Btctechnicalanalysis
BTC/USD — Professional Daily Technical Analysis🚀 BTC/USD — Professional Daily Technical Analysis
🧭 Market Structure
BTC/USD is currently trading around 81,081, after a strong recovery from the major 57,500 support zone. The chart shows a clear transition from the previous bearish phase into a recovery and bullish structure.
After the major sell-off, BTC formed a prolonged consolidation near the 60K–68K area, followed by a bullish move that produced multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS). Price is now approaching an important resistance area around 81K, making this a key decision point for the next major move.
📈 Current Bullish Structure
The most important feature on the chart is the recovery from the 57.5K strong support.
BTC first stabilized around the lower support area, then moved into consolidation. Buyers subsequently pushed price higher, creating a bullish structure and breaking previous swing highs.
The current price is testing the 81K BOS/resistance area.
🔥 If BTC successfully breaks above 81K and confirms the level as support, bullish continuation becomes the stronger scenario.
Potential upside areas:
🎯 Target 1: 93K–98K Demand Zone
🎯 Target 2: 108K–111K Order Block
🎯 Target 3: 116K–120K Major FVG
🔄 Pullback Scenario
Because BTC is approaching a major resistance/BOS area, a temporary rejection or liquidity sweep is possible.
If price fails to maintain above 81K, a pullback toward the nearby FVG zones could develop.
Important retracement areas shown on the chart:
🟡 74K–77K FVG
🟡 70K–73K FVG
🟡 66K–69K FVG
These zones may act as potential areas of reaction if buyers remain in control.
A controlled pullback followed by bullish confirmation would keep the broader recovery structure intact.
🐂 Bullish Confirmation
The ideal bullish scenario would be:
81K breakout → successful retest → bullish continuation 📈
If BTC closes decisively above the 81K resistance/BOS and holds the level on a retest, the probability of a move toward the 93K–98K demand zone increases.
A strong continuation through that demand zone could open the way toward the 108K–111K order block.
Beyond that, the higher 116K–120K FVG becomes the major upside area highlighted on the chart.
🐻 Bearish Scenario
A rejection around 81K could trigger profit-taking and a deeper retracement.
The first areas to monitor would be the 74K–77K FVG and then the 70K–73K FVG.
If BTC loses these zones with strong bearish momentum, the market could revisit the 66K–69K area.
⚠️ A deeper breakdown below the major consolidation/support structure would weaken the current bullish recovery and increase the risk of a larger correction.
🧱 Major Historical Zones
🟢 57.5K — Strong Support
This is the most important lower support marked on the chart. The strong reaction from this region established the foundation for the current recovery.
🟡 66K–69K — Lower FVG / Reaction Zone
A key area to watch during a deeper pullback.
🟡 70K–73K — FVG
Potential short-term support if BTC retraces from the current resistance.
🟡 74K–77K — Upper FVG
The first major retracement area below the current price.
🔴 81K — Current BOS / Resistance
The most important immediate decision level.
🟠 93K–98K — Demand Zone
Major upside objective if BTC confirms the breakout above 81K.
🔴 108K–111K — Order Block
A significant higher-timeframe supply/resistance area.
🟡 116K–120K — Major FVG
The final major upside zone highlighted by the chart.
🎯 Overall Outlook
BTC/USD remains structurally bullish while the major support zones continue to hold. 📈🔥
However, 81K is the key level right now. Price needs confirmation rather than simply assuming a breakout.
Above 81K: 🚀 Bullish continuation → 93K–98K → 108K–111K → 116K–120K
Rejection from 81K: 🔄 Pullback → 74K–77K FVG → 70K–73K → 66K–69K
Loss of major support: ⚠️ Bullish structure becomes weaker.
🧠 Trading Mindset
Don't chase the move at resistance. Wait for breakout + retest confirmation, or wait for a clean reaction from the marked FVG/support zones. Discipline and confirmation are more important than predicting the next candle. 📊🧘♂️
BTC/USD — Major Range & Bearish Breakdown Scenario📊 BTC/USD — Major Range & Bearish Breakdown Scenario ⚡
Bitcoin is currently trading around 76,995 on the 2H chart, positioned close to the lower boundary of the established range. Price has spent several sessions consolidating between approximately 76,000 and 81,400, but recent candles show increasing selling pressure from the upper half of the range.
🔹 Market Structure
The broader move into the range was strongly bullish, but BTC has failed several times to establish a sustained breakout above the 81,400 resistance. This repeated rejection suggests that sellers remain active around the range high.
At the moment, price is pressing the 76,000 support area. This level is important because it represents the lower edge of the current range.
🔻 Bearish Scenario
If BTC gets a confirmed 2H close below 76,000, followed by a failed retest of the broken support, the range could shift into a bearish continuation setup.
🎯 Potential target: 71,000–72,000 order-block zone
This area is the next major demand/order-block region visible on the chart and could potentially attract buyers.
📈 Bullish Alternative
The bearish setup would lose strength if price strongly reclaims the 78,000–79,000 area and starts forming higher highs.
A recovery back toward the middle/upper portion of the range could then bring 81,400 resistance back into focus.
