Statistical Research. BitcoinToday we will touch upon such type of analysis as seasonal patterns in Bitcoin
Bitcoin seasonality is cyclical patterns in its price dynamics, repeating in certain calendar periods (months, weeks, days). These patterns are formed under the influence of many factors:
1. Halving
Historically, Bitcoin's four-year cycles tied to halvings (halvings of the mining reward) have been a key driver of price highs. Bullish rallies peaked approximately 1060 days after the previous cycle bottom.
At the same time, changes have already begun to occur in these statistics:
According to some Research notes that the impact of halvings on the Bitcoin price has significantly decreased:
- Bitcoin is increasingly responsive to global macroeconomic factors such as inflationary pressure, geopolitical tensions, and monetary policy (especially the US Federal Reserve). This pushes purely internal factors, such as halving, into the background
- Characterizes Bitcoin as a transition from a "speculative reflexive asset" to a more established "reactionary store of value"
2. Macroeconomic events (changes in interest rates, inflation)
It is necessary to remember that Bitcoin is not a defensive asset, as some call it, but belongs to the category of risk-on assets.
Therefore, it, like risk assets, is affected by inflation and interest rates, primarily in the US.
Since the price of risky assets is very strongly influenced by the Fed's policy, very strong fluctuations will occur not even on the fact of changing interest rates from the Central Bank, but on the outgoing macroeconomic indicators, which, in the opinion of market participants, the Central Bank (the Fed, the ECB, etc.) will look at.
3. Institutional activity.
The creation of Bitcoin ETFs is beginning to have a strong impact on the BTC spot market. For example, by the third quarter of 2025, American Bitcoin ETFs attracted $118 billion inflows. BlackRock's IBIT alone manages assets worth $50 billion
Corporations have begun to buy cryptocurrency: MicroStrategy and Tesla.
4. News related exclusively to the cryptocurrency market and transactions with them. For example, network updates.
Now we move on to statistical models:
The strongest months in Bitcoin: March, October
Weak months: August and September
This does not mean that every code the market will grow in March and October, and fall in August. This note can help in combination with other types of analysis.
Best days for Long:
February 1, February 14, March 26, September 22, October 29, November 29
Best days for Short:
February 13, April 17, June 18, July 5, August 2, October 2
Also note that these are average statistics. At the very least, it is necessary to know them.
5. Flow of funds within the cryptocurrency market:
Bitcoin, as the main cryptocurrency, dominates at the beginning of the bull market, then capital moves to altcoins
What we have now:
Analytical companies draws attention to the ongoing outflows from spot BTC ETFs
Also according to these studies, the peak may already be reached in this cycle
We also pointed out in another post about the S&P500 that statistically we are entering a weak period.
Bitcoin Futures
Bitcoin 8X LONG Chart Setup · 330% Profits PotentialWe have two support zones neatly depicted on the chart; green and red. Red is the main support zone, the range between $100,000 and $110,000, while green is the bullish zone support zone between $110,000 and $120,000.
BTC1! is trading within the bullish zone, above $110,000 after a strong monthly higher low, vs 22-June. Volume is standard for a continuation of the broader long-term bullish move. That is, even with short-term swings and price fluctuations Bitcoin is set to continue growing.
Because I believe firmly that Bitcoin will continue to grow, here I am showing you some numbers with mid-term goals.
The final target on this signal I believe is not the last target for the current run, but there is strong resistance at this level so we can always go out to comeback in, or adapt to your own liking since we are all adults.
I give you a great entry with great prices and timing, you take care of the rest. The market is here to bless us with growth, profits and success.
Full trade-numbers below:
______
LONG BTCUSDT 8X (PP: 330%)
ENTRY: $100,000 - $111,000 (STOP: $98,200)
TARGETS: $122,000, $137,000, $155,600
______
Thank you for reading.
Your support is highly appreciated.
Namaste.
