DeGRAM | BTCUSD defended the $110k level📊 Technical Analysis
● CRYPTOCAP:BTC rebounded sharply from the 108K–109K demand zone, confirming strong buyer defense and maintaining the rising channel structure.
● Daily close above 111.5K turned previous resistance into support, setting the stage for a climb toward 123K as momentum strengthens.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Bitcoin sentiment improves as ETF inflows rise and the U.S. CPI outlook supports reduced rate hike expectations, boosting risk assets.
✨ Summary
● Long bias above 111.5K; target 123K. Technical recovery aligns with improving macro backdrop and renewed institutional demand.
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Btcusdanalysis
BTCUSD approaching another buy zone?BTCUSD With 7 months of continued series of higher low, price about to break series of higher low which could bring a new buy opportunity at around @$107,456 with break of support in this long term up trend it is highly likely to create a new bullish impulse to coninue it's long term uptrend.
This break from $126305 to current price is a sinngle one move that could lead the price to reverse back to $126,305
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) – Short SetupHi guys!
let's dive into btc:
BTC has recently broken down from its ascending channel, signaling a potential shift in short-term momentum. After the breakout, the price could go toward the previous structure zone around $122,000–$123,500, which now acts as a potential supply area.
There are two potential entry zones for short positions:
First Entry: Around $122,000, where price may face initial rejection from minor resistance.
Second Entry: Toward $123,500, aligning with the upper boundary of the recent supply zone for a better risk–reward ratio.
Both setups target the $118,400–$118,000 demand zone, which overlaps with the previous consolidation base and channel support.
As long as BTC trades below $125,500, bearish momentum is likely to remain dominant in the short term. However, a confirmed close above this level could invalidate the short setup and signal a possible re-entry into the ascending structure.
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
BITCOIN'S FALL HAS BEGUN ! DON'T GET CAUGHT UP IN THE BLOODBATH JPowel's rate cut hints that something bad is about to happen. All Fed Rate cuts have been marked by devastating market crash and this time will be no different. Don't lose your hard-earned money to the upcoming carsh !! You have been warned.
Disclaimer: Not financial advice.
BTC Bull & Bear historical Periods 3 Bull & Bear Markets
Bull markets took around 152 weeks...
then
V
v
v
v
v
Bear Markets took around 52-59 weeks..
then
v
v
v
v
v
v
v
Bull Market gain...
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After 2021 ATH
BTC recorded his current bottom after 52 weeks ( 15500 $).
BTC pumped after 59 weeks .
then what ?
Will the history will repeat itself again ??
if we will be alive inshallah ,we will see the next 152 weeks to ( October - November 2025 ) if this will be the New ATH of the next bull market or not :D
It is not a financial advice , PLZ DYOR
The amazing BTC and the secret of 152 & 52 weeks.🤔Here's an intriguing take on BTC and the potential significance of the 152 (Bulls) & 52 (Bears) week cycles:
🔑 BTC: Unlocking the Secrets of the 152 (Bulls) & 52 (Bears) Weeks 🗝️
Throughout BTC's history, a fascinating pattern has emerged – the alternation between 152-week bull cycles and 52-week bear cycles. 📈📉
This cyclical behavior has been observed multiple times, leading to the tantalizing question: Will history repeat itself once again? 🔄
My answer: Yes, I think the stars are aligning for another cosmic dance between the bulls and bears. 🐂🐻
If this pattern holds true, we are potentially witnessing a new 152-week bull run started in 7 Nov 2022 till the top around 6 October 2025, followed by a 52-week bear hibernation, and the cycle continues. ∞
However, as with all things crypto, nothing is set in stone, and the market is known for its unpredictability. 📊🔮
Nonetheless, for those who believe in the power of historical cycles, the 152 (Bulls) & 52 (Bears) weeks could serve as a fascinating guide, offering insights into potential market movements. 🧭
It is not a financial idea.
PLZ DYOR.
Good Luck.
BEARISH SIGNATURES FOUND ON BITCOINI am probably the only bearish trader on Bitcoin despite my failed analysis on the break of the 21EMA on the weekly chart previously. I found some of my missed signals (last week there was a hidden Bull on the daily chart but hurrying to complete the analysis, I missed it and stuck to the initial bias which was costly ). I still think Bitcoin whales and Big players are manipulating the market to their advantage. All the price action around the Triple tops now shows their foot print. Whiles I acknowledge that I may be wrong again, I feel guilty if I don't share what I am seeing to signal caution to all who have dedicatedly followed my publications. I am sorry for those who feel let down as I can't always be correct.
