BTCUSD Daily Trend Analysis from May 05, 2025Based on my analysis, BTCUSD is likely to experience a bearish trend over the next four trading days. A sell signal has been confirmed, with a stop-loss set at 97,939. Key support levels to watch are 83,974 and 80,491 — the latter becoming relevant only if the price breaks and closes below 83,974.
Please note: this is a personal market outlook and not a trading recommendation. Traders should rely on real-time technical analysis and implement appropriate risk management practices before making any trading decisions.
Btcusdsignals
BITCOIN 1st 1W MACD Bullish Cross in 7 months!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is ahead of completing this week a Bullish Cross on its 1W MACD, which will be the first one after 7 months (since October 14 2024).
This is a major technical bullish development as since the very first one (Sep 26 2022) right before the November 21 2022 Bear Cycle bottom, it has always kick-started the Bullish Legs of this 2.5-year Channel Up.
In addition to that, this was accompanied by an Ichimoku Bullish Cross, where the Conversion Line (green) crossed above the Base Line (black). Considering also that exactly 4 weeks ago BTC found Support and rebounded on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), we can safely confirm a Bottom there and call for the minimum +100.73% rise, similar to the first Bullish Leg of this Channel Up. We remain consistent to our $150000 Target.
So do you think this 1W MACD Bullish Cross is the final confirmation we need for the new Bullish Leg? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Sell@97500, TP 96000 - 95000 - 94000🎉 Yesterday, I accurately predicted that the price of BTC would break through 97,000! 🚀 Now, a pullback is on the horizon ⬇️. Keep an eye on the support level at 93,000! 👀
⚡⚡⚡ BTCUSD ⚡⚡⚡
🚀 Sell@97500
🚀 TP 96000 - 95000 - 94000
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟
Summary of the Bitcoin Market This WeekThis week, the Bitcoin market showed a trend of steady increase and broke through the key resistance level.👉👉👉
Technically, the MACD indicator on the daily chart shows a strong bullish signal, and the price has also held above the key moving average, confirming the short - to medium - term upward trend. Overall, market sentiment is relatively optimistic, and investors' expectations for it to break through the psychological barrier of $100,000 have increased. However, when Bitcoin approaches the $98,000 level, it may form a short - term resistance, and as the price gets closer to the $100,000 mark, the overly optimistic market sentiment also increases the risk of a pullback.
The better than expected performance of the US job market has alleviated recession concerns, boosted the sentiment of risky assets, and provided support for Bitcoin. Meanwhile, the signs of easing in US - China trade relations have had a positive impact on the global financial markets, including the cryptocurrency market.
This week, the Bitcoin market has performed strongly driven by various factors. Both on-chain data and market indicators have shown positive signals. However, during the process of price increase, it's also necessary to pay attention to the potential risk of a pullback.
The decisive day of major data (BTCUSD)Yesterday, it was mentioned that the expectation of continuing to buy after a retracement of 96k was completely correct. Followers also made good profits.
BTCUSD bulls are still strong. The retracement is mainly long trading, which needs to be paid attention to at present. 96k/95k are both good buying opportunities.
TP98K-100K
Can BTCUSD continue to be purchased? The answer is definitely.Can BTCUSD continue to be purchased? The answer is definitely.
The current trend is a rebound trend after a volatile decline. The space for a short-term increase of 1,500 points is very simple. The target position is 94,700-95,200. Friends who like to do short-term swing trading can follow.
BITCOIN is filling all gaps as it should.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is having its strongest 1D green candle since April 22 (for now) and basically today's analysis is a continuation/ modification of our April 14 buy call (see chart below):
Our Target was $99500 but we now update it to $106000 as we see a different pattern through filling the Lower Highs gaps. As you can see, since BTC's April 07 bottom, the rebound has filled one Lower High of the downtrend after the other.
At the same time, it has posted identical rallies before consolidating, the 1st one +15.37% and the 2nd +15.11%. We are currently on the 3d and if it makes again +15.11%, then it gets us to $106.9k. That is marginally above the Lower High of January 30, practically the first Lower High after the January 20 All Time High (ATH).
Moreover, the 2.0 Fibonacci extension level is at $106k and this is why we've moved our short-term Target there. This fills all dynamic conditions of this uptrend.
