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Btcusdanalysis

#BTC is stuck but Here's the simplified Plan!Bitcoin is currently trading between key levels: Upper resistance: 93700 Lower support: 91670 We are stuck in this range, and a breakout above or below these levels will confirm the next move in the trend. Right now, Bitcoin is holding the 50 EMA on the 30-minute chart. As long as this support holds, we could see a move towards 95k, after which we will reassess the chart. Here are two possible scenarios if we hit 95,700 again: We break above and target 100k We face rejection and correct back to 88k. While this wouldn’t be a large correction, it could offer a very opportunistic entry point. I’ll be sharing more insights and updates as the chart unfolds. Follow me on all my socials (link in bio). Drop your thoughts in the comment section and hit the like button if this is useful. Thank you #PEACE
Long
by Cryptorphic
4
DeGRAM | BTCUSD Flipped the Resistance Zone📊 Technical Analysis BTC holds the reclaimed 90-91k zone; staying > $91 500 keeps 98k then 108k in view. 💡 Fundamental Analysis • Spot ETFs drew $381 M (21 Apr), $936 M (22 Apr) and $912 M (23 Apr) net inflows. • Network hashrate hovers near the 1 000 EH/s ATH • MicroStrategy lifted its stack to 461k BTC after a fresh 11k buy. ✨ Summary Strong, accelerating ETF demand, shrinking liquid supply and ongoing corporate accumulation reinforce the bullish breakout, favouring a climb to 98-100 k while BTC holds above $91 500. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
2
BTC/USD) Trend channel analysis setup Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update technical analysis of Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe. It showcases a potential breakout continuation vs. pullback scenario, depending on how price reacts around a key short-term resistance area. --- Key Observations: 1. Current Price: $93,754 — Price is consolidating just below a local high. 2. Support and Resistance Zones: Support BOS (Break of Structure): Around the $87,351 level, highlighted in yellow. Upper Target Zone: $98,954–$98,983 200 EMA: Near $86,926, offering dynamic support. 3. Two Possible Scenarios: A. Bullish Continuation: If the price holds above the immediate structure and breaks out of the short-term consolidation near the top: It may surge toward the upper target zone ($98,983). This aligns with the ascending channel and continuation pattern. B. Bearish Pullback: If the price fails to sustain above the resistance area: A correction down to the support BOS zone (~$87,351) is likely. This pullback may be temporary, potentially offering a re-entry zone for bulls. 4. RSI Analysis (Bottom of Chart): RSI is showing signs of bearish divergence (price making higher highs while RSI makes lower highs). This suggests momentum is weakening, and a short-term pullback could occur. --- Trade Ideas: Long Setup (Breakout): Entry: Above recent high (~$94,500). Target: ~$98,950 Stop Loss: Below ~$92,000 Short Setup (Rejection): Entry: Rejection near ~$94,000–$94,500 Target: ~$87,350 Stop Loss: Above ~$94,800 Mr SMC Trading point --- Summary: This analysis reflects a critical decision point for BTC/USD. Price is nearing a local high with RSI divergence suggesting a pullback may come first — but if buyers remain strong and break resistance, a continuation toward GETTEX:98K is likely. Wait for confirmation of direction before entering. Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by SMC-Trading-Point
6
BTC Bitcoin Trade plan 24/4/2025BTC/USD Trading Outlook: Key Resistance Levels: $95,000 and $97,000 Channel Support Level: $92,000 Support Zone: $86,000 Market Scenarios: Bearish Scenario: If BTC fails to break above the resistance at $95,000–$97,000 and drops below the $92,000 channel support, it could trigger a sell-off. Sell Targets: Target 1: $90,000 Target 2: $88,000 Watch for further support around $86,000. Bullish Scenario: If BTC holds above $92,000 and breaks through the $95,000–$97,000 resistance zone, it may resume its upward trend. Buy Target: $97,000 (with potential to extend higher if momentum continues)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by XAUUSD-Trade-ideas
1
Bitcoin Pullback or Opportunity📊 Bitcoin Analysis – Pullback or Opportunity? CRYPTOCAP:BTC hit strong resistance at 94,000 $ failed to push higher, entering a correction phase 📉. Key support zones now lie at 91,200 $ 87,500 $ , both of which have shown solid reactions in the past 🛡️. If price holds one of these levels, the next target could be around 98,500 $based on the previous move’s momentum 🚀. 📌 Price is still holding above the 200 MA, suggesting bullish momentum is alive but needs further confirmation ✅. 👇 What’s your take on the next move? 🔁 Save this if you're watching the next targets 📩 Share with a friend who's trading BTC right now
