Next Volatility Period: Around August 13th (August 12th-14th)
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(USDT 12M Chart)
A lot of money has been flowing into the coin market through USDT.
A decline in USDT indicates capital outflow from the coin market.
(USDT.D 12M chart)
As USDT continues to rise, its dominance naturally rises.
However, if USDT is used to purchase coins (tokens) in the coin market, its dominance will decline.
USDT dominance peaked in 2022 and is showing a downward trend.
This indicates that a significant amount of capital flowing into the coin market was used to purchase coins (tokens).
USDT dominance is expected to fall to around 2.84 this year before beginning an upward trend, marking the end of its three-year bull market.
I believe this trend will inject new vitality into the coin market.
For the coin market to maintain an upward trend, USDT dominance must remain below 4.91 or show a downward trend.
If this fails and the price rises above 4.91, the coin market is likely already in a downward trend.
A decline occurred on May 8, 2025, creating a reverse trend.
To maintain this reverse trend, we need to see if it can fall below 4.24.
If USDT dominance declines, the coin market is likely to show an upward trend.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
As the new week begins, the HA-High indicator on the 1W chart is showing signs of forming a new level at 114454.57.
Accordingly, the key question is whether the price can rise after finding support in the 114454.57-115854.56 range.
The formation of the HA-High indicator means that the price has fallen from its high.
This also means that further declines are highly likely.
Therefore, if possible, the price should rise above the 114454.57-115854.56 range and maintain its upward momentum.
This period of volatility is expected to last until August 6th.
Therefore, the key question is whether the price can rise above the 114454.57-115854.56 range after the volatility period.
If not, we assume the price will decline until it meets the HA-Low indicator and consider countermeasures accordingly.
This is because the HA-Low and HA-High indicators are paired.
As the price declines, indicators such as the HA-Low or DOM(-60) may appear.
Therefore, if the price declines, you should monitor for the emergence of indicators such as the HA-Low or DOM(-60).
The basic trading strategy is to buy between the DOM(-60) and HA-Low ranges and sell between the HA-High and DOM(60) ranges.
-
If the price falls below the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, it is highly likely that the trend will be re-established upon meeting the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
Therefore, if the price fails to rise to the 114454.57-115854.56 range, it is highly likely that the price will eventually meet the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
At this time, a key support and resistance level is expected to be around 108353.0.
When new support and resistance levels are formed, they must remain horizontal for at least three candlesticks to function as support and resistance.
In other words, the HA-High indicator on the 1W chart is showing signs of forming, but it hasn't yet.
Therefore, if the current price holds this week, it will form next week.
Therefore, for the HA-High indicator to function properly as support and resistance, it must remain horizontal for three candlesticks, or three weeks.
This rule must be acquired through significant time and observation.
-
If you sold partially in the 115854.56-119177.56 range according to your basic trading strategy, you will find it easier to observe the current movement. If not, you will likely become anxious.
The key to trading is maintaining a stable psychological state.
If you begin to feel anxious, you should consider how to stabilize your psychological state.
Otherwise, you'll end up making the wrong trades.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
--------------------------------------------------
- Here's an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I'll explain more in detail when the bear market begins.
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BTCUSDT
"Bitcoin’s Big Heist – Are You In or Out?"🚨 BTC/USDT HEIST MISSION – SWIPE THE BULL RUN BEFORE THE BEARS WAKE UP 💰💣
🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Money Makers & Robbers, assemble! 🤑💰✈️💸
Here’s your decoded BTC/USDT “Bitcoin vs Tether” Crypto Market Heist Plan, fully loaded with Thief Trading Style 🔥 TA + FA combo. We’re prepping for a bullish breakout loot – eyes on the vault, ignore the noise.
🎯 PLAN OF ATTACK:
🎯 ENTRY (BUY ZONE):
💥 “The vault’s open—time to sweep!”
DCA/Layer your buy limit orders near the 15–30 min swing lows/highs for sniper pullback entries.