🎯 Key Levels
🟥 81,400: Major resistance
🟧 78,000–79,000: Recovery/reclaim zone
🟨 76,000: Critical range support
🟩 71,000–72,000: Major order-block / potential demand zone
🧠 TradingView Conclusion
BTC/USD remains range-bound, but the current position near 76,000 makes the next breakout important. A confirmed breakdown below support could trigger a move toward the 71,000–72,000 order block, while a strong reclaim would invalidate the immediate bearish idea.
⚠️ No trade should be based on the level alone. Wait for confirmation, retest, and price-action reaction before entering.
BTC/USD — PROFESSIONAL TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ₿ BTC/USD — PROFESSIONAL TECHNICAL ANALYSIS 📊🔥
⏱️ 2H Timeframe | Bullish Channel Structure
📈 MARKET STRUCTURE
BTC/USD is trading around 79,500 while respecting a clear ascending bullish channel.
🟢 Higher highs & higher lows
🟢 Strong bullish momentum from the 63K–64K area
🔄 Current movement shows a short-term pullback
🟨 Major Order Block / Demand Zone: 77,000–78,000
The overall structure remains bullish as long as the demand zone holds.
🟨 KEY ORDER BLOCK
The 77K–78K zone is the critical area to watch.
A potential liquidity sweep into this zone followed by bullish confirmation could trigger the next upside move.
🧲 Liquidity Sweep
➡️ 🟨 OB Reaction
➡️ 📈 Bullish Continuation
🎯 UPSIDE TARGETS
If BTC holds the OB and reclaims resistance:
🎯 TP1: 80,500–81,000
🎯 TP2: 82,000–82,500
🚀 TP3: 83,500–84,000
The 83.5K–84K area corresponds with the upper channel resistance.
⚠️ INVALIDATION
🔴 A confirmed 2H breakdown below 77K would weaken the bullish setup and could open the door for a deeper correction.
🧠 FINAL BIAS
🟢 BULLISH
Best approach: Don't chase around 79.5K. Wait for a pullback toward 77K–78K and look for confirmation before considering a long setup.
🧘♂️ Patience + Confirmation = Better Execution 📊🔥
Bitcoin — Breakout Retest Setup: Will BTC Move Toward $91K?📊 Technical Analysis — BTCUSDT | 1D
Bitcoin is currently in a critical phase after experiencing a strong bullish recovery from the $57,800 low. On the 1D chart, BTC successfully formed an Inverse Head & Shoulders structure and then delivered a strong breakout above the neckline around $66,600.
However, price has now entered the major resistance zone at $79,000–$82,000, making the possibility of a retest before another bullish continuation an important scenario to watch.
---
🧩 Pattern — Inverse Head & Shoulders
🔹 The main structure on the chart shows an Inverse Head & Shoulders, which is generally considered a bullish reversal pattern following a period of selling pressure.
📍 Left Shoulder: around $62K–$64K
📍 Head: low around $57,800
📍 Right Shoulder: formed around $62K–$66K
📍 Neckline: around $66,600
🟢 The breakout above the $66,600 neckline is an important confirmation that buyers are beginning to regain control of the market structure.
Technically, this neckline breakout has already produced a strong bullish impulse, pushing BTC back toward the $78K–$81K region.
---
🟡 Key Resistance — $79,000–$82,000
⚠️ The yellow area on the chart represents the Key Resistance Zone.
This zone is important because it previously acted as an area that repeatedly limited BTC's upward movement.
Price is now testing this area again, creating two primary possibilities:
🔺 Breakout & Daily Close Above Resistance
or
🔻 Rejection & Pullback for a Support Retest
BTC previously reached around $81K before experiencing a pullback, making this resistance an important area for the next directional move.
---
🟢 BULLISH SCENARIO
🚀 Primary bullish scenario: BTC successfully breaks through the resistance and achieves a strong daily close above $82,000.
If this resistance is successfully flipped into support, the breakout could open the way toward the next resistance levels.
🎯 Potential Upside Levels:
➡️ $84,000–$85,000
➡️ $88,000–$89,000
➡️ $91,000–$92,000
➡️ $96,000–$98,000
📈 The $91K area highlighted on the chart represents an important next target based on the projected bullish structure and breakout momentum.
If BTC continues maintaining higher highs and higher lows after the breakout, the probability of continuation toward the $90K+ region will increase.
---
🟡 RETEST / BUY ZONE 1
💰 $69,800–$72,000
This is the Buy Zone 1 marked on the chart.
The zone aligns with:
🔸 Fibonacci 0.5 → $71,954
🔸 Fibonacci 0.618 → $69,795
This area could become an important zone if BTC experiences a healthy pullback following rejection from the major resistance.
📌 As long as price finds demand within this area, the pullback can still be considered a bullish retest, rather than a trend reversal.
💡 In other words:
Resistance → Pullback → Buy Zone Retest → Continuation
is the scenario that best matches the structure illustrated on the chart.
---
🟢 BUY ZONE 2 — $66,600
📍 $66,600 is a highly important level.
This level previously acted as the Inverse Head & Shoulders neckline and could now potentially become major support.
If BTC experiences a deeper correction after rejection from $80K–$82K, the $66,600 area becomes a level that should be monitored very closely.
