Bitcoin at Decision Point: Will BTC Break 112K?Bitcoin remains range-bound on the 4-hour chart. The bullish case depends on holding support near 110,920 and eventually reclaiming resistance around 112,170 to open the path higher toward 114,200 and beyond. On the downside, losing 110,920 would shift focus to the 109,800–108,600 area, and a break below there could expose deeper supports near 105,300–104,800.
The main bias is still for more upside, but confidence comes only if resistance is reclaimed and momentum shifts back in favor of the bulls.
Btcusdanalysis
Bitcoin Daily SMA UPDATE This daily chart uses the SMA, Simple Moving Average
Red = 50, Blue = 100, Green = 128, Yellow = 200
PA got rejected yesterday from its rise over the 100 SMA and is currently testing that as support on a Daily chart.
If that fails, we could see PA retreat down to around 108900, where we have the 128 SMA and the descending line of resistance.
This line has not been tested as support yet.
As we can see on the chart, if this rejection continues down past 107165, we will have printed a Lower high, pointing towards continued price drops. with the 200 SMA at 104348
The Daily MACD has reached up to its Signal line
This could also be a point of rejection, keep your eye on this
The 4 Hour BTC PA chart shows us more near term detail
PA is currently testing the 50 as support after getting rejected from the 128 and falling through the 100.
If this fails, we can see PA will bump into the trend line, around 108900 - 108500.
To many extents, this would be a good move providing we then found support and bounced higher as it would create a Higher Low.
The 4 hour MACD
MACD has turned down and heading towards its signal line.
This may offer support but it will continue down Bearish if PA does reach down to the trend line.
Note how the Histogram has descending sharply.
Today we must sit and wait
For me, I think we could see the 109k - 108k area tested at some point over the next few days.
Maybe sooner than later
$BTC bounced to the 112K zone as expected, with even a shotCRYPTOCAP:BTC bounced to the 112K zone as expected, with even a shot at 115K possible, but I’m still holding my short from 116K. If we revisit my entry area, I’ll look to add more. For now, I’m staying in the trade and will share updates if anything changes. Targets remain 100K → 95K → 90K.
Bitcoin – Between Equilibrium and Transcendence.⊣
⟁ BTC/USD – BINANCE – (CHART: 1M) – (Sep 03, 2025).
◇ Analysis Price: $111,148.95.
⊣
⨀ I. Temporal Axis – Strategic Interval – (1M):
▦ EMA90 – $44,745.16:
∴ Deep-cycle moving average, historically preserved through bull markets;
∴ Distance buffer ≈ +$66.40K (+59.7%) above EMA90;
∴ No tests since the 2020 breakout -> macro trend intact.
✴️ Conclusion: EMA90 = deep structural anchor (bullish fortress intact).
⊢
▦ SMA50 – $53,419.17:
∴ Primary macro floor for post-halving cycles;
∴ Price stands +$57.73K (+51.9%) above this line;
∴ First high-timeframe defense in a major correction.
✴️ Conclusion: SMA50 = medium-term guardian support.
⊢
▦ SMA100 – $33,457.05:
∴ Extreme long-term anchor, rarely approached outside bear capitulations;
∴ Cushion +$77.69K (+69.9%) above;
∴ “Black-swan” only in current cycle context.
✴️ Conclusion: SMA100 = last-resort macro base.
⊢
▦ BB (21 ,2) - (Midline $84,111.14 / Upper $125,959.23 / Lower $42,263.04):
∴ Price rides the upper regime, sitting ~13.3% below the upper band (headroom ≈ $14.81K);
∴ Distance to midline (equilibrium) ≈ $27.04K (+24.3%) -> strong cushion;
∴ Bands are widened -> volatility expansion phase of the macro trend.
✴️ Conclusion: BB = mature expansion; (midline $84.1K) is the balance axis.
⊢
▦ MACD (50, 90) - (Line 947.03 / Signal 17,045.04 / Histogram 16,098.01):
∴ Long-cycle configuration filters noise and tracks halving waves;
∴ Histogram magnitude strong -> impulse still alive at the macro scale;
∴ No imminent bearish crossover on this slow setting; trend health preserved.