Use multi-entry method to stack positions (layering / DCA) as per your ammo (capital 💵).
🛑 STOP LOSS:
Set SL at the nearest swing low wick (4H TF) — around 115000.00, adjust based on your risk/load.
SL = insurance. Not optional.
🏁 TARGET:
Lock sights on 125000.00
🎉 Or… vanish with profits before the bear cops arrive.
🔎 MARKET BACKDROP & ANALYSIS:
📈 BTC/USDT currently signals bullish vibes on the swing/day horizon — fueled by:
Macro Fuel & Fundamentals
Sentiment Radar
COT Reports
On-Chain Pulse
Intermarket Clues
🚀 Connect the dots. The smart money's already prepping a breakout move.
🧲 Scalpers Note:
Stick to the long side only. No shorting the beast — unless you’re made of diamonds.
Secure your bag with trailing SLs.
⚠️ NEWS TRIGGER ZONE – TRADE WITH TACT:
📢 Upcoming high-volatility news events can spike charts.
Avoid new entries during releases and guard open trades with trailing SLs.
Protect the loot. Always.
💖 SUPPORT THE HEIST GANG: BOOST IT!
Smash that ❤️ to boost our thief squad’s momentum!
Every click powers this underground mission – making money with style, one pip at a time. 🎯💣💵
🚀 See you in the next heist drop.
Until then – Stay stealthy. Stay profitable. Stay legendary. 🐱👤💸🏆
BTC 1H Analysis – Key Triggers Ahead | Day 2💀 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Satoshi got something for you !
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-hour timeframe .
👀 After the strengthening of the US dollar , Bitcoin experienced a drop and formed a short-term support bottom around the $113,000 level . It is currently completing a pullback to the levels of this recent decline .
🎮 Our Fibonacci retracement is drawn from the breakout zone to the $112,200 bottom . Bitcoin broke below the 0.236 level and then found support . The best potential entry trigger, based on Fibonacci, is at the 0.382 level, or around $115,000 . If Bitcoin breaks above this level , it could form a higher high and a higher low in this timeframe .
⚙️ The RSI is showing a support level around 32 , which is currently preventing Bitcoin from entering the oversold zone . However , if this support is lost , Bitcoin could move into oversold territory .
📈 Our long position trigger is at the 0.382 Fibonacci level . A confirmed breakout of this level , combined with RSI overbuying and increased volume , would be our entry signal .
📉 Our short position trigger is around $113,000 . If this support breaks , we may open a short position . However, the main short trigger is at the 0 Fibonacci level ( support at $112,200 ) . If selling pressure increases and RSI enters the oversold zone , we will consider entering a short position with confirmation .
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
Don’t Panic Yet… BTC Might Just Be ReloadingBitcoin is doing something it’s done before.
Every time CRYPTOCAP:BTC has pulled back into this key rising zone, it’s bounced back stronger. The last few dips got absorbed right at this level, and we’re seeing the same setup again now.
Price recently flipped a major resistance into new support, and that level is being tested again. If it holds, we’re likely looking at another leg up possibly towards $124K.
Nothing is broken. Just a typical retest in an uptrend.
DYOR, NFA
Thanks for the reading
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #145👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s get into Bitcoin analysis. Yesterday, Bitcoin was rejected from the zone I had mentioned, and today it will probably begin its new downward move.
⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe
In yesterday’s analysis, I told you that a pullback to SMA25 and the 0.5 Fibonacci zone was possible. That happened, and now, given the current candle, the probability of a corrective scenario has increased.
✔️ I still won’t open any position on Bitcoin and am waiting for it to exit the box between 110000 and 116000. But if certain conditions occur in the market, I might open a position inside this box as well.
✨ First of all, Bitcoin is still above the 111747 support, which is a very important support zone. As the price reaches it, there’s a chance it gets stuck there again.