🟢 Holding $66,600:
The medium-term bullish structure remains relatively intact.
🔴 Daily breakdown below $66,600:
The previous breakout could become a failed breakout, requiring the bullish structure to be reassessed.
---
🔴 BEARISH SCENARIO
⚠️ A bearish scenario is not automatically activated simply because BTC gets rejected from $80K–$82K.
A rejection from resistance can still represent a normal pullback as long as the major support levels remain intact.
However, the bearish scenario becomes more significant if:
🔻 BTC fails to reclaim $80K–$82K
🔻 Forms a lower high below the resistance
🔻 Loses Buy Zone 1 around $69.8K–$72K
🔻 Then breaks down below $66,600
If $66,600 is decisively broken with a strong daily close, the Inverse Head & Shoulders structure on the chart could become invalidated.
📉 In that scenario, attention could shift back toward:
➡️ $63,000
➡️ $60,000
➡️ $57,800 — Previous Major Low
---
🔥 KEY LEVELS TO WATCH
🟥 Major Resistance: $79,000–$82,000
🟡 Buy Zone 1: $69,795–$71,955
🟢 Major Support / Buy Zone 2: $66,600
🔵 Major Low: $57,800
🚀 Bullish Targets: $84K → $88K → $91K+
---
🧠 Market Structure
📈 Overall, the chart continues to show a bullish recovery structure.
BTC has:
✅ Formed a higher low after the $57.8K low
✅ Developed an Inverse Head & Shoulders structure
✅ Broken above the $66.6K neckline
✅ Produced a strong bullish impulse
✅ Reclaimed the $70K area
✅ Advanced toward the major $79K–$82K resistance
However, the current position is not necessarily an ideal area to aggressively chase price, because BTC has already experienced a rapid move higher and is now facing significant resistance.
A retest of the breakout structure could therefore provide a healthier setup before the next potential bullish leg.
---
🎯 Conclusion
🟢 Bullish Bias:
As long as BTC maintains its structure above $66,600, the recovery structure shown on the chart remains valid.
🚀 Bullish Confirmation:
A solid daily close above $82,000 would provide stronger confirmation of continuation and potentially open the path toward $84K → $88K → $91K+.
🟡 Healthy Pullback:
If BTC gets rejected from $79K–$82K, the $69.8K–$72K area becomes the primary retest zone to watch.
🔴 Bearish Confirmation:
A breakdown and daily close below $66,600 would be a major warning that the previous breakout may have failed, potentially sending BTC back toward $63K–$60K and possibly the $57.8K low.
📌 Key Idea:
BTC does not necessarily need to break resistance immediately. A successful retest of the breakout structure could provide the foundation for the next bullish leg toward $90K+.
#Bitcoin #BTC #BTCUSDT #BitcoinAnalysis #CryptoAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #BTCAnalysis #CryptoTrading #BitcoinTrading #PriceAction #InverseHeadAndShoulders #Breakout #Retest #Bullish #Bearish #CryptoMarket #Crypto
BTC/USD — 1H PROFESSIONAL TECHNICAL ANALYSIS 📊 BTC/USD — 1H PROFESSIONAL TECHNICAL ANALYSIS 🚀
🧭 Market Structure
BTC is currently trading around 78,964, consolidating below a marked order-block/resistance zone. Price has recovered strongly from the 75,556 support area but is now facing overhead supply.
🟨 Key Order Block
79,600 – 80,200
This is the main decision zone. A rejection here could trigger another bearish leg toward lower support.
📈 Bullish Scenario
If BTC breaks and holds above 80,200, bullish momentum can strengthen toward:
🎯 80,800 → 81,231 resistance
A clean breakout above 81,231 would significantly weaken the bearish setup.
📉 Bearish Scenario
If price enters the order block and gets rejected:
🔻 79,600–80,200 → bearish rejection
🎯 First target: ~78,000
🎯 Next target: 76,800–76,000 demand area
🛡️ Major support: 75,556
🟥 Demand Zone
~75,900 – 76,400 is the major demand area shown on the chart. A strong reaction from this zone could create another bullish reversal.
🧠 Trading Bias
Short-term: Bearish / Sell-the-rejection bias 📉
Medium-term: Neutral until BTC breaks 80.2K or loses 76K.
⚠️ Confirmation is key: Avoid entering directly inside the order block; wait for rejection or a confirmed breakout.
🔥 Key Levels:
80,200 → Bullish breakout trigger
79,600–80,200 → Order Block
76,000–76,400 → Demand Zone
75,556 → Major Support
81,231 → Major Resistance
BTC | Trump Just Gave Crypto Traders Their Morning SignalThe U.S. Treasury has doubled the size of its long dated Treasury buybacks, raising purchases of 10 to 30 year bonds from $2 billion per operation to at least $4 billion. The move is aimed at improving liquidity at the long end of the Treasury market
Then, yesterday, Trump once again mentioned Bitcoin, saying: “Just buy all crypto assets”
The timing is interesting.. As these developments unfolded, the dollar weakened while gold and Bitcoin moved higher. Bitcoin has gained roughly 15% in just three days, climbing from $62.7K to $72.4K
The move also triggered Bitcoin’s strongest short squeeze since Binance introduced BTC futures
So, what stocks and cryptocurrencies has Trump mentioned or promoted since the beginning of his second administration?
