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Btctechnicalanalysis

Bitcoin Daily SMA UPDATE This daily chart uses the SMA, Simple Moving Average Red = 50, Blue = 100, Green = 128, Yellow = 200 PA got rejected yesterday from its rise over the 100 SMA and is currently testing that as support on a Daily chart. If that fails, we could see PA retreat down to around 108900, where we have the 128 SMA and the descending line of resistance. This line has not been tested as support yet. As we can see on the chart, if this rejection continues down past 107165, we will have printed a Lower high, pointing towards continued price drops. with the 200 SMA at 104348 The Daily MACD has reached up to its Signal line This could also be a point of rejection, keep your eye on this The 4 Hour BTC PA chart shows us more near term detail PA is currently testing the 50 as support after getting rejected from the 128 and falling through the 100. If this fails, we can see PA will bump into the trend line, around 108900 - 108500. To many extents, this would be a good move providing we then found support and bounced higher as it would create a Higher Low. The 4 hour MACD MACD has turned down and heading towards its signal line. This may offer support but it will continue down Bearish if PA does reach down to the trend line. Note how the Histogram has descending sharply. Today we must sit and wait For me, I think we could see the 109k - 108k area tested at some point over the next few days. Maybe sooner than later
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
1
Has Bitcoin's long-short trend reversed?Recently, Bitcoin has demonstrated strong resilience at the key support level of 107,000: this level has undergone multiple downward tests, with no effective breakdown occurring; instead, it has rebounded quickly after each touch, confirming the market recognition of this support zone and the strength of buying interest. As the bottom support is confirmed, the price momentum has gradually strengthened and has now successfully broken through the previous resistance level on the 4-hour timeframe. Technically, a bullish structure of "valid support - broken resistance" has been formed, and the short-term trend has shifted from consolidation to a bullish bias. Based on this market change, our trading strategy needs to be adjusted accordingly: we can take a small-position long trade when the price retraces to the support level.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Matthew_8888
Btc bottoming - See my short term bounce targetI have been anticipating a Btc local bottom as low as 108K since Aug 9th. It was a high probability call, because it's what Btc always does! Follow the patterns... Now that my T2 has been hit, I anticpate a bounce into my high probability range as seen in the above chart. I will be monitoring price action very closely to see if either of the other 2 higher targets are possible before my anticipated reversal. I will be taking profit at the top of this bounce. There is a possibility, based on the 3 week down rule, that the reversal (from my targets) may lead to a lower low to my T3 (below current low at 107.5K). This may happen as soon as late Sept- Oct. I hope I'm wrong about that. May the trends be with you.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Strangely-accurate
4
Cup & Handle Done, BTC Correction First Before Another High!The correction itself supported by the Rising Wedge pattern that has been break the support level. So, in the near term let it corrected, supposed to be $87,000-$92,000 areas before we see another record high in the medium term. The trigger will be Fed starting the rate cut in 17 September 2025. Caution : Not recommended for trading purpose! It's too risky! Better you use the spot for invest, not trading the futures market! BTC probably will move along with US Stock Indices.. therefore they area getting supported when Fed confirmed the rate cut cycles!