📊 On the other hand, seller strength is very high, and as you can see, the RSI has been rejected from the 50 ceiling, and a red engulfing candle with very high volume is forming — all of which indicate the power of sellers.
🔽 I still stand by my opinion that as long as the price is above 110000, I won’t open a short position. But for a long position, we can move to the 1-Hour timeframe to review the trigger that has formed.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
Before reviewing the triggers, there’s a very important point that explains why I currently prefer to remain without a position.
💫 Bitcoin in the HWC and MWC cycles has a very strong upward trend. Right now, in the LWC, it’s moving downward. So this Fibonacci drawn on the bearish leg doesn’t really mean much and won’t give us very strong and accurate resistances.
🔍 On the other hand, the LWC is moving against the higher cycles — meaning the higher cycles are stronger. That’s why shorting doesn’t make sense, since it’s against the main market cycle.
🔑 But also, since LWC has gained downward momentum, long positions — if not set with wide stop-losses — will likely get stopped out, because this momentum may cause small downward legs that hit stop-losses.
👀 So opening a long position is also difficult right now, and that’s why I say it’s better to wait for the price to move out of the 110000 to 116000 range, and then enter a position more comfortably.
🎲 If the price goes below 110000, we’ll receive the first sign of a trend reversal in the MWC, and then we can open short positions. And if it goes above 116000, LWC becomes bullish again and the continuation of the uptrend can begin.
Let’s now go to the triggers:
📈 The trigger we have for a long position is 115327 — an important ceiling that overlaps with the 0.5 Fibonacci level and has been touched several times.
☘️ If we get another touch to this level, I myself will likely try to open a long position, and I think it’s a good entry point that’s worth the risk to anticipate a breakout of 116000.
🔽 For a short position, a break below the 112205 low will start the continuation of the correction. I won’t open this position myself, but if you believe Bitcoin wants to reverse its trend, this is a very good trigger in terms of price level and you can open the position.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
BTCUSDT: Head & Shoulders + QML SetupHello guys!
We have a clean Head & Shoulders pattern forming near a supply zone, with a nice QML (Quasimodo Level) rejection confirming the bearish bias. Price is struggling to break above 115K and has already reacted to the QML zone.
If this structure holds, we could see BTC start a new bearish leg 📉, first targeting 114K, and eventually reaching the demand zone around 112.8K–113.2K.
Watch for further confirmation with lower highs forming.
BTC intraday strategy analysis and operation layout#BTCUSD
Currently, BTC rebounded again to test the upper resistance area of 115000-116000, indicating that buyers are still defending this structure, but it is still suppressed by the upper resistance. From a derivatives perspective, open interest has fallen by 0.91% over the past 24 hours, while options trading volume has also fallen by over 13%, indicating a decrease in speculative activity. Despite a 34.28% increase in 24-hour trading volume to $61.71 billion, the long-short ratio has fallen below 1.0, reflecting cautious market sentiment.
As long as BTC maintains above 114,000-113,000, the short-term structure remains neutral. If it fails to break through the overhead resistance and stabilize above 116,500, bulls may lose control of the lower trendline of the channel, triggering a renewed bearish push.
If BTC can successfully hold above 116,500, it could potentially return to 118,000 or even challenge the macro resistance level of 120,000. On the contrary, if BTC finds it difficult to break through the short-term resistance level, it will still return to the 114,000-113,000 area.
🚀 BUY 116,500-117,000
🚀 TP 118,000-119,000
BTCUSD Rejection from Demand Zone – Bullish Play Ahead?Bitcoin just tapped into a strong intraday demand zone (green zone) after a clean selloff. This area has previously acted as a reaction point and is showing signs of holding again.
