BITCOIN GOLDEN ZONE RESISTANCE FOR NEXT LEG DOWNThis is continuation and update on my previous analysis on Bitcoin. As noted earlier Bitcoin found support on the weekly 21 EMA and has retrace to the golden fib zone. The overhead resistance on the weekly chart is still intact with the double tops shooting stars. The daily chart is presenting itself as the lower high at the golden fib zone. Indicators are also pointing to the lower side as there is no strength on RSI and MACD. From these signals I still expect BTC to sell off to the bearish targets with the initial target at $105,724. There is also the likelihood that price consolidates at this zone for a moment before the pullback.
The trade idea and plan will be invalidated if we get a candle open and close on the daily chart above the golden zone of about $118k.
Thanks for listening and reading my publications and please share your thought in the comments sections if you see otherwise or support the trade idea. Let beat the market together. Cheers!!!
Btcusdanalysis
BTC- MONEY ROTATIONMy #BTC outlook remains unchanged for now 👀📉
🔸 price is consolidating, while #alts , especially #memecoins hype are strong!
🔸 #BTC.D (dominance) could dip further to retest 56% and consolidate - classic signal of money rotation into #altcoins .
🔸 If BTC continues to range below $118,000- $120,000, a retest of key supports at $112,500, $112,000, and even $110,000 is likely.
⚠️ Watching for a strong move here: will BTC reclaim the highs… or give more room for alts to run wild?
Stay nimble, manage your risk, and don’t chase pumps!📊
Bitcoin - Final Pump Before the Crash?Bitcoin has historically followed a 4-year cycle pattern, driven by halving events. Each cycle usually plays out as ~3 years of bullish expansion from the bottom, followed by ~1 year of bearish correction.
Historically, every cycle peak of Bitcoin has aligned with Q3 and Q4 being bullish quarters, making the second half of the year the most critical period for cycle tops.
Key Observations from Previous Cycle Peaks:
🔶 2013 Peak:
- Q3: +40.6%
- Q4: +479.59%
Strong acceleration into year-end marked the cycle top.
🔶 2017 Peak:
- Q3: +80.41%
- Q4: +215.07%
A similar explosive move as Bitcoin entered the mania phase.
🔶 2021 Peak:
- Q3: +25.01%
- Q4: +5.45% .
🔶 Current Cycle (2025 Peak?):
- Q3 2025 is already up +8.23% with 15 days remaining until the quarter ends.
- If history repeats, Q4 could be the blow-off phase where Bitcoin accelerates sharply to its peak.
🔶 Potential 2025 Target:
Bitcoin’s Q4 2025 peak could realistically reach the $140K–$160K range before entering the next corrective phase.
Conclusion: If Bitcoin follows its established 4-year cycle structure, we could be entering the final bullish leg of this cycle. History suggests Q3 and Q4 have the highest probability of producing outsized gains, with Q4 especially aligning with cycle peaks.
Cheers
Hexa
BINANCE:BTCUSDT CRYPTOCAP:BTC BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDC
2-Month High Bitcoin Accumulation Could Push Price To $120,000Bitcoin is trading at $116,027, maintaining steady gains since the start of the month. The crypto king is now facing resistance at $117,261, a key level that has kept upward progress capped in recent sessions. Breaking this barrier will be crucial for Bitcoin’s next move.
If Bitcoin manages to breach and flip $117,261 into support, it could rally toward $120,000 in the coming days. Strong buying pressure and favorable momentum indicators make this outcome highly plausible.
However, a loss of momentum could bring renewed selling pressure. Should BTC fall through the $115,000 support, the price risks slipping to $112,500, invalidating the bullish outlook.
Bitcoin Analysis –> The Critical Resistance ZoneHello guys!
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) has been moving within a well-defined ascending channel since early September, showing consistent higher lows and higher highs. Currently, price action is approaching a major resistance zone (highlighted in blue), around the $118,000 – $119,500 level.
----------Why the Blue Zone is Critical----------
This area has acted as a historical supply zone, where sellers have previously stepped in to push prices lower. It represents a significant hurdle for the bulls, and the next move from here could determine Bitcoin’s medium-term trajectory.
Bullish Scenario (Red Path):
If BTC breaks above the blue resistance area with strong momentum, it could confirm a breakout continuation. In this case, Bitcoin has the potential to test $120,000+ and eventually aim for new all-time highs (ATHs) within the ascending channel structure.
Bearish Scenario (Blue Path):
If the price fails to clear this resistance, a rejection could send BTC back to retest the channel’s lower boundary near $115,000–$114,500. Holding this support would be crucial to maintain the bullish structure. A breakdown from the channel would signal a potential trend reversal.