Bitcoin Goes Bullish · Altcoins Market Resumes GrowingBitcoin and the altcoins market is about to perform one of those surprise moves that it really loves, a huge major advance; we are going up.
How are you feeling in this wonderful new week my friend?
I am happy to have your attention. Please, continue reading below and let me know in the comments what you think about this analysis.
The markets are open, people are trading, buying and selling while prices are rising. Bitcoin is no longer going down and the retrace was very small. The total drop so far amounts to less than 10%, but it is wise to consider that the current range is not $110,000 to $120,000 but $100,000 to $120,000. It is a wide range.
The new all-time high is not a major new level but instead a double-top compared to mid-July. Seeing how a double-top made no impression on the bears, seeing how the market continues super strong, we can easily predict that the bull market is not over and Bitcoin will continue to grow. What about Litecoin?
Chainlink is no longer trading at bottom prices but it has plenty of room available for growth. It is not at the bottom but certainly not a new all-time high either. The same for Cardano. Will it stop growing and enter a bear market when it was already doing so great? No, it will continue growing long-term.
Hedera also grew nicely and a small portion of the market is in the same boat. The bigger part though is still trading near support but not for long. August is the last chance to get those still behind while prices are still low. The fact that many projects are ahead, high up, confirms where the market is headed.
If you think a few years back, everything was down including Bitcoin.
If you think last year, everything was down but Bitcoin.
If you see how the market is doing now, many projects are very strong and growing. This reveals what is coming to the rest of the market.
First one, then two, then six, then twenty and then everything grows.
Bitcoin is about to make a surprise move... The entire market is set to grow.
Namaste.
BTC Daily Recap & Game Plan 14.08.2025BTC Daily Recap & Game Plan 14.08.2025
📊 Market Sentiment
Overall sentiment remains bullish, supported by expectations of a 0.25% rate cut in the upcoming FOMC meeting. A weakening USD and increasing global risk appetite are providing favorable conditions for further upside in crypto assets.
📈 Technical Analysis
Price ran to all-time highs and faced rejection there.
The close below the all-time high level indicates that price may now seek opposite-side liquidity (buyers).
Historically, Bitcoin often consolidates within a range after running all-time highs, collecting more liquidity before continuing upward.
📌 Game Plan
I expect two possible scenarios:
1️⃣ Run the daily swing low and hit the equilibrium of the range at $118,645, then bounce and move up towards $121,750.
2️⃣ Run the 12H swing low and hit the 0.75 level of the max discount range at $116,325, then bounce and move up.
🎯 Setup Trigger
I will be watching for a 4H break of structure when either scenario occurs.
📋 Trade Management
Stop-loss: Below the 4H swing low that confirms the break of structure.
Target: TP1 at $121,750 and possible new highs. Targets will be updated depending on structure.
💬 Like, follow, and comment if you find this setup valuable!
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. The content is for informational and educational purposes only and reflects personal opinions.
BTC 1H Analysis – Key Triggers Ahead | Day 6💀 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Satoshi got something for you !
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-hour timeframe .
👀 On the 1-hour timeframe, Bitcoin rebounded from $114,200 after heavy whale buying. It broke through the $115,530 zone and moved toward its resistance at $117,600, but was rejected twice by strong seller tickers in that area. It is now moving toward its current support levels .
🎮 Key Fibonacci zones to watch are the 0.5 and 0 levels. A breakout of these areas can trigger potential long or short entries, making them valuable as breakout triggers .
⚙️ The important RSI pivot level is 44.87; losing this level could lead to a further correction .
🕯 Trading volume and transaction count are rising, suggesting the possibility of another “Bitcoin season.” Large institutions have been buying at the lows, increasing their positions each time. ETF data has turned highly positive, indicating strong recovery potential and attracting more risk capital .
🔔 There are two alert zones: one at $117,500 and another at $116,000. Setting alerts here can help you better track price behavior .
📊 USDT.D has broken above its range box , A break of the current zone could allow Bitcoin to push higher .
