TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #259Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
After a long break, let’s get back to Bitcoin analysis. This analysis is based on the daily timeframe.
Daily Timeframe
On the daily chart, Bitcoin’s trend turned bearish after stabilizing below 108,000, and the first bearish leg played out down to 85,000.
After a period of consolidation and a corrective move up to 97,000, Bitcoin started its next leg lower by breaking the 85,000 low, pushing price down to 76,000.
The 76,000 zone is a very important support area for Bitcoin and overlaps with the 0.618 Fibonacci Extension. We also have another support level around 72,000, so overall we can consider a major support range between 72,000 and 76,000.
A clean break of this zone would give us strong confirmation of a bearish trend, and if that happens, Bitcoin would officially enter a bearish cycle. As discussed before, this downside move could extend as far as 44,000.
At the same time, during this bearish leg, the RSI has dropped to its support around 22.27 and is now sitting at a momentum support level. If price continues to move lower without consolidation and RSI breaks below 22.27, we could see a very sharp sell-off.
Given the strength of the bearish trend, the next downward move could extend toward 65,000, 60,000, or even 53,000.
Personally, I’ll be looking to open short positions on a break below 76,000. However, if price fakes a breakdown in the 72,000–76,000 range, or finds support there and starts forming higher highs and higher lows, we can look for long opportunities on lower timeframes—because this 72k–76k zone is a very strong support area and won’t be easy to break.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Btc-e
USDT: are we due for a relief rally? key levels to monitorMarket Cap USDT Dominance. Ready for a crypto relief rally or is fear just getting started? While majors cooled off after the latest macro jitters and profit taking, traders have been hiding in stables, and dominance spiked hard according to market data. Now price is stalling right at the local highs, so this level suddenly matters a lot.
On the 4H chart we’ve got a vertical pump into 7.1–7.3% plus RSI sitting in overbought and already curling down – classic “too much, too fast” vibes. Biggest volume shelf is down around 6.3–6.4%, so any unwind of fear can send dominance back into that value zone, which usually means a bounce for BTC and alts. I might be wrong, but current structure looks more like a blow‑off than the start of a calm uptrend.
My base case ✅ rejection below 7.2% and a pullback toward 6.4% and possibly 6.2%, where I’d look to add risk on strong coins. Trigger for me is a 4H close back under 7.0% with RSI dropping from overbought. ⚠️ If buyers smash through 7.3% and hold above, then I’ll respect the squeeze, expect 7.5%+ on dominance and stay defensive on alt exposure.
USDCAD Breakout DoneUSDCAD is showing a bullish reversal structure after breaking out of a sustained descending channel, with price reclaiming short term resistance and forming higher lows, signaling a shift from bearish control into accumulation and early trend transition. The recent upside momentum aligns with firm US dollar demand driven by resilient US economic data, elevated Treasury yields, and cautious risk sentiment, while the Canadian dollar faces mixed pressure from fluctuating crude oil prices, softer growth expectations, and a more measured Bank of Canada stance compared to prior tightening cycles. Technically this breakout and consolidation above former supply suggests a classic breakout retest scenario, where the market is building acceptance before continuation, favoring bullish momentum, trend reversal, liquidity grab recovery, and higher high expansion setups as long as price holds above the reclaimed zone, keeping upside targets in play with dip buying interest and sustained USD strength supporting further gains.
AUDUSD Still PumpingAUDUSD is trading in a strong bullish continuation phase after a clean impulsive breakout, with price currently consolidating above the previous resistance zone that has now flipped into short term support, signaling healthy price acceptance rather than exhaustion. The sharp rally reflects improving risk sentiment, sustained weakness in the US dollar, and supportive fundamentals from Australia including stable RBA policy expectations, resilient labor data, and strength in commodity-linked currencies, while recent US macro data continues to fuel speculation around future Fed easing which keeps downside pressure on USD. Technically this structure favors a pullback and continuation scenario, where shallow retracements are being absorbed by buyers, momentum remains intact, and higher highs with higher lows confirm trend strength, making bullish continuation, trend following, breakout retest, and buy the dip strategies favorable as long as price holds above the key support area and maintains bullish market structure toward higher targets.
