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Btcusdanalysis

After $105K Peak, Bitcoin May Revisit 0.382 FOB Level!CRYPTOCAP:BTC is pulling back after hitting a high of $105,800 If you look at the daily chart, we haven’t seen any healthy pullback, the price has gone straight up. In my opinion, a retest of the 0.382 FOB level around $94K would be a healthy correction for Bitcoin. Based on the liquidation heatmap, we’re also seeing liquidity building up at lower levels. This is one of the signs of a pullback, which is important for a sustainable and healthy market. Stay tuned and follow for more updates!
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
14
Bitcoin BTC Is Entering Into CorrectionHello, Skyrexians! I got a lot of comments to analyze BINANCE:BTCUSDT because it has almost reached ATH and people don't understand what is happening. In my opinion last pain ahead and after that likely we see great gains. Let's take a look at 4h time frame. We can finally notice the full 5 waves cycle which is likely to be finished. If you remember my recent analysis this is just the wave 1 inside higher degree wave 3. Awesome Oscillator has printed divergence, so there is a great chance that correction has been already started. The target for this correction is 0.5 Fibonacci at $90k. I don't recommend you to short this move if you are not experienced because this is trade against the trend. Best regards, Ivan Skyrexio ___________________________________________________________ Please, boost this article and subscribe our page if you like analysis!
Short
by Skyrexio
11
BTC at Critical DP: Rising Wedge Breakdown or Bounce?!Hello guys! 1. Bearish Breakdown (Primary Setup): If price breaks below the rising wedge support and sweeps the recent low, it confirms the breakdown. This would be a strong signal to enter short positions, with a downside target around the 99,000–98,500 zone. Breakdown confirmation: Close below both wedge support and the horizontal support from the previous swing low. 2. Bullish Bounce (Alternative Setup): If price respects the wedge support and shows bullish momentum (e.g., strong wick rejections or bullish engulfing candle), the wedge may invalidate. In this case, look for long opportunities targeting the upper wedge boundary and possibly higher resistance zones beyond 104,000. 📌 Strategy Summary: 🔻 Breakdown = SHORT to target area (below 100K) 🔺 Support holds = LONG toward 104K+ Risk management is crucial here, as the pattern is at a tipping point. Wait for a clear breakout or bounce before entering a position.
Short
by melikatrader94
17
BTCUSD FALLING WEDGE PATTERNHere I Created This BTCUSD Chart Analysis Pair :               BTCUSD  (Bitcoin) Timeframe:   15- Minutes Pattern:           Falling wedge Momentum:    Bearish/ SELL Entry Level : SELL      104000 Resistance zone :      104100 Target Will Be :        102800 Disclaimer : This signal is based on personal analysis for learning purposes. Trade at your own risk and always use proper risk management.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Art_of_TradingFX
7
Bullish Tide: Are Bears Drowning as $31M Shorts VanishBullish Tide: Are Bears Drowning as FWB:31M Shorts Vanish and "Price Discovery 2" Looms? The cryptocurrency landscape is once again electric with anticipation, and at the heart of this renewed fervor stands Bitcoin. As of May 2025, the prevailing winds appear to be firmly in the sails of the bulls. A cascade of recent market events, headlined by a dramatic $31 million liquidation of Bitcoin short positions, is sending a stark warning to pessimistic speculators. This, coupled with compelling technical analysis suggesting that Bitcoin must close the week above a crucial level to initiate 'price discovery 2', paints a picture of a market on the brink of a potentially explosive upward trajectory. This isn't merely about fleeting price surges. Underlying these market dynamics is a growing conviction that Bitcoin doesn’t need to change; the world does. While critics often call for Bitcoin to become "faster, cheaper, greener," a powerful counter-narrative champions its existing, robust design as a solution to the inherent weaknesses of traditional systems. Adding fuel to this bullish fire is the subtle but significant trend of Bitcoin’s Quiet Coup, as wealth funds methodically build up their holdings. Furthermore, market sentiment indicators like Bitcoin funding rates remaining positive on major exchanges like Binance seem to confirm a strong, underlying uptrend. Are Bitcoin bears truly losing out, and are we witnessing the dawn of a new era for the king of cryptocurrencies? The Cost of Doubt: $31 Million in BTC Shorts Wiped Out The unforgiving nature of leveraged trading in the