Bitcoin Breakdown Pullback Target Locked In📊 BTC Analysis – Breakdown With Incoming Retracement
Bitcoin has broken cleanly below the previous consolidation block, confirming a shift from neutral to bearish short-term structure. After the breakdown, price found temporary support around 90,000, where buyers are attempting a relief bounce.
Your chart highlights a likely retracement path toward the 92,500 – 93,000 zone.
This area lines up with:
The bottom of the last range (now turned resistance)
Ichimoku cloud resistance
A typical breakdown retest zone
A potential liquidity grab level before continuation
This makes it the most probable reaction zone for sellers to re-enter the market.
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🔍 Key Technical Points
Trend: Short-term bearish after the breakdown.
Current Move: Relief bounce forming from local support.
Main Target: Retest into 92.5K–93K before resistance kicks in.
Expectation: BTC may bounce upward first, then face strong rejection from the marked zone.
Invalidation: A sustained break above 93,200 would weaken the bearish idea.
Btcusdlong
BTCUSD in Risk-Off Mode | Diversify & Scalp SmartBTCUSD Risk-Off Consolidation – Eyes on 70K Risk, Scalping to 100K
Bitcoin’s stuck in a risk-off rut, consolidating near 90,000–95,000 as global markets turn cautious. It’s not dumping yet, but a sell-off to 70,000 looms if sentiment worsens. Here’s my approach to navigate this:
Setup:
Current State: BTCUSD’s holding low, reflecting risk-off flows (flat 20-day EMA, RSI ~40). Volume profile shows weak support until 70,000.
Risk Warning: A break below 90,000 could trigger a slide to 70,000, a key demand zone with historical buying.
Strategy:
Scalping Start: Enter small-position scalps (0.01–0.02 lots) on intraday bounces (e.g., 4H bullish pin bars above 90,000), then manage into longer-term positions if momentum builds.
Diversification: Mitigate risk by trading other pairs (e.g., XAUUSD, EURUSD) with calculated entries. Use available margin and prop firm leverage (e.g., FTMO’s 1:100) wisely, keeping total risk at 10% max.
Position Management: Scale in cautiously, trailing stops to lock in profits. My long-term target is 100,000, but hope isn’t a strategy—small positions keep me flexible.
Market Context:
Risk-off sentiment (e.g., equity sell-offs, USD strength post-Fed) is capping Bitcoin’s upside. Recent highs near 103,000 (November 2025) faded fast, and low volume suggests hesitation. A 70,000 test is possible if macro fears grow, but 100,000 remains viable if safe-haven flows return. Volatility’s moderate (3–5% daily), ideal for scalping with tight risk.
Risk Warning: Don’t put all eggs in one basket. BTC’s downside risk demands diversification and strict risk management (10% max, per FTMO rules). Trade calculated, not emotional!
What’s your BTCUSD play?
Share your setups or risk-off strategies below!
#BTCUSD #Bitcoin #RiskOff #Scalping #RiskManagement
BTC Dip and RipBTC appears to be repeating the pattern from a similar decline on December 10th by falling and consolidating around monthly VWAP (yellow dots). It swept a pocket of liquidity around 89,100-300 and cascaded lower during the low volume trading which was expected. The next large liquidity cluster on the weekly is around 95k, so I think we target that next. However, I'm targeting a more conservative range of 93,000-500 since this area has acted as very strong resistance lately and for the following reasons:
low amount of nearby short liquidations required to rapidly cascade upwards (toward 100k)
futures open interest is still bearish but modestly recovering
IBIT while put/call OI is bullish, the excessive calls (1.1MM vs. 617k puts) are acting as resistance due to spot hedging
dealer gamma positioning is positive which acts to dampen volatility (both directions)
I have also provided an alternate path which has BTC testing the lower trend line of the bear flag on the 1D chart. If this line breaks, then the measured move projects a potential low of $65k. I will definitely cut longs and flip short on a meaningful break of this trend line.
I opened at 90k on Friday. I expected the liquidity sweep but I'm trading IBIT options, which required a commitment before NY close. I expect the trade to play out by the end of this week.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Daily Chart: Downtrend Pressure with Early Sta
Trend: BTC is still trading below a clear descending trendline, confirming a broader bearish structure since the mid-year highs. Lower highs and lower lows remain intact.
Price Action: Current price is around $90,160, consolidating after a sharp sell-off in November. This looks like a pause or base-building phase, not yet a confirmed reversal.
RSI (≈44): RSI is below 50, indicating weak momentum, but it has stabilized above oversold territory. This suggests selling pressure is easing, though bulls are not in control yet.
MACD: MACD remains below the signal line, but histogram contraction hints at bearish momentum slowing. A bullish crossover would be an early reversal signal.
Momentum/Volume Indicator: Negative values persist, showing dominant bearish momentum, but the flattening bars imply reduced downside strength.
