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Btctechnicalanalysis

BITCOIN SIGNAL: ARE YOU SHORTING NOW LIKE EVERYONE ELSE?? (oops)Yello Paradisers! Enjoy the video! And Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable. Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader. Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by MyCryptoParadise
1
BTC/USD – Potential Downtrend Continuation Toward Key Support"1. Descending Channel (Blue) Price has been moving inside a downward sloping channel — lower highs and lower lows. This is a bearish pattern until broken convincingly. Traders watch for price to stay inside or break out — a breakout above suggests potential trend reversal; a break below suggests continuation. 👉 The price recently bounced off the lower boundary, showing support at that channel floor. --- 🔴 2. Moving Average (Red Curve) A moving average (likely something like a 200-period) is plotted. When price is below the moving average, it typically indicates bearish momentum; price above suggests bullish momentum. Here we see price approaching that red line from below → this often acts as dynamic resistance for bulls. --- 🔵 3. Key Horizontal Support (Blue Line at ~85,170) A strong horizontal “target point” / support level is marked. This line represents a zone where buyers previously stepped in and could again if price falls. The chart clearly marks this as target on downside if the current setup fails. Support & resistance levels like this are some of the most watched areas on price charts — they act as floors and ceilings for price action. --- 🎯 The Trade Setup Illustrated On the right side you see a green/red box which visually represents a trade idea: 🟢 Entry Area The current price (~88,100–88,800) looks like the potential entry. The green zone down below is the profit target zone. 🔴 Red Zone This is the stop-loss area — meaning if price rises above ~90,000–90,400, the bearish setup would be invalidated. 📉 Directional Arrow Down The big arrow pointing down suggests the analyst expects a move lower, from current levels toward the support around ~85,000+. So the idea is: If price fails at the descending resistance and moving average → enter short. Stop above resistance / above high of red. Target the lower support area. This is classic channel-based trading logic: resistance to support → short trade. --- 🔎 Bull vs Bear Scenarios 🔻 Bearish Scenario (favored by this chart) ✔ Price confirms resistance at moving average / upper channel ✔ Breaks back down ✔ Moves toward target zone (~85,000) This would follow the pattern of lower highs and lower lows. 📈 Bullish Break Scenario If price breaks above the red moving average and upper trendline convincingly with volume, that would: ✔ Break the downtrend ✔ Signal potential for upside ✔ Invalidate the short setup Volume confirmation for breakouts is crucial — without it, breakouts often fail. --- 🧠 Summary in Plain Terms Trend: Currently still bearish inside a descending pattern. Resistance: Moving average + upper channel line blocking upside. Support: Strong horizontal area around mid-$80k’s. Trade idea on chart: Short toward support, stop above recent highs. Key levels drawn: 🚫 Stop zone: ~90,000+ 🎯 Target zone: ~85,000ish
KRAKEN:BTCUSDShort
by Moriss365
BTC 4H CHART ROUTE MAPDear Traders, Please review the BTC 4H chart technical analysis below. We previously shared our price action analysis, and it remains valid. However, BTC has been moving sideways on the 4H timeframe for nearly three weeks. Recently, price broke the lower trendline, suggesting a potential retest higher—first toward the FVG around 88k, and possibly a further retest at the BPR zone near 91k. Scenario 1: If price is rejected from the FVG or BPR levels and the trend line, this would confirm a pullback toward the order block (OB) and demand zone around 83k–84k, clearly marked with a downside arrow. If this demand zone 83k is broken, price could continue lower toward the next key demand level around 81k and potentially sweep liquidity at 78k. Scenario 2: If price successfully breaks above the FVG and BPR levels and trend line, it would confirm a move back into the trendline