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BTCUSDT

Elliott Wave + Gartley Harmonic: Why Bitcoin May Correct Soon!?Bitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has shown strong bullish momentum over the past week, climbing nearly +10% and testing key resistance zones . Several fundamental and technical factors fueled this rally. Key Drivers of the Rise: ETF inflows – Significant net inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs boosted demand. Macro uncertainty – U.S. government shutdown risk and weaker job data supported risk assets. Monetary policy – Expectations of softer Fed policy improved market sentiment. Derivatives impact – Options expiry, high OI, and short squeezes added upward pressure. Exchange outflows – Lower BTC supply on exchanges signaled accumulation. Positive sentiment – “Uptober” narrative and bullish analyst targets lifted confidence. ------------------------------------------- Now, if we look at the Bitcoin chart in the above timeframes from a technical analysis perspective , we can see the following: First of all, let me say that the rally that Bitcoin has had over the past 7 days has NOT been accompanied by high volume, and this is not good news for Bitcoin to create a new All-Time High(ATH) . Bitcoin is entering a Heavy Resistance zone($124,474(ATH)-$117,900) and is moving near the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) and Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($122,120-$120,823) . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to be completing a microwave C of the main wave Y . One of the reasons I saw the waves as corrective , other than the microwaves, was the low volume of Bitcoin in the past 7-day rally . If we look at the Bitcoin chart from a pattern perspective , the important Bearish Gartley Harmonic Pattern is also well and standardly defined on the chart, such that point D in the PRZ can be completed. The Gartley Harmonic Pattern is the most important pattern among the harmonic patterns . I DO NOT expect a new ATH formation for Bitcoin in this rally due to the above reasons, and I expect it to at least decline to the Support zone($114,820-$113,180) . Note: Important prices to watch for if Bitcoin reverses (in order of importance of volume): $118,400-$112,700 Note: You should note that these days, Bitcoin has a higher correlation with the SPX500( SP:SPX ) index than before, so if there is a sudden movement in Bitcoin, one of the reasons could be a sudden movement in the SPX500. Educational Tip : The volume of each candle is considered to be the identity and credibility of that candle, and you can find these candles with the help of volume candle charts. Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $118,583-$118,000 Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $116,652-$116,000 CME Gap: $111,355-$109,915 Stop Loss(SL): $125,00(Worst) Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 8-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
44
Bitcoin Strategic Outlook: Macro and Technical SummaryMacroeconomic Context Global liquidity is rising again. Over 50 rate cuts across G-20 economies, combined with China’s multi-trillion-yuan stimulus, have added roughly US $5 trillion to global liquidity this year. The world has entered an easing cycle, supporting risk assets. The U.S. Federal Reserve has started cutting rates but remains cautious: strong fiscal spending on AI infrastructure and tight labor markets could reignite inflation. Analysts expect a pause in early 2026 if price pressures return. Real rates and Fed communication remain the key variables for traders. Early-Cycle Momentum & Dollar Weakness Global growth sits in an early-cycle phase. Manufacturing softness contrasts with steady service demand, while fiscal dominance—large government spending—keeps nominal growth near 3 %. Liquidity injections from China and other markets stabilize collateral values and suppress volatility. The U.S. dollar has weakened as capital rotates globally; historically, Bitcoin outperforms during dollar downtrends and post-geopolitical shocks, adding a macro tailwind. Institutional Demand U.S. spot ETFs continue to reshape supply. BlackRock’s IBIT surpassed US $15 billion in six months, while corporate holders of Bitcoin doubled to 134 firms. ETF and treasury accumulation now absorb most new issuance, muting volatility and creating a structural floor. Exchange outflows are at two-year highs, confirming long-term accumulation by whales and institutions. Regulation & Policy Clarity The GENIUS Act (2025) established a U.S. stablecoin framework, and FASB now requires fair-value accounting for crypto. Together with SEC listing standards, these changes reduce