Macro & Crypto Asset Signals
2026.08.19
CRYPTOCAP:BTC : “Just buy” all crypto assets
2026.01.13
AMEX:SPY : “TIME TO INVEST!”
CRYPTOCAP:BTC : “TIME TO INVEST!”
2025.05.08
AMEX:SPY : “You better go out and buy stock now.”
CRYPTOCAP:BTC : “This country will be like a rocket ship that goes straight up.”
2025.04.09
AMEX:SPY : “THIS IS A GREAT TIME TO BUY!!!”
CRYPTOCAP:BTC : “THIS IS A GREAT TIME TO BUY!!!”
NASDAQ:DJT : “THIS IS A GREAT TIME TO BUY!!! DJT”
Stocks Trump Has Mentioned
2026.07.22
NYSE:DELL : “Go out and buy a Dell computer, OK?”
2026.07.06
NYSE:DELL : “Go out and buy a Dell computer.”
2026.07.02
NASDAQ:MU : Highlighted Micron’s $250 million contribution to Trump Accounts.
NASDAQ:NVDA : Praised NVIDIA’s planned $500 billion U.S. AI supercomputer investment.
2026.05.08
NYSE:DELL : “So, go out, and buy a Dell. They’re great.”
2026.05.07
NYSE:LLY : “GLP-1, I probably should.”
2026.04.10
NASDAQ:PLTR : Praised Palantir’s defense capabilities.
2026.04.07
NYSE:DELL : “Go out and buy a Dell computer.”
2026.02.27
NYSE:DELL : “Go out and buy a Dell computer. They’re great.”
2026.02.19
NYSE:DELL : “Go out and buy a Dell computer” and called it a great product.
2025.12.19
NYSE:DELL : “Go out and buy a computer from Dell.”
2025.12.09
NYSE:DELL : “Go out and buy a Dell Computer.”
2025.08.24
NYSE:BA : Praised the F-22 Raptor as “the greatest and most beautiful fighter jet ever made.”
2025.08.04
NYSE:AEO : Commented on American Eagle’s Sydney Sweeney campaign and said its jeans were “flying off the shelves.”
2025.04.23
BINANCE:TRUMPUSDT : “Trump Dinner”
2025.03.11
NASDAQ:TSLA : “I’m going to buy”
The pattern is pretty clear, Trump’s public comments have repeatedly touched Bitcoin, the broader crypto market, major U.S. technology companies, defense stocks, and even individual consumer brands
Before this pump, I mentioned that boring BTC is actually bullish because that’s when whales accumulate while retail traders leave the market. BTC will eventually pump back to higher levels, and these pumps triggered by government statements can help accelerate the move.. So get ready for a bull market, because a new ATH could be coming sooner than you think.
BTC / BTCUSDT / BITCOIN HEATMAP UPDATE | 12s Whale Orders📊 #BTC #BTCUSDT Heatmap Update | 12s Whale Orders
#Crypto #Trading #WhaleTracking
📍 Short-term liquidity zones identified on heatmap.
🐳 Major LONG / SHORT whale orders marked on chart.
📈 Key reaction areas under monitoring.
🔥 Liquidity clusters may shift or be removed as price approaches.
⚠️ Heatmap data is dynamic and requires active tracking.
📊 Market structure and whale positioning will continue to be updated.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🎯 PARALOG
▪️Crypto Market Analysis
▪️BTC Futures Signals
▪️Bitcoin & Altcoin Market Analysis
Precision • Momentum • Timing
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
Exchange: #MEXC Futures
#bitcoin #btc #crypto #futures #technicalanalysis
BTCUSD KEY SUPPORT ABD RESISTANCE SET-UP Bitcoin is currently trading between two major levels. Price may test the 76,437 support zone before making a recovery toward 77,351 resistance.
Support: 76,437
Resistance: 77,351
Potential move: 76,437 → 77,351 📈
Watch the reaction at support and wait for confirmation before entering. Trade with proper risk management. ⚠️
This time, will it choose to go up or down?From the current technical charts, BTC is still operating within a clear upward trend channel, with both highs and lows rising. The bullish structure remains intact. The current price pullback is gradually testing the important bullish support area below. As long as the price remains above the upward trend line, the overall upward structure remains valid. The key support area to watch is $76,000–$74,000. If the price retraces to this area and shows signs of stabilization, regaining buying support, there is still a chance to test the $79,500–$80,000 liquidity and resistance area. The real focus is on whether $79,500–$80,000 can be effectively broken and held. Once a breakout with significant volume confirms that this area has turned from resistance to support, further upside potential is expected, with the next target around $84,000. Therefore, there is no need to prematurely change the trend judgment just because of the pullback. In a trending market, pullbacks themselves are not terrible. The key is whether the support can be held and whether the structure is broken. Wait patiently for the price to return to the key support area before observing and confirming the signal. At the same time, combine your own trading strategy to do a good job in position and risk management.