🔰 Key Levels:
🟩 Demand Zone (Buy Zone): $114,050 – $114,200
🔵 Intraday Resistance: $114,698
🔵 Final Target (Liquidity Pool): $115,271
💡 Bullish Plan:
Entry: Inside demand zone ($114,050 – $114,200)
SL: Below $114,000 (structure invalidation)
TP1: $114,698
TP2: $115,271
The green arrow shows a potential bullish move towards liquidity resting above recent highs if price shows rejection or bullish candle confirmation (e.g., engulfing, pin bar).
📊 SMC Notes (Optional for Advanced Traders):
This is a possible mitigation of a bullish order block from earlier structure.
Price may be completing a liquidity sweep before internal structure break and rally.
Watch for a Change of Character (CHOCH) on lower timeframes for refined entry.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Always use proper risk management and confirm your entries. This is for educational and analysis purposes only.
🔖 Tags:
#BTCUSD #Bitcoin #SmartMoney #PriceAction #OrderBlock #CryptoSignals #RejectionTrade #FrankFx14 #TradingView
INITUSDT Forming Falling WedgeINITUSDT is showing signs of a classic Falling Wedge Pattern, a bullish chart formation that typically indicates a strong reversal or continuation to the upside. This pattern occurs when price action narrows within a descending range, creating lower highs and lower lows while momentum starts to fade. Once price begins to break out of the wedge with volume confirmation, it often sparks significant upward momentum. The current technical structure of INITUSDT suggests an imminent breakout, with the potential to generate gains between 90% to 100% based on historical wedge breakouts and price projection targets.
Volume for INITUSDT has been consistent and notably supportive, which adds weight to the bullish case. A breakout from a falling wedge pattern on increasing volume typically validates the strength of the move. This surge in volume indicates growing interest and accumulation by market participants who are positioning early for the expected rally. As the pattern tightens and nears its apex, any breakout candle should be watched closely for entry signals.
Investor sentiment around INIT is also turning positive, with attention picking up due to the coin’s underlying potential and recent developments in its ecosystem. Technical traders and crypto enthusiasts alike are keeping a close watch on INITUSDT as it sets up for a major move. Such high-probability bullish setups are rare and offer lucrative risk-reward ratios, especially when backed by both price action and market activity.
This setup reflects a confluence of favorable technical indicators and growing investor interest, making INITUSDT one of the more attractive bullish opportunities on the market right now. Traders should prepare for confirmation and watch resistance levels closely for a potential explosive move upward.
✅ Show your support by hitting the like button and
✅ Leaving a comment below! (What is You opinion about this Coin)
Your feedback and engagement keep me inspired to share more insightful market analysis with you!
Let's learn & Apply Elliott Wave Rules on chart: BTCUSD BitcoinHello Friends,
Welcome to RK_Chaarts,
Friends, Today we are going to learn 3 Rules of the Elliott Wave theory, there are three principles and some patterns. Impulses move in a 1-2-3-4-5 pattern, either as an impulse or a motive wave. However, within impulses, there are three rules:
Rule No 1:
Wave 2 will never retrace more than 100% of Wave 1.
Rule No 2:
Wave 3 will never be the shortest among Waves 1, 3, and 5; it can be the largest, but never the smallest.
Rule No 3:
Wave 4 cannot overlap Wave 1, except in diagonals or triangles; in impulses, it cannot overlap.
We've checked these three rules and marked them with separate tick marks on the chart with different colors, making them clearly visible. You can review the chart and verify these rules yourself, learning how wave principles are applied and checked.
We've explained all this through a drawing on the chart, so we won't elaborate further here. Moving forward, let's analyze what the wave theory suggests about the current market trend. This entire analysis is shared for Educational purposes only.
I hope you'll consider this educational post as a learning resource, Definitely, I encourage you to review the chart as an image or picture to better understand the concepts we've worked hard to explain.
Our effort will be successful if you gain a deeper understanding and learn something new from this post. If you find this helpful and informative, our hard work will have paid off. Please keep this in mind as you review the material.
Now let's explore how wave counts within wave counts, or lower degrees within higher degrees, unfold through complete wave theory patterns and following theory Rules all the times.
