BITCOIN UPDATE – CRUCIAL ZONEHey Traders!
If you’re finding value in this analysis, smash that 👍 and hit Follow for high-accuracy trade setups that actually deliver!
BTC has reached a major confluence area 🔥
📌 Weekly support trendline($72k-$73k)
📌 Strong demand zone ($75K–$78K range)
This zone has acted as a launchpad in the past, and once again BTC is showing reaction from support 📈
🟢 Macro correlation to watch:
🔻 Gold & Silver are forming a top and have started correcting
Historically, whenever metals cool off, capital rotates into BTC 🚀
➡️ This strengthens the bounce probability from this region.
📊 What to expect:
As long as BTC holds above the weekly support, a strong upside move can follow.
❌ Invalidation:
Weekly candle close below $71K will invalidate this bullish view.
Patience + structure = edge
Stay disciplined. Stay profitable 💪
Btc-e
BITCOIN - Correction to 81K - 82K before the fallBINANCE:BTCUSDT.P is forming a correction after a decline. The market is testing 79,200 (the consolidation boundary), which could trigger a breakout and momentum for a retest of the liquidity zone.
The fundamental background remains weak, there is still no support for the market in this direction, and the crypto winter phase may continue for some time. Statistically, after a sharp fall or a strong trend, the market should move into a sideways range/flat, where accumulation for a trend reversal may form.
Bitcoin is in local consolidation after strong sell-offs. The market is storming 79,200 and, as part of the correction, may break through resistance and head towards the zone of interest 81,000-82,000 before falling.
The cryptocurrency market, like Bitcoin, is in a downtrend. The coin tested support at 75K, but the area of interest (74,500) was not reached. Accordingly, due to the relevance of the liquidity zone, the market may form a short squeeze and return to the target.
Resistance levels: 79,200, 81K, 82,000
Support levels: 77,850, 74,500
I expect two movements from the market. As part of the current correction, Bitcoin may form a breakout of 79200 and an impulse to 81-82K, but bears are likely to keep the market in this zone and provoke a further decline to 77900 - 74500.
Best regards, R. Linda!
More than just the ticker (okay bet)What you think is not what you think, trust.
Why it makes sense for Bitcoin to go up is not because it should go up, but more so because it should go down, because if it were to go down, it would make sense, it would be rational, it would be reasonable within data, within facts between the context.
But what if I told you, the context is the flaw. The context is the baseline of a conversation, the point where you branch into the metacognitive executions, but if the internal model's representation is flawed, then the entire system collapses.
The laws of nature follow the path of least resistance, so does our brain, so does our consciousness. Inherently so, but the path of least resistance is not always the "right" path, when there is no right or wrong, only perspective, only observation, we fall into analysis paralysis, but to understand and grasp the truth, we must understand the meaning, the making of what everything is, at the grander scale, because we function not as abstract entities, but by potential and potential-able.
Bitcoin is whatever, but do not deny it's potential.
BTCUSD – 1H Technical, Supply–Demand & Market LogicBitcoin is still trading inside a clean, well respected descending channel, and nothing in the current price action suggests trend exhaustion. What looks like a bounce is structurally a corrective pullback into supply, not the start of a new bullish leg.
Technical Structure
- Trend: Clearly bearish consistent lower highs and lower lows
- Channel: Price is reacting perfectly to the upper and lower boundaries of the descending channel
- EMA (dynamic resistance): Every rally into the EMA has been rejected, confirming sellers remain in control
The recent move from the demand zone near 74,800–75,200 is a technical reaction, not accumulation. That demand has already been tested and partially consumed. Price is now pushing back into a supply zone around 78,500–79,500, aligned with:
- Channel resistance
- EMA resistance
- Prior breakdown structure
This confluence makes the area high-probability sell-side liquidity.
Supply–Demand & Liquidity
- The green demand zone below has weak hands, not strong absorption
- The current upside move is best interpreted as stop-hunting and short-term relief
- The dotted projection shows the classic bearish path:
bounce → rejection → continuation lower
If price fails to reclaim and hold above the supply zone, the next move favors a breakdown through the demand zone, opening the path toward the major liquidity target near 71,900.
Macro Context
Risk assets remain under pressure as:
- Financial conditions stay tight
- Volatility picks up
- Speculative positioning continues to unwind
In this environment, Bitcoin behaves like a risk asset in distribution, not a safe haven.