🖥 Summary : After its recent pump, Bitcoin is facing resistance from seller tickers and is trying to break through this zone. As long as BTC stays above $116,000, there is potential for another attempt to set a new high .
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
Bitcoin - BTC | Weekly Market Recap & Outlook 13.07.2025What Happened Last Week?
Bitcoin broke out of the recent downtrend structure and established a bullish leg with clear momentum.
The breakout was supported by volume and price structure, suggesting a trend reversal rather than a temporary deviation.
Weekly Bias and Strategy
The current outlook is bullish.
A retracement or sideways consolidation between the $120,000 and $114,000 zone is possible.
This zone may act as accumulation before further upside.
Key Points of Interest (POIs):
12H Swing Liquidity (turquoise line)
Daily FVG (blue line)
These levels will be monitored for long setups with confirmation on lower timeframes.
Macro Consideration – Fed Chairman Jerome Powell
Recent market speculation has increased regarding Jerome Powell potentially stepping down as Chair of the Federal Reserve.
If such a resignation is confirmed, it may act as a significant bullish catalyst for Bitcoin and other risk assets, possibly accelerating upside without allowing for any meaningful pullback.
Summary
• Bullish breakout confirmed
• Long bias maintained unless major invalidation occurs
• Watching retracement levels for entries
• Macro catalyst (Powell resignation) may trigger strong continuation without retrace
5 Bearish Signals —Bitcoin CME Gap (91,970 - 92,525)Bitcoin's bearish bias is confirmed clearly. Bearish signals are starting to pile up one on top of the other, let's recap those real quick:
1) Bitcoin is trading below its December 2024 high, it's January 2025 peak price and the recent 22-May all-time high. Trading below these levels open the doors for a move downward.
2) Recent lower high. 10-June closed lower compared to 22-May. This is a local lower high.
3) Overall low volume. Total volume decreasing since January 2025. No strong buying activity.
4) Sustained growth. Bitcoin grew straight up for 45 days. It is normal to see a retrace after sustained growth.
5) CME Gap. This is the latest signal that came to my attention and this gives further strength to the bearish case. The GAP sits between $91,970 and $92,525.
It is likely that Bitcoin will move lower before producing a new all-time high. Bitcoin is not likely to move below 80K. This is very unlikely.
Most likely Bitcoin will find support above 90K and if it moves below 90K this might be a brief occurrence lasting only a few hours or a few days at max. When all is set and done, we will continue to see long-term growth based on a bullish structure of higher highs and higher lows. The 7-April bottom will remain untouched.
Namaste.
Bitcoin reversal confirmed ?!Bitcoin reversal confirmed ?! 👀
I would like to present you some charts with important levels and relevant patterns.
🖥daily-chart (BITSTAMP) and 💡everything important in the chart 👀
💥Here in the daily chart (BITSTAMP)
- a Deep-Crab harmonic with
- a WolveWave
and the daily-chart of the
🔥Daily MA200 re-test 👀
- gap fill
- support-line 2022 and 2024 TOPs
👉 BITCOIN roadmap/outlook (from 27th february 2024) 💡
🎯 If you like this idea, please leave me a 🚀 and follow for updates 🔥⏰
Furthermore, any criticism is welcome as well as any suggestions etc. - You're also very welcome to share this idea.
Have a nice evening & successful trading decisions 💪
M_a_d_d_e_n ✌
NOTE: The above information represents my idea and is not an investment/trading recommendation! Without any guarantee & exclusion of liability!
CME Futures PREMIUM —Bitcoin Will Continue To GrowThe PREMIUM between Bitcoin's CME Futures and spot price is still on. This means that Bitcoin continues bullish.
In a previous article, I used this signal to predict a bullish breakout and bullish continuation. When there is a bullish bias Bitcoin becomes more expensive on CME vs spot, it means buy demand is very strong. With a strong demand for Bitcoin from the public, prices continue to grow.
There is a huge difference between the double top in 2021 and the chart structure in 2025.
