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Let' analyse BTCUSDT:
BTC is repeating the same ABC pattern that led to past 70%+ rallies.
We're now at a decision point — next weekly close will confirm:
Scenario 1: Rejection Below $96K (Circle 1)
→ Likely dip to $78K–$80.5K (channel bottom + 0.5 Fib)
→ Final shakeout before major move.
Scenario 2: Breakout Above $96K (Circle 2)
→ Retest at $90.5K
→ Then rally toward $160K+ begins (Circle 3)
BTC just needs to cool off after a 30% run — setup is identical to past breakouts.
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Btctechnicalanalysis
BTC H4 Analysis | Key Support Zone: | Watch for ReactionBitcoin is approaching a significant support area between 88,277 and 86,850 on the H4 timeframe. This zone has historically acted as a demand region, and price action within this range will be critical to monitor.
Technical structure shows a potential for volatility, and traders should keep an eye on how BTC behaves around this level. A clear reaction here could offer insight into the next directional move.
No trade setup provided — this is a technical observation for analysis purposes only.
BTC Trade Idea — React, Don’t PredictBINANCE:BTCUSD
Smart Trading Requires Patience!
Bitcoin is currently undergoing a healthy correction.
Strong support is located around $87,500, and if confirmed by price action, it could offer a great buying opportunity.
Trading without a plan = gambling!
** Alternative Scenario:
If the $87,500 level breaks with strong confirmation, after a pullback to this zone, a short
opportunity could emerge.
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#CryptoAnalysis #BTCUSD #TradingStrategy #Forex #Cryptocurrency
BTC Retrace or Rally? Bitcoin’s Liquidity Hunt & Next Move.Bitcoin BTC Analysis & Trade Idea
🚦 Market Context & Price Action
Bitcoin has experienced a sharp rally, pushing into previous weekly and daily highs. This area is a classic liquidity pool, where buy stops from breakout traders and late longs are likely accumulating. The current price action is overextended, suggesting that the market may be primed for a retracement as smart money seeks to capture liquidity before the next directional move.
💧 Liquidity Pools & Wyckoff Concepts
According to Wyckoff methodology, this phase resembles a "Buying Climax" (BC) where price surges into resistance, often followed by an "Automatic Reaction" (AR) and a potential "Secondary Test" (ST). The current rally into old highs is likely triggering buy stops, providing institutional players with ample liquidity to offload positions or engineer a shakeout.
🟢 Wyckoff Schematic:
Buying Climax (BC) at current highs
Anticipated Automatic Reaction (AR) as price retraces
Look for a range to develop (potential Accumulation phase) near the 50% Fibonacci retracement
📉 Fibonacci Retracement & Trade Setup
You’re eyeing the 50% retracement of the previous price range as a key level. This aligns with both technical and Wyckoff logic, as it’s a common area for price to find support after a liquidity grab.
🟢 Trade Plan:
Wait for a retrace to the 50% Fibonacci level
Observe for a range or consolidation (signs of absorption/accumulation)
Look for a bullish break of market structure (BOS) as confirmation
Enter long on confirmation, with stops below the range low
🌐 Fundamentals & Market Sentiment
Currently, Bitcoin sentiment is mixed but leaning bullish due to recent ETF inflows, institutional adoption, and macroeconomic uncertainty (e.g., inflation, rate cut expectations). However, funding rates are elevated, and open interest is high, indicating potential for a shakeout as overleveraged longs are vulnerable.
🟢 Key Fundamentals:
ETF inflows and institutional interest remain strong
Macro uncertainty (Fed policy, inflation) supports long-term bullishness
Short-term: Overheated sentiment and high leverage could trigger a corrective move
🧠 Sentiment & Risk Management
Social media and crypto news outlets are buzzing with bullish narratives, but this euphoria often precedes a correction. Be patient and disciplined—wait for the retrace and confirmation before entering.