Long
by EhsanZeydabadi
BTC-----Sell around 92600 area, target 91800-91500 areaTechnical analysis of BTC contract on April 24: Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a small positive line yesterday, the K-line pattern continued to rise, the price was at a high level, and the attached indicator was running in a golden cross. The general trend is still rising, but after yesterday's price surged, it did not continue this morning but began to retreat under pressure. This is a correction. The four-hour chart K-line continued to be negative, and the price was near the moving average pressure level. In this way, the decline should be seen first during the day. The short-cycle hourly chart started from yesterday's European session. The price continued to fluctuate at a high level. The price began to retreat under pressure in Asian time. The current K-line pattern is a single positive line with a continuous negative line, and the attached indicator is running in a dead cross, and the strength of the four-hour chart has not yet come out. Today's BTC short-term contract trading strategy: sell directly at the current price of 92600, stop loss in the 93100 area, and target the 91800-91500 area;
Short
by Toml1314
BTC on the verge of another accumulation range breakoutMorning all! So its time for a proper set of markups having spent the last few months breaking down the charts in video format for you all. The last BTC update I gave was on 24/03, in the 4 year cycle analysis breakdown. In that video i was expecting lower pricing into SSL and the range lows once more, forming a bottoming structure before seeing a HTF bullish reversal come through, aligning with the 4 year cycle where we have time to continue higher based on past cycle data and where we are in the current cycle. A month later and we have seen that come through wonderfully after the sweep of the range lows and its time to reanalyse now the direction is changing.... BTC has formed another accumulation range down in these discounted levels over the last couple months and there was nothing really interesting taking shape until the last couple of days thats give us some real confirmation of a trend change in this accumulation range that we can now work with. Unlike the August 2024 bottom, there isnt a massive influx of volume on the sweep event. I was able to call the bottom after such a sweep and high volume event back then just days after but in this most recent range we havent seen volume like back in August 2024, so ive had to be more cautious of further downside until we get some market shift confirmations to confirm intent and be on the safer side here whilst still holding my HTF bias of new ATHs before cycle end. As shown on the charts, ive marked up the range and stages. We have carried out the sellers climax event, forming the range low, into the automatic rally (AR) forming the range high, moving into the secondary test (ST) with a failure swing back to the lows which forms the secondary test in phase B. From there we continued to range before putting in another range low deviation in the Spring event, with tests of the range low before seeing this explosive move come through from the spring event back to the range highs. Volume also supports price action with a high influx of volume on the sellers climax low, stopping the prior trend, decreasing volume in the range into supply with a further increase in buyer volume as we deviate the lows in the spring event. We have also broke structure bullish in the range and formed a HH, with a HL yet to be formed.... **So whats next? ** It seems a lot more clear now after the last couple days, and also confirms intent behind the range and i think its safe to say we have formed a bottom here and my focus is now on the upside on BTC from here. After this range high deviation into supply, in this new HH, i wouldn't be surprised to see BTC pull back to the midpoint of the range between $84,000 - $76,500, back into demand and form a last point of support/demand in the accumulation range forming a HL, before another leg higher as shown. With how price has set up, with the demand left behind in the range and the bullish intent, my focus is on BTC forming a HL from demand before a continuation higher in line with my HTF bias that we will see new ATHs again before the cycle end. This is also supported in what im seeing on USDT.D and USDC.D where they are distributing in their ranges in supply with breakdowns in both and moving to a bearish trend. Therefore, when price corrects into these levels i will be looking to allocate risk into the market during the discount of the HL and I will be looking for my buys on DOGE and any other opportunities, where im expecting higher lows in the market before continuations higher across the board. This doesnt mean everything though as many alts are yet to catch up and flip bullish, so my focus will be on the higher quality, stronger coins such as DOGE, but i expect the rest of the market to catch up eventually as BTC runs higher from these lows. 1D: 3D: 1W: 1M:
