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Btctechnicalanalysis

BTC/USDT — 1H Chart AnalysisTechnical Bias: Bullish Reversal Setup Analysis Overview: BTC is showing strong signs of a potential bullish reversal after retesting the key $99,000 support zone, which has historically acted as a high-volume demand area. The current structure suggests absorption of selling pressure with narrowing spreads and stable volume — a classic VSA accumulation signal. Key Technical Insights: Support Zone ($99,000 – $100,000): Price rebounded from this zone with visible buying tails and decreasing spread on down bars, indicating professional demand stepping in. Resistance Zone ($114,000 – $115,000): Previous double-top area highlighted in green; this will be the next major resistance where profit-taking may occur. Volume Behavior: Volume dropped during the last downward push, suggesting a lack of selling momentum — a bullish sign within VSA logic. RSI Recovery: RSI bouncing from the oversold region confirms early momentum shift to the upside. Trade Setup: Buy Entry: Above $106,000 (confirmation of reversal structure) Target Zone: $114,500 – $115,000 Stop Loss: Below $105,000 support Risk–Reward Ratio: ~1:5, favoring long bias Conclusion: BTC holds a higher probability of upside continuation, supported by strong demand near support and weakening supply pressure. A sustained close above $106,000 will likely trigger a momentum rally toward the $115K resistance area.
Long
by coolbouy
BTC faces a crash, can it hold the $100000 mark?#BTCUSD BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT Affected by market news, BTC's hourly chart showed a large bearish candlestick, falling to a low of around 104000. Currently, regardless of the time frame, BTC has reached the lower Bollinger Band area, and all moving averages across different timeframes are trending downwards in tandem, with the MACD indicator showing a bearish crossover and increasing volume. There are no signs of a technical reversal yet, and in the short term, BTC still has room for further downward correction. If 104000 is breached again, BTC may further decline to 102000-101000, or even the psychological level of 100000. It's only a matter of time, and the bulls will temporarily back down. Therefore, if BTC rebounds to 105500-106500 in the short term, shorting BTC can be considered.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Miracle-Walker_GC
COAI – Could This Be the Bottom ? Volume is finally kicking in on $COAI, and the setup I shared earlier played out perfectly — delivering a solid +20% bounce from the lows! Now things are getting interesting 👀 — if the 0.786 Fib zone holds as a strong base and confirms on retest, we might just be witnessing the true bottom forming here. From this point, bulls could easily drive price toward $1.90+, or even higher if the monthly low acts as a launchpad and whales step back in after that massive 90%+ retrace. I’ll be buying this dip again (x10) — structure looks way safer now. Let’s see how this plays out! ⚠️ Not financial advice — just sharing my view. Market remains highly volatile, so always #DYOR 💥
Long
by RayHanBros
Bitcoin Chart Analysis and forecast: liquidation heatmap(1h-bar)📈 Bitcoin Technical Analysis It’s been a while since my last market update on August 21. At that time, the VRVP POC at 104.5K and the Fibonacci retracement 0.382 level (102.2K) were identified as key support zones, and both continue to act as major levels while the market remains in a bearish phase. On the higher timeframe, Bitcoin is still staying near the lower boundary of the range. Liquidity is concentrated near the mid-range (central value) of this box, and a retest or breakout attempt within the next two weeks appears likely. This zone also overlaps with the Fibonacci 0.618 retracement level, which adds credibility to its importance. Looking at the 15-minute liquidation heatmap, a liquidity sweep pattern has formed in the lower yellow zone, and since a 1-hour bullish divergence has been confirmed, Bitcoin is expected to first test the 103.2K–103.5K liquidity zone. Indicator link: TradingView – Liquidation Heatmap 🔍 Derivatives Market Overview Looking at Bitcoin’s open interest across major exchanges, it has sharply declined following the massive liquidation event on October 11, returning to levels seen in March–April 2024. This structure is similar to when Bitcoin’s price formed its previous low. Indicator link: TradingView – Multi-Exchange Open Interest Also, the Coinbase Premium has recently turned negative, which reflects selling pressure from the U.S. market and suggests a potential continuation of short-term weakness. However, if it turns positive again soon, it could serve as a signal for recovery, so it’s worth keeping a close eye on this metric. ⚡ Altcoins and Market Structure The TOTAL3 chart (total altcoin market cap excluding BTC and ETH) shows that the short-term trend has already broken down, and without a clear Bitcoin trend reversal or breakout above the previous high, altcoin recovery will likely remain limited. 📊 Overall Outlook Currently, open interest has declined significantly, and since the proportion of coins with negative funding rates is relatively high, the downside risk appears limited for now. Therefore, in the short term, a retest of the mid-range zone followed by a base-building phase seems likely. However, it’s important to keep in mind that another liquidity sweep near the previous low could occur, leaving open the possibility of a further drop toward the 98K area. In conclusion, maintaining a defensive position while closely monitoring for bottom confirmation signals within the 98K–102K liquidity zone remains a prudent strategy.