uncertainty for large investors. The U.S. shift toward clarity has improved confidence and should sustain institutional inflows. Technical Overview After eight months of consolidation, Bitcoin broke to new highs above $100 k. June’s monthly candle formed a bullish pin bar, confirming demand near $102 k. Indicators remain neutral with balanced funding rates. Key technical levels: • Resistance $125 k – major sell zone; breakout opens $130 k–$135 k. • Intermediate $104 k–$100 k – psychological support. • Strong support $95 k–$90 k – 200-day EMA zone. Losing $90 k risks a correction toward $82 k–$74 k. On-Chain and Sentiment Glassnode data show whales accumulating and exchange balances shrinking. Bitwise and Fidelity both note that ETFs and corporations now hold enough BTC to reduce daily float meaningfully. Market sentiment is bullish but measured—investors expect high volatility yet maintain multi-year confidence. Expert Consensus Standard Chartered, Tom Lee, and ARK Invest project $150 k–$200 k by end-2025, citing liquidity growth and adoption. VanEck and long-term macro investors place decade-end targets above $500 k–$1 million. RBC Capital Markets warns that inflation shocks could pause rate cuts; traders should watch CPI and real-yield trends closely. Strategic Outlook 1–3 months: Range trading $112 k–$125 k. Break above $125 k → $130 k–$135 k target. Below $116 k → test $112 k support. 6–12 months: Liquidity expansion and ETF inflows point to $150 k–$200 k. Best opportunities likely on pullbacks to $95 k–$100 k. 3–5 years: Fixed supply, corporate adoption, and de-dollarization support an upward bias; structural forecasts $500 k–$1 million remain plausible. Key Takeaways Global liquidity is the dominant driver—monitor rate cuts and USD trends. Institutional accumulation provides downside protection. $125 k resistance defines near-term risk/reward. Macro risks: renewed inflation, Fed policy reversals, geopolitical shocks. Conclusion Bitcoin enters Q4 2025 with a supportive macro backdrop, rising institutional demand, and technically strong structure. The path is volatile, but the long-term narrative of Bitcoin as a scarce, non-sovereign asset remains intact.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by HyroTrader
4
Bitcoin - The path remains clearly bullish!💰Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) remains bullish either way: 🔎Analysis summary: For the past 1.000 days, Bitcoin has simply been heading higher. Considering that the previous bullruns lasted about 800 days, Bitcoin is ready for a correction. But market structure tells us, that Bitcoin remains bullish, even if we see a short term correction in the near future. 📝Levels to watch: $50.000, $1.000.000 SwingTraderPhil SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by SwingTraderPhilTV
25
We predicted this downturn - page accuracy will spook you out!Hey, guys..... just wanted to say our analysis of the market is really playing out. This bearish momentum should continue to 114,228$ very easily. Thereafter, it should continue to 106,607$ to create a new low for the past few months. we don't think that the bearish price action will stop here though, 92,249$ is the price we expect price to hit within the next 2 months or less. I think this should be the final aggressive bull move we have in the market for the next few months and the bears should take full charge from here.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Goldstandard212
18
#BTC UPDATE!CRYPTOCAP:BTC is currently breaking below the 1H uptrend line, showing early signs of weakness. If we get a confirmed 1-hour candle close below this trendline, short setups could come into play. The first key support sits around $123,200, with the next major demand zone near $119,415. For now, the focus is on how this hourly candle closes. A strong rejection could push BTC back above $124,474, but a confirmed breakdown would likely shift short-term momentum to the bearish side. DYOR, NFA CRYPTOCAP:BTC BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT #Crypto
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
#BTC/USDT Let Bitcoin make a new ATH#BTC The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest. We have a bearish trend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, which supports the upward move. There is a major support area in green at 121900, which represents a strong support point. We are heading for consolidation above the 100 moving average. Entry price: 123300. First target: 124050. Second target: 125160. Third target: 126774. Don't forget a simple matter: capital management. When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order. For inquiries, please leave a comment. Thank you.