cryptocurrency markets was recently laid bare with the news that a staggering $31 million in Bitcoin short positions were liquidated. This event serves as a potent illustration of the risks involved in betting against Bitcoin's momentum, especially in the current climate. Short selling in the crypto sphere, much like in traditional markets, involves traders borrowing Bitcoin, selling it with the expectation that its price will fall, and then planning to buy it back at a lower price to profit from the difference. However, the crypto markets are known for their high volatility and the widespread use of leverage, particularly in perpetual futures contracts. Leverage allows traders to control a much larger position than their initial capital would normally allow, amplifying potential profits but also, crucially, potential losses. When the market moves sharply against a leveraged short position – meaning Bitcoin's price surges upwards – traders can face a margin call. If they cannot add more funds to cover their mounting losses, the exchange automatically closes their position to prevent further debt. This forced closure is a liquidation. The $31 million wipeout signifies that a substantial volume of bets on Bitcoin's price decline was overwhelmed by a potent wave of buying pressure. This mass liquidation event has several implications. Firstly, it inflicts significant financial pain on those who were positioned for a downturn, effectively Bitcoin bears losing out on their wagers. Secondly, these forced closures inherently involve buying Bitcoin to cover the short positions, which paradoxically adds more fuel to the upward price movement. This can trigger a "short squeeze," where rising prices force more shorts to cover, leading to further liquidations and an accelerated price rally. Such events bolster bullish sentiment, demonstrating underlying market strength and deterring further aggressive short selling. It’s a clear signal that the market's undercurrent was far more robust than the bears had anticipated. On the Cusp of a New Frontier: The Critical Weekly Close and "Price Discovery 2" The excitement among Bitcoin proponents is palpable, with many analysts asserting that Bitcoin bulls are on the cusp of launching the market back to all-time highs and beyond. Central to this optimistic outlook is the focus on an upcoming, crucial weekly close. According to prevailing technical analysis, Bitcoin must close the week above a specific, strategically important price level to start 'price discovery 2'. "Price discovery" is the process by which market participants determine the fair value of an asset through their buying and selling activities. When an asset like Bitcoin surpasses its previous all-time high (ATH), it enters a phase where historical resistance levels cease to exist. This is true price discovery – the market is venturing into uncharted territory, with no past price ceilings to act as psychological or technical barriers. "Price Discovery 1" can be considered Bitcoin's journey to its previous peak (around $69,000 in November 2021). The term "Price Discovery 2" thus implies a new, sustained bull run that would take Bitcoin significantly beyond that former zenith. The significance of a "weekly close" above a key resistance level cannot be overstated in technical analysis. Weekly charts smooth out short-term noise and are often seen as better indicators of major trend shifts. A decisive weekly close above, say, the previous ATH or a major interim peak, would be a powerful confirmation for many traders and investors that the bulls are firmly in control. It would invalidate bearish scenarios that predicted a rejection at these upper levels and would likely attract a fresh wave of capital into the market. Several potent catalysts could fuel this ascent into "Price Discovery 2." The quadrennial Bitcoin halving event, the most recent of which occurred in April 2024, historically constricts the new supply of Bitcoin, often leading to significant price appreciation in the months and years that follow as demand outstrips this reduced supply. Continued institutional adoption, evidenced by wealth funds accumulating Bitcoin, provides a steady stream of large-scale buying pressure. Furthermore, a challenging macroeconomic environment, characterized by persistent inflation in major fiat currencies or geopolitical uncertainties, can enhance Bitcoin's appeal as a non-sovereign store of value and a hedge against systemic risks. Should Bitcoin achieve this critical weekly close and embark on "Price Discovery 2," the upside could be substantial, as the market seeks to establish a new equilibrium in uncharted price territory. The Unwavering Standard: Bitcoin Doesn’t Need to Change, The