by BIGTAKER
BTC/USD: Wave 5 Launch or Wave Cycle End?BTC/USD: Wave 5 Launch or Wave Cycle End? 📈 Weekly Scenarios Bullish scenario: Price holds above ~$110,000, breaks through ~$120,000 → wave (5) strengthens → possible rise to ~$135,000-140,000. Consolidation: Price trades between ~$110,000 and ~$120,000 without a formed structure, the market is paused. Bearish scenario: Break of support at ~$110,000 with volume → corrective wave A-B-C → possible decline to ~$100,000-105,000. ✅ Conclusion On the weekly timeframe, BTC/USD is at a key turning point: either an upward impulse (wave (5)) or the beginning of a major correction. Holding support at ~$110,000 is the basis for a bullish scenario. A breakout of resistance at ~$120,000 is a signal for continued growth. A breakout below ~$110,000 is a signal for a change in structure.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by Trade_Hive_Signals
Bitcoin trading ideas and strategiesOn the daily chart, Bitcoin's four-day winning streak came to an end this morning. The candlestick chart showed a long upper candlestick with a hammer candlestick pattern. However, the price ultimately closed above the 60-day moving average, maintaining its key support level. The Bollinger Bands are continuing to narrow, and volatility is gradually narrowing amidst the current bull-bear tussle. The KDJ indicator's fast line is showing signs of slowing at high levels, suggesting a short-term correction. The MACD lines maintain a golden cross pattern and diverge upward, with continued volume growth. Funding is providing some support for bulls, who remain in the driver's seat. Trading Strategy: Go long between 113,000 and 113.5,000, with a target around 116,000.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Henry_Matthew
BTC has a bright future and is bullish with no regretsThanks to the positive news of the easing of Sino-US trade tensions over the weekend, BTC has gradually recovered from the severe consolidation it has experienced repeatedly since the brutal crash on October 10. This modest recovery appears to confirm the continuation of its upward trajectory. From the perspective of technical indicators, the MACD golden cross continues to increase in volume and is always above the signal line, further strengthening the bullish sentiment of BTC. At the same time, from the 4H chart, the Bollinger Bands have expanded significantly as prices have risen, indicating that short-term volatility has increased. The fact that BTC prices have remained largely near the upper Bollinger Band suggests that, at this point, the market is more likely to continue its upward trend than to reverse. However, it is worth noting that the small cycle is trending downward, and the divergence between RSI and price suggests that there may be profit-taking in the short term. Therefore, in the short term, BTC may face a small pullback to retest support before rising. Pay attention to 114000-113000 below. If it retreats here, you can consider going long on BTC with a light position, with the target at 115000-117000.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Perfect_Allen
1