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by irpansupiandi
Short Bitcoin on its reboundThe Bitcoin market movement has fully confirmed yesterday's prediction — as previously analyzed, after touching the key resistance level on the 4-hour chart, the price failed to achieve a meaningful breakout and subsequently initiated a corrective decline. The entire process closely aligned with the anticipated rhythm, further validating the effectiveness of the technical resistance analysis. From the perspective of the short-term hourly chart structure, the current market displays clear bearish characteristics: the three bands of the Bollinger Bands are diverging downward simultaneously, with the band opening slightly wider than before, indicating that short-term bearish momentum has taken dominance. The price is highly likely to continue its adjustment along the direction of the lower Bollinger Band. Although there have been occasional minor rebounds during the decline, they consistently lack substantial buying support. The rebound strength is weak, accompanied by continuously shrinking trading volume, further illustrating insufficient bullish confidence and an unchanged bearish control pattern. Until the structure reverses, the primary strategy should be selling on rebounds, following the prevailing trend.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Matthew_8888
Bitcoin Finds Support Around $110K After CorrectionMarket Dynamics The price is trading around $112,950, with a daily growth of ≈ 1.17%, the maximum mark is $113,419, the minimum is $110,924. The overall market sentiment is bullish: Bitcoin found support around $110K after a correction from the historical maximum ($124K), which is facilitated by the expectation of easing the Fed's interest rate policy. Analysts note important support at the level of $109K - a break below could trigger a short-term correction. Investment flow remains positive: in August alone, $260 million inflow was recorded into the Bitcoin ETF; the presidential decree increases institutional interest in the asset. Support and Resistance Levels Level Value / Comment Support $110K–$109K — critical zone to maintain bullish balance Resistance $113K–$114K (current area), then $120K–$124K (breakout will open the way to growth)
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by Trade_Hive_Signals
Is Bitcoin's move a rebound or a reversal?Recently, the overall judgment on the direction of Bitcoin's market has been relatively accurate. From the earlier rhythm of "first falling then rising, rebounding after oscillating correction" to the continuation of the trend after stabilizing above the key level of $112,000, each step of the movement has basically matched the previous expected judgment. In particular, the logic behind breaking through the $112,000 "bull-bear watershed" has been fully verified by the market - after the price successfully stabilized above this level, bullish momentum was quickly released, with an additional increase of nearly 1,500 points, further consolidating the short-term upward trend and turning the earlier directional judgment into actual profit space. However, looking back at the operational details, there are still some flaws in seizing the entry points: although some long positions got the trend direction right, due to slightly early or late entry timing, they failed to accurately capture the lowest entry point after the pullback, resulting in the failure to maximize the profit space of a single wave. Currently, the price has hit the 4-hour resistance level. Friends who entered long positions around $112,000 can take profits and exit first, and then follow up with long positions after a pullback.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Matthew_8888
BTC Tactical Long | Enter 110.5K → Target 115.9K+ 🚀 **BTC Trade Setup: Tactical Long @ 110.5K | Risk-Defined Mean Reversion** 🚀 📊 **Analysis Summary** * 🔻 **Short-term:** Bearish pullback (1H/4H negative, under short MAs) * 🔼 **Higher-timeframe:** Bullish (above 200 SMA) * ⚖️ **Consensus:** Tactical long inside broader bullish trend (mean-reversion bounce expected unless <108.8K breaks). 🎯 **Trade Plan** * 💵 **Entry:** 110,500 (range 110,000–111,000) * 🛑 **Stop Loss:** 108,800 * 🎯 **Take Profits:** * TP1: 113,200 (30%) * TP2: 115,950 (50%, primary) * TP3: 122,400 (20%, extended) * 📦 **Size (example \$100k acct):** 0.59 BTC risk-sized (1% rule) * ⚡ **Leverage:** Conservative (≈3x) * 💪 **Confidence:** 65% 📌 **Management Rules** * Scale out at TPs. * Move SL to breakeven after TP1 hit. * Invalidation: Close <108.8K with volume → exit, no revenge trade. --- 📊 **TRADE DETAILS (JSON)** ```json { "instrument": "BTC", "direction": "long", "entry_price": 110500.0, "stop_loss": 108800.0, "take_profit": 115950.0, "size": 0.59, "confidence": 0.65, "entry_timing": "market_open", "signal_publish_time": "2025-08-27 17:02:20" } ``` --- 🔥 **Hashtags for TradingView virality** \#BTC #CryptoTrading #BitcoinAnalysis #LongBTC #CryptoSignals #MeanReversion #RiskManagement #SwingTrade #TradingSetup #CryptoStrategy
