Selena | BTCUSD – 30M | Demand Holding Inside Ascending StructurBITSTAMP:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSD
Market Overview
After rejecting from the upper channel resistance, BTC corrected toward the mid-range demand area. The current reaction suggests buyers are defending this zone, keeping the higher-timeframe bullish structure intact unless the demand fails decisively.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀
If price continues to hold above the demand zone and respects the ascending trendline:
🎯 Target 1: 92,000
🎯 Target 2: 94,000
🎯 Target 3: 95,200
❌ Bearish Case 📉
A clean breakdown and close below 88,500 would invalidate the bullish structure and expose deeper downside toward the lower range lows.
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 92,000 – 94,000 – 95,200
Support 🟢: 89,000 – 88,500
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.
Btcupdate
Bitcoin Top Is In — 35 Months Symmetry, Final Bottom TargetThey won't believe me even If I told them...
I’m going to state this plainly and accept that most people will dismiss it.
Bitcoin has already printed its cycle top.
Not because of vibes, not because of fear — but because the cycle math is complete.
The Core Thesis (Simple, Replicable, Unemotional)
The previous bear market bottom → bull market top duration this cycle is 35 months
That is identical to the last cycle
When cycles rhyme this precisely, it is not coincidence — it is structure
The market has already done what it historically does.
Time is the tell. Not price.
What Comes Next (The Downtrend Phase)
From here, Bitcoin enters its true bear market descent, not a “healthy pullback.”
My expectations:
Continued downside into Q4
Final capitulation window:
October (12 months) from the top
or December (14 months) from the top
I am specifically watching October 16th–26th as the most likely window for Bitcoin’s actual bottom.
That is where fear, disbelief, and exhaustion peak — not where hope lives.
Price Targets (No Sugarcoating)
$44k–$48k is a realistic and structurally sound bottom zone
Some argue Bitcoin will not break below $66k due to:
U.S. presidential election cycle effects
perceived structural support
That outcome is possible.
But my base case remains:
A deeper flush that convinces the majority that “Bitcoin is broken again.”
That is how every real bottom forms.
What Happens After the Bottom
Once the October/December bottom is in:
Bitcoin begins a parabolic recovery
Followed by exponential growth through 2027
New all-time highs projected:
Late 2027
or Early 2028
This is not bearish long-term.
This is cycle realism.
The Hard Truth (Why This Will Be Ignored)
Even if this thesis is 80–90% correct, most people will reject it.
Not because it’s wrong — but because:
Humans distrust information that comes too cleanly
They assume there must be a gimmick
They believe “nothing in life is free”
They fear being fooled more than they desire being early
I could give tomorrow’s winning lottery numbers to millions of people —
and I doubt most would even try to run them.
They’d ask:
“How could you possibly know that?”
And then do nothing.
That is human nature.
Final Note
This post is not asking for belief.
It’s documenting a cycle call — ahead of time.
If this plays out, it won’t feel impressive in hindsight.
It will feel obvious.
That’s how markets work.
Not financial advice. Just a timestamped thesis.
BTCUSDT: Pullback Toward Demand ZoneHi!
Bitcoin is showing short-term weakness after failing to hold above the recent high. Price is currently trading below the local resistance area, suggesting a corrective pullback rather than continuation.
The highlighted demand zone around 90.4K–90.9K is a key area to watch. This level previously acted as resistance and was later flipped into support.
Key Levels:
• Resistance: 93.1K–94.4K
• Demand / Support: 90.4K–90.9K
Downside Target:
• 90,500 (primary demand zone)
As long as price remains below resistance, a deeper retracement into demand is likely. Reaction at support will determine the next directional move.
Elite | BTCUSD – 1H | Market Structure & Key Reaction ZoneBITSTAMP:BTCUSD COINBASE:BTCUSD
After a strong impulsive rally toward the 95,000 resistance region, BTCUSD entered a corrective phase. The current decline shows controlled selling pressure rather than panic distribution. Price is consolidating around a key demand zone, suggesting potential absorption of sell-side liquidity before the next directional move.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀
If price holds above the demand zone and shows acceptance, continuation targets remain:
🎯 92,500
🎯 94,800
🎯 96,000+
❌ Bearish Case 📉
A clean breakdown and sustained close below the demand zone would invalidate the bullish continuation and expose downside toward the lower range support.
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 92,500 – 95,000
Support 🟢: 89,000 – 90,000 (Key Demand Zone)
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.
Bitcoin / U.S. Dollar (BTCUSD) – Bullish Pullback into Demand ZoMarket Structure
Primary trend: Bullish
Price previously moved inside a well-defined ascending channel, forming higher highs and higher lows.