🟢 Risk Management:
Only enter after clear accumulation and bullish BOS
Use tight stops below the range
Consider scaling in if the range develops with clear absorption
📈 Trade Idea Summary
Wait for a retrace to the 50% Fibonacci level of the recent rally
Look for Wyckoff-style accumulation and a bullish break of structure
Enter long on confirmation, targeting new highs or the top of the previous range
Manage risk with stops below the accumulation range
Not financial advice!
BTC NEXT MOVE ANALYSIS Bitcoin is showing strong bullish momentum, with a potential pullback setup forming. We are currently watching the $93,300 zone for short term reaction, but our primary interest lies lower.
A buy limit is planned at $90,500, aligning with a high-probability demand zone and market structure support. This area could provide an optimal entry for a continued push toward the draw of liquidity near $96,500.
Stay patient any dip toward this zone is a buying opportunity.
Setup is valid unless price closes below $90,000.
Stay Tuned For More 🤝🎖️🫡
BTC/USD Daily Technical Outlook – Approaching Cycle Top?Bitcoin is currently trading around $85,500, maintaining short-term bullish momentum within a well-formed ascending structure on the daily chart. The price is now entering a mid-phase rally, with a clear target of $98,000, a key resistance level that coincides with the upper boundary of a rising wedge formation and historical trend extension zones.
Key Technical Levels:
Immediate Resistance: $88,800 (local supply zone)
Major Target Zone: $97,000–$98,000 (macro resistance + psychological round number)
Short-Term Support: $82,000
Key Breakdown Level: $78,500
While the momentum suggests BTC may continue to push higher in the near term, the $98,000 resistance is likely to act as a distribution zone, where buying may slow and profit-taking increases. This level could falsely signal a breakout, leading to a spike in retail long positions before the market enters a longer-term correction phase.
If rejection occurs at or near $98,000, BTC could begin a multi-month correction, with the primary downside target set at $49,000 by July 2025. This level aligns with previous weekly support, volume profile lows, and would represent a typical deep retracement following a major cycle top.
Outlook:
Near-term bias: Bullish toward $98,000
Macro bias: Bearish reversal expected from resistance zone
Cycle correction target: $49,000 (Q3 2025)
BTC-----Sell around 82100, target 80800-80300 areaTechnical analysis of BTC contract on April 10: Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a big positive line yesterday. The K-line pattern was single negative and single positive. The price stood above the MA5 daily average line, but the attached indicator was dead cross. A single rise is difficult to become a trend and difficult to continue. In addition, when the large trend is still weak, there is no room for rise, so the current trend can only be regarded as a correction trend; from the four-hour chart, the current K-line pattern is continuous negative, and the pressure high point after the pullback is 83,600 area, and the price has not broken the correction high point position of the previous stage-by-stage decline. This is very obvious. The current K-line in the short-cycle hourly chart is continuous negative, and the attached indicator is dead cross, so whether the European session can continue is the key.
Today's BTC short-term contract trading strategy: sell directly at the current price of 82,100 area, stop loss at 82,600 area, and target 80,800 area and 80,300 area;
$$$ BTCUSD MACRO-BULLISH $$$ 1W CHART $$$BITFINEX:BTCUSD 1W Chart
There are many reasons to look at this weekly chart and see that there's absolutely no reason to be bearish on Bitcoin yet.
Holding strong r/s flip support.
Holding regression trend.
Holding parabolic trend.
Stoch RSI at the bottom.
Weekly bullish divergence.
Assuming this plays out in a way that's similar to the last local bottom, the current target is around $134k-$135k.
It would take a lot to invalidate all of these bullish indicators, but if that does somehow happen, with a CLOSE of the weekly candle that invalidated these, then It's pretty much definitely over for a loooong time.
NFA blah blah blah..
BITCOIN SEEMS TO FOLLOW THIS PATH TOWARDS 120k !!!According to elliott wave count, If BTC has completed it's macro wave (IV), then we can expect it moving to complete it's macro wave (V).