Bitcoin: mean-reversion play? key levels and targets aheadBitcoin. Who survived that liquidation nuke and who’s still coping with the PnL trauma? After the latest cascade of longs getting wiped and headlines about cooling ETF flows and tighter liquidity, sentiment flipped from euphoria to “get me out.” That’s exactly when I start hunting for mean‑reversion plays.
On the 4H chart we just bounced off a chunky demand block around 76–77k, with a clear volume spike on the low and RSI crawling out of oversold. Price is now camping under the first supply zone near 79.5–80k, right where the last dump accelerated. That combo looks like a classic relief‑rally setup, so I’m leaning short‑term long, aiming back into the 81–82.5k high‑volume area.
My plan: I want a small dip toward 77.5–78k to join buyers, with invalidation under 76k. Base case – squeeze into 81–82.5k, maybe even a wick toward 83.5k, where I’d start scaling out. If 76k breaks on strong volume, I drop the long idea and look for the next flush into 74–75k support. I might be wrong, but fading a freshly washed‑out Bitcoin has rarely aged well. ✅
Bitcoin topped versus Gold 11 months ago.On the bright side the cyclical bear market of #BTC vs #GC is actually closer to the end, rather than just starting.
Bitcoin has already lost tremendous value vs the Analog SOV
With previous cyclical Bears lasting maximum 14 months.
Which by that time I believe one if not both of these targets will be met.
The troubling aspect is.
If BTC achieves target 2 --- then once could argue a Double top has formed.
And any subsequent bounce/recovery rally should be treated with suspicion.
And furthers declines and retest of this target 2, could open up the trapdoor for a SECULAR Bear market taking us into 2027 before any meaningful recovery can begin.
This is a merely observation of what has happened and what is currently unfolding with early (pre-coinbase launching) BTC investors unloading supply most of 2025 into their perceived six figure objective.
$100K was always the dream!
Will they buy back next bear?
I suspect only if it becomes cheap enough.
What is cheap for an OG?
BTC Bounce From Demand – Watching Continuation Into Upper ZoneBitcoin reacted strongly from a marked demand area after an extended move down, showing a shift in short-term momentum. Price is now pushing upward into a previously active resistance zone, where reactions have occurred before.
The chart outlines a scenario where price continues moving from the lower demand zone toward higher supply, using the highlighted areas as potential reaction points along the way. The shaded risk-to-reward example is only for visual planning, showing how structure can be mapped between zones — not a guarantee of outcome.
If price maintains strength above the reclaimed mid-level, continuation toward the upper zone becomes more likely. However, hesitation or rejection near resistance could lead to another rotation back into the range.
These zones represent areas of prior market interest, and how price behaves when revisiting them can provide useful information about short-term direction. Patience and confirmation around these levels help avoid getting caught in choppy movement between zones.
BTC Moving Between Key Zones – Monitoring Reaction at Upper RangBitcoin is currently rotating between clearly defined supply and demand areas, with price recently bouncing from a lower demand zone and pushing back into mid-range resistance. The chart highlights how price has been respecting these zones, using them as turning points during intraday movement.
The latest move shows bullish momentum building off the lows, but price is now approaching an upper resistance area where reactions have occurred before. How price behaves here can help define whether the move continues higher through the range or if another pullback develops.
The projected path on the chart is simply a visual example of how price may travel between marked zones based on current structure. These areas are not guarantees — they are locations where market participants have previously shown strong interest.
Staying patient around these levels and waiting for clear price behavior can help avoid getting caught in the middle of range movement.
Bitcoin Is Not Bouncing — It’s Sliding Inside a Bearish ChannelBitcoin remains firmly trapped inside a well-defined descending channel, and the structure is doing exactly what a controlled bearish market is supposed to do: lower highs, lower lows, and weak corrective bounces.
From a price structure standpoint, the recent sell-off was impulsive, breaking multiple short-term supports and accelerating price into the lower half of the channel. The bounce we are seeing now is purely corrective, capped below the descending channel resistance and the dynamic EMA, which is acting as active supply, not support.