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by quantsignals
BTC/USD: Bitcoin Set to Explode?As of August 27, 2025, Bitcoin (BTC) is trading at approximately $111,612, reflecting a slight daily increase. The cryptocurrency market has experienced notable developments recently, influencing both short-term price movements and long-term trends. The U.S. government's establishment of the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve in March 2025, under President Trump's executive order, has significantly impacted market sentiment. This move positions Bitcoin as a national reserve asset, with the U.S. Treasury holding an estimated 198,000 BTC. Such institutional adoption has bolstered investor confidence, contributing to Bitcoin's recent price surge to over $124,000 earlier this month... Additionally, the rise of Bitcoin Treasury Companies (BTCs), such as MicroStrategy, which now holds around 630,000 BTC, has further reduced available supply on exchanges. Reports indicate that Bitcoin availability on exchanges fell below 15% in July 2025, a low not seen since 2018. This scarcity has intensified demand, driving prices higher. Bitcoin is currently consolidating between the $112,000 and $115,000 levels. The 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) near $114,000 has acted as a resistance point, while support is observed around $110,000. A breakout above $115,000 could pave the way for a retest of the $120,000 to $125,000 range. Conversely, a decline below $110,000 may lead to further downside, with potential support levels at $108,000 and $105,000. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is hovering around 42, indicating that the market is not overbought, allowing room for upward movement. *Bitcoin's market is currently characterized by strong institutional support, reduced supply on exchanges, and positive regulatory developments. While short-term fluctuations are possible, the overall trend points towards continued growth. Investors should monitor key support and resistance levels, as well as macroeconomic indicators, to navigate the evolving landscape effectively.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Green_Squad
1
Bitcoin rebound or reversal?Bitcoin has moved in a volatile "first drop, then rise" pattern today, and the overall trend is fully in line with the analysis we provided yesterday afternoon. In the morning, the market first dipped slightly to test support, then entered a consolidation and correction phase around $108,800. This correction process not only digested short-term bearish selling pressure but also allowed bulls and bears to rebalance and accumulate momentum at the key support level. Eventually, it drove the price to edge up to the upper resistance range, perfectly fulfilling the expectation of "attempting a rebound after consolidation and correction". However, judging from the strength of the price action, the current market remains in a relatively weak pattern overall. On one hand, the afternoon rally failed to break through the key resistance with sufficient volume. After touching the resistance level, the price lacked sustained upward momentum, showing a pressured characteristic of "retreating slightly after a rally". On the other hand, from the perspective of the short-term moving average arrangement, the price is still constrained by the pressure of the 5-day and 10-day moving averages, and a clear bullish alignment has not yet been formed, indicating that market confidence in going long still needs further boosting. For the subsequent market trend, the area above $112,000 is a core watershed that determines whether the trend can reverse. This level is not only an important resistance level from the previous upward movement but also the "winning or losing line" for the recent bull-bear game. Only when Bitcoin's price can firmly stand above $112,000 and not fall below this level in subsequent pullbacks (forming an effective top-bottom conversion) can the end of the short-term weak pattern be confirmed. At that time, it will not only break the current consolidation deadlock, attract more waiting funds to enter the market for positioning, but also gradually repair market sentiment, shifting the market from "weak consolidation" to "volatile upward movement". Only then will there be a chance to launch an attack on higher resistance ranges. Until then, it is recommended to remain cautiously on the sidelines, avoid blindly chasing longs before breaking through key levels, and patiently wait for the trend to become clear.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Matthew_8888