In this case if recently impulse move is counted as micro wave (i), then we can expect reversal from 81-79K region very soon.
Otherwise, if micro count gets Invalid, then reversal can be expected from up to 76-70k .
Important key level is breakout of 95k which would confirm reverse in trend.
BTC already has the conditions to hit the 90000-95000 zone!A few days ago, I mentioned that BTC had the potential to surge towards the 90000-95000 range. Currently, BTC has already climbed above 87000 during its rebound, effectively opening the door to the 90000-95000 zone.
From a fundamental perspective, with bearish factors becoming clearer, if Trump adopts a more lenient stance on tariffs, BTC could extend its rebound. On the technical side, BTC has successfully broken through the short-term resistance around the 85500 level, turning the 85500-84500 area into a short-term support structure. This transition further supports BTC’s continuation to the upside, potentially testing the 90000-95000 range.
For short-term trading, we can consider waiting for a technical pullback and looking to go long on BTC once it retraces to the 85500-85000 region. The trading strategy verification accuracy rate is more than 90%; one step ahead, exclusive access to trading strategies and real-time trading settings
BITCOIN Update: What We Can Expect Next???According to current price action we can expect 3 scenarios:
Scenario 1: BTC is currently at it mid range resistance. If it breaks above this resistance then we may probably see price approaching range high and even beyond.
Scenario 2: If it fails to break and rejects, then most probably we can expect reversal from range low demand zone, which aligns with cypher harmonic pattern's PRZ.
Scenario 3: In worst case, we may see BTC dumping upto 74-70K region, and from there we will most probably see trend reversal.
Most crucial level to watch in all scenarios is 95k region, if it breaks successfully above it, then we will see BTC slamming new ATH.
BTC is expected to hit 85000-86000 again, or even higherBTC has once again built a strong double bottom structural support in the 82000-81000 zone. BTC is likely to continue to rise. Once it breaks through the short-term resistance area near 83600, BTC may usher in a wave of accelerated rise and has the potential to continue to the 85000-86000 zone.
So we can still go long on BTC in the 82500-81500 zone. In addition, once BTC rises as expected, it is likely to grab the market share of gold, so it may also accelerate the decline of gold to a certain extent. This is a point we must be careful about next.
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$BTC for Next week (31st March - 4th April)Given out all the ideas, Will react to the market based on which idea presents itself.
If Yellow line - Its better to stay out of the markets.
With the other wait for MSS (Market Structure Shift) and then take the trade and target the other side of the liquidity.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD , BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Overall I'm neutral on CRYPTOCAP:BTC but SEED_ALEXDRAYM_SHORTINTEREST2:NQ and NYSE:ES look bearish to me, and CRYPTOCAP:BTC could follow.
Buy BTC,it still has the potential to reboundBTC experienced a sharp short-term decline, breaking lower; however, the downward momentum has significantly slowed. Importantly, the recent pullback has not disrupted the broader upward consolidation structure, with the 84500-83500 zone continuing to provide strong support.
Once the bearish sentiment fully subsides, I anticipate a relief rally or a technical rebound. Therefore, this pullback could present an excellent opportunity to go long on BTC.
Consider entering long positions around the 84500-83500 support zone, targeting an initial upside move toward the 86000-86500 range.
The trading strategy verification accuracy rate is more than 90%; one step ahead, exclusive access to trading strategies and real-time trading settings
BTC:BTC is expected to continue to rise to 95000BTC has built a perfect upward structure in an oscillating upward manner, and has continuously strengthened the bottom support during the oscillation process. BTC is expected to continue to rise. However, BTC is facing the 88500-89500 resistance area, so BTC needs to accumulate energy to break through this resistance area, so we should focus on the 86500-85500 area support below. Once BTC touches this area and stops falling and rebounds, BTC is bound to break through the 88500-89500 resistance area and is expected to continue to 95000.