World Does Amidst the price charts and market analyses, a more profound narrative is solidifying: Bitcoin doesn’t need to change; the world does. For years, critics have argued that Bitcoin should be faster, cheaper, greener, often comparing its transaction throughput or energy consumption to centralized payment networks or newer, less proven blockchain protocols. However, an increasing number of proponents argue that maybe the point isn’t to fix Bitcoin. Maybe it’s to fix everything else with Bitcoin. This perspective champions Bitcoin's core attributes – often perceived as limitations by detractors – as its most vital strengths: • Unparalleled Decentralization: Bitcoin operates on a globally distributed network with no single point of control. This makes it resistant to censorship, shutdown, or manipulation by any government or corporation. In an age of increasing financial surveillance and control, this is a feature, not a bug. • Robust Security and Immutability: The Proof-of-Work (PoW) consensus mechanism, while energy-intensive, is what underpins Bitcoin's formidable security. The immense computational power dedicated to mining creates an economic fortress around the network, making its transaction history virtually tamper-proof. While the "greener" argument often pushes for alternatives like Proof-of-Stake (PoS), many believe PoW offers a unique level of objective security crucial for a global store of value. Moreover, the narrative around Bitcoin's energy use is evolving, with increasing adoption of renewable and stranded energy sources for mining, and a growing recognition that its energy consumption is a worthwhile trade-off for securing a truly independent financial system. • Absolute Scarcity: Bitcoin's supply is capped at 21 million coins, a hard-coded limit that cannot be altered. This programmatic scarcity makes it a powerful antidote to the inflationary pressures inherent in fiat currencies, which can be created limitlessly by central banks. This "digital gold" characteristic is fundamental to its value proposition. • Layered Scaling: While the Bitcoin base layer prioritizes security and decentralization over raw transaction speed, innovation is flourishing on Layer 2 solutions like the Lightning Network. These protocols enable fast, low-cost transactions by batching them off-chain and settling them periodically on the main Bitcoin blockchain, thus allowing Bitcoin to scale for everyday payments without compromising its core principles. The argument is that instead of trying to mold Bitcoin to fit the constraints of the old financial world, we should recognize how its unique properties can address the systemic flaws within that world – issues like inflation, financial exclusion, censorship, and counterparty risk. Bitcoin, in its current form, offers a radical, resilient alternative. The Silent Infiltration: Wealth Funds Build Up Bitcoin Holdings Further bolstering the bullish case is the ongoing, often understated, trend of Bitcoin’s Quiet Coup: Wealth Funds Build Up Holdings. This isn't about flashy headlines but rather a methodical, strategic accumulation of Bitcoin by sophisticated institutional investors, including pension funds, endowments, sovereign wealth funds, and large family offices. These entities, traditionally conservative and managing trillions of dollars in assets, are increasingly allocating a portion of their portfolios to Bitcoin. Their motivations are manifold: • Diversification: Bitcoin has historically exhibited low correlation with traditional assets like stocks and bonds, making it an attractive addition for enhancing portfolio risk-adjusted returns. • Inflation Hedge: In an environment of persistent global inflation, Bitcoin's finite supply positions it as a potential store of value, a digital hedge against currency debasement. • Asymmetric Upside: Even a small allocation to Bitcoin can offer significant upside potential, an appealing proposition for large funds seeking growth. • Growing Regulatory Clarity and Infrastructure: The approval of Bitcoin ETFs in major jurisdictions like the U.S. has provided regulated and accessible avenues for institutional investment, alongside the development of institutional-grade custody and trading solutions. This "Quiet Coup" signifies a maturing perception of Bitcoin, moving it from a speculative niche asset to a legitimate component of institutional investment strategy. The steady inflow of significant capital from these large players not only provides price support but also lends credibility and encourages further adoption, potentially reducing long-term volatility as more Bitcoin is held by entities with long-term horizons. Reading the Bullish Tea Leaves: Bitcoin Funding Rates Remain Positive