The double top in 2021 came out of a 5-up waves pattern. The current top comes out of a 7 months long consolidation phase. Based on Elliotts law of alternation, the bull market will end in a blow off top in 2025 rather than a double top. This means that we will see one final and very strong move up followed by a crash, and that's how the bull market will end. Think of 2017/2018 and you can get a perfect picture of how the bull market will end. The only question that remains is about how far up prices will go, will the bullish wave end at $157,425 or will it go to $211,855?
Six months is enough to reach the second target.
This is a friendly reminder.
Bitcoin will continue to grow.
Namaste.
a possible massacre.what if i told you that bitcoin could drop 50% before june is over?
i know that probably sounds extreme. maybe even a little unbelievable. and that's okay; most people react that way when faced with a scenario they weren't prepared for.
i’m not here to scare you, and i’m not trying to make a bold claim just to get attention. i’m here to share a message that comes from a rare, proprietary sell signal in our system; something that doesn’t trigger often, but when it does, we pay very close attention.
i believe there’s a real possibility bitcoin drops below 50k by the end of june.
---
here’s the technical stuff to anyone interested:
since the bottom in november 2022, bitcoin moved up in a clear five-wave pattern, peaking around january 2025. from there, it seems to be forming what’s known as an expanded flat correction. this is a three-wave structure (3-3-5) that often tricks the crowd before the next major move begins.
ironically, this potential drop doesn't change the bigger picture at all. i still believe the long-term target sits between 750k and 1m by year-end. but markets don’t move in straight lines; sometimes, they shake out everyone who’s too confident, right before taking off.
consider this a heads-up,
not a certainty,
but one worth preparing for.
---
ps. the stop-loss on my btc long sits at the target of this idea. if i'm right about this, my stop will get hit, and it will open the door to a new entry.
---
🌙
get in loser, we're going to 1M.gm,
before i share my in-depth analysis, i just wanted to share a piece of my mind on how i approach this market:
there are many valid trajectories constantly at play. most people only ever see one; and they get emotionally attached to it. it’s usually the one that validates their own internal bias. they follow people who align with their belief system, and they end up in an echo chamber of regurgitated information, all in the name of pride and ego.
there’s nothing wrong with that, but you won’t find any of that on my page.
when i create a projection, i’m not just drawing it out. i spend a thousand hours tuning into the vibe... i become it. temporarily, i am the trajectory, which allows me to speak from its perspective on a deep, intuitive level. i’m not here to convince you that my idea is playing out. i’m just showing you that it’s one of many valid trajectories in this market.
this one here just happens to be my primary.
it has been for years, and it will remain my primary until we, at the very least, reach 752k.
now, that might sound mind-boggling to a lot of people, especially those still tuned into outdated belief systems or the mainstream media, which is incredibly gloomy right now.
----
what i have before you is a bullish nest that took 3 years to form;
a structure built with precision and patience,
and it's about to rip faces once the third wave explosively and unexpectedly begins.
i’ve color-coded all the waves for your convenience,
and i come to you this morning with a simple heads-up:
a monumental breakout is about to unfold.
and the harsh truth is,
you’re probably not going to be a part of it
because you got shaken out right before it began.
---
🌙
---
1 Billion USD+ SHORTs Liquidation —Bitcoin BullishGood morning my fellow Cryptocurrency trader, I hope you are having a wonderful day.
We all know that life is not a game of checkers, it is more like fifth dimensional chess. It can be easy once we master how to play but it is actually hard to learn the game. The same goes for trading Cryptocurrencies, it is not an easy game.
Billions of dollars are about to be liquidated from SHORT traders. The All-Time High liquidation. This is a friendly reminder.
» If you are bullish, congratulations. You are good and you will do great.
» If you are bearish, there is still time, you don't have to lose knowing beforehand what will happen next.
The whales and market manipulators are setting up a trap right now, but they can never fool you because you know best.
What do you know?
» You know Bitcoin to be bullish because it is easily trading above 100K.