So in terms of short-term trading, if gold pulls back to the 86500-85500 area, we can go long on BTC.I will make more detailed trading plans and trading signals every day according to the real-time market situation, which is also the testimony of every successful transaction and profit of mine; the article has a certain lag, if you want to copy the trading signals to make a profit, or master independent trading skills and thinking, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article
BTC: Accumulate energy for the rise and soar into the sky!📍BTC's volatility has narrowed, with selling pressure showing signs of weakening. Throughout the choppy price action, the 84000-83500 zone has established itself as a critical support area in the short-term structure. This level now serves as a key defensive line.
📍Following this consolidation phase, BTC may stage a rebound from this support region. If the price manages to break through the resistance around 84800 with strength, further upside momentum could drive it towards the 90000 level.
🔎Trade Idea:
BTCUSD:Buy at 83500-83000
TP:84500-85000
SL:Adjust according to risk tolerance.
📩Trading means that everything has results and everything has feedback. I have been committed to market trading and trading strategy sharing, striving to improve the winning rate of trading and maximize profits. If you want to copy trading signals to make a profit, or master independent trading skills and thinking, you can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to copy trading strategies and signals
BTC: Capture buying opportunities accurately📍Fundamentals: From a macro perspective, with increased government endorsement, cryptocurrencies are gaining greater credibility and popularity in the market.
📍Technical Analysis:The downward momentum of BTC is showing signs of exhaustion, with multiple rebounds forming a structural bottom that provides strong support. Overall, the bullish trend remains intact. The key support zone to monitor is 83000-82000.
📌If BTC fails to break below this level in the short term, a rebound is likely, with upside potential targeting the 88000-89000 range.
🔎Trade Idea:
BTCUSD: Buy at 83000-82000
Target (TP):88000-89000
Stop Loss (SL):Adjust according to risk tolerance.
📩Trading means that everything has results and everything has feedback. I have been committed to market trading and trading strategy sharing, striving to improve the winning rate of trading and maximize profits. If you want to copy trading signals to make a profit, or master independent trading skills and thinking, you can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to copy trading strategies and signals
The best investment since Nov 2021 - GOLD or BITCOIN ? - FACTSThe Main Chart is the chart from BITFINEX that trades Bitcoin to Gold DIRECTLY
I look to this often and find it a MUST See to compare the two assets.
This is Not done to try and make BTC like GOLD but that they are both investments with returns,
It is as simple as that
But which one has the higher return ?
I have taken the November 2021 Bitcoin ATH as the Datum point. a Worse case scenario for Bitcoin.
Bitcoin Directly to Gold.
As you can see on the main chart. If you had sold your Gold into Bitcoin and Just Held since Nov 2021, you are currently at a slight loss. Less ounces of Gold to one Bitcoin.
It is as simple as that. But PA has fallen from Above the buy price recently.
But to also mention, if you had bought Bitcoin with your Gold at the Bottom in Jan 2023, that is a 360% Rise in Value DIRECTLY OVER GOLD as opposed to the -75% Losses from ATH to Low.
Nothing else does that
Lets look at a comparison Via 100 USD investments into each asset
GOLD USD CFD
Let us say we invested 100 usd in Nov 2021 at the Bitcoin ATH that year.
Since then, there has been a 62.71 % increase in price; from your buy price, if you simply just held your investment.
This gives you 162.71 usd currently
PA had risen 12% from that date but then dropped 22% to the low. From the Low, PA has risen 89 % and if you had Traded your investment, selling high, buying Low, you would now have 211.68 usd currently
Now to Bitcoin - again, 100 usd invested at the ATH in Nov 2021
100 invested in Nov 2021 currently has a 24.68 % increase from Buy price. if you just HODL, off the 2021 ATH and so you would have 124.68 currently
From that ATH point, we saw a Loss as PA dropped 77.2% to the Low but then Rose up 596% from the Low.