Key Levels to Watch
Resistance (Blue Zone): $118,000 – $119,500
Immediate Support: $115,000 – $114,500 (channel bottom)
Upside Target (if breakout succeeds): $124,000 – $125,000
Conclusion
The blue resistance zone is the make-or-break level for Bitcoin right now. A successful breakout could be the start of a new bullish leg toward ATH, while rejection here might trigger a healthy correction within the channel. Traders should closely monitor price action in this area before making directional decisions.
BTC/USDT Long Position – Clean R/R SetupThis chart represents a planned buy entry on BTC/USDT based on market structure and recent price action.
Entry Zone (Buy): 115,937.92
Take Profit (TP): 117,920.25
Stop Loss (SL): 115,023.24
The setup is built on a clear retracement entry, providing a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. Market recently showed a pullback after a drop, and this zone aligns with potential liquidity grab, making it a strong entry point for buyers.
📌 Plan:
Enter long around 115,937.92
Risk is strictly limited with SL below recent liquidity sweep at 115,023.24
Upside target is set at 117,920.25 for a clean R:R opportunity
This is a technical setup only, not financial advice. Always manage your own risk
BTC Bearish ScenarioPattern Recognition:
A Head and Shoulders (H&S) reversal structure formed on the daily chart. The 1:1 measured move target has already been achieved, confirming the pattern’s validity.
Confluence Zone:
That 1:1 target aligns closely with the 0.618 retracement of the previous down leg (124,610 → 107,211). This adds weight to the idea that the move is corrective in nature rather than a fresh bullish leg.
Market Structure:
Even though price rallied strongly, the bigger picture shows a lower low was created when the 112,017 support level was broken. This keeps the macro trend bearish until proven otherwise.
Bearish Scenario:
Price is currently respecting the rising trendline. A break below this trendline followed by a retest could trigger continuation to the downside. Potential supports to watch:
112,017 (previous broken support, could flip resistance).
110,681 / 109,363 (structural levels).
108,432 (major demand zone).
RSI:
Momentum has cooled off without reaching overbought levels, suggesting that upside pressure is weakening.
BITCOIN PREDICTION: THIS IS THE NEXT TARGET (scary) Yello Paradisers! Enjoy the video!
And Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable.
Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
Bitcoin Testing Resistance with Potential Pullback AheadKey observations:
Range Breakout: Earlier, Bitcoin broke out of a consolidation zone (marked box), which triggered the recent upward move.
Resistance Zone: Price is hovering near the 5.15%–5.42% gain zone, where selling pressure has historically emerged.
Pullback Signal: The drawn arrow suggests a possible rejection at this resistance, pointing to a corrective move down toward the 3% zone.
Momentum Check: If BTC fails to hold above this resistance, a retracement is likely. However, a strong breakout could open the door toward 6% gains.
Bitcoin slips as Fed resumes rate cuts, but Outlook stays neutraBitcoin slips as Fed resumes rate cuts, but Outlook stays neutral
Bitcoin prices edged lower Friday morning after the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 0.25% on Wednesday. The move initially pressured BTC as Chair Jerome Powell signaled a slower pace of easing than markets had expected. However, the crypto later rebounded as investors noted that further rate cuts remain on the table—generally supportive for risk assets. Still, Bitcoin’s upside was modest compared with stronger gains in some altcoins.
In terms of fundamentals, Bitcoin remains far from overheated. The Network Value to Transactions Golden Cross (NVT-GC), a key on-chain metric comparing market cap to transaction value, is currently in “neutral” territory.
Historically, negative NVT-GC readings—especially below -1.6—have preceded bullish moves, while values above 2.2 often signal reversals. The last major long signal appeared in July, when NVT-GC hit -2.8 before rebounding to 0.3.
Bitcoin Continues Uptrend as USD Weakens📊 Market Overview:
Bitcoin is currently trading around $117,117, maintaining its upward trend following the Federal Reserve's 0.25% rate cut to 4.0–4.25% and Chairman Jerome Powell's cautious signals on monetary policy. This has pressured the USD, providing support for Bitcoin.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: $117,900–$118,000
• Nearest Support: $116,700–$116,800
• EMA: Price is above the EMA 09, indicating an uptrend.
• Candlestick / Volume / Momentum: RSI at 58.07 suggests the market may be in a neutral state.
📌 Outlook:
Bitcoin may continue to rise in the short term if it holds above $116,700, with resistance at $117,900–$118,000.
________________________________________
💡 Proposed Trading Strategy:
SELL BTC/USD at: $117,900–$118,400
🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips
❌ SL: $119,000
BUY BTC/USD at: $116,500–$116,800
🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips
❌ SL: $116,200
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) -> MPL and QML AnalysisHello guys!