» You know Bitcoin is rising because it has been moving up since the 7-April low.
» You know a continuation will soon follow because we have signals coming from the Altcoins, the Stock market and Gold. Everything is pointing up.
I know you are smart and thank you for coming back and reading again. In only a matter of days, billions of dollars worth of SHORTs will be liquidated. Make sure not to be caught on the wrong side of the fence.
» Bitcoin is going up.
Namaste.
one last dancegm.
you finally woke up and ethereum was soaring.
you saw the bounce. the reclaim. the headlines.
you convinced yourself the bottom was in.
you drew trendlines, watched influencers say “we’re so back.”
you wanted to believe.
and that’s exactly what wave B needed.
because this wasn't a breakout.
it’s a reset.
a psychological rinse,
engineered to bait late longs and build fuel for the final l i q u i d a t i o n.
this is the macro (W)-(X)-(Y).
not hopium, not dreams structure.
wave A brought devastation.
wave B brought complacency
wave C brings the execution.
make no mistake:
we’re not going up,
we’re being set up.
the chart says $742.
you call it impossible.
but the market doesn’t care what you believe.
the market only exists to find the maximum pain,
your maximum pain.
eth to $700 is not a prediction.
it’s a scheduled event.
and you’re RSVP’d unless you wake up.
wave C of wave (Y) is coming.
and it doesn’t care how bullish you feel.
---
Top of ABC correction on Bitcoin ~ ShortBitcoin has had quite the run up since 2023 and is currently in an ABC corrective pattern after a 5 wave impulse. The January high was the starting point. The April low was A. Now is the top of B which happens to be 0.618 retracement of the A wave. What follows is a down move for C which should end somewhere between 63k and 53.5k. This will make a bottom and will stay in accumulation until late 2027 early 2028 before shooting to the upside in anticipation of the next halving.
bitcoin enters a hyper-parabolic state to 753kgm,
this was initially a private post,
but i've decided to open it up to the public, for the people.
---
interest rates are collapsing. not slowly. not in a controlled, measured descent. this is a freefall. the kind that rewrites economic history.
monetary debasement is inevitable. quantitative easing will accelerate, liquidity will flood the system, and the us dollar will plunge. this isn’t speculation. this is math.
and when that happens, the gates open. the largest alt season in history is not a possibility. it is an inevitability. this will be the kind of move that people will talk about for decades. portfolios multiplied beyond reason. valuations pushed to levels most can only dream of.
the everything bubble will expand beyond comprehension. people will call it unsustainable. they will call it madness. but madness is where the greatest opportunities are born.
most won’t be ready. they will hesitate. they will overthink. they will sell too early,
watching in disbelief as the market leaves them behind.
we will not.
🌙
---
tp - 753k
bitcoin dips below 60kbitcoin dips below 60k, but we're unfazed.
i see this playing out as we move into the depths of winter,,,
this crypto winter ❄️
why would this happen, you ask?
the answer is simple: a stop-loss raid.
a sharp wave 4 designed to shake out weak hands.
distribution may have already started, hypothetically speaking, but it'll take the rest of the year to unfold.
think of it like the jan 2021 -> april 2021 vibe, only on a slightly higher degree and timeframe.
---
take note of the highlighted wave 2's and wave 4's on my chart.
what i'm illustrating is "the law of alternation," which states:
if wave 2 is flat, wave 4 will be sharp, and vice versa.
all the wave 2's in this cycle have been flats,
so by design, all of our wave 4's are set to be sharps.
this fits neatly into the larger cycle:
sharp retracements triggered by over-leveraged positions,
yet consistently bought up thanks to strong demand.
with each sharp retracement, however, the upward moves become smaller,
as momentum gradually fades.
---
w4 target: below 60k
w5 target: between 150k-200k (conservatively).