BTC/USDT — 2H PROFESSIONAL MARKET ANALYSIS# 🚀 BTC/USDT — 2H PROFESSIONAL MARKET ANALYSIS 📊
### 🔥 Strong Bullish Expansion
Bitcoin has delivered a powerful bullish move, breaking out from the previous consolidation area and aggressively pushing higher. The overall 2H market structure remains **strongly bullish**, with clear momentum and a sequence of higher highs and higher lows.
After the major expansion from the **64K–65K region**, BTC accelerated toward the **77K+ area**, showing strong buyer participation. However, price is now approaching a critical liquidity and resistance zone where a reaction could occur. ⚠️
### 💧 LIQUIDITY SWEEP ZONE
The current price action is testing the **77.8K–79K liquidity area**. This region may attract additional liquidity before the market decides its next major direction.
A possible scenario is a short-term push toward the **79.5K resistance**, potentially sweeping nearby liquidity before sellers step in. This would be a normal reaction after such an aggressive upside expansion.
### 🟥 MAJOR RESISTANCE — 79,488–80,000
The **79,488–80,000 zone** is the key resistance area on this chart.
If BTC reaches this region and shows strong rejection, a corrective move could develop. On the other hand, a strong 2H candle close above **80K**, followed by successful retesting, would provide confirmation for another bullish continuation.
Therefore, this area should be monitored carefully rather than chasing price in the middle of the move. 🎯
### 📉 POSSIBLE PULLBACK SCENARIO
If resistance holds and sellers gain control, BTC could enter a healthy correction.
The first major area of interest is the marked **Order Block around 71.5K–72.2K**. This zone could potentially act as a demand area where buyers may attempt to defend the bullish structure.
A retracement into this Order Block would not automatically invalidate the bullish trend. Instead, it could provide a potential opportunity for the market to establish a higher low before another expansion.
### 🟢 BULLISH CONTINUATION SCENARIO
For the bullish scenario to remain dominant:
➡️ BTC holds above the major Order Block
➡️ Buyers maintain higher-low structure
➡️ Price breaks and closes above **79.5K–80K**
➡️ The breakout successfully retests the resistance as support
A confirmed breakout could signal that BTC is ready for another leg higher. 🚀📈
### 🔴 BEARISH/REJECTION SCENARIO
If BTC repeatedly fails around **79.5K–80K** and begins forming lower highs on the 2H timeframe:
➡️ Liquidity sweep
➡️ Strong rejection
➡️ Momentum shift
➡️ Pullback toward **72K Order Block**
A deeper correction could become possible if the Order Block also fails to hold.
### 🎯 KEY LEVELS TO WATCH
🔴 **79,488–80,000** — Major Resistance
💧 **77,800–79,000** — Liquidity / Sweep Zone
🟡 **71,500–72,200** — Major Order Block
⚫ **62,516** — Major Structural Support
### 🧠 FINAL OUTLOOK
The bigger picture remains **bullish**, supported by the strong upside expansion and positive market structure. However, BTC is now trading close to a major resistance/liquidity zone, making short-term volatility highly likely.
The professional approach here is to **wait for confirmation rather than chase the move**. 📌
A clean breakout and successful retest above **80K** would favor bullish continuation, while a clear rejection could trigger a pullback toward the **71.5K–72.2K Order Block**.
**📈 Overall Bias: BULLISH**
**⚠️ Critical Decision Zone: 79.5K–80K**
**🎯 Main Pullback Area: 71.5K–72.2K**
Trade with confirmation, manage risk properly, and let price action validate the setup. 🧠📊🔥
Everyone's Screaming Reversal on BTC. Here's Why I'm Not Buying My long term thoughts on $BTC.
I can already see how every chat is shouting about a price reversal, everyone gets FOMO and blindly trades along with it.
On the 1w chart I laid out my plan for BTC. First off I want to say we've already approached the VWAP (the 80k zone) that stretches from the ATH. At the moment we still haven't moved above the VWAP, we've only gotten a reaction.
For myself I'm noting a scenario in which:
BTC makes a move up and closes above 82859. That would mean a CHoCH on the 1w timeframe. A close specifically, not a sweep, and preferably higher, somewhere near 85-87k.
BTC returns into the VWAP zone but from above this time. This is exactly where I'd want to see BTC and make my decision on potential trades or buys of BTC in a long term position.
And one more thing as a sub point. The 87-90k zone has a fairly big volume that could potentially slow the move up a little, and the 87.2k point itself is acting as the VAH right now. So it's precisely from the VAH that I'd expect a pullback inside the value area (and that's where the VWAP will be too).
This is only my opinion and the scenario I see. Until my conditions get met I won't be looking at the long term idea.
Don't fall into FOMO and don't copy others' actions blindly 🤝
BTC massive falling wedge — bear market near its end!!#BTC — Bear Market Nearing Its End?
I believe we could be approaching the final phase of the bear market. At this stage, i think we are in the period of accumulation and shouldn’t be viewed as a negative …it could be the foundation for the next major move
There are two main scenarios I’m watching from this zone
1️⃣ Fakeout / Trap → Final Bottom → Explosive Move
The setup shown in my chart above could turn out to be a fakeout or bull trap around late 60k to early 70k followed by drop and formation of a ultimate bottom and finally an explosion to upside… If this scenario plays out, Bitcoin could finally starts a new bull cycle
2️⃣ Bullish Structure in LTF → Aggressive Breakout From Here
There is already a visible bullish structure forming on the lower timeframes. If it gets confirmed, BTC could fly higher directly from current levels much stronger move than most traders expect
In both scenarios , the broader picture with that giant falling wedge suggests that we are very close to the end of a bear market (the accumulation phase where smart money starts to come in).