Let's take a closer look at the Bitcoin chart we've analyzed using Elliott Waves. From this perspective, it's clear that the Intermediate Degree Wave (2) concluded around June 23rd.
After this, we observe that the internal wave counts of the lower degree, specifically Wave 1-2-3 (in red) have completed their cycle of Minor degree. Furthermore, Red Wave 4 of same Minor degree has been moving sideways, characterized by a downward trend.
Notably, the fall of Red Wave 4 is classified as a Minor Degree movement. Interestingly, this downward movement appears to have terminated in an even lower degree, namely the Minute Degree, which we've marked in black as ((w))-((x))-((y))-((xx))-((z)) that means Wave 4 of Minor degree (in Red) is complete.
Given that Red Wave 4 Minor has reached its conclusion, it's highly plausible that Wave 5 has initiated. This development suggests that Bitcoin is poised to make a significant move.
Moving on to the analysis, we observe that:
- Rule 1: Wave 2 has not retraced more than 100% of Wave 1, so this rule is intact.
- Rule 2: Wave 3 is not the shortest among Waves 1, 3, and 5, so this rule is also valid.
- Rule 3: Wave 4 does not overlap Wave 1, so this rule is also satisfied.
Bitcoin is all set to shake things up! We eagerly anticipate further rallies in the market.
This post is shared purely for educational purpose & it’s Not a trading advice.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Chaarts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Chaarts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
BTC Hourly Analysis – Day 1 | Trend Structure & Key Reactions⏱️ We’re analyzing Bitcoin on the 1-hour timeframe.
👀 After breaking below its support zone at 107,402, Bitcoin experienced a correction along with increasing sell pressure. The price then moved toward the 112,200 support area, where it formed a V-pattern — which has now been broken to the upside.
🎮 We’re using Fibonacci levels to identify key resistance zones and long-entry triggers. A higher low has formed above the 112,217 support and above the 0.382 Fib level, which could serve as a strong confirmation of the breakout .
⚙️ The RSI oscillator on the 1H chart is currently above 50. If buying volume increases, RSI may enter the Overbought zone. The critical level here is 70 — breaking above it can act as a confirmation for a long position .
☄️ A specific Fibonacci-based zone, linked to market maker sellers and supply pressure, was touched, triggering a reaction — around 177 BTC were sold following that touch .
🖥 Summary : As long as Bitcoin stays above its previous high, there’s no immediate concern for long positions. Based on the confirmations above, you may consider entering a long position upon a resistance breakout and taker-seller zone clearance .
📉 No short positions are planned until the 110,000 support level is clearly broken .
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #144👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s dive into Bitcoin analysis. Today is the first day of the week and Bitcoin has made a bullish move.
⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe
After the weekly candle closed, Bitcoin made an upward move and pulled back up to the 0.5 Fibonacci zone.
✔️ The long trigger I provided yesterday in the 1-Hour timeframe has been activated. If you opened a short-term position, it has likely already hit the target. If it was a long-term position with a larger stop, then it should still be open for now.
💫 The current 4-Hour candle has wicked into the 0.5 Fibonacci zone, which indicates a strong rejection from this area. If the candle closes red, the probability of starting the next bearish wave will increase significantly.
📊 Besides the resistance from the Fibonacci level, the SMA25 is also overlapping with this zone, so this upward move could also be seen as a pullback to the SMA25 before another drop begins.
✨ However, the candle hasn't closed yet, so it's too early to decide anything. In my opinion, Bitcoin has re-entered a choppy and sideways phase that doesn’t provide good and clean positions — most trades like yesterday’s need to be scalps.
🔍 If a deeper correction happens, our lower support levels are already identified (with the most important one being the 110000 zone). For shorts, I’ll look for entries below 110000. As for longs, I’ll wait for confirmation and stabilization above 116000. For now, I’m only observing this box between 110000 and 116000.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Will a Drop Below 4.12 Push BTC to New Highs ?👋 Hello, and welcome to Satoshi Frame .