---
ps. i have recently shared a much more bullish idea via:
Fading Risk Sentiment Supports Solana Amid Crypto SlumpLast week, Mint Finance published a comparison of Solana with other blockchain networks, focusing on speed, transaction costs, network size, and valuation. We emphasized Solana’s unique position in the decentralized application (dApp) space—particularly in NFTs and meme coin trading—where it has cultivated a loyal user base by offering low fees and fast transaction speeds.
While Solana’s network growth has been notable, its token performance tells a more nuanced story. The token generally trades with a high correlation to broader crypto markets, though it has experienced periods of divergence that have presented attractive spread opportunities.
Solana sits further out on the risk curve compared to BTC and ETH, exhibiting higher volatility. It tends to outperform in risk-on environments, delivering stronger returns during market rallies. However, during risk-off periods, it typically underperforms as investors favor more established and resilient assets like BTC.
Amid the current turbulence in crypto markets, this paper examines Solana’s relative outlook versus BTC and ETH, and outlines how investors can position accordingly using CME Solana and Micro Solana futures.
Recap of Solana Performance and Volatility
After a strong recovery from its 2022 lows following the FTX collapse, Solana began trading closely in line with BTC throughout 2024. Both were among the top-performing crypto assets last year. However, since January, this trend has reversed, with Solana surrendering most of its year-to-date gains.
Data Source: TradingView
Historical volatility across SOL, ETH, and BTC follows a similar trend but varies in magnitude. SOL consistently exhibits the highest volatility, followed by ETH, with BTC being the least volatile. These differences become more pronounced during volatility spikes, while during calmer periods, their volatility levels tend to converge.
The trend in implied volatility (IV) mirrors that of historical volatility, with SOL showing the highest IV and BTC the lowest. Recently, IV has begun to moderate, driven in part by the tariff rollback.
Relative Performance During Risk-On/Risk-Off Periods
During periods of risk-off sentiment—indicated by spikes in the VIX index—Solana typically underperforms, often experiencing the steepest declines among major crypto assets.
Conversely, during market rallies, Solana tends to outperform, often posting the strongest gains by a significant margin.
Technicals Sentiment
Technical indicators suggest a weakening bearish trend for Solana. Although prices have been declining since January, a rising RSI and MACD are signaling that the downtrend may be approaching a turning point. While the broader macro environment remains challenging, the postponement of U.S. tariffs has offered some short-term relief. Nonetheless, continued macro stress may weigh further on prices. The USD 100 level could serve as a potential support, offering psychological significance for the market.
A review of near-term technical indicators reflects a similar outlook, with multiple signals aligning toward a Buy summary. However, the 1D timeframe still shows a Sell signal, indicating that further downside may be possible before a definitive bottom is established.
In contrast, the near-term outlook for ETH remains bearish, with a Sell signal across most timeframes. Any sentiment improvement has yet to materialize for ETH.
Hypothetical Trade Setup
Solana sits further out on the risk curve compared to assets like ETH and BTC, as reflected in its higher implied and historical volatility, as well as its more extreme price movements. It typically experiences the steepest declines during market corrections but also leads gains during bullish periods.
Since the start of the year, Solana’s price has been in steady decline. However, early technical signals suggest the downtrend may be approaching a turning point, though some near-term weakness could persist.
BTC continues to serve as the crypto market’s safe haven. Despite a 20% correction since January, it has significantly outperformed both SOL and ETH. While Solana has been the weakest performer among the three for most of the downturn, it has recently begun to close the gap with ETH as the correction appears to be nearing its end.
With the performance gap between ETH and SOL narrowing as the correction approaches its end, a tactical long SOL / short ETH position may be attractive. If prices continue to rise or consolidate, SOL is likely to outperform ETH due to its higher beta.
Alternatively, for investors expecting further downside in crypto markets, a long BTC / short SOL position could be compelling. This setup aims to capture relative strength in BTC, which tends to benefit from safe haven flows during periods of market stress.
In order to express these views, investors can deploy CME futures which offer compelling margin offsets for inter-market spreads involving cryptocurrencies which can enhance capital efficiency.