Technical Analysis – Bitcoin CME Futures (BTC1!)Technical Analysis – Bitcoin CME Futures (BTC1!) Date: October 27, 2025 | Timeframe: Weekly | Exchange: CME Group 1. Trend Overview and Price Structure Bitcoin CME Futures are trading at $115,090, up +3.69% for the week. After nearly six months of consolidation between $100,000–$115,000, the current setup indicates an ascending triangle formation nearing completion — signaling a potential major breakout toward the end of Q4 2025. The medium-to-long-term trend remains firmly bullish, supported by a strong accumulation base following the uptrend from the $38,000 low (June 2023). Technical upside targets after a confirmed breakout: $127,300 → $141,800 → $156,700. 2. Key Technical Price Levels Resistance: 127,300 – 141,800 – 156,700 Support: 113,500 – 105,000 – 95,800 3. Detailed Technical Analysis (1) Short-Term Trend The third bull-flag pattern since 2023 is developing. Bitcoin has closed above its 20-week EMA for 11 consecutive weeks, confirming structural bullish momentum. Short-term bias: Uptrend continuation, targeting $127,300 over the next 3–5 weeks. (2) Volume Analysis CME trading volume rose 22% versus the 4-week average. Institutional positioning (COT Report) shows net long positions up by 8,500 contracts — the highest level since March 2024. (3) Elliott Wave Structure Wave 1: 38,000 → 77,500 Wave 2: Correction to 63,000 Wave 3: Expansion to 118,000 Wave 4: Sideways consolidation (100,000–115,000) Wave 5: Target zone 140,000–156,000 (4) Momentum Confirmation RS vs S&P 500 continues to strengthen. MVRV Z-score: +1.95 — still below overbought territory, allowing an additional 25–30% upside. 4. VNC– Strategic Commentary Market Context The Bitcoin market is underpinned by three structural drivers: - Strong ETF Inflows: According to Bloomberg ETF Flow (Oct 24), spot Bitcoin ETFs saw $2.8 billion in net inflows over 10 days, the highest since their early 2024 launch. - Monetary Easing by the Fed: The Federal Reserve has hinted at a 0.25% rate cut in December 2025, reigniting risk-on sentiment in digital assets. - Tight Supply Dynamics: Post-2024 Halving, block issuance fell 8%, while whale cold storage activity hit a 14-month high (Glassnode, Oct 25). - Key Market Developments (Oct 12–27, 2025): - CME Group (Oct 25): Bitcoin futures open interest hit $7.42B, up 9% WoW. Bloomberg (Oct 23): Fed expected to cut rates in December; crypto assets responded positively. CoinDesk (Oct 22): Exchange stablecoin ratios rose 10%, signaling incoming liquidity. Glassnode (Oct 20): Wallets holding over 10,000 BTC increased 3.4%, showing institutional accumulation. Reuters (Oct 19): Tech investment funds are reallocating 16% of new risk-on capital back into crypto. VNC Intelligence Assessment (BI View) Short-Term (2–3 weeks): Sideways range $112,000–$127,000, awaiting breakout confirmation. Medium-Term (4–8 weeks): Upside target $141,800, driven by sustained ETF inflows. Risks: Short-term USD rebound or ETF outflows if the Fed delays rate cuts. 5. Suggested Technical Strategies Bullish Scenario (Preferred): Entry: 113,500 – 115,000 Targets: TP1 127,300 | TP2 141,800 | TP3 156,700 Stop-Loss: 107,000 Probability: 80% Rationale: Ascending triangle breakout supported by ETF inflows and institutional accumulation. Bearish Counter-Scenario (Short-Term Profit Taking): Entry: 156,000 – 157,000 (upon hitting projected wave 5 top) Target: 141,800 Stop-Loss: 160,000 Probability: 20% Rationale: Short-term profit-taking at Fibonacci extension resistance. VNC Intelligence Summary: Bitcoin remains in a strong macro uptrend, supported by robust institutional participation and easing macroeconomic conditions.The ascending triangle pattern signals a potential mid-Q4 breakout, with ETF inflows acting as the key catalyst for price acceleration toward $140,000–$150,000.