Long
by CryptoAnalystSignal
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #189👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! Let’s move on to the Bitcoin analysis. Yesterday, after setting a new ATH, Bitcoin began its correction — let’s review the market together. ⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe On the 1-hour timeframe, Bitcoin had been moving inside an ascending channel that had provided multiple supports. However, after being rejected from 126042, the price experienced a downward move and broke the channel to the downside. ⭐ The channel breakout trigger is at 123493, where the price has already reacted once, and it’s now moving slightly upward with very low volume. 📊 If this low-volume bullish movement continues, the likelihood of trigger activation will increase, and in that case, the price could move toward 122574. 🔍 For now, none of these triggers are suitable for short positions, as the market still looks too bullish to consider shorting. ✨ For long positions, the current trigger is 126042. However, if the market consolidates longer and forms a new structure, we might find an opportunity to enter earlier. ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Long
by tradecitypro
1
#BTCUSDT: Two Areas To Buy Swing, Same Target $150KDear traders, We are resuming publication here on TradingView. If you agree with our insights, consider liking and commenting on the idea. Let’s focus on Bitcoin. Its price has rallied since the last two weeks, showing extreme bullish volume in the market. This is mainly due to fear of negative fundamentals in the US economy, which is showing a lack of trust in the US Dollar. As traders and investors seek alternatives to the US Dollar, the main two prospects that look promising are Gold and Bitcoin. So, what’s next? We think there are two possible buying areas where the price could reverse. The first is at a minor correction, and the second is a major correction. However, we believe the minor correction looks more promising at the current market conditions, while the major corrections would require fundamental intervention. Both present good opportunities. This is our view only, and it doesn’t guarantee that the price will follow our predictions. Do your own analysis and research before making any decisions. We thank each of you for your support throughout and expect it to continue. Much Love and Regards, Team Setupsfx_
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Setupsfx_
10
BITCOIN’S $125K BREAKOUT · Is This the Real Cycle Top?Fundamental analysis: Bitcoin just broke a new all-time high at $125,689, and unlike 2021, this move isn’t built on retail hype—it’s being driven by institutional force. Massive ETF inflows flipped the trend completely, with nearly $7 billion entering U.S. spot funds in a single week. At the same time, exchange reserves have dropped to a seven-year low, and public companies now hold over 4 percent of total supply. On-chain data shows that whales and corporates are accumulating, not trading, while stablecoin liquidity has surged by more than $6 billion, bringing fresh capital into crypto. Technical analysis: Bitcoin’s daily chart shows a textbook continuation of the long-term uptrend. After a mid-year consolidation, BTC broke decisively above the $120K–$123K resistance zone and is now establishing that range as support. The 50-day moving average remains well above the 200-day, maintaining a golden cross formation that signals sustained bullish momentum. Price action has stayed comfortably above both trend lines, confirming strong market structure. The next key resistance lies between $130K and $135K, followed by the major psychological target near $150K. On the downside, support sits around $114K, marking the line that would need to break to shift this trend. Momentum indicators continue to favor the bulls. The MACD is climbing after hitting its lowest point since March, hinting at renewed upward energy, while the RSI is stabilizing above 50—indicating balanced but positive momentum. The Fear & Greed Index currently reads 62 (Greed), up from 43 just a week ago, showing that investors are no longer skeptical. This time, market psychology is aligned with the charts: optimism is growing, not fading. Historically, Bitcoin tends to peak roughly 18 months after each halving. With the most recent halving in April 2024, that timing points squarely to late November 2025 for a potential cycle top, coinciding with the current trend line projection near $150K. Here is my recommendation: EP 1: $123,443 EP 2: $124,475 EP 3: $120,000 Target 1: $130,000 Target 2: $135,000 Target 3: $150,000 Best, The Crypto Fire
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by TheCryptoFire
BTC/USDT Bullish Channel – Eyes on $130K Targets🔍 Key Observations: Trend Direction: Bullish Price is moving consistently within an upward sloping channel, suggesting a strong and steady uptrend. Current Price: ~$124,353 Price is near the lower boundary of the channel, indicating a possible bounce opportunity to ride the trend higher. Targets: Target 1: $128,001 Target 2: $130,100 These are potential resistance zones or profit-taking levels if the bullish move continues. Structure: The marked zig-zag path suggests anticipated higher highs and higher lows, in line with a typical channel-based bullish continuation.