Long Micro SOL, Short Micro ETH
Long 1 x Micro SOL April futures: 117.2 x 25 SOL/contract = notional of USD 2,931
Short 19 x Micro ETH April futures: 1554 x 0.1 ETH/contract x 19 = notional of USD 2,952
This trade requires margin of USD 2,185 as of 11/April (USD 1,255 for 1 x MSL and USD 931 for 19 x MET (49/contract)
CME offers 40% margin offset for this trade as of 11/April reducing margin requirements to USD 1,311
A hypothetical trade setup with a 2x reward to risk ratio is described below:
Long Micro BTC, Short Micro SOL
Long 1 x Micro BTC April futures: 81,250 x 0.1 BTC/contract = notional of USD 8,125
Short 3 x Micro SOL April futures: 117.2 x 25 SOL/contract x 3 = notional of USD 8,793
This trade requires margin of USD 5,678 as of 11/April (USD 1,913 for 1 x MBT and USD 3,765 for 3 x MSL (1,255/contract)
CME offers ~25% margin offset for this trade as of 11/April reducing margin requirements to USD 4,261
A hypothetical trade setup with a reward to risk ratio of 1.6x is described below:
To access the standard size contract spreads, investors can use the ratios of 1 x BTC to 6 x SOL and 2 x ETH to 3 x SOL.
MARKET DATA
CME Real-time Market Data helps identify trading set-ups and express market views better. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.com/cme .
DISCLAIMER
This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services.
Trading or investment ideas cited here are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management or trading under the market scenarios being discussed. Please read the FULL DISCLAIMER the link to which is provided in our profile description.
Bitcoin At $250,000 In 2025: Bull-Market Entry (Buy) Zone ActiveBitcoin's 2025 bull-market buy-zone is still active. Actually, Bitcoin is at a great price right now. We are aiming for a target of $250,000 for this cycle. We are looking at the bottom right now, literally. Any buy below $90,000 is extremely good and below $80,000 a dream come-true. This will be obvious in just a matter of weeks.
How are you feeling today?
I hope the start of the weekend is treating you good.
This is a friendly reminder, Bitcoin has been sideways for months. When Bitcoin drops, it drops but, currently, there are no new lows.
Bitcoin peaked in December 2024 and produced a double-top in January 2025. A small retrace and that's it; the accumulation phase is ongoing and the buy-zone active.
There are many signals that support a correction bottom being in. We looked at these already so you will have to trust me. Leverage is possible on this setup. Leverage for a long-term trade. This is the best possible scenario and the best type of trade.
No complexities. No calculators. No fees. No interest, just buy and hold.
Wait patiently... It will be a very strong rise and the Altcoins will grow even more than Bitcoin. The entire Cryptocurrency market will produce maximum growth.
This post is intended to alert of you a great entry-timing. Great prices as well but timing right now is great. We might have to wait a bit longer, it won't move right away, but with this price you can't go wrong.
I am wishing you tons of profits in 2025 and financial success.
Thank you for reading.
If you are new, feel free to follow.
Master Ananda for you (formerly Alan Santana).
Namaste.
Appetite For Risk Through the Lens of Nasdaq and BitcoinBitcoin tends to track Wall Street sentiment well, particularly compared to the Nasdaq. Growing concerns that Trump's policies will tip the US (and therefore the global economy) into a recession, which currently has the Nasdaq on the ropes and bitcoin getting dragged along for the ride. And there could be further losses to follow, though a cheeky bounce at a minimum could be due first.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst and City Index and Forex.com
Bitcoin Goes "Red Days Again" since "Relief Rally" Has Been NullBitcoin's price has experienced significant fluctuations over last "Intl Women's Day" weekend, reflecting the volatile nature of the cryptocurrency market. To understand these movements, it's essential to consider both the broader economic context and specific events that have influenced investor sentiment.