The recent move down is a pullback, not a confirmed trend reversal.
📉 Current Price Action
Price has broken below the ascending channel, signaling short-term bearish momentum.
The pullback is now entering a major demand zone (red shaded area).
This zone previously acted as:
Accumulation
Base for impulsive bullish move
Liquidity absorption area
🟥 Demand / Support Zone
Key demand: ~86,600 – 88,100
This is a high-probability reaction zone.
Buyers are expected to defend this area strongly.
🟩 Resistance / Upside Target
Target area: ~94,400 – 94,500
This aligns with:
Prior swing high
Liquidity resting above equal highs
Your marked TARGET POINT
📊 Trade Setup (As Drawn)
Bias: Buy from demand
Entry zone: 86,600 – 88,100
Stop loss: Below ~86,500
Take profit: 94,400+
Risk–Reward: Very favorable (≈ 1:3)
⚠️ Invalidation
A strong close below ~86,500 would:
Break bullish market structure
Turn demand into resistance
Open downside toward 84,000 – 82,000
🧠 Summary
✔ Bullish trend intact
✔ Pullback into HTF demand
✔ Liquidity target above highs
❗ Wait for bullish confirmation (engulfing / pin bar / BOS) before entry
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) – Bullish Breakout with Pullback to Demand (4H)Market Structure
Overall bias: Bullish continuation
Price formed a strong accumulation base inside the red demand zone (≈ 86,500–89,000).
A clean breakout from the range led to a rising price channel, confirming trend strength.
Current move is a healthy pullback, not a breakdown.
🔑 Key Zones & Levels
🟥 Demand / Support Zone
Major demand: 86,500 – 89,000
This zone acted as:
Accumulation
Breakout base
Strong institutional demand area
As long as price holds above ~89K, bullish structure remains intact.
🔄 Pullback Area
Current price retraced from the channel high (~94–95K).
Pullback is corrective, forming potential higher low.
Ideal reaction zone: 90,000 – 92,000
⬆️ Resistance / Target
Primary target: 95,000 – 95,200
Previous high
Marked “TARGET POINT” on your chart
Break and hold above this level → opens room for 97K+
🎯 Trade Scenario (Based on Your Setup)
Bullish Scenario (Primary Bias)
Price respects 90K–89K
Bullish confirmation (strong 4H close, rejection wick, higher low)
Continuation toward 95K
Bearish Scenario (Invalidation)
Clean break and 4H close below 86,500
Would indicate:
Failed breakout
Deeper correction toward 83K–84K
📊 Price Action Insights
Higher highs & higher lows remain intact.
No strong bearish engulfing or distribution signals.
Volume expansion on breakout supports continuation bias.
🧠 Summary
Trend: Bullish
Phase: Pullback after breakout
Key decision zone: 89K–90K
Upside target: 95K+
Bias: Buy pullbacks while above demand
BTCUSD Long Analysis****BTCUSD Long Analysis**
Bitcoin is holding a strong **support zone around 90,000**, where price has shown multiple rejections and buyer interest. Recent price action suggests **base formation and higher lows**, indicating bullish momentum building from this demand area.
As long as BTC remains **above the 90K support**, a bullish continuation toward **92,000** is expected. A clean breakout above the near-term resistance will further confirm upside strength.
**Bias:** Bullish above 90,000
**Target:** 92,000
**Invalidation:** Sustained break below 90,000
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#BTCUSD
#Bitcoin
#BullishBias
#SupportZone
#CryptoTrading
#PriceAction
#TechnicalAnalysis
**Not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.**
BTC Side-waives for BUY BTC this move on side-waives ,its come a down side below FVG hit back to up-side at RED-Line target OR 2nd is current price goes up and re-test back to up side for a BUY Formation its a clear up side make, and normal volume is down-ward its price doesn't want move for sell side, its made a trip where i said price come down then Movie UP-side. now lets see
Strategy Inc (NASDAQ: $MSTR) Might Be Gearing For A BreakoutStrategy Inc (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:MSTR ) shares might be set for a bullish move albeit market drawback. With the RSI at 49 NASDAQ:MSTR needs to break the 61.8% Fib level to accentuate the next levels for $MSTR.
Since the month of June 2025, the asset has lost 66% of its value moving in tandem with CRYPTOCAP:BTC 's momentum.
In recent news, Index provider MSCI late Tuesday said it would not boot publicly traded companies with big holdings of digital assets such as bitcoin from its indexes—for now. Fans of Strategy (MSTR), the company made famous for stockpiling cryptocurrency, applauded the decision: Its stock was recently up about 4%, a bit off earlier highs.