✴️ Conclusion: MACD = bullish regime with durable momentum.
⊢
🜎 Strategic Insight – Technical Oracle:
∴ Structure: Price is well above all macro bases (SMA50 $53.4K, EMA90 $44.7K, SMA100 $33.5K) and operating in the upper Bollinger regime; (midline $84.1K) marks the structural equilibrium;
∴ Momentum - (single pillar): MACD (50, 90) remains decisively positive, consistent with a continuing bull cycle;
∴ Risk rails: Upside trigger = sustained push toward/through ($125.96K - BB-upper); downside mean-reversion rails = ($99–$84K - prior clusters/BB mid).
✴️ Conclusion: The monthly chart remains Bullish-Structural and in mature expansion. As long as Bitcoin holds above the (BB midline ~$84.1K), the macro up-cycle stays intact; clearance toward ($126K) would reopen upside discovery.
⊢
𓂀 Stoic-Structural Interpretation:
✦ Structure of Trend:
∴ The price hovers far above the macro fortresses (SMA50 $53.4K, EMA90 $44.7K, SMA100 $33.5K). These remain untouched, signaling the structure’s resilience;
∴ Bollinger (midline at $84.1K) is the true axis of equilibrium: as long as it holds, the market breathes in the upper realm of expansion;
∴ The upper Bollinger bound ($125.9K) is not yet pierced, leaving the cycle suspended between present strength and future compression.
✦ Momentum of Will:
∴ The MACD (50, 90), slow and deliberate, projects a force aligned with the long halving waves: histogram positive, crossover intact, momentum unfaltering;
∴ The market’s will remains bent toward continuation, though each candle at this altitude tests the resolve of buyers;
∴ Stoic principle: strength endures until proven otherwise; momentum persists until equilibrium demands balance.
✦ Flow of Capital:
∴ Wide Bollinger bands whisper volatility unchained, inviting both euphoria and caution; liquidity expands but seeks its balance at the ($84.1K mid);
∴ Capital rotates but does not abandon the structure; the exodus of liquidity is absent from the long frame;
∴ The inflow of discipline dominates - patience governs capital flows.
✦ Interpretation of Fate:
∴ Above ($125.9K) = release into new discovery, fate embraces uncharted peaks;
∴ Between ($99K and $84K) = mean-reversion crucible, where structure is tested but not destroyed;
∴ Below ($84K) = stoic descent, a return toward (SMA50 / EMA90) bastions.
✴️ Conclusion: The monthly essence is Bullish-Structural, with fate aligned to the continuation of expansion. Yet, Stoicism reminds: no trend ascends without pause; ($84.1K) is the sacred balance, ($125.9K) the gate to transcendence.
⊢
· Cryptorvm Dominvs · MAGISTER ARCANVM · Vox Primordialis ·
· Dominivm Cardo Gyratio Omnivm · Silence precedes the next force. Structure is sacred ·
⊢
BITCOIN PREDICTION: WHY IS NOBODY TALKING ABOUT THIS!!?(warning)Yello Paradisers! In this video, we are again, as professional traders, analyzing the multi-time frame context of the market. On an ultra-high time frame, we are seeing the medium moving average touch. We are also discussing the possible channel retest, plus I'm sharing with you the bearish cross and bearish divergence.
On the high time frame chart, we are having the zigzag finished, probably with the highest probability. The first ultra-high time frame wave is starting, that is the question of this video, which we are answering, and we are seeing the bullish divergence.
On the medium timeframe, we are seeing that as we are touching the resistance, the volume is dropping, which is a bearish sign. We are seeing two bearish divergences on RSI and MACD histogram, and with the highest probability, we are finishing the first wave.
On the low timeframe chart, I'm discussing the ending diagonal with you, and I forgot to tell you about this, but we are also having a bearish cross there.
Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable.
Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
BTC - WEEKLY PRICE UPDATE🟩 #BITCOIN - Weekly Price Update
🔸 Monthly: Bullish, macro uptrend is intact! 📈
🔸 Weekly: Neutral zone between $116,000 - $110,700
Following my previous outlook and livestream, price tapped the $107,000 area as expected. ✅
Here’s what I’m watching: If CRYPTOCAP:BTC pushes and holds above $110,000 daily, we could see another wave up and potentially new ATHs, trend would stay strong!
Currently, the technical setup is bullish📈
→Daily lagging span still above the cloud and SSB
→D1 candle just closed inside the KUMO = classic bullish continuation signal!
💡 My expectations:
Short-term:
→If bulls defend $110,000+ = bullish zone, see a leg to $115,600 - $116,000 next!
→If we get a D1 close & breakout above $116,000, expect further upside toward $120K+ 🚀
→Breakdown under $107,000 = negative, could trigger deeper selloff.
📊Big picture:
Momentum remains solid above $100,000 and especially $94,000 support.
Expect some green days for #alts if we hold above level mentionned as well in the coming sessions!
BTC starts to show signs of recovery💎 BTC PLAN UPDATE – START OF WEEK (09/03/2025 )
Mid-week BTC Analysis
Currently, BTC is reacting around the support zone ~111,000 – 110,500 (confluence of EMA200 D1 and 0.5 Fibonacci). This is an important short-term support area; if it holds, a rebound may occur in the next few sessions.
If BTC bounces from this level, it could retest short-term resistance levels at:
• 111,900 – 112,200 (EMA34 + nearest resistance)
• 114,100 – 114,500 (0.382 Fibonacci)
• 116,000 – 117,000 (0.236 Fibonacci + previous strong resistance)
If the 110,500 support is broken, price could easily drop toward:
• 108,400 – 108,000 (mid-term support)
• 104,800 – 105,000 (major support, extended Fibonacci zone)
Trend:
• Mid-term: still in a corrective downtrend.
• Short-term: possible technical rebound from current support zone, with the first target around 114,000 – 116,000.
👉 In summary: Mid-week, BTC is at a critical zone. Holding 110,500 – 111,000 favors a rebound scenario; if this area breaks, downside pressure may extend toward 108K – 105K.
Has Bitcoin's long-short trend reversed?Recently, Bitcoin has demonstrated strong resilience at the key support level of 107,000: this level has undergone multiple downward tests, with no effective breakdown occurring; instead, it has rebounded quickly after each touch, confirming the market recognition of this support zone and the strength of buying interest. As the bottom support is confirmed, the price momentum has gradually strengthened and has now successfully broken through the previous resistance level on the 4-hour timeframe. Technically, a bullish structure of "valid support - broken resistance" has been formed, and the short-term trend has shifted from consolidation to a bullish bias. Based on this market change, our trading strategy needs to be adjusted accordingly: we can take a small-position long trade when the price retraces to the support level.
#BTC/USDT Bullish Divergence on 1H, Low Risk Trade#BTC
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is poised to break it strongly upwards and retest it.
We have a bearish trend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, supporting the upside.
There is a major support area in green at 108062, which represents a strong basis for the upside.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
We are in a consolidation trend above the 100 Moving Average.
Entry price: 108450
First target: 108959
Second target: 109541
Third target: 110325
Don't forget a simple matter: capital management.
When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
Thank you.
Bitcoin – Bearish Scenario Playing Out as ExpectedBitcoin – Bearish Scenario Playing Out as Expected
Hello traders,
BTC continues to follow the plan, reacting neatly within the channel and showing a minor drop at the retest of the rising structure. Hopefully, many of you managed to catch the short signal from the previous setup.
In line with the current momentum, BTC remains in a solid downtrend. This short position will be held in the medium term, with the next long zone expected around 105k.
On the higher timeframes, BTC is still within a broader bullish trend, with greater upside potential at the long-term buy zones. That said, current market sentiment shows heavy liquidity flowing into gold, which could mean BTC moves more slowly in the near term.
This is my trading outlook for BTC – stay disciplined, manage risk, and feel free to share your thoughts in the comments.