Background: Economic and Political Factors
In recent weeks, Bitcoin's price has been heavily influenced by economic indicators and political announcements. The U.S. Federal Reserve's stance on interest rates, particularly comments from Jerome Powell, has been closely watched by investors.
Political factors have also played a crucial role. For instance, Donald Trump's re-election and his proposals related to cryptocurrency, including the creation of a "Strategic Bitcoin Reserve," have contributed to market optimism and price increases. However, these developments also introduce uncertainty, as regulatory environments and geopolitical tensions can quickly shift investor confidence.
Recent Price Movements
As of the last weekend, Bitcoin's price has shown a decline of nearly 5%. This decrease is part of a larger trend where Bitcoin's price has struggled to maintain consistent gains, often experiencing sharp drops followed by rebounds. For example, on March 9, 2025, Bitcoin's price was noted to be choppy, trading around $81,500.
Bitcoin's price initially dropped but then rebounded slightly. This rebound was likely driven by renewed optimism in the altcoin market and strategic purchases by entities like Metaplanet, which has been actively buying Bitcoin. However, the overall sentiment remains cautious due to ongoing economic uncertainties and the potential for further interest rate hikes.
Key Events Influencing Price
Mt. Gox Bitcoin Movement: The recent transfer of over $1 billion worth of Bitcoin from Mt. Gox to an unmarked address has raised concerns about potential market impact. Such large movements can lead to increased volatility as investors speculate about the intentions behind these transactions.
Regulatory and ETF Developments: The ongoing efforts to establish a U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF have seen mixed results, with periods of significant outflows followed by brief moments of positive inflows. These developments can influence investor confidence and, consequently, Bitcoin's price.
Global Economic Conditions: Trade tensions and economic stimulus measures, particularly those involving China, have also played a role in shaping Bitcoin's price. As investors seek safe-haven assets, Bitcoin's performance relative to traditional assets like gold can impact its value.
Technical challenge
The fluctuations in Bitcoin's price over the last weekend reflect the complex interplay of economic, political, and market-specific factors. As investors continue to navigate these uncertainties, Bitcoin's price is likely to remain volatile. The influence of major economic data releases, political announcements, and strategic investments will continue to shape the cryptocurrency's trajectory in the coming days and weeks.
The main technical 1-day resolution graph indicates that Bitcoin Goes "Red Days Again" since recent "relief rally" has been Null.
Ahead of upcoing week our "super-duper" @PandorraResearch Team is Bearishly calling to numbers between $30 000 to $50 000 per Bitcoin, that is correspond to major current support of 200-week SMA.
Conclusion
In summary, Bitcoin's price movements are a testament to the dynamic and speculative nature of the cryptocurrency market, where sentiment can shift rapidly based on a wide array of factors. As the market continues to evolve, understanding these influences will be crucial for investors seeking to navigate the volatile landscape of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies.
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Best 'Jojoba oil' wishes,
@PandorraResearch Team 😎
Bitcoin 10X Trade-Numbers (1,375% Potential)The low is in and this is the perfect timing for a long-term LONG on Bitcoin (BTCUSDT and other trading pairs).
This is for experienced traders and can end up producing huge profits, great growth, amazing results —great entry timing.
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LONG BTCUSDT
Leverage: 10X
Entry levels:
1) $85,000
2) $83,000
3) $81,000
3) $78,000
Targets:
1) $94,810
2) $98,804
3) $101,058
4) $104,266
5) $108,353
6) $112,859
7) $115,648
8) $120,154
9) $132,643
10) $139,250
11) $158,347
12) $165,345
13) $189,212
14) $200,000
Stop-loss:
Close monthly below $78,000
Potential profits: 1375%
Capital allocation: 5%
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Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
BTC CME GAP
- A new gap was created this weekend on the CME.
- BTC's price is higher there, which is typical.
- A gap isn’t always filled; while many do eventually close as prices retrace, it’s never guaranteed.
- This isn’t a price analysis, but rather an alert to monitor the gap.
- I’ll add my previous gap analysis in the comments.
Happy Tr4Ding