Key Takeaway
As long as BTC remains inside this descending channel, every rally should be treated as a selling opportunity, not a breakout. A real trend shift requires acceptance above channel resistance until then, downside continuation remains the dominant scenario.
This is not panic selling / This is controlled markdown.
BTCUSD 15M – Liquidity Sweep with Bullish Recovery SetupBitcoin is currently trading in a short-term bearish structure, confirmed by multiple BOS (Break of Structure) and CHoCH (Change of Character) signals on the 15-minute timeframe. Price recently swept liquidity below the previous lows and reacted strongly from a key demand/support zone, signaling potential seller exhaustion.
The red area marks a strong buy zone where smart money may have entered positions. If price holds above this level and breaks internal structure, a bullish continuation toward the upper resistance zone is expected, as highlighted in the green area. The “Close all” zone represents a major profit-taking area near strong highs
BTC Bitcoin CRASHING! Is the $74K Floor About to BREAK?The macro narrative heading into this week is dominated by a sharp "crisis of confidence" as Bitcoin recently plunged nearly 40% from its 2025 all-time highs 🏦. The primary driver is a combination of risk-off sentiment triggered by the hawkish stance of the new Federal Reserve nominee and a massive $2.5 billion liquidation event that swept through the derivatives market. Interestingly, general online sentiment has hit "rock bottom" with a notable shift toward extreme fear, suggesting a potential liquidity hunt before any sustainable recovery can take place. While some institutional voices are calling for a further drop toward the $60,000 handle, the current proximity to one-year lows usually signals that the retail crowd is already maxed out on pessimism 🧹.
We are seeing a Bearish Market Structure on the Daily timeframe 📈, characterized by aggressive selling pressure that has pushed price into a critical structural retest. However, widespread community chatter is heavily leaning into the "death cross" and further collapse, which often tells me retail is positioned poorly for a potential relief bounce. Price is currently testing a significant green support zone identified between $74,000 and $76,000, which aligns with the previous accumulation range seen in early 2025.
We are currently trading at the bottom of the range, effectively "balancing on a knife-edge" near $76,405. I am watching for a 'run on liquidity' to sweep the late sellers I'm seeing across various social forums who are chasing the breakdown 🧹. If we see a failure to close below the $74,000 level, it could set the stage for a violent short squeeze as those bearish retail positions are forced to cover.
Why BTC is Heading to $43k!Looking at the weekly chart, the picture for Bitcoin is becoming increasingly bearish. We have a clearly defined Head and Shoulders pattern, and the recent price action suggests we are at a critical tipping point.
Technical Outlook: The "Right Shoulder" has just been completed right around the 2025 Open level.
My primary scenario involves a short-term corrective bounce towards the zone between the 2026 Open (~$88,000) and 2025 Open (~$94,000) to flip previous support into resistance.
Following this, I expect a continuation of the downtrend with a primary target at the 2024 Open level (the ~$42k - $45k area), representing a potential -44% move from current levels.
Fundamental Headwinds:
Institutional Exit: Over the last 3 months, we've witnessed a massive $6.18 billion outflow from BTC ETFs.
BlackRock Signal: Notably, even BlackRock's client base has shown a significant shift toward selling, which often precedes a deeper market correction.
The MicroStrategy Risk: With their average purchase price hovering around $76,052, the current market price puts them near a break-even point. If BTC sustains a move below $70k, the pressure on their balance sheet becomes a real "black swan" threat.
The 2nd Year Presidential Cycle: We are currently in the second year of Trump's presidency. Historically, the 2nd year of any US presidency over the last 50 years has been the weakest for high-risk assets.
This is typically the year when economic "skeletons in the closet" appear. I don't expect a sustainable bull run until 2027 (the 3rd year), when administrations historically pump the markets to ensure favorable re-election conditions.
Conclusion: The technical breakdown combined with institutional outflows and unfavorable cyclical timing points to a long-term correction. Watch the 2024 Open level as the ultimate magnet.
Resistance Zone: $88,000 - $94,000
Target: $43,000 (2024 Open)
Not financial advice. Trade at your own risk!
Bitcoin Bounce Here!?If you find this information helpful or inspiring, please consider a boost and a follow. Any questions or comments are always welcome.
Bitcoin has just printed a swift selloff that swept 74,420, a level that immediately stands out as a potential swing pivot failure. This move also allows for two potential completed Elliott Wave interpretations, both of which suggest the possibility of a change in direction. That said, it is still too early to declare a confirmed trend change.