📊 USDT Dominance , after a sharp move toward 6% , got rejected strongly from that level with a powerful candle .
🔻 Following that , it lost its key support and entered a deep corrective phase .
🚀 During this period, Bitcoin and altcoins experienced a strong upward trend , and 🟠 Bitcoin even recorded a new all-time high .
📉 The key support level for USDT Dominance is at 4.12% .
⚠️ If this level is broken, Bitcoin could potentially reach a new all-time high again .
📐 I’ve drawn my Fibonacci from the point where the support was lost , the structure broke , and the previous uptrend turned into a corrective or bearish trend .
🔽 The breakdown of that key support pushed USDT Dominance down to 4.12% , where we saw strong buying pressure in Bitcoin and altcoins, leading to a sharp upward movement.
🔄 Price then retraced to the 0.382 Fibonacci level (4.61%) , acting as a corrective pullback within the ongoing downtrend.
❌ However , this area triggered a rejection , and now we are witnessing another decline in USDT Dominance.
💡 Disclaimer : This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice . Always do your own research and manage your risk before making any trading decisions .
magic short Long upper wicks (like inverted hammers or shooting stars)
Multiple candles failing to close above $0.21–0.215
Bearish volume spike with price stalling = aggressive sellers
Low volume stall = buyers exhausted
Dropping from above 70
Bearish divergence vs price
You can consider a short with a tight stop just above $0.215–0.22
Targets: $0.1980 → $0.1880 → $0.1780
BTC accumulates, slightly adjusts down💎 BTC PLAN UPDATE – START OF THE WEEK (04/08)
🔍 1. Current Technical Structure
Price Pattern: The chart shows BTC is forming a falling wedge pattern, with converging support and resistance lines.
False Break: There was a false break below the strong support zone around ~112,000, followed by a sharp rebound. This indicates buyers are actively defending this level, showing potential buying pressure.
Fibonacci Retracement: From the recent low to high, the 0.5 (115,559) and 0.618 (116,361) Fibonacci levels are acting as key resistance zones.
Key Price Levels:
• Strong support: 111,800 – 112,300
• Near resistance: 115,500 – 116,500
• Next resistance: downtrend line and previous high around 118,000 – 119,000
🔄 2. Possible Trend Scenarios
✅ Main scenario (bullish):
BTC made a false break below the wedge → rebounded toward Fibonacci resistance → potential:
• Continue rising to the 115,500 – 116,500 zone
• If it breaks and holds above this zone, BTC could break out of the wedge pattern and target 118,000 – 120,000
• A longer-term target could be the 1.618 Fibonacci Extension around ~123,159
❌ Alternative scenario (bearish):
If BTC fails to break above 116,000 and gets rejected:
• It may retest the 112,000 support zone again
• A breakdown below this support would bring back the downtrend
🔄 3. Bullish Supporting Factors:
• The false break signals a shakeout of weak sellers.
• A potential inverse head-and-shoulders pattern is forming, supporting a bullish reversal.
• Moving Averages (MA): Price is nearing the 200 MA (red) – a possible bullish crossover with shorter-term MAs may occur, signaling a buy.
🧭 Suggested Trading Strategy
• Safe buy zone: Around 113,500 – 114,000 if there’s a pullback.
• Take profit in stages: 116,500 – 118,000 – 120,000
• Stop-loss: Below 112,000 in case of a confirmed breakdown
Bitcoin Analysis (3D)Bitcoin is currently trading in a very specific zone that resembles a classic bull flag continuation pattern, similar to the one we saw during last year’s rally.
Back then, a slow-forming bull flag broke to the upside, pushed to new all-time highs, and then retested the top of the same flag before continuing higher.
Now, we are witnessing a similar setup, but this time the formation has developed much faster.
