$Btc Bounce Signal is Locking in on the $108.5k Golden Pocket Bitcoin recently formed a higher low around the $111,600 level, which is an important structure to watch. This setup is still bearish in nature because if BTC loses this $111.6K support, it will confirm a deeper bearish trend taking hold. Right now, BTC is pulling back after being rejected at $115,000 and heading towards this crucial $111.6K zone.
If this support holds, we might see some relief or a bounce. But if it breaks, the next key area is the Fibonacci Golden Pocket between $107,000 and $108,000 — a critical level where bulls often try to defend. Failure to hold even the Golden Pocket would strengthen the bearish outlook further.
BTC is at a decisive point, and traders should closely watch how price behaves around these levels to understand if a recovery or a deeper drop is on the cards.
Btcusdanalysis
BTC sounded the alarm, 115,000 became the key point#BTCUSD
Last week, as global risk sentiment deteriorated, the cryptocurrency market came under pressure, pushing BTC back from its recent highs. This correction was significant, and while BTC has subsequently rebounded, technically, the bearish divergence signaled by the daily MACD indicates weakening short-term rebound momentum. The Bollinger Bands on the 4-hour chart are trending downward, indicating that the market remains in a period of volatile correction.
If BTC cannot effectively break through the upper resistance of 115,000 in the short term, the bears may continue to exert their strength. You can consider shorting with the target at 114,000-113,000.
🚀 SELL 115,000-116,000
🚀 TP 114,000-113,000
BTC-----Sell around 114500, target 113500-113000 areaAugust 5th BTC Contract Technical Analysis:
Today, the daily chart closed with a small bullish candlestick pattern, with prices remaining high. However, the accompanying indicator forms a death cross. While the broader trend remains bearish, the market is still trending downwards. However, yesterday's significant upward trend suggests a range-bound trend in the short term. Without a continuation of the trend, a significant unilateral move is unlikely. On the hourly chart, yesterday's intraday gains continued in the European and American sessions, but prices failed to break above the previous high. The current candlestick pattern shows consecutive bearish candlesticks, with prices trading below the moving average and the accompanying indicator forming a death cross. Therefore, continued support is crucial for the day, with the strength and potential breakouts of the European session also key.
Today's BTC Short-Term Contract Trading Strategy:
Sell on pullbacks to the 114,500 area, with a stop-loss at 115,000, and a target of 113,500-113,000.
BITCOIN CRASH PREDICTED! HERE’S WHAT HAPPENS NEXT! (scary)Yello Paradisers, Bitcoin crashed exactly as we predicted in the previous videos that it will happen with the highest probability.
In this video I am explaining to you what's gonna happen next.
Head and shoulders, neckline, is be breaking to the downside, we need a clear confirmation of a reclaim Our channel on high timeframe is getting breakout to the downside and confirmation was that a reclaim was already successful.
In this video I'm sharing with you Elliott Way theory on low timeframe and what needs to be done for confirmation perspective in order for us to continue to go to the downside or have a reversal to the upside.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
BTCUSD: Consolidating at $112K, Watching $120KInstrument: BTCUSD
Timeframe: Daily
Date: August 4, 2025
Analysis:
BTC dropped to $112,000, down 5.1% from $118,000, holding above the $112,000 support. The hawkish FOMC triggered this pullback, but $112K is a key level. I scaled in on the dip as seen in my previous BTC idea and X
Chart Setup:
Support: $112,000, $100,000
Resistance: $115,000, $120,000
Bitcoin Price Flow From Liquidity Grabs to Structural BreakoutsBitcoin Price Action Analysis:
In recent sessions, Bitcoin has been consistently making Breaks of Structure (BoS) to the upside, indicating a strong bullish trend. Most recently, after forming another BoS, the market retraced downward and precisely tapped into a previously established Bullish Order Block (OB). This reaction led to a temporary upward movement; however, during this process, the market also created a zone of internal liquidity.
Currently, Bitcoin is showing signs of a downward move again, potentially aiming to capture Internal Drawdown Market (IDM) liquidity. Just below this level lies another key Order Block, which could serve as a strong support zone. If the price reacts positively from this region, we might see the market initiate another upward leg, potentially forming the next Break of Structure to continue the bullish narrative.
Note: Always perform your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
BTCUSD broke below 115,000.00 on week labor dataBTCUSD broke below 115,000.00 on week labor data
On August 1, after worse-than-expected NFP report data came out, bitcoin dropped below important level of 115,000.00 and SMA200 on 4-h chart. Technically, this means the start of a mid-term bearish market in the asset. Bitcoin often follows the same path as high-risk assets, such as tech stocks, particularly during times of economic uncertainty. The July 2025 U.S. jobs report, which showed only 73,000 new jobs added, below the expected 100,000, and a downward revision of June's figure from 147,000 to 14,000, fueled fears of a recession. This caused a broader market sell-off. In just 12 hours, $110 billion was withdrawn from spot crypto markets, with $630 million in liquidations, primarily affecting long positions.