If you traded , Depending on when you sold your bad 100 investment , the gains are different But lets say, you sold what was left of your 100 at the slight rise in PA in March 2022 - that was a loss of 28.5%, leaving you 71.5 usd
Wait till the Low in Jan 203 and then continue Buy Low, Sell high, you currently have 743 usd , having sold the top at 109K and waiting for the next Low
So, in summery, from 100 usd investment in Nov 2021 BTC ATH
GOLD
HODL 162.71 - Traded 211.68
BITCOIN
HODL 124.68 - Traded 743.34
The ONLY REAL Loss currently is with the BTC GOLD pair, where BTC is -20% currently off Buy price, having fallen from HIGHER than Buy price recently,.
However, PA is on the lower trend line, as you can see in the chart, and the expectation is for a Strong Bounce over the next few weeks..This will set BTC off towards that magical 50 ounces of Gold per Bitcoin.
But it has to be said, the journey if you held Bitcoin having sold out from Gold has been painful.
Tthat pain is about to end, very possibly forever.
Trading is not for everyone and Hitting the perfect High or Low point is almost impossible.
But the Gains are there in Bitcoin against Gold if you even do basic trading.
And, inmy opinion, if you have gold....SERIOUSLY think abot Bitcoin now.
Gold is OVERBOUGHT on many timeframes....
Bitcoin is not...................
BTC Buy at this Level - NFP News This Week (Volatility Risk!)Short term Buy idea on Bitcoin. This is a riskier idea because:
A) BTC is showing signs of Weakness (so we are counter trend trading)
B) This idea is based on NFP news timing
I may wait until Monday to get clarity (unless you also trade on the weekend)
Overall Idea for this is:
- W1/M candles have big rejection wicks to the downside, retesting the previous Week's wick, hinting at some Buyside potential
- We see divergence with ETH.
- The LTF H4 shows a Break of Structure, momentum move to the upside.
- We've already had a retracement down after, and it validated the gap in price (blue zone), reacting off it, hinting that it will hold.
- Now I'm waiting for the next best price to enter.
Again, NFP volatility can create bigger than usual spikes, so keeping that in mind.
If NFP takes it higher without coming to a better price, so be it - the train will leave without me. Will wait for further PA.
Price will be giving the validation to enter.
BTCUSDT UPDATE....What we can expect next????Things are going accordingly. We are currently probably forming ending diagonal which indicates a trend reversal. If things go even, we can expect reversal from 74-69k region which is also PRZ of bat harmonic pattern. Also golden fib. level (61.8) of micro wave (iii) is aligning in PRZ zone.
Bitcoin at $80,000. A Defining Crossroads: $65,000 or $120,000?Bitcoin stands at a critical juncture at $80,000, where market participants are engaged in a decisive battle between bullish momentum and bearish resistance. The outcome of this struggle will shape the next major move, with two distinct scenarios emerging.
Scenario 1: A Retracement Toward $65,000
If Bitcoin fails to maintain its current momentum, profit-taking and increased selling pressure could lead to a decline toward $65,000. This level serves as a crucial support zone, where demand may re-emerge to stabilize the price before any potential recovery. A break below this threshold would signal a deeper correction, potentially delaying any further upside in the near term.
Scenario 2: A Breakout Toward $120,000
For Bitcoin to sustain a move toward $120,000 by late March or early April, the market must see uninterrupted buying pressure over the next 10 days. There can be no hesitation—buyers need to absorb selling liquidity consistently, preventing any major pullbacks. The key level to watch in this scenario is $109,000, a major resistance zone that has the potential to act as the final barrier before BTC enters price discovery. A clean break and consolidation above this level would significantly increase the probability of an accelerated move toward $120,000.
At this stage, Bitcoin is at a make-or-break point, and the direction it takes from here will set the tone for the coming weeks. Whether it experiences a healthy correction or an explosive rally depends entirely on how market participants respond at these critical price levels.