From a structural perspective, the decline shows characteristics that allow for a completed larger degree Zigzag, as well as a completed Wave 3 of a lesser degree. Both interpretations point toward the possibility of a directional shift, even if that shift initially presents itself as only a weak or corrective bounce.
The key word here is possibility, not certainty.
So far, we have seen a fast move down followed by a sharp reaction. On its own, that is not enough. What matters next is how price behaves internally. For confirmation, the market needs to retrace the swift move up in a corrective manner and hold a Higher Low, ideally within our TDU AOI. Without that structure, any upside remains vulnerable to being just another countertrend reaction.
If that Higher Low does form, the focus then shifts to whether price can challenge and break the most recent Lower High. A successful break would support the idea of at least a C wave advance for a Wave 4 within a larger impulse. If the Zigzag variant has completed, there is also the potential for further upside.
What strengthens this area is the confluence across multiple counts. Both the corrective and impulsive interpretations currently lean toward the same near term directional outcome, even if their longer term implications differ. This alignment increases interest, but it does not replace confirmation. Additional confluence is also present through the swing failure pattern and surrounding support resistance.
For now, this remains a tracking environment. The approach here is conservative by design. Let the market show its hand through structure, not assumptions. Until internal confirmation appears, patience remains the edge.
Trade Safe!
Trade Clarity!
The key is whether it can rise above 79.9K ~ 80.9K
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Have a great day.
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#BTCUSDT
It's testing support near the left Fibonacci level of 1.618 (76787.43).
The key to this uptrend is whether it can break above the Fibonacci 1.902 (79902.66) level on the right and Fibonacci 2 (80999.68) levels on the left.
If it fails to rise, it could lead to further declines, so we need to consider countermeasures.
The maximum decline is expected to be around 69000 to 73499.86.
Therefore, we should monitor the trading volume as it approaches the maximum decline.
The next period of volatility is expected around February 7th.
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Thank you for reading.
We wish you successful trading.
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Bitcoin recovers, back above support —daily timeframeYesterday's candle produced the highest buy (green) volume in a year, since February 2025. Whenever strong buy activity happens at bottom prices, at a new low or near support, a reversal is bound to happen or close.
A reversal can happen the same day, within hours or within days. We have still 1-2 weeks of shaky action, until mid-February, so the market fully turns.
The market is mixed right now with a strong bearish bias; but, multiple strong reversal signals are starting to show up.
Reversal signals do not become invalidated when the market continues down, they become strengthen with each new drop.
Bitcoin has been moving within a strong bearish wave since early October 2025. Lately, the down-move seems over-extended and we expect green this month after the final low is in.
The final low can be any level before a new bullish phase.
As long as Bitcoin trades above the April 2025 low at $74,500, there is potential for growth. If the action moves below this level, blue on the chart, the bears have the upper hand and we expect lower prices. If the action moves above, a recovery can start —a bullish wave.
Namaste.
Pause, then drop — BTC won’t stop Back in October, I shared my view:
BTC below 81K, with a deeper move toward 60K.
So far, price action is following this path step by step.
After several days of strong selling pressure, Bitcoin is taking a technical pause — a normal cooldown before the next move.
What I’m watching right now 👀
• A short-term push into the 84,000–84,500 area
• This zone looks like a potential resistance
• From there, I expect continuation to the downside and a new local low
My downside targets 🎯
Breaking the move into clear steps:
• 🥇 Target 1: 80,000
• 🥈 Target 2: 78,000
• 🥉 Target 3: 73,000 and potentially lower
Between these levels, short consolidations are possible before the next leg down.
Trade idea (my personal plan) 🧠
• 📍 Short area: 84,000–84,500
• ⛔ Stop: 84,700
A move into this zone does not cancel the bearish structure,
but it defines risk and adjusts positioning.
Invalidation zone ⚠️
• ❌ 84,700
As long as price stays below this level, the bearish structure remains valid.
For now, momentum stays on the downside.
Watching reactions at resistance before the next impulse. 🐻📉
Bitcoin back below support, the magic has been undoneThe "magical happening" recently has been undone as Bitcoin is now back below support hitting a new low and lowest price since early November 2024. February is a tricky month, at the start.
We are looking at the worst possible ever, the worst possible scenario is developing right in front of our eyes. The deeper it goes, the better. The stronger the crash, the bigger the recovery.
Bitcoin is going the "straight down" route making no stops. It is still early in the month though, we can easily experience a continuation now, as it is happening, followed by a strong recovery.