So I see a bearish Bat harmonic pattern, I see a daily bearish shooting star candle in development, I am also acknowledging a Triple Tops pattern after $125,750 shorts liquidation. There is a chance for a pullback to $118k to find support and rally can go to estimated target of $143k or else I think the move up done.
The yellow line is trend line of where I think next Bitcoin rally will take off next if bears take control.
BTCUSD – 4H Volume-Structure Analysis
Indicators
Smart Money Support/Resistance (Lite) & ATAI Volume Analysis with Price Action V1.03
Analytical Setup
• LTF: 10 seconds
• LTF Coverage Bars: 70
• Global Volume Period: 52
• Market Type: Range
• Active Zones:
- Support Zone: 121,557 – 123,941 USD (current active range shown in panel)
The analysis timeframe ensures valid volume coverage, as the period (52) is smaller than total LTF bars (70).
Resistance Area & Bull Trap Risk
In the upper range (≈123,900 USD), a Bull Trap Risk has formed immediately after an OverBought 6/7 condition — confirmed by RSI, Stoch, %R, CCI, MFI, and DeM modules in ATAI. At this point, both buy and sell volumes peaked within the 52-bar window, with S.Max = 4.33K and B.Max = 3.76K. This slight dominance by sellers indicates demand absorption at the top of the structure. The setup matches ATAI’s trap logic — high wick, overbought context, and volume imbalance — signaling potential exhaustion near resistance.
Support Area
Support is currently anchored near 121,550 USD, derived from B.Min and S.Min lows (B.Min = 7.29, S.Min = 807). This aligns with the lower projection from Smart Money S/R, marking the point where cumulative delta begins to compress. Historically, compression at minimum-volume zones often precedes short-term accumulation or range stabilization.
Structural Behavior
The chart shows a defined upward channel (orange and cyan dashed lines). After testing the upper boundary, price entered the resistance zone and generated a Bull Trap Risk followed by moderate rejection. Below, the Sharp ↓ Risk tag signals potential for a short liquidity sweep before stabilization. Volume readings still support range continuation rather than a confirmed reversal, consistent with the Range Market tag.
Probable Scenario
1. A short pullback toward the lower boundary of support (~121.5K) is expected.
2. If support holds and volume compression persists, a rebound toward 123.9K (resistance ceiling) is probable.
3. A breakdown below 121.5K could trigger a deeper correction toward the next S/R projection near 120K.
This represents a neutral-to-bullish range bias: short-term weakness, but constructive above support.
Summary
• OverBought 6/7 + Bull Trap Risk detected at resistance (≈123.9K).
• Support around 121.5K built from B.Min and S.Min.
• Sellers slightly dominant at the trap peak.
• Likely scenario: retest of support, then rebound toward resistance if volume confirms.
• Bias: range continuation until breakout beyond 123.9K or breakdown below 121.5K.
Bitcoin Strategic Outlook: Macro and Technical SummaryMacroeconomic Context
Global liquidity is rising again. Over 50 rate cuts across G-20 economies, combined with China’s multi-trillion-yuan stimulus, have added roughly US $5 trillion to global liquidity this year. The world has entered an easing cycle, supporting risk assets.
The U.S. Federal Reserve has started cutting rates but remains cautious: strong fiscal spending on AI infrastructure and tight labor markets could reignite inflation. Analysts expect a pause in early 2026 if price pressures return. Real rates and Fed communication remain the key variables for traders.
Early-Cycle Momentum & Dollar Weakness
Global growth sits in an early-cycle phase. Manufacturing softness contrasts with steady service demand, while fiscal dominance—large government spending—keeps nominal growth near 3 %. Liquidity injections from China and other markets stabilize collateral values and suppress volatility. The U.S. dollar has weakened as capital rotates globally; historically, Bitcoin outperforms during dollar downtrends and post-geopolitical shocks, adding a macro tailwind.
Institutional Demand
U.S. spot ETFs continue to reshape supply. BlackRock’s IBIT surpassed US $15 billion in six months, while corporate holders of Bitcoin doubled to 134 firms. ETF and treasury accumulation now absorb most new issuance, muting volatility and creating a structural floor. Exchange outflows are at two-year highs, confirming long-term accumulation by whales and institutions.