Do you think that's a fair estimate? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN (BTCUSD): Strong Bullish Signs?! ₿
Bitcoin has probably completed the accumulation
stage after a completion of a strong bullish wave a week ago.
I see a breakout of a resistance line of a symmetrical triangle
on a daily time frame.
It is an important sign of strength of the buyers.
The price may continue going up now and reach 98.180 level.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Bitcoin Repeating 2022 Structure? Same Setup, Same Outcome?Bitcoin’s current market structure is starting to mirror its 2022 setup—right before the big drop.
This chart shows a familiar pattern: a rally, a peak, first drop from the ATH, a bull trap… then the major second leg down.
If history repeats, CRYPTOCAP:BTC could be on the verge of another significant move.
Will it break the cycle this time—or follow the same path again?
📉 What do you think?
Share your take in the comments below.
Please support this idea with a LIKE👍 if you find it useful🥳
Happy Trading💰🥳🤗
BITCOIN This is where the real BULL started in 2017.We've mentioned on numerous occasions how Bitcoin's (BTCUSD) current Cycle resembles that of 2014 - 2017 and this evidence is self-explanatory on the chart. What we want to bring forward today, and the timing couldn't be better, is that symmetrically speaking, it was the exact same time of the year (April 2017) when the past Cycle started printing predominantly green candles that lasted until the very end of 2017 (December) and the Cycle Top.
The 3W RSI sequences are identical among the two fractals with a Pivot trend-line dominating both Cycles, first as a Resistance (red arrows) and then turned into Support (green arrows). Before the end-of-year Parabolic Rally, the Bull Cycle was classified into 3 pull-back/ consolidation Phases (blue Rectangles) and, no surprise, the mini rallies started around the same times.
Can this indicate that we are about to see a strong rally of predominantly green candles towards the end of the year to form the new Cycle High? What do you think?
Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN Why is this rally surprising you?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has completed 3 straight green weeks, with an impressive last 1W candle closing and started the new one right where it left. This rise shouldn't be surprising to most as it has fulfilled all the conditions that initiated all major rallies since the November 2022 Bear market bottom.
The first week of April rebounded strongly on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which as mentioned numerous times on our channel, has been this Bull Cycle's main Support and kickstarted the Q4 2023 and Q4 2024 rallies.
At the same time, the 1W RSI broke last week above its MA, which has been the final confirmation of those Bullish Legs. With the 1W Bollinger Bands (BB) still ranged, the top trend-line is expected to rise aggressively as BTC's uptrend accelerates, something that resembles October 2023 and October 2024.
Throughout this Bull Cycle, those rallies have lasted around the same time, the longest being 14 weeks. As a result, the latest the current Bullish Leg tops should be on the week of July 14 2025 and a +92% rise as February - March 2024 should deliver a test of the Higher Highs trend-line around $140000.
Do you think that's the most probable scenario? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bulls Warming Up! BTC Aiming Higher – Are You Ready?Hi traders! Analyzing BTC/USD on the 1H timeframe, price is moving within a rising channel and finding support at key EMA levels.
🔹 Entry: 94,115
🔹 TP: 96,005
🔹 SL: 92,225
BTC is holding above the 100 EMA and respecting the lower boundary of the ascending channel. As long as price stays above 93,300, the bullish structure remains intact, pointing towards a potential move to the 96,000 area.
Volume remains stable, and the trend detector continues to signal a bullish bias. A break and close above 94,400 would strengthen the bullish momentum!
Watching closely for a confirmation of strength!
⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice. Every trader must evaluate their own risk and strategy.
Trade Plan for BTC/USD (30-Minute Timeframe)Market Context:
Price is currently in a downtrend, heading toward a strong demand zone.
There is a major supply zone above where selling pressure previously pushed the price down.
Entry Plan:
🔵 Buy Entry:
Wait for price to tap into the Demand Zone (around 93,000–93,400 USD).
Look for bullish confirmation (e.g., bullish engulfing candle, strong rejection wick, or structure break on lower timeframes like 5-min).
Enter a buy trade once confirmation appears.
🔴 Sell Entry:
If price reaches the Supply Zone (around 95,400–95,800 USD), wait for bearish confirmation (e.g., bearish engulfing, rejection candles).