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by marshyyy
BTC TO THE MOON! or no?)I am closely analyzing Bitcoin’s (BTC) recent price action following its decisive break above the critical $88,700 resistance level. This breakout has shifted market dynamics, and several scenarios now appear plausible based on current structure and momentum: Pullback and Continuation: BTC may experience a corrective move back to the $88,000–$89,000 zone, likely retesting the breakout level as support. For this bullish scenario to remain valid, BTC must reclaim and close above the prior monthly high (PMH) by the end of the current monthly candle, signaling strong buyer commitment and paving the way for further upside. Immediate Advance with Later Correction: Alternatively, BTC could continue its ascent toward the PMH, potentially encountering resistance at this key level. A rejection here might trigger a retracement to the $88,000–$89,000 range, where buyers could step in to defend the newly established support. Bearish Breakdown: Should BTC fail to hold above $88,000, a breakdown below this level could accelerate selling pressure, targeting the $83,000 region. Such a move would likely liquidate a significant number of leveraged long positions, amplifying volatility and potentially resetting the market for a deeper correction. At the time of this analysis, BTC is trading at approximately $91,234, with a 24-hour high of $91,898 and a low of $90,123 as of April 24, 2025, reflecting heightened volatility post-breakout. Traders should monitor price action around the aforementioned levels, particularly the $88,000–$89,000 zone and the PMH, as these will be critical in determining the next directional move. Risk management remains paramount in this high-probability setup.
Long
by Almenio
Bitcoin (BTC) $95K Target? ETF Inflows & Supply Shock Key Signal Bitcoin Flashes Bullish Signals: Record ETF Flows and Supply Shock Fuel $95K Target Hopes Bitcoin, the original cryptocurrency, is demonstrating renewed vigor, capturing investor attention with a confluence of bullish indicators. After a period of consolidation and sideways movement following its all-time high earlier this year, recent data suggests underlying strength is building. Significant inflows into U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs, a tightening supply on exchanges, strong relative performance against traditional markets, and key technical levels being tested are painting a picture that has analysts eyeing the next major psychological and technical hurdle: $95,000. ETF Demand Roars Back: A Sign of Renewed Institutional Appetite One of the most significant developments fueling recent optimism is the resurgence of demand for U.S.-based spot Bitcoin Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs). Launched in January 2024, these products marked a watershed moment, providing traditional investors with regulated and accessible exposure to Bitcoin. After an initial explosive launch, inflows moderated. However, recent weeks have seen a dramatic turnaround. Reports indicate that these ETFs recently experienced their largest single-day net inflows since their early days in January, signaling a powerful return of institutional and potentially broader retail interest. This influx of capital into regulated vehicles is crucial. It represents sticky, long-term demand rather than just short-term speculative trading. Each dollar flowing into these ETFs effectively removes Bitcoin from the readily available market supply, contributing to a potential supply squeeze. This sustained demand has also propelled Bitcoin's overall market capitalization significantly. While direct comparisons fluctuate daily and depend on methodology (e.g., including gold, different equity classes), Bitcoin's market cap has grown to rival that of major global corporations and even some traditional asset classes. Its ascent up the ranks of the world's largest assets underscores its growing acceptance and integration into the broader financial landscape. While claiming a specific rank like "5th largest" can be debated based on what's included, there's no denying Bitcoin is now a multi-trillion dollar asset class demanding attention. The Supply Squeeze: Coins Vanish from Exchanges Complementing the demand surge is a notable trend on the supply side: Bitcoin reserves held on cryptocurrency exchanges are dwindling rapidly. Data reveals that the amount of BTC available for immediate sale on major trading platforms has plummeted to levels not seen since November 2018. This marks a multi-year low, indicating a strong preference among holders to move their