The orange projection highlights the most probable path:
- A weak relief rally toward channel mid / EMA resistance
- Followed by continuation lower, targeting the next liquidity pocket
The highlighted horizontal zone around 74,500–75,000 is not strong demand, it is a reaction zone, already tested and partially consumed. Once price revisits this area again, the probability favors acceptance below, opening the door toward the next major liquidity magnet near 71,900.
Trend & Momentum Context:
Trend bias: Bearish (lower timeframe)
Market behavior: Controlled distribution, not capitulation
No structural sign of accumulation (no base, no absorption, no higher low)
Macro & Liquidity Logic:
Risk assets are currently repricing under tighter financial conditions and reduced speculative appetite. Until Bitcoin reclaims the upper boundary of the descending channel with acceptance, any bounce should be treated as sell-side liquidity, not trend reversal.
Key Takeaway:
This is not a dip to buy blindly. As long as Bitcoin remains inside this descending channel, rallies are reactions, and continuation risk points lower. The market is leaking liquidity patiently, structurally, and without panic.
Support and Resistance in relation to SMCIn this video I go through a bit of my analysis as it pertains to the concepts of Support and Resistance, and how I use those ideologies to further add confluence to my bias, narrative, and trade setups.
This is in no way a p*ssing contest. Any combination of factors can create a positive edge, especially when experience comes into play. However, I prefer to actually understand what price is doing rather than rely on patterns alone.
- R2F Trading
ISM PMI Comes Into Expansion: FAKE-OUT !?it appears crypto is getting overly optimistic as the ISM Manufacturing PMI ended 26 months of contraction with the January 2026 reading of 52.6
note the ISM gave a similar reading in January 2025 when it came in at 50.9 and then went straight down.
also happened with March 2024 when it came in at 50.3
note CRYPTOCAP:BTC had a dramatic drop the following months in 2024 and 2025 when the ISM subsequently came in lower.
in order for to confirm the business cycle is actually picking up, we need several prints well above 50, otherwise this is just a fake-out like prior times we've seen this.
Bearish continuation?Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 83,564.08
1st Support: 75,639.09
1st Resistance: 86,951.84
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
Bitcoin ... What nextWhat the chart is showing:
Clear lower highs and lower lows, bearish market structure intact
Price rejected hard from the prior range high and supply zone
Breakdown from a rising trendline confirms structure failure
Volume expanded on the sell-off, pointing to distribution rather than a fake move
Momentum remains weak and capped, with no sustained bullish follow-through
Key takeaways:
This looks like a range breakdown, not a healthy pullback
Until price can reclaim and hold above prior structure, rallies are sell-side reactions
Current area is a decision zone, either short-term relief or continuation lower
Bias: Cautious to bearish until structure flips
Plan: Patience. Let the market show acceptance or rejection before committing.
Not prediction, just reading structure.
IS BITCOIN ABOUT TO CREATE A MASSIVE PUMP!?? (or dump first?) Yello Paradisers! Enjoy the video!
And Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable.
Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
Bitcoin at High-Probability Reversal Zone – Long Setup in PlayAs I expected in the previous idea , Bitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started declining and reached its full target.
Right now, Bitcoin has entered the heavy support zone($78,260-$70,080). Generally, strong support and resistance zones don’t break with just one attempt. On a daily timeframe, this is the second attack, but on the 4-hour timeframe, this is the first. We can expect a corrective move upward before Bitcoin attempts another attack on this key zone.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, it appears that Bitcoin is completing wave 5.
Also, we can see a positive Regular Divergence (RD+) between two consecutive valleys.
I expect Bitcoin to start rising from the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage ($75,000-$74,000) and fill the CME Gap($84,560-$--,---) that will be formed once financial markets open.
Note: If tensions escalate operationally in the Middle East, we could suddenly see Bitcoin sharply decline and lose its heavy support zone($78,260-$70,080).
What do you think—can Bitcoin drop below $70,000, or is this a good buying area?
Target: $78,614
Stop Loss(SL): $71,117
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $80,000-$79,260
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $86,170-$84,760
Points may shift as the market evolves
💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 4-hour time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
BTCSince my first forecast regarding the BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P decline 2 months ago, the asset has dropped by 27%.