We make plans, and the market laughs.I was originally anticipating a deeper retracement toward $55K or even the mid-$40K zone before re-entering the market. However, price action and momentum indicators gave us a signal that was simply too strong to ignore.
TA:
Weekly Bullish Divergence: As highlighted on the chart, while Bitcoin’s price made a lower low, the Weekly MACD clearly formed a higher low. On higher timeframes (especially the Weekly), bullish divergences are high-conviction momentum signals.
Cycle:
Time Cycle Confluence: We are right around 364 to 365 days (~1 year) from the cycle highs. Combining time cycles with momentum divergence provided the ideal risk/reward threshold to execute my re-entry strategy.
Execution:
When the confluence aligned around $63,000 BTC, I executed my buy orders across Bitcoin and key high-beta altcoins:
BTC: Bought at $63,000
ETH: Bought at $1,800
SOL: Bought at $76
ONDO: Bought at $0.37
Never underestimate a higher-timeframe bullish divergence. Momentum shifted before price did, and following the system paid off.
What are your thoughts on this weekly structure? Are you positioned for the next leg up? Let’s discuss in the comments below!
🌊 CryptorrentWave
Not financial advice. Educational purposes only.
YES, Bitcoin has made it back into Channel. What now ?
Yesterday, I talked about how PA was testing a very old and Strong area of Resistance.
The chart below shows you that these 2 lines have existed a Long time and usualy mark the Bear Floor.
The Arrow points to these 2 lines. See how previous Bears Hit these lines and went higher,,sometimes ranging but never dropping below.
Umtil this time.
We fell through this Bear,,,,,,,
So now, we back in Channel.
How much strength does BTC PA have left ?
The Charts are all DAILY timeframes
The RSI is way up high, rarely ranges in this area but can drop while PA Ranges
MACD is heading towards a possible line of resistance. And, YES, Trendlines work of indicators also
SOPR ( Spemt Ouput Profot Ratio) This ONCHAIN indicator shows us that losses are deminishing and so, as a result, confidence may well return to the Bitcoin Market
So, Lets look back at the Chart.
The idea of the push higher continueing as it is possibly flawed as PA is becoming oversbought on the 4 hour and Daily timeframes now. PA may return to the upper trend line and test it as Support.
PA could continue higher if the Bulls feel impatient as the weekly indicators are all oversold but this will involve a pause in this push higher
What is important to understand is that we have just seen the Strength of the Bulls...they are still there, waiting......And Bitcoin is BACK in its long Term channel and in the Lower realms of it...
The Room to push higher exists....
Happy Days
Bitcoin at a Crossroads as Macro Data Fail to Spark a BreakoutBTC has pulled back toward $63K after an earlier attempt to break toward $64K, bringing it back near the lower end of its recent range. There is no single crypto-specific catalyst driving the move. Instead, Bitcoin is dealing with several cross market pressures, including geopolitical tensions, higher oil prices, uncertainty around global liquidity, and a lack of strong follow-through from otherwise supportive US economic data
That distinction is becoming increasingly important. Last week, BTC showed strong resilience by absorbing several negative headlines without breaking down. This week, however, that resilience has not translated into momentum.. The trading range remains intact, while softer inflation data have produced only a limited reaction from crypto markets
For now, the $62.5K-$63K area remains an important support zone at the bottom of the current range. Whether Bitcoin can maintain this structure will likely depend on the interaction between upcoming macroeconomic data, liquidity conditions and crypto specific capital flows rather than one isolated catalyst
Inflation Cools, But BTC Remains Rangebound
US inflation data this week offered further evidence that price pressures are easing. July headline CPI declined to 3.4% year over year from 3.5% in June, while core CPI fell to 2.5% from 2.6%. Producer inflation was also weaker than expected, with headline PPI unchanged in July compared with expectations for a 0.2% increase, following a 0.3% decline in June
The inflation reports followed a notably weaker July jobs report, which showed a 23K decline in nonfarm payrolls along with downward revisions to the previous two months. Taken together, these releases have lowered expectations for an immediate tightening in monetary policy, although inflation is still above the Federal Reserve's longer-term target.
Despite this backdrop, BTC's reaction has been relatively muted. Rather than viewing this as a clear bearish signal, the divergence highlights how positioning, liquidity and overall risk appetite are currently playing a major role in determining how macroeconomic developments affect crypto prices.
Markets will now turn their attention to July PCE data on August 26 and the September FOMC meeting. Investors will be watching whether cooling inflation can continue alongside enough economic strength to keep financial conditions stable
US Crypto Policy Moves on Two Fronts
US digital-asset policy is increasingly progressing through two separate channels. On the legislative side, Senate consideration of the CLARITY Act is expected to resume after the August recess. Senate Majority Leader John Thune has indicated that the bill could return to the floor in September, although disagreements involving ethics provisions and banking issues remain unresolved.