Key Levels:
Resistance: $95,000–$100,000 (trendline + prior support)
Support: $85,000, then $78,000
Outlook:
BTC is in a bearish-to-neutral transition zone. A daily close above the descending trendline with RSI reclaiming 50 would favor a trend reversal. Failure to hold $85,000 increases the risk of another leg down toward $78,000.
BTCUSD 15-Minute Chart – Symmetrical Triangle Consolidation withAnalysis:
Market Structure: After a sharp bearish impulse (strong sell-off), BTC entered a consolidation phase, forming a symmetrical triangle. This indicates balance between buyers and sellers after high volatility.
Trend Context: The impulse move before the triangle was downward, but price has stabilized and volatility is compressing — often a precursor to a strong breakout.
Pattern Details:
Lower highs and higher lows are clearly converging.
Price is currently near the apex, where breakout probability increases.
Bias:
The drawn plan suggests a bullish breakout scenario.
Entry is placed slightly above triangle resistance to avoid false breakouts.
Trade Plan (as illustrated):
Entry: On confirmed breakout above the triangle resistance
Target: Measured move projection upward (roughly equal to the triangle’s height)
Stop Loss (SL): Below triangle support to invalidate the setup
Risk–Reward:
Favorable R:R, as the stop is tight relative to the projected upside.
Confirmation to Watch:
Strong bullish candle close above resistance
Increase in volume on breakout
Failure signal if price breaks down instead and closes below support
Conclusion:
BTCUSD is coiling inside a symmetrical triangle after a high-momentum drop. The setup favors a volatility expansion trade, with a bullish breakout being the planned direction — but confirmation is essential. A downside breakout would invalidate the bullish bias and shift momentum back to sellers.
Elise | BTCUSD 30M - Recovery Into HTF ResistanceBITSTAMP:BTCUSD
The impulsive recovery suggests strong demand from lower levels, but current price is trading inside a prior distribution zone where reactions and pullbacks are expected. Trend remains bullish while holding above key intraday support.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀 → Hold above 91,400
🎯 93,400 → 🎯 94,000
❌ Bearish Case 📉 → Lose 91,000
🎯 90,400 → 🎯 89,800
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 93,400 – 94,000
Support 🟢: 91,400 / 91,000
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
BITCOIN - Buy BTCUSD nowBITCOIN (BTC/USD) has recently been stuck inside a triangle channel pattern and has struggled to break out for a few weeks. However, the price has recently broken a strong resistance level (the white trend line shown on the chart) - The price is currently above the trend line which acted as a strong resistance level and is now very likely to hit the next resistance zone which is labeled as the take profit level. buy BTCUSD now!
“Bitcoin / U.S. Dollar” (BTC/USD) on the 4‑hour timeframe from B1. Price Movement: The candlestick pattern indicates an ascending trend channel (blue lines) with a recent breakout above the upper channel line (circled area), suggesting bullish momentum.
2. Target Point: A red horizontal line marks a target at 95,919.5, implying the expected upside if the bullish move continues.
3. Support Zone: A red shaded rectangle highlights a demand zone between 85,755.8 and 88,210.8, acting as a key support level.
4. Green Rectangle: Represents a potential profit zone extending from approximately 88,210.8 to the target 95,919.5, indicating an expected price surge.
5. Current Price: BTC/USD is trading around 92,089 (as of 02:50:26), sitting above the support and aiming for the target.
6. Analysis Implication: The setup suggests a bullish continuation after the breakout, with traders likely watching for sustained movement above the channel to confirm the upward run toward the target, while keeping an eye on the support zone for any reversal🚀📈
BTCUSD – PDH Reclaimed | Liquidity Sweeps on Both Sides BTC swept liquidity at the weekly high zone (94,116) and delivered a sharp rejection.
Price then dropped into the demand zone around the Previous Day Low (87,775–89,000), where strong buy interest stepped in twice.
Now price is trading back above PDH (91,778) and retesting intraday supply.
Key Points:
Multiple liquidity grabs on both ends
Buyers defended PD Low zone aggressively
Market reclaiming PDH hints at short-term bullish continuation
Break above 92,295 may open the path back toward the weekly high
Bias:
Bullish above PDH; neutral-to-bearish only if price falls back below 89,875.
BTC is preparing for a decisive move — watching reaction at intraday supply.
BTC/USD – Support Retest & Possible Recovery PathBITSTAMP:BTCUSD
If Bitcoin maintains support above 88,245, bullish recovery toward the previous 93,500–94,000 resistance zone becomes probable. This zone remains the main area where sellers previously controlled price, so a breakout confirmation is required for further continuation.
A breakdown below this structure exposes deeper liquidity levels toward 83,869 demand, where stronger buy reaction is expected.
Key Scenarios
🔵 Bullish Setup
Hold above 88,245 → break micro-range →
🎯 Target 1 → 91,200
🎯 Target 2 → 93,500
🎯 Target 3 → 94,000 (main resistance)
📌 Invalidation if price closes below 88,245
🔴 Bearish Setup (If Support Fails)
Break below 88,245 → continuation downwards
🎯 Target → 85,500
🎯 Target → 83,869 major demand
Possible reversal expected from demand block.
