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Btcusdanalysis

This is it - Bitcoin weekly update August 11 - 17thFrom an Elliott Wave perspective, Bitcoin is currently unfolding a Cycle degree Wave C, which at the Primary degree is forming Wave A. At both the Intermediate and Minor degrees, price is also in Wave A. The minimum downside target for this structure lies at the 1.0 Fibonacci extension near $112K. Additional targets include the 1.236 extension at roughly $110K and the 1.618 extension near $106K. Liquidity mapping reveals notable clusters at key levels. The $115.5K zone, highlighted by the red box on the chart, contains significant liquidity according to the heatmap. Additionally, order book data shows heavy bid accumulation around the $110K level — an area that also coincides with a daily Fair Value Gap (FVG). The Point of Control (POC) from the previous wave lies just below the red box, further reinforcing the bearish confluence. From a derivatives standpoint, the recent impulsive rally in Wave b appears to have been largely driven by leveraged positions. Funding rates have started to decline from high positive levels, while open interest — after a brief surge — is now dropping, suggesting traders are unwinding positions rather than adding fresh exposure. Spot ETF flows continue to show net inflows, but closer inspection reveals that these have been more FOMO-driven than strategic accumulation. Outflows were recorded at the local low of Wave a, while inflows spiked during the impulsive rise of Wave b — behaviour that often reverses as the market corrects. This increases the likelihood of inflows slowing or reversing during the expected downward leg. The primary scenario anticipates that Bitcoin will continue lower. At the Primary degree, Wave A could terminate within the red liquidity box, where the liquidity cluster might act as a temporary buy wall. This could then lead to a corrective Wave B before a final Wave C to complete the larger structure. However, making precise forecasts beyond Wave A would be speculative at this stage.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by Phillipklh
DeGRAM | BTCUSD exceeded $120k📊 Technical Analysis ● BTCUSD has broken above the 119.4k–119.9k support-turned-resistance zone, confirming a bullish channel breakout. ● Structure favors a climb toward the 129.4k resistance, with short-term pullbacks expected to retest the green support band before continuation. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● ETF inflows hit a 3-month high as institutional interest in BTC strengthens amid rising inflation-hedge demand. ● On-chain metrics show increased miner accumulation, signaling confidence in higher future prices. ✨ Summary Long above 119.4k. Targets 125k → 129.4k. Setup holds if price remains above 118.5k. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
5
DeGRAM | BTCUSD reached the support level📊 Technical Analysis ● BTCUSD has bounced from confluence support at 112.3k–114.8k, reclaiming the ascending support line and validating the lower boundary of the rising triangle. ● Price action suggests a bullish continuation setup with targets at 119.9k and extension to the upper resistance near 122.5k–125k. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● US labor data slowdown and dovish Fed commentary have pulled real yields lower, boosting crypto demand. ● Glassnode reports ongoing whale accumulation and rising stablecoin inflows, signaling positive capital rotation into BTC. ✨ Summary Long above 114.8k. Targets 119.9k → 122.5k+. Setup invalidated on a break below 112.3k support. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
3
Bitcoin Trading StrategyAs mentioned yesterday, Bitcoin broke through the resistance level and rallied towards the previous high. It is now consolidating near today’s peak, showing some volatility. From a technical perspective, the lower boundary of the 4-hour ascending channel—or the EMA20—suggests that bulls remain in control, with any pullback likely serving as consolidation before further upside. A decisive break above the prior high could trigger an acceleration in upward momentum. Those holding positions should remain cautious of potential profit-taking amid this elevated consolidation, particularly around key weekly resistance zones. In Summary - Short-term strategy: Maintain a bullish bias on pullbacks as long as support holds, but consider taking partial profits near the previous high.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Matthew_8888