Currently the price is testing the 115,000.00 level. The next decline towards 110,000.00 support level is expected.
BTC Forecast For August & September. The Only Roadmap You Need !This is one is so obvious, its a no brainer , and would likely be very easy to trade as long as you follow this road map i have provided.
The Value Area High at 110k price range is most important upcoming battle line between bull vs bear. If bulls fail to get a strong bounce from 110k and we close at least 2 daily candles below it. Then it would mean bears have full control and the implication of that is that since we would at that point be closing back inside an established Value Area range, formed between Nov 20th to Jul 25th, then it would mean the probability of price selling all the way down to re-test the VAL (value area low) at $91.6k would instantly become very very high.
After re-testing $91.6k we'll watch and see what happens.
It'll either hold after grabbing some liquidity below and stay in the Value Area Range until further notice Or we lose it and the sell off continues. Bear market will be in full swing if that happens and you can bet a ton of weak hands will start to exit due to max pain & cascading long liquidations. Fear index will be back in the red at that point as capitulation starts to set in. Alot of new alts and meme coins will be completely obliterated.
Bullish Continuation Scenario
If bulls get a strong bounce from 110k and don't close back inside the Value Area Range below, then we could continue up to a make a new ATH for a classic trend pullback continuation trade. Once we get back above 115.4k, the dream of a new ATH will become much more realistic. There is an UFA(Unfinished Auction) at 120.8k which is only visible to traders using the market profile or footprint chart. This make poor high and needs to be taking out at some point.
For the Price target to the upside, we would be using the peak formation line of the ExoFade indicator.
BTC | Bitcoin - Weekly Recap & Gameplan - 03/08/25📈 Market Context:
Traders are currently anticipating a potential 0.25% rate cut at the September FOMC meeting, which continues to support the broader bullish outlook.
While the market pulled back following weaker-than-expected Non-Farm Payroll data, overall sentiment remains optimistic.
Greed has cooled off into a more neutral stance. Historically, August often brings some consolidation or pullbacks — but the structural bias for Bitcoin remains bullish.
🧾 Weekly Recap:
• After printing new all-time highs, BTC began a healthy retracement.
• Price action closely mirrored the Nasdaq's (NQ) pullback during the week.
• We saw a small bounce mid-week, but no strong reversal confirmation yet.
📌 Technical Outlook & Game Plan:
→ I’m watching for price to revisit the long-term bullish trendline.
→ A slight deviation into the HTF demand zone would be ideal for long entries.
→ Bonus confluence: This area also aligns with the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement (Equilibrium level), providing a key discount zone.
🎯 Setup Trigger:
I’ll be watching for a confirmed bullish break of structure (BOS) on the 1H–4H timeframes to signal a reversal.
On confirmation, I’ll look to enter a swing long position.
📋 Trade Management:
• Stoploss: Below the 1H–4H demand swing low
• Take Profit:
→ I’ll trail stops and lock in profits aggressively
→ Main target: $119,820
💬 Like, follow, and comment if this breakdown supports your trading! More setups and market insights coming soon — stay connected!
Smart Money Watching This Line — Are You?Bitcoin is holding strong above a key trendline that has acted as dynamic support since March. Every time price touched this line, buyers stepped in, and once again, it’s doing its job.
What was once resistance has now flipped into solid support. The recent pullback seems healthy, and the price is trying to bounce from the trendline area again.
As long as CRYPTOCAP:BTC respects this structure, the bullish momentum remains intact. If it holds, we could see another leg up from here.
DYOR, NFA
Thanks for reading!
NeoWave Alert: BTC G-Wave Sets Up a Brutal Drop After $116K PumpAs anticipated in our previous NeoWave analysis, the market appears to be deep within Wave G of a Contracting Diametric structure (A–G), originating from the March 2025 high.
⸻
🔻 Key Developments:
• After rejecting from $119,000–119,500 (Wave F resistance), price dipped to $112,000, breaking below the previous channel’s lower bound, and now appears to be forming a steeper descending channel.
• This new channel’s resistance has shifted lower to $116,000, becoming a potential bull trap zone.
• The bounce from $112K is likely a liquidity sweep, preparing for one final upside to $116K, followed by aggressive distribution.