Let's analyze btc!
⚡ Trading Strategy
MPL Level: 115,000 should be tested before the price rises, so wait for confirmation here before entering long positions.
Target: The next major target for the uptrend is around 117,500.
--------------------
📈 Outlook
Bullish: If price holds above the QML, the bullish trend could continue towards 117,500.
Watch for Retest: Keep an eye on 115,000 for a possible retest before further upside.
Bitcoin Price Prediction: Will BTC Hit $119K Next?Bitcoin Price Prediction: Will BTC Hit $119K Next?
Bitcoin’s journey has been nothing less than a roller coaster, marked by dramatic rises and sharp falls. As of late, the cryptocurrency has seen fluctuations influenced heavily by broader economic signals, particularly the policy decisions from the United States Federal Reserve. The latest buzz in the crypto community revolves around whether Bitcoin can breach a new milestone of $119,000. This speculation is fueled by recent shifts in the market and macroeconomic policies that could either propel or hinder this ascent.
Current Market Overview
Key Resistance and the $118K Threshold
Bitcoin currently faces a significant resistance level at $118,000. This figure is not just a random high point; it represents a critical psychological and technical barrier. A break above this level could signal a strong bullish momentum, potentially setting the stage for reaching new heights. The resistance has formed due to various factors including profit-taking, historical resistance levels, and speculative trading behaviors.
The Role of the US Federal Reserve
The Federal Reserve's policies, particularly interest rate cuts, have a profound impact on investment in risk assets like cryptocurrencies. Lower interest rates generally decrease the yield on safer investments like bonds, making higher-risk investments more attractive. The anticipation around the Fed's decisions can lead to increased volatility in the Bitcoin market.
Liquidity and Market Sentiment
The liquidity in the Bitcoin market, evidenced by the influx of both buy and sell orders, plays a crucial role in its price movements. High liquidity leads to less price manipulation and more stability, whereas low liquidity can lead to higher volatility. Currently, the market is witnessing substantial liquidity, indicating active participation from both retail and institutional investors.
Factors Influencing Bitcoin's Price Trajectory
Institutional Adoption
One of the primary drivers behind Bitcoin’s potential rise to $119K is the increasing adoption by institutional investors. As more firms enter the market, their substantial buying power can significantly push the price upwards. This adoption also adds legitimacy to Bitcoin, encouraging more cautious investors to dip their toes in the crypto waters.
Technological Advances
Improvements in blockchain technology and the introduction of new features can also influence Bitcoin's price. For instance, enhancements in scalability and security can make Bitcoin more attractive to both investors and users.
Regulatory Environment
Regulations play a pivotal role in shaping the cryptocurrency landscape. Positive regulatory developments, or lack of negative ones, could boost investor confidence and push the price of Bitcoin higher.
Economic Indicators and Market Sentiments
Inflation and the Dollar Index
Inflation levels and the strength of the dollar also influence Bitcoin’s value. Typically, Bitcoin has been seen as a hedge against inflation. A weaker dollar often makes Bitcoin more attractive to international buyers, potentially pushing its price up.
Sentiment Analysis
Market sentiment, driven by news and social media, significantly impacts Bitcoin’s price. Positive news can lead to fear of missing out (FOMO), driving the price up, while negative news can trigger panic selling.
Technical Analysis and Future Predictions
Chart Patterns and Indicators
From a technical standpoint, Bitcoin has shown resilience by bouncing back from several corrections. The formation of a bullish flag pattern, combined with strong support levels being tested and held, suggests upward momentum.
Predictive Models
Various predictive models based on historical price data, market cycles, and external economic factors suggest a bullish outlook for Bitcoin. These models often incorporate elements like stock-to-flow ratios which have been historically accurate in predicting Bitcoin’s long-term price movements.
Expert Opinions
Many industry experts and analysts have weighed in on Bitcoin’s potential to hit $119K. While opinions vary, the prevailing sentiment is cautiously optimistic, contingent on market conditions and macroeconomic factors remaining favorable.
Conclusion
The question of whether Bitcoin will reach $119K is complex and laden with variables. Key factors include Federal Reserve policies, market liquidity, institutional investment, and broader economic indicators. While the short-term journey may be volatile, the long-term outlook for Bitcoin remains bullish, with many paths potentially leading to new all-time highs. As always in the crypto world, only time will tell, but the signs are promising for those betting on Bitcoin’s success.
Bitcoin Price Crosses $117,000 Post-Fed’s 35 bps Rate CutBitcoin is currently trading at $117,182, continuing its uptrend since the beginning of the month. The immediate challenge lies in flipping $117,261 into support, which would give the cryptocurrency the base it needs for further upside.