coins into self-custody or long-term storage solutions, rather than keeping them poised for sale. What's driving this exodus from exchanges? Analysts point to several factors, including the aforementioned ETF accumulation, where authorized participants acquire Bitcoin on the open market to meet ETF share creation demand. Furthermore, there's growing anecdotal and on-chain evidence suggesting accumulation by long-term holders ("HODLers") and potentially public companies adding Bitcoin to their balance sheets. While large-scale corporate buying sprees like MicroStrategy's haven't been widely replicated across the board, the cumulative effect of sustained institutional buying (via ETFs) and dedicated HODLers consistently pulling supply off exchanges creates a powerful dynamic. Lower exchange reserves typically correlate with reduced selling pressure. When less Bitcoin is readily available to be sold, even moderate increases in demand can have an outsized impact on price. This scarcity factor is a core tenet of Bitcoin's value proposition, underpinned by its fixed supply cap of 21 million coins, and the current trend highlights this dynamic in action. Relative Strength: The "Cleanest Shirt in the Dirty Laundry" Bitcoin's recent performance also stands out when compared to traditional financial markets. Over the past 30 days (as per the provided context), Bitcoin has posted significant gains (e.g., +7.68%), while major equity indices like the S&P 500 and the tech-heavy Nasdaq have experienced notable pullbacks (e.g., -6.79% and -8.14%, respectively). This divergence has led some commentators to describe Bitcoin as the "cleanest shirt in the dirty laundry pile." In times of macroeconomic uncertainty, geopolitical tension, or wavering confidence in traditional financial systems, Bitcoin can attract capital seeking alternatives or hedges. While its correlation with risk assets like tech stocks has often been high, periods of decoupling, like the one observed recently, suggest investors may increasingly view Bitcoin through a different lens – perhaps as a non-sovereign store of value or a bet on future technological disruption, rather than just another high-beta risk asset. This relative outperformance can attract momentum traders and further bolster positive sentiment. Technical Hurdles: The Road to $95K From a technical analysis perspective, Bitcoin's price action is generating significant discussion. One key metric analysts watch is the "realized price," particularly for short-term holders (investors who acquired BTC relatively recently). When the market price surpasses the average acquisition cost of these recent buyers, it can signal a shift in market psychology. Those who bought recently are now in profit, potentially reducing sell pressure and encouraging further buying. Bitcoin recently surpassed this level, leading to speculation about whether this marks the beginning of a sustained rally or potentially sets up a "double top" scenario – a bearish pattern where an asset fails twice to break above a certain resistance level. Analysts are closely watching specific price levels. There appears to be a consensus around a key resistance zone that, if decisively reclaimed and held, could signal that "all bets are off" for the bears, potentially opening the door for a significant upward move. Conversely, failure to break through these levels, or a strong rejection from them, could lead to a pullback, validating the warnings from more cautious analysts. The $95,000 mark looms large as the next major psychological and potential technical resistance area should the current momentum continue and key lower resistance levels be overcome. Reaching this target would likely require a confluence of the factors already discussed: continued strong ETF inflows, further depletion of exchange supply, supportive macroeconomic conditions (or continued relative strength despite macro headwinds), and a decisive break through established technical resistance zones. What Triggers the Breakout? Achieving a breakout towards $95,000 isn't guaranteed and likely requires several catalysts: 1. Sustained ETF Demand: Continued, consistent net inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs are paramount to absorb supply and signal ongoing institutional conviction. 2. Supply Shock Intensification: If exchange reserves continue to fall sharply, the scarcity narrative strengthens, potentially triggering FOMO (Fear Of Missing Out) buying. 3. Macroeconomic Shifts: A dovish pivot from central banks, renewed inflation fears driving demand for hard assets, or further instability in traditional markets could push more capital towards Bitcoin. 4. Technical Confirmation: A convincing break and hold above currently watched resistance levels would give technical traders confidence and potentially trigger algorithmic buying. 