The key difference:
While last year’s bull flag took a longer time to mature, the current one is more compressed, indicating a potentially sharper move if confirmed.
The $108K daily level is critical.
As long as Bitcoin remains above this level, the structure favors a new rally.
This could be the start of another impulsive leg, targeting the $128K Area.
Analytics: Market Outlook and Predictions
📈 WHAT HAPPENED?
Last week, US President Donald Trump once again "shook up" the financial markets.
The report published by the White House was received positively and contributed to the recovery of the Bitcoin price. But soon after, new import duties were introduced, which changed the short-term trend of the first cryptocurrency to a downward one. Unfortunately, no one is immune to FUD.
The local minimum was recorded at $112,000, after which the price rebounded slightly, but didn’t reach the key zone of $110,000-$107,000 (accumulated volumes).
💼 WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT?
Currently, buyer activity remains weak, with significant volumes concentrated above the current price, and no active demand at the local lows. Another wave of sales is likely from the $115,000-$116,300 zone to the formed low of $112,000.
On the other hand, wave analysis shows the weakening of sellers. The market has already absorbed the last wave of sales, and there was a break on the hourly timeframe. With the growth of buying volumes, a rebound to the nearest volume resistance is possible. However, we’ll most likely not be able to do without strong sales, and we’re highly likely to see Bitcoin at $110,000.
Buy Zones:
$110,000–$107,000 (accumulated volume)
Sell Zones:
$117,600–$118,600 (accumulated volume)
$115,000–$116,300 (mirror volume zone)
📰 IMPORTANT DATES
Macroeconomic events that we’re following this week:
• Tuesday, August 5, 13:45 (UTC) — publication of the business activity index (PMI) in the US services sector for July;
• Tuesday, August 5, 14:00 (UTC) — publication of the US Non-Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (ISM) for July;
• Thursday, August 7, 11:00 (UTC) — announcement of the UK interest rate decision for August;
• August 7, Thursday, 11:30 (UTC) — publication of the Bank of England's letter on UK inflation;
• August 7, Thursday, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the number of initial jobless claims in the United States for August.
*This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience.
#analytics
BTCUSD broke below 115,000.00 on week labor dataBTCUSD broke below 115,000.00 on week labor data
On August 1, after worse-than-expected NFP report data came out, bitcoin dropped below important level of 115,000.00 and SMA200 on 4-h chart. Technically, this means the start of a mid-term bearish market in the asset. Bitcoin often follows the same path as high-risk assets, such as tech stocks, particularly during times of economic uncertainty. The July 2025 U.S. jobs report, which showed only 73,000 new jobs added, below the expected 100,000, and a downward revision of June's figure from 147,000 to 14,000, fueled fears of a recession. This caused a broader market sell-off. In just 12 hours, $110 billion was withdrawn from spot crypto markets, with $630 million in liquidations, primarily affecting long positions.
Currently the price is testing the 115,000.00 level. The next decline towards 110,000.00 support level is expected.
BTCUSDTHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on BITCOIN?
After a strong rally, BTC is currently pulling back from the 124K resistance area, heading toward a major confluence support zone between 108,000– 110,000, which aligns with:
✅ Previous breakout zone
✅ 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci retracement
✅ Lower bound of the ascending channel
This level is expected to attract buyers and act as a base for a new bullish leg.
Scenario Ahead (Main Bias):
1. Price dips into the 108–110K support
2. Bullish reversal from the zone (watch for strong reaction candles or bullish divergence)
3. Target 1: 124K (retest resistance)
4. Target 2: 135K–140K (upper channel boundary upon breakout)
BTC remains in a healthy bullish structure. Current pullback is considered constructive, and the 107–110K zone offers a high-probability long setup. Watch for bullish signals before entering.
A confirmed daily close below 107K would invalidate this bullish structure and expose BTC to deeper correction levels.
What’s your take on this setup? Do you expect a bounce from support or a deeper correction? Share your thoughts below 👇
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