Next target is $65,000 which matches the 0.786 Fib. retracement level on the current chart. Below this level, we have two additional support mid-term, $55,555 and $50,000.
Stay tuned for a more detailed update.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
Bitcoin Holds Heavy Support — Bullish Flag Signals Next ImpulseAs I expected in my previous idea , Bitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) reached its targets and rose as anticipated.
Currently, Bitcoin is moving within the heavy support zone($78,260-$70,080).
From a classical technical analysis standpoint, on the 15-minute timeframe, Bitcoin seems to be forming a bullish flag pattern, which is a good sign for continued short-term upside.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, it appears Bitcoin is completing a Double Three Correction(WXY) on the 15-minute timeframe. We should expect the start of a 5-wave impulsive move next.
I expect Bitcoin to continue upward in the next few hours, at least toward the Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($80,100-$79,450) and possibly fill parts of the upper CME Gap($84,560-$79,660).
What’s your view on Bitcoin’s direction, at least for the next couple of days? I’d love to hear your thoughts!
First Target: Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($80,100-$79,450)
Second Target: $80,971
Stop Loss(SL): $76,281
Points may shift as the market evolves
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $86,170-$84,760
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $77,460-$76,600
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $75,000-$74,000
💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
BTC – Bearish Pullback Scenario Toward 50% Fibonacci (~63,000$)BTC – Bearish Pullback Scenario Toward 50% Fibonacci (~63,000$)
BTC is currently showing signs of structural weakness after rejection from the upper Fibonacci resistance zone (0.786–0.88). Price failed to hold above this area and has started forming lower highs, suggesting momentum is shifting bearish in the short to mid term.
From a Fibonacci retracement perspective, the 50% level (red line) around 63,000$ stands out as a key magnet price. Historically, BTC tends to revisit this level during deeper corrections within larger bullish cycles.
Key confluences supporting this bearish pullback:
Loss of momentum after ATH rejection
Breakdown below local support and short-term moving average
Market structure shifting from impulsive to corrective
50% Fib aligning with prior consolidation and demand zone
Bearish Scenario:
If BTC fails to reclaim and hold above the 0.618 Fib, continuation to the 50% Fib (~63K) becomes highly probable. This level could act as a major reaction zone for either a strong bounce or further downside.
Bullish Invalidation:
A clean reclaim and hold above the 0.786 Fib resistance would invalidate this bearish outlook and open the door for continuation toward highs.
⚠️ This analysis reflects a correction within a macro uptrend, not a trend reversal.
Not financial advice. Always manage risk.
Please comment what do you think BTC next scenario would be?
BITCOIN and the powerful Stoch RSI Cycle SignalThe Stoch RSI is a very rarely used indicator, in fact the last time we made use of it on Bitcoin (BTCUSD) was around the bottom of the 2022 Bear Cycle. We bring it forward to you once more as December closed with the 1M Stoch RSI below the 20.00 level. Historically, every time the market did that, BTC's new Bear Cycle had already started but it was still in its beginning.
You can see that during the majority of each Bear Cycle, the 1M Stoch RSI settled sideways below the 20.00 mark and when it broke back above it, the new Bull Cycle had already started. The time distance between those signals during the last two Cycles has been just over 1 year (13 months, 396 days). This suggests that by January 2027, BTC's new Bull Cycle will already have started most likely.
As to a potential bottom? The strongest candidate is the 3W MA100 (red trend-line), which has been hit during all previous three Cycles. That is currently around $53000 and rising, so we expect BTC to hit at least this level before a Bear Cycle bottom around October 2026. Additionally, the Mayer Multiple Bands (MMBs) green Zone, offers a Buy Zone, which priced the November 2022 bottom.
So what do you think? Is this Stoch RSI signal useful in your long-term positioning? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #259Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
After a long break, let’s get back to Bitcoin analysis. This analysis is based on the daily timeframe.
Daily Timeframe
On the daily chart, Bitcoin’s trend turned bearish after stabilizing below 108,000, and the first bearish leg played out down to 85,000.
After a period of consolidation and a corrective move up to 97,000, Bitcoin started its next leg lower by breaking the 85,000 low, pushing price down to 76,000.
The 76,000 zone is a very important support area for Bitcoin and overlaps with the 0.618 Fibonacci Extension. We also have another support level around 72,000, so overall we can consider a major support range between 72,000 and 76,000.
A clean break of this zone would give us strong confirmation of a bearish trend, and if that happens, Bitcoin would officially enter a bearish cycle. As discussed before, this downside move could extend as far as 44,000.
