Alts Crushed, BTC Next: Wyckoff Says the Top Is InTracking this top formation scenario since January 2025. A classic Wyckoff topping structure started forming and we're nearing the end of Phase B, Phasce C typically marked by a peak and expected collapse around March 2026. The weekly RSI continues to trend downward.
The market has already sold off most altcoins, with remaining BTC likely to follow. RSI weakness persists.
Final long positions through to Jan then Shorts only.
Best Hard Forky
BTCUSDT
Bitcoin - This chart is crumbling!⛔️Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) creates a massive top:
🔎Analysis summary:
All the previous cycles on Bitcoin have been lasting about 1,000 days. And exactly three years ago, Bitcoin retested the previous all time high, starting the next bullrun. If we soon see bearish confirmation on Bitcoin, this crypto will lead to another insane bloodbath.
📝Levels to watch:
$100,000 and $50,000
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
BTC Showing Early Signs of a Possible New UptrendBTC Showing Early Signs of a Possible New Uptrend 🚀
The key is to follow the trend. BTC can return from this point back up 109K
Bitcoin has bounced from the lower range near $107K, holding support after several strong rejections to the downside.
The current structure suggests that momentum could be shifting upward, as the market forms a potential new base for recovery.
There is a good chance that the secure whale trend could use 107K as support for entering on a later time frame to a new cycle
📈 Current outlook:
Support has been confirmed around $107K–$108K, where buyers stepped in with volume.
Short-term resistance remains at $111.6K–$113.3K — a breakout above could confirm a trend reversal.
The price is now trading in the mid-range, building strength for a possible push higher.
📊 Observation:
If BTC manages to reclaim and hold above $113K, the next leg up toward $116K could begin, signaling the start of a new uptrend cycle.
Failure to hold this recovery base would risk another test of the $107K zone.
💬 Summary:
BTC has shown strong recovery signs after defending support — momentum now points toward a possible new uptrend if it sustains above key resistance levels.
BTCUSD (Bitcoin) has broken powerful support = Time to sell!BTCUSD (bitcoin) has been in a new bearish trend for the last few weeks and has just recently broken a major support level which is shown (white line drawn) .. it has also broken the support level of an upward channel (the 2 red trendlines) ... The next very likely outcome for bitcoin is for it to hit and test the next support level all the way to the downside.
BTC Loses Structure — Risk of Falling Below $106KBitcoin has officially lost the low-time-frame structure, confirming the end of the previous uptrend zone.
Momentum has shifted to the downside, with sellers gaining control and price now approaching a critical breakdown level.
📉 Current outlook:
BTC remains under $112K, signaling continuation of short-term weakness.
The end uptrend zone around $109K failed to hold support.
Market structure shows potential continuation below $106K if no reversal occurs soon.
📊 Observation:
Buyers have not defended the local range, and repeated rejections near $116K confirm exhaustion of bullish strength.
The next liquidity pool sits below $106K, which could act as the next target zone in this downtrend sequence.
💬 Summary:
BTC has broken its short-term structure — the chart shows clear downside risk with potential move below $106K if pressure continues.
Bitcoin holds above key support while the monthly trend stays inFear comes from chop, not collapse. That matters now because price is sitting on support while the longer chart still points up, which is where the bigger money is made.
My objective is simple. Decide if this drop is a pause inside the monthly uptrend, and map the highest probability path for the next week, the next few weeks, and the next quarter.
The monthly picture is my anchor. On 1M, ADX 14 is 41.95 which signals a strong trend. Price sits well above the 1M EMA 9 at 101766.79 and the 1M SMA 10 at 100687.53, which means pullbacks have room before any structural damage. The 1M MACD line is above the signal with a positive histogram at 2118.32, a sign of trend persistence, even if momentum cooled a bit. The 1M stochastic is overbought at 86.19, which often brings consolidation, not immediate reversal. Translation. Primary uptrend intact, likely sideways to up over the next quarter.