Adding another layer of confirmation to the prevailing bullish sentiment is the observation that Bitcoin Funding Rates Remain Positive On Binance — Strong Uptrend Confirmed? Funding rates are a key mechanism in cryptocurrency perpetual futures markets, designed to keep the price of the perpetual contract aligned with the spot price of the underlying asset. When funding rates are positive, it generally means that traders holding long positions (betting on a price increase) are paying a premium to those holding short positions. This indicates a higher demand for long leverage, reflecting overall bullish sentiment in the derivatives market. Consistently positive funding rates on a major exchange like Binance, which boasts significant trading volume, suggest that this optimism is sustained. It implies that traders are confident enough in Bitcoin's upward trajectory to pay a recurring fee to maintain their leveraged long positions. While extremely high funding rates can sometimes signal an over-leveraged market ripe for a correction (a "long squeeze"), moderately and persistently positive rates, as currently observed, are often interpreted as a healthy sign of a strong and well-supported uptrend. It suggests that the rally is not just speculative froth but is backed by conviction among active traders. Conclusion: A Perfect Storm for Bitcoin's Next Chapter? As May 2025 progresses, the confluence of factors points towards a potentially transformative period for Bitcoin. The $31 million decimation of short positions serves as a stark reminder of the perils of underestimating Bitcoin's strength. The market's eager anticipation of a weekly close that could unlock "Price Discovery 2" highlights the potent bullish technical setup. This is further reinforced by the fundamental conviction that Bitcoin's core design is its ultimate strength, offering solutions the traditional financial world desperately needs. The quiet, strategic accumulation by wealth funds injects not only capital but also a profound sense of legitimacy, while positive funding rates reflect a confident and sustained bullish sentiment among active traders. While the path ahead will undoubtedly feature volatility – a characteristic inherent to Bitcoin's journey – the current alignment of technical indicators, institutional adoption, strong market sentiment, and a compelling fundamental narrative suggests that Bitcoin bears may indeed be losing out, and significantly so. The stage appears set for Bitcoin to not only challenge its previous highs but to potentially embark on a new, exhilarating phase of growth and adoption, further solidifying its role in the evolving global financial order.
BLong
by bryandowningqln
BTC Crossroads: Will Tariff News Trigger a Counter-Trend Move?Given the recent easing of US-China tariff tensions, Bitcoin may consolidate or experience a slight pullback as capital rotates into equities. The resulting strength in the US dollar could further contribute to a Bitcoin retracement. I'm watching for a potential counter-trend setup, specifically a short entry on a break of market structure. However, this scenario is contingent on the price action unfolding as described in the video; otherwise, the idea will be invalidated. Not financial advice.
by fxtraderanthony
4
#BTC/USDT Bullish Crossover in Play!CRYPTOCAP:BTC Update: Bitcoin is currently holding support and showing signs of strength with a bullish EMA crossover — the 50 EMA crossing above the 100 EMA, which historically signals upward momentum based on past fractals. The lower support zone is marked in blue, in case the price dips further. Immediate resistance remains at the GETTEX:98K level — a confirmed close above this could trigger a move toward $103K. Stay tuned for more real-time updates. Do hit the like button if you like it, and share your views in the comments section. Thank you
Long
by Cryptorphic
3
SHARE THE IDEA ABOUT BTCUSD BEARISH PATTERNCurrent Market Overview: Price Action: Bitcoin has rallied approximately 40% from its April lows, reaching a high near $105,525 today. Support Levels: Key support is identified around $100,000, with additional support near $92,000. Resistance Levels: Immediate resistance is observed around $107,000, with a potential upside target near $120,000 if bullish momentum continues. Bearish Pattern Analysis: While the broader trend remains bullish, certain patterns indicate possible short-term bearish movements: Head and Shoulders Formation: Some analysts have noted a potential head and shoulders pattern forming, which could signal a reversal if confirmed. Momentum Indicators: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is above 70, suggesting overbought conditions that might precede a pullback.