At the same time, during this bearish leg, the RSI has dropped to its support around 22.27 and is now sitting at a momentum support level. If price continues to move lower without consolidation and RSI breaks below 22.27, we could see a very sharp sell-off.
Given the strength of the bearish trend, the next downward move could extend toward 65,000, 60,000, or even 53,000.
Personally, I’ll be looking to open short positions on a break below 76,000. However, if price fakes a breakdown in the 72,000–76,000 range, or finds support there and starts forming higher highs and higher lows, we can look for long opportunities on lower timeframes—because this 72k–76k zone is a very strong support area and won’t be easy to break.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
USDT: are we due for a relief rally? key levels to monitorMarket Cap USDT Dominance. Ready for a crypto relief rally or is fear just getting started? While majors cooled off after the latest macro jitters and profit taking, traders have been hiding in stables, and dominance spiked hard according to market data. Now price is stalling right at the local highs, so this level suddenly matters a lot.
On the 4H chart we’ve got a vertical pump into 7.1–7.3% plus RSI sitting in overbought and already curling down – classic “too much, too fast” vibes. Biggest volume shelf is down around 6.3–6.4%, so any unwind of fear can send dominance back into that value zone, which usually means a bounce for BTC and alts. I might be wrong, but current structure looks more like a blow‑off than the start of a calm uptrend.
My base case ✅ rejection below 7.2% and a pullback toward 6.4% and possibly 6.2%, where I’d look to add risk on strong coins. Trigger for me is a 4H close back under 7.0% with RSI dropping from overbought. ⚠️ If buyers smash through 7.3% and hold above, then I’ll respect the squeeze, expect 7.5%+ on dominance and stay defensive on alt exposure.
USDCAD Breakout DoneUSDCAD is showing a bullish reversal structure after breaking out of a sustained descending channel, with price reclaiming short term resistance and forming higher lows, signaling a shift from bearish control into accumulation and early trend transition. The recent upside momentum aligns with firm US dollar demand driven by resilient US economic data, elevated Treasury yields, and cautious risk sentiment, while the Canadian dollar faces mixed pressure from fluctuating crude oil prices, softer growth expectations, and a more measured Bank of Canada stance compared to prior tightening cycles. Technically this breakout and consolidation above former supply suggests a classic breakout retest scenario, where the market is building acceptance before continuation, favoring bullish momentum, trend reversal, liquidity grab recovery, and higher high expansion setups as long as price holds above the reclaimed zone, keeping upside targets in play with dip buying interest and sustained USD strength supporting further gains.
AUDUSD Still PumpingAUDUSD is trading in a strong bullish continuation phase after a clean impulsive breakout, with price currently consolidating above the previous resistance zone that has now flipped into short term support, signaling healthy price acceptance rather than exhaustion. The sharp rally reflects improving risk sentiment, sustained weakness in the US dollar, and supportive fundamentals from Australia including stable RBA policy expectations, resilient labor data, and strength in commodity-linked currencies, while recent US macro data continues to fuel speculation around future Fed easing which keeps downside pressure on USD. Technically this structure favors a pullback and continuation scenario, where shallow retracements are being absorbed by buyers, momentum remains intact, and higher highs with higher lows confirm trend strength, making bullish continuation, trend following, breakout retest, and buy the dip strategies favorable as long as price holds above the key support area and maintains bullish market structure toward higher targets.
Bitcoin: mean-reversion play? key levels and targets aheadBitcoin. Who survived that liquidation nuke and who’s still coping with the PnL trauma? After the latest cascade of longs getting wiped and headlines about cooling ETF flows and tighter liquidity, sentiment flipped from euphoria to “get me out.” That’s exactly when I start hunting for mean‑reversion plays.
On the 4H chart we just bounced off a chunky demand block around 76–77k, with a clear volume spike on the low and RSI crawling out of oversold. Price is now camping under the first supply zone near 79.5–80k, right where the last dump accelerated. That combo looks like a classic relief‑rally setup, so I’m leaning short‑term long, aiming back into the 81–82.5k high‑volume area.
My plan: I want a small dip toward 77.5–78k to join buyers, with invalidation under 76k. Base case – squeeze into 81–82.5k, maybe even a wick toward 83.5k, where I’d start scaling out. If 76k breaks on strong volume, I drop the long idea and look for the next flush into 74–75k support. I might be wrong, but fading a freshly washed‑out Bitcoin has rarely aged well. ✅






