The weekly chart shows the consolidation. On 1W, price is below the 1W EMA 9 at 114030.37 and below the 1W SMA 10 at 113718.48. RSI 14 is 54.5, so momentum is neutral but not weak. The 1W MACD histogram is negative at minus 1113.44, yet it improved from last week, which fits a basing phase. Weekly ATR 14 is about 9297, so swings of nine to ten thousand fit the tape. Conclusion. A test of support is still likely before trend continuation.
Daily tells us where that test happens. On 1D, price hovers near the pivot at 110955.01, with resistance at 112710.01 and support at 108266.28 then 106511.28. The 1D SMA 200 sits at 109213.25, a level buyers care about. RSI 14 is 44.74, which is below neutral and consistent with a pullback. The 1D MACD histogram is positive at 345.64 after a series of higher bars, which often precedes a bounce. Daily ATR 14 is about 3789, so two to three day swings around four thousand are normal.
Intraday texture supports a near term bounce attempt. On 4H, RSI 14 is 43.58 and the stochastic %K turned up to 42.17 from deeply oversold. MACD histogram is still negative at minus 487.12, which is why any bounce should first aim for resistance rather than blue sky. The 4H pivot sits near 110294.59 and VWAP 50 on 4H at 111433.88 is the next tactical magnet.
Key levels I care about. Daily resistance 112710.01. Daily pivot 110955.01. Daily SMA 200 109213.25. Supports 108266.28, 106511.28, 103822.55. If buyers keep price above 109213.25, the path of least resistance is a grind back to 112710.01. Lose 108266.28, and the market likely tags 106511.28 where prior demand sits.
Here are the targets, chosen by timeframe and probability, with moves sized by ATR.
Short term, next 5 to 10 days. I expect a bounce toward 112700 which aligns with daily R1 at 112710.01. Probability about 60 percent, since 4H momentum is turning up and the 1D MACD histogram is rising, while the 1D SMA 200 at 109213.25 offers nearby support.
Medium term, within 4 to 8 weeks. I expect a retest of 106500 which aligns with daily S2 at 106511.28 and fits a weekly consolidation. Probability about 55 percent, because the 1W trend is neutral, price is below weekly moving averages, and weekly ATR allows a drop of this size without breaking the 1M uptrend.
Long term, by Q1 2026. I expect a push toward 123800, near the 1M upper band at 123481.59 and below the swing high at 126199.63. Probability about 65 percent, since 1M ADX is strong, moving averages are rising, and the monthly trend has not been violated.
Bottom line. This is a pullback inside a larger uptrend. Respect 109213.25 on the daily, trade the bounce to 112700, be ready for a weekly dip toward 106500, and keep sights on 123800 into the first quarter.
BTCUSDT Breakdown Ahead: Sellers Eye $108K SupportHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Bitcoin setup.
Market Analysis
BTCUSDT has been consolidating within a well-defined range, facing multiple rejections from the $121,700 Resistance Zone. After several failed breakout attempts above this area, the market shifted into a bearish phase, confirming sellers’ dominance. The structure now forms a descending triangle pattern, a classic bearish continuation signal. We can see multiple breakouts and retests throughout the move, with price respecting both the Triangle Resistance Line and Support Line. The most recent rejection from the upper boundary of the triangle shows that buyers are losing momentum, while sellers are gradually regaining control.
Currently, BTCUSDT is approaching the Triangle Support Zone around $110,000–$108,800, a crucial level where previous reactions occurred. A clean break below this support area could accelerate the downside move, confirming a continuation toward the lower Support Zone near $105,000–$103,000.
My Scenario & Strategy
In my view, BTC remains in a vulnerable technical position. If the price closes below the $108,800 level, this would likely trigger a fresh bearish impulse, leading to deeper declines. Until a confirmed breakout happens, short-term traders may look for retest entries after breakdowns for better risk-to-reward setups.