Consider selling if bearish signs are strong.
Stop Loss:
✅ For Buy Trade:
Below the Demand Zone (~92,800 USD), giving enough room for volatility.
✅ For Sell Trade:
Above the Supply Zone (~95,900 USD).
Take Profit Targets:
🎯 Buy Trade TP:
First Target: Previous minor resistance (~94,600 USD)
Final Target: Supply Zone (~95,400–95,800 USD)
🎯 Sell Trade TP:
First Target: Minor support (~94,600 USD)
Final Target: Back to Demand Zone (~93,400 USD)
Risk Management:
Risk only 1–2% of your trading account per trade.
Adjust position size according to stop loss distance.
Maintain Risk-Reward Ratio of at least 1:2 or better.
Important Reminder:
Always wait for clear confirmation signals before entering. Avoid forcing trades. Manage emotions and stick to your plan!
BITCOIN's Trump effect: The 2025 PARABOLIC FINALE is coming!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has completed 3 straight green 1W candles, making an impressive start into Q2 2025. But is it a coincidence or systemic behavior of technical trends?
It certainly is no coincidence the structure that the market has with Trump under President. Q1 has been undoubtedly disastrous due to the Trade War fueled by back and forth tariffs. But this is a pattern we've seen before and more specifically in Trump's 1st Term during Q1 2017.
As you can see, BTC was again under heavy volatility during Trump's 1st Term Q1, even though the correction wasn't as hard initially. What's more interesting however, is that in both Terms, the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY, blue trend-line) topped in Q1 and started collapsing. In 2017 that was the catalyst that fueled BTC's insane Parabolic Rally for the rest of the year.
Can the current Dollar collapse kick-start a rally for the rest of 2025? If the Trade War stabilizes, it certainly looks so. It is no coincidence that in 2017 Trump came out storming that the Dollar was too high just like he states now that the Interest Rates are too high, pressuring the Fed to cut.
So what do you think? Is the rest of 2025 destined to be as strong as 2017? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTC/USD) Short Setup: Triple Top Formation Targeting 86,023 USD You’re seeing a potential Head and Shoulders structure (or at least a triple top) — with the orange circles marking failure to break higher around $95K.
The neckline (support) is slightly diagonal down toward the $94K region.
A breakdown is anticipated once the neckline fails.
2. EMAs Interaction:
30 EMA (red) is currently flattening, showing weakening momentum.
200 EMA (blue) is far below, around 88,181 USD, acting as a major support zone — and it aligns with the projected EA TARGET POINT.
EMA compression usually precedes a strong move.
3. Zones and Key Price Levels:
Entry Point: ~95,145.60 USD → high-probability short sell.
Stop Loss: ~96,000–96,957 USD → protects against unexpected breakout.
Target: ~86,023 USD → aligns with past accumulation zone and EMA200.
4. Risk/Reward Ratio:
Potential reward is about 9–10%.
Risk (from entry to stop) is about 1–2%.
Excellent Risk/Reward (>4:1).
5. Momentum and Volume (implied, not shown):
Given the topping pattern and lack of higher highs, buying momentum is weakening.
If volume increases on a breakdown, confirmation will be strong.
📊 Strategic Points:
Aspect Analysis
Trend Still bullish, but topping signs visible
EMA Behavior Short-term EMA flattening, long-term EMA rising slowly
Pattern Formed Triple Top / Head and Shoulders
Risk/Reward Very good (>4:1)
Recommendation Short bias around entry level, with strict stop-loss
⚡ Quick Trading Plan:
Entry: Short at ~$95,145
Stop Loss: ~$96,000–96,957
Target: ~$86,023
BITCOIN $140k will come sooner than you think!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) eventually made the strong rebound we've been talking about on the highly important Support cluster of: a) the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), b) the former All Time High (ATH) trend-line and c) the Higher Lows Zone of the current Bull Cycle.
This Triple Hold Move is expected to produce the strongest rally of the Bull Cycle, the Parabolic Rally. But even if it is similar to the 'weakest' rally of this Cycle, then we should be expecting at least a +92.94% rise from the bottom, which translates to a price marginally above $140000. And that could come as early as this August.