Regulation & Policy Clarity
The GENIUS Act (2025) established a U.S. stablecoin framework, and FASB now requires fair-value accounting for crypto. Together with SEC listing standards, these changes reduce uncertainty for large investors. The U.S. shift toward clarity has improved confidence and should sustain institutional inflows.
Technical Overview
After eight months of consolidation, Bitcoin broke to new highs above $100 k. June’s monthly candle formed a bullish pin bar, confirming demand near $102 k. Indicators remain neutral with balanced funding rates.
Key technical levels:
• Resistance $125 k – major sell zone; breakout opens $130 k–$135 k.
• Intermediate $104 k–$100 k – psychological support.
• Strong support $95 k–$90 k – 200-day EMA zone.
Losing $90 k risks a correction toward $82 k–$74 k.
On-Chain and Sentiment
Glassnode data show whales accumulating and exchange balances shrinking. Bitwise and Fidelity both note that ETFs and corporations now hold enough BTC to reduce daily float meaningfully. Market sentiment is bullish but measured—investors expect high volatility yet maintain multi-year confidence.
Expert Consensus
Standard Chartered, Tom Lee, and ARK Invest project $150 k–$200 k by end-2025, citing liquidity growth and adoption. VanEck and long-term macro investors place decade-end targets above $500 k–$1 million. RBC Capital Markets warns that inflation shocks could pause rate cuts; traders should watch CPI and real-yield trends closely.
Strategic Outlook
1–3 months: Range trading $112 k–$125 k. Break above $125 k → $130 k–$135 k target. Below $116 k → test $112 k support.
6–12 months: Liquidity expansion and ETF inflows point to $150 k–$200 k. Best opportunities likely on pullbacks to $95 k–$100 k.
3–5 years: Fixed supply, corporate adoption, and de-dollarization support an upward bias; structural forecasts $500 k–$1 million remain plausible.
Key Takeaways
Global liquidity is the dominant driver—monitor rate cuts and USD trends.
Institutional accumulation provides downside protection.
$125 k resistance defines near-term risk/reward.
Macro risks: renewed inflation, Fed policy reversals, geopolitical shocks.
Conclusion
Bitcoin enters Q4 2025 with a supportive macro backdrop, rising institutional demand, and technically strong structure. The path is volatile, but the long-term narrative of Bitcoin as a scarce, non-sovereign asset remains intact.
BTCUSD 30M – Pullback Setup Loading BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Bitcoin showing retracement signs after rejection from 126K zone — liquidity resting below 123K 👇
If it taps back into 122.8K–123K range, bulls could reload for next impulse 💪
✅ Upside Targets: 125.8K / 126.5K / 128K
❌ Invalidation: Below 122.5K
📊 Trendline structure still strong — this could be the last dip before continuation!
BTC/USD: Structure Shift Confirmed - Bearish CHoCH Break"The previous analysis highlighted the Minor and Major CHoCH levels as key lines in the sand for the recent uptrend. The market has now decisively broken BELOW both levels.
This action confirms a Bearish Change of Character in the market structure (on the chart), signaling a failure of the current bullish order flow.
1. Minor CHoCH Break: Confirmed the initial weakness and short-term pullback.
2. Major CHoCH Break: Confirms the structural shift, indicating that the corrective move is likely to be deeper than a simple consolidation.
We should now anticipate a shift in price action: making Lower Highs and Lower Lows. The previous support levels may now act as resistance. Looking for the next key demand zones for a potential bounce, but the immediate bias is now BEARISH."
BTC/USD: Structure Shift Confirmed - Bearish CHoCH Break"The previous analysis highlighted the Minor and Major CHoCH levels as key lines in the sand for the recent uptrend. The market has now decisively broken BELOW both levels.
This action confirms a Bearish Change of Character in the market structure (on the chart), signaling a failure of the current bullish order flow.
1. Minor CHoCH Break: Confirmed the initial weakness and short-term pullback.
2. Major CHoCH Break: Confirms the structural shift, indicating that the corrective move is likely to be deeper than a simple consolidation.
We should now anticipate a shift in price action: making Lower Highs and Lower Lows. The previous support levels may now act as resistance. Looking for the next key demand zones for a potential bounce, but the immediate bias is now BEARISH."
BITCOIN (BTC/USD) TECHNICAL ANALYSIS — BEARISH RETEST SETUPPair: Bitcoin (BTC/USD)
Timeframe: 30-Minute
Current Price: 121,200
Trend: Uptrend inside ascending channel, currently showing bearish correction
📊 Chart Analysis
Rising Channel (Pink Zone):
BTC has been trading inside an ascending channel since early October.