BTC Price Action Screams Sell — Is $115K Next? • The move to $122.5k looks like a sharp liquidity grab / exhaustion wick rather than a sustained follow-through. • Price failed to hold the top (small bearish candles after the spike) and is now sitting on/near a shallow support area — a classic place for sellers to press once momentum cools. • Multiple prior “S” markers around the mid-$118k zone show persistent supply there; that same supply can re-assert as price retests. • Bearish bias while price remains below the red supply zone (~$122.2–122.5k) and until it can reclaim & close above ~123k on 1H. Key levels (read from the chart) • Immediate resistance / supply zone: 122,200 – 122,501 (red box). • Current price shown: 121,506.61. • Support levels (dotted lines): 119,872.53 (first), 118,864.72 (second), 115,843.52 (stronger support / demand). • Invalidation for the bearish plan: sustained close above ~123,000 (1H close). Two actionable bearish setups (with exact math) Setup A — “Rejection short” (preferred) • Rationale: Wait for a retest/rejection of the red supply zone (122.2–122.5k). • Entry: 122,200 (short on clear rejection candle) • Stop: 123,000 (above the supply) → risk = 123,000 − 122,200 = 800 points. • Targets: o TP1 = 119,872.53 → reward = 122,200 − 119,872.53 = 2,327.47 → R:R = 2,327.47 / 800 = 2.91 : 1. o TP2 = 118,864.72 → reward = 122,200 − 118,864.72 = 3,335.28 → R:R ≈ 4.17 : 1. o TP3 = 115,843.52 → reward = 122,200 − 115,843.52 = 6,356.48 → R:R ≈ 7.95 : 1. Setup B — “Breakdown short” (if price loses structure) • Rationale: Trade the structure break — enter only after a clean breakdown below a nearby support retest. • Entry: 121,000 (short once price decisively breaks and retests lower side) • Stop: 122,000 → risk = 1,000 points. • Targets: same support ladder: o TP1 = 119,872.53 → reward = 121,000 − 119,872.53 = 1,127.47 → R:R = 1,127.47 / 1,000 = 1.13 : 1. o TP2 = 118,864.72 → R:R ≈ 2.14 : 1. o TP3 = 115,843.52 → R:R ≈ 5.16 : 1. Short trade management / rules • Position sizing: risk a fixed % of account per trade (e.g., 0.5–1%). Use the risk points above to size the position. • Scaling: take ~25–40% at TP1, move stop to breakeven on first partial fill, trail rest to TP2/TP3. • Confirmation: prefer one of these confirmations before entry — bearish 1H close below the short entry or clear rejection wick + volume spike to the upside followed by selling. (I can’t see live volume here — check it on your platform.) • Invalidation: an hourly close above ~123k invalidates the bearish plan; flip bias to neutral/bull. Why this is a high-probability bearish setup • The rally was fast and left small-range candles after the spike — typical of exhaustion where liquidity was swept. • Prior range had repeated sells around lower highs (S markers) — that supply doesn’t vanish; a failed breakout often returns to fill that liquidity. • The downside targets are relatively close (TP1 is only ~1.63k points below current price, about 1.34%), so short targets are reachable without needing a large trend reversal. (Example percent math shown exactly: current 121,506.61 − TP1 119,872.53 = 1,634.08 points → 1,634.08 ÷ 121,506.61 = 0.0134485 → ≈ 1.345% drop to TP1.) Watchouts / final notes • If BTC prints strong continuation volume on a push above 122.5k and holds >123k on hourly closes, the short edge is gone. • Check 4H / daily to ensure this isn’t just a higher-timeframe bullish leg that will quickly absorb short pressure. If higher TF shows strong bullish structure, keep stops tighter. • Not financial advice — treat this as a technical plan and adjust sizing/risk to your rules.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by SupertradeOfficial
BTCUSD nearby ATHBTCUSD nearby ATH Recently Bitcoin surged on 2.3 % after reports that President Trump plans to sign an executive order allowing crypto and other alternative assets into 401(k) retirement accounts. The order directs the Labor Secretary to work with the Treasury, SEC, and other regulators to revise ERISA guidance, which typically excludes assets like crypto, real estate, and private equity from retirement plans, aiming to reduce legal barriers for their inclusion. Technically, the bitcoin is nearby ATH at 123,250.00. Price has developed a new bullish momentum and is ready to grow further with possible target at 130,000.00.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by ProfessorSingapore
Bitcoin 1H Chart – Analysis Current Momentum – Strong bullish breakout above key resistance zones 119,841 and 120,899, indicating aggressive buying pressure. Immediate Resistance – Price is now approaching 122,733–123,196, a heavy supply zone; possible short-term profit booking area. Support Levels – Nearest support now sits at 120,899, followed by 119,841. Holding above these keeps momentum intact. Market Structure – Clear higher highs and higher lows; trend remains bullish unless price breaks below 119,284. Trading Plan – Ride the uptrend with trailing stops; watch for reversal signals at 122,733–123,196 or continuation breakout above 123,200 for fresh upside.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by TheWallstreetCapital
