[XAUUSD] Bearish Bias · Techincals → ICT ConceptsFundamental Point of View:
Yesterday a new news came out of about US and Venezuela escalation.
We can look a All rime High Break soon with the current esclation.
Technical Point of view
We have a strong Resistance of 4400 If it stays strong we can see a little bearish pressure of 100 points.
Better sells are after break and retest of sell side liquidity till the 4H POI.
setup fails if we break resistance and break a new higher high in a small Time Frame like 1H or 15m.
**Key notes to keep in mind:**
1. Gold might just go straight bullilsh with the weekend blast in Venezuela.
2. It can only be bearish as the country cant defend and USA might just take over.
3. There are the greedy market makers sitting to buy more gold with small reasons of war
**Current Market Overview:**Technically we have a sell side liquidity to take out and retest the **4H POI**. we also have a strong resistance at 4400 which if is broken we will stop looking for buys. we also have trapped early buyers with SL under Sell side liquidity.'
Fundamentally we are bearish with on going interest rates and unemployment rates but with the recent news of Venezuela changes the temporary interest.
lets take a look at different Time frames
**1H TF:**
! (pub-af2db00230534f4fbfd125b3270d1627.r2.dev)
we have a Buyers trapped at ATH then now at the Resistance. we can have a breaish break downside ti
ll 4H POI within This week.
**15M TF:**
! (pub-af2db00230534f4fbfd125b3270d1627.r2.dev)
we have a small order block zone where if we a see a rejection and a lower low break we should place sell with sl in last candle high
**5M TF:**
! (pub-af2db00230534f4fbfd125b3270d1627.r2.dev)
well we have a 5% chance on this to work as we are going to see a high volatilty on market open days arent like old anymore.
**Overall Scenario:**
we are looking for sells only if we are respecting the 4H resistance at 4400 and breaking any Lower Low is another opportunity to trades.
**How will setup fail?**
simple if 4400 level is broken and a new higher high is created on the lower time frame the setup gets invalid
Btc-e
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #255👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s move on to Bitcoin analysis. The market has finally started a trend and can give us trading opportunities.
⏳ 1-hour timeframe
On Bitcoin, we had two entry points. The first was the break of 89,040, and the second was the break of 90,373.
⚖️ If you opened a position with either of these triggers, your position is now in profit and you can take profit.
💥 At the moment, Bitcoin is dealing with the 91,585 zone, and given the bullish momentum present in the market, the probability of breaking this level is high.
✨ In case 91,585 breaks, we can open a long position. This trigger will be riskier compared to the previous triggers we had.
💡 For now, Bitcoin’s trend on the LWC has turned bullish, and this trend can continue. However, if the move turns out to be a fake and price stabilizes below 90,373, we can take confirmation of a bearish shift in price.
📊 In that case, we can look for short triggers, but until then, I am not focusing on short positions for now.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
BTC 1W Update: Looking good here, but don't lose the bigger picBitcoin is clearly pumping on the weekly, and that’s constructive to see after the recent pullback. Momentum has picked up, and the bounce off the lows shows that buyers are still very much present in this market.
That said, it’s important not to get distracted by the green candles alone. Price is currently sitting near the middle of the larger higher-timeframe range, around the dotted line area. This is not a breakout zone, it’s the heart of the range where chop and back-and-forth price action are most common.
Structurally, Bitcoin is still consolidating between major resistance near the 108k area and major support down around 73k. Until price can decisively reclaim the upper range and build acceptance above it, this remains a choppy environment rather than a clean trend.
This is exactly why buying dips has worked well, while chasing strength in the middle of the range tends to be lower quality. Pumps inside ranges feel exciting, but they often fade back into value just as quickly.
So while the current move higher is a positive sign, the broader context hasn’t changed yet. We’re still in chop land, and patience plus disciplined dip buying continues to be the higher probability approach until the range resolves.
USDT Dominance: Breakout Retest?Watching USDT dominance closely here.