5. Positive Regulatory Developments: While the ETFs were a major step, further regulatory clarity or positive developments globally could reduce perceived risk. Conclusion: Optimism Tempered with Caution The current Bitcoin landscape presents a compelling bullish case. Resurgent ETF demand, dwindling exchange supply creating a scarcity effect, and strong relative performance against traditional assets paint an optimistic picture. Technical indicators, such as surpassing the realized price of recent buyers, add fuel to the fire, bringing targets like $95,000 into the conversation. However, caution remains warranted. Bitcoin is notoriously volatile, and technical resistance levels often prove formidable. The risk of a "double top" or rejection at key levels is real, and regulatory headwinds or negative macroeconomic shifts could quickly alter sentiment. While the confluence of positive factors is undeniable and the path towards $95,000 seems plausible given the current dynamics, investors will be keenly watching whether ETF flows remain strong, supply continues to tighten, and crucial technical levels can be decisively overcome. The interplay between institutional adoption, HODLer conviction, and market technicals will ultimately determine if Bitcoin can conquer its next major milestone.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
BTC/USD Swing Trade – Ride the Rebound Before the Next Breakout🚀Bitcoin just reminded the world who’s boss. After brushing up against $94K, it’s taking a breath—and for swing traders, that’s the moment to load the slingshot. We’re not chasing green candles. We’re positioning at smart levels that offer real upside when the next wave kicks off. With institutional flows increasing and volatility offering cleaner setups, the chart tells a story of momentum with room to reload. 📥 Strategic Entry Zones: $87,000 – Current support just below recent highs; ideal for an early swing $77,000 – Mid-range pullback and psychological threshold $62,000 – The ultimate opportunity zone if volatility spikes hard 🎯 Profit Targets: $100,000 – A clean round number and breakout point $105,000 – Stretch target aligned with macro bullish continuation $115,000+ – Ambitious but not impossible—especially if halving hype and ETF flows stay strong This isn’t just about price—it’s about timing, conviction, and being ready while others hesitate. Remember, Bitcoin doesn't whisper when it moves... it roars. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency trading carries significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Always do your own research and consider speaking with a licensed financial advisor before making trading decisions.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by Robert_V12
BTC NEXT MOVE ANALYSIS Bitcoin is showing strong bullish momentum, with a potential pullback setup forming. We are currently watching the $93,300 zone for short term reaction, but our primary interest lies lower. A buy limit is planned at $90,500, aligning with a high-probability demand zone and market structure support. This area could provide an optimal entry for a continued push toward the draw of liquidity near $96,500. Stay patient any dip toward this zone is a buying opportunity. Setup is valid unless price closes below $90,000. Stay Tuned For More 🤝🎖️🫡
BINANCE:BTCUSD.PLong
by wolfchemist
1
BTC | Bitcoin CURRENT CANDLE | NEW ATH or 70kThe previous weekly candle seemed unable to make a higher high after retesting the support at 76K. However, today's bullish impulse has suddenly shocked right through two resistance zones, with the price now trading just above 90k. If we can successfully CLOSE the weekly candle above 91K, it's likely that BTC is in for a new ATH which would mean ETH will also reach a new ATH, and then altseason will commence 🥳 Watch the following and make sure you are prepared for ALTSEAON: ___________________ BINANCE:BTCUSDT
by CryptoCheck-
BTC/USD 1H – Bullish Breakout with FVG Entry & $91K TargetChart Breakdown: 📈 Trend Structure: BTC is moving in an ascending channel with: 🔵 Resistance Line on top 🟢 Support Line below 🔁 Recently, it broke out above the resistance with a bullish move! Key Zones & Levels: 🟦 Fair Value Gap (FVG) This is your potential buy zone: ✅ Entry Point: $86,135 ❌ Stop Loss: $85,098 🎯 Target: $91,000 📌 Plan: Wait for price to retrace into the FVG zone Look for a bullish bounce ✅ Enter long at $86,135 Set your SL and target accordingly Risk-Reward Setup: Risk: Small (below FVG zone) ❗ Reward: Big upside toward $91,000 🚀 Gain Potential: +5.74% ($4,948 per BTC) Visual Flow: 1️⃣ Price breaks resistance 🔼 2️⃣ Pullback expected to FVG 🔽 3️⃣ Entry triggers around $86,135 4️⃣ Targeting moon shot to $91K 🌕 Conclusion: This setup shows a bullish continuation with solid RR. If BTC holds the FVG on a retest, the move to $91K looks likely!