Meanwhile, regulatory development is continuing independently of Congress. The SEC's 2026 agenda includes additional work related to crypto-asset capital raising and tokenized securities, while the Commission has already taken steps this year toward establishing a framework for tokenized securities trading.
This distinction matters because delays in comprehensive legislation do not necessarily mean regulatory progress has stopped. Parts of the broader framework can continue developing through agency rulemaking, guidance and existing statutory authority.
Strategy Creates Two-Way BTC Flow Risk
Corporate treasury activity remains an important factor for Bitcoin's supply and demand dynamics. Strategy recently disclosed the sale of another 1,690 BTC for approximately $109 million, with the proceeds used to fund preferred-stock repurchases. The company also raised around $653 million through common-stock issuance to strengthen its US dollar reserves
These moves follow Strategy's introduction of its BTC Monetization Program earlier this summer, which allows the company to sell Bitcoin when needed to support dollar reserves and other balance-sheet requirements. JPMorgan has highlighted the resulting "two way" flow risk, as Strategy can potentially become either a major buyer or seller depending on its financing needs
This does not necessarily make corporate treasuries a consistent source of Bitcoin supply. However, their impact on the market is becoming more conditional than earlier in the cycle. Investors now need to consider not only how much Bitcoin companies are buying, but also their liquidity, financing conditions and policies regarding potential sales
Hormuz Uncertainty Keeps Oil Elevated
Geopolitical risk remains another source of pressure across financial markets. Oman-led discussions regarding commercial passage through the Strait of Hormuz are continuing, with Qatar and Pakistan also involved in the broader US-Iran mediation process. While progress has been made toward potential shipping arrangements, a full and lasting reopening has not yet been secured
Oil markets continue to reflect that uncertainty. Brent crude was trading near $88 on Friday morning and was heading toward a significant weekly gain as restricted shipping through Hormuz and the lack of a durable agreement maintained a geopolitical risk premium
For Bitcoin, the main transmission channel is macroeconomic rather than direct. Higher energy prices can push up headline inflation, influence inflation expectations and put upward pressure on longer-term yields, potentially tightening financial conditions for liquidity-sensitive assets
Until shipping conditions through Hormuz normalize more consistently, the region will remain relevant to crypto mainly through its impact on oil prices, interest rates and global liquidity.
Seasonality Provides Context, Not a Signal
Historical seasonality also offers some useful context for Bitcoin's current price action. According to Bespoke Investment Group, BTC has historically produced a median August return of around -7.5%, with positive returns occurring in roughly 30% of observations. September has also traditionally been a weaker month, with a median decline of approximately 5.3%. Bitcoin posted negative August returns in every year from 2022 through 2025.
However, historical patterns should not be treated as forecasts, especially as Bitcoin's market structure has changed significantly with the growth of ETFs and institutional participation. Seasonality can still provide context during periods of thinner late-summer liquidity, when lower activity can make markets more sensitive to positioning.
The key question is therefore not whether history will repeat itself, but whether Bitcoin can maintain its current range as the market moves through a historically quieter period.
Resilient, But Still Lacking Momentum
Bitcoin is not being driven by one dominant bearish catalyst. Instead, the market is balancing several competing factors, including softer US inflation, weaker employment data, elevated oil prices, evolving crypto regulation and more conditional corporate treasury flows
The broader picture remains similar to last week's setup. BTC has shown an ability to absorb negative developments without experiencing a sustained breakdown, but improving macro conditions have not yet translated into persistent upside momentum
A decisive move outside the current range would likely provide a much clearer signal than the intraday fluctuations we have seen recently. Until that happens, resilience remains Bitcoin's defining characteristic, but momentum is still missing.
Key Events
19 Aug: FOMC Minutes
26 Aug: US July PCE, Q2 GDP Second Estimate
27-29 Aug: Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium
15-16 Sep: FOMC Meeting
BTC/USDT — Professional Technical Analysis📊 BTC/USDT — Professional Technical Analysis 🚀
🧭 Market Structure
BTC is trading around $64,860 on the 2H chart after a strong bullish recovery from the $62.7K–$63.2K demand/order-block zone. Price has now pushed into a major resistance area while approaching the descending trendline.
🔴 Resistance & Order Block
The key resistance zone is approximately $65,100–$65,400.
This area aligns with:
📉 Descending trendline resistance
🧱 Previous supply/order block
⚠️ Potential liquidity above recent highs
A rejection from this zone could trigger a corrective move lower.
🟢 Support / Demand
The major support zone sits around $62,700–$63,250. This is the bullish order block where buyers previously stepped in strongly.
If price reaches this zone and holds, it could provide another opportunity for bullish continuation.
🎯 Expected Scenario
Primary scenario:
BTC may push into $65.1K–$65.4K, sweep liquidity, and face rejection. A bearish reaction could drive price toward $63.25K, with the deeper demand zone around $62.7K.
Bullish invalidation:
A strong 2H close above $65.4K would weaken the rejection setup and could open the way toward higher resistance.
🧠 Trading Bias
🔴 Short-term: Bearish from resistance
🟢 Medium-term: Neutral/Bullish while $62.7K support holds
⚠️ Confirmation is important—don't enter solely on a resistance touch. Wait for rejection/market-structure confirmation before taking a position.