If successful, Bitcoin could target $120,000 as its next milestone. A breach and consolidation above that level could set the stage for further gains. This is likely, particularly if ETF inflows continue reinforcing investor confidence.
However, risks remain. Should selling pressure increase, Bitcoin may struggle to hold above key levels. A drop below $115,000 could open the door to a correction toward $112,500, invalidating the bullish thesis and cooling near-term momentum.
BTC Analysis — Long-Term Buy Zone AheadI'm watching $111,000 as a major buy zone on Bitcoin.
If price retraces to that level, I’ll be ready to enter a long position.
This is not a prediction — it’s a scenario.
Smart traders don’t guess, they prepare.
Let price come to your level. No chasing.
📍Set your alerts and stay patient.
#BTC/USDT - Are the bulls looking for a liquidity grab?#BTC
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest.
We have a bearish trend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, which supports the upward move.
There is a major support area in green at 115,000, which represents a strong support point.
We are heading for consolidation above the 100 moving average.
Entry price: 115,600.
First target: 116,215.
Second target: 117,000.
Third target: 117,900.
Don't forget a simple matter: capital management.
When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
Thank you.
BTCUSDT Long Aiming on 0.618FibBTCUSDT is positioned for a long move, targeting the 0.618 Fibonacci level, with potential extension toward the 0.7 level. With the anticipated U.S. rate cut announcement at market open, we expect a bullish bounce in crypto, followed by a possible short-term downtrend afterward.
BTC/USD Long Setup: RBR Zone Retest After Channel BreakoutTechnical Structure
Rising Channel (Highlighted in Red):
Price was moving within a bullish channel.
The channel was broken to the upside, indicating strong bullish momentum.
RBR Zone (Rally-Base-Rally):
A demand zone marked in red.
This area acts as a support zone where price is expected to bounce after a pullback.
It's the ideal entry area according to this strategy.
Current Price:
BTC/USD is trading around 117,910.63.
The price has just broken out of the channel and is expected to retest the RBR zone.
🎯 Trade Setup
Label Price Level Description
Entry Point 116,772.43 Ideal buy level after retest of RBR zone.
Stop Loss 116,077.82 Below the RBR zone. Gives room for a fakeout.
Target Point 120,013.92 Profit target based on the projected move.
📊 Risk to Reward Ratio (RRR)
Let's calculate the approximate Risk:Reward:
Risk: 116,772.43 - 116,077.82 = 694.61 points
Reward: 120,013.92 - 116,772.43 = 3,241.49 points
✅ Risk:Reward ≈ 1:4.67, which is excellent.
🔄 Expected Price Action
The chart suggests the following scenario:
Price breaks out of the bullish channel.
It retraces back into the RBR zone.
It finds support near the entry level.
A bounce follows, pushing BTC toward the target level of ~120,000.
📌 Summary
✅ Bullish setup after breakout from a rising channel.
✅ RBR demand zone suggests strong support at the entry.
✅ RRR is favorable (~1:4.67) — a good reward for the risk taken.
⚠️ Risk: If price drops below the stop loss zone, the trade idea is invalid.
ANFIBO | BTCUSD in my view todayHello guys! It's me, Anfibo.
Here is my Strategic and Market Sentiment Perspective :
I agree with the view that BITSTAMP:BTCUSD is currently in a compression phase. The market seems to be waiting for a catalyst (potentially economic data or macro news) to break out of this consolidation zone.
>>> Key observations:
Trading volume has shown signs of decline over the past few sessions, reflecting investor sentiment of waiting on the sidelines rather than taking strong action.
Funding rates and overall market sentiment remain positive but not overly euphoric, which is a healthy signal supporting the case for a sustainable upward move.
On the Daily timeframe, the primary trend remains bullish, and the current sideways movement appears to be a technical correction within the broader uptrend.
>>> Strategic approach for today:
> For short-term traders: consider accumulating small positions around the support levels of 115,200 – 114,400, with stop-loss orders set below 114,000 to manage downside risk.
> For medium-term investors: it is more prudent to wait for a confirmed breakout above the 117,000 – 118,000 resistance zone before scaling into larger positions, targeting the 120,000 – 123,000 levels.
Have a beautiful day!
What happened to the BTC pump? Been hearing about the BTC pump etc., but it was already priced in. Starting to cross key indicators DOWN. Now, we are seeing that the market has hit a ceiling and gravity is strong (correction). Wish all the crypto bros with lambos all the best, but it's going to cross 110k then 75k as whales leave and protect their liquidity (at least, what's left).






















