level, preventing bullish continuation for now. On the downside, price is repeatedly finding bids near the 89,200–89,600 support zone, which aligns with prior demand and acts as a liquidity buffer. This zone has absorbed selling pressure several times, keeping the market from breaking down impulsively. Currently, price is trading near the mid-range around 90,700–90,900, close to the EMA 50. This is a high-risk area for entries, as price can rotate aggressively toward either boundary of the range without warning. Bearish scenario: Rejection from the 91,200–91,600 resistance zone, followed by continuation lower, opens downside targets toward 89,200, with extension risk toward 88,400–87,600 if support fails. Bullish scenario: A clean break and acceptance above 92,000, followed by a successful pullback, would invalidate the range and open upside toward 93,900–94,500. For now, Bitcoin remains in range-trading conditions. Patience is essential — the highest-probability opportunities will come from confirmed breakouts or breakdowns, not from trading the middle of the range.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by BlackGoldMarket
1
Bitcoin Hits High-Timeframe Demand — Bounce or Breakdown?Price is reacting from a well-defined high-timeframe demand zone around 89,400–89,700, where sell-side momentum has slowed after a sharp bearish impulse. This area is a key liquidity pool that previously fueled strong upside expansion. A bullish reaction from this demand zone could trigger a corrective recovery toward 90,800–91,600, with further upside extension possible toward 92,300 and 93,200 if buyers regain control. However, a decisive break and close below 89,400 would invalidate the demand, exposing deeper downside toward 88,800–88,400. Price behavior at this zone will be critical in determining whether this move is accumulation or the start of a larger bearish continuation.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by BlackGoldMarket
2
Bitcoin Breakdown Confirmed — Liquidity Below Is CallingPrice is firmly respecting the descending trendline, confirming a clear bearish market structure after the breakdown from the prior high. Selling pressure remains dominant, with each recovery failing to reclaim structure. A corrective pullback toward the 90,400–90,600 area may occur, but this zone is expected to act as sell-side resistance as long as price remains below the downtrend line. Failure to reclaim the trendline keeps the bearish bias intact, opening the path toward the liquidity range at 89,200–88,200. A decisive break below this range would expose the major support zone around 87,000–86,800, where a stronger reaction may finally emerge. Only a strong close above the trendline would invalidate the short-term bearish scenario.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by XauMasterNetwork
1
Bitcoin Is Building a Base — Accumulation Before the Next PushPrice is consolidating above the key support zone around 89,800–90,000, showing clear signs of selling pressure absorption after the recent sell-off. Volume behavior suggests potential accumulation rather than aggressive distribution. As long as price holds above 89,800, the bullish scenario remains favored. A clean break and acceptance above 91,200–91,500 would confirm upside momentum, opening the path toward 93,000, followed by the major target near 94,700–95,000. Only a decisive breakdown below 89,800 would invalidate the bullish setup. For now, buyers appear to be positioning for the next expansion leg to the upside.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by XauMasterNetwork
2
A Familiar Scenario — Downtrend Remains the Dominant BiasBitcoin is now firmly trading in a clear downtrend, which is the main narrative on the H1 timeframe. After failing to hold above the prior highs, price has transitioned from a bullish expansion into a sequence of lower highs and lower lows, confirming that sellers have taken control of market structure. Recent price action shows repeated rejection from former support levels, which are now acting as resistance. Each recovery attempt is corrective and short-lived, reinforcing the idea that the broader bias remains bearish rather than range-bound or bullish. The structure clearly favors continuation to the downside. Pullbacks lack momentum, while bearish legs are impulsive and decisive a classic sign of trend strength. Price is currently consolidating below a key resistance area, suggesting distribution before continuation, not accumulation. The highlighted range between $80,000 – $91,000 reflects temporary consolidation within a downtrend, not a stable trading range. As long as price remains capped below the upper boundary, downside pressure is expected to persist. Resistance: 91,000 – 91,500 (key structural resistance) 94,800 (major trend invalidation level) Support: 87,500 – 88,000 (next downside target) Below this zone opens room for further bearish extension ➡️ Primary Scenario (Downtrend Continuation): Price remains below the 91k resistance and continues to form lower highs. A breakdown from the current consolidation would likely trigger the next bearish leg, extending toward the 87.5k area and potentially lower. ⚠️ Risk Scenario: Only a strong bullish breakout and acceptance back above 91.5k would invalidate the downtrend narrative. Until that happens, upside moves should be treated as corrective rallies within a bearish trend.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Mathew_TraderGold
2
Bitcoin Is Holding Demand — Bulls May Be Setting Up the Next Price is reacting positively from a well-defined demand zone around 89,700–90,000, where selling pressure has been absorbed after the recent pullback. Despite the prior correction, the broader structure remains constructive as buyers defend this key area. A sustained hold above the demand zone opens the door for a bullish recovery toward 91,400–92,300, where price may pause near the EMA and prior intraday resistance. If bullish momentum strengthens and price breaks and closes above 92,300, the upside continuation scenario comes into play, targeting 93,200–93,700 as the next expansion zone. As long as price holds above 89,700, the upside scenario remains the primary focus.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Raphael_TraderGOLD
1
Bitcoin Breaks Structure — Is a Deeper Correction Unfolding?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) on H1 has shifted from a strong bullish trend into a clear corrective phase. After failing to hold above the 94,000–94,500 resistance zone, price reversed sharply, breaking below key moving averages and confirming that upside momentum has faded. The market is now respecting a descending trendline, with lower highs forming — a classic sign that sellers have taken short-term control. Price is currently trading below both the fast and slow moving averages, reinforcing the bearish bias. At present, BTC is approaching a key support zone around 89,200–89,600, which previously acted as a demand base during the prior rally. This area is critical: it may trigger a short-term bounce, but a clean break below would confirm a deeper structural correction. Bearish scenario: As long as price remains below the descending trendline and fails to reclaim 90,400, continuation toward the 89,200 support zone is likely. A confirmed breakdown would open further downside toward 87,100–86,800. Bullish scenario: A short-term relief bounce may occur from the support zone. However, only a strong reclaim above 91,200 and acceptance back above the moving averages would invalidate the bearish setup and suggest a trend reset. For now, Bitcoin is in sell-the-rally mode. Patience and discipline are essential — the highest-probability opportunities will come from trendline rejections or confirmed support breaks, not from chasing volatile bounces.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by RexTraderGOLD
1