and zone area, supporting further bullish continuation to collect liquidity around 99k & potentially at 107k zone. As always, it’s best to buy from dip levels and sell from higher levels. Avoid chasing price at the top, and trade with proper risk management. Our level-based structure typically provides 40–50 pips of reaction, offering solid opportunities for clean entries and exits. With December 2025 underway and the holiday season approaching, market conditions remain uncertain. There are several red-flag news events on the calendar, so it’s important to keep positions light and tight and avoid choppy market conditions. Please like, comment, and boost the post. The Quantum Trading Mastery
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by TheQUANTUMTraders
BTC WEEKLY CHART TRADING PLAN ROUTE MAPDear Traders, Take a look at the BTC weekly chart—I’ve clearly marked all the key areas for you. As you can see the weekly trendline is already broken which confirms bearish. It appears that BTC may be repeating a familiar pattern heading into 2026. Compare the area highlighted with the orange circle in 2022 to the orange circle marked for 2026. In 2022, price retested the trendline and formed a bull trap, where many buyers were likely caught. Price was then rejected from that zone, printed a bearish engulfing candle, the EMA 20 crossed below the EMA 50, and a strong bearish move followed to the downside. If the EMA 20 crosses below the EMA 50, price is likely to revisit the EMA 200 (shown by the purple line) as a key support zone, where a bounce can be expected. Following that bounce, BTC could potentially break above the previous high around $125K and, if momentum continues, most likely extend toward the $150K region. This chart is shared to give you a heads-up on potential traps ahead. On the other hand, if the EMA 20 does not cross below the EMA 50 and candle bar closes above the trendline, it would confirm bullish trend continuation without a deeper pullback. Its Important to practice patience, and risk management. The Quantum Trading Mastery
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by TheQUANTUMTraders
Bitcoin (BTC) — Potential Downside Scenarios | Stay AlertHello everyone! In my bearish Bitcoin forecast from October 23 (you can find it under this post), I mentioned that I was expecting BTC to reach 83K first and then 60K. As we can see now, Bitcoin has already hit 83K and even moved below it. What stands out is that the current market structure closely resembles the pattern formed at the beginning of 2022 (highlighted in green on the chart: ). After that configuration played out, Bitcoin lost more than 50% of its value… This is why we need to stay extremely cautious right now. It feels like the market may be pricing in a major upcoming global event, and I wouldn’t rely too much on the idea of a classic New Year rally. A rally is only possible if the downside move happens very fast and impulsively. For now, my primary downside target is around 75K. After Bitcoin reaches this level, I’ll be carefully watching the structure of the decline, and based on the shape and behavior of that move, I’ll decide on the next potential directions for BTC. On the current chart, I’ve outlined two potential downside scenarios: 1️⃣🟠Orange scenario — Bitcoin starts moving down directly from the current price. 2️⃣ 🟣Purple arrow scenario — Bitcoin first pushes higher toward 90–92K, and only then continues lower to break local lows. What do you think? Drop a comment — which arrow do you see playing out for the drop? Or maybe you disagree with my bearish view entirely? I’d love to hear your opinions either way!
Short
by chart1stry
4
BTC Monthly Chart Technical AnaylsisDear Traders, As expected from our previous weekly chart analysis, BTC has reached the $80K zone and has now successfully tapped $86K. At this stage, the monthly candle is extremely important. I’ve shared the November candle—watch the closing carefully, because a major opportunity could be forming. Trade smart, stay cautious, and if you find this update valuable, please show your support by boosting the post and dropping a comment. The Quantum Trading Mastery