⸻
💡 Trading Thesis:
We’re likely seeing a trap-style rally within Wave G, aiming to:
• Attract liquidity up to $116K
• Induce late longs before initiating a more violent selloff toward $105K or lower
⸻
🔍 Smart Money Confluence (SMC / ICT)
• 🟥 Confirmed bearish structure on 1H (Lower Highs + BOS)
• 🟨 Liquidity above $120K already swept during Wave F
• 📉 Order blocks around 119.5K rejected
• 🔻 Price currently trades above $114K, but trapped inside a sharper descending range
• 🧲 Unfilled FVGs between $113K–$110K may serve as magnets
⸻
🧠 Wave G Structure (Diametric)
• Possibly unfolding as a Zigzag or Complex Combination
• Channel boundary now capped at $116K
• Wave G likely targets a breakdown below Wave E ($113K) and toward $105K
⸻
📌 Primary Scenario:
• Final push to $116K → strong rejection expected
• Bearish continuation targeting $110K → $105K
🧯 Invalidations:
• Clean breakout & daily close above $120.5K invalidates this diametric structure
• Watch for triangle or flat morphing if structure shifts
⸻
⚠️ Risk Management:
• $116K = key distribution zone
• Watch closely for rejection and breakdown confirmation
• Shorts valid below $114K with tight invalidation above $117K
⸻
📌 Conclusion:
Bitcoin is nearing the climax of a multi-month complex correction. The current setup favors a liquidity trap toward $116K, followed by continuation of Wave G toward major demand zones. Smart money bias remains bearish below $117K.
⸻
💬 Drop your alternate wave counts or SMC confirmations in the comments!
"When the sea retreats and whispers low through Gaussian"This time we are going to talk about the neck of the Bull Markets tops. "IF" I nailed it predicting the top ~ 123k we might start talking about the neck of the hill around the 0.236 Fib level. This could be the next target for Bitcoin in the coming months around 76K(yellow zone). Once the 1000 days of green above Gaussian ends we might see the biggest drops of the bear market bottoming around the 0.5 fib level in the lows 40k usd.
BTC/USD) Bullish Analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the 4-hour timeframe, with a focus on smart money concepts like FVG (Fair Value Gap) and support/resistance zones.
---
Technical Breakdown:
1. Price Structure & Path Projection:
BTC is currently in a sideways range, but the drawn projection suggests a potential bullish reversal from the key support zone or the FVG level.
Two bullish paths are suggested:
One bounces from the key support zone (~114,725).
The other dips deeper into the FVG level, sweeping liquidity before heading higher.
2. Key Zones:
Key Support Level: Around 114,700–114,800, aligning with the EMA 200 and prior reaction levels.
FVG Level (Fair Value Gap): Just below the support zone — marked as a potential liquidity sweep area before bullish continuation.
Resistance Zone: 123,069.65, where partial profit could be taken.
Final Target Point: 130,312.02, projecting a strong bullish move from the base.
3. EMA 200 (Blue):
EMA sits around 114,685.97, acting as a strong dynamic support, supporting the bullish scenario.
4. RSI (14):
RSI is neutral at 51.10, providing room for bullish momentum without being overbought.
Mr SMC Trading point
---
Trade Idea Summary:
Bias: Bullish
Entry Zone:
Conservative: Near 114,725.18 (key support + EMA 200)
Aggressive: Deeper at FVG level if price sweeps that zone
Targets:
TP1: 123,069.65 (resistance zone)
TP2: 130,312.02 (main target)
Invalidation: Break and close below FVG zone would negate the setup
---
Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
Buy BTCUSD Focus on the $117,500–119,000 levels: a breakout upwards could mean the beginning of growth, a breakout downwards — a strong correction.
Follow the actions of institutional players, flows into ETFs, and political and regulatory news.
Manage risk: BTC remains a volatile asset, the possibility of large peaks and falls remains.
BTC Breaks Down: Retest Could Lead to More LossesHello guys!
Bitcoin has officially broken below the descending channel it was stuck in for weeks. Right now, price is pulling back to retest the broken channel, which is now acting as resistance around the 114,700 zone.
What I'm watching:
Broken channel = bearish signal
Retest zone around 114,700
Downside target near 110,400
So far, it looks like a clean setup for further downside, unless bulls manage to reclaim that broken trendline. Until then, the pressure remains to the downside.
Let’s see how price reacts here... Rejection = short opportunity.
Bitcoin at Key Support - Watching for Bullish ShiftHello everybody!
Bitcoin has reached a very important demand/support zone between 110,000–112,000.
If this area holds, we could see bullish momentum building on the chart.
Currently, we are waiting for confirmations.
We're watching closely for any change in market structure or a trend shift.
If it happens, we can expect the price to move up to around 118,000.
Manage your risk and trade safe!
Bitcoin FOMC aftermath & plan aheadHi all,
As you may have noticed, Wednesday's FOMC meeting delivered a less-than-optimistic outlook. The absence of rate cuts, combined with uncertainty about potential cuts in September, triggered a downward move in the markets.
Bitcoin is currently trading 7% below its high from July 14th. I anticipate a relatively shallow downtrend and plan to add to my position around $112,000.