So do you think we'll be seeing a rally at least as strong as last year's? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTC TO THE MOON! or no?)I am closely analyzing Bitcoin’s (BTC) recent price action following its decisive break above the critical $88,700 resistance level. This breakout has shifted market dynamics, and several scenarios now appear plausible based on current structure and momentum:
Pullback and Continuation: BTC may experience a corrective move back to the $88,000–$89,000 zone, likely retesting the breakout level as support. For this bullish scenario to remain valid, BTC must reclaim and close above the prior monthly high (PMH) by the end of the current monthly candle, signaling strong buyer commitment and paving the way for further upside.
Immediate Advance with Later Correction: Alternatively, BTC could continue its ascent toward the PMH, potentially encountering resistance at this key level. A rejection here might trigger a retracement to the $88,000–$89,000 range, where buyers could step in to defend the newly established support.
Bearish Breakdown: Should BTC fail to hold above $88,000, a breakdown below this level could accelerate selling pressure, targeting the $83,000 region. Such a move would likely liquidate a significant number of leveraged long positions, amplifying volatility and potentially resetting the market for a deeper correction.
At the time of this analysis, BTC is trading at approximately $91,234, with a 24-hour high of $91,898 and a low of $90,123 as of April 24, 2025, reflecting heightened volatility post-breakout. Traders should monitor price action around the aforementioned levels, particularly the $88,000–$89,000 zone and the PMH, as these will be critical in determining the next directional move. Risk management remains paramount in this high-probability setup.
BTC may drop back to 90,000 pointsBTC is likely to pull back to around 90,000 points before starting to rebound.
In terms of capital flow, the upward momentum of XAU/USD has been temporarily halted ⏸️, and a large amount of capital is rapidly flowing into the virtual currency market 💸! As the leader of virtual currencies, Bitcoin has undoubtedly become an important destination for capital inflows 🌟. The injection of a large amount of capital has directly driven a significant surge in the price of BTC 📈. Capital chases profits just like water flows 🌊. Against the backdrop of the phased adjustment in the gold market, Bitcoin, with its unique technological attributes and market vitality, has attracted the attention of many investors, laying a solid capital foundation for its subsequent price increase 🏗️.
At the macro policy level, Trump's remarks have had a strong impact on the financial market 😲! His change in attitude towards Fed Chairman Powell has triggered the reallocation of market funds 🔄. When he previously threatened to remove Powell, investors' concerns about the Fed's policy intensified, and they flocked to the gold market for hedging, pushing up the gold price 🚀. However, Trump's latest statement that he will not fire Powell and his call for interest rate cuts have alleviated some of the investors' anxiety, prompting funds to flow back into US dollar - denominated assets 📉. It should be noted that during this process, some of the funds withdrawn from the gold market have not fully returned to traditional US dollar assets but have flowed into the virtual currency field such as Bitcoin 💥. As an emerging digital asset, Bitcoin has both certain hedging and speculative attributes, and has become a new safe haven and value - added target for funds 💰.
In international trade, Trump has shown signs of easing in the trade negotiations with China and is trying to reach an agreement quickly to reduce tariffs (although not to zero) 🤝. The past uncertainty in trade relations was one of the important factors driving up the gold price ⚠️. With the expected easing of trade tensions, potential future trade easing measures may suppress the market demand for gold as a safe haven asset ⏳. In contrast, the Bitcoin market is less directly affected by trade policies. Instead, due to its characteristics such as decentralization and global circulation 🌐, it has gained more favor during the process of capital reallocation. When the attractiveness of traditional safe haven assets declines, the scarcity and innovation of Bitcoin make it a new choice for investors to diversify risks and pursue returns 🎯, further stimulating the market demand for BTC 📈.
⚡⚡⚡ BTCUSD ⚡⚡⚡
🚀 Sell@92000 - 92500
🚀 TP 91000 - 90000
The market has been extremely volatile lately 📈📉 If you can't figure out the market's direction, you'll only be a cash dispenser for others 💰
BTC/USD) breakout up trand analysis Read The ChaptianMr SMC Trading point update
bullish analysis of Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on the 4-hour timeframe, showing a potential breakout and rally scenario. breakdown:
---
1. Market Structure:
Downtrend Channel: Price has been moving within a falling channel.