CME:BTC1!Long
by Hung-JK
BTC breaks through resistance, go long at low levelAfter the weekend break, we’ve entered the final week of October. Bitcoin maintained its strong performance over the weekend, and the current price has rebounded to the 115.4K level again, setting a bullish tone for the new week’s market. From the daily timeframe perspective, the market’s bullish momentum continues to unfold: the candlesticks show a steady upward trend with consecutive bullish candles, indicating strong continuity of the bullish trend. Since the rebound from the previous low, the price has risen in a stepped manner and has successfully broken through the resistance of the Bollinger Bands’ middle band in the short term, presenting a clear upward trend on the technical side. Going forward, we need to focus on the breakout of the 120K key resistance zone. If this level is effectively held, the price is expected to refresh the recent high again based on the long-term trend analysis. As the upward trend remains intact, we can continue to adhere to the core strategy of "buying on dips" for our operations. Considering the market rhythm on Monday morning, here’s a specific trading suggestion: for BTC, we can establish long positions within the range of 114K-113.5K, with the target looking at the 116K-118K level. After entering the position, we can set a stop-loss below the lower edge of the entry range to cope with short-term fluctuation risks.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Henry_Matthew
BTC/USD: Final wave before breakout or correction signal?BTC/USD: Final wave before breakout or correction signal? 📊 Monthly Technical Analysis — Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Using support/resistance levels and wave analysis 🌀 Wave Context According to the Elliott Wave Principle model, Bitcoin may be either in the final impulse wave (5) or at the start of an A-B-C corrective structure. Wave (4) is expected to have ended near the $100,000-$110,000 zone. If wave (5) starts, it could signal a significant upward move. Otherwise, a breakout of support could signal a correction. 📈 Monthly Scenarios Bullish scenario: BTC holds above $110,000 → breakout to $120,000 → start of wave (5) → move to $135,000+. Consolidation: The price moves sideways between ~$110,000 and ~$120,000, accumulating strength before a new move. Bearish scenario: Breakout of support at ~$110,000 with volume → correction to ~$100,000 or lower. ✅Conclusion On the monthly timeframe, BTC/USD is at a crossroads: it is either entering a powerful uptrend or a significant correction is beginning. The ~$110,000 level is a key marker for the continuation of the bullish structure. A breakout above $120,000 is a signal for growth. A breakout below $110,000 is a signal for caution. Monitor price movement relative to these levels and confirmation of the wave structure before making trading decisions.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by Trade_Hive_Signals
BTCUSD: Final Wave Before the Breakout or Stuck Five-Wing?BTCUSD: Final Wave Before the Breakout or Stuck Five-Wing? Weekly Scenarios Bullish scenario: BTC holds above ~$110,000, breaks through ~$120,000 → wave (5) activates → target ~$135,000–$140,000. Consolidation: Trading between ~$110,000 and ~$120,000; the market is building strength for the next round. Bearish scenario: Break of support at ~$110,000 with volume confirmation → correction begins to ~$100,000–$105,000. Conclusion The weekly analysis shows that the BTC/USD market is at a crossroads: either the final wave of growth begins, or a correction begins. Holding the ~$110,000 zone is critical for maintaining bullish sentiment. A breakout above ~$120,000 is a signal for growth. A breakout below ~$110,000 is a signal for caution.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by Trade_Hive_Signals
1
technical analysis for your BTC/USD chart:Pair: Bitcoin / U.S. Dollar (BTC/USD) Current Price: around $111,628 Structure: Ascending channel pattern Key Zones: Resistance Level: $112,000 – $112,500 Target Level (Support): $106,572 📊 Technical Analysis Trend Structure: BTC/USD is moving within a rising channel, showing short-term bullish momentum. Price is now approaching the upper boundary of the channel and a major resistance zone ($112,000–$112,500). Resistance Reaction Expected: This zone has previously rejected price, so sellers may re-enter around this region. If price fails to break above the resistance, a bearish correction is likely. Bearish Scenario (Primary Expectation): A potential reversal from resistance is indicated on your chart. Confirmation: A strong bearish candle or break below the midline of the channel. Downside target: around $106,572, aligning with previous demand/support and the lower boundary of the broader channel. Bullish Scenario (Alternative): If BTC/USD breaks above $112,500 with volume, price could extend toward $113,500–$114,000 before any correction. ⚙️ Trading Plan (Summary) Direction Entry Zone Stop-Loss Target 🔻 Short (Sell) 112,000 – 112,500 Above 113,000 106,600 🔺 Long (Breakout) Above 112,500 (confirmed) Below 111,800 113,500 – 114,000 🧩 Technical Indicators (Implied) Trend Channel: Uptrend but nearing exhaustion. Volume: Likely decreasing as price nears resistance (sign of weakening momentum). Market Sentiment: Short-term bullish → potential reversal zone ahead. RUS:SBER RUS:VTBR RUS:LKOH RUS:ROSN RUS:MOEX RUS:PLZL RUS:T RUS:NVTK RUS:AFLT RUS:SMLT
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by MR_NARCOS_ANALYSIS
$BTC might explode after the washout!CRYPTOCAP:BTC is once again reacting strongly from the lower channel support, similar to the previous green-circle bounces we’ve seen this year. Each green circle has marked key accumulation points — followed by strong upside momentum. Meanwhile, red circles highlight resistance rejections where profit-taking zones formed near the upper channel boundary. 🧭 Key Levels to Watch: Support: $106.8K – $110.5K Resistance: $120.1K – $123.5K Trend: Holding firmly inside the rising channel If CRYPTOCAP:BTC continues to respect the green zone, we could be looking at the early stages of another leg up toward the top of the channel. But if support fails, expect a deeper retest of the lower structure. Note: History doesn’t repeat perfectly — but it rhymes. Stay calm, stay patient, and let the chart tell the story.