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Jameshead007
4
BTC/USD) breakout up trand analysis Read The ChaptianMr SMC Trading point update bullish analysis of Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on the 4-hour timeframe, showing a potential breakout and rally scenario. breakdown: --- 1. Market Structure: Downtrend Channel: Price has been moving within a falling channel. Double Bottom Pattern: Marked by two green arrows — a bullish reversal signal. Breakout Attempt: Price is testing the upper trendline and 200 EMA (~$83,952), suggesting possible breakout. --- 2. Key Zones: FVG (Fair Value Gap): Around $78,678 — a demand zone where price could retest before moving higher. Breakout Confirmation Zone: ~$85,130 — breaking above this with volume signals strength. Target Point: $95,206 — an upside target projecting ~31.77% gain from the breakout. --- 3. Indicators: 200 EMA: Currently acting as resistance. Break above it confirms bullish momentum. RSI: Around 60 — pointing upward with bullish divergence from recent lows, showing increasing buying pressure. --- 4. Scenarios: Scenario 1 (Bullish Continuation): Breaks above trendline and 200 EMA. Retest (optional) and then heads toward $95,206 target. Scenario 2 (Retest First): Price dips into the FVG/demand zone. Finds support and launches upwards, confirming a strong base. Mr SMC Trading point --- Summary of the Idea: This is a buy setup on breakout or on pullback: Aggressive Entry: Break and close above $85,130. Safe Entry: Pullback into $78,678 area (FVG). Target: $95,206 Risk Zone: Below $78,000 (invalidates bullish structure). Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by SMC-Trading-Point
9
(BTC/USD)1H Chart Analysis –Bullish Breakout Setup Toward 98,000Technical Breakdown: 🔹 EMA 9 📉 Orange line (EMA 9 close): $93,233.68 ➡️ Price is above EMA, showing bullish strength. 📦 RBR Zone (Rally-Base-Rally) 🔵 Zone: ~$92,000 - $93,000 🛡️ Acts as a support area — price could bounce here if it dips. 🚧 Resistance Zone 📍 Just above current price 📈 A breakout above this zone may trigger a bullish run. 🎯 Target Point: $98,000 🚀 Potential gain: +7.09% 📊 Strong upside target if breakout holds. 🛑 Stop Loss: $90,314.13 ⚠️ Placed just below the RBR zone to minimize risk. Trade Idea Summary: 🔽 Entry: On breakout above resistance 🎯 Target: $98,000 🛑 Stop Loss: $90,314.13 📈 R:R Ratio looks favorable
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Jameshead007
2
DeGRAM | BTCUSD Holds the Support Line📊 Technical Analysis Price has broken the long‑term down‑trend and flipped the 84‑85 k supply zone into support; holding >83 k unlocks 92 k then 100 k. 💡 Fundamental Analysis BlackRock’s IBIT pulled in $186 M net inflows last week. Spot‑ETF flows remain positive, even at 2025’s weekly low. MicroStrategy bought 6 556 BTC at $84.8 k, giving 13 k+ institutions indirect exposure. Network hashrate hit a record >920 EH/s and topped 1 124 EH/s earlier this month. ✨ Summary A confirmed breakout, resilient ETF demand, corporate accumulation and record network strength align for a push toward 92–100 k. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
5
BTCUSD – Double Top Reversal Setup with Bearish TargetsBased on the BTC/USD 4H chart you shared, here’s a detailed breakdown of the technical analysis: --- 🟠 Pattern & Setup - Double Top Formation: Clearly highlighted at the recent highs, signaling potential bearish reversal. This is a classic sign of buyers losing steam near a resistance level. - Rejection Arrows: Indicate strong resistance where price failed to break higher, adding confluence to the reversal idea. --- 🔻 Sell Bias & Confirmation - Sell Zone: Around the double top zone (~$93,700+), price is stalling and showing bearish pressure. -Bearish Arrow: Suggests a move downward is anticipated, likely toward the support zone and trendline confluence. --- 📉 Key Support Zone - Support Zone Highlighted: Around $88,000–$89,000, where previous structure and buying interest occurred. This is the first potential target for a bearish move. - Trendline Confluence: Also aligns with the support, adding strength to