Bitcoin Bounce Loading | Long @ 110k → 115k+ # 🚀 BTC Mean-Reversion Play | Long @ 110.35k | Targeting 115k+ 🎯🔥 ### 📊 Market Bias * **Short-term**: Tactical LONG (bounce from lower BB near 110k) * **Medium-term**: Neutral → Bearish (below EMAs); Bullish only vs SMA200 (\~101k) * **Actionable Bias**: Scalp/Swing long → flip bearish if <109k --- ### 💡 Trade Setup * 🎯 **Instrument**: BTC * 📈 **Direction**: LONG (mean-reversion scalp) * 💵 **Entry**: Limit 110,350 (stagger optional: 110,500 / 110,150 / 110,000) * 🛑 **Stop**: 109,300 (below lower BB + liquidity buffer) * 🎯 **Targets**: • T1 = 114,976 (EMA21, 40%) • T2 = 116,499 (30%) • T3 = 122,528 (30%) * ⚖️ **RR**: \~4.4:1 to T1 * 📊 **Size**: Risk 1% equity | ≤3x leverage * 💪 **Confidence**: 60% --- ### ⚡ Rationale & Risks ✅ Sitting on lower Bollinger Band + SMA200 = strong mean-reversion zone ✅ RSI near oversold → bounce probability ✅ Good asymmetric upside vs downside ⚠️ Momentum (MACD & EMAs) still bearish ⚠️ Daily close <109k = invalidation → potential SMA200 test (\~100.9k) ⚠️ Macro shocks (CPI, DXY, Fed) can break levels fast --- ### 📌 Trade Management Rules * Move stop → breakeven after 50% of T1 hit * Exit fully if **daily close <109k** * Cut exposure if ETH/alts roll over or funding spikes --- ### 🧾 JSON Trade Details ```json { "instrument": "BTC", "direction": "long", "entry_price": 110350.00, "stop_loss": 109300.00, "take_profit": 114976.00, "size": 2.0, "confidence": 0.60, "entry_timing": "market_open", "signal_publish_time": "2025-08-26 08:22:18" } ``` --- ### 🔖 Tags \#BTC #CryptoTrading #ScalpTrade #SwingTrade #MeanReversion #Bitcoin #DayTrading #RiskReward #TradingSignals #CryptoMarkets 🚀📈🔥
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by quantsignals
BTC recently broke through the descending channel Market picture and sentiment The price is trading around $114,942, down slightly by about -0.65% on the day. Daily range: high - $115,833, low - $114,583. The medium-term and long-term trend remains bullish, supported by large capital infusions (ETFs, institutional purchases). Bernstein analysts suggest that the current bull rally could last until 2027, which is significantly different from the usual four-year cycles. Support and resistance levels Resistance: The nearest zone is $120K-121K, where growth was expected to slow and consolidation. The long-term target is $135K, and even $150K by 2026, according to analysts' forecasts. Support: Multiple bounce point at $110K–112K is critical to maintain bullish momentum. Nearest technical support at $111.9K, followed by $107.4K and $105.2K. Technical Momentum and Structure Consolidation is seen around $113.8K, with volumes rising (to $48B), signaling pent-up interest despite short-term fatigue. BTC recently broke out of its downward channel, a positive sign. RSI remains favorable, and declining balances on platforms indicate institutional accumulation. A breakout of $114K could trigger upside potential to $143K (25%) and further to $200K, according to Rosenberg Research.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by Trade_Hive_Signals
BTC: Trend or Trap? A Deep Dive AnalysisDisclaimer: In the past, my analyses have frequently deviated due to the erratic movements of BTC whales. Therefore, I advise you to read this study not as investment advice, but purely as a technical explanation. With growing institutional interest in BTC (ETFs, corporate investments, etc.), I hope it will gain more stable potential. For this reason, I expect it to exhibit fewer "erratic" movements and become more predictable compared to the past. However, the manipulative strategies of large investors, whom we call "whales," have always been devastating for retail investors. Still, money talks, and we can't predict how whales will move. When taking a position, if you are not a large investor, I recommend you never forget that you are a small fish. With the hope of long-term stability supported by ETFs and institutional investors, we can begin to examine BTC using classic technical tools. When we look at the monthly timeframe over a wide period, a typical Elliott Wave structure stands out: In compliance with all impulse rules, I believe BTC is about to complete the 5th wave. But when we look at the momentum oscillators, do they confirm this 5th wave? Looking at the RSI value, while the price makes a new high, the RSI has formed a lower high. This indicates a bearish divergence. If we were to check for a signal of a trend reversal or a decrease in wallet data: Neither the wallet data nor the transaction volumes show an outlook that supports the chart's positive sentiment. Based solely on this data, it's plausible to say that a downtrend might begin. I recommend that instead of immediately interpreting upward breaks at these levels as a "bull trend," you should first confirm whether it's a fakeout. Volume and money flow indicators are signaling a clear lack of interest, consolidation, and energy accumulation. This environment provides a very suitable ground for a potential climactic volume. The longer the consolidation and low volume, the more violent the subsequent move can be. Here too, the negative divergence is clearly visible. In summary: Although the market appears strong and healthy from the outside, it is exhibiting an uptrend that is running out of energy from the inside. The record-breaking prices are creating a dissonant picture with the decreasing money flow and weakening volume momentum. This increases the probability that the trend is not sustainable