Double Bottom Pattern: Marked by two green arrows — a bullish reversal signal.
Breakout Attempt: Price is testing the upper trendline and 200 EMA (~$83,952), suggesting possible breakout.
---
2. Key Zones:
FVG (Fair Value Gap): Around $78,678 — a demand zone where price could retest before moving higher.
Breakout Confirmation Zone: ~$85,130 — breaking above this with volume signals strength.
Target Point: $95,206 — an upside target projecting ~31.77% gain from the breakout.
---
3. Indicators:
200 EMA: Currently acting as resistance. Break above it confirms bullish momentum.
RSI: Around 60 — pointing upward with bullish divergence from recent lows, showing increasing buying pressure.
---
4. Scenarios:
Scenario 1 (Bullish Continuation):
Breaks above trendline and 200 EMA.
Retest (optional) and then heads toward $95,206 target.
Scenario 2 (Retest First):
Price dips into the FVG/demand zone.
Finds support and launches upwards, confirming a strong base.
Mr SMC Trading point
---
Summary of the Idea:
This is a buy setup on breakout or on pullback:
Aggressive Entry: Break and close above $85,130.
Safe Entry: Pullback into $78,678 area (FVG).
Target: $95,206
Risk Zone: Below $78,000 (invalidates bullish structure).
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
BITCOIN Most POWERFUL Signal Activated—Former ATH IS NOW SUPPORTBitcoin (BTCUSD) completed two straight green 1W candles and has started off this week equally impressive, approaching 4-week Highs! This is a direct consequence of the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) holding as a Support, similar to what happened on the last two Higher Lows of the 3-year Channel Up on August 05 2024 and September 11 2023.
The hidden catalyst perhaps behind this strong move may be the fact that the April 07 2025 Low, besides the 1W MA50, it also rebounded on the former All Time High (ATH) Resistance Zone (red), which now turned into Support (green). This is the Zone that started with the November 08 2021 Cycle High and rejected BT on March 11 2024, April 08 2024, June 03 2024 and July 29 2024.
As long as this critical Support cluster (1W MA50, 2021 ATH Zone) holds, we are expecting the 1W MACD to form a new Bullish Cross, the first since October 14 2024, which technically confirmed the new Bullish Leg of the 3-year Channel Up.
In fact all previous 3 Bullish Legs got confirmed by a 1W MACD Bullish Leg and the minimum the rose by was +105.30%. As a result, after the Bullish Cross is confirmed, we will be expecting to see at least $150000 on this current bull run.
But what do you think? Can this hugely important Support cluster lead Bitcoin to $150k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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"Bitcoin vs Tether" Crypto Market Heist Plan (Scalping/Day)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰✈️
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the "Bitcoin vs Tether" Crypto Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green MA Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bearish loot at any price - the heist is on!
however I advise to Place sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most nearest or swing, low or high level for Pullback Entries.
Stop Loss 🛑:
📌Thief SL placed at the nearest/swing High or Low level Using the 4H timeframe (81000) Day/Scalping trade basis.
📌SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 70000 (or) Escape Before the Target
"Bitcoin vs Tether" Crypto Market Heist Plan (Scalping/Day Trade) is currently experiencing a Bearish trend.., driven by several key factors.👇👇👇
📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, On Chain Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future trend targets... go ahead to check 👉👉👉🔗🔗
Detailed Point Recap 📋
Fundamentals 📊: Strong network + adoption ✅ offset regulatory risks ⚠️—moderately bullish 📈.
Macro 🌍: Inflation aids BTC 🥇, but tight policy/USD weigh ⚖️—mixed 🤔.
COT 📈: Institutional longs 📈 vs. leverage risks ⚡—cautiously bullish ✅.
On-Chain 🔗: LTH bullishness 📈 vs. STH selling 📉—leans positive but capped ⚖️.
Intermarket 🔄: Short-term bearish (equity/USD) 📉, long-term hedging 📈—mixed ⚖️.
Sentiment 😊: Neutral across cohorts ⚖️—lacking conviction 🤷.
Trends 🎯: Short-term downside ($70K) 📉 vs. long-term upside ($129K) 📈—context-driven 🔮.
Outlook 🌟: Neutral now ⚖️, tilting bearish short-term 📉, bullish long-term 📈.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