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by TheQUANTUMTraders
BTC/ISD) Beraish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical of analysis depicts a bearish descending channel* on the BTC/USDT 4-hour chart with the following key elements: 1. Channel structure Price is moving within a clear descending channel (black parallel lines), indicating a sustained downtrend. 2. Breakout point: The black dot marks a recent break below the lower channel line, signaling potential continuation of the bearish momentum. Mr SMC Trading point 3. Target: The projected downside target is ≈80,428.17 USDT, shown by the horizontal “target point” line. 4. EMA (200): The blue exponential moving average (200-period) is acting as dynamic resistance, reinforcing the bearish bias. 5. Price action: The latest candle closes at 89,037.66 USDT down -0.36% for the session, with reduced volume (-1.33% Vol). The overall idea is that after the breakdown from the channel, the analyst expects BTC/USDT to head toward the 80.4k support zone. Please support boost this analysis
Short
by SMC-Trading-Point
BTC Trade Plan (December 12, 2025)BTC Trade Plan (December 12, 2025) (D1 Neutral / H4 Buy dips / H1 Locally bullish / M15 Trend) ⬛️ 1. Higher Timeframe Context (D1 and H4) • D1 bias: neutral • D1 range (approx): 89,000 – 94,000 • Key D1 zones: • Supply: 93,000-94,000 tested highs • Demand: 89,000-91,000 supports • H4 bias: buy dips • H4 zones of interest: • H4 Sell Zone 1: – supply cluster/rejection • H4 Buy Zone 1: – demand area/gap fill potential Active setups are trend-aligned relative to D1/H4. ⬛️ 2. Preferred Setups by Horizon 🔳 2.1 Swing Setup (D1/H4) • Idea: trend-aligned long on dips (neutral structure support). • Time horizon: multi-day. • Context: stable macro, neutral derivatives. 🔲 2.2 Intraday Setup (H1 focus) • Idea: buy dips toward supports. • Time horizon: intraday. • Context: H4 demand zones, local bullish. ▫️ 2.3 Scalp Setup (M15 focus) • Idea: scalp minor trends upside. • Time horizon: minutes–hours. • Risk: higher-risk in expansion regime. ▪️ 2.4 Arbitrage/Pairs Concept (if relevant) • Idea: BTC dominance high, neutral vs ETH/sector. 🟩 3.1 Long Setup (Trend-Aligned) • Execution timeframe: H1 • Trigger timeframe: M15 • Entry zone: • Context: H4 demand, LVN support. • Pattern tags: Trigger conditions: • Liquidity sweep or SFP at/under key low, then reclaim (liquidity_sweep_reclaim). • Evidence of liquidation_spike_reversal and absorption_at_level. • ML-Predictive (15m): upside probability ≥ downside. • On-chain and regulatory risk not at “extreme”. 🟥 3.2 Short Setup (Counter-Trend) • Execution timeframe: H1 • Trigger timeframe: M15 • Entry zone: • Context: H4 supply + put-biased skew. • Pattern tags (from pattern_library): Trigger conditions (non-exhaustive example): • Price trades into the H4 sell zone and forms required pattern combination (e.g., double_sweep_high + vwap_rejection). • Orderflow: evidence of absorption_at_level and delta_divergence_high. • ML-Predictive (15m): downside probability ≥ upside. • Event/Regulatory risk is not “extreme” and uncertainty is not “high”. 🔴 4. Stops (Invalidation Levels) Long setups: • Stop: 88,000. • Logic: break of H4/H1 key low/demand invalidation; idea is wrong below this level. Short setups: • Stop: 95,000. • Logic: break of H4/H1 structural high or OB invalidation; idea is wrong above this level. 🟢 5. Targets Long: • TP1: 93,000 – local HVN/VWAP or M15/H1 level. • TP2: 94,000 – H4 supply/OB retest. • TP3 (optional): 95,000 – extended D1 objective (HVN). Short: • TP1: 91,000 – intraday HVN or VWAP retest (H1). • TP2: 89,000 – H4 demand / LVN void. • TP3 (optional): lower – extended D1 objective (gap fill). ⬛️ 6. Position Sizing • Baseline risk: • Trend-aligned setups: typically 1.0 (relative unit). • Counter-trend setups: ≤ 0.5 (relative unit). • Adjust up/down using: • high volatility_context, normal onchain_risk_profile.risk_level, normal sentiment_state.sentiment_risk, normal anomaly_state.manipulation_risk, overall_event_risk normal, uncertainty.level medium, trade_readiness.status ok_to_trade. Final recommended relative risk per setup: 0.8 