Short
by Zickey_11
3
DeGRAM | BTCUSD ended the period below 100k?📊 Technical Analysis ● Price rocketed out of the $91 300 demand zone, snapping the 6‑month descending trend and converting the $99 500 former cap into support. ● A tight bull pennant is forming just above that level; a decisive break targets the marked resistance level/supply band at $108 000. Long bias void below $93 300. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● U.S. Treasury’s plan to boost quarterly bill issuance is flattening real yields and lifting non‑yielding assets. ● Hong Kong’s new spot‑BTC ETFs amassed >$500 M AUM in two weeks, signalling fresh Asia‑Pacific demand and tightening offshore float. ✨ Summary Pennant continuation above new support and expanding Asian ETF inflows argue for a push from $99.5 K to $108 K; protect longs if price closes under $93.3 K. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
3
DeGRAM | BTCUSD held the support📊 Technical Analysis ● BTC is holding a well‑defined rising channel; the latest dip rebounded off the mid‑line/101 K zone (labelled “optimal buying”). ● A compact bull flag within that zone implies continuation toward the channel’s ceiling and the 108 K supply band. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Hong Kong spot‑BTC ETFs logged five consecutive inflow sessions, lifting combined AUM above $650 M and reducing tradable supply. ● US retail‑sales miss and dovish Fed commentary weighed on the dollar, improving risk appetite for crypto. ✨ Summary Channel mid‑line defence, steady HK ETF demand and a softer USD support a long view: accumulate 101‑102 K, target 104.5 K → 108 K, cut if price closes below 97.4 K. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
1
$BTC go to 142000🪙 Bitcoin Analysis - Daily Timeframe 🚀 Entry Point: The ideal buy entry is at $96,302, where we have a confluence of the 0.618 Fibonacci level, FVG, and a Breaker Block. This zone could trigger buy orders and potentially push Bitcoin towards the first target at its previous all-time high of $109,000, and ultimately to the final target at $142,650. 🔴 Critical Support: The current support level is $93,947. If a daily candle closes below this level, a bearish structure will form, opening the door for further decline to the next support at $85,000. 💡 Trading Signal: ❤️ Buy Limit: $96,302 Stop Loss: $93,347 Take Profit Targets: $109,000 - $142,000 🔵 Risk Management: Risk only 1% of your capital in this trade. Adjust margin size so that in case the stop loss is hit, your account loss will not exceed 1%. This is a Swing Trade setup. Stay disciplined and manage your risk effectively. ✅
Long
by ScorpionX_Co
CME & Deribit Insights:Smart Money Takes Profits Ahead of ExpiryCME session update. 115 000$ partially closed just closed right before the price drop — someone had a piece of their options portfolio at 115,000 strike level already squared away. Safe to say it was an experienced player who got out near the top 💡 The good news: "he" still have about 2/3 of the portfolio open at that 115K strike. The bad news: nothing’s happened yet … But here’s what Deribit is showing us...... 👀 Observation : In the May 30 options series, the highest trading volume is concentrated between 110,000–120,000 strike levels — which makes sense given the current underlying price. But here’s the twist: this isn’t so much new positioning as it is existing players selling off . Yep — those moves were definitely noticed. Some traders are locking in profits, even though we’re still 17 days out from expiry . Overall, classic playbook: Smart money lightens the load , while the not-so-smart money tries to pick up the pieces. (Though let’s be honest — there’s way less "dumb money" in options than in spot markets 😉) 💡 Sentiment remains Bullish, but correction is prevailing at the moment! 🎯 No Valuable Data, No Edge!