BITCOIN'S FALL HAS BEGUN ! DON'T GET CAUGHT UP IN THE BLOODBATH JPowel's rate cut hints that something bad is about to happen. All Fed Rate cuts have been marked by devastating market crash and this time will be no different. Don't lose your hard-earned money to the upcoming carsh !! You have been warned.
Disclaimer: Not financial advice.
BTC Breakdown Alert: Bears Eye $106K Next!
🔥 **BTC Bears Ready to Attack? 🚨 Target \$106K Incoming!** 🔥
📊 **Market Bias**
⏳ **Intraday → 4H**: 🟥 Bearish (⬇️ below EMA9/21/20SMA, 📉 MACD negative, 💥 sell volume)
📅 **Daily → Weekly**: ✅ Mixed-to-Bullish (📈 above 200 SMA ≈ 101.3k)
⚖️ → Tactical short only, ⚠️ size carefully.
🎯 **Trade Plan**
💰 Entry: **109,200**
🛑 Stop Loss: **110,800**
🎯 Take Profit: **102,400** (⚡ 50% at 105,900 / 50% at 102,400)
📏 Size: **1 BTC** (risk \~1%)
💪 Confidence: **60%**
⏰ Timing: **Market Open**
🧠 **Why Short?**
* 📉 EMAs/SMA bearish stack
* 🔻 Expanding negative MACD
* 🧊 Heavier sell volume
* 🎯 BB extension aligns w/ \~102.4k
⚠️ **Risks**
* ❓ Missing OI/liquidity data = squeeze risk
* 📈 Long-term bullish structure > 200 SMA
* 🌍 Macro shocks (ETF/reg headlines, DXY swings)
---
📊 **TRADE JSON (automation/record):**
```json
{
"instrument": "BTC",
"direction": "short",
"entry_price": 109200.00,
"stop_loss": 110800.00,
"take_profit": 106000.00,
"size": 1.0,
"confidence": 0.60,
"entry_timing": "market_open",
"signal_publish_time": "2025-09-01 17:02:46"
}
```
---
🏷️ **Hashtags:**
\#BTC 🚀 #Bitcoin 💎 #CryptoTrading 📊 #TradeSetup 🐻 #ShortTrade ⚡ #DayTrading ⏳ #RiskManagement 🛡️ #SwingTrade 🎯
Btc bottoming - See my short term bounce targetI have been anticipating a Btc local bottom as low as 108K since Aug 9th. It was a high probability call, because it's what Btc always does! Follow the patterns...
Now that my T2 has been hit, I anticpate a bounce into my high probability range as seen in the above chart. I will be monitoring price action very closely to see if either of the other 2 higher targets are possible before my anticipated reversal. I will be taking profit at the top of this bounce.
There is a possibility, based on the 3 week down rule, that the reversal (from my targets) may lead to a lower low to my T3 (below current low at 107.5K). This may happen as soon as late Sept- Oct. I hope I'm wrong about that.
May the trends be with you.
Bitcoin Update – The Next StepsBitcoin Update – The Next Steps
Hello traders,
BTC is still moving in line with the outlook I shared previously. Price is now approaching the short zone according to technical structure. For those who prefer not to enter immediately, it may be better to wait for a reaction on the M15–M30 timeframes. The downside is that entries may not be as perfect, but the win rate could improve thanks to additional confirmation.
At the moment, BTC’s price action remains relatively slow. It’s possible that price will consolidate around the entry area for a while, as there is still significant liquidity from the previous long move and market sentiment continues to lean towards upside expectations.
Patience is key here. I’ll update again if there are structural changes. In the meantime, use this scenario as reference and feel free to share your thoughts in the comments so we can discuss further.
Cup & Handle Done, BTC Correction First Before Another High!The correction itself supported by the Rising Wedge pattern that has been break the support level. So, in the near term let it corrected, supposed to be $87,000-$92,000 areas before we see another record high in the medium term.
The trigger will be Fed starting the rate cut in 17 September 2025.
Caution :
Not recommended for trading purpose! It's too risky!
Better you use the spot for invest, not trading the futures market!
BTC probably will move along with US Stock Indices.. therefore they area getting supported when Fed confirmed the rate cut cycles!