As of today, my global outlook on the market remains bearish. The first significant target is 78,200.2. Once reached, it will be necessary to assess the character of the price movement there.
While we move toward this target, the entire market will also likely head down. This creates excellent opportunities to profit, as the market is moving rather than standing still.
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BTC Dominance: crucial resistance ahead? key levels to monitorBTC Dominance. Tired of watching your alts bleed while BTC soaks up all the liquidity? According to market sources, fresh spot inflows and a bit of risk-off mood just pushed dominance back to the big psychological 60 zone, right into a thick resistance band that has been capping price for weeks.
On the 4H chart we’re sitting under a heavy red supply at 60-60.5 with a bunch of long upper wicks - clear sign of aggressive sellers. RSI is making a lower high while price retests the top, classic bearish divergence, and there’s a fat volume shelf below 59 that often drags price back. So I’m leaning toward a short-term drop in dominance, which usually means some breathing room for alts.
✅ Base case: rejection from 60-60.5 and a move back toward 59, then 58-57 if rotation into alts really kicks in. ⚠️ If dominance closes and holds above 60.5 with strong momentum, I scrap the alt-bounce idea and look for 61+ and more pain for laggards. I don’t trade BTC.D directly, but I’m slowly tilting from BTC into stronger alts here - I might be wrong, but that’s the hill I’m willing to stand on.
Bitcoin | BTC | Healthy Pullback Before Another Pump?So much negativity about this Bitcoin pullback makes the contrarian in me says this is purely a healthy pullback to its current historical mean (see band /lines on chart). I suspect a bounce between $79,800 and $89,720 to potentially match previous highs or form new ones. If not, and the price falls massively through this area... watch out for a wild ride across the markets...
SOLUSDT – Long-Term Accumulation Setup (Not Momentum-Based)Solana (SOL) is approaching a major support zone around $95–$100, potentially setting up for a long-term accumulation opportunity. If broader crypto adoption continues and SOL eventually reclaims and breaks its previous All-Time High (ATH), this level could prove to be a high-conviction entry for patient investors.
🔸 This is NOT a momentum play.
🔸 We're scaling in slowly to manage risk and exposure.
🔸 Idea is to build position during consolidation and fear, not chase breakouts.
🧾 Trade Setup
Entry Zone: $95 – $100
Take Profit 1: $160 – $170
Take Profit 2: $260 – $280
Stop Loss: $77 (below structural support)
BTCUSD — Intraday Long (Expectation)I’m considering long exposure within the 75,400–76,000 range.
Context:
Daily composite support
Local sell-side absorption
Buyer stimulation visible after sell lock-in
Ideally, I want to see a controlled bullish impulse from the zone to confirm acceptance.
Targets:
78,800
79,200
Invalidation:
Sustained acceptance below 74,900.
No confirmation — no trade.
Risk will be kept minimal and strictly managed.
SOL to Bottom Out Around $103-104SOLANA – Eyes on the Final Flush? 🔥 Key Confluence at $103–$104
Solana is approaching what might be the most important support zone of this entire macro structure. Several major technical factors are all pointing to the same potential bottom area:
🟢 1. Head & Shoulders Breakdown Target
The measured move from the H&S pattern puts the projected downside right into the $103–$104 zone, creating a textbook target alignment.
🟠 2. Long-Term Trendline Support (Orange)
Price is now dropping toward a multi-year rising trendline that has held since early 2024.
This line has acted as major dynamic support across multiple cycles, and SOL is now coming back to retest it.
🟣 3. Fibonacci 0.886 Retracement
The 0.886 retrace of the full macro move lands perfectly in the same area.
This fib level is often where deep retracements reverse during strong bullish expansions.
📉 Current Structure
– Breakdown from right shoulder confirmed
– Momentum still down, but seller exhaustion showing up
– Volume declining on the drop → typical late-stage correction behavior
📌 Key Zone to Watch
$103–$104 (Green Box)
This is my “high-probability reaction zone” where I expect Solana to bottom or at least produce a significant bounce.






