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by ClashChartsTeam
(BTC/USD) Short Trade Setup: Key Resistance Rejection with Targe1. Entry Point: 104,855 This is where the trader plans to enter a short position (sell). Price is slightly below this level at the moment (103,775). 2. Stop-Loss Zone: ~104,807 Highlighted in purple above the entry. Indicates where the trader will exit if the market moves against them to limit losses. 3. Resistance Point: 103,086 This level has been tested multiple times and may act as a ceiling for prices. If broken and held, it might invalidate the short setup. 4. Target Point: 93,159 This is the take-profit level for the short trade. Represents a drop of approximately -10.76% from the entry point. 5. Trend Analysis: The chart shows an uptrend leading into a potential distribution or topping pattern near the resistance zone. A potential bearish move is anticipated, hence the short strategy. 6. Support Zones: Highlighted in purple near the target area (around 93,159). Historically strong buying areas. Interpretation: The trader expects the current resistance level to hold, prompting a downward correction toward the target zone at 93,159. If price moves above 104,807, the setup is invalidated, hence the stop-loss placement.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE
8
Bitcoin blows up the market: $100,000 broken.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) surged past the key $100,000 mark again on Thursday, May 8, 2025 — for the first time since February this year. During the day, BTC traded between $101,500 and $102,700, posting a daily gain of around 5.3%. Its market capitalization exceeded $2 trillion. Why Bitcoin is back at $100K — and what’s driving it higher: Macro tailwinds: Growing expectations of Fed rate cuts , reinforced by Donald Trump’s calls for lower interest rates, have fueled risk appetite across markets — Bitcoin included. US – UK trade deal hype : Hints of a potential trade agreement between the US and the UK announced by President Trump added a major boost to market sentiment, sparking a rally. Institutional demand : Massive inflows into US spot Bitcoin ETFs continue. Over $1.8 billion flowed in last week alone, with some sources reporting $2.68 billion by Thursday — the largest weekly inflow since mid-December 2024. Companies like MicroStrategy are leading the charge with more BTC purchases. Weaker dollar & falling bond yields : These trends have enhanced Bitcoin’s appeal as a hedge. Market sentiment & BTC dominance : Breaking above $100K triggered optimism and possible FOMO (fear of missing out). Bitcoin’s market dominance now exceeds 60%, the highest since early 2021, reflecting investor preference for BTC over altcoins in the current phase. The appointment of Paul Atkins as SEC Chair , along with a softer US regulatory stance and Arizona’s new pro-crypto law, are setting the stage for continued growth. FreshForex analysts note that the current rally is mainly driven by institutional players, while retail investors have yet to fully engage.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Update! $BTC range Bound... Consolidation? Breakout? Breakdown? CRYPTOCAP:BTC appears to have formed a range: between approximately between 76800 and 104,300 Current price: 104300 Here are the key observations: Key resistance zone is around 104300 - Price has tested this level multiple times but failed to close above it decisively. Clear to say that A break above which will lead to All time highs possibly up to 135k If #BTC Bitcoin continues to reject this level then expect these layers of support to be tested: 97700 and then 91100 CRYPTOCAP:BTC remains bullish if prices remains above 91100. Further break down will lead to bottom of range 84100 and 76800 (coinciding with 200 EMA ) Trading Implications: For Longs: Avoid new positions unless there's a breakout with volume above $105,000. For Shorts: This is a possible scalp opportunity near the top of the range, with a stop slightly above $105,000. Not financial Advice!
by Ifiok-2sydes
BTCUSDTHello everyone. Wishing you all a great weekend! Just because the FX market is closed today doesn't mean we should stay away from trading in the crypto markets. That’s why I’ve activated a Buy trade on BTCUSDT and wanted to share it with you as well: 🔍 Criteria: ✔️ Timeframe: 15M ✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:1.50 ✔️ Trade Direction: Buy ✔️ Entry Price: 103974.98 ✔️ Take Profit: 104442.64 ✔️ Stop Loss: 103662.77 🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. It's a trade I’m taking based on my own system, shared purely for educational purposes. 📌 If you're also interested in systematic and data-driven trading strategies: 💡 Don’t forget to follow the page and subscribe to stay updated on future analyses.
Long
by Nurlan_PT