for trend long, 0.4 for counter-trend short. ⬛️ 7. Risk Flags • Thin liquidity and high slippage risk • Macro headwinds (DXY flat, NQ flat) • Elevated regulatory risk (bank competition news) ⬛️ 8. Flip Conditions • For long bias → bearish flip: • Close below 89,000 with sell delta, failed demand. • For short bias → bullish flip: • H4 close above 94,000 with rising OI, positive delta, and acceptance above the OB cluster. ⬛️ 9. Alternative Scenario Reject highs with range_high_rejection, short direction entry 93,000-94,000, stop 95,000, targets 89,000-88,000, differs as bear continuation vs base range grind. ⬛️ 10. Model Self-Critique • Main assumptions: stable macro, neutral derivatives/on-chain. • Main vulnerabilities: regulatory shifts, large whale flows. • Behavioural risk notes: do not average into losers, do not increase leverage beyond a safe threshold. ⬛️ 11. Uncertainty and Constraints • Uncertainty level: medium. • Avoid high leverage, require strict pattern confirmation before entry, limit the number of trades.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by BTC_ETH_Intra_Day_Analysis
“Bitcoin / U.S. Dollar” (BTC/USD) on the 4‑hour timeframe from B1. Price Movement: The candlestick pattern indicates an ascending trend channel (blue lines) with a recent breakout above the upper channel line (circled area), suggesting bullish momentum. 2. Target Point: A red horizontal line marks a target at 95,919.5, implying the expected upside if the bullish move continues. 3. Support Zone: A red shaded rectangle highlights a demand zone between 85,755.8 and 88,210.8, acting as a key support level. 4. Green Rectangle: Represents a potential profit zone extending from approximately 88,210.8 to the target 95,919.5, indicating an expected price surge. 5. Current Price: BTC/USD is trading around 92,089 (as of 02:50:26), sitting above the support and aiming for the target. 6. Analysis Implication: The setup suggests a bullish continuation after the breakout, with traders likely watching for sustained movement above the channel to confirm the upward run toward the target, while keeping an eye on the support zone for any reversal🚀📈
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by Moriss365
BTCUSDT Trade Plan (December 08, 2025)BTC Trade Plan (December 08, 2025) (D1 Bearish / H4 Sell Rallies → Compression / H1 Neutral / M15 Chop) ⬛️ 1. Higher Timeframe Context (D1 and H4) • D1 bias: bearish (descending channel post-ATH) • D1 range (approx): 84,000 – 126,000 (current lower third) • Key D1 zones: • Supply: 100–105k (broken) • Demand: 88–90k channel low • H4 bias: sell rallies turning compression (ascending triangle forming) • H4 zones of interest: • H4 Sell Zone 1: – recent rejection + supply cluster • H4 Buy Zone 1: – weekend low + trendline Active setups counter-trend long on dip (whale accumulation support), trend-aligned short only on clear rejection. ⬛️ 2. Preferred Setups by Horizon 🔳 2.1 Swing Setup (D1/H4) Counter-trend long the channel low / whale accumulation zone. Time horizon: multi-day to weeks. 🔲 2.2 Intraday Setup (H1 focus) Buy dips to 89.5-90k or breakout above 92k. Time horizon: intraday to overnight. ▫️ 2.3 Scalp Setup (M15 focus) Scalp range 90-92k or absorption plays — higher risk in chop. ▪️ 2.4 Arbitrage/Pairs: BTC dominance rising → BTC outperforming alts short-term. 🟩 3.1 Long Setup (Trend-Aligned with On-Chain / Swing-Intraday) • Execution timeframe: H4/H1 • Trigger timeframe: M15 • Entry zone: • Pattern tags: Trigger conditions: • Successful defense 88-90k zone + CVD higher low • H1/H4 BOS up on volume • Whale accumulation continuation 🟥 3.2 Short Setup (Counter-Trend / Scalp Only) • Execution timeframe: H1 • Trigger timeframe: M15 • Entry zone: • Pattern tags: Trigger conditions: • Clear rejection with delta divergence high • Failure to break 94k pre-FOMC 🔴 4. Stops (Invalidation Levels) Long setups: 87,500 (channel break = bear confirmation) Short setups: 94,500 (breakout = squeeze) 🟢 5. Targets Long (swing/intraday): • TP1: 92,000 (VWAP/H1) • TP2: 94,000-95,000 (supply test/H4) • TP3: 100,000+ (HVN/D1 optional) Short (scalp): • TP1: 90,000 • TP2: 88,500 ⬛️ 6. Position Sizing • Baseline trend-aligned long (on-chain supported): 1.0% • Counter-trend short: 0.4% • Adjustments: +20% (whale buying + clean lev + Fed tailwind) → Effective: longs 1.2% risk, shorts 0.3% max ⬛️ 7. Risk Flags • FOMC Wednesday → vol expansion risk • Thin liquidity mid-week • Residual weekend trauma → fake moves possible • Macro correlation re-assertion if equities dump ⬛️ 8. Flip Conditions Bull → bear flip: clean close below 88k with volume + funding negative Bear → bull flip: H4 close >94.5k + CVD reset + whale continuation ⬛️ 9. Alternative Scenario Reject hard at 92-94k → descending triangle breakdown → fast move to 84-87k LVN void (bear trap completion, high risk short only with tight stop). ⬛️ 10. Model Self-Critique • Assumptions: whale accumulation continues, Fed delivers dovish cut, no macro shock • Vulnerabilities: sudden risk-off equities dump, whale distribution resumption, FOMC hawkish surprise • Behavioural: do not chase breakouts pre-FOMC, do not average into losing shorts against whales ⬛️ 11. Uncertainty and Constraints Uncertainty: medium → require flow + pattern confirmation, no high lev, prefer size on confirmed absorption only.
by BTC_ETH_Intra_Day_Analysis
“BTCUSD 1H — Range Support Buy Targeting Range High Liquidity1. Market Structure (1H BTCUSD) Overall structure: Still range-bound / corrective, not a clean trend. Price is trading inside a rising channel but momentum has weakened. We recently rejected from the upper mid-range, not from the absolute highs — that matters. Interpretation: This is consolidation after a strong move, not distribution yet — but buyers are no longer aggressive. --- 2. Key Zones (Very Important) 🔴 Demand / Support Zone (Red Box) Roughly 85,000 – 86,800 Multiple reactions here → high-quality demand Liquidity + prior structure low + channel support If price enters this zone and holds: → High-probability bounce / long setup If this zone breaks cleanly (1H close below): → Structure fails → expect accelerated sell-off --- ⚫ Resistanc… “BTCUSD 1H — Range Support Buy Targeting Range High Liquidity”
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Moriss365
BTC analysis 8 DecBTC – Bullish Outlook with Planned Laddered Entries 📌 Overall Trend My higher-timeframe bias on Bitcoin remains bullish. I expect the current pullback to create liquidity for continuation to the upside. ⸻ 📥 Laddered Buy Zones I am planning to accumulate in three key demand zones: • $90,500 • $88,650 • $85,907 These levels align with previous reaction zones and liquidity pockets that could serve as bases for bullish continuation. ⸻ 🔍 Entry Criteria (Very Important) I will NOT enter blindly into these zones. For each level, I will wait for: ✔ CHoCH (Change of Character) ✔ Break of Structure on the 15-minute timeframe Only after a clear shift in market structure will I execute entries. This filter significantly increases win-rate by avoiding ignored or weak zones. ⸻ 🎯 Trade Plan Summary • HTF trend: Bullish • Looking for a corrective move into demand • Entry only with 15m CHoCH + BOS confirmation • No confirmation → no trade
Long
by Tarane_Akbari
2
BTC/USD) Bearish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of Bitcoin (BTC/USDT), showing likely support/resistance zones + moving averages + a projected downside “target.” I think the analysis has merit — but it also carries risks. Here’s a breakdown of what works & what to watch out for: --- What the analysis does well (strengths) Use of support and resistance zones: The chart marks a “key support zone / breakout level” and a “resistance level.” That’s textbook technical analysis — horizontal zones where price has previously stalled or reversed tend to work as future decision points. Dynamic resistance via moving averages: The chart uses EMAs (50 and 200) — those help traders spot trend direction and possible dynamic resistance/support. When price is below a major EMA (like the 200), that EMA often acts as resistance rather than support. Clear target defined: Having a target around ~$83,783 (as drawn) gives a concrete downside level if the bearish case plays out. This is useful for planning scenarios and risk management. Logical