and may soon experience exhaustion, a correction, or a reversal. The ADX shows that the trend still maintains its strength. The Aroon indicator signals that buyers remain strong while sellers continue to weaken. When we include the Bollinger Bands and Keltner Channel, an interesting picture emerges: Price-Volume-Momentum indicators → signal risk. ADX, Aroon, Bollinger, and Keltner → suggest the trend remains strong. As I said at the beginning, BTC has always had its "erratic" movements. We can interpret this contradiction as the schizophrenic behavior of an "anarchist" asset. In short, in my opinion, the trend is not strong; on the contrary, it is weakening, and the chart does not fully reflect reality. However, we cannot say that the trend is completely over either. In a trend that seems to be forcing its way up, avoiding FOMO (Fear Of Missing Out) would be the wisest strategy. Strategy and Risk Management If you open a short position, you risk getting caught in a climactic volume, which is highly risky. If you open a long position, you might find yourself falling off a cliff on the back of the trend after the final surges. Therefore, what will protect you more than my or any other analyst's comments are your own stop-loss and take-profit strategies. If the price moves upward contrary to my expectation, your loss would actually be "a profit you never had." However, if you remain in a trend that is about to fall, you are risking your existing capital. That is the real danger. Always act based on your own observations; do not invest based on rumors. Proceed by taking minimum risk. A potential M-Top (Double Top) formation is visible, nearing completion within the Bollinger and Keltner channels. The steps of the candle spikes on the band ("walking the bands") are clearly evident. You can confirm whether the M-Top will complete—and whether it is truly an M-Top—with a monthly close below the current candle's low. If the closes extend down to the Bollinger Band (BB) midline, the possibility of the uptrend reaching figures like 160k–200k–300k would be eliminated, at least for this season. For those willing to take risks: It might be logical to determine a position at levels where the BB midline acts as support during the corrective moves that follow this close. In a continued decline, the loss would be minimal. In a newly emerging trend, maximum profit could be captured. Indicators can be misleading when prices are at their peak. That's why I tried to interpret the indicators on the monthly period, as it is less prone to manipulation. In terms of chart and candle patterns, my first impression on the monthly chart is these two candles, which I believe will form an Evening Star formation. Before pointing to this formation, I want to draw attention to the harmonic pattern that the candle I suspect will form the Evening Star is drawing on the weekly timeframe. If we assume that the yet-to-be-completed D-leg of the weekly harmonic pattern (which is forming within the monthly Evening Star) will find support at the Fibonacci 1.27 - 1.24 levels, in alignment with past accumulation zones, we can expect a chart like this to emerge in the coming weeks: This means we could expect a resistance test between 132K and 127K on the retest of the harmonic pattern. If the simulation I've tried to draw materializes in line with technical measurements, the monthly Evening Star candle formation will also have been completed, thanks to the fractal harmonic pattern. This would provide a confirmation that we can combine with many other patterns like the hanging man, double top, bull trap, etc. Literally, this formation is expected to cause a decline. In that case, it could be a formational confirmation that substantiates the explanations we mentioned in the indicators section, such as climactic volume and fakeouts. Of course, what I have said are inferences based on existing structures that have not yet occurred. This is a simulation graphic. I am trying to catch nascent formations to provide a perspective on potential future scenarios. As we continue to simulate formations on the monthly period, another harmonic pattern, consistent with our previous measurements and analysis, can give us an idea about old supply zones. The harmonic pattern above is the main pattern that encompasses the Evening Star and double top formations. In a way that supports the signals from indicators and oscillators, it can inform us about the support zones where prices might retreat. Looking back, we can also see chart formations that literally told us the levels today's prices might reach. When we depict the all-time price movements within a Fibonacci channel on the weekly timeframe, the all-time accumulation zones become apparent. Based on this channel data, we can predict that a potential retest could occur slightly below the 90K levels. If, contrary to our expectations, prices form a new upward trend, I believe a new trend channel will form after the 140K levels by following this channel. Note: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.