The news removed, or at least delayed, an overhang from Strategy's shares. MSCI last fall proposed removing digital asset treasury companies, or DATCOs, from its indexes following a proliferation of firms of that ilk, saying they resemble investment funds, which aren't eligible for inclusion. That spooked investors, as analysts estimated the move could spur other index providers to follow suit and cost the company billions in outflows.
Analyst Summary
According to 15 analysts, the average rating for MSTR stock is "Strong Buy." The 12-month stock price target is $485.86, which is an increase of 200.23% from the latest price.
About MSTR
Strategy Inc, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a bitcoin treasury company in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and internationally. The company offers investors varying degrees of economic exposure to Bitcoin by offering a range of securities, including equity and fixed income instruments. It also provides AI-powered enterprise analytics software, including Strategy One.
BTC on US open and US ISM ServicesWatching US Open and the US #ISM services data closely...
Expecting that New York fakedumps towards ~$91k, and 30 minutes later US ISM services slightly miss (lower then expected) and pumps up the market...
Patience is key...
#Trading #Bitcoin #CryptoMarket #StockMarket
Selena | BTCUSD – 15M | Range Break → Channel ContinuationBINANCE:BTCUSD BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
After accumulating in a tight range, BTC expanded impulsively and formed a rising channel. The first channel high acted as temporary resistance, causing a healthy retracement. Price is now holding above the demand zone inside the channel, suggesting continuation rather than reversal. No bearish BOS is present — structure remains bullish.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀
If price holds above the marked demand / channel support, continuation toward equal highs and external liquidity is expected.
🎯 Target 1: 95,000
🎯 Target 2: 95,800
🎯 Target 3: 96,200 (HTF liquidity zone)
❌ Bearish Case 📉
A strong 15M close below the demand zone and channel support would invalidate the setup and signal deeper correction.
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 95,000 → 96,200
Support 🟢: 93,000–93,300 (Entry / Demand)
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
BTC/USD 4H – Range Breakout Holding Above Key Support*Overall Market Structure
Trend: Short-term bullish continuation
BTC has broken out of a prior consolidation range and is making higher highs and higher lows.
Price is currently above a key support zone, suggesting strength.
📦 Key Zones & Levels
🟦 Major Support Zones
$89,750 – $91,350 (Primary Support)
Former resistance → now acting as support
Price is currently retesting this zone
Strong area for bullish defense
$85,800 – $87,600 (Secondary Support)
Previous accumulation range
If price loses the upper support, this is the next high-probability bounce zone
🎯 Resistance / Target
$98,200 (Target Point)
Clear horizontal resistance
Matches prior rejection / liquidity area
Logical upside target if support holds
📈 Bullish Scenario (High Probability)
Price holds above $89.7k
Consolidation or shallow pullback
Continuation move toward:
$94k → $98.2k
Break and close above $98.2k could open the door to $100k psychological resistance
📉 Bearish / Pullback Scenario
Loss of $89.7k support
Price likely revisits:
$87.6k
Then $85.8k
As long as price stays above $85.8k, the macro bullish structure remains intact
🧠 Market Behavior Insight
The clean breakout + retest pattern suggests smart money accumulation
Sharp rejection from support would confirm buyers in control
Choppy price inside the support zone = healthy consolidation, not weakness
✅ Summary
Bias: Bullish
Key Level to Watch: $89,750
Upside Target: $98 200
Invalidation: Clean 4H close below $85,800
BTCUSD Market Structure Explained. Liquidity Above, Demand BelowHello traders,
I will keep this simple and structural because structure matters the most, right?
On the 6H timeframe, BTC is trading inside an ascending channel. As we see higher lows and consistent demand.
At the same time, price has been rejected multiple times from the channel upper trendline to sweep sell side liquidity.
This creates compression
As long as BTC holds this demand and maintains this bullish structure, this sets the stage for bullish continuation.
I previously stated multiple times that BTC could push toward the 100K+ region. This very chart could be the start of this move.
You should know that price reacts to structure, liquidity, and range expansion.
TL;DR: Overall bearish market 2026 | Short-term: Bullish relief rally
Good Luck!
If you find value in this content, a like supports more than anything🙏📊
Also, leave your comments and thoughts below.
Bitcoin BTC Update: Waiting for Trend Confirmation | Key Levels I’m currently watching Bitcoin (BTC) closely — and right now, it’s sitting in no man’s land. We’ve had a bullish break, but a full trend reversal isn’t confirmed yet. For that, we need to see BTC break the most recent highs and retest the level successfully, holding above it to confirm a proper bullish shift.
At the moment, BTC is trading between a major institutional support zone and strong resistance. How it reacts at these key levels will determine the next move.