structure: support → breakdown → target: The idea seems to be that price broke a support zone (or tested and failed), is now below important moving averages — which supports the bearish bias. If support fails, move down toward target. That’s a valid “trend + structure” bearish setup. --- What to be cautious about (weaknesses / risks / what’s uncertain) Support/resistance zones are not guarantees: As described in guides for support/resistance — these zones work because many traders place orders there, but price can ignore them, especially under high volatility or news triggers. EMAs as dynamic resistance/support are probabilistic: While 50-EMA or 200-EMA often act as resistance/support, they are not always respected — especially in volatile crypto markets. Timeframe & context matter: The chart seems 1-hour, which means the zones and signals are relatively short-term. Levels that look robust on a 1-h chart may dissolve quickly when broader contexts (daily/weekly) shift. Many TA educators stress using multiple timeframes to confirm strong levels. No certainty of target — market structure can change: The “target point” assumes continuation of bearish momentum. But if price action reverses, or some bullish catalyst emerges, the setup becomes invalid. This is true for any technical projection. --- What this setup implies — possible scenarios Bearish scenario (the chart’s base case): Since price is below both EMAs and has recently broken support, BTC could drift toward the projected target around $83,000–$84,000 if downward pressure continues, especially if sellers dominate near EMAs/resistance zones. Invalidation / bull scenario: If BTC climbs back above the 50 and 200 EMAs, or reclaims a broken support zone, that bearish thesis fails — and price may instead bounce back toward higher resistance. In that case, the target becomes irrelevant. Choppy / range-bound scenario: Price may hover between the support/resistance / EMA zones, bouncing up/down without reaching the target — which is common in crypto when there’s no strong directional catalyst. Mr SMC Trading point --- My view: Reasonable as a probabilistic bearish trade — but not a guarantee Your chart offers a plausible bearish setup. It makes sense to watch how price interacts with the EMAs and the support/resistance zones. However: because markets are never deterministic, it’s best to treat this as one possible scenario, not a sure bet. If I were trading this, I’d probably: Wait for confirmation (e.g. a breakdown + close below support, or rejection at EMA) before committing. Define risk controls: like where to set a stop-loss (maybe just above the 200-EMA or above recent consolidation), and a realistic profit target as indicated. Monitor for catalysts (volume spikes, news) — these can up-end technical setups quickly in crypto. --- Please support boost 🚀 this analysis
Short
by SMC-Trading-Point
4
BTC Is Preparing Monster Move: My Bullish Roadmap to New High!A lot of people are already calling for the end of the BTC rally and welcoming a new bear market. Whether that’s true or not — the chart will show. I approach the market with a neutral mindset and let price action speak for itself.Plus dont forget we have Black Friday coming and probably crypto market decided to give you a nice discount) From my perspective, Bitcoin has simply tapped the weekly discount zone. Historically, BTC often delivers a 20–30% corrective move, which is completely normal within a bullish cycle. And with Black Friday approaching, it seems the crypto market decided to offer its own “discount.” I’ve taken a long position from this area, with my first target set at 94–96K, where I plan to secure the majority of my profits. My stop is positioned around 82K — if the market goes against me, I’m fully comfortable with the risk. I’ve also added some spot positions and will share detailed analysis on those in upcoming posts. Once we reach the 94–96K zone, I’ll reassess the market. Price can shift in either direction from there, which is why that area is my main profit-taking zone while letting the remainder of the position run. Follow me for further updates and trade breakdowns.
Long
by Almenio