Long
by persis10t
1
You will ask yourself "how did he know Btc would crash to 103K"?On Sept 23rd I suggested if Btc continues to follow this Eth fractal it would soon bottom at 102K (see chart below). Btc just crashed to 103K on Friday. Fractals can act as maps for future price action. But they often deviate from the "expectation" at the worst time. I will follow this fractal until it stops working. Hope it has guided you well. Between this Eth fractal (posted a month ago) and the "3 red week down rule" charts that I have been posting...it's safe to say we seen this week's (historic) dump coming . TA works! I say this not to brag, but show the disbelievers that TA works (I encourage you to learn). And Also I keep track of my stats on my calls, to track my win ratios. You should too, how else would you know if it's worth following someone's predicitons. May the trends to be with you.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Strangely-accurate
4
You will ask yourself "how did he know Btc would do that?On Aug 9th I suggested that Btc could dump as low as 107,800. The actual low came within a small margin of that. On Sept 2nd I suggested that the bottom was in and Btc would soon bounce to 1 of my 3 targets. On Sept 11th, I also suggested that a lower low was probable (below 107K). On Sept 17th, the top of the run was called and we saw the anticipated reversal. I also anticipated the day (time frame), the reversal would occur. TA works for both the X and Y axis (for both price and time). I wrote "the bounce was coming to an end within 5 days". On day 6 Btc fell. I honestly thought Btc would form it's lower low when I published the above charts. But instead we got that low probability pattern of a liquidity grab above the local high...THEN swipe the lows, to form a lower low afterwards. This pattern liquidated all the longs and the shorts, in what tunred out to be the biggest liquidation event in crypto history. Either way, we got the anticipated lower low and we were spared a catastrophic dump..allowing us to be on the right side of the trade. It's safe to say this was not a surprise, but anticipated and therefore we profited. TA works! Thank you "3 Red Week Down Rule". lol Btw I have been suggesting (for weeks), that Btc would hit a lower low, based on the "3 Red Week Down Rule". While everyone on social media is blaming Friday's announcement on China tariffs, for cuasing this lower low. 'Show me the chart and I'll tell you the news" -Bernard Baruch Pattern's can be predictive! Learn them all.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Strangely-accurate
Bitcoin Short-Term Update – October 17, 2025-The short trigger from yesterday has been triggered, and the market is currently moving in favor of the bearish scenario. At this stage, the downside momentum remains strong, making it reasonable to keep short positions open, provided you manage your risk carefully and adjust stops appropriately. -However, it’s important to remain prepared for a potential V-shaped reversal. If such a pattern forms, it would signal a sudden shift in momentum, and we would need to flip our bias toward long positions. -This is particularly relevant because our long-term trend is still bullish, meaning any corrective move could be temporary. While the short-term setup favors sellers for now, flexibility and vigilance are crucial, as the market could quickly reverse. For informational purposes only – not financial advice. © DIBAPRISM Larry D.Kohn
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by DibaPrism
Bitcoin → Overall weak, focus on 113K supportBitcoin is currently trading at 114.2K. The market has now shown a clear downward trend. From a technical perspective, the bearish engulfing pattern appearing on the daily timeframe has formed a strong resonance with the bearish arrangement of the moving average system. This signal further confirms the market's bearish bias, and short-term rebound momentum is significantly insufficient. In terms of the performance of key levels, although there is strong buying support at the 113K level on the daily timeframe, the current price is still suppressed by the short-term trend, and the effectiveness of this support level needs continuous observation. On the hourly timeframe, after forming a local high near 116K, the price entered a downward channel and is currently in a consolidation phase. No clear signal of stopping the decline has emerged yet, and the overall trend remains relatively weak. Resistance Levels: 116K, 118 KSupport Levels: 113K, 109.6K For detailed trading decisions, please follow my live updates. I publish my trading ideas and strategies daily. If you lack a plan or clear direction in cryptocurrency and are struggling to achieve consistent and stable profits, you can refer to and follow my updates as a reference and guide to help you avoid mistakes.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Matthew_8888