BTC AI Prediction Dashboard - 6h Price Path (02.09.25) Prediction made using Crypticorn AI Prediction Dashboard
Link in bio
BTCUSDT Forecast:
Crypticorn AI Prediction Dashboard Projects 6h Price Path (Forward-Only)
Forecast timestamp: ~06:30 UTC
Timeframe: 15m
Prediction horizon: 6 hours
Model output:
Central estimate (blue line): -110,335
Represents the AI’s best estimate of BTC’s near-term price direction.
80% confidence band (light blue): 110,066 – 110,877
The light blue zone marks the 80% confidence range — the most likely area for price to close
40% confidence band (dark blue): 109,844 – 111,422
The dark blue zone shows the narrower 40% confidence range, where price is expected to stay with higher concentration
Volume on signal bar: 181.86
This chart shows a short-term Bitcoin price forecast using AI-generated confidence zones.
Candlesticks reflect actual BTC/USDT price action in 15-minute intervals.
This helps visualize expected volatility and potential price zones in the short term.
Lock in profits and go with the trend.As previously analyzed and predicted, Bitcoin has started a pullback as expected after hitting the key resistance level on the 4-hour chart. Looking at the current market, the price has broken below the support of the short-term 5-day moving average, with a MACD death cross signal appearing on the hourly chart. Bearish momentum has initially been released, and the short-term downward trend has become relatively clear.
Friends who entered positions earlier can appropriately reduce some holdings to lock in profits. If the price breaks below 107,000 later, you can continue to enter short positions after a rebound.
In a range-bound market, the main strategy is to short at highs.The recent movement of Bitcoin has once again validated the predictive logic put forward last week. It was previously clearly stated that "after price retests the lower support level, there may be a minor rebound" – and the current market is unfolding exactly as this rhythm suggests: after touching the key support zone, the price has indeed rebounded, but judging from the chart performance, the rebound momentum is noticeably weak.
Regarding the subsequent operation direction, before the rebound can break through the key resistance level on the 4-hour timeframe, the overall trading strategy should still focus on "shorting at highs". Pay attention to the resistance level around 110,000 on the upside, and the recent low around 107,000 on the downside.
BITCOIN PREDICTION: WHALES PREPARING HUGE MOVE!!!? (damn)Yello Paradisers! In this video, as professional traders, we have been going through multi-time frame analysis. First, we went through an ultra-high time frame where I shared with you that we are touching an important moving average trend line. Because of that, we understand that a channel retest is possible, but we need to be careful because there is a bearish divergence, and we already got a confirmational bearish cross.
On the high timeframe chart, we have seen that the ABC zigzag is already finished. Right now, we are forming a possible first ultra-high timeframe wave, and from that, we are starting the first motive mode wave. We are seeing bullish divergence, and what I forgot to say is that if we start moving to the upside and creating the secondary high timeframe wave, we will touch the CME futures gap and close it. Which is another confluence.
After that, we have been shifting our focus to the medium timeframe. I've told you that what's important is also what you don't see in the market and we are seeing so far no bearish divergence plus what I have didn't show you but there are also two bullish hammer candlestick patterns candles I have been sharing with you the moving average trend line the Fibonacci time zone and the next resistances finally at low time frame chart we have been going through the ending diagonal.
Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable.
Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
I apologize; I accidentally turned off the video in the middle. Unfortunately, TradingView doesn't allow me to continue, so the next video will be here on TradingView on Wednesday. Stay tuned.
BTCUSD Bearish Since March 13, 2023, the BINANCE:BTCUSD has consistently traded above its weekly 50-period Simple Moving Average (SMA), demonstrating sustained bullish momentum. The price has tested the weekly 50 SMA on three occasions, each time finding support and maintaining its position above Moving Average. However, a significant bearish divergence is evident on the weekly chart, signalling potential weakening momentum despite the upward price trend. Given this divergence and historical price action, there is a high probability that BTCUSD may retest the $95,851–$100,000 support zone in the near term. Traders should monitor this critical area for potential price reaction.