However, if BTC finds strong support and rebounds from this level, we could see a short-term correction toward $114,000–$116,000, which would act as a retest of the Triangle Resistance Line before further decline. For now, my bias remains bearish, expecting continuation to the downside as long as price stays below the $114,000–$116,000 resistance zone.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
BTC Daily: Sellers react from 115,963The market is in a sideways range with an active seller initiative targeting 103,528.
Hey traders and investors!
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis (IA) method.
On the daily timeframe, the market is in a sideways range with an active seller initiative targeting 103,528.
After the rise to 115,963, we see a seller reaction accompanied by increased volume.
Look for buy setups only when the buyer shows strength — so far, that hasn’t happened.
Wishing you profitable trades!
BTCUSDT 4-Hour Chart Analysis !!BTCUSDT 4-Hour Chart Analysis
Support and Trend: BTC has bounced off the ascending trendline and is currently holding above the $110,000-$111,000 support area (represented by the gray band). The price is respecting both diagonal trendline support and horizontal support, which is a positive sign for bullish momentum.
Key Levels: Immediate resistance is at $112,000-$113,000. A clear break above this area could create room for further growth towards the next major resistance at $123,250-$124,000 (marked at the top).
Outlook: As indicated by the green arrow, the chart suggests a bullish scenario if this area holds, with the potential for upward acceleration towards the $123,000 area.
DYOR | NFA
Bitcoin is crazy volatile as rates get cutBTC reacted by selling off while the news of a 25bps interest rate cut was being released. Despite the bullish news, the market still sold; however price is still respecting the range and did not produce a lower low. These moments are designed it inflict pain and flush holders out of the market. Have strong risk management and don't risk what you are not willing to lose.
BTC Still in Breakdown ZoneBTC Still in Breakdown Zone ⚠️
Bitcoin remains inside the breakdown structure, consolidating under pressure after failing to reclaim the upper range near $116K.
The current setup continues to show bearish volume behavior, suggesting that the market is still in a controlled downtrend phase.
📉 Current outlook:
Breakdown zone spans $116K – $110K.
Price continues to trade mid-range around $113K, with limited bullish momentum.
The breakdown volume indicates ongoing distribution — sellers remain active.
📊 Observation:
BTC is holding slightly above $112.5K, but without strong buying confirmation.
If this consolidation breaks lower, the next liquidity target sits around $110K, marking the bottom of the breakdown zone.
💬 Summary:
BTC is still in the breakdown phase, with selling pressure dominating short-term structure.
Until price reclaims $116K with volume, risk remains tilted toward the $110K region.
#BTC UpdateCRYPTOCAP:BTC Support: $110K | Resistance: $116K
As long as BTC continues to move sideways between these levels, it’s better to avoid using high leverage.
Nothing lasts forever, and that includes this boring price action.
Sooner or later, things will pick up, but now is the time to prepare while no one’s paying attention.
The plan is simple: preserve funds and wait for a breakout, regardless of direction.
Bitcoin strong, Dominance weak.Bitcoin maintained its strength above the major uptrend and support zone, while BTC Dominance broke below the major uptrend and also received confirmation of a retest of the major resistance and major uptrend for the downside.
For altcoins, this is a trend towards the beginning of a new momentum.
Fed Rate Cut Looms: BTC Dip to 95K-100K = Prime Entry Before MooCRYPTOCAP:BTC / #Bitcoin 🪙
Fed Rate Cut Looms: BTC Dip to 95K-100K = Prime Entry Before Moonshot? (October 29, 2025 )
I've been away from the market for a good long while. In essence, nothing much happened during that time.
We're just hanging out in a sideways range, waiting for the big events:
1. Fed Interest Rate Decision
2. FOMC Press Conference
3. Trump and Xi
In just a couple of hours, we'll see that 0.25% interest rate cut. And there'll be a key speech from Jerome Powell.
For today, trader sentiment looks mostly positive, from what I can tell. But I've got this gut feeling the market's gonna dip again.
The sweet spot for entry on Bitcoin should be 95k to 100k. They'll sweep the long liquidity once more, and then we'll head higher. That's how I see this event shaking out.