If this move turns out to be a clean breakout followed by a retest, a bounce toward the 5.60% area would make sense. That scenario would likely line up with BTC cooling off into the 94–95k zone.
On the other hand, a continued breakdown in USDT.D toward the 5.20–5.00% range would be the more constructive outcome for risk. That would suggest capital rotating back into crypto and could open the door for BTC to push higher into the 97–102k area.
For now, it’s a waiting game — the reaction around these levels should give the next directional clue.
BTC/USDT - Demand Holding Strong (18.12.2025)📝 Description🔹 Market Structure WHITEBIT:BTCUSDT
BTC has formed a clear Double Bottom pattern inside a strong demand / support zone, signaling potential trend exhaustion on the downside. Price respected the support zone multiple times
Momentum is attempting to shift from sellers to buyers. This structure favors a bullish reversal if confirmation holds.
📌 Trade Plan 🟢 Bullish above the support zone
Entry Idea: Buy on pullback / breakout confirmation above trendline
🟢 1st Resistance: 91,900 – 92,000
🟢 2nd Resistance / Target: 94,100 – 94,200
#Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #CryptoTrading #DoubleBottom #PriceAction #SupportResistance #CryptoAnalysis #TradingView #Kabhi_TA_Trading
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only.
Crypto markets are volatile — always use proper risk management and a stop-loss.
❤️ Support the Work👍 Like if you see the reversal💬 Comment: Bullish or Fakeout? 🔁 Share with your crypto friends
BTCUSDT – 4H Chart Update. BTCUSDT – 4H Chart Update
BTC is showing strength after holding the $84.6K–$85.8K demand zone multiple times (strong buy interest visible).
Price is now moving higher with short-term bullish momentum.
🔹 Support: 85.8K / 84.6K
🔹 Resistance: 93.5K–94K zone
🔹 Bias: Bullish above support, pullbacks are buy-on-dips
As long as BTC holds above the marked support, upside continuation remains likely.
Risk management is key ⚠️
BTC. New Year, New Confidence. Signal after 266 days!BTC, has left everyone in euphoria last 2025 when it hit another milestone -- hitting a new ATH at 126000. Like with any parabolic high HIGHS; we know what would come after, tame the public excitement and correct -- and a hefty one at that, BTC slashing 36% off its peak touching 80k levels again.
But its all part of the process, and normal cycles come and go. But sometimes, not without a collateral damage, unless you have timed the market with utmost precision.
As we enter a New Year, new reset of confidence comes into play.
Based on recent long term metrics, BTC is creating another higher baseline from the current levels. As per our diagram above, a new bull signal has resurfaced. The last bull signal was from 266 days ago so this re-appearance is very special.
Current price range is conveying some good seeding opportunity from this accumulation zone. I expect solidification of this ascending baseline as we move forward followed by a significant price growth from here on.
The Market hints of generosity as we entered a new season.
Spotted price: 87k.
Mid Target 150k.
TAYOR.
Trade safely.
BITCOIN - where to from here?
I haven’t been this excited in a long time. There are many fundamentals lining up, and with a new year starting, Bitcoin is sitting in a very interesting position.
We’ve seen a short-term rally over the past 48 hours, not just in Bitcoin but across many altcoins, which are finally showing strength. The question everyone is asking is simple: did we buy the bottom, do we hold or sell, or what happens next?
The truth is, certainty doesn’t exist in these markets. Crypto is a constant guessing game, and we’re always sitting ducks. That volatility is exactly why the opportunity exists, as long as you understand the fundamentals.
The first fundamental I want to highlight is session-based liquidity. Asian markets have been closed, and when Japan opens ahead of broader Asia and Hong Kong, those first 60–90 minutes often set the tone. Watching how Japan leads into China and Hong Kong, then transitions into London and finally New York, will be critical. Be prepared for a lot of volatility.