Here’s my plan:
Buy Opportunity: If BTC breaks above the recent highs and holds, I’ll be looking for a long entry.
Sell Opportunity: If BTC breaks below support, I may look for a short position.
There’s no confirmed trend yet, so patience is key. I focus on institutional levels, market structure, and price action to identify trade opportunities.
⚠️ Risk Management Reminder: Always protect your capital, scale out partial profits where possible, and adjust your stop loss to minimize risk.
❗ Not financial advice: This content is for educational purposes only and reflects my personal market analysis.
THE RALLY ISN’T OVER YET
My previous forecast is still valid, but it needs a small tactical adjustment. Locally, the structure still supports continuation to the upside.
Base case: more upside with price moving into the 96,000–100,000 area, where key technical magnets align:
a weekly imbalance retest,
a MA50-W + vWAP retest.
Key levels
The local bullish bias remains in place as long as price stays above:
VAH,
and the nearest support zone at 91,500–92,000.
Next support zone: 90,000–90,500.
Scenario logic
As long as 91,500–92,000 holds, the priority remains a push toward 96K–100K.
Losing 91,500–92,000 increases the odds of a deeper pullback into 90,000–90,500, where I’ll be watching for a reaction and demand confirmation.
Overall, my base expectation is that before the unemployment data release, BINANCE:BTCUSDT BITSTAMP:BTCUSD CME:BTC1! will likely move into consolidation, followed by trend continuation to the upside once the data is out and the market reacts.
BTC at Critical Junction: $94.5K Breakout or Range Extension?BITCOIN (BTC/USD) | Multi-Timeframe Analysis | New Year Rally - Critical Breakout Zone
Current Price: $94,283 (+3.05%) | Date: January 5, 2026
🔥 5-DAY RALLY UPDATE
💥 BTC surges for 5th consecutive session - briefly touched $94,825, highest level since Dec 11
📈 Price up 5% since start of 2026, breaking multi-week consolidation
⚡ CME futures gap created between $90,500-$91,550 on Sunday night opening
🐂 $471M net inflows into BTC ETFs on first trading day of 2026
💼 MicroStrategy adds 1,287 BTC - holdings now exceed 673,783 BTC ($63B)
📊 MULTI-TIMEFRAME CONTEXT
📅 Weekly Chart: BTC consolidating in $80K-$120K macro range since October 2025
📅 Daily Chart: Breaking above key resistance after 7-week consolidation phase
✅ Successfully held $80K weekly support multiple times - foundation is strong
⚖️ Market at critical juncture - three distinct scenarios emerging based on $94,5K test
🎯 KEY TECHNICAL LEVELS - WEEKLY PERSPECTIVE
Major Weekly Resistance:
$118,000-$125,000 - All-time high zone from October 2025, major supply area
$100,000 - Psychological resistance and round number magnet
$95,000-$96,000 - Current resistance cluster where descending trendline and 50-MA converge
Major Weekly Support:
$88,000-$90,000 - Immediate support zone, recent consolidation base
$80,000 - CRITICAL WEEKLY SUPPORT - Tested 3x in late 2025, highest priority level
$75,000-$77,000 - Secondary weekly support zone, extreme downside scenario
🎯 KEY TECHNICAL LEVELS - DAILY PERSPECTIVE
Daily Resistance Zones:
$94,000-$95,000 - IMMEDIATE KEY RESISTANCE - Convergence of 50-MA and descending trendline
$96,000-$98,000 - Secondary resistance cluster
$100,000-$102,000 - Green scenario target, psychological milestone
Daily Support Zones:
$90,500-$91,550 - CME gap support, fresh support from weekend breakout
$88,000-$89,000 - Recent consolidation floor, critical short-term support
$85,000-$86,000 - Lower support if $88K breaks
📈 THREE SCENARIO ANALYSIS
🟢 SCENARIO 1: BULLISH CONTINUATION (Green Arrow)
Probability: 45-50% - Most favored by current momentum
Path: Break $94,5K → Push through $96-98K → Rally to $100-102K target
Catalysts: ETF inflows continue, options positioning at $100K ($1.45B notional interest), Venezuela BTC seized could boost narrative
Confirmation: Daily close above $94,5K with volume, followed by sustained hold above $95K
Timeframe: 2-4 weeks if momentum sustains
🟡 SCENARIO 2: RANGE CONSOLIDATION (Yellow Arrow)
Probability: 30-35% - If $94K rejection occurs
Path: Chop between $88K-$94K for extended period, builds energy for next move
Pattern: Continuation of Q4 2025 range-bound behavior, healthy consolidation
Confirmation: Repeated tests of $94K resistance without breakthrough
Timeframe: Could extend several weeks until catalyst emerges
🔴 SCENARIO 3: BEARISH REJECTION (Red Arrow)
