This is not the first time we look into the Super Cycle Theory, which is the idea that Bitcoin (BTCUSD) may have just finished its 2nd Cycle instead of the traditional notion of the Four Cycles driven by the Halvings. It is however the first time we look into it using the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) and our favorite CN02/CN20Y ration (Chinese Bond Yields 02Y/20Y). As...
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is rebounding aggressively after the LMACD on the 1W time-frame hit and bounced on its historic Support that formed the 2015 and 2018 Cycle bottoms. This suggests that the new Bull Cycle has begun and to keep a better perspective, we have plotted the Geometric shapes from bottom-to-top. Along with the Ichimoku Cloud and Fibonacci MAs, they paint...
We only look at Bitcoin (BTCUSD) on the monthly time-frame when it is necessary to keep a long-term perspective and not miss the big picture. This is one of those times as the monthly (1M) candle, following January's hyper strong rise and impressive start to the year, is now testing the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line). This is a critical Resistance and last time BTC...
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is displayed on this 1W chart alongside Gold (XAUUSD) by the black trend-line. The text will be short as the chart is pretty much self-explanatory. Every time Gold breaks its Lower Highs trend-line, BTC is past its bottom and well into its Bull Cycle, starting an aggressive rally. Right now Gold is dangerously close to that Lower Highs...
This is not the first time we emphasized the strong correlation of Bitcoin (BTCUSD) with Yuan (USDCNY) and the Chinese Bond Yields (CN02Y and CN20Y). We made an analysis right in the aftermath of the FTX crash, indicating why those indicators have all aligned, paving the way for BTC's new Bull Cycle. As you see that happened and this time we incorporate the...
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) just made a hugely important and unique Bullish Cross on its LMACD. Those who follow us regularly over the years, know that we like looking into assets (and Bitcoin in particular) from different time-frames that provide a more spherical overview of the market and the direction. This time we analyze the 15D chart as it just formed a Bullish Cross...
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is up +40% since the start of the year and did so by breaking above its former Falling Wedge pattern that was holding since the June 18 2022 Low. On this 1D time-frame, we see that there is a high probability of the Wedge break-out to transition BTC into the next pattern that could be an Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S). Such patterns are...
BTC/USDT ::: Will the price return to the support lines and rise again ? Or without returning to the support lines, it continues its path towards the resistances !!!https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSDT/VSzFWqjy-BTC-USDT-We-are-not-going-to-trade-all-the-time <<<< Analyze simply with The_Best_Trader_1991 >>>>
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has started 2023 with a relentless +40% rally, completing a +50% rise from the November Low. But perhaps the biggest technical development of the upcoming days is the emergence of the Death Cross formation on the 1W time-frame. This is when the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) crosses below the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) and on Bitcoin in particular...
We talked yesterday about how beautifully Bitcoin's (BTCUSD) Adam and Even (A&E) pattern delivered a textbook short-term target at 21650: We looked into such past occurrences more and discovered even more interesting clues for the immediate future. As this analysis shows, every Bear Cycle bottom has been formed on an A&E pattern (even the first Cycle in 2011...
Bitcoin's (BTCUSD) rise last week took many by surprise but what few noticed is that it basically made the theory into practice. The application of the Adam and Even (A&E) pattern that started forming since the November FTX crash went under the radar but was spot on with its target. As you see Wednesday's peak wasn't just a consequence of the 21500 Resistance...
Exactly 2 months ago right after the FTX aftermath, we posted an alternative analysis using a not so popular indicator, the Bollinger Bands Width (BBW): For a broader perspective, that was in combination with the Fib MAs as the MA350 (green trend-line) offered Support. As this held and the BBW rebounded, we mentioned then (which was a time of fear and panic...
This is not the first time we look at Bitcoin (BTCUSD) on the 3D chart , but it is the first time that three major trend indicators all give a big long-term buy signal at the same time: 1) The Super Trend indicator, which we have used extensively to maintain perspective during the Bear Cycle, just waved a green flag for the first time since December 2021. 2)...
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) on Friday above its 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time since December 31 2021, which is the level we have rendered all this time as the one that will start the new Bull Cycle. On this analysis on the 1D time-frame, we compare BTC's current Cycle bottom to those of 2018/19 and 2014/15. As you see, during those Bottoms, when the price...
On this 1W time-frame analysis we make a case why Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is massively undervalued in relation to a technical factor as well as the effect that the U.S. 10 Year Government Bonds Yield (US10Y with the black trend-line) and the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY with the green trend-line) have. Bitcoin's rise this week may come as a surprise to most but it is no...
Hello traders, As I was saying since the beginning of the year, I expect a rise from Btc in the first part of 2023. Yesterday BtcUsd has broken above important 18k and now this level should act as support. Buying dips in this zone could have a 1:4 R:R Read my complete reasoning and my personal trade in Monday's post:
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) broke above its 1W RSI Lower Highs trend-line that was holding since January 2021! As you realize this is a major bullish break-out on the long-term scale and as the price turned the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) into a Support, it is staging a bull run. However there are still significant Resistance levels ahead. The first is the Lower Highs...
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has closed a 1D candle and is now comfortably trading above its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in 2 months (since November 07 2022), turning it into a Support. The pattern since the August 15 High is a Channel Down, within a Falling Wedge (since the June 18 2022 Low). Having lasted for almost 6 months, this can be viewed as a huge...