From a market structure perspective, there is still a lot of liquidity sitting below the current price, particularly around the weekly POC near $87,500. Because we’ve spent so long ranging and sweeping both highs and lows, it’s easy to fall into the mindset that price will always come back to clean every liquidity pocket. It wouldn’t surprise me to see a sweep down to the $85,900 area to hunt the stops sitting around $86,400 beneath the lows. Then once we push, it’s important to remember that if you sneak into the lows and snag a long, price actually does go up for longer than 24 hours. Remove the scar tissue from the past few months and enjoy the ride up. Just stay alert, but be mindful not to exit too early, because once it goes, it really effing goes.
Anyone who’s lived through a true bullish cycle knows there’s always a tipping point. Eventually, liquidity gets left behind, and those who stayed positioned from lower levels are rewarded aggressively.
So what happens next?
My base case is a final sweep lower to grab remaining untapped liquidity. This recent move feels more like an entrée than the main course. Across broader markets, commodities, metals, and traditional finance have all been ripping, while Bitcoin has been left behind.
I don’t believe that’s accidental. The price suppression has been intentional, driven by thin liquidity conditions. But the signs are now there. I believe the great rotation of liquidity back into Bitcoin is already underway.
I do expect Bitcoin to push higher and ultimately break above the $100k region, and I think that move will catch a lot of people off guard.
In the short term, I’m watching for a quick sweep of the lows around Monday or Tuesday, possibly even earlier. After that, I believe the next leg higher will be aggressive.
Because of that, it’s critical to have limit orders planned, risk clearly defined, and a strong understanding of where liquidity sits. I do not believe we’re heading back to the low $70k region yet. The prolonged chop and lack of liquidity over recent months strongly suggest a higher floor has already been established.
In short, I’m extremely excited to see how markets open on Monday. Whether the sweep comes during Asia, London, or the US session remains to be seen. But the key takeaway is this: liquidity is returning, and we’re starting to see continuation rather than violent, isolated spikes.
If you’re already in long positions, pay yourself. Protect your downside. Because when that remaining liquidity is taken, it can happen fast.
My plan is simple: look for the sweep, then position for expansion. I’ll be looking to add to longer-term positions in Bitcoin, Solana, Ethereum, and select altcoins once that process plays out.
The market feels close to shifting gears.
Regards, ENTRYLAB
Bitcoin: a view through the yearly and monthly timeframesHappy New Year, traders and investors!
I wish you profitable trades, confidence in your abilities, calmness, clarity, and steady progress throughout the year — and, of course, good luck.
The new year has begun, and it’s a good moment to look at the yearly and monthly charts to understand where it makes sense to consider assets from an investment perspective.
On both the yearly and monthly timeframes, the buyer initiative remains intact. The yearly initiative is wide, spanning 15,476–126,199. Key yearly levels are 70,837 (50% of the initiative) and 69,000 (the upper boundary of the previous initiative). Below, a buyer zone is formed with its upper boundary at 48,189.
The year 2025 closed on declining volume, indicating a lack of active selling pressure and preserving conditions for a potential renewal of buyer initiative.
On the monthly timeframe, the buyer initiative also remains valid (74,508–126,199). The current price is around 89,256, where a buyer reaction is possible. The next important level below is 74,508.
For long-term positions, it would be reasonable to wait for a price decline and interaction with the yearly levels 70,837–69,000, or even the buyer zone near 48,189. In these areas, it makes sense to look for buy patterns, with targets at 109,608 and a retest of 126,199.
Profitable trades!
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis (IA) method.
Quick Bitcoin analyseBitcoin is testing the $90.3k S/R level again, but this time we're seeing 4h candles closing above the EMA200. If this level holds, I expect a clean break toward $95k and $100k after (local high of HTF trading area). Once $90.3k is confirmed as support, everything will pump.
CRYPTOCAP:ETH 4h time frame:
ETH moved into a new trading area between ~$3050 and ~$3250 and is around the mid of the range atm...
No fomo... Wait for confirmations to scalp around the mid... But when it comes back to the lower range around ~$3050 (and bounce on EMA200 on the 4h), Major Highcaps will pump... Keep an eye on that level... ✍️
Yellow PathLooking for a fakeout rally up to ~100,000k before we start the next leg down. Yellow path is most likely at this point.