Probability: 15-20% - Lower probability given current strength
Path: Fail at $94K → Break $88K → Cascade to $80K → Extreme scenario $75-77K
Risks: Major macro shock, large liquidations, loss of $80K weekly support
Confirmation: Daily close below $88K with volume spike
Warning: Breaking $80K weekly support would signal major trend change
🌐 MARKET CONTEXT
🚀 Bitcoin options traders targeting $100K - January $100K calls have $1.45B notional open interest
📊 Perpetual funding on Deribit jumped above 30% - dealers now short gamma to upside
💰 BTC ETF flows: $471M inflows on first 2026 trading day, sentiment shifting positive
🇻🇪 Venezuela developments: US action could release "shadow reserve" BTC holdings
💼 Strategy Inc. decision: Mid-January catalyst still pending, potential volatility trigger
📈 Market sentiment improving: 5 consecutive green days, risk-on across markets
⚠️ Average crypto RSI near 58 - stretched conditions, short-term pullback risk exists
🥇 Gold hit $4,400 despite BTC rally - assets not competing, both can rise together
📊 CME gap at $90.5-91.5K - typically fills 90% of time, acts as magnet if price drops
💡 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK
🎯 Short-term bias: Bullish - 5-day winning streak and momentum favors continuation
⚡ Critical moment: $94K-$95K represents THE decision zone for BTC's next major move
✅ Weekly support at $80K remains intact - provides strong foundation for rally attempts
🟢 Bull case (45-50%): Break above $94K opens path to $100K+, options positioning supports this
⚖️ Base case (30-35%): $94K rejection leads to $88-94K consolidation, time-based correction
🔴 Bear case (15-20%): Failure at $94K + macro shock breaks $88K toward $80K retest
📊 Volume analysis: Need sustained volume above 25-30B daily to confirm $94,5K breakout
⏰ Key catalysts this week: US labor data (NFP, jobless claims), Strategy Inc. decision mid-January
🎯 Risk/Reward: Favorable at current levels - $5K upside to $98K vs $5K downside to $88K
💎 Multi-timeframe alignment: Weekly structure bullish if $80K holds, daily needs $94K break
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⚠️ DISCLAIMER
This is technical analysis for educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk appropriately.
btc await breakout before selling#BTCUSD price needs to retest back 91700 for new formation, now we await for retrace back 93200 or today high to sell. One time breakout there will reverse.
Sell from 93200, target 91700, SL 93600.
If price make a breakout above 93200 on m5 tf it's needs to reverse below 93150 or more but closure above 93200 on M5 tf means bullish is strong then await valid breakout on m15 to buy.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) – 4H Supply Zone Rejection & Bearish Pullback *Market Structure
* Overall bias: Short-term bearish / corrective, within a larger bullish structure.
Price made a strong impulsive move up into a higher-timeframe supply / demand reaction zone.
That rally looks exhausted (sharp rejection + projected pullback).
📍 Key Zones on the Chart
🔴 Upper Zone (93,000 – 94,000)
Marked as DEMAND ZONE, but functionally acting as a sell-side reaction / supply flip.
Multiple prior rejections → liquidity & institutional selling area.
The wick into ~94,000 suggests stop-hunting / distribution.
This is the invalidation zone for shorts if price holds above it.
🟢 Entry / Short Zone (~92,200 – 93,900)
The red/green box indicates a short trade setup:
Stop-loss: Above ~94,000
Entry: After rejection inside the zone
The structure shows lower high formation after the rally → bearish confirmation.
🎯 Downside Targets
Target 1: ~88,100
Clear horizontal support
Previous consolidation base
Likely first reaction / bounce area
Target 2 (extension): ~87,980
Equal lows / liquidity pool
Possible sweep + reversal area
📉 Price Action Logic
Strong bullish leg → enters HTF zone
No continuation, instead:
Sharp rejection
Failure to hold highs
Projection arrow suggests:
Liquidity grab above highs
Followed by mean reversion / retracement
This is classic “buy-side liquidity taken → sell-side move” behavior.
⚠️ What Would Invalidate This Setup?
4H close above ~94,000
Strong acceptance above the red zone
That would imply continuation toward 95k+
🧠 Summary
Bias: Short-term bearish pullback
Setup: Short from supply zone
Targets: 88k → 87.9k
Risk: Above 94k
Context: Healthy correction within a larger uptrend






