BTC/USDT – Detailed Professional Technical Analysis 🚀 BTC/USDT – Detailed Professional Technical Analysis 📊🔥
⏱️ Timeframe: 2H | Current Price: ~62,681 USDT
🧭 1. Overall Market Structure
BTC has recently experienced a strong bearish phase, visible through the descending trend channel and repeated lower highs. However, the market has now shown signs of a potential structural transition.
The marked CHoCH (Change of Character) around the 62.5K–62.7K region is important because it suggests that sellers may be losing control and buyers are attempting to establish a new short-term bullish structure. 📈
At the moment, price is reacting directly from this key demand/support area, making the next few candles important for confirmation.
🟢 2. Bullish Scenario
The main bullish idea is based on BTC holding the current demand zone.
Price could first perform a liquidity sweep below the current support, potentially reaching the 62,000–61,600 area, before buyers step in aggressively.
If BTC sweeps the lows and then reclaims the support zone with strong bullish candles, this would provide stronger confirmation for a continuation toward the upside. 🔄🔥
🎯 3. Upside Targets
TP1 – 64,432
The first important upside objective is around 64.4K, where price may face initial selling pressure.
TP2 – 64,800–65,200
This area contains the marked Order Block, making it a major reaction zone. A clean breakout above this region would strengthen the bullish scenario significantly. 🚀
TP3 – 66,948
The major resistance near 66.95K is the higher-timeframe target. This level could become a strong profit-taking area if BTC manages to sustain bullish momentum.
🧱 4. Key Resistance
The 65,000–65,200 zone is particularly important.
This area previously acted as a supply/order-block region. Therefore, BTC may experience rejection here before attempting another breakout.
A strong 2H close above this zone would indicate that buyers are gaining considerably more control. 📈
🛡️ 5. Important Support & Invalidation
The current demand area around 62.5K–62.7K is the immediate level to watch.
Below that, 61,612 is the key downside invalidation area shown on the chart.
The larger structural support is around 61,291. A decisive break and close below this level would significantly weaken the bullish setup and could open the door for another bearish leg. 🔴
🧠 6. Possible Price Path
The projected path on the chart suggests:
Liquidity Sweep 🔻
⬇️
61.6K–62K Demand Zone
⬇️
Bullish Reclaim 🔄
⬆️
64.4K 🎯
⬆️
64.8K–65.2K Order Block 🎯
⬆️
66.95K Major Resistance 🚀
This means the market does not necessarily need to move directly upward. A temporary dip to collect liquidity before the bullish expansion would still fit the overall setup.
📊 7. Trading Bias
🟢 Short-Term Bias: Bullish recovery
🟢 Structure: Potential bullish CHoCH
🟢 Demand: 62.5K–62.7K
🟡 Confirmation: Bullish reclaim after liquidity sweep
🔴 Invalidation: Below 61.6K / major support 61.29K
🎯 Targets: 64.43K → 65.2K → 66.95K
🔥 Final Outlook
BTC is currently sitting at a critical decision zone. The bearish momentum has weakened, while the CHoCH and reaction from demand suggest that buyers may be preparing for a recovery.
However, confirmation is essential. The strongest setup would be a liquidity grab below support followed by a bullish reclaim and continuation above 64.4K.
If BTC successfully breaks and holds above the 65K–65.2K Order Block, the path toward 66.95K resistance becomes much more attractive. 🚀📈
⚠️ Risk Management: Avoid entering solely because price is inside the zone. Wait for confirmation and keep risk controlled, especially around the 61.6K–61.3K invalidation region.
🧠 Bottom Line:
BTC is at a key demand + CHoCH area. A confirmed bullish reaction can target 64.4K, then 65.2K and potentially 66.95K. Patience + confirmation = better setup. 🎯🔥
A key position has emerged, and it deserves close attention!Hello traders, the following is my technical analysis based on the current BTCUSDT market structure. Previously, BTCUSDT was operating within a downward channel. After the price continued to weaken, it found support near the long-term upward trend line and the demand area, and a rebound occurred. However, after the rebound, the price did not directly form a new upward trend, but instead formed a new downward channel. The overall trend is still suppressed by the pressure above. From the current structure, although the price has rebounded to some extent, as long as BTCUSDT remains below the 65,000-66,000 supply zone and the upper resistance of the descending channel, the short-term bearish logic remains valid. This area is not only an important supply zone in the previous period, but also a key position for judging whether the market can truly complete the trend reversal. Therefore, it is not advisable to prematurely define the rebound as a trend reversal until the price effectively breaks through and holds above the 65,000–66,000 range. In the current market, it is more important to pay attention to the price performance near the upper edge of the channel. If the price rebounds to the key resistance area and then encounters resistance again, or if there are signs of a pullback after a surge, we should still be wary of the bears exerting their strength again. Conversely, if BTCUSDT can break through the 65,000-66,000 supply zone with significant volume and effectively hold above the channel resistance, then the current bearish structure will be substantially damaged, and the upside potential will be reassessed based on the new price structure.






