$87,000 is a big long-term support so it makes sense that we are getting a knee jerk reaction to buying around this support. I am in the camp that crypto is in a bear market, so I believe this will be a shorting opportunity.
BTCUSDT (W1)🔍 Market Structure
For many months, the uptrend has been in a channel – clear higher highs and higher lows.
A breakout from the uptrend channel → indicates a change in market structure (BOS) to weekly.
The current move is a correction after a downward impulse, not a new uptrend.
➡️ HTF Bias: BEARISH / Corrective
🧱 Key Levels
🟢 Resistance (now resistance)
98,000 – 100,000 → former support, currently flipping to resistance
109,000 → strong weekly supply / EQ of the previous range
~125,000 → upper band of the old channel (unrealistic without a change in structure)
🔴 Support
85,400 → current reaction zone (local demand)
74,300 → key weekly demand, a very important level
Below: ~68–70k (another HTF zone – not marked, but logical)
📉 Price Action
Strong, impulsive bearish candle + long lower wick → liquidations + panic sell
No strong upward momentum after the rebound → weak demand
Current move = bear flag / bear range
➡️ This does NOT look like the end of the correction.
📊 Volume
High volume on the decline → distribution
Declining volume on the bounce → no real buyers
➡️ Classic pattern: dump → weak bounce → continuation
📈 Indicators
Stochastic RSI (W1)
In the oversold zone, but:
No strong bullish cross + no price impulse
➡️ May grind low for many weeks
CHOP
Falling → market preparing for a bigger move
Direction still more down than up
🧠 Scenarios
🟥 Baseline scenario (most likely)
Rejection 98-100k
Return to 85k
Test 74k
Only then the decision is made: bounce vs. Deeper bear market
🟩 Alternative scenario (less likely)
Weekly close above 100k
Retest of 98k as support
Only then can we consider 109k
❗ Key takeaways
❌ This is not a good time to go long on HTF
❌ The current rebound is a pullback, not a reversal
✅ Shorts only on retests of resistance
✅ Spot DCA only makes sense at 74k ±
#MANTA [RR: 1/5] Price reversal and new growth BINANCE:MANTAUSDT
There is a 5-wave cycle with an elongated 3rd wave and a corrective (protracted) 4th wave.
At the moment, the asset has completed the movement of wave 5 and has shown signs of a reversal in the long direction at the 1.618 extension level.
If we look at W1, we see that the volume nodes (HVN) coincide with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level. This adds weight to the argument that the asset has just completed wave 5.
I am considering a move to HVN (0.12), which gives a risk/reward ratio of 1/5.
I do not rule out manipulative movements.
Bitcoin's next move in the medium term..Given the end of wave three in the microwaves of the main wave, I expect an upward movement until the Fibonacci range is marked, and then it corrects towards the $70,000 to $75,000 range, and after completing the regular flat pattern, we see the beginning of wave five..
The range of $108,000 to $110,000 could be a good place to exit..
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #254👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s move on to Bitcoin analysis. The market is finally starting its move.
⏳ 1-hour timeframe
After Bitcoin broke the 89,040 zone yesterday and managed to stabilize above it, it has now reached its main resistance.
✨ This main resistance is located at 90,373, and so far, on this timeframe, the price has touched it twice.
💡 After reaching 90,373, volume has decreased and the price is currently resting.
💥 However, if volume increases again, given the bullish momentum that has entered the market, the probability of breaking 90,373 increases.
✔️ So, with the break of 90,373, we can open a long position.The next resistance zone for Bitcoin will be 93,789.
🧩 But if Bitcoin gets rejected from 90,373, we can open positions using trend change and Dow Theory triggers.
⭐ The triggers we currently have as the main triggers for Bitcoin turning bearish are the 87,345 and 86,855 zones.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.