this level. If price breaks and closes below both, further downside could follow. --- ☁️ Ichimoku Cloud - Price is currently above the cloud**, indicating short-term bullish structure still intact. However, a break below the support + cloud would be a strong bearish signal. --- 🔑 What to Watch For - Bearish Confirmation: If the neckline of the double top breaks (around ~$92,250–$92,150), it could confirm the pattern and trigger the move toward support. - Invalidation: A breakout above the double top would invalidate this bearish setup and suggest continuation toward higher highs. --- ✅ Summary - Bias: Bearish (short-term) - Trigger: Break below ~$92,150 - Target 1: $88,000–$89,000 support zone - Trendline + Cloud support: Key areas to watch for either a bounce or further breakdown Sell Setup: Double Top Formation Entry Zone: Around 93,700 (top of the double top) --- Take Profit Levels: - TP1: 91,600 Just above the neckline for a safer partial exit. - TP2: 89,300 Aligns with the major support zone and previous consolidation area.* - TP3: 87,000 At the trendline + cloud support confluence — a strong area for a possible bounce.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by TRADE_CENTER_1
BTC Retrace or Rally? Bitcoin’s Liquidity Hunt & Next Move.Bitcoin BTC Analysis & Trade Idea 🚦 Market Context & Price Action Bitcoin has experienced a sharp rally, pushing into previous weekly and daily highs. This area is a classic liquidity pool, where buy stops from breakout traders and late longs are likely accumulating. The current price action is overextended, suggesting that the market may be primed for a retracement as smart money seeks to capture liquidity before the next directional move. 💧 Liquidity Pools & Wyckoff Concepts According to Wyckoff methodology, this phase resembles a "Buying Climax" (BC) where price surges into resistance, often followed by an "Automatic Reaction" (AR) and a potential "Secondary Test" (ST). The current rally into old highs is likely triggering buy stops, providing institutional players with ample liquidity to offload positions or engineer a shakeout. 🟢 Wyckoff Schematic: Buying Climax (BC) at current highs Anticipated Automatic Reaction (AR) as price retraces Look for a range to develop (potential Accumulation phase) near the 50% Fibonacci retracement 📉 Fibonacci Retracement & Trade Setup You’re eyeing the 50% retracement of the previous price range as a key level. This aligns with both technical and Wyckoff logic, as it’s a common area for price to find support after a liquidity grab. 🟢 Trade Plan: Wait for a retrace to the 50% Fibonacci level Observe for a range or consolidation (signs of absorption/accumulation) Look for a bullish break of market structure (BOS) as confirmation Enter long on confirmation, with stops below the range low 🌐 Fundamentals & Market Sentiment Currently, Bitcoin sentiment is mixed but leaning bullish due to recent ETF inflows, institutional adoption, and macroeconomic uncertainty (e.g., inflation, rate cut expectations). However, funding rates are elevated, and open interest is high, indicating potential for a shakeout as overleveraged longs are vulnerable. 🟢 Key Fundamentals: ETF inflows and institutional interest remain strong Macro uncertainty (Fed policy, inflation) supports long-term bullishness Short-term: Overheated sentiment and high leverage could trigger a corrective move 🧠 Sentiment & Risk Management Social media and crypto news outlets are buzzing with bullish narratives, but this euphoria often precedes a correction. Be patient and disciplined—wait for the retrace and confirmation before entering. 🟢 Risk Management: Only enter after clear accumulation and bullish BOS Use tight stops below the range Consider scaling in if the range develops with clear absorption 📈 Trade Idea Summary Wait for a retrace to the 50% Fibonacci level of the recent rally Look for Wyckoff-style accumulation and a bullish break of structure Enter long on confirmation, targeting new highs or the top of the previous range Manage risk with stops below the accumulation range Not financial advice!
by fxtraderanthony
1