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance: 93,500 → 94,000
Support: 88,245
Demand: 83,869
⚠️ This is an educational analysis, not financial advice.
BTCUSD Technical Analysis (30m)This post provides an analytical breakdown of BTCUSD using the 30-minute timeframe (30m), leveraging our proprietary technical indicator: the Trend Break Target (TBT) Indicator.
Market Structure Shift and Indicator Activation
The current analysis focuses on a significant change in the market structure observed on the 30m chart. The TBT indicator was programmed to detect and react to specific conditions that signify a high-probability continuation or reversal.
Activation Signal: The indicator was activated and the price targets were subsequently generated following the closing of the specific candle indicated by the arrow on the chart. This close confirmed the necessary structural change (e.g., a break of resistance/support, or a specific pattern completion) required by the TBT's underlying logic. This market structure shift (MSS) provides the foundation for the calculated price objectives.
Calculated Price Targets (TBT Forecast)
Based on the activation of the Trend Break Target Indicator, the following potential price objectives have been calculated. These targets represent areas where price action is statistically likely to find resistance, profit-taking activity, or a high-probability exhaustion point for the current move.
🎯 Target 1 (T1): $90,400
Significance: This is the immediate and most probable objective, often representing a minimum measured move following the structure break.
🎯 Target 2 (T2): $91,450
Significance: A secondary, extended target that comes into play if bullish momentum persists and T1 is cleanly surpassed and held.
🎯 Target 3 (T3): $92,709
Significance: The final, ambitious target representing the full potential move calculated by the TBT model based on the initial structure shift. It acts as the high-end projection for the current impulsive wave.
Disclaimer
Note: This analysis is based on a proprietary indicator and should be used for informational and educational purposes only. Always manage your risk effectively, use appropriate stop-loss orders, and conduct your own due diligence before making any trading decisions. The crypto market is highly volatile, and actual price action may deviate from projected targets.
BTCUSD H4 | Bullish Bounce Off SupportMomentum: Bullish
Price is currently above the ichimoku cloud.
Buy entry: 89,032.73
- Pullback support
- 50% Fib retracement
- 61.8% Fib projection
- Fair Value Gap
Stop Loss: 83,814.97
- Swing low support
Take Profit: 93,783.86
- Multi-swing high resistance
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com/en ): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
BTCUSD H1 | Bullish Bounce Off Key SupportMomentum: Bullish
Price is currently above the ichimoku cloud.
Buy entry: 92,081.46
- Pullback support
- 61.8% Fib retracement
- Fair Value Gap
Stop Loss: 90,651.34
- Swing low support
Take Profit: 93,717.39
- Swing high resistance
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com/en ): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
BTCUSD H1 | Bullish Bounce Off Key SupportMomentum: Bullish
Price is currently above the ichimoku cloud.
Buy entry: 89,140.72
- Pullback support
- 61.8% Fib retracement
- H4 Fair Value Gap
Stop Loss: 86,017.24
- Multi-swing low support
Take Profit: 92,946.25
- Multi-swing high resistance
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com/en ): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
BTCUSD – Key Level Rejection with Potential Liquidity Sweep TowaChart Analysis
1. Price Context
BTCUSD is trading around $90,675.
The chart shows price rejecting the Key Level and failing to hold above the Daily CLS (daily close level).
Recent candles indicate loss of bullish momentum with a series of lower highs forming.
2. Key Zones on Your Chart
🔴 Daily CLS (Resistance)
Marked in red.
Price tried to break and hold above this level but rejected, showing it is acting as strong overhead resistance.
The shaded gray area above looks like the stop-loss zone for shorts, suggesting a bearish setup.
🟢 Key Level
Marked slightly below the Daily CLS.
Price broke above it earlier but is now retesting from the top, failing to reclaim.
This retest-rejection pattern signals a shift from bullish to bearish sentiment.
3. Trade Bias Indicated by the Chart
Your marked zone suggests a short position setup:
Entry around current price or just under the Key Level.
Stop-loss in the gray shaded box above the Daily CLS.
Take Profit 1 at 50% CLS TP1, a midpoint liquidity target.
Final TP near the green support at the bottom.
This structure reflects a liquidity-based short setup, expecting:
A sweep of local highs → rejection → push down to fill inefficiencies or revisit liquidity pools below.
4. Market Structure
Price printed a strong move up earlier, leaving inefficiency below.
Now forming lower highs and lower lows on the lower timeframe.
Hold below Key Level suggests continuation downward.
5. Bearish Confirmation Signals
✔ Failure to hold above Daily CLS
✔ Break of Key Level and retest as resistance
✔ Weak bullish follow-through
✔ Liquidity target below at 50% CLS






