Long
by fx_martin9
BTC HOLDS LEVELS FOR MORE..BTC/USDT — Main Trend Holds Strong at $112K, Confirmation Near Bitcoin is currently trading just below the low time frame zone around $124.5K, showing slight resistance before a potential confirmation breakout. Despite this minor pullback, the main trend remains firmly intact around $112K, which continues to act as the key structural support. ⚙️ Main trend updated to $112K: This level defines Bitcoin’s long-term bullish structure — as long as BTC stays above it, momentum remains positive. 📉 Below low time frame: BTC is temporarily consolidating under local resistance, but proximity to this level suggests a potential re-test and confirmation soon. 🚀 Upside target: Once the low time frame confirms, Bitcoin could aim for the next resistance zone near $132K. Technical Outlook: 🟢 Main Trend (Support): $112K 🟡 Low Time Frame Resistance: $124.5K 🎯 Next Target: $132K (upon confirmation) Summary: BTC remains structurally bullish above the $112K main trend. While still slightly below the short-term confirmation zone, it’s positioned well for a potential continuation — provided support holds and price regains momentum above $124.5K. 📊 Bias: Cautiously Bullish 📈 Key Levels: Support $112K | Resistance $124.5K | Target $132K
Long
by SatochiTrader
Btcusdt - At Crtitical Decision Point, Breakout Or Breakdown Bitcoin is currently sitting at a critical decision point near the 124,120 level after a Break of Structure (BOS) to the downside, following a Change of Character (ChoCH) at the top. Key Technical Zones: Support Zone: Price is testing a marked support area, which has previously acted as a demand zone. This zone could trigger a bullish reaction. Strong Low: If this level breaks, bearish momentum could accelerate. Weak High: May be targeted if price finds support and reverses. Decision Point: The current price level acts as a pivot, determining whether the market will: Bounce and aim for the upper target near 126,013, or Break down towards the lower target below 121,000. Scenarios: Bullish Scenario: If price holds the support zone and breaks recent BOS highs, the market may rally toward the 126K target. Bearish Scenario: A breakdown below the support and the strong low could trigger a move toward the 121K area. Conclusion: Monitor the support zone closely. A strong bullish reaction could confirm a long setup toward 126K, while a clean break below the strong low confirms further downside.