The recent movement shows a rejection at the upper boundary, followed by a pullback to the lower boundary of the channel.
Support Level (Blue Zone):
Identified between 126,200 – 127,400, previously acted as resistance, now turned potential support.
Price might retest this zone before confirming the next move.
Bearish Setup:
The projection suggests that price may retest the support, then reverse downwards toward the target zone near 119,800 – 119,700.
Entry Point:
126,238 – 126,254, ideal zone to enter a short position after a pullback.
Stop Loss:
127,435 – 127,446, above the resistance and previous highs — protecting against false breakouts.
Target Point:
119,812 – 119,795, lower channel boundary and next support area.
📈 Expected Price Movement
Current retracement may continue slightly upward to retest the blue resistance zone.
If price fails to break 127,400, a strong bearish rejection is expected.
Target zone sits around 119,800, completing a channel cycle.
✅ Summary
Parameter Level (USD) Notes
Entry 126,238 Short entry near resistance
Stop Loss 127,435 Above resistance
Target 119,812 Next support zone
Bias Bearish Sell on retest
RR Ratio ~3:1 Good short setup
Positive Market - BTC Continues to Find New ATHBTCUSD Analysis
Bitcoin is currently testing the upper boundary of a long-term ascending channel, where price has previously faced rejection several times (as shown by the red arrows).
The market recently completed a strong rally toward 124K, aligning with the 1.618 Fibonacci extension (123,609) — a significant resistance zone that triggered selling pressure.
Key observations:
• Resistance area: Around 124K–125K, aligning with the upper channel line — potential for short-term correction.
• Support zones: The first support lies near 118,100, followed by 115,000–115,500, both acting as Fibonacci retracement zones.
• Possible scenarios:
1. Price may retrace toward 118K–115K to gather liquidity before another push upward.
2. If the market holds above 123K, a breakout toward 132K–133K could be confirmed.
Overall, momentum remains bullish, but the current zone requires caution — a short-term pullback is likely before the next major move.
#BTCUSDT: Two Areas To Buy Swing, Same Target $150KDear traders,
We are resuming publication here on TradingView. If you agree with our insights, consider liking and commenting on the idea.
Let’s focus on Bitcoin. Its price has rallied since the last two weeks, showing extreme bullish volume in the market. This is mainly due to fear of negative fundamentals in the US economy, which is showing a lack of trust in the US Dollar. As traders and investors seek alternatives to the US Dollar, the main two prospects that look promising are Gold and Bitcoin.
So, what’s next? We think there are two possible buying areas where the price could reverse. The first is at a minor correction, and the second is a major correction. However, we believe the minor correction looks more promising at the current market conditions, while the major corrections would require fundamental intervention. Both present good opportunities.
This is our view only, and it doesn’t guarantee that the price will follow our predictions. Do your own analysis and research before making any decisions. We thank each of you for your support throughout and expect it to continue.
Much Love and Regards,
Team Setupsfx_
BTCUSD: Sideways market plan🔁 Review of Yesterday’s Plan
Yesterday, we had two breakout trading plans for BITSTAMP:BTCUSD :
IRB (Inside Range Break)
Price moved exactly as projected.
Trade reached a profit of 2R – 2.5R, depending on individual target exits.
RB/ARB (Range Break / Advance Range Break)
Price reached the top boundary of the range and formed a bullish breakout candle,
but was immediately followed by a strong bearish candle pulling back into the range.
This was a clear False Breakout → No trade was taken, waiting instead for the next clear setup.
📈 Market Outlook for Today
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD has now moved back inside the larger range (125,710 – 122,383), showing that the market is currently sideways within a wide range.
The most recent candle closed below the EMA, indicating no clear signal for continuation trades yet.
🧭 Trading Plan for Today
Wait for a new compression setup to form before entering.
If price consolidates and compresses near the upper boundary of the range, prepare to Buy once confirmation appears.
If price continues to drop toward the lower boundary of the range, consider Sell setups, depending on how price reacts to support.
🎯 Summary:
BTC is currently in an accumulation (sideway) phase.
Be patient and wait for a valid breakout setup before taking action — avoid chasing the market and focus on trading only when momentum and confirmation align.