Charts:
➖ On the 5-day timeframe, that key level around 95k is still holding. Once it's tested, it'll clear the way for a push up to 145k to 200k (the final leg up).
➖ Chart from Coinglass Legend, which shows long trader liquidations stacking up below from $93k to $98k on the Bybit exchange. I figure they'll clear out that liquidity first before we rally.
➖ Big cluster of orders right nearby on the Coinbase crypto exchange at 93k and 100k, which backs up this zone as a hot spot. Whale money's piling in, partly by scooping up those trader liquidations.
As you know, messing with leveraged trades is a risky game.
The smart play is limit orders, and stick to spot only 😀🔥.
#Crypto #Trading #Coinbase #FED #FOMC #STOCK
Bitcoin Hits PRZ – Time for a Correction?As I expected yesterday , Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) did drop down to the Support zone($114,300-$113,000) at the lower line of the ascending channel and then started rising again today. Both Long and Short positions basically hit their Targets .
At the moment, Bitcoin is moving near a Resistance zone($118,740-$115,740) , the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , and Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($118,224-$116,281) .
From an Elliott Wave perspective , it seems like Bitcoin is completing the microwave 4 of the microwave C of the main wave Y . There's a noticeable Negative Regular Divergence(RD-) between the last two peaks, which suggests some weakening momentum .
I expect that Bitcoin won't break through the Resistance zone($118,740-$115,740) easily and may fall back at least to the Support zone($114,300-$113,000) . If it drops below the 100_SMA(Daily) and 50_SMA(Daily) , we could see a deeper decline and possibly the CME Gap($113,495-$110,990) being filled.
Note: Another point to mention is that although the SPX500( TVC:SPX ) has been hitting new all-time highs as the new week began, BTC has shown a bit less correlation with it in the last day. So if the S&P 500 undergoes a correction, Bitcoin might actually see a sharper pullback, which is something to watch out for as a potential negative factor for Bitcoin.
Note: Also, keep in mind that tomorrow, some important U.S. economic indices will be released, which could also influence the market. So definitely factor that into your considerations.
Note: In general, the crypto market in the past couple of weeks has been heavily influenced by news around U.S.-China tariffs. Any headline can cause Bitcoin and other tokens to swing up or down, so keep an eye on those geopolitical headlines.
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $106,033-$104,090
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 2-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BTC Bulls Break the FlagBitcoin price has been pushing higher.
After that impulsive leg, momentum started to cool off, forming a tight descending flag.
This pullback isn’t weakness, it’s a pause.
Sellers are trying to push price lower, but notice how shallow the retracement is. Buyers are still defending every dip.
Now, price is breaking out of the flag with strength, a clear signal that buyers are stepping back in. That breakout candle shows intent, volume rising.
I am anticipating the next impulsive leg higher toward the 117,000 target.
BTCUSDT Review October 29 2025Short-term price movement ideas.
The price reached the weekly zone of interest and, within it, performed a daily liquidity sweep, which triggered a bearish move. After the daily sweep, we received confirmations on the 4H timeframe, and now the nearest zone to watch is the 4H Break to Structure (BtS). If this zone gets tested and confirmed on a lower timeframe, we can then consider opening a short position targeting a new low.
Be flexible, adapt to the market, and the results will come quickly. Good luck to everyone.
BTCUSD – 4H Bearish setup BITSTAMP:BTCUSD is reacting from confluence resistance near 114K, with fading momentum and Fibonacci alignment favoring a retracement toward 112.4K, 111.3K, and possibly 109.4K if bearish momentum extends. A sustained break above 114.9K would invalidate this short-term bearish view.
Bearish Confluences:
Price is approaching the upper boundary of the maroon resistance channel while showing rejection wicks near 113.9K–114.3K — a zone aligning with previous structure highs.
Momentum has slowed near the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the prior downswing (around 114.3K), signaling potential exhaustion of the current bounce.
The brown mid-band (trend mean) has flattened, suggesting loss of bullish momentum and possible reversion to mean.
Candles are testing the underside of prior liquidity zones where sellers previously entered aggressively.