by Hamza_Gold
Want to Trade Like a Pro? This BTC Layer Strategy is Your Answer🚀 Become a Pro Trader: The "Thief" Layer Strategy for BTC/USDT (Bullish Swing Plan) 🚀 Unlock a professional money-making operation! This detailed plan combines a unique entry technique with deep fundamental & sentimental analysis to give you an edge. 📈 Trade Idea: BTC/USDT (Swing / Day Trade) Bias: Bullish | Timeframe: 4H - 1D 🎯 The "Thief" Layer Entry Strategy This strategy "steals" good entries at various levels instead of chasing the market. Entry Method: Multiple Buy Limit Orders (Layering) Proposed Entry Zones: $111,000 | $111,500 | $112,000 | $112,500 You can add more layers based on your capital and risk appetite. ⛔ Stop Loss (Risk Management) Hard Stop Loss: $110,000 (Below key support) ⚠️ IMPORTANT NOTE (Thief OG's): This is MY stop loss. You MUST adjust your SL based on your personal risk management strategy. Protect your capital first. 🎯 Take Profit (Exit Strategy) Primary Target: $116,000 (Strong Resistance + Overbought Zone) The Plan: Escape with "stolen" profits before any potential trap snaps shut! ⚠️ IMPORTANT NOTE (Thief OG's): This is MY target. You are free to take profit earlier or adjust based on your own analysis. Secure your bags! 🔍 Why This Plan? The "Thief's" Analysis This trade setup is backed by a confluence of technical, fundamental, and sentimental factors. 📊 Technical & Sentimental Backdrop (As of Sept 9, 2025) Price Action: BTC showed strength with a +1.52% gain, bouncing from the $111,184 support. Market Sentiment (Fear & Greed Index): 48/100 (Neutral) 😐. This indicates a balanced market with no extreme fear or greed—often a good base for a move. Retail vs. Institutional: Retail Traders: 55% Long (Slightly Bullish) 🤔. Fueled by Fed rate cut expectations. Institutional Traders: 60% Short (Cautiously Bearish) 🏢. Their selling pressure appears to be exhausting, as shown by declining volume on dips. This creates a contrarian opportunity. 🌍 Fundamental & Macro Tailwinds The $7.26T Cash Pile: Money market funds are holding a massive $7.26 Trillion. A Fed rate cut could unleash this capital into risk assets like Bitcoin. 🏦 Fed Rate Decision: An expected 25-50 bps cut is highly bullish for crypto, potentially triggering a major rotation. Strong Bitcoin Fundamentals: Low Inflation Rate: Only 1.17% (low new supply pressure). ✅ Network Health: Active addresses and settlement volume remain stable (~$12.9B/24h). Dominance: BTC is outperforming traditional safe havens like gold (+102% YoY vs. gold's +42%). ✅ Overall Outlook Score Bull (Long) Score: 55/100 → Neutral-Bullish 🐂 Bear (Short) Score: 45/100 → Weak Bearish Pressure 📉 🎯 Final Thief's Outlook: Cautiously optimistic. The layered entry strategy allows us to capitalize on potential upside driven by macro factors while strategically managing risk. 👀 Related Pairs to Watch BINANCE:ETHUSDT | BINANCE:SOLUSDT | BINANCE:BNBUSDT (Altcoins follow BTC's lead) TVC:DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) | CBOE:SPX (S&P 500) ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” #BTC #Bitcoin #Trading #Strategy #LayerStrategy #SwingTrading #Cryptocurrency #TechnicalAnalysis #FundamentalAnalysis #ThiefStrategy
Long
by The-Thief
BTC/USD – Flag Formation Near Trendline Support Breakout SeemsBitcoin is respecting its bullish market structure, continuing to form higher highs and higher lows. After the impulsive rally toward 125,600, price has entered a short consolidation phase and is currently testing a rising trendline acting as dynamic support. This structure resembles a bullish flag / ascending triangle, suggesting that buyers may soon regain control if price holds above the trendline. 🔹 Market Outlook • Structure: Bullish continuation • Pattern: Bullish flag / triangle formation • Bias: Buy on confirmation above resistance or from trendline support 💎 Trade Plan Option 1 – Immediate Buy (Aggressive) 🟢 Buy Now: 122,900 – 123,000 🎯 Target 1: 123,800 🎯 Target 2: 125,500 (resistance high) 🛑 Stop-Loss: below 122,400 Option 2 – Pending Buy (Conservative) 🟢 Buy Stop: 123,600 (breakout above flag) 🎯 Target 1: 124,600 🎯 Target 2: 125,500 – 126,000 🛑 Stop-Loss: below 122,800 ⚠️ Alternative Scenario If the trendline breaks and price closes below 122,400, expect a short-term shift toward 121,800–121,200, where fresh demand could appear for the next leg higher. 📈 Summary • Trendline support still intact ✅ • Bullish flag structure forming ✅ • Confirmation needed above 123,600 for momentum continuation 🚀 • Maintain bullish bias while price holds above 122,400
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by Saibi_FX
2