You can refer to my previous analysis here:
Please like and comment below to support our traders. Your reactions motivate us to do more analysis in the future 🙏✨
Daniel Miller @ ZuperView
BTC/USDT Bullish Channel – Eyes on $130K Targets🔍 Key Observations:
Trend Direction: Bullish
Price is moving consistently within an upward sloping channel, suggesting a strong and steady uptrend.
Current Price: ~$124,353
Price is near the lower boundary of the channel, indicating a possible bounce opportunity to ride the trend higher.
Targets:
Target 1: $128,001
Target 2: $130,100
These are potential resistance zones or profit-taking levels if the bullish move continues.
Structure:
The marked zig-zag path suggests anticipated higher highs and higher lows, in line with a typical channel-based bullish continuation.
BTC OutlookPotential Move Toward 140K in the Long-Term Channel Expansion
BTC is currently trading inside an expanding ascending channel.
From my perspective, price is currently pushing toward a new local high, and there’s a strong probability we see continuation toward the 140K region in the mid-to-long term – assuming no major shift in macro or market sentiment.
Note: This is not financial advice. Always manage your risk and trade based on your own strategy.
BTC/USD – Flag Formation Near Trendline Support Breakout SeemsBitcoin is respecting its bullish market structure, continuing to form higher highs and higher lows. After the impulsive rally toward 125,600, price has entered a short consolidation phase and is currently testing a rising trendline acting as dynamic support.
This structure resembles a bullish flag / ascending triangle, suggesting that buyers may soon regain control if price holds above the trendline.
🔹 Market Outlook
• Structure: Bullish continuation
• Pattern: Bullish flag / triangle formation
• Bias: Buy on confirmation above resistance or from trendline support
💎 Trade Plan
Option 1 – Immediate Buy (Aggressive)
🟢 Buy Now: 122,900 – 123,000
🎯 Target 1: 123,800
🎯 Target 2: 125,500 (resistance high)
🛑 Stop-Loss: below 122,400
Option 2 – Pending Buy (Conservative)
🟢 Buy Stop: 123,600 (breakout above flag)
🎯 Target 1: 124,600
🎯 Target 2: 125,500 – 126,000
🛑 Stop-Loss: below 122,800
⚠️ Alternative Scenario
If the trendline breaks and price closes below 122,400, expect a short-term shift toward 121,800–121,200, where fresh demand could appear for the next leg higher.
📈 Summary
• Trendline support still intact ✅
• Bullish flag structure forming ✅
• Confirmation needed above 123,600 for momentum continuation 🚀
• Maintain bullish bias while price holds above 122,400
BITCOIN SIGNAL: PRICE DISCOVERY TARGET + When Altseason ? Yello Paradisers! Enjoy the video!
And Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable.
Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD)Bitcoin just broke a new all-time high 🚀
As shown in my pinned analysis, I marked the $111K level and mentioned that investors could also look for entries around $109K.
Today, you can see how that plan played out ✅
I’m not a fortune teller,
I don’t know what the whales are planning,
I don’t memorize Glassnode data —
My only tool is the chart 📊
I’m a swing trader —
Calm, stress-free, and patient.
Hope this analysis helped you too.
🎯 Stay profitable and trade safe.
BTCUSD: Monday analysis and buy plan within rangeLast week, BITSTAMP:BTCUSD had a strong bullish recovery, setting a new all-time high.
At the moment, the trading plan remains bullish (Buy bias), but risk and position sizing should be managed carefully, as the market may experience short-term corrections after such an extended rally.
🧭 BTC Trading Plan
Small Range within a Larger Range
Price is currently moving inside a smaller range within a larger range.
Wait for price to accumulate momentum and form an IRB (Inside Range Break) signal before setting up a potential Buy entry.
Upper Boundary of the Larger Range
Once price breaks the IRB and approaches the upper boundary of the major range, look for price compression near EMA.
Upon confirmation of an RB/ARB (Range Break / Advance Range Break), execute a Buy market order, aiming for a reward ratio of 2R or higher.
If the Market Deviates from Plan
Stay on the sidelines and wait for clearer signals before re-entering the market.
🎯 Summary:
BTC remains in a bullish structure, but selective entries and disciplined risk control are essential.
Wishing everyone a productive and profitable trading week ahead!
You can refer to my previous analysis here:
Please like and comment below to support our traders. Your reactions motivate us to do more analysis in the future 🙏✨
Daniel Miller @ ZuperView






