2
BITCOIN- Charging Towards 122k Momentum Building BTC/USD Long Setup – Targeting 122K 🔥 Bitcoin is holding strong above 118500, signaling bullish momentum. ✅ Price broke key resistance & forming higher lows. 🟢 Current structure favors buy-side continuation with next major target at 122000. Support Zones: 🔹 117800 – intraday bullish retest 🔹 116500 – strong demand zone Resistance Ahead: 🔸 120200 – short-term reaction 🔸 122000 – major target 🚀 Expecting bullish wave continuation. If momentum sustains above 118K, 122K breakout highly probable! #BTC #Bitcoin #CryptoSetup #BTCUSD #CryptoTrading #BTC122K #ChartAnalysis #BullishBreakout
OANDA:BTCUSDLong
by SadarExplore
33
BTCUSDT 111k first then UPHi fellow traders, Here’s my current BTCUSDT view on the 4H chart, based on Elliott Wave principles. After a corrective structure, we’ve seen a strong bounce, and price is now approaching a key area of interest. I’ve marked the zones I’m watching for potential buys and sells: 🟨 Lower box: Potential buy zone if price pulls back with a corrective structure. 🟨 Upper box: Area of interest for taking partials or looking for potential short setups, depending on how price reacts. If momentum continues, we could see BTC pushing into the 125K region, which aligns with fib extensions from previous swings. As always, I’m waiting for confirmation before making any entries. Let me know what you see on your end!
by OGwavetrader
BTC Bulls Back in Control – 130K in SightIn my previous BTC analysis, I highlighted that the price was sitting right in a confluence support zone, with strong odds for a bullish reversal. That scenario played out well — bulls regained control. After a retest of the low pruces in the middle of last week and a modest initial bounce, momentum accelerated today, pushing BTC close to its previous all-time high at the time of writing. Looking ahead, I don’t expect the old ATH to be a major obstacle for buyers. A clean break above should open the path toward 130K+ as the next logical upside target. For now, as long as BTC trades above 114K, bulls have no reason for concern.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
5
Bitcoin Btc usdt Daily analysis Time frame daily As you can see byc is moving up and down in the green tunnel My last target (yellow rectangle) is touched and byc couldn't break the upper side of tunnel Now, my target is 120.000 $ ( red rectangle) If this time , btc can break the green uptrend line as resistance line , my next target is 145.000$, 👉👉Important notice 👈👈 Here is not suitable Time for entry the long or short position because btc is in the middle of the tunnel
Long
by Habib-Tafazoli
BTCUSD - Important signals and levelsMarket Dynamics and Trend Current price is around $118,558, +1.18% per session. Daily range: $116,468 – $118,655. The trend remains bullish despite the consolidation period below $120,000. Institutional interest and stable buying pressure support further gains. Important signals and levels A large purchase of 274 BTC (~$32 million) is a signal of large institutional demand, which often precedes volatility spikes. Monitor funding dynamics and volumes. Capital activity - BTC is held above $114,500 due to inflows into crypto instruments; this strengthens the bullish sentiment. Cup and Handle Pattern + Bullish MACD - Technical analyst Katie Stockton expects a raid to $134,500 (~14% upside from current levels) due to a breakout of a new ATH.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by Trade_Hive_Signals
#Bitcoin Sunday Analysis: $BTC is holding near $118,330 #Bitcoin Sunday Analysis: CRYPTOCAP:BTC is holding near $118,330 after last week’s bounce from $112,398, maintaining strong bullish momentum. Macro developments — including Trump’s $12.5T pension fund order allowing BTC inclusion, pro-crypto Fed nomination, and anti-debanking executive order — mark historic steps toward full BTC integration into the U.S. financial system. 🔸 Key Support Zone at $112,000–$113,000: Liquidity pools remain here; market makers may dip price into this zone before resuming upside. This area offers a high-probability long entry. 🔸 Upside Target: $120,000 (Short-Term) A breakout above range resistance could open the path to $125,000–$130,000 mid-term, fueled by whale accumulation, strong ETF inflows, and returning retail interest. 🔸 Risk Level at $110,000: A sustained loss below this zone could slow bullish momentum, but macro and on-chain data suggest dips are buying opportunities. 🔸 Outlook: Watch $112K–$113K for entries. Stay bullish above $110K. Prepare for possible volatility with CPI data Tuesday and PPI Thursday as potential breakout catalysts.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by CryptoSkullSignal