Bias: Short-term bearish retracement potential while below 114.3K. A confirmed 4H close under 113.5K would strengthen the bearish case.
Fibonacci Targets (from swing high ≈ 119.2K to swing low ≈ 109.4K):
38.2% Target: 112,463
61.8% Target: 111,309
100% Extension: 109,442
Bitcoin Rally Heating Up – Watch This Zone Carefully!As the new week kicked off, Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to climb, fueled by a pump in the S&P500 index ( SP:SPX ) and the creation of a gap in the S&P500 index.
It seems Bitcoin has successfully broken above the 100_SMA(Daily) and 50_SMA(Daily) , as well as a Resistance zone($114,300-$113,000) .
In fact, Bitcoin has also formed a new CME Gap($113,495-$110,990) due to this S&P500 Index -driven surge.
Right now, Bitcoin is approaching the next key Resistance zone($118,740-$115,740) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , the Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($117,577-$116,731) , and the upper line of an ascending channel .
From an Elliott Wave perspective , by breaking this Resistance zone($114,300-$113,000) , Bitcoin has entered a new phase of wave counting. It appears to be completing microwave 4 of the main wave C . Overall, the corrective structure seems to be a Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) with an expanding leading diagonal in main wave A .
I expect that in the coming hours, after a pullback to the broken Resistance zone($114,300-$113,000) and those moving averages , Bitcoin might rise again at least up to the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . There's a possibility of forming a larger ascending channel, but since we haven't confirmed a second top, we can't rely on that channel just yet.
Note: In general, the crypto market in the past couple of weeks has been heavily influenced by news around U.S.-China tariffs. Any headline can cause Bitcoin and other tokens to swing up or down, so keep an eye on those geopolitical headlines.
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $113,625-$112,175
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $106,033-$104,090
Note: If Bitcoin falls below the moving averages and the Resistance zone($114,300-$113,000) again, we can expect further declines.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 2-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BTC Enters Breakdown Area — Volume Could Push Back Below $110KBTC Enters Breakdown Area — Volume Could Push Back Below $110K ⚠️
The previous volume that took BTC before 101K has some trends of this volume, which has a manipulation views, the volume before that did took BTC below 101K ended with a fakeout.
Bitcoin has entered the breakdown area, showing early weakness as price struggles to hold momentum near $115K.
The recent volume spike looks more like distribution pressure than accumulation, signaling that a correction phase could be forming.
📉 Current outlook:
Breakdown zone between $116.3K – $109.7K is active.
Volume is rising, but without strong upward continuation — a sign of selling absorption.
If this pattern holds, BTC could retest the $110K zone or drop slightly below in the next move.
📊 Observation:
The market is testing the upper side of the breakdown range but lacks follow-through.
A close back under $114K would confirm weakness and invite further downside momentum.
💬 Summary:
BTC is inside its breakdown area, and current volume suggests pressure may build to drive price back below $110K if buyers fail to reclaim control soon.
Bitcoin lost its low time frame — red day pressure aheadBitcoin has lost the low time frame structure around the $114.6K – $114.8K zone, signaling a possible shift in short-term momentum.
The break below this area indicates weakness, and BTC is now testing the mid-range levels while showing signs of slowing volume.
📉 Short-term view:
Momentum has turned bearish after rejection from $115.8K.
Next support zone sits around $108K – $109K, where buyers may try to step in.
If this level fails to hold, BTC could revisit $103K support — the key demand area from the previous range.
📊 Technical observation:
BTC’s structure shows a completed short-term top followed by a lower high formation.
This setup often confirms a local downtrend and can lead to several red candles before a new base forms.
💬 Summary:
Bitcoin lost its low time frame momentum, and we could be entering a red session.
We’ll monitor how price reacts near the $108K support zone to evaluate if buyers can regain control or if a deeper correction begins.
We follow the data, at this moment the marketview seems to be red, we will follow if this continues in the coming hours.






