by FutureAlchemist
Is Btc going lower? Aug 9th- As Btc was approaching a break of the trendline, I anticipated the usual % "fakeout" and set my T1 (green box) accordingly. Asking the question, "Is Btc doing what it always does?" Because if it did, then setting my bearish targets (and their probabilities), was a matter of simple calculations. Aug 12h - As my green T1 was confirmed, I became confident we were in a very common bearish pattern and with the highest probability, my bearish T2 would be hit. Aug 16th- Once I ruled out the 12% chance of a Btc parabolic move (without a retrace into either bearish target), I was able to recalculate the probabilities of my bear targets. These were udated as seen on the chart below. I wanted my followers to understand WHY I had increased the probailities in each of T1 and T2 targets. Aug 23rd - As of today, my bear T2 target has been hit and the entire anticipated bearish pattern has been confirmed. I wanted to offer a bit of an explination on how I came to determine price action once Btc broke trend. But the question remains, will Btc go lower into my T2 target ($108K - $112K)? I believe the answer is yes. And that would be my ideal buy zone for Btc and my favorite alt coins. May the trends be with you.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Strangely-accurate
Bitcoin Eyes $100K Re-Entry: Retest, Support Zone,Then Push 130kChart Analysis 1. Price Structure & Trendlines The chart displays a former upward trendline that has been broken, leading to a corrective pullback. Following that, price is perched within a “retest zone” (the red-shaded rectangle), which aligns with both historical horizontal resistance—now turning into support—and an area of previous consolidation. This is a classic setup: price often retests key breakout levels before resuming its move. 2. Support Levels The main support is clearly drawn around the $100K zone, highlighted by a grey bar below the retest zone. This is a psychological and structural area to watch for potential strong buying. Immediate support appears near $110K–$112K, as noted by the lower edge of the red retest area—this zone has shown to catch corrections before in technical analysis and news reports AInvest Mudrex Barron's . 3. Resistance & Upside Targets If the retest holds, the chart charts a potential bounce toward the upper rising trendline and beyond, potentially aiming for the $126K–$130K region, as marked by Fibonacci retracement levels. This aligns with several external forecasts suggesting resistance or target zones in that range AInvest Mudrex Barron's . 4. Potential Price Path & Scenarios (Denoted by Red Arrows) Bearish Scenario: Price may dip down into the retest zone, test support, and—if the breakdown occurs—continue lower toward $100K—a key area of interest. Bullish Scenario: The support holds, leading to a V-shaped recovery that propels price back above $115K, potentially triggering a rally toward $122K–$130K. Summary Table Key Zone / Level Significance & Note $110K–$112K Critical near-term support; breakdown risks move toward $100K AInvest Mudrex Retest Zone (~$114K–$115K) Area combining horizontal support and trendline; serves as pivot for next move Mudrex AInvest $120K–$123K Major resistance where a breakout could fuel continuation toward $127K–$130K Mudrex Barron's Broader Context & Market Sentiment Bitcoin is currently consolidating after setting new highs near $124K MarketWatch The Economic Times Barron's Cointribune . Analysts observe that sustaining above the $110K–$112K band is essential to the bullish case; falling below it could invite deeper downside Barron's Cointribune AInvest . Conversely, a decisive move above $120K–$123K could validate continuation toward $127K–$130K, and even higher—some forecasts extend to $135K and beyond Mudrex Indiatimes Barron's CoinCodex . Final Thoughts Your chart beautifully illustrates the classic “retest after breakout” dynamic: Hold above the retest zone? Look for a rebound toward $120K+, with the potential for a full bullish revival aiming for $130K. Break below $110K–$112K? Watch for a possible move toward $100K—a critical support level. Stay alert to macro catalysts too—like Federal Reserve interest rate signals, institutional inflows (ETFs), and regulatory developments—which could steer the next leg substantially
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by KingProTrader